Opinion Poll by Simple Lógica, 4–13 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 31.2% 29.5–33.1% 29.0–33.6% 28.5–34.0% 27.7–34.9%
Partido Popular 33.0% 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.3–19.1% 15.0–19.5% 14.4–20.2%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 16.7% 15.3–18.2% 14.9–18.6% 14.6–19.0% 13.9–19.8%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 12.4% 11.2–13.7% 10.8–14.1% 10.5–14.5% 10.0–15.1%
Vox 0.2% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.1–10.4% 6.6–11.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 143 134–151 131–153 128–155 122–159
Partido Popular 137 67 60–74 58–76 57–79 54–83
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 57 52–65 50–66 49–68 47–71
Unidos Podemos 71 34 29–39 28–40 26–42 24–46
Vox 0 19 15–24 14–26 13–27 12–29

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.2% 99.3%  
125 0.3% 99.0%  
126 0.4% 98.8%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 0.5% 98%  
129 0.6% 97%  
130 0.8% 97%  
131 1.3% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 2% 93%  
134 3% 91%  
135 4% 88%  
136 5% 84%  
137 4% 80%  
138 5% 76%  
139 5% 71%  
140 6% 66%  
141 5% 61%  
142 5% 56%  
143 5% 51% Median
144 6% 46%  
145 6% 40%  
146 5% 34%  
147 6% 29%  
148 6% 24%  
149 4% 18%  
150 3% 14%  
151 2% 11%  
152 2% 8%  
153 2% 6%  
154 1.2% 4%  
155 0.8% 3%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.5% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.2%  
159 0.2% 0.7%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.2% 99.6%  
55 0.4% 99.5%  
56 1.0% 99.0%  
57 2% 98%  
58 2% 96%  
59 2% 94%  
60 3% 92%  
61 3% 88%  
62 4% 85%  
63 4% 81%  
64 4% 77%  
65 8% 73%  
66 7% 65%  
67 9% 58% Median
68 9% 49%  
69 10% 40%  
70 6% 30%  
71 6% 24%  
72 4% 18%  
73 3% 14%  
74 3% 11%  
75 2% 9%  
76 2% 7%  
77 1.2% 5%  
78 0.9% 4%  
79 0.7% 3%  
80 0.6% 2%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.8%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.7% 99.2%  
49 1.3% 98.6%  
50 2% 97%  
51 4% 95%  
52 4% 91%  
53 5% 87%  
54 6% 82%  
55 9% 75%  
56 10% 66%  
57 13% 56% Median
58 10% 43%  
59 5% 34%  
60 5% 28%  
61 4% 24%  
62 3% 20%  
63 4% 17%  
64 2% 13%  
65 4% 11%  
66 2% 7%  
67 2% 5%  
68 1.4% 3%  
69 0.6% 2%  
70 0.3% 0.9%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.9% 99.7%  
25 1.0% 98.8%  
26 1.1% 98%  
27 2% 97%  
28 3% 95%  
29 3% 93%  
30 4% 89%  
31 7% 85%  
32 9% 78%  
33 12% 69%  
34 12% 58% Median
35 10% 46%  
36 12% 36%  
37 8% 24%  
38 5% 15%  
39 5% 10%  
40 1.3% 6%  
41 1.1% 4%  
42 0.9% 3%  
43 0.7% 2%  
44 0.5% 2%  
45 0.5% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.2% 99.8%  
12 0.6% 99.6%  
13 2% 99.0%  
14 5% 97%  
15 9% 92%  
16 8% 83%  
17 8% 76%  
18 10% 68%  
19 12% 58% Median
20 15% 46%  
21 6% 32%  
22 7% 25%  
23 5% 19%  
24 4% 14%  
25 3% 9%  
26 2% 6%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.3% 2%  
29 0.4% 0.9%  
30 0.3% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 267 100% 260–274 258–275 257–277 254–280
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 234 100% 227–241 224–243 221–245 217–249
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 210 100% 201–217 199–219 196–221 192–224
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 200 100% 193–207 190–210 188–212 182–216
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 177 58% 167–185 164–187 161–189 156–193
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 144 0% 136–153 134–156 132–158 128–164
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 143 0% 134–151 131–153 128–155 122–159
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 124 0% 116–134 114–137 112–140 108–145
Partido Popular – Vox 137 86 0% 80–93 78–96 76–99 73–103
Partido Popular 137 67 0% 60–74 58–76 57–79 54–83

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.2% 99.7%  
254 0.2% 99.5% Last Result
255 0.4% 99.3%  
256 1.0% 98.9%  
257 1.5% 98%  
258 2% 96%  
259 2% 95%  
260 3% 93%  
261 3% 90%  
262 4% 86%  
263 6% 82%  
264 6% 76%  
265 6% 70%  
266 7% 64%  
267 8% 56% Median
268 7% 49%  
269 8% 41%  
270 7% 34%  
271 6% 27%  
272 5% 20%  
273 5% 15%  
274 4% 11%  
275 2% 7%  
276 2% 5%  
277 1.2% 3%  
278 0.7% 2%  
279 0.4% 1.0%  
280 0.3% 0.6%  
281 0.2% 0.3%  
282 0.1% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0.1% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0.1% 99.6%  
217 0.2% 99.5%  
218 0.3% 99.3%  
219 0.4% 99.0%  
220 0.5% 98.6%  
221 0.6% 98%  
222 0.8% 97%  
223 1.2% 97%  
224 1.4% 95%  
225 2% 94%  
226 2% 92%  
227 3% 90%  
228 3% 87%  
229 3% 84%  
230 5% 80%  
231 5% 75%  
232 5% 71%  
233 8% 65%  
234 8% 57% Median
235 8% 49%  
236 9% 41%  
237 6% 32%  
238 5% 26%  
239 5% 20%  
240 3% 15%  
241 3% 12%  
242 3% 9%  
243 2% 7%  
244 2% 5%  
245 1.0% 3%  
246 0.7% 2%  
247 0.6% 2%  
248 0.4% 1.0%  
249 0.2% 0.5%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0.1% 0.2%  
252 0.1% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0.1% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.8%  
191 0.2% 99.7%  
192 0.2% 99.5%  
193 0.4% 99.3%  
194 0.4% 99.0%  
195 0.6% 98.5%  
196 0.8% 98%  
197 1.0% 97%  
198 1.0% 96%  
199 2% 95%  
200 2% 94%  
201 2% 92%  
202 3% 89%  
203 3% 86%  
204 3% 83%  
205 5% 80%  
206 4% 75%  
207 5% 71%  
208 5% 65%  
209 6% 60%  
210 5% 53% Median
211 7% 48%  
212 7% 41%  
213 5% 34%  
214 6% 29%  
215 6% 23%  
216 5% 18%  
217 4% 13%  
218 3% 9%  
219 2% 6%  
220 1.3% 4%  
221 0.9% 3%  
222 0.6% 2% Last Result
223 0.4% 1.2%  
224 0.3% 0.7%  
225 0.2% 0.5%  
226 0.1% 0.3%  
227 0.1% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100% Majority
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.9%  
181 0.2% 99.8%  
182 0.2% 99.6%  
183 0.2% 99.5%  
184 0.3% 99.3%  
185 0.4% 99.0%  
186 0.5% 98.6%  
187 0.6% 98%  
188 0.9% 98%  
189 1.3% 97%  
190 2% 95%  
191 2% 94%  
192 2% 92%  
193 3% 90%  
194 4% 87%  
195 5% 84%  
196 6% 79%  
197 7% 73%  
198 6% 66%  
199 7% 60%  
200 7% 53% Median
201 8% 46%  
202 6% 39%  
203 6% 33%  
204 6% 27%  
205 4% 21%  
206 4% 16%  
207 3% 13%  
208 2% 10%  
209 2% 8%  
210 2% 6%  
211 1.0% 4%  
212 0.8% 3%  
213 0.7% 2%  
214 0.5% 1.5%  
215 0.4% 1.0%  
216 0.2% 0.7%  
217 0.2% 0.4%  
218 0.1% 0.3%  
219 0.1% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.2% 99.5% Last Result
157 0.3% 99.4%  
158 0.2% 99.1%  
159 0.4% 98.9%  
160 0.5% 98.5%  
161 0.7% 98%  
162 0.7% 97%  
163 1.0% 97%  
164 1.2% 96%  
165 2% 94%  
166 2% 93%  
167 2% 91%  
168 3% 89%  
169 3% 86%  
170 3% 83%  
171 4% 80%  
172 4% 76%  
173 5% 72%  
174 5% 67%  
175 5% 62%  
176 5% 58% Majority
177 6% 53% Median
178 5% 47%  
179 6% 42%  
180 5% 37%  
181 5% 31%  
182 5% 26%  
183 5% 21%  
184 4% 16%  
185 3% 12%  
186 3% 9%  
187 2% 7%  
188 1.4% 5%  
189 1.0% 3%  
190 0.8% 2%  
191 0.6% 2%  
192 0.5% 1.1%  
193 0.2% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.7%  
129 0.4% 99.4%  
130 0.6% 99.0%  
131 0.8% 98%  
132 0.9% 98%  
133 1.4% 97%  
134 2% 95%  
135 3% 93%  
136 3% 91%  
137 4% 88%  
138 5% 84%  
139 5% 79%  
140 6% 74%  
141 6% 68%  
142 6% 62%  
143 5% 56% Median
144 5% 51%  
145 6% 45%  
146 5% 39%  
147 5% 35%  
148 5% 29%  
149 4% 25%  
150 4% 21%  
151 3% 17%  
152 3% 14%  
153 2% 11%  
154 2% 9%  
155 2% 7%  
156 1.3% 6%  
157 1.0% 4%  
158 0.8% 3%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.5% 2%  
161 0.4% 1.4%  
162 0.2% 1.0%  
163 0.2% 0.8%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.2% 99.3%  
125 0.3% 99.0%  
126 0.4% 98.8%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 0.5% 98%  
129 0.6% 97%  
130 0.8% 97%  
131 1.3% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 2% 93%  
134 3% 91%  
135 4% 88%  
136 5% 84%  
137 4% 80%  
138 5% 76%  
139 5% 71%  
140 6% 66%  
141 5% 61%  
142 5% 56%  
143 5% 51% Median
144 6% 46%  
145 6% 40%  
146 5% 34%  
147 6% 29%  
148 6% 24%  
149 4% 18%  
150 3% 14%  
151 2% 11%  
152 2% 8%  
153 2% 6%  
154 1.2% 4%  
155 0.8% 3%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.5% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.2%  
159 0.2% 0.7%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0.3% 99.5%  
110 0.4% 99.2%  
111 0.6% 98.8%  
112 1.0% 98%  
113 1.4% 97%  
114 2% 96%  
115 2% 94%  
116 2% 92%  
117 4% 90%  
118 3% 86%  
119 6% 82%  
120 6% 77%  
121 5% 71%  
122 6% 66%  
123 6% 60%  
124 6% 54% Median
125 5% 49%  
126 6% 43%  
127 6% 37%  
128 4% 32%  
129 4% 28%  
130 3% 24%  
131 3% 21%  
132 3% 17%  
133 2% 14%  
134 2% 12%  
135 2% 10%  
136 2% 8%  
137 1.3% 6%  
138 1.1% 5%  
139 0.7% 3%  
140 0.7% 3%  
141 0.6% 2%  
142 0.4% 2%  
143 0.3% 1.1%  
144 0.2% 0.8%  
145 0.2% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.7%  
73 0.4% 99.5%  
74 0.6% 99.1%  
75 0.7% 98.6%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 3% 94%  
80 3% 91%  
81 3% 88%  
82 6% 84%  
83 5% 79%  
84 7% 74%  
85 10% 66%  
86 8% 56% Median
87 10% 48%  
88 6% 38%  
89 6% 32%  
90 6% 26%  
91 4% 21%  
92 4% 17%  
93 3% 13%  
94 2% 10%  
95 2% 8%  
96 1.4% 6%  
97 1.3% 5%  
98 0.8% 3%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.4% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.5%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.2% 0.7%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.2% 99.6%  
55 0.4% 99.5%  
56 1.0% 99.0%  
57 2% 98%  
58 2% 96%  
59 2% 94%  
60 3% 92%  
61 3% 88%  
62 4% 85%  
63 4% 81%  
64 4% 77%  
65 8% 73%  
66 7% 65%  
67 9% 58% Median
68 9% 49%  
69 10% 40%  
70 6% 30%  
71 6% 24%  
72 4% 18%  
73 3% 14%  
74 3% 11%  
75 2% 9%  
76 2% 7%  
77 1.2% 5%  
78 0.9% 4%  
79 0.7% 3%  
80 0.6% 2%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations