Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–17 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.3% 26.6–28.0% 26.4–28.2% 26.3–28.3% 26.0–28.7%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.7% 20.1–21.3% 19.9–21.5% 19.8–21.6% 19.5–21.9%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.4% 14.9–16.0% 14.7–16.1% 14.6–16.2% 14.3–16.5%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.0% 12.5–13.5% 12.4–13.7% 12.2–13.8% 12.0–14.0%
Vox 0.2% 12.5% 12.0–13.0% 11.9–13.2% 11.8–13.3% 11.5–13.5%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.2% 2.9–3.5% 2.9–3.6% 2.8–3.6% 2.7–3.8%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 0.9% 0.8–1.1% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2% 0.7–1.2%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.0% 0.6–1.0% 0.6–1.1%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 119 114–123 111–124 108–124 108–126
Partido Popular 137 82 79–87 78–88 76–90 75–92
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 50 47–54 47–54 47–54 45–55
Unidos Podemos 71 36 33–37 33–38 31–38 31–39
Vox 0 33 31–36 30–37 30–38 29–39
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 14 14–15 14–15 13–15 12–16
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–7 6–8 6–8 5–8
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0 0 0 0
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 1–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 3% 99.8%  
109 0.3% 97%  
110 0.5% 97%  
111 2% 96%  
112 0.5% 94%  
113 1.4% 94%  
114 7% 92%  
115 6% 86%  
116 14% 80%  
117 10% 66%  
118 3% 56%  
119 4% 53% Median
120 18% 50%  
121 10% 32%  
122 11% 22%  
123 5% 11%  
124 4% 6%  
125 1.4% 2%  
126 0.8% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 3% 99.5%  
77 0.8% 97%  
78 6% 96%  
79 2% 90%  
80 10% 88%  
81 14% 78%  
82 24% 64% Median
83 8% 40%  
84 6% 32%  
85 12% 26%  
86 2% 14%  
87 2% 12%  
88 6% 9%  
89 0.5% 3%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 1.3% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 100%  
45 1.1% 99.9%  
46 0.6% 98.8%  
47 12% 98%  
48 12% 86%  
49 9% 74%  
50 32% 65% Median
51 0.9% 33%  
52 0.5% 33%  
53 22% 32%  
54 10% 10%  
55 0.3% 0.6%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 0.1% 99.7%  
31 2% 99.6%  
32 1.3% 97%  
33 6% 96%  
34 16% 90%  
35 21% 74%  
36 30% 53% Median
37 17% 23%  
38 5% 6%  
39 0.7% 0.8%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 1.3% 99.9%  
30 7% 98.6%  
31 5% 92%  
32 11% 87%  
33 42% 77% Median
34 13% 35%  
35 5% 22%  
36 10% 17%  
37 3% 7%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.7% 0.9%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.7% 100%  
13 4% 99.3%  
14 47% 95% Median
15 48% 48%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 29% 99.7%  
5 38% 71% Median
6 33% 33%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.1% 99.9% Last Result
6 63% 98.8% Median
7 26% 35%  
8 10% 10%  
9 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 24% 99.2% Last Result
3 39% 75% Median
4 33% 36%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 94% 94% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 251 100% 246–255 245–256 245–258 243–258
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 205 100% 200–208 197–208 197–209 195–210
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 201 100% 196–205 196–206 195–209 190–210
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 184 96% 178–187 177–188 173–188 173–189
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 174 29% 168–177 167–179 163–179 163–180
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 171 17% 166–176 165–176 162–177 162–179
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 165 3% 162–171 161–172 161–176 160–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 170 0.4% 163–172 162–173 161–174 160–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 163 0% 159–167 157–169 154–169 153–171
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 160 0% 156–164 154–165 150–166 150–168
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 154 0% 149–158 148–159 144–159 144–161
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 139 0% 134–146 134–147 132–147 131–149
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 133 0% 129–140 129–141 127–142 126–144
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 132 0% 128–139 128–140 126–141 125–143
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 119 0% 114–123 111–124 108–124 108–126
Partido Popular – Vox 137 116 0% 113–119 111–122 111–123 110–126
Partido Popular 137 82 0% 79–87 78–88 76–90 75–92

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0.1% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.5% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.3%  
245 9% 99.2%  
246 3% 90%  
247 0.8% 88%  
248 4% 87%  
249 10% 83%  
250 7% 73%  
251 18% 66% Median
252 11% 49%  
253 15% 38%  
254 9% 23% Last Result
255 6% 13%  
256 3% 7%  
257 1.4% 4%  
258 3% 3%  
259 0.1% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0.1% 100%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.9%  
194 0.2% 99.8%  
195 0.4% 99.7%  
196 0.4% 99.2%  
197 4% 98.9%  
198 1.3% 95%  
199 0.5% 93%  
200 10% 93%  
201 5% 83%  
202 4% 78%  
203 11% 74%  
204 13% 63%  
205 16% 50% Median
206 10% 35%  
207 11% 24%  
208 9% 13%  
209 3% 4%  
210 1.2% 2%  
211 0.4% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
190 0.5% 100%  
191 0% 99.5%  
192 0.1% 99.4%  
193 0.6% 99.3%  
194 0.5% 98.7%  
195 1.4% 98%  
196 8% 97%  
197 0.8% 89%  
198 16% 88%  
199 7% 72%  
200 11% 65%  
201 14% 54% Median
202 8% 40%  
203 9% 32%  
204 5% 23%  
205 10% 17%  
206 3% 8%  
207 1.3% 5%  
208 0.6% 3%  
209 0.4% 3%  
210 2% 2%  
211 0.3% 0.3%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 3% 99.8%  
174 0.5% 97%  
175 0.3% 97%  
176 0.9% 96% Majority
177 2% 95%  
178 6% 93%  
179 8% 87%  
180 5% 79% Last Result
181 4% 74%  
182 10% 70%  
183 6% 60% Median
184 22% 53%  
185 8% 32%  
186 11% 24%  
187 5% 13%  
188 6% 8%  
189 0.9% 1.3%  
190 0.4% 0.4%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 3% 99.8%  
164 0.4% 97%  
165 0.4% 97%  
166 1.1% 96%  
167 2% 95%  
168 5% 94%  
169 5% 88%  
170 6% 84%  
171 3% 77%  
172 13% 74%  
173 4% 62% Last Result
174 21% 58% Median
175 8% 37%  
176 11% 29% Majority
177 8% 17%  
178 4% 9%  
179 5% 6%  
180 1.0% 1.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0.1% 100%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 3% 99.6%  
163 0.4% 97%  
164 1.0% 96%  
165 0.5% 95%  
166 9% 95%  
167 2% 86% Last Result
168 6% 83%  
169 5% 77%  
170 4% 72%  
171 23% 68%  
172 8% 45% Median
173 4% 37%  
174 11% 33%  
175 5% 22%  
176 12% 17% Majority
177 2% 5%  
178 1.4% 2%  
179 0.5% 0.8%  
180 0.3% 0.3%  
181 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0.3% 100%  
160 0.8% 99.6%  
161 6% 98.9%  
162 6% 93%  
163 9% 87%  
164 9% 78%  
165 22% 69% Median
166 7% 47%  
167 10% 40%  
168 4% 31%  
169 5% 26% Last Result
170 8% 21%  
171 6% 13%  
172 2% 7%  
173 1.0% 5%  
174 0.5% 4%  
175 0.5% 3%  
176 3% 3% Majority
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0.2% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0.2% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.7%  
160 0.2% 99.6%  
161 3% 99.3%  
162 1.4% 96%  
163 10% 95%  
164 3% 85%  
165 0.9% 82%  
166 1.3% 81%  
167 9% 80%  
168 7% 71%  
169 10% 64% Median
170 24% 54%  
171 14% 30%  
172 7% 16%  
173 5% 9%  
174 3% 4%  
175 0.8% 1.2%  
176 0.2% 0.4% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.4% 99.8%  
154 3% 99.5%  
155 0.2% 97%  
156 0.7% 97%  
157 0.9% 96%  
158 3% 95%  
159 6% 92%  
160 7% 86%  
161 7% 79%  
162 4% 72%  
163 19% 67% Last Result
164 11% 48% Median
165 8% 37%  
166 8% 29%  
167 13% 21%  
168 2% 8%  
169 4% 6%  
170 0.9% 2%  
171 0.7% 0.7%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.3% 99.9%  
150 3% 99.6%  
151 0.2% 97%  
152 0.6% 97%  
153 0.5% 96%  
154 1.0% 96%  
155 3% 95%  
156 5% 91%  
157 4% 86%  
158 12% 83%  
159 9% 71%  
160 14% 62%  
161 7% 48% Last Result, Median
162 15% 41%  
163 11% 26%  
164 7% 15%  
165 5% 8%  
166 1.2% 3%  
167 1.2% 2%  
168 0.5% 0.5%  
169 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0.1% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.3% 99.8%  
144 3% 99.6%  
145 0.5% 97%  
146 0.4% 96%  
147 0.7% 96%  
148 2% 95%  
149 6% 93%  
150 5% 87%  
151 5% 82%  
152 8% 78%  
153 17% 70%  
154 10% 53%  
155 9% 43% Median
156 8% 34% Last Result
157 11% 26%  
158 7% 14%  
159 5% 7%  
160 1.3% 2%  
161 1.2% 1.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0.2% 100%  
131 0.6% 99.8%  
132 3% 99.2%  
133 0.9% 96%  
134 7% 95%  
135 4% 89%  
136 20% 85%  
137 6% 65%  
138 6% 59% Median
139 4% 53%  
140 12% 49%  
141 9% 37%  
142 4% 28%  
143 5% 24%  
144 3% 18%  
145 4% 15%  
146 5% 11%  
147 4% 6%  
148 1.1% 2%  
149 0.2% 0.7%  
150 0.2% 0.5%  
151 0.2% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.2% 99.9%  
126 0.7% 99.7%  
127 3% 98.9%  
128 1.1% 96%  
129 7% 95%  
130 17% 88%  
131 9% 71%  
132 5% 62%  
133 10% 57% Median
134 4% 48%  
135 9% 43%  
136 8% 34%  
137 4% 26%  
138 9% 22%  
139 2% 14%  
140 6% 12%  
141 2% 6%  
142 3% 4%  
143 0.8% 1.4%  
144 0.2% 0.5%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0.2% 99.9%  
125 0.8% 99.7%  
126 3% 99.0%  
127 1.1% 96%  
128 7% 95%  
129 17% 88%  
130 7% 71%  
131 6% 64%  
132 9% 58% Median
133 5% 48%  
134 9% 43%  
135 8% 35%  
136 4% 27%  
137 8% 23%  
138 2% 14%  
139 6% 12%  
140 2% 7%  
141 3% 5%  
142 0.9% 1.4%  
143 0.2% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 3% 99.8%  
109 0.3% 97%  
110 0.5% 97%  
111 2% 96%  
112 0.5% 94%  
113 1.4% 94%  
114 7% 92%  
115 6% 86%  
116 14% 80%  
117 10% 66%  
118 3% 56%  
119 4% 53% Median
120 18% 50%  
121 10% 32%  
122 11% 22%  
123 5% 11%  
124 4% 6%  
125 1.4% 2%  
126 0.8% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.4% 100%  
110 0.5% 99.6%  
111 5% 99.1%  
112 3% 94%  
113 9% 91%  
114 14% 82%  
115 17% 68% Median
116 10% 51%  
117 13% 41%  
118 14% 27%  
119 3% 13%  
120 3% 10%  
121 0.5% 7%  
122 2% 6%  
123 3% 4%  
124 0.4% 1.1%  
125 0.1% 0.7%  
126 0.2% 0.5%  
127 0.2% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 3% 99.5%  
77 0.8% 97%  
78 6% 96%  
79 2% 90%  
80 10% 88%  
81 14% 78%  
82 24% 64% Median
83 8% 40%  
84 6% 32%  
85 12% 26%  
86 2% 14%  
87 2% 12%  
88 6% 9%  
89 0.5% 3%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 1.3% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations