Opinion Poll by Sondaxe for La Voz de Galicia, 15–20 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 26.9% 25.1–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.2–29.7% 23.4–30.7%
Partido Popular 33.0% 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.5% 15.9–22.3%
Vox 0.2% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.7–15.3% 11.4–15.7% 10.8–16.4%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 120 110–127 105–130 103–131 98–135
Partido Popular 137 73 68–81 67–86 65–88 62–94
Vox 0 44 37–50 35–52 33–54 31–58
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 43 34–48 32–51 31–54 25–56
Unidos Podemos 71 37 32–41 30–43 28–44 25–48
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 16 14–20 13–20 13–21 11–22
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 7 5–9 3–9 3–10 3–11
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–8 3–8 3–8 1–10
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 2 1–7 1–7 1–7 1–7
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 2 1–4 1–4 1–4 0–5

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.3% 99.2%  
101 0.3% 99.0%  
102 0.7% 98.7%  
103 2% 98%  
104 0.9% 96%  
105 0.3% 95%  
106 1.1% 95%  
107 0.7% 94%  
108 1.4% 93%  
109 1.1% 92%  
110 3% 91%  
111 2% 88%  
112 1.1% 86%  
113 14% 85%  
114 1.0% 71%  
115 2% 70%  
116 3% 68%  
117 4% 65%  
118 4% 60%  
119 1.4% 56%  
120 10% 55% Median
121 10% 45%  
122 4% 34%  
123 3% 31%  
124 1.0% 27%  
125 1.4% 26%  
126 10% 25%  
127 6% 15%  
128 2% 9%  
129 0.9% 6%  
130 2% 6%  
131 1.3% 4%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.6% 1.4%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 0.6% 98.8%  
64 0.6% 98%  
65 1.2% 98%  
66 1.2% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 8% 94%  
69 5% 86%  
70 5% 81%  
71 18% 76%  
72 4% 58%  
73 4% 54% Median
74 6% 50%  
75 3% 43%  
76 15% 41%  
77 2% 26%  
78 2% 24%  
79 7% 22%  
80 3% 15%  
81 3% 12%  
82 2% 9%  
83 0.6% 7%  
84 1.1% 7%  
85 0.2% 6%  
86 2% 6%  
87 0.6% 3%  
88 0.3% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.4% 2%  
91 0.2% 1.2%  
92 0% 1.0%  
93 0.1% 1.0%  
94 0.4% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0.3% 99.8%  
31 1.1% 99.5%  
32 0.3% 98%  
33 1.1% 98%  
34 2% 97%  
35 1.0% 95%  
36 2% 94%  
37 3% 93%  
38 1.1% 89%  
39 1.1% 88%  
40 12% 87%  
41 3% 75%  
42 6% 72%  
43 5% 66%  
44 12% 61% Median
45 11% 49%  
46 13% 37%  
47 7% 24%  
48 2% 17%  
49 1.1% 16%  
50 5% 15%  
51 4% 10%  
52 1.2% 6%  
53 0.9% 5%  
54 2% 4%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.3% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.2%  
58 0.6% 0.7%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0.4% 99.7%  
26 0.1% 99.2%  
27 0.1% 99.1%  
28 0.3% 99.0%  
29 0.4% 98.7%  
30 0.8% 98%  
31 2% 98%  
32 1.2% 96% Last Result
33 4% 94%  
34 1.4% 91%  
35 2% 89%  
36 3% 87%  
37 0.4% 84%  
38 6% 84%  
39 5% 78%  
40 11% 73%  
41 5% 61%  
42 6% 57%  
43 1.4% 51% Median
44 13% 50%  
45 14% 37%  
46 5% 22%  
47 4% 17%  
48 3% 13%  
49 1.1% 10%  
50 3% 9%  
51 1.1% 6%  
52 0.9% 4%  
53 0.8% 4%  
54 1.3% 3%  
55 0.6% 1.5%  
56 0.4% 0.8%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0% 0.3%  
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 0.3% 99.5%  
26 0.4% 99.3%  
27 0.8% 98.9%  
28 0.8% 98%  
29 0.9% 97%  
30 3% 96%  
31 2% 93%  
32 2% 91%  
33 5% 89%  
34 8% 84%  
35 8% 76%  
36 12% 69%  
37 8% 56% Median
38 15% 48%  
39 5% 33%  
40 14% 28%  
41 6% 15%  
42 2% 9%  
43 4% 7%  
44 0.7% 3%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.4% 1.1%  
47 0.2% 0.7%  
48 0.2% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100% Last Result
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.1%  
13 4% 98.5%  
14 7% 94%  
15 35% 87%  
16 9% 53% Median
17 10% 44%  
18 3% 34%  
19 19% 31%  
20 7% 12%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.6% 0.7%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 6% 99.8%  
4 3% 94%  
5 26% 91%  
6 14% 65%  
7 13% 51% Median
8 26% 38% Last Result
9 9% 12%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.6% 0.9%  
12 0.1% 0.4%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 1.3% 99.5%  
3 12% 98%  
4 9% 86%  
5 5% 76% Last Result
6 46% 71% Median
7 6% 26%  
8 18% 20%  
9 0.9% 2%  
10 1.3% 1.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 29% 99.7%  
2 35% 71% Last Result, Median
3 4% 36%  
4 6% 33%  
5 3% 27%  
6 11% 24%  
7 12% 13%  
8 0.1% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 41% 98% Last Result
2 31% 57% Median
3 12% 26%  
4 13% 14%  
5 0.8% 0.9%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 235 100% 226–243 224–245 221–248 217–251
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 198 99.0% 189–205 186–209 182–213 173–217
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 195 98.9% 184–204 180–206 178–207 173–213
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 188 96% 180–196 177–199 173–201 165–206
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 180 77% 169–188 168–190 163–192 155–197
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 174 46% 168–184 164–187 161–190 153–196
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 165 6% 157–173 153–177 149–179 140–184
Partido Popular – Vox – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 160 2% 152–168 149–171 147–175 142–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 161 2% 152–170 147–172 145–174 138–181
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 162 1.5% 153–171 149–173 145–174 134–180
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 156 0.3% 147–165 144–167 140–169 130–175
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 122 0% 114–132 111–134 108–136 103–143
Partido Popular – Vox 137 117 0% 112–126 109–129 105–133 100–139
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 119 0% 110–127 107–129 105–132 101–140
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 120 0% 110–127 105–130 103–131 98–135
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 116 0% 108–125 105–128 104–130 99–138
Partido Popular 137 73 0% 68–81 67–86 65–88 62–94

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.9%  
216 0.2% 99.8%  
217 0.2% 99.6%  
218 0.1% 99.4%  
219 0.6% 99.3%  
220 0.2% 98.6%  
221 2% 98%  
222 0.5% 97%  
223 1.0% 96%  
224 0.6% 95%  
225 4% 95%  
226 1.3% 91%  
227 0.9% 89%  
228 2% 89%  
229 13% 86%  
230 4% 74%  
231 1.1% 70%  
232 3% 69%  
233 2% 66%  
234 5% 64%  
235 11% 59%  
236 5% 48% Median
237 1.1% 43%  
238 5% 42%  
239 9% 37%  
240 4% 28%  
241 11% 23%  
242 2% 12%  
243 0.8% 10%  
244 1.0% 10%  
245 4% 9%  
246 1.3% 5%  
247 0.3% 3%  
248 2% 3%  
249 0.5% 2%  
250 0.3% 1.0%  
251 0.2% 0.7%  
252 0.1% 0.5%  
253 0.1% 0.4%  
254 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
255 0.2% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0.1% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.4% 99.8%  
174 0.2% 99.4%  
175 0.2% 99.2%  
176 0.1% 99.0% Majority
177 0% 98.9%  
178 0.5% 98.8%  
179 0.2% 98%  
180 0.2% 98%  
181 0.2% 98%  
182 0.7% 98%  
183 0.2% 97%  
184 0.7% 97%  
185 0.8% 96%  
186 3% 95%  
187 0.3% 92%  
188 2% 92% Last Result
189 1.2% 90%  
190 4% 89%  
191 4% 85%  
192 2% 82%  
193 2% 80%  
194 4% 78%  
195 5% 74%  
196 0.7% 70%  
197 3% 69%  
198 20% 66%  
199 1.0% 45%  
200 6% 44% Median
201 14% 38%  
202 2% 24%  
203 1.0% 23%  
204 7% 22%  
205 7% 15%  
206 1.2% 8%  
207 1.3% 7%  
208 0.4% 5%  
209 0.9% 5%  
210 1.0% 4%  
211 0.3% 3%  
212 0.2% 3%  
213 0.5% 3%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 1.1% 2%  
216 0.3% 0.9%  
217 0.2% 0.6%  
218 0.2% 0.4%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0.1% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.8%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.2% 99.6%  
174 0.1% 99.4%  
175 0.3% 99.3%  
176 0.4% 98.9% Majority
177 0.9% 98%  
178 0.5% 98%  
179 2% 97%  
180 0.4% 95%  
181 2% 95%  
182 0.7% 93%  
183 1.3% 92%  
184 13% 91%  
185 1.2% 78%  
186 4% 77%  
187 2% 73%  
188 3% 71%  
189 1.1% 68%  
190 5% 67%  
191 2% 62%  
192 0.9% 60%  
193 2% 59% Median
194 6% 57%  
195 9% 51%  
196 5% 43%  
197 10% 37%  
198 2% 27%  
199 7% 25%  
200 5% 18%  
201 1.4% 13%  
202 1.3% 12%  
203 0.5% 10%  
204 2% 10%  
205 0.8% 8%  
206 3% 7%  
207 3% 4%  
208 0.2% 1.3%  
209 0.1% 1.1%  
210 0.2% 1.0%  
211 0.1% 0.8%  
212 0% 0.7%  
213 0.2% 0.7%  
214 0.3% 0.5%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.7%  
165 0.4% 99.5%  
166 0.1% 99.1%  
167 0.1% 99.1%  
168 0.2% 99.0%  
169 0.1% 98.8%  
170 0.4% 98.7%  
171 0.3% 98%  
172 0.3% 98%  
173 0.9% 98%  
174 0.6% 97%  
175 0.6% 96%  
176 0.5% 96% Majority
177 0.4% 95%  
178 0.9% 95%  
179 2% 94%  
180 2% 92% Last Result
181 3% 89%  
182 3% 86%  
183 1.0% 83%  
184 6% 82%  
185 18% 75%  
186 2% 58%  
187 2% 56%  
188 6% 54% Median
189 12% 48%  
190 4% 36%  
191 7% 31%  
192 3% 25%  
193 5% 21%  
194 1.2% 16%  
195 0.3% 15%  
196 6% 15%  
197 0.8% 9%  
198 2% 8%  
199 2% 6%  
200 0.2% 4%  
201 1.5% 4%  
202 0.6% 2%  
203 0.6% 2%  
204 0.1% 1.2%  
205 0.5% 1.1%  
206 0.2% 0.7%  
207 0.4% 0.5%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0.4% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.3%  
157 0.1% 99.2%  
158 0.1% 99.0%  
159 0.1% 99.0%  
160 0.5% 98.9%  
161 0.3% 98%  
162 0.3% 98%  
163 0.3% 98%  
164 0.5% 97%  
165 0.7% 97%  
166 0.2% 96%  
167 1.0% 96%  
168 3% 95%  
169 3% 92%  
170 0.6% 89%  
171 1.2% 89%  
172 3% 87%  
173 1.5% 84% Last Result
174 4% 83%  
175 1.2% 78%  
176 7% 77% Majority
177 12% 70%  
178 3% 58%  
179 2% 55%  
180 18% 52% Median
181 0.9% 34%  
182 2% 33%  
183 10% 31%  
184 0.9% 22%  
185 2% 21%  
186 6% 19%  
187 0.6% 13%  
188 6% 13%  
189 1.1% 6%  
190 1.0% 5%  
191 1.1% 4%  
192 0.9% 3%  
193 0.6% 2%  
194 0.1% 1.4%  
195 0.2% 1.3%  
196 0.5% 1.1%  
197 0.3% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.7%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0.1% 99.6%  
154 0.5% 99.5%  
155 0.2% 99.0%  
156 0.3% 98.9%  
157 0.4% 98.5%  
158 0.3% 98%  
159 0.2% 98%  
160 0.2% 98%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.8% 97%  
163 0.7% 96%  
164 1.2% 95%  
165 0.3% 94%  
166 1.0% 94%  
167 3% 93% Last Result
168 1.0% 90%  
169 3% 89%  
170 2% 87%  
171 7% 84%  
172 3% 77%  
173 15% 74%  
174 10% 59%  
175 2% 48% Median
176 9% 46% Majority
177 1.0% 37%  
178 7% 36%  
179 2% 29%  
180 4% 27%  
181 4% 23%  
182 6% 18%  
183 0.7% 13%  
184 4% 12%  
185 1.5% 8%  
186 0.4% 7%  
187 2% 6%  
188 0.2% 4%  
189 0.4% 4%  
190 1.0% 3%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.6% 2%  
194 0.2% 1.0%  
195 0.1% 0.9%  
196 0.4% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0.4% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.4%  
142 0.1% 99.2%  
143 0.2% 99.2%  
144 0.2% 99.0%  
145 0.1% 98.8%  
146 0.1% 98.7%  
147 0.3% 98.6%  
148 0.2% 98%  
149 1.2% 98%  
150 0.6% 97%  
151 0.4% 96%  
152 0.6% 96%  
153 0.8% 95%  
154 0.8% 95%  
155 0.9% 94%  
156 2% 93%  
157 1.4% 91%  
158 2% 89%  
159 1.4% 88%  
160 6% 86%  
161 11% 80%  
162 6% 69%  
163 6% 63% Last Result
164 7% 57%  
165 7% 50% Median
166 11% 44%  
167 6% 33%  
168 2% 27%  
169 4% 25%  
170 3% 21%  
171 1.1% 18%  
172 3% 17%  
173 6% 14%  
174 0.5% 8%  
175 2% 8%  
176 0.7% 6% Majority
177 1.0% 5%  
178 1.0% 4%  
179 1.1% 3%  
180 0.4% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.2% 1.3%  
183 0.5% 1.0%  
184 0.3% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.2% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.5%  
143 0.2% 99.3%  
144 0.5% 99.1%  
145 0.2% 98.6%  
146 0.7% 98%  
147 0.7% 98%  
148 2% 97%  
149 0.4% 95%  
150 2% 95%  
151 2% 93%  
152 6% 91%  
153 0.7% 86%  
154 1.2% 85%  
155 6% 84%  
156 5% 78%  
157 4% 73%  
158 3% 68%  
159 3% 65%  
160 14% 62% Median
161 4% 48%  
162 15% 44%  
163 0.7% 29%  
164 7% 28%  
165 5% 21%  
166 3% 17%  
167 1.0% 14%  
168 5% 13%  
169 2% 8% Last Result
170 0.4% 6%  
171 0.4% 5%  
172 0.5% 5%  
173 0.3% 4%  
174 0.6% 4%  
175 1.2% 4%  
176 0.4% 2% Majority
177 0.2% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.1% 1.1%  
181 0.1% 1.0%  
182 0.4% 0.9%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0.2% 99.6%  
139 0.2% 99.4%  
140 0.1% 99.2%  
141 0.2% 99.2%  
142 0.5% 99.0%  
143 0.2% 98.5%  
144 0.1% 98%  
145 3% 98%  
146 0.2% 96%  
147 1.2% 95%  
148 0.8% 94%  
149 2% 94%  
150 0.4% 92%  
151 0.5% 91%  
152 3% 91%  
153 3% 88%  
154 4% 85%  
155 0.5% 81%  
156 2% 80%  
157 3% 78%  
158 12% 75%  
159 4% 63%  
160 8% 59%  
161 3% 51%  
162 3% 48%  
163 4% 45% Median
164 3% 41%  
165 12% 38%  
166 2% 26%  
167 8% 24%  
168 1.2% 16%  
169 1.0% 15%  
170 4% 14%  
171 4% 9%  
172 2% 6%  
173 0.4% 4%  
174 1.5% 3%  
175 0.4% 2%  
176 0.5% 2% Majority
177 0.1% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 1.0%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.2% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.2% 0.2%  
185 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.4% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0.1% 99.5%  
136 0.1% 99.4%  
137 0.1% 99.3%  
138 0.1% 99.3%  
139 0.1% 99.1%  
140 0.1% 99.0%  
141 0.1% 98.9%  
142 0.5% 98.8%  
143 0.4% 98%  
144 0.3% 98%  
145 0.3% 98%  
146 0.3% 97%  
147 0.9% 97%  
148 0.7% 96%  
149 2% 96%  
150 0.9% 94%  
151 0.6% 93%  
152 2% 92%  
153 0.9% 90%  
154 5% 90%  
155 3% 84%  
156 0.8% 81%  
157 3% 80%  
158 5% 78%  
159 10% 73%  
160 7% 62%  
161 1.1% 55% Last Result
162 8% 54%  
163 5% 46% Median
164 2% 41%  
165 14% 39%  
166 2% 25%  
167 4% 23%  
168 0.8% 19%  
169 3% 18%  
170 2% 15%  
171 7% 13%  
172 0.6% 6%  
173 2% 5%  
174 1.2% 3%  
175 0.6% 2%  
176 0.1% 1.5% Majority
177 0.1% 1.4%  
178 0.3% 1.3%  
179 0.5% 1.1%  
180 0.1% 0.6%  
181 0.3% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0.1% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.4% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.4%  
132 0.1% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.3%  
134 0.1% 99.2%  
135 0.2% 99.1%  
136 0.2% 98.9%  
137 0.2% 98.7%  
138 0.4% 98.5%  
139 0.6% 98%  
140 0.6% 98%  
141 0.7% 97%  
142 0.8% 96%  
143 0.3% 95%  
144 2% 95%  
145 0.7% 93%  
146 1.4% 92%  
147 1.1% 91%  
148 2% 90%  
149 1.4% 87%  
150 4% 86%  
151 2% 82%  
152 6% 80%  
153 10% 74%  
154 7% 64%  
155 3% 57%  
156 4% 54% Last Result
157 14% 50% Median
158 6% 36%  
159 3% 30%  
160 2% 26%  
161 4% 24%  
162 0.9% 20%  
163 4% 19%  
164 0.9% 16%  
165 8% 15%  
166 0.6% 6%  
167 1.0% 6%  
168 1.1% 5%  
169 1.2% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.4% 1.4%  
173 0.2% 1.0%  
174 0.1% 0.8%  
175 0.5% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.3% Majority
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.9%  
103 0.3% 99.6%  
104 0.2% 99.4%  
105 0.1% 99.2%  
106 0.3% 99.0%  
107 1.2% 98.8%  
108 0.4% 98%  
109 0.7% 97%  
110 1.2% 96%  
111 2% 95%  
112 0.2% 93%  
113 2% 93%  
114 6% 92%  
115 3% 85%  
116 2% 83%  
117 4% 80%  
118 6% 77%  
119 7% 70%  
120 4% 64%  
121 2% 60%  
122 14% 58% Median
123 12% 44%  
124 0.7% 32%  
125 4% 31%  
126 0.7% 27%  
127 0.8% 26%  
128 10% 26%  
129 1.0% 15%  
130 3% 14%  
131 2% 12%  
132 3% 10%  
133 0.4% 7%  
134 4% 7%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.4% 3%  
137 0.3% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.5% 1.5%  
141 0.2% 1.0%  
142 0.2% 0.8%  
143 0.3% 0.7%  
144 0% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.6%  
99 0.1% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.2% 99.3%  
102 1.0% 99.2%  
103 0.4% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.3% 98%  
106 0.4% 97%  
107 0.5% 97%  
108 1.2% 96%  
109 1.3% 95%  
110 1.1% 94%  
111 1.0% 93%  
112 13% 92%  
113 3% 79%  
114 2% 75%  
115 4% 74%  
116 13% 70%  
117 11% 57% Median
118 6% 46%  
119 1.1% 39%  
120 4% 38%  
121 9% 35%  
122 3% 26%  
123 1.4% 23%  
124 6% 21%  
125 2% 15%  
126 5% 13%  
127 0.3% 9%  
128 3% 8%  
129 0.7% 5%  
130 0.6% 5%  
131 0.9% 4%  
132 0.4% 3%  
133 0.9% 3%  
134 0.3% 2%  
135 0.2% 2%  
136 0.3% 1.5%  
137 0.1% 1.2% Last Result
138 0.1% 1.0%  
139 0.5% 1.0%  
140 0.1% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.8%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.4% 99.5%  
103 0.1% 99.1%  
104 1.0% 99.0%  
105 2% 98%  
106 0.5% 96%  
107 1.2% 96%  
108 0.7% 95%  
109 1.0% 94%  
110 6% 93%  
111 3% 87%  
112 1.4% 84%  
113 2% 83%  
114 3% 81%  
115 9% 77%  
116 7% 68%  
117 4% 61%  
118 4% 56% Median
119 10% 52%  
120 11% 42%  
121 12% 31%  
122 1.3% 19%  
123 1.2% 18%  
124 2% 17%  
125 1.2% 14%  
126 2% 13%  
127 3% 11%  
128 1.2% 8%  
129 3% 7%  
130 0.5% 4%  
131 0.4% 3%  
132 0.6% 3%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.2% 2%  
135 0.3% 2%  
136 0.1% 1.5%  
137 0.1% 1.3%  
138 0.1% 1.2%  
139 0.2% 1.1%  
140 0.4% 0.8%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.3% 99.2%  
101 0.3% 99.0%  
102 0.7% 98.7%  
103 2% 98%  
104 0.9% 96%  
105 0.3% 95%  
106 1.1% 95%  
107 0.7% 94%  
108 1.4% 93%  
109 1.1% 92%  
110 3% 91%  
111 2% 88%  
112 1.1% 86%  
113 14% 85%  
114 1.0% 71%  
115 2% 70%  
116 3% 68%  
117 4% 65%  
118 4% 60%  
119 1.4% 56%  
120 10% 55% Median
121 10% 45%  
122 4% 34%  
123 3% 31%  
124 1.0% 27%  
125 1.4% 26%  
126 10% 25%  
127 6% 15%  
128 2% 9%  
129 0.9% 6%  
130 2% 6%  
131 1.3% 4%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.6% 1.4%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.3% 99.7%  
100 0.4% 99.4%  
101 0.8% 99.0%  
102 0.1% 98%  
103 0.5% 98%  
104 2% 98%  
105 0.9% 96%  
106 0.8% 95%  
107 1.0% 94%  
108 7% 93%  
109 2% 86%  
110 1.1% 84%  
111 4% 83%  
112 6% 79%  
113 5% 73%  
114 8% 67%  
115 3% 60%  
116 13% 57% Median
117 3% 44%  
118 3% 41%  
119 10% 38%  
120 12% 28%  
121 0.5% 17%  
122 0.9% 16%  
123 1.3% 15%  
124 3% 14%  
125 2% 11%  
126 2% 9%  
127 1.0% 7%  
128 3% 6%  
129 0.4% 3%  
130 0.5% 3%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.2% 2%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.1% 1.4%  
135 0.1% 1.3%  
136 0.2% 1.2%  
137 0.5% 1.1%  
138 0.2% 0.6%  
139 0.1% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 0.6% 98.8%  
64 0.6% 98%  
65 1.2% 98%  
66 1.2% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 8% 94%  
69 5% 86%  
70 5% 81%  
71 18% 76%  
72 4% 58%  
73 4% 54% Median
74 6% 50%  
75 3% 43%  
76 15% 41%  
77 2% 26%  
78 2% 24%  
79 7% 22%  
80 3% 15%  
81 3% 12%  
82 2% 9%  
83 0.6% 7%  
84 1.1% 7%  
85 0.2% 6%  
86 2% 6%  
87 0.6% 3%  
88 0.3% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.4% 2%  
91 0.2% 1.2%  
92 0% 1.0%  
93 0.1% 1.0%  
94 0.4% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations