Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 18–22 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 26.9% | 25.1–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.4–30.7% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 19.9–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.2–20.4% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 10.7% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.2–12.4% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 112 | 104–121 | 101–123 | 98–125 | 94–130 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 91 | 82–99 | 80–103 | 77–105 | 74–111 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 57 | 51–63 | 48–65 | 48–67 | 44–70 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 38 | 31–41 | 29–43 | 27–45 | 25–48 |
| Vox | 0 | 25 | 21–30 | 19–32 | 18–34 | 16–36 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 9–18 | 8–20 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 3–8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–11 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–10 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 2 | 1–5 | 1–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 102 | 3% | 95% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 104 | 2% | 91% | |
| 105 | 3% | 89% | |
| 106 | 6% | 87% | |
| 107 | 3% | 81% | |
| 108 | 14% | 78% | |
| 109 | 5% | 64% | |
| 110 | 5% | 59% | |
| 111 | 2% | 55% | |
| 112 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 113 | 8% | 47% | |
| 114 | 2% | 39% | |
| 115 | 6% | 38% | |
| 116 | 6% | 32% | |
| 117 | 4% | 25% | |
| 118 | 2% | 22% | |
| 119 | 3% | 19% | |
| 120 | 4% | 17% | |
| 121 | 4% | 13% | |
| 122 | 3% | 9% | |
| 123 | 2% | 6% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 80 | 3% | 96% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 82 | 4% | 92% | |
| 83 | 3% | 88% | |
| 84 | 3% | 85% | |
| 85 | 4% | 82% | |
| 86 | 7% | 78% | |
| 87 | 4% | 71% | |
| 88 | 6% | 66% | |
| 89 | 2% | 60% | |
| 90 | 8% | 58% | |
| 91 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 92 | 2% | 39% | |
| 93 | 6% | 38% | |
| 94 | 4% | 32% | |
| 95 | 5% | 28% | |
| 96 | 6% | 23% | |
| 97 | 3% | 18% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 2% | 10% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 50 | 3% | 93% | |
| 51 | 3% | 91% | |
| 52 | 4% | 88% | |
| 53 | 10% | 83% | |
| 54 | 5% | 74% | |
| 55 | 5% | 69% | |
| 56 | 7% | 64% | |
| 57 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 58 | 5% | 44% | |
| 59 | 6% | 39% | |
| 60 | 4% | 32% | |
| 61 | 5% | 28% | |
| 62 | 4% | 23% | |
| 63 | 9% | 19% | |
| 64 | 3% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 29 | 3% | 95% | |
| 30 | 2% | 93% | |
| 31 | 2% | 91% | |
| 32 | 3% | 88% | |
| 33 | 4% | 86% | |
| 34 | 10% | 81% | |
| 35 | 5% | 71% | |
| 36 | 7% | 66% | |
| 37 | 5% | 58% | |
| 38 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 39 | 16% | 36% | |
| 40 | 7% | 20% | |
| 41 | 6% | 13% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 97% | |
| 20 | 3% | 95% | |
| 21 | 8% | 92% | |
| 22 | 11% | 84% | |
| 23 | 13% | 73% | |
| 24 | 7% | 61% | |
| 25 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 26 | 11% | 50% | |
| 27 | 9% | 39% | |
| 28 | 15% | 30% | |
| 29 | 2% | 15% | |
| 30 | 4% | 12% | |
| 31 | 3% | 8% | |
| 32 | 2% | 5% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | Last Result |
| 10 | 4% | 92% | |
| 11 | 8% | 87% | |
| 12 | 14% | 80% | |
| 13 | 15% | 66% | |
| 14 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 19% | 30% | |
| 16 | 6% | 12% | |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 9% | 89% | |
| 5 | 2% | 81% | Last Result |
| 6 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 7 | 17% | 46% | |
| 8 | 21% | 29% | |
| 9 | 2% | 8% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 94% | |
| 3 | 10% | 88% | |
| 4 | 29% | 78% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 49% | |
| 6 | 21% | 35% | |
| 7 | 3% | 15% | |
| 8 | 10% | 12% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 22% | 96% | |
| 2 | 27% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 11% | 47% | |
| 4 | 18% | 36% | |
| 5 | 10% | 18% | |
| 6 | 4% | 8% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 260 | 100% | 253–267 | 250–269 | 248–271 | 245–274 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 206 | 100% | 196–216 | 191–218 | 189–221 | 184–224 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 203 | 100% | 195–210 | 192–213 | 189–214 | 185–219 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 176 | 55% | 166–184 | 163–187 | 162–188 | 157–193 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 173 | 34% | 165–183 | 162–186 | 161–187 | 156–192 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 169 | 24% | 159–179 | 156–182 | 154–184 | 149–189 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 167 | 10% | 157–176 | 154–177 | 152–179 | 147–184 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 165 | 7% | 155–175 | 153–176 | 150–179 | 145–183 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 158 | 0.5% | 149–167 | 146–169 | 144–172 | 139–175 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 155 | 0.2% | 145–164 | 143–167 | 140–170 | 136–173 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 154 | 0.4% | 145–164 | 143–166 | 140–169 | 134–175 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 148 | 0% | 139–157 | 137–159 | 134–163 | 128–168 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 149 | 0% | 139–157 | 136–161 | 134–162 | 129–167 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 116 | 0% | 107–125 | 104–130 | 103–132 | 98–137 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 112 | 0% | 104–121 | 101–123 | 98–125 | 94–130 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 91 | 0% | 82–99 | 80–103 | 77–105 | 74–111 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 241 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 245 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 246 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 247 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 248 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 249 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 250 | 2% | 97% | |
| 251 | 2% | 95% | |
| 252 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 253 | 3% | 91% | |
| 254 | 2% | 89% | Last Result |
| 255 | 5% | 87% | |
| 256 | 13% | 82% | |
| 257 | 7% | 69% | |
| 258 | 6% | 62% | |
| 259 | 5% | 57% | |
| 260 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 261 | 5% | 45% | |
| 262 | 6% | 40% | |
| 263 | 8% | 34% | |
| 264 | 5% | 25% | |
| 265 | 4% | 21% | |
| 266 | 3% | 17% | |
| 267 | 6% | 14% | |
| 268 | 2% | 8% | |
| 269 | 2% | 6% | |
| 270 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 271 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 272 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 273 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 274 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 275 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 277 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 190 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 191 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 192 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 194 | 2% | 93% | |
| 195 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 196 | 2% | 91% | |
| 197 | 2% | 88% | |
| 198 | 2% | 86% | |
| 199 | 2% | 84% | |
| 200 | 6% | 82% | |
| 201 | 4% | 76% | |
| 202 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 203 | 9% | 71% | |
| 204 | 2% | 62% | |
| 205 | 8% | 60% | |
| 206 | 3% | 52% | |
| 207 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 208 | 6% | 43% | |
| 209 | 3% | 37% | |
| 210 | 5% | 33% | |
| 211 | 4% | 29% | |
| 212 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 213 | 6% | 23% | |
| 214 | 3% | 17% | |
| 215 | 3% | 14% | |
| 216 | 3% | 11% | |
| 217 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 218 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 219 | 2% | 5% | |
| 220 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 222 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 223 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 224 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 190 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 193 | 2% | 94% | |
| 194 | 2% | 93% | |
| 195 | 3% | 90% | |
| 196 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 197 | 4% | 86% | |
| 198 | 5% | 81% | |
| 199 | 9% | 77% | |
| 200 | 4% | 68% | |
| 201 | 4% | 63% | |
| 202 | 5% | 60% | |
| 203 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 204 | 10% | 49% | |
| 205 | 5% | 39% | |
| 206 | 7% | 34% | |
| 207 | 6% | 27% | |
| 208 | 3% | 21% | |
| 209 | 5% | 17% | |
| 210 | 3% | 12% | |
| 211 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 212 | 3% | 9% | |
| 213 | 2% | 5% | |
| 214 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 215 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 217 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 223 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 163 | 2% | 97% | |
| 164 | 2% | 95% | |
| 165 | 2% | 93% | |
| 166 | 2% | 91% | |
| 167 | 2% | 89% | |
| 168 | 3% | 88% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 170 | 2% | 83% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 172 | 4% | 80% | |
| 173 | 9% | 76% | |
| 174 | 3% | 66% | |
| 175 | 8% | 63% | |
| 176 | 5% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 177 | 11% | 50% | |
| 178 | 5% | 39% | |
| 179 | 3% | 34% | |
| 180 | 7% | 31% | Last Result |
| 181 | 3% | 24% | |
| 182 | 3% | 21% | |
| 183 | 4% | 18% | |
| 184 | 6% | 15% | |
| 185 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 187 | 3% | 6% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 162 | 3% | 97% | |
| 163 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 165 | 6% | 92% | |
| 166 | 4% | 85% | |
| 167 | 3% | 82% | |
| 168 | 3% | 79% | |
| 169 | 7% | 76% | Last Result |
| 170 | 3% | 69% | |
| 171 | 5% | 66% | |
| 172 | 11% | 61% | |
| 173 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 174 | 8% | 45% | |
| 175 | 3% | 37% | |
| 176 | 9% | 34% | Majority |
| 177 | 4% | 24% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 179 | 2% | 19% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 181 | 3% | 16% | |
| 182 | 2% | 12% | |
| 183 | 2% | 11% | |
| 184 | 2% | 9% | |
| 185 | 2% | 7% | |
| 186 | 2% | 5% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 156 | 2% | 96% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 159 | 3% | 91% | |
| 160 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 161 | 5% | 87% | |
| 162 | 2% | 82% | |
| 163 | 2% | 80% | |
| 164 | 2% | 77% | |
| 165 | 9% | 76% | |
| 166 | 4% | 66% | |
| 167 | 3% | 62% | |
| 168 | 7% | 59% | |
| 169 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 170 | 4% | 48% | |
| 171 | 4% | 43% | |
| 172 | 6% | 39% | |
| 173 | 3% | 33% | |
| 174 | 4% | 29% | |
| 175 | 2% | 25% | |
| 176 | 3% | 24% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 21% | |
| 178 | 3% | 18% | |
| 179 | 5% | 15% | |
| 180 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 181 | 2% | 9% | |
| 182 | 2% | 7% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 154 | 2% | 96% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 156 | 2% | 93% | |
| 157 | 3% | 91% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 159 | 2% | 88% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 161 | 3% | 84% | |
| 162 | 2% | 81% | |
| 163 | 6% | 79% | |
| 164 | 3% | 72% | |
| 165 | 9% | 69% | |
| 166 | 8% | 61% | |
| 167 | 6% | 53% | |
| 168 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 169 | 9% | 42% | |
| 170 | 6% | 33% | |
| 171 | 4% | 28% | |
| 172 | 3% | 23% | |
| 173 | 4% | 20% | Last Result |
| 174 | 3% | 16% | |
| 175 | 3% | 13% | |
| 176 | 4% | 10% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 6% | |
| 178 | 2% | 4% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 150 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 153 | 2% | 95% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 155 | 2% | 92% | |
| 156 | 2% | 90% | |
| 157 | 2% | 88% | |
| 158 | 3% | 86% | |
| 159 | 2% | 82% | |
| 160 | 7% | 80% | |
| 161 | 2% | 73% | |
| 162 | 4% | 71% | |
| 163 | 10% | 67% | |
| 164 | 8% | 58% | |
| 165 | 6% | 50% | |
| 166 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 167 | 4% | 39% | Last Result |
| 168 | 3% | 35% | |
| 169 | 7% | 32% | |
| 170 | 5% | 25% | |
| 171 | 2% | 19% | |
| 172 | 3% | 17% | |
| 173 | 2% | 15% | |
| 174 | 2% | 13% | |
| 175 | 4% | 11% | |
| 176 | 4% | 7% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 146 | 4% | 96% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 149 | 2% | 90% | |
| 150 | 2% | 88% | |
| 151 | 3% | 86% | |
| 152 | 2% | 83% | |
| 153 | 3% | 81% | |
| 154 | 9% | 79% | |
| 155 | 4% | 70% | |
| 156 | 6% | 66% | |
| 157 | 4% | 59% | |
| 158 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 159 | 6% | 44% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 161 | 5% | 37% | |
| 162 | 7% | 33% | |
| 163 | 5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 164 | 5% | 21% | |
| 165 | 3% | 16% | |
| 166 | 2% | 13% | |
| 167 | 2% | 10% | |
| 168 | 2% | 9% | |
| 169 | 2% | 6% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 172 | 2% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 143 | 2% | 95% | |
| 144 | 3% | 93% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 148 | 3% | 87% | |
| 149 | 3% | 84% | |
| 150 | 4% | 81% | |
| 151 | 2% | 77% | |
| 152 | 10% | 74% | |
| 153 | 3% | 65% | |
| 154 | 8% | 62% | |
| 155 | 6% | 54% | |
| 156 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 157 | 8% | 44% | |
| 158 | 2% | 36% | |
| 159 | 7% | 34% | |
| 160 | 3% | 26% | |
| 161 | 6% | 24% | Last Result |
| 162 | 5% | 18% | |
| 163 | 2% | 13% | |
| 164 | 2% | 11% | |
| 165 | 2% | 9% | |
| 166 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 167 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 168 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 170 | 2% | 3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 142 | 2% | 97% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 144 | 3% | 94% | |
| 145 | 2% | 91% | |
| 146 | 4% | 89% | |
| 147 | 5% | 85% | |
| 148 | 2% | 80% | |
| 149 | 3% | 78% | |
| 150 | 3% | 75% | |
| 151 | 6% | 72% | |
| 152 | 3% | 66% | |
| 153 | 8% | 63% | |
| 154 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 155 | 4% | 44% | |
| 156 | 2% | 40% | |
| 157 | 7% | 38% | |
| 158 | 6% | 31% | |
| 159 | 3% | 25% | |
| 160 | 4% | 23% | |
| 161 | 3% | 19% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 163 | 3% | 14% | |
| 164 | 3% | 11% | |
| 165 | 2% | 8% | |
| 166 | 2% | 6% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 138 | 3% | 94% | |
| 139 | 5% | 91% | |
| 140 | 3% | 86% | |
| 141 | 5% | 83% | |
| 142 | 2% | 79% | |
| 143 | 4% | 77% | |
| 144 | 2% | 73% | |
| 145 | 6% | 71% | |
| 146 | 4% | 65% | |
| 147 | 6% | 62% | |
| 148 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 149 | 7% | 43% | |
| 150 | 5% | 36% | |
| 151 | 7% | 31% | |
| 152 | 2% | 25% | |
| 153 | 2% | 23% | |
| 154 | 3% | 21% | |
| 155 | 2% | 18% | |
| 156 | 3% | 16% | |
| 157 | 4% | 13% | |
| 158 | 2% | 9% | |
| 159 | 2% | 7% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 136 | 2% | 96% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 138 | 2% | 93% | |
| 139 | 2% | 91% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 142 | 2% | 87% | |
| 143 | 2% | 85% | |
| 144 | 3% | 82% | |
| 145 | 4% | 79% | |
| 146 | 12% | 75% | |
| 147 | 9% | 63% | |
| 148 | 4% | 54% | |
| 149 | 5% | 50% | |
| 150 | 7% | 45% | Median |
| 151 | 5% | 39% | |
| 152 | 5% | 34% | |
| 153 | 5% | 29% | |
| 154 | 2% | 24% | |
| 155 | 4% | 22% | |
| 156 | 7% | 18% | Last Result |
| 157 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 158 | 2% | 10% | |
| 159 | 2% | 8% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 161 | 2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 96% | |
| 105 | 2% | 94% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 107 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 108 | 5% | 89% | |
| 109 | 9% | 84% | |
| 110 | 4% | 75% | |
| 111 | 2% | 71% | |
| 112 | 3% | 69% | |
| 113 | 6% | 66% | |
| 114 | 3% | 60% | |
| 115 | 4% | 57% | |
| 116 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 117 | 5% | 47% | |
| 118 | 8% | 43% | |
| 119 | 9% | 35% | |
| 120 | 2% | 25% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 122 | 3% | 23% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 124 | 6% | 18% | |
| 125 | 2% | 12% | |
| 126 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 130 | 2% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 102 | 3% | 95% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 104 | 2% | 91% | |
| 105 | 3% | 89% | |
| 106 | 6% | 87% | |
| 107 | 3% | 81% | |
| 108 | 14% | 78% | |
| 109 | 5% | 64% | |
| 110 | 5% | 59% | |
| 111 | 2% | 55% | |
| 112 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 113 | 8% | 47% | |
| 114 | 2% | 39% | |
| 115 | 6% | 38% | |
| 116 | 6% | 32% | |
| 117 | 4% | 25% | |
| 118 | 2% | 22% | |
| 119 | 3% | 19% | |
| 120 | 4% | 17% | |
| 121 | 4% | 13% | |
| 122 | 3% | 9% | |
| 123 | 2% | 6% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 80 | 3% | 96% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 82 | 4% | 92% | |
| 83 | 3% | 88% | |
| 84 | 3% | 85% | |
| 85 | 4% | 82% | |
| 86 | 7% | 78% | |
| 87 | 4% | 71% | |
| 88 | 6% | 66% | |
| 89 | 2% | 60% | |
| 90 | 8% | 58% | |
| 91 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 92 | 2% | 39% | |
| 93 | 6% | 38% | |
| 94 | 4% | 32% | |
| 95 | 5% | 28% | |
| 96 | 6% | 23% | |
| 97 | 3% | 18% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 2% | 10% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: NC Report
- Commissioner(s): La Razón
- Fieldwork period: 18–22 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.10%