Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 28–30 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 26.7% 23.6–30.1% 22.7–31.1% 22.0–32.0% 20.6–33.7%
Partido Popular 33.0% 23.0% 20.1–26.3% 19.3–27.3% 18.6–28.1% 17.3–29.8%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 16.7% 14.2–19.7% 13.5–20.6% 12.9–21.3% 11.8–22.8%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 12.0% 9.9–14.7% 9.3–15.5% 8.8–16.2% 7.9–17.6%
Vox 0.2% 10.3% 8.4–12.9% 7.8–13.7% 7.4–14.3% 6.5–15.6%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.0% 2.1–4.7% 1.8–5.2% 1.6–5.6% 1.2–6.5%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.7% 0.7–3.0% 0.5–3.4% 0.4–4.1%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 0.8–2.7% 0.7–3.0% 0.5–3.4% 0.4–4.1%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.1% 0.2–2.4% 0.1–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 110 95–129 90–134 87–137 81–144
Partido Popular 137 96 80–113 75–116 72–120 65–127
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 54 44–67 37–72 34–74 28–83
Unidos Podemos 71 30 22–40 21–44 19–46 15–56
Vox 0 25 15–34 14–39 13–42 11–50
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 14 9–19 7–21 7–22 5–24
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 2–10 1–12 1–13 0–16
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 7 3–10 3–11 2–12 1–14
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 1–7 0–9 0–9 0–12

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.5%  
83 0.6% 99.3%  
84 0.3% 98.7%  
85 0.3% 98% Last Result
86 0.6% 98%  
87 0.5% 98%  
88 0.3% 97%  
89 0.9% 97%  
90 1.1% 96%  
91 0.5% 95%  
92 0.9% 94%  
93 1.1% 93%  
94 1.5% 92%  
95 1.2% 91%  
96 0.6% 90%  
97 1.4% 89%  
98 0.9% 88%  
99 0.9% 87%  
100 3% 86%  
101 3% 83%  
102 3% 80%  
103 7% 77%  
104 10% 71%  
105 2% 61%  
106 2% 59%  
107 2% 57%  
108 1.1% 54%  
109 3% 53%  
110 4% 50% Median
111 1.3% 46%  
112 2% 45%  
113 1.2% 42%  
114 0.8% 41%  
115 1.3% 40%  
116 2% 39%  
117 2% 37%  
118 1.2% 35%  
119 2% 34%  
120 3% 32%  
121 7% 29%  
122 1.0% 22%  
123 1.3% 21%  
124 2% 20%  
125 4% 18%  
126 1.2% 14%  
127 1.2% 13%  
128 0.5% 12%  
129 2% 11%  
130 1.0% 9%  
131 2% 8%  
132 0.3% 6%  
133 0.8% 6%  
134 1.2% 5%  
135 0.6% 4%  
136 0.7% 3%  
137 0.3% 3%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.2% 2%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.6% 1.4%  
143 0.3% 0.9%  
144 0.2% 0.6%  
145 0% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.6%  
65 0% 99.5%  
66 0.1% 99.5%  
67 0.1% 99.3%  
68 0.2% 99.3%  
69 0.3% 99.0%  
70 0.3% 98.8%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 0.4% 97%  
74 1.4% 97%  
75 1.3% 95%  
76 1.2% 94%  
77 0.6% 93%  
78 1.0% 92%  
79 1.0% 91%  
80 2% 90%  
81 2% 89%  
82 4% 86%  
83 1.1% 82%  
84 5% 81%  
85 4% 76%  
86 1.4% 72%  
87 2% 70%  
88 2% 68%  
89 3% 66%  
90 2% 63%  
91 3% 61%  
92 2% 58%  
93 2% 56%  
94 1.0% 54%  
95 1.3% 53%  
96 5% 51% Median
97 4% 47%  
98 2% 43%  
99 0.8% 41%  
100 2% 40%  
101 1.4% 38%  
102 10% 36%  
103 2% 26%  
104 0.8% 24%  
105 2% 24%  
106 2% 21%  
107 2% 19%  
108 1.1% 17%  
109 2% 16%  
110 0.9% 14%  
111 1.4% 13%  
112 1.1% 12%  
113 1.3% 11%  
114 2% 9%  
115 1.2% 7%  
116 1.3% 6%  
117 0.7% 5%  
118 0.7% 4%  
119 0.6% 3%  
120 0.6% 3%  
121 0.3% 2%  
122 0.3% 2%  
123 0.3% 2%  
124 0.4% 1.2%  
125 0.2% 0.8%  
126 0.1% 0.7%  
127 0.1% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.5%  
129 0.1% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1% Last Result
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0.2% 99.7%  
28 0.1% 99.5%  
29 0.1% 99.4%  
30 0.3% 99.3%  
31 0.3% 99.0%  
32 0.4% 98.8% Last Result
33 0.7% 98%  
34 0.2% 98%  
35 0.9% 97%  
36 1.2% 97%  
37 0.5% 95%  
38 0.3% 95%  
39 1.0% 95%  
40 0.6% 94%  
41 0.5% 93%  
42 0.7% 93%  
43 0.9% 92%  
44 3% 91%  
45 3% 88%  
46 2% 85%  
47 0.9% 83%  
48 3% 82%  
49 3% 79%  
50 5% 76%  
51 3% 71%  
52 2% 68%  
53 15% 66%  
54 4% 51% Median
55 3% 47%  
56 2% 43%  
57 3% 42%  
58 5% 39%  
59 2% 34%  
60 3% 32%  
61 2% 29%  
62 2% 27%  
63 2% 25%  
64 5% 23%  
65 4% 17%  
66 3% 14%  
67 1.2% 11%  
68 1.0% 10%  
69 1.0% 9%  
70 2% 7%  
71 0.7% 6%  
72 0.6% 5%  
73 2% 5%  
74 0.3% 3%  
75 0.5% 2%  
76 0.1% 2%  
77 0.2% 2%  
78 0.4% 1.4%  
79 0.1% 1.1%  
80 0.1% 1.0%  
81 0.1% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.8%  
83 0.3% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.1% 99.8%  
13 0.2% 99.8%  
14 0.1% 99.6%  
15 0.2% 99.5%  
16 0.2% 99.3%  
17 0.2% 99.1%  
18 1.0% 98.9%  
19 0.7% 98%  
20 2% 97%  
21 2% 95%  
22 4% 93%  
23 6% 89%  
24 5% 83%  
25 4% 78%  
26 4% 74%  
27 1.5% 70%  
28 5% 68%  
29 10% 63%  
30 6% 53% Median
31 3% 48%  
32 5% 45%  
33 3% 40%  
34 2% 36%  
35 6% 34%  
36 5% 28%  
37 5% 24%  
38 2% 19%  
39 6% 16%  
40 1.2% 10%  
41 2% 9%  
42 0.7% 7%  
43 0.9% 6%  
44 2% 5%  
45 0.8% 3%  
46 0.3% 3%  
47 0.4% 2%  
48 0.1% 2%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 0.1% 1.4%  
51 0.2% 1.4%  
52 0.1% 1.2%  
53 0.2% 1.0%  
54 0.2% 0.8%  
55 0.1% 0.6%  
56 0% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0.2% 99.8%  
10 0.1% 99.7%  
11 0.3% 99.5%  
12 1.3% 99.2%  
13 2% 98%  
14 4% 96%  
15 5% 92%  
16 1.3% 87%  
17 2% 86%  
18 4% 84%  
19 5% 80%  
20 5% 75%  
21 4% 70%  
22 4% 66%  
23 6% 63%  
24 3% 56%  
25 5% 54% Median
26 5% 49%  
27 5% 44%  
28 6% 39%  
29 9% 33%  
30 5% 24%  
31 2% 19%  
32 2% 17%  
33 4% 15%  
34 2% 11%  
35 1.3% 9%  
36 2% 8%  
37 0.6% 6%  
38 0.3% 6%  
39 1.1% 5%  
40 0.6% 4%  
41 0.3% 4%  
42 0.9% 3%  
43 0.6% 2%  
44 0.2% 2%  
45 0.3% 2%  
46 0.2% 1.4%  
47 0.1% 1.1%  
48 0.1% 1.0%  
49 0.1% 0.9%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.1% 0.4%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.1% 99.8%  
5 0.3% 99.8%  
6 1.1% 99.4%  
7 4% 98%  
8 4% 95%  
9 8% 91% Last Result
10 7% 82%  
11 6% 76%  
12 4% 70%  
13 6% 66%  
14 10% 60% Median
15 14% 50%  
16 8% 36%  
17 4% 28%  
18 12% 24%  
19 3% 12%  
20 4% 9%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.1% 3%  
23 0.8% 2%  
24 0.3% 0.7%  
25 0.2% 0.4%  
26 0.1% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 8% 98.8%  
2 1.5% 91%  
3 15% 89%  
4 12% 74%  
5 13% 63% Median
6 12% 50%  
7 6% 38%  
8 11% 32% Last Result
9 5% 20%  
10 6% 16%  
11 3% 10%  
12 3% 7%  
13 2% 4%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.7%  
16 0.2% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.3%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 1.2% 99.7%  
2 3% 98.5%  
3 8% 96%  
4 3% 88%  
5 7% 85% Last Result
6 15% 78%  
7 21% 63% Median
8 11% 42%  
9 9% 31%  
10 15% 22%  
11 3% 7%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.6% 1.1%  
14 0.2% 0.5%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 9% 91%  
2 13% 82% Last Result
3 17% 68%  
4 23% 52% Median
5 6% 29%  
6 7% 23%  
7 7% 17%  
8 3% 10%  
9 4% 7%  
10 1.0% 2%  
11 0.8% 1.4%  
12 0.4% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 262 100% 248–275 244–279 240–284 232–288
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 206 99.2% 190–222 186–228 181–234 173–243
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 198 93% 179–218 172–221 170–225 161–233
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 177 53% 157–192 155–196 151–200 141–208
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 172 44% 157–192 153–194 149–198 141–208
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 167 29% 148–185 143–189 140–194 131–201
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 161 17% 146–181 142–184 138–187 129–197
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 159 17% 143–178 139–182 133–185 125–195
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 158 8% 140–175 136–180 129–185 121–192
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 153 5% 136–171 132–175 129–179 121–188
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 150 4% 134–166 129–173 123–177 115–184
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 149 2% 132–168 127–172 124–175 116–186
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 142 0.9% 125–160 121–164 117–170 109–178
Partido Popular – Vox 137 121 0% 102–139 98–144 96–146 88–155
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 110 0% 95–129 90–134 87–137 81–144
Partido Popular 137 96 0% 80–113 75–116 72–120 65–127

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0% 99.7%  
229 0% 99.7%  
230 0.1% 99.6%  
231 0.1% 99.6%  
232 0.1% 99.5%  
233 0.1% 99.4%  
234 0.2% 99.3%  
235 0.3% 99.1%  
236 0.2% 98.8%  
237 0.4% 98.5%  
238 0.3% 98%  
239 0.2% 98%  
240 0.4% 98%  
241 0.7% 97%  
242 0.3% 96%  
243 0.4% 96%  
244 2% 96%  
245 0.8% 94%  
246 0.9% 93%  
247 2% 92%  
248 0.9% 91%  
249 0.8% 90%  
250 2% 89%  
251 2% 87%  
252 3% 84%  
253 2% 82%  
254 2% 80% Last Result
255 6% 79%  
256 2% 72%  
257 2% 71%  
258 4% 69%  
259 10% 65%  
260 2% 55% Median
261 2% 53%  
262 3% 51%  
263 4% 47%  
264 4% 44%  
265 2% 40%  
266 5% 38%  
267 7% 33%  
268 2% 26%  
269 3% 24%  
270 2% 21%  
271 1.2% 19%  
272 3% 18%  
273 1.0% 15%  
274 3% 14%  
275 2% 11%  
276 1.1% 9%  
277 0.8% 8%  
278 1.4% 7%  
279 1.4% 6%  
280 0.7% 4%  
281 0.4% 4%  
282 0.4% 3%  
283 0.3% 3%  
284 0.9% 3%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.1% 1.3%  
287 0.1% 1.1%  
288 0.9% 1.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.8%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0% 99.7%  
171 0.1% 99.7%  
172 0% 99.6%  
173 0.1% 99.6%  
174 0.1% 99.4%  
175 0.1% 99.3%  
176 0.1% 99.2% Majority
177 0.1% 99.1%  
178 0.5% 99.0%  
179 0.4% 98%  
180 0.2% 98%  
181 0.3% 98%  
182 0.2% 97%  
183 0.7% 97%  
184 0.5% 97%  
185 0.9% 96%  
186 0.6% 95%  
187 0.9% 95%  
188 1.2% 94%  
189 1.5% 93%  
190 1.2% 91%  
191 3% 90%  
192 2% 87%  
193 1.0% 85%  
194 0.8% 84%  
195 1.3% 83%  
196 0.9% 82%  
197 1.2% 81%  
198 1.3% 80%  
199 2% 78%  
200 6% 77%  
201 5% 71%  
202 2% 66%  
203 5% 64%  
204 2% 59%  
205 4% 57%  
206 9% 53% Median
207 2% 44%  
208 1.5% 42%  
209 3% 40%  
210 3% 37%  
211 2% 35%  
212 2% 32%  
213 2% 30%  
214 2% 28%  
215 3% 27%  
216 2% 23%  
217 2% 21%  
218 3% 18%  
219 1.1% 16%  
220 0.4% 15%  
221 4% 14%  
222 0.7% 10% Last Result
223 1.2% 10%  
224 0.7% 8%  
225 0.5% 8%  
226 1.5% 7%  
227 0.2% 6%  
228 0.5% 5%  
229 0.1% 5%  
230 0.4% 5%  
231 0.3% 4%  
232 0.4% 4%  
233 0.5% 4%  
234 1.1% 3%  
235 0.4% 2%  
236 0.3% 2%  
237 0.2% 1.4%  
238 0% 1.2%  
239 0% 1.2%  
240 0.5% 1.2%  
241 0% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.6%  
243 0.1% 0.6%  
244 0% 0.5%  
245 0.1% 0.5%  
246 0.1% 0.3%  
247 0.2% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.7%  
158 0.1% 99.7%  
159 0.1% 99.6%  
160 0.1% 99.6%  
161 0% 99.5%  
162 0.1% 99.5%  
163 0.1% 99.3%  
164 0.2% 99.2%  
165 0.2% 99.1%  
166 0.2% 98.9%  
167 0.5% 98.7%  
168 0.3% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.3% 98%  
171 2% 97%  
172 0.6% 95%  
173 0.4% 95%  
174 0.8% 94%  
175 0.4% 94%  
176 0.9% 93% Majority
177 0.6% 92%  
178 1.2% 92%  
179 1.4% 91%  
180 2% 89%  
181 2% 88%  
182 1.4% 86%  
183 1.1% 85%  
184 0.7% 84%  
185 1.2% 83%  
186 10% 82%  
187 2% 72%  
188 1.0% 70% Last Result
189 1.2% 69%  
190 2% 68%  
191 3% 66%  
192 2% 63%  
193 2% 61%  
194 2% 59% Median
195 3% 57%  
196 2% 53%  
197 2% 52%  
198 2% 50%  
199 2% 48%  
200 2% 46%  
201 2% 44%  
202 2% 42%  
203 4% 40%  
204 2% 37%  
205 2% 35%  
206 2% 33%  
207 1.3% 32%  
208 4% 30%  
209 3% 26%  
210 4% 23%  
211 2% 19%  
212 2% 17%  
213 1.2% 16%  
214 2% 15%  
215 0.8% 13%  
216 1.2% 12%  
217 0.3% 11%  
218 0.7% 10%  
219 0.1% 10%  
220 4% 10%  
221 2% 6%  
222 0.5% 4%  
223 0.3% 3%  
224 0.3% 3%  
225 0.2% 3%  
226 0.6% 2%  
227 0.6% 2%  
228 0.1% 1.3%  
229 0.2% 1.2%  
230 0.2% 0.9%  
231 0.1% 0.7%  
232 0% 0.6%  
233 0.2% 0.6%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0.1% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0.1% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.2% 99.7%  
142 0.1% 99.5%  
143 0% 99.4%  
144 0.1% 99.4%  
145 0.4% 99.3%  
146 0.1% 98.9%  
147 0.1% 98.8%  
148 0.3% 98.7%  
149 0.5% 98%  
150 0.3% 98%  
151 0.3% 98%  
152 0.4% 97%  
153 0.4% 97%  
154 1.0% 97%  
155 1.4% 96%  
156 1.0% 94%  
157 4% 93%  
158 0.7% 89%  
159 0.3% 88%  
160 0.5% 88%  
161 1.1% 88%  
162 1.3% 87%  
163 2% 85%  
164 6% 83%  
165 2% 77%  
166 4% 75%  
167 2% 70%  
168 2% 69%  
169 2% 67% Last Result
170 3% 65%  
171 2% 62%  
172 1.2% 60%  
173 2% 59%  
174 2% 56%  
175 1.2% 54% Median
176 2% 53% Majority
177 3% 51%  
178 5% 48%  
179 4% 43%  
180 0.8% 39%  
181 2% 38%  
182 1.2% 36%  
183 2% 35%  
184 7% 32%  
185 2% 25%  
186 1.2% 23%  
187 3% 22%  
188 2% 18%  
189 4% 16%  
190 0.5% 12%  
191 1.3% 12%  
192 0.6% 10%  
193 2% 10%  
194 0.7% 8%  
195 2% 8%  
196 0.9% 6%  
197 0.8% 5%  
198 0.7% 4%  
199 0.5% 3%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.5% 2%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.3% 1.4%  
204 0.3% 1.2%  
205 0.1% 0.9%  
206 0.1% 0.8%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.1% 0.6%  
209 0% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0.1% 99.5%  
142 0.1% 99.4%  
143 0.1% 99.3%  
144 0.1% 99.2%  
145 0.3% 99.1%  
146 0.3% 98.8%  
147 0.4% 98.6%  
148 0.5% 98%  
149 0.5% 98%  
150 0.5% 97%  
151 0.7% 97%  
152 0.8% 96%  
153 0.9% 95%  
154 2% 94%  
155 0.7% 92%  
156 2% 92%  
157 0.6% 90%  
158 1.3% 90%  
159 0.5% 88%  
160 4% 88%  
161 2% 84%  
162 3% 82%  
163 1.2% 78%  
164 2% 77%  
165 7% 75%  
166 2% 68%  
167 1.2% 65%  
168 2% 64%  
169 0.8% 62%  
170 4% 61% Median
171 5% 57%  
172 3% 52%  
173 2% 49%  
174 1.2% 47%  
175 2% 46%  
176 2% 44% Majority
177 1.2% 41%  
178 2% 40%  
179 3% 38%  
180 2% 35% Last Result
181 2% 33%  
182 2% 31%  
183 4% 30%  
184 2% 25%  
185 6% 23%  
186 2% 17%  
187 1.3% 15%  
188 1.1% 13%  
189 0.5% 12%  
190 0.3% 12%  
191 0.7% 12%  
192 4% 11%  
193 1.0% 7%  
194 1.4% 6%  
195 1.0% 4%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.4% 3%  
198 0.3% 3%  
199 0.3% 2%  
200 0.5% 2%  
201 0.3% 2%  
202 0.1% 1.3%  
203 0.1% 1.2%  
204 0.4% 1.1%  
205 0.1% 0.7%  
206 0% 0.6%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.2% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.1% 99.6%  
132 0.1% 99.5%  
133 0.4% 99.4%  
134 0.2% 99.0%  
135 0.3% 98.9%  
136 0.2% 98.6%  
137 0.3% 98%  
138 0.2% 98%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.3% 98%  
141 0.5% 97%  
142 0.9% 97%  
143 1.1% 96%  
144 0.8% 95%  
145 2% 94%  
146 0.7% 92%  
147 0.6% 92%  
148 2% 91%  
149 0.7% 89%  
150 1.0% 88%  
151 1.3% 87%  
152 0.3% 86%  
153 3% 85%  
154 3% 83%  
155 2% 80%  
156 2% 78%  
157 8% 75%  
158 2% 68%  
159 2% 66%  
160 1.0% 65%  
161 2% 64%  
162 3% 62%  
163 2% 58%  
164 2% 56% Median
165 2% 54%  
166 2% 53%  
167 3% 51%  
168 4% 48%  
169 3% 45%  
170 0.8% 42%  
171 4% 41%  
172 2% 38%  
173 3% 36%  
174 2% 33%  
175 2% 31%  
176 2% 29% Majority
177 2% 26%  
178 4% 24%  
179 0.7% 20%  
180 2% 20%  
181 0.9% 18%  
182 2% 17%  
183 1.1% 15%  
184 1.4% 14%  
185 3% 12%  
186 2% 10%  
187 0.9% 8%  
188 2% 7%  
189 0.8% 6%  
190 0.4% 5%  
191 0.2% 4%  
192 0.6% 4%  
193 0.2% 4%  
194 1.0% 3%  
195 0.1% 2%  
196 1.0% 2%  
197 0.2% 1.2%  
198 0.2% 1.1%  
199 0.2% 0.9%  
200 0.1% 0.7%  
201 0.1% 0.6%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.1% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.4%  
132 0.2% 99.3%  
133 0.1% 99.1%  
134 0.5% 99.0%  
135 0.2% 98.5%  
136 0.2% 98%  
137 0.5% 98%  
138 0.4% 98%  
139 0.6% 97%  
140 0.9% 97%  
141 0.6% 96%  
142 1.1% 95%  
143 0.9% 94%  
144 2% 93%  
145 0.8% 91%  
146 2% 90%  
147 1.1% 89%  
148 0.9% 88%  
149 4% 87%  
150 2% 83%  
151 3% 80%  
152 0.9% 77%  
153 3% 76%  
154 8% 73%  
155 2% 65%  
156 1.1% 64%  
157 0.8% 63%  
158 4% 62%  
159 3% 57% Median
160 3% 55%  
161 3% 52%  
162 3% 49%  
163 2% 46%  
164 1.4% 44%  
165 2% 43%  
166 2% 41%  
167 2% 39%  
168 1.1% 37%  
169 3% 36%  
170 1.4% 33%  
171 3% 32%  
172 1.3% 29%  
173 2% 28% Last Result
174 1.1% 26%  
175 7% 24%  
176 2% 17% Majority
177 2% 15%  
178 0.9% 13%  
179 0.8% 12%  
180 1.3% 12%  
181 3% 10%  
182 0.8% 7%  
183 0.9% 7%  
184 1.3% 6%  
185 1.5% 4%  
186 0.3% 3%  
187 0.3% 3%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.4% 2%  
190 0.2% 2%  
191 0.2% 1.4%  
192 0.2% 1.2%  
193 0.3% 1.0%  
194 0% 0.8%  
195 0.1% 0.7%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.4%  
200 0% 0.3%  
201 0% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.2% 99.6%  
126 0.1% 99.4%  
127 0.2% 99.3%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0.3% 99.1%  
130 0.4% 98.8%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.4% 98%  
133 0.4% 98%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.4% 97%  
136 0.5% 97%  
137 0.8% 96%  
138 0.5% 96%  
139 0.3% 95%  
140 0.7% 95%  
141 1.2% 94%  
142 0.7% 93%  
143 2% 92%  
144 2% 90%  
145 1.1% 88%  
146 2% 87%  
147 4% 85%  
148 3% 81%  
149 2% 78%  
150 2% 76%  
151 2% 74%  
152 1.3% 73%  
153 0.7% 71%  
154 4% 71%  
155 9% 67%  
156 3% 57%  
157 2% 54%  
158 0.8% 52% Median
159 1.1% 51%  
160 3% 50%  
161 2% 46%  
162 2% 44%  
163 2% 42%  
164 0.6% 40%  
165 3% 39%  
166 2% 37%  
167 2% 34% Last Result
168 1.1% 32%  
169 1.1% 31%  
170 1.4% 30%  
171 4% 28%  
172 1.2% 25%  
173 3% 24%  
174 3% 20%  
175 1.0% 18%  
176 5% 17% Majority
177 2% 12%  
178 1.2% 11%  
179 1.2% 9%  
180 0.4% 8%  
181 2% 8%  
182 2% 6%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.5% 3%  
185 0.4% 3%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.6% 2%  
188 0.1% 1.4%  
189 0.1% 1.2%  
190 0.1% 1.2%  
191 0.1% 1.1%  
192 0.1% 1.0%  
193 0.3% 0.9%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.6%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.1% 99.4%  
124 0.2% 99.3%  
125 0.5% 99.1%  
126 0.2% 98.6%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 0.3% 98%  
129 0.5% 98%  
130 0.5% 97%  
131 0.1% 97%  
132 0.3% 97%  
133 0.3% 96%  
134 0.4% 96%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 0.8% 95%  
137 0.5% 94%  
138 1.2% 94%  
139 1.1% 93%  
140 2% 92%  
141 1.3% 90%  
142 3% 88%  
143 1.4% 85%  
144 3% 84%  
145 0.9% 81%  
146 0.7% 80%  
147 1.0% 79%  
148 2% 78%  
149 2% 76%  
150 3% 75%  
151 4% 72%  
152 5% 69%  
153 2% 64%  
154 0.8% 63%  
155 3% 62%  
156 3% 58%  
157 2% 55% Median
158 6% 53%  
159 3% 47%  
160 1.3% 44%  
161 2% 43%  
162 8% 40%  
163 1.1% 32%  
164 2% 31%  
165 1.0% 29%  
166 1.1% 28%  
167 4% 27%  
168 2% 23%  
169 5% 21%  
170 0.9% 16%  
171 2% 15%  
172 1.3% 13%  
173 0.5% 12%  
174 1.3% 11% Last Result
175 2% 10%  
176 1.1% 8% Majority
177 0.8% 7%  
178 0.6% 6%  
179 0.4% 6%  
180 0.5% 5%  
181 0.1% 5%  
182 0.3% 5%  
183 0.1% 4%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 1.0% 3%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0% 1.1%  
190 0.4% 1.1%  
191 0.1% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0.1% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.5%  
122 0.4% 99.4%  
123 0.1% 99.0%  
124 0.2% 98.9%  
125 0.2% 98.7%  
126 0.3% 98.6%  
127 0.6% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.7% 98%  
130 0.6% 97%  
131 1.1% 96%  
132 0.9% 95%  
133 0.7% 94%  
134 0.7% 94%  
135 2% 93%  
136 1.0% 91%  
137 2% 90%  
138 2% 87%  
139 2% 86%  
140 2% 84%  
141 2% 82%  
142 1.0% 80%  
143 2% 79%  
144 9% 77%  
145 1.0% 68%  
146 1.4% 67%  
147 1.4% 66%  
148 0.9% 64%  
149 4% 63%  
150 3% 59%  
151 1.2% 57% Median
152 3% 56%  
153 3% 52%  
154 3% 49%  
155 3% 47%  
156 1.4% 44%  
157 3% 43%  
158 3% 40%  
159 2% 37%  
160 3% 35%  
161 3% 32%  
162 1.3% 30%  
163 2% 28% Last Result
164 4% 27%  
165 4% 22%  
166 2% 18%  
167 1.3% 16%  
168 1.0% 14%  
169 0.6% 13%  
170 1.1% 13%  
171 2% 12%  
172 1.3% 10%  
173 0.7% 8%  
174 2% 8%  
175 1.1% 6%  
176 0.4% 5% Majority
177 0.6% 4%  
178 0.4% 4%  
179 1.3% 3%  
180 0.1% 2%  
181 0.2% 2%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.1% 1.3%  
184 0.1% 1.1%  
185 0.1% 1.0%  
186 0.2% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.1% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.5%  
117 0.3% 99.4%  
118 0.1% 99.0%  
119 0.2% 98.9%  
120 0.1% 98.8%  
121 0.6% 98.7%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.6% 97%  
125 0.4% 97%  
126 0.6% 96%  
127 0.5% 96%  
128 0.3% 95%  
129 0.6% 95%  
130 0.5% 94%  
131 0.4% 94%  
132 0.8% 94%  
133 1.2% 93%  
134 5% 92%  
135 1.1% 86%  
136 2% 85%  
137 2% 83%  
138 1.0% 81%  
139 1.0% 80%  
140 1.0% 79%  
141 1.3% 78%  
142 2% 77%  
143 2% 74%  
144 3% 72%  
145 2% 69%  
146 7% 67%  
147 2% 61%  
148 2% 59%  
149 6% 57%  
150 0.9% 51% Median
151 2% 50%  
152 2% 48%  
153 2% 46%  
154 3% 44%  
155 8% 40%  
156 2% 33%  
157 3% 31%  
158 0.8% 28%  
159 4% 27%  
160 2% 24%  
161 3% 22%  
162 4% 19%  
163 0.4% 16%  
164 2% 15%  
165 2% 13%  
166 1.2% 11%  
167 0.6% 10%  
168 2% 9%  
169 0.7% 8% Last Result
170 0.7% 7%  
171 0.4% 6%  
172 0.3% 6%  
173 0.4% 5%  
174 0.5% 5%  
175 0.9% 4%  
176 0.8% 4% Majority
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.2% 2%  
181 0.3% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.3%  
183 0.2% 0.9%  
184 0.4% 0.7%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.1% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.5%  
117 0.2% 99.4%  
118 0.2% 99.3%  
119 0.2% 99.1%  
120 0.2% 98.9%  
121 0.4% 98.7%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.9% 97%  
126 1.0% 97%  
127 0.9% 96%  
128 0.2% 95%  
129 0.5% 94%  
130 1.4% 94%  
131 2% 93%  
132 1.3% 91%  
133 0.8% 90%  
134 4% 89%  
135 2% 85%  
136 1.1% 83%  
137 3% 82%  
138 0.8% 79%  
139 0.8% 78%  
140 10% 77%  
141 0.6% 67%  
142 0.7% 66%  
143 1.1% 66%  
144 1.3% 65%  
145 1.4% 63%  
146 3% 62%  
147 4% 59% Median
148 3% 55%  
149 4% 51%  
150 1.5% 47%  
151 0.7% 46%  
152 3% 45%  
153 2% 42%  
154 2% 40%  
155 3% 38%  
156 2% 35%  
157 2% 33%  
158 3% 31%  
159 2% 28%  
160 2% 27%  
161 1.3% 25% Last Result
162 4% 23%  
163 2% 20%  
164 4% 18%  
165 0.8% 14%  
166 1.3% 13%  
167 0.4% 12%  
168 3% 11%  
169 0.8% 9%  
170 2% 8%  
171 0.4% 6%  
172 0.5% 5%  
173 1.0% 5%  
174 0.5% 4%  
175 1.2% 3%  
176 0.3% 2% Majority
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.1% 1.5%  
179 0.1% 1.4%  
180 0.2% 1.3%  
181 0.1% 1.1%  
182 0.2% 1.0%  
183 0.1% 0.8%  
184 0.1% 0.7%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.7%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0.1% 99.5%  
111 0.3% 99.4%  
112 0.2% 99.1%  
113 0.3% 98.9%  
114 0.3% 98.6%  
115 0.3% 98%  
116 0.4% 98%  
117 0.6% 98%  
118 0.3% 97%  
119 1.1% 97%  
120 0.4% 96%  
121 1.3% 95%  
122 1.4% 94%  
123 0.9% 93%  
124 0.7% 92%  
125 1.2% 91%  
126 2% 90%  
127 3% 88%  
128 2% 84%  
129 0.8% 83%  
130 2% 82%  
131 2% 80%  
132 0.6% 78%  
133 8% 77%  
134 3% 69%  
135 2% 66%  
136 0.8% 64%  
137 4% 64%  
138 1.5% 59%  
139 2% 58%  
140 1.2% 56% Median
141 4% 55%  
142 3% 51%  
143 2% 48%  
144 3% 46%  
145 3% 43%  
146 1.3% 40%  
147 2% 39%  
148 2% 37%  
149 3% 35%  
150 2% 33%  
151 3% 31%  
152 2% 29%  
153 2% 26%  
154 1.1% 24%  
155 4% 23%  
156 3% 19% Last Result
157 1.2% 16%  
158 0.8% 14%  
159 0.6% 14%  
160 4% 13%  
161 1.1% 9%  
162 0.2% 8%  
163 1.2% 8%  
164 2% 7%  
165 0.4% 5%  
166 1.0% 5%  
167 0.2% 4%  
168 0.2% 3%  
169 0.3% 3%  
170 1.1% 3%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.2% 1.3%  
174 0.1% 1.1%  
175 0.1% 1.0%  
176 0.3% 0.9% Majority
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.5%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.1% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.4%  
90 0.1% 99.4%  
91 0.1% 99.2%  
92 0.1% 99.1%  
93 0.3% 99.0%  
94 0.3% 98.7%  
95 0.6% 98%  
96 0.9% 98%  
97 1.0% 97%  
98 1.1% 96%  
99 0.4% 95%  
100 0.3% 94%  
101 1.5% 94%  
102 3% 93%  
103 2% 90%  
104 3% 88%  
105 1.1% 85%  
106 1.0% 84%  
107 4% 83%  
108 0.4% 79%  
109 1.5% 79%  
110 2% 77%  
111 4% 75%  
112 3% 71%  
113 4% 68%  
114 3% 63%  
115 3% 60%  
116 1.5% 57%  
117 1.2% 56%  
118 2% 54%  
119 2% 53%  
120 1.2% 51%  
121 2% 50% Median
122 2% 48%  
123 5% 47%  
124 2% 42%  
125 4% 41%  
126 2% 36%  
127 1.2% 35%  
128 2% 33%  
129 0.7% 31%  
130 0.8% 31%  
131 9% 30%  
132 1.2% 20%  
133 1.2% 19%  
134 2% 18%  
135 3% 16%  
136 0.4% 13%  
137 1.4% 13% Last Result
138 1.1% 11%  
139 0.5% 10%  
140 1.0% 10%  
141 0.9% 9%  
142 1.3% 8%  
143 0.5% 6%  
144 2% 6%  
145 1.1% 4%  
146 0.4% 3%  
147 0.2% 2%  
148 0.4% 2%  
149 0.3% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.4%  
151 0.2% 1.2%  
152 0.2% 1.0%  
153 0.3% 0.8%  
154 0.1% 0.6%  
155 0% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.5%  
83 0.6% 99.3%  
84 0.3% 98.7%  
85 0.3% 98% Last Result
86 0.6% 98%  
87 0.5% 98%  
88 0.3% 97%  
89 0.9% 97%  
90 1.1% 96%  
91 0.5% 95%  
92 0.9% 94%  
93 1.1% 93%  
94 1.5% 92%  
95 1.2% 91%  
96 0.6% 90%  
97 1.4% 89%  
98 0.9% 88%  
99 0.9% 87%  
100 3% 86%  
101 3% 83%  
102 3% 80%  
103 7% 77%  
104 10% 71%  
105 2% 61%  
106 2% 59%  
107 2% 57%  
108 1.1% 54%  
109 3% 53%  
110 4% 50% Median
111 1.3% 46%  
112 2% 45%  
113 1.2% 42%  
114 0.8% 41%  
115 1.3% 40%  
116 2% 39%  
117 2% 37%  
118 1.2% 35%  
119 2% 34%  
120 3% 32%  
121 7% 29%  
122 1.0% 22%  
123 1.3% 21%  
124 2% 20%  
125 4% 18%  
126 1.2% 14%  
127 1.2% 13%  
128 0.5% 12%  
129 2% 11%  
130 1.0% 9%  
131 2% 8%  
132 0.3% 6%  
133 0.8% 6%  
134 1.2% 5%  
135 0.6% 4%  
136 0.7% 3%  
137 0.3% 3%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.2% 2%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.6% 1.4%  
143 0.3% 0.9%  
144 0.2% 0.6%  
145 0% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.6%  
65 0% 99.5%  
66 0.1% 99.5%  
67 0.1% 99.3%  
68 0.2% 99.3%  
69 0.3% 99.0%  
70 0.3% 98.8%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 0.4% 97%  
74 1.4% 97%  
75 1.3% 95%  
76 1.2% 94%  
77 0.6% 93%  
78 1.0% 92%  
79 1.0% 91%  
80 2% 90%  
81 2% 89%  
82 4% 86%  
83 1.1% 82%  
84 5% 81%  
85 4% 76%  
86 1.4% 72%  
87 2% 70%  
88 2% 68%  
89 3% 66%  
90 2% 63%  
91 3% 61%  
92 2% 58%  
93 2% 56%  
94 1.0% 54%  
95 1.3% 53%  
96 5% 51% Median
97 4% 47%  
98 2% 43%  
99 0.8% 41%  
100 2% 40%  
101 1.4% 38%  
102 10% 36%  
103 2% 26%  
104 0.8% 24%  
105 2% 24%  
106 2% 21%  
107 2% 19%  
108 1.1% 17%  
109 2% 16%  
110 0.9% 14%  
111 1.4% 13%  
112 1.1% 12%  
113 1.3% 11%  
114 2% 9%  
115 1.2% 7%  
116 1.3% 6%  
117 0.7% 5%  
118 0.7% 4%  
119 0.6% 3%  
120 0.6% 3%  
121 0.3% 2%  
122 0.3% 2%  
123 0.3% 2%  
124 0.4% 1.2%  
125 0.2% 0.8%  
126 0.1% 0.7%  
127 0.1% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.5%  
129 0.1% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1% Last Result
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations