Opinion Poll by IMOP for El Confidencial, 27 March–2 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 30.0% | 28.5–31.6% | 28.0–32.0% | 27.6–32.4% | 26.9–33.2% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 20.8% | 19.5–22.3% | 19.1–22.7% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.2–23.7% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.7–16.1% | 13.3–16.4% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.5–17.4% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 14.5% | 13.4–15.8% | 13.1–16.2% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.3–17.1% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 9.6% | 8.6–10.7% | 8.4–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.7–11.8% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.4–5.0% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.8–2.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.1% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.1% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 130 | 119–138 | 118–140 | 117–142 | 112–145 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 83 | 75–88 | 72–90 | 71–91 | 68–97 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 48 | 38–53 | 37–54 | 36–57 | 35–60 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 39 | 36–44 | 35–48 | 33–49 | 31–53 |
| Vox | 0 | 23 | 17–27 | 16–28 | 16–28 | 14–31 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 15 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 10–20 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 2–8 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 5 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 117 | 2% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 119 | 10% | 94% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 121 | 2% | 84% | |
| 122 | 2% | 82% | |
| 123 | 3% | 80% | |
| 124 | 5% | 77% | |
| 125 | 3% | 72% | |
| 126 | 4% | 68% | |
| 127 | 5% | 65% | |
| 128 | 4% | 59% | |
| 129 | 4% | 56% | |
| 130 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 131 | 6% | 48% | |
| 132 | 4% | 42% | |
| 133 | 5% | 37% | |
| 134 | 8% | 33% | |
| 135 | 6% | 25% | |
| 136 | 2% | 19% | |
| 137 | 3% | 17% | |
| 138 | 5% | 14% | |
| 139 | 2% | 9% | |
| 140 | 3% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 77 | 5% | 88% | |
| 78 | 6% | 83% | |
| 79 | 8% | 77% | |
| 80 | 4% | 69% | |
| 81 | 7% | 65% | |
| 82 | 8% | 58% | |
| 83 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 84 | 14% | 45% | |
| 85 | 11% | 31% | |
| 86 | 5% | 20% | |
| 87 | 2% | 15% | |
| 88 | 5% | 13% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 90 | 5% | 8% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 38 | 8% | 95% | |
| 39 | 2% | 87% | |
| 40 | 3% | 85% | |
| 41 | 6% | 82% | |
| 42 | 7% | 76% | |
| 43 | 4% | 70% | |
| 44 | 2% | 66% | |
| 45 | 2% | 64% | |
| 46 | 6% | 62% | |
| 47 | 3% | 56% | |
| 48 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 46% | |
| 50 | 14% | 36% | |
| 51 | 6% | 22% | |
| 52 | 6% | 16% | |
| 53 | 4% | 10% | |
| 54 | 2% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 5% | 96% | |
| 36 | 10% | 91% | |
| 37 | 11% | 82% | |
| 38 | 15% | 71% | |
| 39 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 42% | |
| 41 | 9% | 36% | |
| 42 | 14% | 27% | |
| 43 | 2% | 13% | |
| 44 | 2% | 11% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 7% | 94% | |
| 18 | 2% | 87% | |
| 19 | 4% | 85% | |
| 20 | 3% | 81% | |
| 21 | 5% | 78% | |
| 22 | 9% | 73% | |
| 23 | 23% | 64% | Median |
| 24 | 17% | 41% | |
| 25 | 8% | 25% | |
| 26 | 5% | 17% | |
| 27 | 2% | 12% | |
| 28 | 8% | 9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 7% | 96% | |
| 14 | 27% | 89% | |
| 15 | 32% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 8% | 30% | |
| 17 | 7% | 22% | |
| 18 | 10% | 15% | |
| 19 | 3% | 5% | |
| 20 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 88% | |
| 3 | 28% | 83% | |
| 4 | 24% | 54% | Median |
| 5 | 14% | 30% | |
| 6 | 13% | 16% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 98% | |
| 4 | 15% | 84% | |
| 5 | 11% | 69% | Last Result |
| 6 | 50% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 8% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 9% | 96% | Last Result |
| 3 | 7% | 87% | |
| 4 | 20% | 80% | |
| 5 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 6 | 12% | 37% | |
| 7 | 24% | 24% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 258 | 100% | 251–265 | 250–267 | 249–269 | 246–271 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 214 | 100% | 208–225 | 206–228 | 203–229 | 199–235 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 212 | 100% | 204–219 | 202–220 | 200–222 | 196–225 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 196 | 99.9% | 190–208 | 188–209 | 186–211 | 181–215 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 189 | 97% | 180–199 | 178–200 | 175–202 | 172–207 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 187 | 98% | 179–198 | 178–200 | 176–201 | 172–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 178 | 59% | 170–190 | 168–191 | 167–192 | 161–197 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 175 | 46% | 169–186 | 166–187 | 164–190 | 159–194 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 172 | 35% | 164–186 | 164–187 | 162–188 | 157–191 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 168 | 26% | 158–180 | 158–181 | 156–182 | 152–187 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 152 | 0% | 141–159 | 140–161 | 138–163 | 134–168 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 135 | 0% | 123–143 | 122–146 | 120–147 | 118–152 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 130 | 0% | 119–138 | 118–140 | 117–142 | 112–145 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 130 | 0% | 117–137 | 116–139 | 115–142 | 112–146 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 106 | 0% | 96–112 | 93–114 | 91–116 | 88–121 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 83 | 0% | 75–88 | 72–90 | 71–91 | 68–97 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 243 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 246 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 247 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 248 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 249 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 250 | 4% | 97% | |
| 251 | 5% | 93% | |
| 252 | 5% | 88% | |
| 253 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 254 | 10% | 82% | Last Result |
| 255 | 11% | 72% | |
| 256 | 2% | 61% | |
| 257 | 9% | 59% | |
| 258 | 7% | 50% | |
| 259 | 7% | 43% | |
| 260 | 10% | 36% | |
| 261 | 3% | 26% | Median |
| 262 | 5% | 23% | |
| 263 | 1.5% | 17% | |
| 264 | 6% | 16% | |
| 265 | 3% | 10% | |
| 266 | 2% | 7% | |
| 267 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 268 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 269 | 3% | 4% | |
| 270 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 271 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 273 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 201 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 202 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 203 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 206 | 4% | 96% | |
| 207 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 208 | 7% | 90% | |
| 209 | 2% | 84% | |
| 210 | 4% | 82% | |
| 211 | 8% | 78% | |
| 212 | 3% | 70% | |
| 213 | 10% | 66% | |
| 214 | 7% | 57% | |
| 215 | 7% | 49% | |
| 216 | 6% | 42% | |
| 217 | 3% | 36% | Median |
| 218 | 6% | 33% | |
| 219 | 4% | 27% | |
| 220 | 3% | 23% | |
| 221 | 3% | 20% | |
| 222 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 223 | 3% | 16% | |
| 224 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 225 | 2% | 12% | |
| 226 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 227 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 228 | 4% | 7% | |
| 229 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 230 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 231 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 232 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 233 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 236 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 202 | 3% | 96% | |
| 203 | 2% | 93% | |
| 204 | 8% | 91% | |
| 205 | 1.5% | 83% | |
| 206 | 2% | 82% | |
| 207 | 5% | 80% | |
| 208 | 6% | 75% | |
| 209 | 5% | 69% | |
| 210 | 4% | 64% | |
| 211 | 7% | 60% | |
| 212 | 7% | 53% | |
| 213 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 214 | 5% | 35% | |
| 215 | 6% | 30% | |
| 216 | 5% | 24% | |
| 217 | 3% | 19% | |
| 218 | 5% | 16% | |
| 219 | 4% | 10% | |
| 220 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 221 | 2% | 4% | |
| 222 | 1.0% | 3% | Last Result |
| 223 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 226 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 187 | 2% | 97% | |
| 188 | 2% | 96% | |
| 189 | 3% | 94% | |
| 190 | 4% | 91% | |
| 191 | 9% | 87% | |
| 192 | 9% | 78% | |
| 193 | 7% | 69% | |
| 194 | 2% | 62% | |
| 195 | 9% | 60% | |
| 196 | 2% | 51% | |
| 197 | 5% | 50% | |
| 198 | 1.2% | 45% | |
| 199 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 200 | 5% | 38% | |
| 201 | 1.4% | 33% | |
| 202 | 1.3% | 32% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 30% | |
| 204 | 3% | 29% | |
| 205 | 5% | 26% | |
| 206 | 2% | 21% | |
| 207 | 3% | 19% | |
| 208 | 8% | 16% | |
| 209 | 4% | 7% | |
| 210 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 212 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 175 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 176 | 0.8% | 97% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 179 | 3% | 94% | |
| 180 | 8% | 91% | |
| 181 | 4% | 83% | |
| 182 | 8% | 79% | |
| 183 | 2% | 72% | |
| 184 | 5% | 69% | |
| 185 | 5% | 65% | |
| 186 | 2% | 60% | |
| 187 | 4% | 58% | |
| 188 | 4% | 55% | |
| 189 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 190 | 2% | 45% | |
| 191 | 3% | 43% | |
| 192 | 6% | 41% | |
| 193 | 5% | 35% | |
| 194 | 2% | 30% | |
| 195 | 3% | 28% | |
| 196 | 2% | 25% | |
| 197 | 6% | 23% | |
| 198 | 6% | 18% | |
| 199 | 5% | 11% | |
| 200 | 2% | 6% | |
| 201 | 2% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 176 | 1.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 178 | 3% | 96% | |
| 179 | 8% | 93% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 84% | |
| 181 | 6% | 83% | |
| 182 | 5% | 77% | |
| 183 | 4% | 72% | |
| 184 | 13% | 68% | |
| 185 | 1.5% | 55% | |
| 186 | 2% | 54% | |
| 187 | 3% | 51% | |
| 188 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 189 | 3% | 41% | |
| 190 | 6% | 38% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 32% | |
| 193 | 2% | 31% | |
| 194 | 6% | 29% | |
| 195 | 3% | 23% | |
| 196 | 2% | 21% | |
| 197 | 5% | 19% | |
| 198 | 6% | 14% | |
| 199 | 2% | 8% | |
| 200 | 2% | 6% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 202 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 167 | 2% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 96% | |
| 169 | 2% | 94% | |
| 170 | 7% | 92% | |
| 171 | 3% | 85% | |
| 172 | 7% | 82% | |
| 173 | 3% | 75% | |
| 174 | 10% | 72% | |
| 175 | 2% | 61% | |
| 176 | 2% | 59% | Majority |
| 177 | 4% | 57% | |
| 178 | 4% | 53% | |
| 179 | 6% | 49% | |
| 180 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 181 | 5% | 38% | |
| 182 | 3% | 33% | |
| 183 | 2% | 30% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 28% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 28% | |
| 186 | 2% | 27% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 188 | 6% | 23% | |
| 189 | 1.5% | 17% | |
| 190 | 9% | 16% | |
| 191 | 3% | 7% | |
| 192 | 2% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 166 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 167 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 169 | 14% | 92% | |
| 170 | 4% | 78% | |
| 171 | 2% | 74% | |
| 172 | 2% | 73% | |
| 173 | 12% | 71% | |
| 174 | 7% | 59% | |
| 175 | 5% | 51% | |
| 176 | 9% | 46% | Majority |
| 177 | 5% | 38% | |
| 178 | 2% | 33% | Median |
| 179 | 2% | 31% | |
| 180 | 6% | 29% | |
| 181 | 3% | 23% | |
| 182 | 2% | 20% | |
| 183 | 4% | 18% | |
| 184 | 2% | 15% | |
| 185 | 2% | 13% | |
| 186 | 4% | 11% | |
| 187 | 3% | 7% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 190 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 161 | 1.4% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 162 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 164 | 6% | 95% | |
| 165 | 4% | 90% | |
| 166 | 4% | 86% | |
| 167 | 6% | 82% | |
| 168 | 2% | 75% | |
| 169 | 4% | 73% | |
| 170 | 8% | 69% | |
| 171 | 3% | 61% | |
| 172 | 11% | 58% | |
| 173 | 5% | 47% | |
| 174 | 5% | 42% | |
| 175 | 3% | 38% | Median |
| 176 | 1.4% | 35% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.4% | 33% | |
| 178 | 2% | 32% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 30% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 28% | |
| 182 | 2% | 27% | |
| 183 | 6% | 24% | |
| 184 | 2% | 19% | |
| 185 | 5% | 17% | |
| 186 | 6% | 12% | |
| 187 | 2% | 6% | |
| 188 | 2% | 4% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 156 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 158 | 7% | 96% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 160 | 6% | 89% | |
| 161 | 5% | 83% | |
| 162 | 2% | 78% | |
| 163 | 5% | 76% | |
| 164 | 4% | 71% | |
| 165 | 6% | 67% | |
| 166 | 3% | 61% | |
| 167 | 3% | 58% | |
| 168 | 6% | 55% | |
| 169 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 170 | 2% | 40% | |
| 171 | 5% | 38% | |
| 172 | 2% | 33% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 31% | |
| 174 | 2% | 30% | |
| 175 | 2% | 28% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 26% | Majority |
| 177 | 5% | 25% | |
| 178 | 1.2% | 20% | |
| 179 | 4% | 18% | |
| 180 | 7% | 14% | |
| 181 | 3% | 7% | |
| 182 | 2% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 140 | 4% | 96% | |
| 141 | 9% | 92% | |
| 142 | 3% | 83% | |
| 143 | 2% | 81% | |
| 144 | 5% | 79% | |
| 145 | 4% | 74% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 70% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 68% | |
| 149 | 5% | 67% | |
| 150 | 6% | 62% | |
| 151 | 1.2% | 56% | |
| 152 | 5% | 55% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 50% | |
| 154 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 155 | 5% | 40% | |
| 156 | 4% | 35% | |
| 157 | 9% | 31% | |
| 158 | 9% | 22% | |
| 159 | 4% | 12% | |
| 160 | 2% | 9% | |
| 161 | 2% | 6% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 122 | 5% | 97% | |
| 123 | 4% | 92% | |
| 124 | 7% | 88% | |
| 125 | 2% | 81% | |
| 126 | 3% | 80% | |
| 127 | 4% | 76% | |
| 128 | 2% | 72% | |
| 129 | 3% | 70% | |
| 130 | 6% | 68% | |
| 131 | 2% | 62% | |
| 132 | 2% | 60% | |
| 133 | 3% | 59% | |
| 134 | 6% | 56% | |
| 135 | 4% | 50% | |
| 136 | 4% | 46% | |
| 137 | 7% | 42% | Median |
| 138 | 1.4% | 35% | |
| 139 | 5% | 34% | |
| 140 | 7% | 29% | |
| 141 | 8% | 22% | |
| 142 | 2% | 14% | |
| 143 | 4% | 12% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 7% | |
| 146 | 2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 117 | 2% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 119 | 10% | 94% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 121 | 2% | 84% | |
| 122 | 2% | 82% | |
| 123 | 3% | 80% | |
| 124 | 5% | 77% | |
| 125 | 3% | 72% | |
| 126 | 4% | 68% | |
| 127 | 5% | 65% | |
| 128 | 4% | 59% | |
| 129 | 4% | 56% | |
| 130 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 131 | 6% | 48% | |
| 132 | 4% | 42% | |
| 133 | 5% | 37% | |
| 134 | 8% | 33% | |
| 135 | 6% | 25% | |
| 136 | 2% | 19% | |
| 137 | 3% | 17% | |
| 138 | 5% | 14% | |
| 139 | 2% | 9% | |
| 140 | 3% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 115 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 116 | 4% | 97% | |
| 117 | 3% | 93% | |
| 118 | 2% | 89% | |
| 119 | 2% | 87% | |
| 120 | 4% | 85% | |
| 121 | 8% | 82% | |
| 122 | 4% | 74% | |
| 123 | 1.5% | 70% | |
| 124 | 4% | 69% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 65% | |
| 126 | 3% | 64% | |
| 127 | 4% | 61% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 57% | |
| 129 | 3% | 56% | |
| 130 | 6% | 53% | |
| 131 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 132 | 2% | 42% | |
| 133 | 10% | 40% | |
| 134 | 5% | 30% | |
| 135 | 10% | 25% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 137 | 5% | 15% | |
| 138 | 3% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 7% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 95% | |
| 95 | 3% | 93% | |
| 96 | 2% | 91% | |
| 97 | 3% | 89% | |
| 98 | 2% | 86% | |
| 99 | 3% | 84% | |
| 100 | 4% | 82% | |
| 101 | 6% | 78% | |
| 102 | 4% | 72% | |
| 103 | 7% | 68% | |
| 104 | 3% | 62% | |
| 105 | 8% | 59% | |
| 106 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 107 | 12% | 47% | |
| 108 | 15% | 35% | |
| 109 | 4% | 20% | |
| 110 | 4% | 16% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 112 | 2% | 11% | |
| 113 | 2% | 9% | |
| 114 | 4% | 7% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 77 | 5% | 88% | |
| 78 | 6% | 83% | |
| 79 | 8% | 77% | |
| 80 | 4% | 69% | |
| 81 | 7% | 65% | |
| 82 | 8% | 58% | |
| 83 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 84 | 14% | 45% | |
| 85 | 11% | 31% | |
| 86 | 5% | 20% | |
| 87 | 2% | 15% | |
| 88 | 5% | 13% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 90 | 5% | 8% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IMOP
- Commissioner(s): El Confidencial
- Fieldwork period: 27 March–2 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1431
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%