Opinion Poll by Simple Lógica, 1–5 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 30.5% 28.7–32.3% 28.2–32.8% 27.7–33.3% 26.9–34.2%
Partido Popular 33.0% 16.7% 15.3–18.3% 14.9–18.7% 14.6–19.1% 13.9–19.8%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.4% 13.4–17.8% 12.8–18.5%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 14.4% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.4–16.7% 11.8–17.4%
Vox 0.2% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 139 131–146 127–149 124–151 118–156
Partido Popular 137 65 56–70 55–72 53–75 52–82
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 52 46–58 44–61 42–62 38–66
Unidos Podemos 71 42 36–50 35–53 34–55 31–58
Vox 0 24 19–29 18–30 17–32 15–34

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0.3% 99.2%  
122 0.6% 99.0%  
123 0.5% 98%  
124 0.8% 98%  
125 0.5% 97%  
126 0.8% 97%  
127 1.2% 96%  
128 1.1% 95%  
129 1.3% 94%  
130 1.3% 92%  
131 2% 91%  
132 2% 89%  
133 3% 87%  
134 3% 84%  
135 4% 81%  
136 5% 78%  
137 9% 73%  
138 11% 64%  
139 10% 53% Median
140 8% 43%  
141 6% 35%  
142 4% 29%  
143 3% 25%  
144 4% 22%  
145 4% 17%  
146 4% 13%  
147 2% 9%  
148 2% 7%  
149 1.4% 5%  
150 0.9% 4%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0.6% 2%  
153 0.3% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.6% 99.6%  
53 2% 99.0%  
54 1.2% 97%  
55 3% 96%  
56 3% 93%  
57 7% 90%  
58 2% 83%  
59 4% 81%  
60 6% 76%  
61 4% 70%  
62 5% 66%  
63 5% 61%  
64 6% 56%  
65 7% 51% Median
66 7% 43%  
67 8% 36%  
68 9% 28%  
69 5% 19%  
70 5% 14%  
71 2% 9%  
72 2% 6%  
73 1.1% 5%  
74 0.9% 4%  
75 0.6% 3%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.4%  
79 0.3% 1.1%  
80 0.2% 0.9%  
81 0.1% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.2% 99.6%  
39 0.4% 99.4%  
40 0.5% 99.1%  
41 0.8% 98.6%  
42 0.8% 98%  
43 1.0% 97%  
44 1.4% 96%  
45 2% 95%  
46 2% 92%  
47 4% 90%  
48 7% 86%  
49 6% 79%  
50 8% 73%  
51 7% 65%  
52 8% 58% Median
53 8% 50%  
54 10% 42%  
55 8% 32%  
56 6% 24%  
57 6% 18%  
58 3% 12%  
59 1.3% 9%  
60 1.3% 8%  
61 3% 6%  
62 1.3% 4%  
63 0.8% 2%  
64 0.5% 1.5%  
65 0.4% 1.0%  
66 0.3% 0.6%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.3% 99.8%  
32 0.4% 99.5%  
33 0.9% 99.1%  
34 1.2% 98%  
35 2% 97%  
36 11% 95%  
37 7% 84%  
38 8% 77%  
39 7% 69%  
40 5% 62%  
41 5% 57%  
42 8% 52% Median
43 7% 44%  
44 6% 37%  
45 6% 30%  
46 5% 24%  
47 4% 19%  
48 3% 16%  
49 2% 12%  
50 2% 10%  
51 1.4% 8%  
52 1.3% 7%  
53 1.3% 6%  
54 1.3% 4%  
55 0.9% 3%  
56 0.8% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.2%  
58 0.2% 0.7%  
59 0.2% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 0.7% 99.6%  
16 1.0% 98.9%  
17 2% 98%  
18 4% 96%  
19 4% 92%  
20 6% 88%  
21 7% 82%  
22 9% 75%  
23 11% 66%  
24 10% 55% Median
25 8% 45%  
26 8% 37%  
27 11% 29%  
28 8% 18%  
29 4% 10%  
30 2% 7%  
31 1.4% 5%  
32 1.2% 3%  
33 0.8% 2%  
34 0.7% 1.1%  
35 0.2% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 256 100% 248–262 245–264 243–266 238–269
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 233 100% 225–242 222–244 220–246 214–249
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 204 100% 194–211 190–214 188–215 183–219
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 192 98% 183–199 180–201 178–203 173–207
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 181 77% 173–190 169–192 166–195 160–199
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 141 0% 132–148 130–151 128–154 124–160
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 139 0% 131–146 127–149 124–151 118–156
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 116 0% 108–124 106–127 104–130 100–137
Partido Popular – Vox 137 88 0% 80–96 78–98 76–101 73–107
Partido Popular 137 65 0% 56–70 55–72 53–75 52–82

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.2% 99.6%  
239 0.3% 99.5%  
240 0.3% 99.2%  
241 0.5% 98.8%  
242 0.7% 98%  
243 0.8% 98%  
244 1.1% 97%  
245 2% 96%  
246 2% 94%  
247 2% 92%  
248 3% 90%  
249 3% 87%  
250 4% 84%  
251 5% 81%  
252 5% 76%  
253 7% 71%  
254 7% 64% Last Result
255 7% 57%  
256 9% 50% Median
257 7% 42%  
258 8% 35%  
259 6% 27%  
260 5% 21%  
261 3% 16%  
262 4% 13%  
263 2% 9%  
264 2% 6%  
265 2% 4%  
266 1.1% 3%  
267 0.7% 2%  
268 0.3% 0.9%  
269 0.3% 0.6%  
270 0.2% 0.3%  
271 0.1% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0.1% 99.9%  
212 0.1% 99.8%  
213 0.2% 99.7%  
214 0.2% 99.6%  
215 0.2% 99.4%  
216 0.3% 99.1%  
217 0.3% 98.8%  
218 0.3% 98.5%  
219 0.6% 98%  
220 0.7% 98%  
221 1.0% 97%  
222 1.1% 96%  
223 2% 95%  
224 3% 93%  
225 3% 91%  
226 3% 87%  
227 3% 84%  
228 5% 81%  
229 5% 76%  
230 5% 71%  
231 5% 66%  
232 6% 60%  
233 6% 55% Median
234 6% 49%  
235 5% 43%  
236 5% 39%  
237 5% 33%  
238 5% 28%  
239 5% 24%  
240 4% 19%  
241 3% 15%  
242 2% 12%  
243 3% 10%  
244 2% 7%  
245 2% 5%  
246 1.1% 3%  
247 0.6% 2%  
248 0.5% 1.3%  
249 0.4% 0.8%  
250 0.3% 0.5%  
251 0.1% 0.2%  
252 0.1% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.8%  
183 0.2% 99.7%  
184 0.3% 99.4%  
185 0.3% 99.1%  
186 0.5% 98.8%  
187 0.7% 98%  
188 0.7% 98%  
189 1.1% 97%  
190 1.1% 96%  
191 1.3% 95%  
192 1.4% 94%  
193 2% 92%  
194 2% 90%  
195 2% 88%  
196 3% 86%  
197 4% 83%  
198 3% 79%  
199 4% 76%  
200 5% 72%  
201 6% 67%  
202 5% 61%  
203 6% 56%  
204 8% 50% Median
205 7% 43%  
206 8% 36%  
207 6% 27%  
208 4% 22%  
209 4% 18%  
210 3% 14%  
211 3% 12%  
212 2% 9%  
213 2% 7%  
214 2% 5%  
215 1.3% 3%  
216 0.9% 2%  
217 0.5% 1.3%  
218 0.3% 0.8%  
219 0.2% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.2%  
222 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.2% 99.7%  
173 0.2% 99.5%  
174 0.4% 99.3%  
175 0.4% 98.8%  
176 0.4% 98% Majority
177 0.5% 98%  
178 0.9% 98%  
179 0.9% 97%  
180 1.2% 96%  
181 1.5% 94%  
182 2% 93%  
183 2% 91%  
184 3% 89%  
185 4% 86%  
186 3% 82%  
187 5% 79%  
188 5% 74%  
189 7% 68%  
190 6% 61%  
191 5% 56% Median
192 7% 50%  
193 7% 43%  
194 7% 37%  
195 5% 30%  
196 6% 25%  
197 4% 19%  
198 4% 15%  
199 3% 11%  
200 2% 9%  
201 2% 6%  
202 1.2% 4%  
203 1.0% 3%  
204 0.5% 2%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.3% 1.0%  
207 0.3% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9% Last Result
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.1% 99.7%  
160 0.2% 99.6%  
161 0.2% 99.4%  
162 0.2% 99.2%  
163 0.4% 99.0%  
164 0.4% 98.7%  
165 0.5% 98%  
166 0.4% 98%  
167 0.8% 97%  
168 1.0% 96%  
169 1.0% 95%  
170 1.1% 94%  
171 2% 93%  
172 1.2% 92%  
173 5% 91%  
174 5% 86%  
175 3% 81%  
176 3% 77% Majority
177 4% 74%  
178 6% 70%  
179 7% 64%  
180 6% 58%  
181 5% 52% Median
182 3% 47%  
183 4% 44%  
184 6% 40%  
185 8% 34%  
186 6% 26%  
187 3% 20%  
188 2% 17%  
189 3% 15%  
190 2% 12%  
191 3% 10%  
192 2% 7%  
193 1.3% 5%  
194 1.0% 3%  
195 0.7% 3%  
196 0.6% 2%  
197 0.4% 1.2%  
198 0.3% 0.8%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.2% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.2% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.6%  
125 0.4% 99.4%  
126 0.5% 99.0%  
127 0.8% 98%  
128 0.8% 98%  
129 1.3% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 3% 93%  
132 2% 90%  
133 3% 88%  
134 2% 85%  
135 3% 83%  
136 8% 80%  
137 9% 73%  
138 5% 63%  
139 3% 58%  
140 3% 55%  
141 6% 52% Median
142 9% 46%  
143 8% 36%  
144 3% 28%  
145 3% 25%  
146 5% 22%  
147 7% 17%  
148 2% 11%  
149 1.5% 9%  
150 2% 7%  
151 1.3% 6%  
152 0.9% 5%  
153 0.7% 4%  
154 0.7% 3%  
155 0.6% 2%  
156 0.4% 2%  
157 0.3% 1.3%  
158 0.2% 1.0%  
159 0.2% 0.8%  
160 0.2% 0.6%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0.3% 99.2%  
122 0.6% 99.0%  
123 0.5% 98%  
124 0.8% 98%  
125 0.5% 97%  
126 0.8% 97%  
127 1.2% 96%  
128 1.1% 95%  
129 1.3% 94%  
130 1.3% 92%  
131 2% 91%  
132 2% 89%  
133 3% 87%  
134 3% 84%  
135 4% 81%  
136 5% 78%  
137 9% 73%  
138 11% 64%  
139 10% 53% Median
140 8% 43%  
141 6% 35%  
142 4% 29%  
143 3% 25%  
144 4% 22%  
145 4% 17%  
146 4% 13%  
147 2% 9%  
148 2% 7%  
149 1.4% 5%  
150 0.9% 4%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0.6% 2%  
153 0.3% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.2% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.6%  
101 0.4% 99.3%  
102 0.5% 98.9%  
103 0.7% 98%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 1.2% 97%  
106 2% 96%  
107 2% 94%  
108 3% 92%  
109 3% 89%  
110 4% 86%  
111 5% 82%  
112 3% 77%  
113 6% 74%  
114 8% 68%  
115 6% 60%  
116 5% 54%  
117 7% 49% Median
118 6% 42%  
119 8% 36%  
120 5% 28%  
121 4% 23%  
122 4% 19%  
123 3% 15%  
124 2% 11%  
125 2% 9%  
126 1.2% 7%  
127 1.4% 6%  
128 0.9% 5%  
129 0.9% 4%  
130 0.8% 3%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.3% 1.4%  
134 0.3% 1.1%  
135 0.1% 0.8%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.1% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 0.7% 99.0%  
76 1.2% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 3% 93%  
80 3% 90%  
81 3% 88%  
82 5% 85%  
83 5% 80%  
84 5% 75%  
85 5% 70%  
86 6% 64%  
87 5% 59%  
88 7% 53%  
89 6% 47% Median
90 6% 41%  
91 5% 35%  
92 6% 30%  
93 4% 24%  
94 4% 19%  
95 4% 16%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 1.3% 6%  
99 1.2% 5%  
100 0.9% 3%  
101 0.6% 3%  
102 0.4% 2%  
103 0.3% 2%  
104 0.2% 1.3%  
105 0.3% 1.0%  
106 0.2% 0.7%  
107 0.2% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.6% 99.6%  
53 2% 99.0%  
54 1.2% 97%  
55 3% 96%  
56 3% 93%  
57 7% 90%  
58 2% 83%  
59 4% 81%  
60 6% 76%  
61 4% 70%  
62 5% 66%  
63 5% 61%  
64 6% 56%  
65 7% 51% Median
66 7% 43%  
67 8% 36%  
68 9% 28%  
69 5% 19%  
70 5% 14%  
71 2% 9%  
72 2% 6%  
73 1.1% 5%  
74 0.9% 4%  
75 0.6% 3%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.4%  
79 0.3% 1.1%  
80 0.2% 0.9%  
81 0.1% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations