Opinion Poll by IMOP for El Confidencial, 31 March–6 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 31.5% | 30.0–33.1% | 29.6–33.6% | 29.2–34.0% | 28.4–34.8% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.4–22.8% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.3–16.8% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.2–18.1% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 13.5% | 12.4–14.8% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.4–16.0% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 9.3% | 8.4–10.4% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.5–11.4% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.6% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.1% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.1% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 136 | 128–143 | 127–146 | 123–147 | 119–149 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 78 | 69–84 | 68–84 | 67–86 | 65–90 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 52 | 46–56 | 43–58 | 41–59 | 38–62 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 35 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 29–43 | 28–45 |
| Vox | 0 | 21 | 16–25 | 15–26 | 15–28 | 13–29 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 2–6 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–7 | 1–7 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 96% | |
| 128 | 8% | 93% | |
| 129 | 8% | 84% | |
| 130 | 2% | 77% | |
| 131 | 6% | 75% | |
| 132 | 3% | 69% | |
| 133 | 4% | 66% | |
| 134 | 3% | 63% | |
| 135 | 9% | 59% | |
| 136 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 45% | |
| 138 | 6% | 43% | |
| 139 | 3% | 36% | |
| 140 | 12% | 33% | |
| 141 | 4% | 22% | |
| 142 | 4% | 18% | |
| 143 | 4% | 14% | |
| 144 | 2% | 10% | |
| 145 | 2% | 8% | |
| 146 | 3% | 6% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 90% | |
| 71 | 3% | 87% | |
| 72 | 5% | 84% | |
| 73 | 3% | 79% | |
| 74 | 3% | 75% | |
| 75 | 7% | 72% | |
| 76 | 3% | 65% | |
| 77 | 9% | 62% | |
| 78 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 79 | 9% | 44% | |
| 80 | 9% | 35% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 82 | 2% | 25% | |
| 83 | 10% | 23% | |
| 84 | 8% | 12% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 45 | 3% | 93% | |
| 46 | 2% | 91% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 48 | 5% | 88% | |
| 49 | 7% | 82% | |
| 50 | 10% | 75% | |
| 51 | 9% | 65% | |
| 52 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 53 | 17% | 40% | |
| 54 | 3% | 23% | |
| 55 | 3% | 20% | |
| 56 | 9% | 17% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 32 | 8% | 94% | |
| 33 | 17% | 87% | |
| 34 | 13% | 70% | |
| 35 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 43% | |
| 37 | 9% | 30% | |
| 38 | 7% | 21% | |
| 39 | 2% | 14% | |
| 40 | 3% | 11% | |
| 41 | 3% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 14% | 92% | |
| 17 | 8% | 78% | |
| 18 | 4% | 71% | |
| 19 | 9% | 67% | |
| 20 | 5% | 58% | |
| 21 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 22 | 6% | 47% | |
| 23 | 27% | 42% | |
| 24 | 5% | 15% | |
| 25 | 2% | 10% | |
| 26 | 4% | 8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 4% | 97% | |
| 12 | 6% | 93% | |
| 13 | 4% | 86% | |
| 14 | 46% | 82% | Median |
| 15 | 20% | 36% | |
| 16 | 9% | 15% | |
| 17 | 4% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 5% | 95% | |
| 5 | 6% | 91% | Last Result |
| 6 | 54% | 85% | Median |
| 7 | 10% | 30% | |
| 8 | 13% | 21% | |
| 9 | 3% | 8% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 91% | |
| 3 | 17% | 89% | |
| 4 | 30% | 72% | Median |
| 5 | 24% | 42% | |
| 6 | 11% | 18% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 17% | 97% | Last Result |
| 3 | 16% | 81% | |
| 4 | 26% | 65% | Median |
| 5 | 23% | 39% | |
| 6 | 11% | 16% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 264 | 100% | 258–271 | 255–274 | 254–274 | 252–276 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 223 | 100% | 213–231 | 213–233 | 212–236 | 208–237 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 213 | 100% | 206–219 | 204–220 | 202–222 | 199–227 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 200 | 100% | 190–208 | 190–210 | 190–212 | 184–215 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 190 | 99.0% | 180–197 | 180–199 | 178–202 | 175–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 191 | 99.0% | 179–198 | 179–200 | 178–201 | 173–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 187 | 98% | 179–196 | 177–197 | 176–198 | 172–199 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 183 | 79% | 171–190 | 171–192 | 170–194 | 165–198 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 178 | 61% | 167–186 | 167–189 | 166–190 | 161–194 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 172 | 26% | 161–179 | 160–181 | 160–184 | 155–189 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 149 | 0% | 141–159 | 139–159 | 137–159 | 133–165 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 136 | 0% | 128–143 | 127–146 | 123–147 | 119–149 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 136 | 0% | 125–142 | 124–143 | 122–146 | 119–150 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 129 | 0% | 119–136 | 118–137 | 116–139 | 112–144 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 97 | 0% | 89–107 | 88–107 | 87–108 | 85–112 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 78 | 0% | 69–84 | 68–84 | 67–86 | 65–90 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 251 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 252 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 253 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 254 | 3% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 255 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 256 | 2% | 95% | |
| 257 | 2% | 93% | |
| 258 | 3% | 90% | |
| 259 | 4% | 88% | |
| 260 | 4% | 84% | |
| 261 | 5% | 80% | |
| 262 | 10% | 75% | |
| 263 | 13% | 65% | |
| 264 | 12% | 53% | |
| 265 | 2% | 41% | |
| 266 | 5% | 39% | Median |
| 267 | 4% | 34% | |
| 268 | 7% | 30% | |
| 269 | 5% | 23% | |
| 270 | 7% | 18% | |
| 271 | 4% | 11% | |
| 272 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 273 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 274 | 4% | 6% | |
| 275 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 276 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 277 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 208 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 210 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 211 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 212 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 213 | 8% | 97% | |
| 214 | 7% | 88% | |
| 215 | 3% | 81% | |
| 216 | 4% | 78% | |
| 217 | 6% | 73% | |
| 218 | 4% | 67% | |
| 219 | 5% | 64% | |
| 220 | 1.1% | 59% | |
| 221 | 2% | 58% | |
| 222 | 2% | 56% | |
| 223 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 224 | 5% | 47% | |
| 225 | 3% | 43% | |
| 226 | 2% | 39% | |
| 227 | 9% | 38% | |
| 228 | 7% | 29% | |
| 229 | 4% | 22% | |
| 230 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 231 | 10% | 16% | |
| 232 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 233 | 2% | 6% | |
| 234 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 235 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 236 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 237 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 195 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 199 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 202 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 203 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 204 | 2% | 97% | |
| 205 | 3% | 94% | |
| 206 | 2% | 92% | |
| 207 | 4% | 89% | |
| 208 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 209 | 3% | 84% | |
| 210 | 8% | 80% | |
| 211 | 13% | 73% | |
| 212 | 9% | 60% | |
| 213 | 9% | 50% | |
| 214 | 5% | 41% | Median |
| 215 | 5% | 36% | |
| 216 | 4% | 30% | |
| 217 | 2% | 27% | |
| 218 | 14% | 25% | |
| 219 | 3% | 11% | |
| 220 | 3% | 8% | |
| 221 | 2% | 5% | |
| 222 | 0.8% | 3% | Last Result |
| 223 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 226 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 190 | 11% | 98% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 192 | 7% | 86% | |
| 193 | 2% | 79% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 78% | |
| 195 | 5% | 77% | |
| 196 | 4% | 71% | |
| 197 | 5% | 67% | |
| 198 | 6% | 62% | |
| 199 | 2% | 55% | Median |
| 200 | 4% | 54% | |
| 201 | 3% | 49% | |
| 202 | 4% | 46% | |
| 203 | 8% | 42% | |
| 204 | 7% | 33% | |
| 205 | 6% | 26% | |
| 206 | 4% | 20% | |
| 207 | 2% | 16% | |
| 208 | 5% | 14% | |
| 209 | 3% | 8% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 211 | 2% | 5% | |
| 212 | 2% | 3% | |
| 213 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 215 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 178 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 180 | 9% | 96% | |
| 181 | 8% | 87% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 183 | 5% | 79% | |
| 184 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 185 | 4% | 73% | |
| 186 | 2% | 69% | |
| 187 | 6% | 67% | |
| 188 | 3% | 61% | |
| 189 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 190 | 7% | 55% | |
| 191 | 5% | 48% | |
| 192 | 5% | 43% | |
| 193 | 8% | 38% | |
| 194 | 6% | 30% | |
| 195 | 3% | 24% | |
| 196 | 6% | 21% | |
| 197 | 8% | 15% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 199 | 2% | 7% | |
| 200 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 204 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 176 | 0.5% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 179 | 9% | 97% | |
| 180 | 6% | 88% | |
| 181 | 3% | 82% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 184 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 185 | 7% | 76% | |
| 186 | 7% | 69% | |
| 187 | 2% | 62% | |
| 188 | 3% | 60% | |
| 189 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 190 | 3% | 54% | |
| 191 | 10% | 50% | |
| 192 | 4% | 40% | |
| 193 | 8% | 37% | |
| 194 | 7% | 28% | |
| 195 | 2% | 21% | |
| 196 | 6% | 19% | |
| 197 | 3% | 14% | |
| 198 | 2% | 10% | |
| 199 | 3% | 9% | |
| 200 | 2% | 5% | |
| 201 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 176 | 1.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 96% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 179 | 6% | 94% | |
| 180 | 2% | 87% | |
| 181 | 15% | 85% | |
| 182 | 2% | 70% | |
| 183 | 7% | 68% | |
| 184 | 5% | 61% | |
| 185 | 4% | 56% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 52% | |
| 187 | 3% | 51% | |
| 188 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 189 | 2% | 43% | |
| 190 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 191 | 5% | 40% | |
| 192 | 10% | 35% | |
| 193 | 4% | 26% | |
| 194 | 7% | 22% | |
| 195 | 2% | 15% | |
| 196 | 4% | 12% | |
| 197 | 5% | 8% | |
| 198 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 199 | 2% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 170 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 171 | 8% | 96% | |
| 172 | 2% | 88% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 174 | 7% | 86% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 79% | |
| 176 | 5% | 79% | Majority |
| 177 | 7% | 74% | |
| 178 | 5% | 67% | |
| 179 | 3% | 62% | |
| 180 | 2% | 59% | |
| 181 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 182 | 3% | 54% | |
| 183 | 9% | 52% | |
| 184 | 3% | 42% | |
| 185 | 11% | 39% | |
| 186 | 6% | 29% | |
| 187 | 7% | 23% | |
| 188 | 2% | 16% | |
| 189 | 2% | 14% | |
| 190 | 3% | 12% | |
| 191 | 2% | 9% | |
| 192 | 2% | 7% | |
| 193 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 195 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 166 | 3% | 98% | |
| 167 | 8% | 96% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 170 | 5% | 86% | |
| 171 | 8% | 82% | |
| 172 | 3% | 74% | |
| 173 | 5% | 70% | |
| 174 | 2% | 65% | |
| 175 | 2% | 63% | |
| 176 | 2% | 61% | Majority |
| 177 | 4% | 58% | Median |
| 178 | 6% | 54% | |
| 179 | 3% | 48% | |
| 180 | 6% | 45% | |
| 181 | 13% | 39% | |
| 182 | 4% | 26% | |
| 183 | 3% | 23% | |
| 184 | 5% | 20% | |
| 185 | 5% | 15% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 187 | 3% | 9% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 189 | 3% | 6% | |
| 190 | 2% | 4% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 160 | 3% | 98% | |
| 161 | 7% | 95% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 163 | 7% | 87% | |
| 164 | 5% | 80% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 75% | |
| 166 | 3% | 74% | |
| 167 | 5% | 71% | |
| 168 | 6% | 66% | |
| 169 | 2% | 60% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 171 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 172 | 5% | 54% | |
| 173 | 4% | 49% | |
| 174 | 3% | 44% | |
| 175 | 15% | 41% | |
| 176 | 7% | 26% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 18% | |
| 178 | 3% | 16% | |
| 179 | 3% | 13% | |
| 180 | 3% | 10% | |
| 181 | 3% | 7% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 137 | 2% | 98% | |
| 138 | 2% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 140 | 3% | 95% | |
| 141 | 5% | 92% | |
| 142 | 2% | 86% | |
| 143 | 4% | 84% | |
| 144 | 6% | 79% | |
| 145 | 7% | 74% | |
| 146 | 9% | 67% | |
| 147 | 4% | 58% | |
| 148 | 3% | 54% | |
| 149 | 4% | 50% | |
| 150 | 2% | 46% | |
| 151 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 152 | 5% | 38% | |
| 153 | 4% | 33% | |
| 154 | 5% | 29% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 156 | 2% | 22% | |
| 157 | 7% | 21% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 159 | 11% | 13% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 96% | |
| 128 | 8% | 93% | |
| 129 | 8% | 84% | |
| 130 | 2% | 77% | |
| 131 | 6% | 75% | |
| 132 | 3% | 69% | |
| 133 | 4% | 66% | |
| 134 | 3% | 63% | |
| 135 | 9% | 59% | |
| 136 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 45% | |
| 138 | 6% | 43% | |
| 139 | 3% | 36% | |
| 140 | 12% | 33% | |
| 141 | 4% | 22% | |
| 142 | 4% | 18% | |
| 143 | 4% | 14% | |
| 144 | 2% | 10% | |
| 145 | 2% | 8% | |
| 146 | 3% | 6% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 122 | 2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 124 | 4% | 96% | |
| 125 | 3% | 91% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 127 | 2% | 87% | |
| 128 | 2% | 85% | |
| 129 | 4% | 83% | |
| 130 | 4% | 79% | |
| 131 | 4% | 75% | |
| 132 | 5% | 71% | |
| 133 | 4% | 67% | |
| 134 | 3% | 63% | |
| 135 | 8% | 59% | |
| 136 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 137 | 5% | 42% | |
| 138 | 5% | 38% | |
| 139 | 4% | 33% | |
| 140 | 2% | 29% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 142 | 20% | 26% | |
| 143 | 2% | 6% | |
| 144 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 118 | 5% | 96% | |
| 119 | 2% | 92% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 121 | 2% | 89% | |
| 122 | 4% | 86% | |
| 123 | 5% | 83% | |
| 124 | 4% | 78% | |
| 125 | 7% | 74% | |
| 126 | 2% | 67% | |
| 127 | 4% | 66% | |
| 128 | 9% | 61% | |
| 129 | 4% | 52% | |
| 130 | 9% | 48% | Median |
| 131 | 5% | 39% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 34% | |
| 133 | 5% | 33% | |
| 134 | 7% | 29% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 136 | 15% | 21% | |
| 137 | 2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 6% | 97% | |
| 89 | 5% | 91% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 91 | 4% | 85% | |
| 92 | 5% | 82% | |
| 93 | 3% | 76% | |
| 94 | 8% | 73% | |
| 95 | 6% | 65% | |
| 96 | 8% | 60% | |
| 97 | 2% | 51% | |
| 98 | 3% | 49% | |
| 99 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 100 | 5% | 40% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 35% | |
| 102 | 9% | 33% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 104 | 2% | 24% | |
| 105 | 2% | 22% | |
| 106 | 10% | 20% | |
| 107 | 7% | 10% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 90% | |
| 71 | 3% | 87% | |
| 72 | 5% | 84% | |
| 73 | 3% | 79% | |
| 74 | 3% | 75% | |
| 75 | 7% | 72% | |
| 76 | 3% | 65% | |
| 77 | 9% | 62% | |
| 78 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 79 | 9% | 44% | |
| 80 | 9% | 35% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 82 | 2% | 25% | |
| 83 | 10% | 23% | |
| 84 | 8% | 12% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IMOP
- Commissioner(s): El Confidencial
- Fieldwork period: 31 March–6 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1440
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.49%