Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–7 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.4% 26.8–28.0% 26.6–28.2% 26.5–28.3% 26.2–28.6%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.1% 19.6–20.6% 19.4–20.8% 19.3–20.9% 19.1–21.2%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.6% 15.1–16.1% 15.0–16.2% 14.9–16.4% 14.7–16.6%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.4% 13.0–13.9% 12.8–14.0% 12.7–14.1% 12.5–14.3%
Vox 0.2% 10.6% 10.2–11.0% 10.1–11.1% 10.0–11.2% 9.8–11.4%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.6% 2.4–2.8% 2.3–2.9% 2.3–3.0% 2.2–3.1%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.6%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.6%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 1.2% 1.1–1.4% 1.0–1.4% 1.0–1.4% 0.9–1.5%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.9% 0.8–1.0% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 121–124 120–126 118–126 115–128
Partido Popular 137 82 80–83 80–84 79–85 78–86
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 55 51–58 51–58 51–58 50–60
Unidos Podemos 71 36 36–38 36–38 36–38 35–40
Vox 0 26 25–27 25–28 25–29 23–30
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 12 12–14 11–14 11–14 10–14
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 0 0 0 0 0
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 4–5 4–5 2–5 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 1 1 1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.4% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.4%  
117 1.3% 99.1%  
118 0.6% 98%  
119 1.4% 97%  
120 1.3% 96%  
121 40% 95%  
122 18% 55% Median
123 11% 37%  
124 16% 26%  
125 1.4% 9%  
126 6% 8%  
127 2% 2%  
128 0.8% 0.8%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 3% 99.4%  
80 14% 96%  
81 25% 83%  
82 12% 57% Median
83 39% 46%  
84 3% 7%  
85 2% 4%  
86 1.4% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.5% 99.9%  
51 10% 99.4%  
52 14% 90%  
53 14% 75%  
54 2% 61%  
55 17% 59% Median
56 29% 42%  
57 1.4% 13%  
58 11% 12%  
59 0.3% 1.0%  
60 0.4% 0.7%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 2% 99.9%  
36 72% 98% Median
37 14% 26%  
38 10% 12%  
39 1.2% 2%  
40 0.8% 1.1%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.6% 100%  
24 1.3% 99.4%  
25 12% 98%  
26 59% 86% Median
27 19% 27%  
28 4% 8%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.5% 0.7%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100% Last Result
10 0.4% 99.7%  
11 4% 99.3%  
12 74% 95% Median
13 11% 21%  
14 10% 10%  
15 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 14% 99.9%  
5 57% 86% Median
6 28% 28%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 80% 99.9% Median
7 18% 19%  
8 1.3% 1.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100% Last Result
3 1.4% 97%  
4 79% 96% Median
5 17% 17%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 98.7% 98.8% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 259 100% 256–260 256–260 255–261 253–263
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 213 100% 211–216 209–216 209–216 207–218
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 204 100% 201–207 201–207 200–207 199–210
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 187 100% 184–190 184–190 182–190 180–192
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 177 76% 175–179 173–179 172–180 170–181
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 176 55% 174–179 174–180 172–180 170–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 174 38% 173–178 172–179 170–179 168–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 169 0.1% 167–171 166–172 165–173 164–174
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 165 0% 163–167 163–168 161–169 160–170
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 162 0% 159–165 159–165 159–167 157–169
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 158 0% 157–161 156–162 155–163 153–164
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 143 0% 139–145 138–145 137–146 136–149
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 137 0% 134–140 133–140 132–140 131–144
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 136 0% 133–139 132–139 131–139 130–143
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 0% 121–124 120–126 118–126 115–128
Partido Popular – Vox 137 108 0% 106–109 106–111 106–112 105–114
Partido Popular 137 82 0% 80–83 80–84 79–85 78–86

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0.3% 100%  
252 0.2% 99.7%  
253 0.3% 99.5%  
254 1.1% 99.2% Last Result
255 1.3% 98%  
256 7% 97%  
257 13% 90%  
258 19% 77%  
259 14% 58% Median
260 40% 44%  
261 2% 3%  
262 0.7% 2%  
263 1.0% 1.0%  
264 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0.1% 100%  
203 0% 99.9%  
204 0% 99.9%  
205 0% 99.9%  
206 0.1% 99.9%  
207 0.9% 99.8%  
208 1.2% 98.9%  
209 3% 98%  
210 1.4% 95%  
211 6% 93%  
212 3% 87%  
213 63% 84% Median
214 2% 21%  
215 6% 20%  
216 11% 13%  
217 2% 2%  
218 0.3% 0.6%  
219 0.3% 0.3%  
220 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0.1% 100%  
197 0.1% 99.9%  
198 0.2% 99.8%  
199 1.3% 99.7%  
200 2% 98%  
201 10% 97%  
202 2% 87%  
203 19% 84%  
204 27% 66% Median
205 15% 39%  
206 5% 23%  
207 16% 18%  
208 0.6% 2%  
209 0.8% 2%  
210 0.9% 0.9%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0.1% 100%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
181 0.5% 99.5%  
182 2% 99.0%  
183 1.5% 97%  
184 29% 96%  
185 11% 67% Median
186 2% 56%  
187 18% 54%  
188 21% 36%  
189 4% 15%  
190 9% 11%  
191 0.5% 1.4%  
192 0.8% 0.9%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.5% 99.8%  
171 0.4% 99.3%  
172 2% 98.9%  
173 2% 97%  
174 2% 94%  
175 16% 92%  
176 2% 76% Majority
177 55% 74% Median
178 0.8% 19%  
179 16% 18%  
180 2% 3%  
181 0.3% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.2% 0.2%  
184 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.6% 99.8%  
171 1.0% 99.2%  
172 2% 98%  
173 1.4% 97% Last Result
174 28% 95%  
175 12% 67% Median
176 18% 55% Majority
177 12% 37%  
178 11% 25%  
179 6% 14%  
180 7% 9%  
181 0.8% 2%  
182 0.6% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
168 0.3% 99.8%  
169 0.4% 99.4%  
170 2% 99.1%  
171 2% 97%  
172 1.4% 95%  
173 27% 94%  
174 17% 66% Median
175 11% 49%  
176 3% 38% Majority
177 21% 35%  
178 9% 14%  
179 4% 5%  
180 0.7% 1.4%  
181 0.1% 0.7%  
182 0.5% 0.6%  
183 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
164 1.0% 99.7%  
165 2% 98.7%  
166 2% 96%  
167 29% 95%  
168 13% 66% Median
169 16% 53%  
170 8% 37%  
171 20% 30%  
172 5% 10%  
173 4% 5%  
174 0.9% 1.0%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 1.3% 99.8%  
161 2% 98% Last Result
162 1.3% 97%  
163 29% 95%  
164 12% 67% Median
165 18% 55%  
166 16% 36%  
167 10% 20%  
168 6% 9%  
169 1.4% 3%  
170 1.4% 2%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0.8% 99.9%  
158 0.3% 99.1%  
159 9% 98.8%  
160 4% 90%  
161 21% 85%  
162 18% 64%  
163 2% 47% Median
164 11% 44%  
165 29% 33%  
166 1.5% 4%  
167 2% 3%  
168 0.5% 1.0%  
169 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 1.1% 99.8%  
154 0.9% 98.7%  
155 1.3% 98%  
156 2% 96% Last Result
157 29% 95%  
158 27% 66% Median
159 3% 39%  
160 16% 36%  
161 10% 19%  
162 6% 9%  
163 1.4% 3%  
164 1.3% 1.4%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0.6% 99.9%  
137 3% 99.3%  
138 6% 97%  
139 2% 91%  
140 14% 89%  
141 2% 75%  
142 13% 73%  
143 16% 60% Median
144 12% 44%  
145 29% 32%  
146 0.5% 3%  
147 0.7% 2%  
148 0.7% 2%  
149 0.5% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.3%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0.8% 99.9%  
132 3% 99.1%  
133 6% 96%  
134 1.4% 90%  
135 14% 89%  
136 3% 75%  
137 28% 72%  
138 2% 44% Median
139 11% 42%  
140 29% 31%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.7% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.2%  
144 0.5% 0.7%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.8% 99.9%  
131 3% 99.1%  
132 6% 97%  
133 2% 91%  
134 14% 89%  
135 2% 75%  
136 28% 73%  
137 2% 44% Median
138 11% 42%  
139 29% 31%  
140 0.3% 2%  
141 0.7% 2%  
142 0.4% 1.2%  
143 0.5% 0.7%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.4% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.4%  
117 1.3% 99.1%  
118 0.6% 98%  
119 1.4% 97%  
120 1.3% 96%  
121 40% 95%  
122 18% 55% Median
123 11% 37%  
124 16% 26%  
125 1.4% 9%  
126 6% 8%  
127 2% 2%  
128 0.8% 0.8%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0.1% 100%  
104 0.4% 99.9%  
105 1.1% 99.5%  
106 12% 98%  
107 21% 86%  
108 19% 65% Median
109 37% 46%  
110 2% 9%  
111 3% 7%  
112 1.0% 3%  
113 0.9% 2%  
114 1.2% 1.5%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 3% 99.4%  
80 14% 96%  
81 25% 83%  
82 12% 57% Median
83 39% 46%  
84 3% 7%  
85 2% 4%  
86 1.4% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations