Opinion Poll by GAD3 for La Vanguardia, 9–11 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 31.1% | 29.1–33.3% | 28.5–33.9% | 28.0–34.4% | 27.1–35.5% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.9–16.1% | 12.5–16.6% | 12.1–17.0% | 11.4–17.8% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 11.9% | 10.5–13.5% | 10.1–13.9% | 9.8–14.3% | 9.2–15.1% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 11.2% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.6–13.2% | 9.2–13.6% | 8.6–14.4% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.6–2.8% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.2–2.0% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 130 | 123–143 | 116–150 | 116–152 | 111–156 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 84 | 72–97 | 70–103 | 69–103 | 65–104 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 46 | 34–52 | 32–52 | 28–54 | 25–60 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 29 | 24–35 | 23–37 | 22–38 | 21–40 |
| Vox | 0 | 27 | 22–34 | 22–41 | 20–41 | 19–44 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 16 | 13–20 | 11–21 | 11–22 | 10–22 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 3 | 1–5 | 1–6 | 1–7 | 0–9 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 123 | 5% | 90% | |
| 124 | 4% | 85% | |
| 125 | 10% | 81% | |
| 126 | 5% | 71% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 128 | 8% | 64% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 56% | |
| 130 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 131 | 1.2% | 49% | |
| 132 | 2% | 48% | |
| 133 | 2% | 47% | |
| 134 | 3% | 45% | |
| 135 | 2% | 42% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 41% | |
| 137 | 7% | 39% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 139 | 13% | 31% | |
| 140 | 2% | 18% | |
| 141 | 2% | 16% | |
| 142 | 3% | 14% | |
| 143 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 148 | 2% | 8% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 151 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 155 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 72 | 5% | 94% | |
| 73 | 2% | 89% | |
| 74 | 8% | 87% | |
| 75 | 2% | 79% | |
| 76 | 2% | 77% | |
| 77 | 4% | 76% | |
| 78 | 8% | 72% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 63% | |
| 80 | 2% | 62% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 60% | |
| 82 | 5% | 59% | |
| 83 | 3% | 54% | |
| 84 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 85 | 6% | 41% | |
| 86 | 5% | 35% | |
| 87 | 5% | 30% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 89 | 12% | 25% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 103 | 5% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 98% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 33 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 6% | 93% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 37 | 8% | 86% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 39 | 4% | 77% | |
| 40 | 3% | 73% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 42 | 2% | 70% | |
| 43 | 2% | 68% | |
| 44 | 6% | 67% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 61% | |
| 46 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 47 | 1.1% | 49% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 48% | |
| 49 | 16% | 47% | |
| 50 | 7% | 31% | |
| 51 | 13% | 24% | |
| 52 | 7% | 11% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 5% | 96% | |
| 24 | 2% | 91% | |
| 25 | 4% | 89% | |
| 26 | 7% | 84% | |
| 27 | 19% | 77% | |
| 28 | 5% | 58% | |
| 29 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 30 | 3% | 48% | |
| 31 | 8% | 45% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 37% | |
| 33 | 12% | 36% | |
| 34 | 11% | 25% | |
| 35 | 5% | 14% | |
| 36 | 2% | 8% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 22 | 12% | 96% | |
| 23 | 7% | 83% | |
| 24 | 8% | 77% | |
| 25 | 3% | 69% | |
| 26 | 8% | 66% | |
| 27 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 28 | 3% | 46% | |
| 29 | 5% | 43% | |
| 30 | 7% | 39% | |
| 31 | 6% | 32% | |
| 32 | 12% | 27% | |
| 33 | 3% | 14% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 8% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 41 | 5% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 3% | 93% | |
| 13 | 2% | 91% | |
| 14 | 9% | 89% | |
| 15 | 24% | 80% | |
| 16 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 17 | 4% | 38% | |
| 18 | 3% | 33% | |
| 19 | 14% | 30% | |
| 20 | 10% | 16% | |
| 21 | 3% | 6% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 22% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 3% | 89% | |
| 3 | 16% | 86% | |
| 4 | 13% | 71% | |
| 5 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 38% | |
| 7 | 12% | 29% | |
| 8 | 15% | 17% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 3% | 98% | |
| 4 | 8% | 95% | |
| 5 | 11% | 87% | Last Result |
| 6 | 37% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 14% | 39% | |
| 8 | 9% | 25% | |
| 9 | 8% | 16% | |
| 10 | 7% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 19% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 29% | 80% | Last Result |
| 3 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 4 | 20% | 38% | |
| 5 | 9% | 18% | |
| 6 | 5% | 9% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | |
| 1 | 36% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 30% | 36% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 260 | 100% | 254–265 | 251–270 | 249–273 | 243–275 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 214 | 100% | 207–223 | 206–232 | 203–234 | 196–242 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 208 | 99.8% | 194–221 | 184–221 | 184–224 | 182–229 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 192 | 97% | 182–203 | 179–208 | 175–212 | 172–216 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 183 | 78% | 170–195 | 170–197 | 168–202 | 161–207 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 180 | 73% | 170–192 | 167–198 | 165–202 | 159–207 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 176 | 58% | 164–189 | 153–192 | 153–193 | 152–200 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 170 | 29% | 160–185 | 156–191 | 156–192 | 148–197 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 167 | 24% | 156–181 | 152–186 | 152–188 | 144–195 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 162 | 8% | 150–174 | 147–180 | 147–182 | 138–188 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 156 | 0.9% | 145–167 | 141–170 | 137–173 | 133–177 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 130 | 0% | 123–143 | 116–150 | 116–152 | 111–156 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 136 | 0% | 122–145 | 120–147 | 115–150 | 108–156 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 129 | 0% | 117–141 | 115–141 | 111–145 | 105–151 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 129 | 0% | 115–140 | 114–140 | 109–143 | 104–149 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 112 | 0% | 97–125 | 96–133 | 96–133 | 88–136 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 84 | 0% | 72–97 | 70–103 | 69–103 | 65–104 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 239 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 240 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 242 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 246 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 247 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 248 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 249 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 250 | 2% | 97% | |
| 251 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 252 | 2% | 95% | |
| 253 | 2% | 93% | |
| 254 | 1.0% | 91% | Last Result |
| 255 | 6% | 90% | |
| 256 | 8% | 84% | |
| 257 | 11% | 76% | |
| 258 | 4% | 65% | |
| 259 | 10% | 61% | |
| 260 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 261 | 3% | 45% | |
| 262 | 9% | 42% | |
| 263 | 7% | 33% | |
| 264 | 10% | 25% | |
| 265 | 6% | 16% | |
| 266 | 2% | 10% | |
| 267 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 268 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 269 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 270 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 271 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 272 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 273 | 2% | 3% | |
| 274 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 275 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 277 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 278 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 283 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 202 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 206 | 5% | 97% | |
| 207 | 4% | 92% | |
| 208 | 5% | 87% | |
| 209 | 2% | 83% | |
| 210 | 5% | 81% | |
| 211 | 5% | 76% | |
| 212 | 6% | 71% | |
| 213 | 9% | 65% | |
| 214 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 215 | 6% | 46% | |
| 216 | 5% | 40% | |
| 217 | 4% | 35% | |
| 218 | 3% | 31% | |
| 219 | 7% | 28% | |
| 220 | 3% | 21% | |
| 221 | 6% | 18% | |
| 222 | 0.9% | 12% | Last Result |
| 223 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 224 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 227 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 228 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 230 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 231 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 232 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 233 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 234 | 2% | 4% | |
| 235 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 239 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 240 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 241 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 242 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 176 | 0% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 184 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 192 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 197 | 6% | 89% | |
| 198 | 2% | 83% | |
| 199 | 4% | 81% | |
| 200 | 2% | 77% | |
| 201 | 10% | 75% | |
| 202 | 3% | 65% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 62% | |
| 204 | 2% | 62% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 60% | Median |
| 206 | 5% | 59% | |
| 207 | 2% | 54% | |
| 208 | 7% | 53% | |
| 209 | 1.4% | 46% | |
| 210 | 5% | 45% | |
| 211 | 7% | 40% | |
| 212 | 6% | 33% | |
| 213 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 214 | 3% | 27% | |
| 215 | 2% | 23% | |
| 216 | 5% | 22% | |
| 217 | 2% | 17% | |
| 218 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 219 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 220 | 2% | 12% | |
| 221 | 7% | 10% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 224 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 225 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 226 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 229 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 175 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 97% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 179 | 5% | 96% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 91% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 182 | 2% | 91% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 184 | 3% | 88% | |
| 185 | 7% | 85% | |
| 186 | 7% | 78% | |
| 187 | 3% | 71% | |
| 188 | 7% | 68% | |
| 189 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 190 | 2% | 54% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 52% | |
| 192 | 5% | 51% | |
| 193 | 1.4% | 46% | |
| 194 | 2% | 45% | |
| 195 | 7% | 43% | |
| 196 | 2% | 35% | |
| 197 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 198 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 200 | 10% | 30% | |
| 201 | 2% | 20% | |
| 202 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 203 | 8% | 18% | |
| 204 | 2% | 10% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 206 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 208 | 2% | 6% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 212 | 2% | 3% | |
| 213 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 169 | 2% | 97% | |
| 170 | 6% | 95% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 173 | 3% | 89% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 175 | 7% | 85% | |
| 176 | 7% | 78% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.8% | 71% | |
| 178 | 2% | 70% | |
| 179 | 8% | 68% | |
| 180 | 2% | 60% | Median |
| 181 | 6% | 58% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 52% | |
| 183 | 8% | 51% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 44% | |
| 185 | 5% | 43% | |
| 186 | 3% | 38% | |
| 187 | 2% | 35% | |
| 188 | 3% | 33% | |
| 189 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 190 | 3% | 28% | |
| 191 | 3% | 26% | |
| 192 | 5% | 22% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 194 | 3% | 17% | |
| 195 | 7% | 14% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 197 | 2% | 6% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 201 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 202 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 167 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 170 | 6% | 93% | |
| 171 | 7% | 87% | |
| 172 | 2% | 80% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 79% | |
| 174 | 5% | 78% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 176 | 1.4% | 73% | Majority |
| 177 | 10% | 71% | |
| 178 | 5% | 62% | Median |
| 179 | 1.0% | 57% | |
| 180 | 8% | 56% | |
| 181 | 2% | 48% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 45% | |
| 183 | 4% | 44% | |
| 184 | 3% | 41% | |
| 185 | 5% | 38% | |
| 186 | 3% | 33% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 188 | 6% | 29% | |
| 189 | 3% | 22% | |
| 190 | 7% | 20% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 192 | 2% | 11% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 194 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 195 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 196 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 198 | 2% | 6% | |
| 199 | 0% | 4% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 202 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0% | 2% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 153 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 154 | 0% | 94% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 167 | 2% | 88% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 170 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 171 | 10% | 84% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 73% | |
| 174 | 11% | 72% | |
| 175 | 3% | 61% | |
| 176 | 9% | 58% | Median, Majority |
| 177 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 178 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 179 | 8% | 46% | |
| 180 | 3% | 38% | |
| 181 | 3% | 35% | |
| 182 | 4% | 32% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 28% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 185 | 6% | 26% | |
| 186 | 3% | 21% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 188 | 8% | 18% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 190 | 2% | 10% | |
| 191 | 3% | 8% | |
| 192 | 3% | 5% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 195 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 156 | 5% | 98% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 162 | 6% | 89% | |
| 163 | 9% | 84% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 166 | 6% | 73% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 67% | |
| 168 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 169 | 6% | 56% | |
| 170 | 2% | 50% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 48% | |
| 172 | 2% | 47% | |
| 173 | 4% | 46% | |
| 174 | 9% | 41% | |
| 175 | 4% | 33% | |
| 176 | 2% | 29% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 180 | 8% | 25% | |
| 181 | 2% | 16% | |
| 182 | 3% | 14% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 185 | 2% | 10% | |
| 186 | 3% | 8% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 192 | 3% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 195 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 152 | 5% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 159 | 9% | 89% | |
| 160 | 5% | 79% | |
| 161 | 3% | 75% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 165 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 166 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 167 | 10% | 59% | |
| 168 | 4% | 48% | |
| 169 | 4% | 45% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 41% | |
| 171 | 2% | 40% | |
| 172 | 6% | 38% | |
| 173 | 5% | 33% | |
| 174 | 2% | 27% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 25% | |
| 176 | 1.4% | 24% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 178 | 10% | 23% | |
| 179 | 2% | 13% | |
| 180 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 181 | 2% | 11% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 185 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 187 | 2% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0% | 2% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 147 | 7% | 98% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 150 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 151 | 3% | 89% | |
| 152 | 7% | 86% | |
| 153 | 4% | 80% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 155 | 6% | 75% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 69% | Last Result |
| 157 | 5% | 68% | |
| 158 | 2% | 63% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 61% | Median |
| 160 | 2% | 61% | |
| 161 | 6% | 59% | |
| 162 | 4% | 53% | |
| 163 | 6% | 49% | |
| 164 | 6% | 44% | |
| 165 | 2% | 37% | |
| 166 | 8% | 35% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 27% | |
| 168 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 25% | |
| 170 | 3% | 24% | |
| 171 | 2% | 21% | |
| 172 | 8% | 19% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 175 | 2% | 10% | |
| 176 | 1.4% | 8% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 180 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 137 | 2% | 98% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 141 | 2% | 96% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 144 | 2% | 93% | |
| 145 | 8% | 91% | |
| 146 | 2% | 82% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 148 | 2% | 79% | |
| 149 | 3% | 77% | |
| 150 | 5% | 74% | |
| 151 | 1.4% | 69% | |
| 152 | 2% | 67% | |
| 153 | 2% | 66% | |
| 154 | 3% | 64% | |
| 155 | 5% | 61% | |
| 156 | 6% | 56% | |
| 157 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 158 | 2% | 48% | |
| 159 | 7% | 45% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 38% | |
| 161 | 2% | 38% | |
| 162 | 13% | 36% | |
| 163 | 5% | 23% | |
| 164 | 3% | 18% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 166 | 4% | 14% | |
| 167 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 170 | 5% | 9% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 123 | 5% | 90% | |
| 124 | 4% | 85% | |
| 125 | 10% | 81% | |
| 126 | 5% | 71% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 128 | 8% | 64% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 56% | |
| 130 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 131 | 1.2% | 49% | |
| 132 | 2% | 48% | |
| 133 | 2% | 47% | |
| 134 | 3% | 45% | |
| 135 | 2% | 42% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 41% | |
| 137 | 7% | 39% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 139 | 13% | 31% | |
| 140 | 2% | 18% | |
| 141 | 2% | 16% | |
| 142 | 3% | 14% | |
| 143 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 148 | 2% | 8% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 151 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 155 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 114 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 121 | 2% | 94% | |
| 122 | 6% | 92% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 124 | 8% | 86% | |
| 125 | 3% | 78% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 127 | 5% | 74% | |
| 128 | 2% | 70% | |
| 129 | 7% | 68% | |
| 130 | 3% | 60% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 58% | |
| 132 | 3% | 57% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 54% | |
| 134 | 2% | 54% | |
| 135 | 2% | 52% | |
| 136 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 137 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 138 | 4% | 45% | |
| 139 | 7% | 41% | |
| 140 | 2% | 34% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 32% | |
| 142 | 2% | 31% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 29% | |
| 144 | 4% | 29% | |
| 145 | 17% | 25% | |
| 146 | 3% | 8% | |
| 147 | 2% | 5% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 115 | 2% | 96% | |
| 116 | 2% | 94% | |
| 117 | 3% | 92% | |
| 118 | 6% | 89% | |
| 119 | 6% | 83% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 121 | 3% | 76% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 123 | 5% | 73% | |
| 124 | 3% | 68% | |
| 125 | 8% | 65% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 57% | |
| 127 | 2% | 56% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 55% | |
| 129 | 7% | 54% | |
| 130 | 2% | 47% | |
| 131 | 5% | 45% | Median |
| 132 | 1.0% | 39% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 38% | |
| 134 | 4% | 38% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 33% | |
| 137 | 7% | 33% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 26% | |
| 139 | 5% | 25% | |
| 140 | 9% | 20% | |
| 141 | 6% | 10% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 109 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 114 | 2% | 96% | |
| 115 | 4% | 93% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 117 | 2% | 89% | |
| 118 | 10% | 87% | |
| 119 | 2% | 77% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 121 | 3% | 74% | |
| 122 | 5% | 71% | |
| 123 | 7% | 66% | |
| 124 | 2% | 59% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 57% | |
| 126 | 2% | 57% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 55% | |
| 128 | 3% | 54% | |
| 129 | 9% | 51% | |
| 130 | 3% | 42% | Median |
| 131 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 38% | |
| 133 | 3% | 37% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 34% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 33% | |
| 136 | 6% | 32% | |
| 137 | 3% | 26% | |
| 138 | 7% | 23% | |
| 139 | 5% | 15% | |
| 140 | 7% | 10% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 96 | 7% | 98% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 102 | 5% | 88% | |
| 103 | 5% | 82% | |
| 104 | 7% | 78% | |
| 105 | 5% | 71% | |
| 106 | 3% | 66% | |
| 107 | 2% | 63% | |
| 108 | 4% | 61% | |
| 109 | 2% | 57% | |
| 110 | 4% | 55% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 51% | Median |
| 112 | 10% | 50% | |
| 113 | 8% | 40% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 31% | |
| 115 | 4% | 30% | |
| 116 | 4% | 27% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 118 | 3% | 23% | |
| 119 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 125 | 7% | 16% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 133 | 5% | 6% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 138 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 72 | 5% | 94% | |
| 73 | 2% | 89% | |
| 74 | 8% | 87% | |
| 75 | 2% | 79% | |
| 76 | 2% | 77% | |
| 77 | 4% | 76% | |
| 78 | 8% | 72% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 63% | |
| 80 | 2% | 62% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 60% | |
| 82 | 5% | 59% | |
| 83 | 3% | 54% | |
| 84 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 85 | 6% | 41% | |
| 86 | 5% | 35% | |
| 87 | 5% | 30% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 89 | 12% | 25% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 103 | 5% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GAD3
- Commissioner(s): La Vanguardia
- Fieldwork period: 9–11 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.01%