Opinion Poll by Top Position, 13–15 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.8% 26.2–29.5% 25.8–30.0% 25.4–30.5% 24.6–31.3%
Partido Popular 33.0% 22.3% 20.8–23.9% 20.4–24.4% 20.1–24.8% 19.4–25.6%
Vox 0.2% 14.2% 12.9–15.5% 12.6–15.9% 12.3–16.3% 11.7–16.9%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 13.1% 11.9–14.4% 11.6–14.8% 11.3–15.1% 10.7–15.8%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 12.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.8% 10.4–14.1% 9.9–14.8%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.8%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 119 109–129 107–131 104–133 100–137
Partido Popular 137 91 80–103 79–105 78–106 74–111
Vox 0 42 35–48 33–50 31–53 30–56
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 37 28–44 26–46 24–47 21–51
Unidos Podemos 71 30 25–36 24–37 23–38 23–41
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 14 11–16 11–17 10–18 9–20
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 7 4–8 4–9 3–10 3–12
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–8 3–8 3–9 2–10

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.6%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.4% 99.0%  
103 0.4% 98.6%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 0.9% 97%  
106 1.2% 96%  
107 2% 95%  
108 2% 93%  
109 5% 91%  
110 1.3% 86%  
111 2% 85%  
112 3% 82%  
113 2% 80%  
114 4% 77%  
115 5% 73%  
116 8% 68%  
117 2% 60%  
118 2% 59%  
119 7% 56% Median
120 4% 49%  
121 5% 45%  
122 7% 40%  
123 5% 32%  
124 3% 28%  
125 3% 24%  
126 3% 21%  
127 3% 18%  
128 2% 14%  
129 5% 12%  
130 1.3% 7%  
131 1.4% 6%  
132 1.2% 4%  
133 0.8% 3%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.4%  
136 0.2% 1.2%  
137 0.6% 1.0%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 0.5% 99.0%  
77 0.7% 98%  
78 3% 98%  
79 1.3% 95%  
80 4% 94%  
81 2% 90%  
82 6% 88%  
83 3% 82%  
84 3% 79%  
85 4% 76%  
86 5% 72%  
87 3% 67%  
88 3% 64%  
89 5% 61%  
90 2% 56%  
91 6% 54% Median
92 3% 48%  
93 3% 45%  
94 3% 41%  
95 3% 39%  
96 4% 35%  
97 4% 31%  
98 3% 27%  
99 7% 24%  
100 2% 17%  
101 2% 15%  
102 3% 13%  
103 2% 10%  
104 3% 8%  
105 2% 5%  
106 0.6% 3%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.2% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.7%  
111 0.1% 0.5%  
112 0.2% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0.4% 99.7%  
31 2% 99.3%  
32 2% 97%  
33 2% 95%  
34 2% 93%  
35 2% 92%  
36 3% 89%  
37 2% 86%  
38 2% 84%  
39 6% 82%  
40 10% 75%  
41 11% 65%  
42 8% 55% Median
43 5% 46%  
44 7% 42%  
45 8% 34%  
46 6% 27%  
47 7% 21%  
48 5% 14%  
49 2% 9%  
50 2% 7%  
51 1.1% 5%  
52 0.8% 4%  
53 0.9% 3%  
54 0.6% 2%  
55 0.7% 1.5%  
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.8%  
21 0.4% 99.6%  
22 0.3% 99.1%  
23 0.6% 98.8%  
24 1.1% 98%  
25 1.1% 97%  
26 2% 96%  
27 2% 94%  
28 3% 92%  
29 4% 89%  
30 6% 85%  
31 4% 79%  
32 1.5% 75% Last Result
33 6% 73%  
34 2% 67%  
35 6% 65%  
36 6% 59%  
37 11% 52% Median
38 5% 42%  
39 7% 37%  
40 3% 29%  
41 7% 27%  
42 3% 20%  
43 3% 16%  
44 4% 13%  
45 3% 9%  
46 3% 6%  
47 1.2% 3%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 0.4% 1.4%  
50 0.3% 0.9%  
51 0.3% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.3% 100%  
23 3% 99.6%  
24 4% 97%  
25 5% 93%  
26 7% 89%  
27 7% 82%  
28 7% 74%  
29 7% 68%  
30 12% 61% Median
31 7% 48%  
32 9% 41%  
33 6% 32%  
34 5% 27%  
35 6% 22%  
36 9% 16%  
37 3% 7%  
38 2% 4%  
39 0.9% 2%  
40 0.4% 1.3%  
41 0.5% 0.9%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.5% 99.9% Last Result
10 2% 98%  
11 10% 97%  
12 5% 86%  
13 6% 81%  
14 28% 76% Median
15 32% 47%  
16 8% 15%  
17 4% 7%  
18 1.0% 3%  
19 1.1% 2%  
20 0.7% 0.9%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.9%  
3 2% 99.7%  
4 8% 97%  
5 18% 90%  
6 20% 72%  
7 6% 52% Median
8 37% 46% Last Result
9 6% 8%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.3% 0.9%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.8% 100%  
3 16% 99.2%  
4 9% 83%  
5 13% 74% Last Result
6 30% 61% Median
7 5% 31%  
8 23% 26%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.8% 0.8%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 247 100% 239–255 237–258 234–260 228–263
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 211 100% 200–221 198–224 195–226 190–230
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 186 90% 175–197 173–200 170–202 165–206
Partido Popular – Vox – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 169 25% 161–180 158–183 155–185 151–190
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 171 26% 160–180 157–183 155–185 150–190
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 155 0.4% 144–166 142–169 140–171 136–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 156 0.5% 145–165 141–168 139–170 135–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 150 0% 139–159 135–162 134–164 129–169
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 133 0% 123–145 121–147 119–150 114–155
Partido Popular – Vox 137 134 0% 123–145 121–147 118–150 115–153
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 128 0% 117–139 115–142 113–144 109–149
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 119 0% 109–129 107–131 104–133 100–137
Partido Popular 137 91 0% 80–103 79–105 78–106 74–111

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0.1% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.3% 99.8%  
229 0.3% 99.5%  
230 0.2% 99.2%  
231 0.5% 99.0%  
232 0.2% 98.5%  
233 0.5% 98%  
234 0.7% 98%  
235 1.2% 97%  
236 0.7% 96%  
237 1.0% 95%  
238 2% 94%  
239 4% 92%  
240 3% 88%  
241 4% 85%  
242 10% 81%  
243 3% 71%  
244 3% 68%  
245 6% 65%  
246 4% 59%  
247 7% 55% Median
248 10% 48%  
249 9% 39%  
250 4% 29%  
251 7% 25%  
252 3% 19%  
253 2% 16%  
254 3% 14% Last Result
255 3% 11%  
256 2% 9%  
257 2% 7%  
258 1.2% 5%  
259 1.2% 4%  
260 0.7% 3%  
261 0.9% 2%  
262 0.7% 1.2%  
263 0.3% 0.5%  
264 0.1% 0.2%  
265 0.1% 0.1%  
266 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.8%  
189 0.1% 99.7%  
190 0.2% 99.6%  
191 0.3% 99.4%  
192 0.3% 99.1%  
193 0.4% 98.8%  
194 0.5% 98%  
195 0.5% 98%  
196 0.9% 97%  
197 1.0% 96%  
198 2% 95%  
199 3% 94%  
200 1.3% 91%  
201 5% 90%  
202 5% 85%  
203 3% 80%  
204 4% 77%  
205 3% 73%  
206 3% 70%  
207 3% 67%  
208 4% 63%  
209 4% 59%  
210 4% 56% Median
211 4% 52%  
212 9% 48%  
213 3% 40%  
214 4% 36%  
215 6% 32%  
216 3% 26%  
217 4% 23%  
218 3% 20%  
219 2% 17%  
220 4% 15%  
221 2% 11%  
222 0.9% 9% Last Result
223 1.2% 8%  
224 2% 7%  
225 1.4% 4%  
226 0.4% 3%  
227 0.9% 2%  
228 0.4% 1.4%  
229 0.4% 1.0%  
230 0.1% 0.6%  
231 0.1% 0.4%  
232 0.2% 0.3%  
233 0.1% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.2% 99.8%  
165 0.2% 99.6%  
166 0.2% 99.3%  
167 0.3% 99.1%  
168 0.6% 98.8%  
169 0.4% 98%  
170 0.6% 98%  
171 1.2% 97%  
172 0.7% 96%  
173 2% 95%  
174 1.4% 93%  
175 1.5% 91%  
176 1.3% 90% Majority
177 3% 89%  
178 4% 85%  
179 7% 81%  
180 4% 74%  
181 4% 70%  
182 4% 66%  
183 3% 62%  
184 3% 59%  
185 3% 56%  
186 4% 54% Median
187 3% 50%  
188 10% 46% Last Result
189 2% 36%  
190 2% 34%  
191 4% 32%  
192 4% 27%  
193 2% 23%  
194 3% 21%  
195 4% 18%  
196 3% 13%  
197 1.5% 10%  
198 2% 9%  
199 1.5% 7%  
200 1.2% 5%  
201 1.3% 4%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.8% 2%  
204 0.4% 1.3%  
205 0.2% 0.9%  
206 0.4% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0.3% 99.6%  
152 0.2% 99.3%  
153 0.8% 99.1%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.9% 98%  
156 0.7% 97%  
157 0.9% 96%  
158 1.3% 96%  
159 1.4% 94%  
160 2% 93%  
161 2% 90%  
162 3% 88%  
163 5% 85%  
164 5% 80%  
165 4% 75%  
166 4% 71%  
167 5% 67%  
168 11% 62%  
169 1.4% 51% Last Result
170 6% 49% Median
171 4% 44%  
172 2% 40%  
173 8% 38%  
174 2% 30%  
175 3% 28%  
176 5% 25% Majority
177 4% 20%  
178 2% 17%  
179 2% 14%  
180 3% 13%  
181 3% 10%  
182 1.3% 7%  
183 1.1% 6%  
184 1.4% 5%  
185 1.0% 3%  
186 0.7% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.3% 1.0%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.2% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.6%  
151 0.4% 99.4%  
152 0.3% 99.0%  
153 0.4% 98.7%  
154 0.6% 98%  
155 0.5% 98%  
156 1.1% 97%  
157 1.1% 96%  
158 2% 95%  
159 1.2% 92%  
160 3% 91%  
161 2% 88%  
162 3% 86%  
163 3% 83%  
164 3% 80%  
165 3% 78%  
166 2% 74%  
167 4% 72%  
168 4% 69%  
169 7% 65%  
170 5% 58% Median
171 5% 53%  
172 6% 49%  
173 9% 43% Last Result
174 4% 34%  
175 5% 30%  
176 4% 26% Majority
177 5% 22%  
178 4% 17%  
179 2% 13%  
180 2% 11%  
181 2% 9%  
182 2% 7%  
183 1.4% 5%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 1.0% 2%  
188 0.1% 0.8%  
189 0.1% 0.7%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.5%  
137 0.5% 99.3%  
138 0.6% 98.8%  
139 0.8% 98%  
140 0.9% 98%  
141 0.6% 97%  
142 2% 96%  
143 2% 94%  
144 2% 92%  
145 1.4% 90%  
146 3% 88%  
147 3% 85%  
148 2% 82%  
149 7% 80%  
150 5% 72%  
151 3% 68%  
152 4% 65%  
153 5% 60%  
154 3% 56%  
155 3% 53%  
156 3% 50% Median
157 4% 47%  
158 7% 43%  
159 5% 37%  
160 4% 32%  
161 3% 27%  
162 4% 24%  
163 3% 20%  
164 2% 17%  
165 3% 15%  
166 2% 12%  
167 2% 10%  
168 2% 8%  
169 0.9% 5%  
170 1.4% 5%  
171 1.3% 3%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.6% 1.5%  
174 0.3% 0.8%  
175 0.2% 0.6%  
176 0.2% 0.4% Majority
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.3% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.3%  
137 0.2% 99.1%  
138 0.9% 98.8%  
139 0.7% 98%  
140 1.5% 97%  
141 1.0% 96%  
142 2% 95%  
143 0.9% 93%  
144 0.9% 92%  
145 1.4% 91%  
146 2% 90%  
147 3% 88%  
148 3% 85%  
149 2% 82%  
150 7% 80%  
151 4% 72%  
152 3% 68%  
153 4% 65%  
154 3% 61%  
155 3% 58% Median
156 11% 55%  
157 3% 44%  
158 4% 41%  
159 7% 37%  
160 3% 30%  
161 4% 27% Last Result
162 3% 22%  
163 4% 19%  
164 3% 15%  
165 3% 12%  
166 2% 9%  
167 2% 7%  
168 0.6% 5%  
169 1.4% 5%  
170 1.0% 3%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.6% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.0%  
175 0.2% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.5% Majority
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.2% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.3% 99.4%  
131 0.3% 99.1%  
132 0.5% 98.8%  
133 0.7% 98%  
134 0.9% 98%  
135 2% 97%  
136 1.4% 95%  
137 1.1% 94%  
138 1.2% 92%  
139 2% 91%  
140 2% 89%  
141 2% 88%  
142 5% 86%  
143 3% 81%  
144 3% 78%  
145 3% 75%  
146 5% 72%  
147 2% 66%  
148 5% 64%  
149 3% 59% Median
150 7% 56%  
151 11% 49%  
152 3% 38%  
153 5% 35%  
154 4% 30%  
155 3% 26%  
156 3% 23% Last Result
157 3% 20%  
158 4% 17%  
159 3% 12%  
160 2% 10%  
161 2% 8%  
162 2% 6%  
163 1.1% 5%  
164 1.1% 3%  
165 0.2% 2%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.9% 2%  
168 0.4% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.6%  
170 0% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.2% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0% Majority

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.2% 99.6%  
115 0.2% 99.4%  
116 0.3% 99.2%  
117 0.9% 98.9%  
118 0.5% 98%  
119 0.7% 98%  
120 1.4% 97%  
121 2% 95%  
122 2% 94%  
123 2% 91%  
124 3% 89%  
125 3% 86%  
126 2% 84%  
127 7% 81%  
128 5% 75%  
129 5% 69%  
130 6% 64%  
131 2% 58%  
132 2% 56%  
133 7% 55%  
134 4% 48% Median
135 2% 43%  
136 7% 41%  
137 4% 34%  
138 3% 31%  
139 3% 27%  
140 2% 24%  
141 4% 22%  
142 4% 18%  
143 2% 14%  
144 2% 12%  
145 1.3% 10%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 7%  
148 0.7% 5%  
149 0.6% 4%  
150 1.0% 3%  
151 0.6% 2%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 0.4% 1.3%  
154 0.2% 0.9%  
155 0.2% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0.1% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.5% 99.5%  
117 0.5% 98.9%  
118 1.1% 98%  
119 1.1% 97%  
120 0.9% 96%  
121 1.3% 95%  
122 3% 94%  
123 3% 91%  
124 3% 89%  
125 2% 86%  
126 4% 84%  
127 6% 79%  
128 3% 74%  
129 4% 71%  
130 5% 67%  
131 6% 62%  
132 3% 56%  
133 3% 53% Median
134 3% 51%  
135 4% 48%  
136 5% 44%  
137 4% 39% Last Result
138 5% 36%  
139 2% 30%  
140 6% 28%  
141 7% 23%  
142 2% 16%  
143 2% 14%  
144 2% 12%  
145 3% 10%  
146 2% 7%  
147 1.2% 5%  
148 0.7% 4%  
149 0.5% 3%  
150 1.1% 3%  
151 0.4% 2%  
152 0.4% 1.1%  
153 0.3% 0.7%  
154 0.1% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.3% 99.6%  
110 0.3% 99.3%  
111 0.6% 99.0%  
112 0.5% 98%  
113 1.1% 98%  
114 1.2% 97%  
115 1.1% 96%  
116 1.5% 94%  
117 3% 93%  
118 2% 90%  
119 7% 88%  
120 2% 81%  
121 3% 79%  
122 3% 76%  
123 8% 73%  
124 6% 65%  
125 3% 59%  
126 2% 57%  
127 3% 55%  
128 8% 52% Median
129 4% 44%  
130 2% 39%  
131 3% 37%  
132 6% 34%  
133 4% 28%  
134 2% 24%  
135 3% 22%  
136 4% 19%  
137 3% 15%  
138 1.4% 12%  
139 2% 11%  
140 2% 9%  
141 2% 7%  
142 2% 5%  
143 0.9% 4%  
144 0.7% 3%  
145 0.8% 2%  
146 0.3% 1.4%  
147 0.2% 1.2%  
148 0.3% 0.9%  
149 0.3% 0.6%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.6%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.4% 99.0%  
103 0.4% 98.6%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 0.9% 97%  
106 1.2% 96%  
107 2% 95%  
108 2% 93%  
109 5% 91%  
110 1.3% 86%  
111 2% 85%  
112 3% 82%  
113 2% 80%  
114 4% 77%  
115 5% 73%  
116 8% 68%  
117 2% 60%  
118 2% 59%  
119 7% 56% Median
120 4% 49%  
121 5% 45%  
122 7% 40%  
123 5% 32%  
124 3% 28%  
125 3% 24%  
126 3% 21%  
127 3% 18%  
128 2% 14%  
129 5% 12%  
130 1.3% 7%  
131 1.4% 6%  
132 1.2% 4%  
133 0.8% 3%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.4%  
136 0.2% 1.2%  
137 0.6% 1.0%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 0.5% 99.0%  
77 0.7% 98%  
78 3% 98%  
79 1.3% 95%  
80 4% 94%  
81 2% 90%  
82 6% 88%  
83 3% 82%  
84 3% 79%  
85 4% 76%  
86 5% 72%  
87 3% 67%  
88 3% 64%  
89 5% 61%  
90 2% 56%  
91 6% 54% Median
92 3% 48%  
93 3% 45%  
94 3% 41%  
95 3% 39%  
96 4% 35%  
97 4% 31%  
98 3% 27%  
99 7% 24%  
100 2% 17%  
101 2% 15%  
102 3% 13%  
103 2% 10%  
104 3% 8%  
105 2% 5%  
106 0.6% 3%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.2% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.7%  
111 0.1% 0.5%  
112 0.2% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations