Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–15 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 28.2% 27.6–28.8% 27.5–28.9% 27.3–29.1% 27.1–29.4%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.2% 19.7–20.7% 19.5–20.9% 19.4–21.0% 19.2–21.2%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.1% 14.6–15.6% 14.5–15.7% 14.4–15.8% 14.2–16.0%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.6% 13.2–14.1% 13.0–14.2% 12.9–14.3% 12.7–14.5%
Vox 0.2% 11.5% 11.1–11.9% 11.0–12.0% 10.9–12.1% 10.7–12.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.8% 2.6–3.0% 2.5–3.1% 2.5–3.2% 2.4–3.3%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.1% 1.9–2.3% 1.9–2.4% 1.8–2.4% 1.8–2.5%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.9% 0.8–1.0% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.2% 0.2–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 126 122–129 120–129 119–129 118–130
Partido Popular 137 81 76–82 76–84 76–84 75–85
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 50 49–51 47–51 46–51 45–53
Unidos Podemos 71 36 36–37 35–38 35–38 34–40
Vox 0 28 27–32 27–33 27–33 27–33
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 1 1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 4 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 4 4–5 4–5 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.4% 99.8%  
119 2% 99.4%  
120 6% 97%  
121 0.6% 92%  
122 10% 91%  
123 4% 81%  
124 5% 77%  
125 15% 71%  
126 12% 56% Median
127 32% 44%  
128 1.1% 13%  
129 11% 11%  
130 0.5% 0.8%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.9% 100%  
76 10% 99.1%  
77 0.6% 89%  
78 5% 88%  
79 9% 83%  
80 6% 75%  
81 53% 69% Median
82 6% 16%  
83 3% 10%  
84 6% 7%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 1.1% 99.9%  
46 2% 98.8%  
47 3% 97%  
48 1.5% 95%  
49 20% 93%  
50 40% 73% Median
51 31% 33%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.7% 1.1%  
54 0.1% 0.4%  
55 0.3% 0.3%  
56 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.9% 99.9%  
35 6% 99.0%  
36 77% 93% Median
37 7% 16%  
38 7% 9%  
39 0.5% 1.3%  
40 0.8% 0.8%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.4% 100%  
27 21% 99.6%  
28 34% 79% Median
29 7% 45%  
30 7% 38%  
31 8% 30%  
32 15% 23%  
33 8% 8%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.7%  
12 13% 98.8%  
13 74% 85% Median
14 11% 11%  
15 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 50% 100% Median
5 29% 50%  
6 21% 21%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 88% 100% Median
7 12% 12%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.0% 100% Last Result
3 1.1% 99.0%  
4 89% 98% Median
5 8% 9%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Median
1 11% 11% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 257 100% 251–258 250–258 250–258 248–260
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 212 100% 207–214 206–214 205–214 205–215
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 206 100% 201–208 200–208 200–209 198–211
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 190 100% 186–192 185–192 185–192 183–196
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 180 89% 175–182 175–182 175–182 173–185
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 179 85% 174–182 174–182 174–182 171–185
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 176 63% 171–178 169–178 169–178 168–179
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 173 1.3% 168–175 167–175 167–175 165–178
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 169 0% 163–171 163–171 162–171 161–173
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 162 0% 157–165 157–165 156–165 155–167
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 159 0% 157–162 157–164 157–164 153–166
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 137 0% 131–140 131–140 131–140 128–142
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 131 0% 125–133 125–134 125–134 122–136
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 131 0% 125–133 125–134 125–134 122–136
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 126 0% 122–129 120–129 119–129 118–130
Partido Popular – Vox 137 109 0% 108–113 108–114 108–114 106–115
Partido Popular 137 81 0% 76–82 76–84 76–84 75–85

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
247 0.1% 100%  
248 0.8% 99.9%  
249 1.1% 99.1%  
250 4% 98%  
251 5% 94%  
252 5% 89%  
253 3% 84%  
254 18% 81% Last Result
255 0.7% 63%  
256 6% 62%  
257 20% 56% Median
258 34% 36%  
259 1.4% 2%  
260 0.4% 0.5%  
261 0.1% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0.1% 100%  
205 3% 99.8%  
206 3% 97%  
207 8% 94%  
208 3% 86%  
209 2% 83%  
210 6% 82%  
211 11% 76%  
212 15% 65% Median
213 36% 49%  
214 13% 13%  
215 0.3% 0.6%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.3%  
218 0.1% 0.2%  
219 0.1% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0.5% 99.9%  
199 0.9% 99.5%  
200 5% 98.6%  
201 4% 93%  
202 2% 89%  
203 4% 87%  
204 3% 83%  
205 17% 79%  
206 24% 62%  
207 6% 39% Median
208 30% 33%  
209 1.1% 3%  
210 0.5% 2%  
211 1.2% 1.3%  
212 0.1% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0.2% 100%  
182 0.2% 99.8%  
183 0.6% 99.6%  
184 0.4% 99.0%  
185 4% 98.6%  
186 10% 94%  
187 5% 84%  
188 3% 79%  
189 7% 76% Median
190 51% 68%  
191 1.1% 18%  
192 15% 17%  
193 0.4% 1.4%  
194 0.1% 1.1%  
195 0.4% 0.9%  
196 0.5% 0.6%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.2% 100%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
174 0.4% 99.1%  
175 10% 98.7%  
176 5% 89% Majority
177 6% 84%  
178 6% 78%  
179 5% 71% Median
180 49% 67%  
181 5% 18%  
182 11% 12%  
183 0.2% 1.3%  
184 0.3% 1.1%  
185 0.7% 0.8%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100% Last Result
168 0.1% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.3% 99.8%  
172 0.3% 99.5%  
173 2% 99.2%  
174 8% 98%  
175 5% 90%  
176 6% 85% Majority
177 5% 79%  
178 20% 74%  
179 6% 54% Median
180 36% 48%  
181 0.7% 12%  
182 10% 12%  
183 0.3% 1.1%  
184 0.2% 0.8%  
185 0.3% 0.6%  
186 0.3% 0.3%  
187 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 1.0% 99.9%  
169 6% 98.8%  
170 2% 93%  
171 2% 91%  
172 6% 89%  
173 6% 83%  
174 5% 77%  
175 9% 72%  
176 15% 63% Median, Majority
177 35% 48%  
178 12% 13%  
179 0.3% 0.6%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0.1% 100% Last Result
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.8% 99.8%  
166 0.2% 99.0%  
167 8% 98.8%  
168 4% 91%  
169 4% 87%  
170 5% 82%  
171 19% 77%  
172 8% 58% Median
173 38% 50%  
174 1.0% 13%  
175 10% 12%  
176 0.4% 1.3% Majority
177 0.3% 0.9%  
178 0.5% 0.6%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
162 3% 99.2%  
163 7% 96%  
164 2% 89%  
165 4% 87%  
166 7% 83%  
167 18% 76%  
168 8% 58% Median
169 38% 50%  
170 0.8% 12%  
171 11% 12%  
172 0.3% 1.1%  
173 0.7% 0.8%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0% Majority

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.7% 99.8%  
156 4% 99.1% Last Result
157 7% 95%  
158 1.3% 88%  
159 5% 87%  
160 9% 82%  
161 15% 72%  
162 13% 58% Median
163 33% 45%  
164 0.9% 12%  
165 10% 12%  
166 0.2% 1.1%  
167 0.7% 0.8%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.6% 99.9%  
154 0.3% 99.3%  
155 0.2% 99.1%  
156 0.4% 98.9%  
157 15% 98.5%  
158 1.4% 83%  
159 51% 82% Median
160 7% 31%  
161 3% 24%  
162 11% 20%  
163 4% 10%  
164 4% 5%  
165 0.4% 1.1%  
166 0.5% 0.8%  
167 0.3% 0.3%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0.5% 100%  
129 0.2% 99.5%  
130 0.3% 99.2%  
131 10% 98.9%  
132 1.5% 89%  
133 2% 87%  
134 1.1% 85%  
135 10% 84%  
136 8% 74%  
137 34% 67% Median
138 20% 33%  
139 3% 13%  
140 9% 10%  
141 0.6% 1.5%  
142 0.4% 0.9%  
143 0.3% 0.4%  
144 0.2% 0.2%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0.5% 100%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.2% 99.3%  
125 10% 99.0%  
126 2% 89%  
127 0.8% 86%  
128 6% 86%  
129 6% 80%  
130 3% 74%  
131 35% 71% Median
132 25% 36%  
133 5% 12%  
134 5% 7%  
135 0.7% 2%  
136 0.5% 1.0%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.2% 0.3%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0.5% 100%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.3% 99.2%  
125 10% 98.9%  
126 2% 88%  
127 0.9% 86%  
128 6% 85%  
129 6% 80%  
130 7% 74%  
131 34% 67% Median
132 22% 33%  
133 5% 11%  
134 5% 6%  
135 0.6% 1.4%  
136 0.3% 0.7%  
137 0.3% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.4% 99.8%  
119 2% 99.4%  
120 6% 97%  
121 0.6% 92%  
122 10% 91%  
123 4% 81%  
124 5% 77%  
125 15% 71%  
126 12% 56% Median
127 32% 44%  
128 1.1% 13%  
129 11% 11%  
130 0.5% 0.8%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0.1% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.9% 99.6%  
107 0.5% 98.8%  
108 33% 98%  
109 36% 65% Median
110 2% 29%  
111 8% 27%  
112 5% 19%  
113 7% 14%  
114 6% 7%  
115 1.0% 1.1%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.9% 100%  
76 10% 99.1%  
77 0.6% 89%  
78 5% 88%  
79 9% 83%  
80 6% 75%  
81 53% 69% Median
82 6% 16%  
83 3% 10%  
84 6% 7%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations