Opinion Poll by IMOP for El Confidencial, 10–16 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 30.4% | 28.9–32.0% | 28.4–32.5% | 28.1–32.9% | 27.3–33.7% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 19.3% | 18.0–20.7% | 17.6–21.1% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.7–22.1% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.1–16.6% | 13.8–16.9% | 13.5–17.3% | 12.9–17.9% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 14.3% | 13.1–15.5% | 12.8–15.9% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.0–16.8% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 9.6% | 8.6–10.7% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.7–11.8% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.5% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.6–2.2% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 131 | 124–140 | 121–145 | 121–146 | 117–149 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 76 | 68–84 | 65–88 | 65–88 | 63–88 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 51 | 42–54 | 40–57 | 39–63 | 37–63 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 39 | 35–43 | 35–45 | 33–48 | 30–53 |
| Vox | 0 | 24 | 18–27 | 18–28 | 16–28 | 15–30 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 11–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 9–20 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 4 | 4–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 2–9 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 3–10 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 4 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 0–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 121 | 3% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 124 | 10% | 93% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 83% | |
| 126 | 16% | 82% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 128 | 2% | 66% | |
| 129 | 8% | 64% | |
| 130 | 5% | 55% | |
| 131 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 132 | 3% | 48% | |
| 133 | 3% | 46% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 43% | |
| 135 | 6% | 42% | |
| 136 | 4% | 36% | |
| 137 | 3% | 31% | |
| 138 | 3% | 28% | |
| 139 | 9% | 25% | |
| 140 | 6% | 15% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 146 | 3% | 4% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 68 | 4% | 91% | |
| 69 | 7% | 87% | |
| 70 | 2% | 80% | |
| 71 | 7% | 79% | |
| 72 | 5% | 71% | |
| 73 | 2% | 66% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 75 | 9% | 63% | |
| 76 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 77 | 0.6% | 49% | |
| 78 | 2% | 48% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 46% | |
| 80 | 4% | 46% | |
| 81 | 15% | 42% | |
| 82 | 11% | 27% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 84 | 8% | 15% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 5% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 41 | 2% | 95% | |
| 42 | 8% | 93% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 48 | 2% | 81% | |
| 49 | 11% | 79% | |
| 50 | 5% | 68% | |
| 51 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 52 | 19% | 34% | |
| 53 | 4% | 15% | |
| 54 | 3% | 11% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 63 | 3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 35 | 9% | 95% | |
| 36 | 17% | 87% | |
| 37 | 14% | 69% | |
| 38 | 5% | 56% | |
| 39 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 40 | 9% | 41% | |
| 41 | 8% | 32% | |
| 42 | 11% | 24% | |
| 43 | 4% | 13% | |
| 44 | 3% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 97% | |
| 18 | 10% | 95% | |
| 19 | 4% | 85% | |
| 20 | 8% | 81% | |
| 21 | 5% | 73% | |
| 22 | 5% | 68% | |
| 23 | 3% | 63% | |
| 24 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 25 | 30% | 50% | |
| 26 | 2% | 19% | |
| 27 | 11% | 17% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 11 | 2% | 90% | |
| 12 | 8% | 88% | |
| 13 | 10% | 79% | |
| 14 | 49% | 70% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 21% | |
| 16 | 2% | 4% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 46% | 46% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 45% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 50% | |
| 6 | 13% | 36% | |
| 7 | 13% | 23% | |
| 8 | 9% | 10% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 22% | 94% | |
| 5 | 9% | 72% | Last Result |
| 6 | 46% | 63% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 17% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 98% | |
| 2 | 24% | 92% | Last Result |
| 3 | 15% | 68% | |
| 4 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 5 | 16% | 38% | |
| 6 | 6% | 22% | |
| 7 | 16% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 76% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 6% | 9% | |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 259 | 100% | 253–265 | 250–266 | 250–268 | 244–272 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 220 | 100% | 212–230 | 212–233 | 208–235 | 205–239 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 207 | 100% | 203–217 | 198–218 | 196–218 | 193–222 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 198 | 100% | 188–209 | 188–212 | 188–215 | 184–216 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 190 | 99.2% | 179–200 | 179–203 | 179–207 | 174–208 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 188 | 98% | 178–199 | 178–201 | 177–204 | 171–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 179 | 78% | 174–191 | 172–193 | 169–197 | 166–200 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 181 | 66% | 170–189 | 170–193 | 169–195 | 164–199 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 177 | 59% | 166–185 | 166–190 | 166–193 | 162–195 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 171 | 33% | 161–179 | 161–184 | 159–187 | 156–189 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 151 | 0% | 140–160 | 136–160 | 134–160 | 133–164 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 131 | 0% | 124–140 | 121–145 | 121–146 | 117–149 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 133 | 0% | 122–139 | 120–143 | 119–144 | 115–150 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 128 | 0% | 117–134 | 115–138 | 114–139 | 110–146 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 127 | 0% | 116–133 | 114–138 | 113–138 | 109–144 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 100 | 0% | 90–109 | 88–112 | 85–112 | 83–115 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 76 | 0% | 68–84 | 65–88 | 65–88 | 63–88 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 244 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 245 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 247 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 248 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 249 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 250 | 4% | 98% | |
| 251 | 2% | 94% | |
| 252 | 2% | 93% | |
| 253 | 2% | 90% | |
| 254 | 3% | 88% | Last Result |
| 255 | 3% | 85% | |
| 256 | 8% | 82% | |
| 257 | 16% | 75% | |
| 258 | 2% | 58% | Median |
| 259 | 26% | 56% | |
| 260 | 5% | 30% | |
| 261 | 2% | 25% | |
| 262 | 8% | 23% | |
| 263 | 2% | 15% | |
| 264 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 265 | 5% | 11% | |
| 266 | 2% | 6% | |
| 267 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 268 | 3% | 4% | |
| 269 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 273 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 201 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 202 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 207 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 208 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 210 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 211 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 212 | 13% | 96% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 214 | 16% | 83% | |
| 215 | 3% | 66% | |
| 216 | 2% | 64% | |
| 217 | 0.6% | 62% | |
| 218 | 2% | 61% | |
| 219 | 5% | 59% | |
| 220 | 8% | 55% | |
| 221 | 2% | 46% | Median |
| 222 | 3% | 44% | |
| 223 | 1.3% | 42% | |
| 224 | 2% | 40% | |
| 225 | 5% | 39% | |
| 226 | 2% | 34% | |
| 227 | 5% | 32% | |
| 228 | 8% | 27% | |
| 229 | 3% | 18% | |
| 230 | 8% | 15% | |
| 231 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 232 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 233 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 234 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 235 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 236 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 238 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 239 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 240 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 196 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 200 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 202 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 203 | 2% | 91% | |
| 204 | 3% | 89% | |
| 205 | 8% | 86% | |
| 206 | 14% | 78% | |
| 207 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 208 | 8% | 46% | |
| 209 | 3% | 38% | |
| 210 | 2% | 35% | |
| 211 | 2% | 33% | |
| 212 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 213 | 10% | 30% | |
| 214 | 7% | 20% | |
| 215 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 216 | 2% | 12% | |
| 217 | 4% | 10% | |
| 218 | 4% | 6% | |
| 219 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 220 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 223 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 177 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 188 | 9% | 98% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 190 | 4% | 88% | |
| 191 | 16% | 84% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 194 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 195 | 3% | 66% | |
| 196 | 0.7% | 63% | |
| 197 | 9% | 62% | |
| 198 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 199 | 2% | 48% | |
| 200 | 1.3% | 46% | |
| 201 | 2% | 45% | |
| 202 | 6% | 43% | |
| 203 | 3% | 37% | |
| 204 | 5% | 34% | |
| 205 | 5% | 30% | |
| 206 | 4% | 25% | |
| 207 | 3% | 21% | |
| 208 | 6% | 18% | |
| 209 | 4% | 12% | |
| 210 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 211 | 2% | 7% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 213 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 214 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 215 | 2% | 3% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 179 | 10% | 98% | |
| 180 | 18% | 88% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 68% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 68% | |
| 186 | 2% | 67% | |
| 187 | 12% | 65% | |
| 188 | 2% | 53% | Median |
| 189 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 190 | 3% | 51% | |
| 191 | 2% | 48% | |
| 192 | 5% | 46% | |
| 193 | 2% | 41% | |
| 194 | 5% | 39% | |
| 195 | 10% | 34% | |
| 196 | 3% | 24% | |
| 197 | 3% | 21% | |
| 198 | 2% | 18% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 200 | 8% | 16% | |
| 201 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 202 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 207 | 2% | 3% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 178 | 10% | 96% | |
| 179 | 2% | 86% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 181 | 3% | 84% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 183 | 16% | 81% | |
| 184 | 8% | 64% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 57% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 187 | 4% | 54% | |
| 188 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 189 | 2% | 48% | |
| 190 | 6% | 47% | |
| 191 | 5% | 41% | |
| 192 | 5% | 36% | |
| 193 | 4% | 31% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 195 | 10% | 27% | |
| 196 | 3% | 16% | |
| 197 | 2% | 14% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 199 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 200 | 4% | 9% | |
| 201 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 202 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 204 | 2% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 169 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 172 | 5% | 96% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 174 | 2% | 91% | |
| 175 | 11% | 89% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 78% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 178 | 25% | 76% | |
| 179 | 2% | 51% | |
| 180 | 3% | 49% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 47% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 46% | Median |
| 183 | 2% | 44% | |
| 184 | 5% | 42% | |
| 185 | 2% | 37% | |
| 186 | 3% | 36% | |
| 187 | 2% | 32% | |
| 188 | 7% | 30% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 190 | 7% | 22% | |
| 191 | 8% | 15% | |
| 192 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 193 | 2% | 5% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 200 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 167 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 170 | 10% | 97% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 172 | 2% | 87% | |
| 173 | 15% | 85% | |
| 174 | 3% | 70% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 67% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 66% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 65% | |
| 178 | 4% | 63% | |
| 179 | 1.2% | 58% | |
| 180 | 4% | 57% | Median |
| 181 | 9% | 53% | |
| 182 | 4% | 44% | |
| 183 | 5% | 40% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 185 | 4% | 33% | |
| 186 | 3% | 30% | |
| 187 | 9% | 27% | |
| 188 | 6% | 18% | |
| 189 | 2% | 12% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 192 | 3% | 8% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 195 | 3% | 5% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 199 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 166 | 15% | 98% | |
| 167 | 10% | 83% | |
| 168 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 169 | 3% | 71% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 68% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 67% | |
| 173 | 2% | 66% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 175 | 4% | 64% | |
| 176 | 3% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 177 | 9% | 56% | |
| 178 | 5% | 47% | |
| 179 | 2% | 42% | |
| 180 | 4% | 40% | |
| 181 | 3% | 36% | |
| 182 | 5% | 33% | |
| 183 | 9% | 28% | |
| 184 | 2% | 19% | |
| 185 | 7% | 17% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 188 | 2% | 9% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 190 | 2% | 7% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 193 | 2% | 4% | |
| 194 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 159 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 161 | 10% | 97% | |
| 162 | 15% | 87% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 72% | |
| 164 | 3% | 70% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 166 | 3% | 67% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 64% | |
| 168 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 62% | |
| 170 | 5% | 62% | Median |
| 171 | 9% | 57% | |
| 172 | 2% | 48% | |
| 173 | 2% | 46% | |
| 174 | 7% | 44% | |
| 175 | 3% | 36% | |
| 176 | 5% | 33% | Majority |
| 177 | 9% | 28% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 179 | 8% | 18% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 182 | 2% | 9% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 184 | 2% | 7% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 187 | 3% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 139 | 2% | 93% | |
| 140 | 2% | 91% | |
| 141 | 10% | 89% | |
| 142 | 5% | 79% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 74% | |
| 144 | 5% | 73% | |
| 145 | 3% | 68% | |
| 146 | 4% | 66% | |
| 147 | 6% | 61% | |
| 148 | 3% | 56% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 53% | |
| 150 | 2% | 53% | |
| 151 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 152 | 2% | 40% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 154 | 4% | 37% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 33% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 158 | 17% | 30% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 160 | 10% | 12% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 121 | 3% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 124 | 10% | 93% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 83% | |
| 126 | 16% | 82% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 128 | 2% | 66% | |
| 129 | 8% | 64% | |
| 130 | 5% | 55% | |
| 131 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 132 | 3% | 48% | |
| 133 | 3% | 46% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 43% | |
| 135 | 6% | 42% | |
| 136 | 4% | 36% | |
| 137 | 3% | 31% | |
| 138 | 3% | 28% | |
| 139 | 9% | 25% | |
| 140 | 6% | 15% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 146 | 3% | 4% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 119 | 2% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 96% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 122 | 7% | 92% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 124 | 4% | 84% | |
| 125 | 4% | 80% | |
| 126 | 5% | 76% | |
| 127 | 2% | 71% | |
| 128 | 5% | 68% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 64% | |
| 130 | 5% | 62% | |
| 131 | 2% | 57% | |
| 132 | 2% | 55% | |
| 133 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 134 | 2% | 50% | |
| 135 | 5% | 48% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 43% | |
| 137 | 15% | 42% | |
| 138 | 2% | 27% | |
| 139 | 17% | 25% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 143 | 3% | 6% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 114 | 3% | 98% | |
| 115 | 3% | 96% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 117 | 6% | 92% | |
| 118 | 2% | 86% | |
| 119 | 2% | 84% | |
| 120 | 3% | 82% | |
| 121 | 6% | 79% | |
| 122 | 5% | 73% | |
| 123 | 4% | 68% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 64% | |
| 125 | 2% | 63% | |
| 126 | 4% | 61% | |
| 127 | 3% | 56% | |
| 128 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 129 | 5% | 50% | |
| 130 | 1.2% | 45% | |
| 131 | 3% | 44% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 40% | |
| 134 | 31% | 40% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 139 | 3% | 5% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 113 | 3% | 98% | |
| 114 | 3% | 96% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 116 | 5% | 91% | |
| 117 | 2% | 86% | |
| 118 | 2% | 84% | |
| 119 | 3% | 82% | |
| 120 | 5% | 79% | |
| 121 | 5% | 74% | |
| 122 | 6% | 69% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 63% | |
| 124 | 2% | 62% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 60% | |
| 126 | 5% | 59% | |
| 127 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 128 | 3% | 48% | |
| 129 | 2% | 46% | |
| 130 | 4% | 44% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 40% | |
| 133 | 31% | 40% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 138 | 3% | 5% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 2% | 94% | |
| 90 | 9% | 93% | |
| 91 | 2% | 83% | |
| 92 | 3% | 81% | |
| 93 | 4% | 78% | |
| 94 | 5% | 74% | |
| 95 | 6% | 69% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 63% | |
| 97 | 2% | 63% | |
| 98 | 4% | 61% | |
| 99 | 2% | 58% | |
| 100 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 101 | 2% | 47% | |
| 102 | 8% | 45% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 37% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 36% | |
| 105 | 2% | 36% | |
| 106 | 16% | 33% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 108 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 109 | 9% | 16% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 112 | 3% | 5% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 68 | 4% | 91% | |
| 69 | 7% | 87% | |
| 70 | 2% | 80% | |
| 71 | 7% | 79% | |
| 72 | 5% | 71% | |
| 73 | 2% | 66% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 75 | 9% | 63% | |
| 76 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 77 | 0.6% | 49% | |
| 78 | 2% | 48% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 46% | |
| 80 | 4% | 46% | |
| 81 | 15% | 42% | |
| 82 | 11% | 27% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 84 | 8% | 15% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 5% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IMOP
- Commissioner(s): El Confidencial
- Fieldwork period: 10–16 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1400
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.85%