Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–16 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 28.2% 27.6–28.8% 27.5–28.9% 27.3–29.1% 27.1–29.4%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.2% 19.7–20.7% 19.5–20.9% 19.4–21.0% 19.2–21.2%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.3% 14.8–15.8% 14.7–15.9% 14.6–16.0% 14.4–16.2%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.7% 13.3–14.2% 13.2–14.3% 13.0–14.4% 12.8–14.6%
Vox 0.2% 11.5% 11.1–11.9% 11.0–12.0% 10.9–12.1% 10.7–12.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.8% 2.6–3.0% 2.5–3.1% 2.5–3.2% 2.4–3.3%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.1% 1.9–2.3% 1.9–2.3% 1.8–2.4% 1.8–2.5%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.6%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.6%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.0% 0.6–1.1%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 123 122–125 121–126 120–127 118–128
Partido Popular 137 81 80–83 79–84 78–85 75–85
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 50 50–51 49–52 49–52 46–54
Unidos Podemos 71 38 36–38 36–38 35–39 35–39
Vox 0 29 28–31 27–33 27–33 27–33
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 14 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 1 1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 4 4–5 4–6 4–6 4–6
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6 6–7 6–8 6–8
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.4% 99.9%  
118 0.3% 99.6%  
119 0.5% 99.2%  
120 2% 98.7%  
121 4% 96%  
122 4% 92%  
123 75% 88% Median
124 2% 13%  
125 4% 11%  
126 3% 7%  
127 2% 4%  
128 1.3% 2%  
129 0.2% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.5% 100%  
76 0.2% 98.5%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 7% 95%  
81 72% 88% Median
82 4% 16%  
83 6% 13%  
84 3% 7%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.6% 99.8%  
47 0.5% 99.2%  
48 0.8% 98.7%  
49 6% 98%  
50 72% 92% Median
51 14% 20%  
52 5% 6%  
53 0.2% 1.0%  
54 0.4% 0.8%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 3% 99.8%  
36 15% 97%  
37 6% 82%  
38 72% 76% Median
39 4% 4%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 7% 99.5%  
28 5% 93%  
29 68% 88% Median
30 7% 20%  
31 6% 13%  
32 2% 7%  
33 5% 5%  
34 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.8%  
12 14% 98.7%  
13 12% 84%  
14 72% 72% Median
15 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 82% 100% Median
5 12% 18%  
6 6% 7%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100% Last Result
6 95% 99.9% Median
7 2% 5%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 10% 99.8% Last Result
3 6% 89%  
4 83% 84% Median
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Median
1 12% 12% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 254 100% 253–257 251–259 250–259 249–260
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 211 100% 209–212 209–214 208–215 206–216
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 204 100% 203–207 202–208 200–208 199–210
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 189 100% 186–189 185–190 184–190 183–193
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 179 94% 176–179 175–180 175–181 173–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 179 82% 175–179 174–179 173–179 171–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 173 8% 173–175 170–177 170–178 169–179
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 171 0.6% 168–171 168–172 166–173 165–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 167 0.1% 165–168 164–169 164–169 161–172
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 160 0% 160–163 159–164 158–165 156–166
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 161 0% 159–162 158–163 158–163 155–166
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 137 0% 136–140 135–141 134–142 131–143
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 131 0% 131–134 129–135 128–136 126–137
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 131 0% 130–134 129–135 127–136 125–137
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 123 0% 122–125 121–126 120–127 118–128
Partido Popular – Vox 137 110 0% 110–112 108–113 108–114 106–115
Partido Popular 137 81 0% 80–83 79–84 78–85 75–85

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0.1% 100%  
249 0.5% 99.9%  
250 2% 99.4%  
251 3% 97%  
252 2% 94%  
253 3% 92%  
254 68% 89% Last Result, Median
255 2% 20%  
256 3% 18%  
257 7% 16%  
258 2% 9%  
259 5% 7%  
260 1.3% 2%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0.1% 0.2%  
263 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0.1% 99.9%  
205 0.1% 99.8%  
206 0.7% 99.7%  
207 1.0% 99.0%  
208 3% 98%  
209 7% 95%  
210 10% 88%  
211 68% 79% Median
212 3% 11%  
213 3% 8%  
214 1.4% 5%  
215 3% 4%  
216 0.3% 0.6%  
217 0.2% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0.2% 99.9%  
199 0.2% 99.7%  
200 3% 99.5%  
201 0.5% 96%  
202 5% 96%  
203 4% 91%  
204 68% 88% Median
205 3% 19%  
206 6% 17%  
207 5% 11%  
208 4% 6%  
209 1.3% 2%  
210 0.4% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.2% 0.3%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0.1% 100%  
182 0.3% 99.9%  
183 0.8% 99.6%  
184 3% 98.9%  
185 6% 96%  
186 5% 90%  
187 6% 86%  
188 6% 80%  
189 68% 73% Median
190 3% 5%  
191 1.0% 2%  
192 0.5% 1.3%  
193 0.5% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
174 0.4% 99.1%  
175 5% 98.7%  
176 6% 94% Majority
177 5% 88%  
178 6% 83%  
179 69% 76% Median
180 4% 8%  
181 2% 4%  
182 0.5% 2%  
183 0.5% 1.0%  
184 0.3% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100% Last Result
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.4% 99.8%  
172 1.3% 99.5%  
173 2% 98%  
174 5% 96%  
175 9% 91%  
176 2% 82% Majority
177 3% 80%  
178 6% 77%  
179 68% 71% Median
180 0.6% 2%  
181 0.8% 2%  
182 0.6% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0.2% 99.9%  
168 0.2% 99.8%  
169 0.9% 99.6%  
170 5% 98.7%  
171 1.2% 94%  
172 3% 93%  
173 70% 90% Median
174 9% 20%  
175 3% 11%  
176 2% 8% Majority
177 2% 6%  
178 2% 4%  
179 2% 2%  
180 0.2% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
164 0.2% 99.9%  
165 0.3% 99.7%  
166 2% 99.4%  
167 2% 97%  
168 6% 96%  
169 8% 90%  
170 6% 82%  
171 68% 76% Median
172 5% 8%  
173 1.3% 3%  
174 0.9% 2%  
175 0.3% 0.9%  
176 0.5% 0.6% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
162 0.3% 99.5%  
163 0.7% 99.2%  
164 4% 98%  
165 9% 95%  
166 6% 86%  
167 69% 80% Median
168 4% 11%  
169 4% 6%  
170 0.7% 2%  
171 0.6% 2%  
172 0.8% 1.1%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0.1% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.8%  
156 0.7% 99.5%  
157 0.3% 98.9%  
158 2% 98.6%  
159 2% 96%  
160 70% 95% Median
161 7% 24%  
162 6% 18%  
163 4% 12%  
164 4% 8%  
165 3% 4%  
166 0.6% 0.9%  
167 0.2% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.4% 99.9%  
156 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
157 0.9% 98.9%  
158 5% 98%  
159 9% 93%  
160 6% 84%  
161 67% 78% Median
162 4% 10%  
163 4% 6%  
164 1.3% 2%  
165 0.3% 1.1%  
166 0.5% 0.8%  
167 0.2% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 2% 99.9%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.5% 98%  
134 1.2% 98%  
135 2% 96%  
136 5% 94%  
137 69% 90% Median
138 5% 21%  
139 2% 16%  
140 6% 14%  
141 4% 8%  
142 3% 4%  
143 0.7% 0.9%  
144 0.1% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.4% 99.9%  
126 1.3% 99.5%  
127 0.5% 98%  
128 1.2% 98%  
129 2% 96%  
130 5% 95%  
131 67% 90% Median
132 6% 23%  
133 2% 16%  
134 8% 15%  
135 3% 7%  
136 2% 3%  
137 0.5% 0.8%  
138 0.2% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0.1% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 2% 99.9%  
126 0.4% 98%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 2% 97%  
129 2% 96%  
130 4% 93%  
131 69% 89% Median
132 4% 20%  
133 4% 16%  
134 6% 12%  
135 3% 6%  
136 2% 3%  
137 0.6% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.4% 99.9%  
118 0.3% 99.6%  
119 0.5% 99.2%  
120 2% 98.7%  
121 4% 96%  
122 4% 92%  
123 75% 88% Median
124 2% 13%  
125 4% 11%  
126 3% 7%  
127 2% 4%  
128 1.3% 2%  
129 0.2% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.2% 99.9%  
106 0.4% 99.8%  
107 0.9% 99.3%  
108 5% 98%  
109 3% 94%  
110 68% 91% Median
111 4% 23%  
112 9% 19%  
113 6% 10%  
114 3% 4%  
115 0.7% 1.1%  
116 0.3% 0.4%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.5% 100%  
76 0.2% 98.5%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 7% 95%  
81 72% 88% Median
82 4% 16%  
83 6% 13%  
84 3% 7%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations