Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–17 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.7% 27.1–28.3% 27.0–28.4% 26.8–28.6% 26.6–28.9%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.4% 19.9–20.9% 19.8–21.1% 19.6–21.2% 19.4–21.5%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 14.6% 14.1–15.1% 14.0–15.2% 13.9–15.3% 13.7–15.5%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.7% 13.3–14.2% 13.2–14.3% 13.0–14.4% 12.8–14.6%
Vox 0.2% 12.0% 11.6–12.4% 11.5–12.5% 11.4–12.7% 11.2–12.9%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.7% 2.5–2.9% 2.4–3.0% 2.4–3.0% 2.3–3.1%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.2% 2.0–2.4% 2.0–2.5% 1.9–2.5% 1.8–2.6%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.4% 1.2–1.6% 1.2–1.6% 1.2–1.7% 1.1–1.7%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.6%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.0% 0.6–1.1%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 123 117–125 117–126 117–126 116–127
Partido Popular 137 81 79–85 79–85 79–85 77–87
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 47 46–50 43–51 43–51 43–51
Unidos Podemos 71 37 36–38 36–39 35–40 35–40
Vox 0 33 30–33 29–34 28–34 28–36
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 1 1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 4–7
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.8% 99.6%  
117 12% 98.8%  
118 2% 87%  
119 3% 85%  
120 2% 83%  
121 3% 80%  
122 20% 77%  
123 35% 57% Median
124 11% 23%  
125 6% 12%  
126 5% 6%  
127 0.7% 1.0%  
128 0.2% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 99.1%  
79 13% 98%  
80 4% 85%  
81 44% 81% Median
82 5% 37%  
83 16% 32%  
84 5% 16%  
85 9% 11%  
86 0.5% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 5% 99.9%  
44 1.5% 95%  
45 3% 93%  
46 26% 90%  
47 17% 64% Median
48 5% 48%  
49 10% 42%  
50 26% 32%  
51 6% 6%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 4% 99.9%  
36 10% 95%  
37 40% 85% Median
38 38% 45%  
39 3% 7%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 5% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 95%  
30 5% 94%  
31 11% 89%  
32 10% 79%  
33 60% 69% Median
34 8% 9%  
35 0.6% 1.5%  
36 0.8% 0.9%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100% Last Result
10 0.6% 99.8%  
11 26% 99.2%  
12 13% 73%  
13 37% 61% Median
14 24% 24%  
15 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 40% 100%  
7 43% 60% Median
8 16% 17%  
9 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 39% 100%  
5 18% 61% Median
6 38% 43%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 41% 99.8% Last Result
3 4% 58%  
4 53% 54% Median
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Median
1 28% 28% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 251 100% 249–254 249–257 248–257 246–257
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 207 100% 204–210 204–210 204–210 202–213
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 203 100% 200–207 200–208 199–208 197–209
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 187 100% 183–190 183–190 182–191 181–192
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 177 78% 172–180 172–181 172–181 171–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 176 50% 172–178 171–180 169–180 167–181
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 170 0.7% 166–172 166–174 166–174 163–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 170 0.1% 166–171 165–173 165–173 164–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 167 0% 162–169 162–169 162–170 161–171
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 161 0% 159–165 159–165 158–166 157–168
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 160 0% 155–163 155–163 155–163 154–165
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 136 0% 133–141 132–141 132–142 130–143
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 130 0% 126–135 126–135 126–135 124–136
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 129 0% 126–134 126–134 126–134 123–136
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 123 0% 117–125 117–126 117–126 116–127
Partido Popular – Vox 137 114 0% 112–117 111–117 111–117 109–119
Partido Popular 137 81 0% 79–85 79–85 79–85 77–87

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
245 0.3% 100%  
246 0.7% 99.6%  
247 0.7% 99.0%  
248 3% 98%  
249 13% 96%  
250 23% 82%  
251 18% 59% Median
252 4% 40%  
253 23% 36%  
254 5% 13% Last Result
255 1.2% 8%  
256 2% 7%  
257 5% 5%  
258 0.3% 0.4%  
259 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0.1% 100%  
197 0.1% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.8%  
199 0% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.7%  
201 0.1% 99.6%  
202 0.5% 99.6%  
203 0.7% 99.1%  
204 10% 98%  
205 6% 88%  
206 31% 82%  
207 14% 51% Median
208 3% 37%  
209 9% 34%  
210 23% 25%  
211 0.9% 2%  
212 0.2% 0.9%  
213 0.5% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0.2% 0.2%  
216 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0.4% 100%  
197 0.4% 99.6%  
198 1.3% 99.2%  
199 0.9% 98%  
200 7% 97%  
201 1.1% 90%  
202 20% 89%  
203 20% 68%  
204 21% 49% Median
205 2% 28%  
206 5% 26%  
207 13% 21%  
208 6% 8%  
209 1.3% 2%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0.1% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0.1% 100%  
180 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
181 0.7% 99.6%  
182 3% 99.0%  
183 9% 96%  
184 3% 87%  
185 22% 83%  
186 5% 62%  
187 8% 57%  
188 2% 48%  
189 27% 46% Median
190 16% 19%  
191 3% 3%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.2% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0.1% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.7%  
171 0.6% 99.6%  
172 10% 99.1%  
173 3% 89% Last Result
174 3% 86%  
175 5% 83%  
176 3% 78% Majority
177 26% 75%  
178 21% 48% Median
179 13% 27%  
180 5% 15%  
181 9% 10%  
182 0.6% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.3%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0.7% 100% Last Result
168 0.2% 99.3%  
169 3% 99.1%  
170 0.2% 96%  
171 6% 96%  
172 9% 90%  
173 19% 81%  
174 8% 63%  
175 4% 55%  
176 8% 50% Majority
177 13% 42% Median
178 22% 29%  
179 1.5% 7%  
180 5% 5%  
181 0.3% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.2% 99.9%  
163 0.3% 99.7%  
164 0.6% 99.4%  
165 0.3% 98.9%  
166 10% 98.5%  
167 3% 88%  
168 11% 85%  
169 22% 74%  
170 18% 52% Median
171 3% 34%  
172 23% 31%  
173 0.5% 8%  
174 7% 8%  
175 0.3% 1.0%  
176 0.6% 0.7% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0.2% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.7%  
163 0% 99.6% Last Result
164 0.7% 99.6%  
165 6% 98.9%  
166 8% 93%  
167 4% 85%  
168 21% 81%  
169 7% 60%  
170 8% 53%  
171 36% 45% Median
172 2% 9%  
173 6% 8%  
174 0.6% 1.2%  
175 0.5% 0.6%  
176 0.1% 0.1% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0.2% 100%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.7%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 1.3% 99.6% Last Result
162 9% 98%  
163 6% 89%  
164 4% 83%  
165 4% 79%  
166 22% 76%  
167 32% 54% Median
168 8% 22%  
169 10% 14%  
170 0.8% 3%  
171 2% 2%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.3% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.6%  
158 3% 99.3%  
159 18% 97%  
160 26% 79%  
161 7% 53% Median
162 5% 46%  
163 5% 41%  
164 22% 36%  
165 10% 14%  
166 4% 5%  
167 0.3% 1.2%  
168 0.6% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0.2% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.6%  
154 0.7% 99.6%  
155 12% 98.9%  
156 4% 87% Last Result
157 1.5% 83%  
158 5% 81%  
159 5% 76%  
160 53% 71% Median
161 2% 18%  
162 2% 16%  
163 12% 13%  
164 0.6% 1.2%  
165 0.4% 0.5%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0.4% 99.9%  
130 0.2% 99.5%  
131 1.3% 99.4%  
132 5% 98%  
133 17% 93%  
134 20% 76%  
135 4% 56% Median
136 6% 52%  
137 20% 46%  
138 4% 27%  
139 5% 23%  
140 1.0% 18%  
141 13% 17%  
142 4% 4%  
143 0.2% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0.2% 99.9%  
124 0.4% 99.7%  
125 0.6% 99.3%  
126 16% 98.7%  
127 26% 83%  
128 3% 57% Median
129 3% 54%  
130 4% 51%  
131 22% 46%  
132 4% 24%  
133 3% 20%  
134 6% 17%  
135 11% 12%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.2% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0.1% 100%  
123 0.4% 99.9%  
124 0.2% 99.5%  
125 1.4% 99.2%  
126 16% 98%  
127 25% 82%  
128 3% 56% Median
129 4% 53%  
130 5% 49%  
131 22% 44%  
132 4% 22%  
133 5% 18%  
134 11% 12%  
135 0.7% 1.3%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.2% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.8% 99.6%  
117 12% 98.8%  
118 2% 87%  
119 3% 85%  
120 2% 83%  
121 3% 80%  
122 20% 77%  
123 35% 57% Median
124 11% 23%  
125 6% 12%  
126 5% 6%  
127 0.7% 1.0%  
128 0.2% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0.2% 100%  
109 0.5% 99.8%  
110 0.4% 99.3%  
111 6% 98.9%  
112 15% 92%  
113 8% 78%  
114 42% 70% Median
115 9% 29%  
116 10% 20%  
117 9% 10%  
118 0.5% 1.3%  
119 0.4% 0.8%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0.2% 0.2%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 99.1%  
79 13% 98%  
80 4% 85%  
81 44% 81% Median
82 5% 37%  
83 16% 32%  
84 5% 16%  
85 9% 11%  
86 0.5% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations