Opinion Poll by Sondaxe for La Voz de Galicia, 11–18 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 30.9% | 29.1–32.8% | 28.5–33.4% | 28.1–33.8% | 27.3–34.8% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 18.3% | 16.8–20.0% | 16.4–20.4% | 16.0–20.8% | 15.3–21.6% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.7–12.6% | 8.2–13.2% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 136 | 132–144 | 129–147 | 125–148 | 120–154 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 69 | 65–80 | 62–80 | 60–84 | 57–89 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 46 | 38–52 | 35–54 | 32–54 | 29–57 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 38 | 33–40 | 31–42 | 30–46 | 28–53 |
| Vox | 0 | 28 | 23–32 | 21–34 | 18–36 | 16–39 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 11 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 9–16 | 8–19 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 10 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 7 | 4–8 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 1–11 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 3 | 1–5 | 1–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 129 | 2% | 96% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 133 | 6% | 90% | |
| 134 | 5% | 84% | |
| 135 | 18% | 78% | |
| 136 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 137 | 6% | 49% | |
| 138 | 6% | 43% | |
| 139 | 5% | 36% | |
| 140 | 8% | 31% | |
| 141 | 3% | 23% | |
| 142 | 7% | 20% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 144 | 6% | 13% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 147 | 2% | 5% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 65 | 3% | 90% | |
| 66 | 3% | 87% | |
| 67 | 8% | 84% | |
| 68 | 9% | 76% | |
| 69 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 70 | 2% | 48% | |
| 71 | 12% | 45% | |
| 72 | 3% | 34% | |
| 73 | 3% | 31% | |
| 74 | 3% | 28% | |
| 75 | 2% | 25% | |
| 76 | 8% | 23% | |
| 77 | 3% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 12% | |
| 80 | 6% | 10% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 2% | 93% | |
| 38 | 3% | 91% | |
| 39 | 2% | 88% | |
| 40 | 3% | 85% | |
| 41 | 7% | 83% | |
| 42 | 2% | 75% | |
| 43 | 4% | 73% | |
| 44 | 2% | 69% | |
| 45 | 11% | 66% | |
| 46 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 48% | |
| 48 | 20% | 45% | |
| 49 | 5% | 25% | |
| 50 | 6% | 20% | |
| 51 | 3% | 14% | |
| 52 | 5% | 11% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 32 | 2% | 95% | |
| 33 | 6% | 93% | |
| 34 | 4% | 87% | |
| 35 | 14% | 83% | |
| 36 | 8% | 69% | |
| 37 | 11% | 61% | |
| 38 | 25% | 50% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 26% | |
| 40 | 3% | 12% | |
| 41 | 2% | 9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 21 | 2% | 95% | |
| 22 | 2% | 93% | |
| 23 | 5% | 92% | |
| 24 | 10% | 87% | |
| 25 | 7% | 77% | |
| 26 | 7% | 70% | |
| 27 | 10% | 63% | |
| 28 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 29 | 21% | 41% | |
| 30 | 5% | 20% | |
| 31 | 4% | 15% | |
| 32 | 2% | 11% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 8% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 16% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 83% | |
| 11 | 37% | 76% | Median |
| 12 | 5% | 39% | |
| 13 | 6% | 33% | |
| 14 | 8% | 27% | |
| 15 | 11% | 20% | |
| 16 | 6% | 8% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 30% | 95% | |
| 8 | 7% | 65% | |
| 9 | 7% | 58% | |
| 10 | 31% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 17% | 20% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 10% | 96% | |
| 5 | 11% | 86% | |
| 6 | 13% | 75% | |
| 7 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 37% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 10% | |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 22% | 96% | |
| 2 | 11% | 74% | Last Result |
| 3 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 38% | |
| 5 | 31% | 36% | |
| 6 | 4% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 50% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 24% | 33% | |
| 3 | 2% | 9% | |
| 4 | 6% | 7% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 252 | 100% | 246–260 | 242–264 | 241–266 | 237–272 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 220 | 100% | 211–228 | 209–230 | 207–233 | 201–236 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 207 | 100% | 201–217 | 199–218 | 196–221 | 190–227 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 205 | 100% | 199–210 | 196–212 | 194–218 | 189–227 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 193 | 99.8% | 187–198 | 184–201 | 182–207 | 177–215 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 189 | 99.0% | 183–195 | 182–197 | 178–203 | 174–211 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 187 | 98% | 181–191 | 178–194 | 176–200 | 172–208 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 183 | 94% | 178–188 | 175–191 | 173–197 | 170–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 183 | 87% | 174–191 | 171–194 | 168–196 | 163–200 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 175 | 29% | 169–179 | 166–182 | 164–188 | 160–197 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 144 | 0% | 138–149 | 136–153 | 130–155 | 122–159 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 136 | 0% | 132–144 | 129–147 | 125–148 | 120–154 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 125 | 0% | 116–133 | 113–137 | 111–141 | 105–145 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 118 | 0% | 109–125 | 107–129 | 105–133 | 98–136 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 117 | 0% | 108–124 | 105–127 | 103–132 | 96–135 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 98 | 0% | 91–106 | 89–108 | 87–110 | 83–115 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 69 | 0% | 65–80 | 62–80 | 60–84 | 57–89 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 229 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 231 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 232 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 233 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 234 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 235 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 239 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 240 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 241 | 2% | 98% | |
| 242 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 243 | 2% | 95% | |
| 244 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 245 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 246 | 2% | 91% | |
| 247 | 4% | 90% | |
| 248 | 2% | 85% | |
| 249 | 2% | 83% | |
| 250 | 3% | 81% | |
| 251 | 3% | 78% | Median |
| 252 | 26% | 75% | |
| 253 | 8% | 48% | |
| 254 | 4% | 41% | Last Result |
| 255 | 2% | 37% | |
| 256 | 6% | 34% | |
| 257 | 2% | 29% | |
| 258 | 6% | 27% | |
| 259 | 9% | 21% | |
| 260 | 3% | 12% | |
| 261 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 262 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 263 | 2% | 8% | |
| 264 | 2% | 6% | |
| 265 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 266 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 267 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 268 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 269 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 272 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 197 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 199 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 206 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 208 | 2% | 97% | |
| 209 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 210 | 3% | 94% | |
| 211 | 2% | 92% | |
| 212 | 2% | 89% | |
| 213 | 5% | 87% | |
| 214 | 4% | 82% | |
| 215 | 2% | 79% | |
| 216 | 8% | 77% | |
| 217 | 1.5% | 68% | |
| 218 | 2% | 67% | |
| 219 | 4% | 65% | |
| 220 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 221 | 18% | 49% | |
| 222 | 2% | 31% | |
| 223 | 1.0% | 29% | |
| 224 | 6% | 28% | |
| 225 | 3% | 22% | |
| 226 | 2% | 18% | |
| 227 | 5% | 16% | |
| 228 | 3% | 11% | |
| 229 | 2% | 8% | |
| 230 | 2% | 6% | |
| 231 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 232 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 233 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 235 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 198 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 199 | 3% | 95% | |
| 200 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 201 | 4% | 92% | |
| 202 | 2% | 88% | |
| 203 | 2% | 87% | |
| 204 | 18% | 84% | |
| 205 | 5% | 66% | Median |
| 206 | 6% | 61% | |
| 207 | 12% | 55% | |
| 208 | 6% | 43% | |
| 209 | 2% | 37% | |
| 210 | 3% | 36% | |
| 211 | 4% | 33% | |
| 212 | 3% | 28% | |
| 213 | 5% | 25% | |
| 214 | 4% | 21% | |
| 215 | 2% | 17% | |
| 216 | 2% | 15% | |
| 217 | 3% | 13% | |
| 218 | 5% | 10% | |
| 219 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 220 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 221 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 223 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 225 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 226 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 228 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 193 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 195 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 197 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 198 | 3% | 94% | |
| 199 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 200 | 4% | 90% | |
| 201 | 2% | 86% | |
| 202 | 2% | 84% | |
| 203 | 19% | 81% | |
| 204 | 6% | 63% | |
| 205 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 206 | 17% | 47% | |
| 207 | 9% | 31% | |
| 208 | 3% | 22% | |
| 209 | 5% | 19% | |
| 210 | 6% | 14% | |
| 211 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 212 | 2% | 6% | |
| 213 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 214 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 215 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 220 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 221 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 222 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 228 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 182 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 185 | 2% | 95% | |
| 186 | 2% | 92% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 188 | 2% | 90% | |
| 189 | 6% | 88% | |
| 190 | 3% | 83% | |
| 191 | 18% | 80% | |
| 192 | 5% | 61% | Median |
| 193 | 11% | 56% | |
| 194 | 14% | 45% | |
| 195 | 8% | 32% | |
| 196 | 6% | 23% | |
| 197 | 5% | 17% | |
| 198 | 3% | 12% | |
| 199 | 3% | 9% | |
| 200 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 202 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 203 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 209 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 176 | 1.2% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 182 | 5% | 96% | |
| 183 | 3% | 90% | |
| 184 | 2% | 87% | |
| 185 | 4% | 86% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 82% | |
| 187 | 12% | 81% | |
| 188 | 4% | 69% | Median |
| 189 | 26% | 65% | |
| 190 | 3% | 38% | |
| 191 | 6% | 35% | |
| 192 | 9% | 29% | |
| 193 | 3% | 20% | |
| 194 | 5% | 17% | |
| 195 | 2% | 11% | |
| 196 | 3% | 9% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 200 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 202 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 210 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 174 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 176 | 1.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 97% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 180 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 181 | 5% | 92% | |
| 182 | 2% | 87% | |
| 183 | 3% | 85% | |
| 184 | 3% | 83% | |
| 185 | 22% | 79% | |
| 186 | 6% | 57% | |
| 187 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 188 | 12% | 34% | |
| 189 | 7% | 22% | |
| 190 | 4% | 15% | |
| 191 | 3% | 11% | |
| 192 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 193 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 194 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 174 | 2% | 97% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 176 | 1.1% | 94% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 92% | |
| 178 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 179 | 3% | 89% | |
| 180 | 23% | 86% | |
| 181 | 3% | 63% | |
| 182 | 5% | 60% | |
| 183 | 6% | 55% | |
| 184 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 185 | 10% | 44% | |
| 186 | 13% | 34% | |
| 187 | 8% | 21% | |
| 188 | 3% | 12% | |
| 189 | 2% | 9% | |
| 190 | 2% | 7% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 192 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 170 | 2% | 97% | |
| 171 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 172 | 2% | 94% | |
| 173 | 2% | 92% | |
| 174 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 175 | 2% | 89% | |
| 176 | 6% | 87% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 178 | 5% | 81% | |
| 179 | 2% | 76% | |
| 180 | 4% | 74% | |
| 181 | 9% | 70% | |
| 182 | 2% | 60% | Median |
| 183 | 23% | 59% | |
| 184 | 2% | 35% | |
| 185 | 3% | 33% | |
| 186 | 4% | 30% | |
| 187 | 3% | 25% | |
| 188 | 2% | 22% | |
| 189 | 3% | 20% | |
| 190 | 6% | 17% | |
| 191 | 3% | 11% | |
| 192 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 194 | 2% | 6% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 196 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 164 | 2% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 167 | 2% | 95% | |
| 168 | 2% | 93% | |
| 169 | 2% | 91% | |
| 170 | 6% | 90% | |
| 171 | 2% | 83% | |
| 172 | 3% | 82% | |
| 173 | 21% | 78% | |
| 174 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 175 | 22% | 51% | |
| 176 | 8% | 29% | Majority |
| 177 | 6% | 21% | |
| 178 | 4% | 15% | |
| 179 | 3% | 12% | |
| 180 | 2% | 9% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 182 | 2% | 6% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 194 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 137 | 2% | 94% | |
| 138 | 2% | 92% | |
| 139 | 7% | 90% | |
| 140 | 6% | 83% | |
| 141 | 5% | 77% | |
| 142 | 8% | 72% | |
| 143 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 144 | 17% | 57% | |
| 145 | 5% | 40% | |
| 146 | 18% | 35% | |
| 147 | 2% | 17% | |
| 148 | 2% | 15% | |
| 149 | 4% | 13% | |
| 150 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 151 | 2% | 8% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 129 | 2% | 96% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 133 | 6% | 90% | |
| 134 | 5% | 84% | |
| 135 | 18% | 78% | |
| 136 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 137 | 6% | 49% | |
| 138 | 6% | 43% | |
| 139 | 5% | 36% | |
| 140 | 8% | 31% | |
| 141 | 3% | 23% | |
| 142 | 7% | 20% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 144 | 6% | 13% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 147 | 2% | 5% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 114 | 2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 2% | 93% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 117 | 2% | 89% | |
| 118 | 2% | 88% | |
| 119 | 4% | 86% | |
| 120 | 4% | 82% | |
| 121 | 2% | 78% | |
| 122 | 3% | 76% | |
| 123 | 2% | 73% | |
| 124 | 20% | 71% | |
| 125 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 126 | 4% | 49% | |
| 127 | 17% | 45% | |
| 128 | 6% | 28% | |
| 129 | 2% | 23% | |
| 130 | 4% | 21% | |
| 131 | 2% | 17% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 133 | 5% | 14% | |
| 134 | 2% | 8% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 139 | 2% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 3% | 94% | |
| 109 | 2% | 91% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 111 | 2% | 88% | |
| 112 | 2% | 86% | |
| 113 | 3% | 84% | |
| 114 | 2% | 81% | |
| 115 | 7% | 79% | |
| 116 | 12% | 72% | Median |
| 117 | 8% | 60% | |
| 118 | 19% | 52% | |
| 119 | 4% | 33% | |
| 120 | 8% | 29% | |
| 121 | 2% | 21% | |
| 122 | 2% | 19% | |
| 123 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 124 | 4% | 15% | |
| 125 | 3% | 11% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 104 | 2% | 97% | |
| 105 | 3% | 95% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 108 | 2% | 90% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 110 | 2% | 87% | |
| 111 | 2% | 85% | |
| 112 | 3% | 83% | |
| 113 | 5% | 80% | |
| 114 | 4% | 74% | |
| 115 | 5% | 70% | Median |
| 116 | 11% | 65% | |
| 117 | 24% | 54% | |
| 118 | 6% | 30% | |
| 119 | 3% | 24% | |
| 120 | 3% | 21% | |
| 121 | 2% | 18% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 123 | 4% | 15% | |
| 124 | 3% | 11% | |
| 125 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 126 | 2% | 7% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 86 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 91 | 6% | 90% | |
| 92 | 3% | 85% | |
| 93 | 5% | 82% | |
| 94 | 2% | 76% | |
| 95 | 5% | 74% | |
| 96 | 6% | 69% | |
| 97 | 2% | 64% | Median |
| 98 | 18% | 61% | |
| 99 | 10% | 43% | |
| 100 | 2% | 33% | |
| 101 | 2% | 31% | |
| 102 | 3% | 29% | |
| 103 | 7% | 26% | |
| 104 | 2% | 19% | |
| 105 | 4% | 17% | |
| 106 | 6% | 13% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 108 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 65 | 3% | 90% | |
| 66 | 3% | 87% | |
| 67 | 8% | 84% | |
| 68 | 9% | 76% | |
| 69 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 70 | 2% | 48% | |
| 71 | 12% | 45% | |
| 72 | 3% | 34% | |
| 73 | 3% | 31% | |
| 74 | 3% | 28% | |
| 75 | 2% | 25% | |
| 76 | 8% | 23% | |
| 77 | 3% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 12% | |
| 80 | 6% | 10% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sondaxe
- Commissioner(s): La Voz de Galicia
- Fieldwork period: 11–18 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.11%