Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–18 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español |
22.6% |
27.6% |
27.0–28.2% |
26.9–28.3% |
26.7–28.5% |
26.5–28.7% |
Partido Popular |
33.0% |
20.3% |
19.8–20.8% |
19.7–21.0% |
19.5–21.1% |
19.3–21.3% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
13.1% |
14.3% |
13.9–14.8% |
13.7–14.9% |
13.6–15.0% |
13.4–15.2% |
Unidos Podemos |
21.2% |
13.7% |
13.3–14.1% |
13.2–14.3% |
13.0–14.4% |
12.8–14.6% |
Vox |
0.2% |
12.4% |
12.0–12.8% |
11.9–12.9% |
11.8–13.0% |
11.6–13.2% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí |
2.7% |
2.8% |
2.6–3.0% |
2.5–3.1% |
2.5–3.1% |
2.4–3.2% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal |
1.2% |
2.3% |
2.1–2.5% |
2.1–2.6% |
2.0–2.6% |
2.0–2.7% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
1.2% |
1.4% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.1–1.7% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català |
2.0% |
1.3% |
1.2–1.5% |
1.1–1.5% |
1.1–1.5% |
1.0–1.6% |
Euskal Herria Bildu |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.8–1.0% |
0.7–1.1% |
0.7–1.1% |
0.7–1.2% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.2–0.3% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
117 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
118 |
4% |
93% |
|
119 |
9% |
90% |
|
120 |
9% |
81% |
|
121 |
20% |
72% |
|
122 |
9% |
53% |
Median |
123 |
7% |
44% |
|
124 |
10% |
36% |
|
125 |
7% |
26% |
|
126 |
16% |
20% |
|
127 |
3% |
4% |
|
128 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
130 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
131 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
2% |
93% |
|
78 |
10% |
90% |
|
79 |
19% |
80% |
|
80 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
49% |
|
82 |
12% |
42% |
|
83 |
21% |
30% |
|
84 |
7% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
12% |
97% |
|
44 |
7% |
85% |
|
45 |
20% |
78% |
|
46 |
18% |
58% |
Median |
47 |
21% |
40% |
|
48 |
8% |
19% |
|
49 |
9% |
11% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
35 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
19% |
95% |
|
37 |
50% |
76% |
Median |
38 |
21% |
26% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
13% |
97% |
|
33 |
22% |
84% |
|
34 |
37% |
63% |
Median |
35 |
13% |
26% |
|
36 |
6% |
12% |
|
37 |
3% |
6% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
4% |
98% |
|
13 |
49% |
94% |
Median |
14 |
45% |
45% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
44% |
100% |
|
7 |
46% |
56% |
Median |
8 |
9% |
9% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
23% |
100% |
|
5 |
47% |
77% |
Median |
6 |
28% |
29% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
8% |
91% |
|
4 |
64% |
83% |
Median |
5 |
18% |
19% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
36% |
36% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
254 |
249 |
100% |
245–251 |
243–252 |
243–253 |
242–254 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos |
188 |
205 |
100% |
202–207 |
202–208 |
200–209 |
199–211 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular |
222 |
203 |
100% |
199–206 |
197–207 |
197–208 |
197–209 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu |
180 |
188 |
100% |
185–192 |
184–192 |
184–192 |
182–194 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català |
173 |
177 |
81% |
174–182 |
174–182 |
173–182 |
172–184 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu |
167 |
177 |
56% |
172–181 |
172–181 |
172–181 |
169–183 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu |
163 |
170 |
0.2% |
166–173 |
166–173 |
166–174 |
164–175 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
117 |
168 |
0.1% |
164–171 |
164–172 |
162–172 |
161–173 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
161 |
165 |
0% |
162–169 |
162–169 |
162–170 |
160–171 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox |
169 |
161 |
0% |
157–164 |
157–164 |
156–164 |
155–167 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos |
156 |
159 |
0% |
156–163 |
155–163 |
155–164 |
153–165 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
174 |
133 |
0% |
128–137 |
128–139 |
127–139 |
126–140 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario |
170 |
127 |
0% |
122–130 |
122–133 |
121–133 |
120–133 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
169 |
127 |
0% |
122–130 |
122–132 |
121–132 |
120–133 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español |
85 |
122 |
0% |
118–126 |
117–126 |
117–127 |
117–128 |
Partido Popular – Vox |
137 |
114 |
0% |
112–117 |
111–117 |
111–119 |
110–121 |
Partido Popular |
137 |
80 |
0% |
78–83 |
76–84 |
76–84 |
76–87 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
239 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
241 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
242 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
243 |
5% |
98% |
|
244 |
2% |
93% |
|
245 |
3% |
92% |
|
246 |
7% |
89% |
|
247 |
5% |
82% |
|
248 |
25% |
77% |
Median |
249 |
14% |
52% |
|
250 |
5% |
38% |
|
251 |
24% |
33% |
|
252 |
5% |
9% |
|
253 |
3% |
4% |
|
254 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
255 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
256 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
188 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
100% |
|
195 |
0% |
100% |
|
196 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
197 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
199 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
200 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
201 |
2% |
97% |
|
202 |
7% |
95% |
|
203 |
10% |
88% |
|
204 |
18% |
78% |
|
205 |
11% |
60% |
Median |
206 |
18% |
49% |
|
207 |
21% |
31% |
|
208 |
7% |
9% |
|
209 |
2% |
3% |
|
210 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
211 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
212 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
213 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
195 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
196 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
197 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
198 |
3% |
94% |
|
199 |
8% |
91% |
|
200 |
4% |
83% |
|
201 |
7% |
80% |
|
202 |
14% |
72% |
Median |
203 |
17% |
59% |
|
204 |
13% |
41% |
|
205 |
10% |
28% |
|
206 |
10% |
18% |
|
207 |
5% |
8% |
|
208 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
209 |
2% |
2% |
|
210 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
211 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
178 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
179 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
180 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
181 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
182 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
183 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
184 |
6% |
98% |
|
185 |
10% |
92% |
|
186 |
3% |
82% |
|
187 |
26% |
79% |
|
188 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
189 |
5% |
43% |
|
190 |
17% |
38% |
|
191 |
8% |
21% |
|
192 |
11% |
13% |
|
193 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
194 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
195 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
196 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
170 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
171 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
172 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
173 |
2% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
174 |
12% |
97% |
|
175 |
5% |
85% |
|
176 |
17% |
81% |
Majority |
177 |
16% |
64% |
Median |
178 |
13% |
48% |
|
179 |
6% |
35% |
|
180 |
16% |
29% |
|
181 |
2% |
13% |
|
182 |
9% |
11% |
|
183 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
184 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
185 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
186 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
167 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
168 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
169 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
170 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
171 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
172 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
173 |
8% |
87% |
|
174 |
5% |
79% |
|
175 |
17% |
74% |
|
176 |
5% |
56% |
Median, Majority |
177 |
13% |
51% |
|
178 |
7% |
38% |
|
179 |
11% |
31% |
|
180 |
9% |
20% |
|
181 |
10% |
12% |
|
182 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
183 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
184 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
185 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
162 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
163 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
164 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
165 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
166 |
13% |
98% |
|
167 |
4% |
85% |
|
168 |
10% |
81% |
|
169 |
20% |
71% |
|
170 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
171 |
4% |
37% |
|
172 |
15% |
33% |
|
173 |
12% |
17% |
|
174 |
3% |
5% |
|
175 |
2% |
2% |
|
176 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
177 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
178 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
|
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
159 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
160 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
161 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
162 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
163 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
164 |
7% |
96% |
|
165 |
9% |
89% |
|
166 |
3% |
80% |
|
167 |
13% |
78% |
|
168 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
169 |
17% |
49% |
|
170 |
14% |
32% |
|
171 |
12% |
18% |
|
172 |
4% |
6% |
|
173 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
174 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
175 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
176 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
177 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
159 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
160 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
161 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
162 |
9% |
98.6% |
|
163 |
8% |
90% |
|
164 |
5% |
82% |
|
165 |
27% |
77% |
|
166 |
12% |
50% |
Median |
167 |
7% |
37% |
|
168 |
15% |
30% |
|
169 |
10% |
15% |
|
170 |
4% |
5% |
|
171 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
173 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
174 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
154 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
155 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
156 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
157 |
11% |
96% |
|
158 |
12% |
85% |
|
159 |
14% |
73% |
|
160 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
161 |
7% |
51% |
|
162 |
23% |
44% |
|
163 |
8% |
20% |
|
164 |
10% |
12% |
|
165 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
166 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
167 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
169 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
170 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
152 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
153 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
154 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
155 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
156 |
9% |
93% |
Last Result |
157 |
3% |
84% |
|
158 |
30% |
80% |
|
159 |
11% |
51% |
Median |
160 |
6% |
40% |
|
161 |
8% |
34% |
|
162 |
14% |
26% |
|
163 |
8% |
12% |
|
164 |
2% |
3% |
|
165 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
166 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
167 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
126 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
127 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
128 |
8% |
97% |
|
129 |
8% |
89% |
|
130 |
5% |
81% |
|
131 |
13% |
76% |
|
132 |
7% |
63% |
|
133 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
134 |
10% |
49% |
|
135 |
6% |
39% |
|
136 |
13% |
32% |
|
137 |
11% |
19% |
|
138 |
2% |
8% |
|
139 |
5% |
6% |
|
140 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
143 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
120 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
121 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
122 |
8% |
97% |
|
123 |
7% |
88% |
|
124 |
9% |
81% |
|
125 |
11% |
73% |
|
126 |
5% |
62% |
Median |
127 |
8% |
56% |
|
128 |
18% |
49% |
|
129 |
6% |
31% |
|
130 |
17% |
25% |
|
131 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
132 |
2% |
8% |
|
133 |
5% |
6% |
|
134 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
120 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
121 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
122 |
13% |
96% |
|
123 |
3% |
83% |
|
124 |
10% |
80% |
|
125 |
12% |
70% |
|
126 |
5% |
58% |
Median |
127 |
6% |
52% |
|
128 |
19% |
47% |
|
129 |
8% |
28% |
|
130 |
11% |
20% |
|
131 |
2% |
9% |
|
132 |
6% |
6% |
|
133 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
134 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
136 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
117 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
118 |
4% |
93% |
|
119 |
9% |
90% |
|
120 |
9% |
81% |
|
121 |
20% |
72% |
|
122 |
9% |
53% |
Median |
123 |
7% |
44% |
|
124 |
10% |
36% |
|
125 |
7% |
26% |
|
126 |
16% |
20% |
|
127 |
3% |
4% |
|
128 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
130 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
131 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular – Vox
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
109 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
111 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
112 |
17% |
94% |
|
113 |
8% |
77% |
|
114 |
22% |
69% |
Median |
115 |
13% |
48% |
|
116 |
14% |
34% |
|
117 |
15% |
20% |
|
118 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
119 |
2% |
3% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
121 |
2% |
2% |
|
122 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
123 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
124 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Popular
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
2% |
93% |
|
78 |
10% |
90% |
|
79 |
19% |
80% |
|
80 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
49% |
|
82 |
12% |
42% |
|
83 |
21% |
30% |
|
84 |
7% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 22 February–18 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 10600
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.23%