Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–18 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.6% 27.0–28.2% 26.9–28.3% 26.7–28.5% 26.5–28.7%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.3% 19.8–20.8% 19.7–21.0% 19.5–21.1% 19.3–21.3%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 14.3% 13.9–14.8% 13.7–14.9% 13.6–15.0% 13.4–15.2%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.7% 13.3–14.1% 13.2–14.3% 13.0–14.4% 12.8–14.6%
Vox 0.2% 12.4% 12.0–12.8% 11.9–12.9% 11.8–13.0% 11.6–13.2%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.8% 2.6–3.0% 2.5–3.1% 2.5–3.1% 2.4–3.2%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.3% 2.1–2.5% 2.1–2.6% 2.0–2.6% 2.0–2.7%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.4% 1.2–1.6% 1.2–1.6% 1.2–1.6% 1.1–1.7%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.9% 0.8–1.0% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.2% 0.2–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 118–126 117–126 117–127 117–128
Partido Popular 137 80 78–83 76–84 76–84 76–87
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 46 43–49 43–49 42–49 42–50
Unidos Podemos 71 37 36–38 36–38 35–39 34–40
Vox 0 34 32–36 32–37 31–38 30–40
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 13 13–14 12–14 12–14 10–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 1 1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 7 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 3–5 2–5 2–5 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.7%  
117 6% 99.5%  
118 4% 93%  
119 9% 90%  
120 9% 81%  
121 20% 72%  
122 9% 53% Median
123 7% 44%  
124 10% 36%  
125 7% 26%  
126 16% 20%  
127 3% 4%  
128 1.3% 1.5%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.9%  
76 7% 99.7%  
77 2% 93%  
78 10% 90%  
79 19% 80%  
80 12% 61% Median
81 7% 49%  
82 12% 42%  
83 21% 30%  
84 7% 9%  
85 0.3% 2%  
86 0.3% 1.5%  
87 0.7% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 3% 99.7%  
43 12% 97%  
44 7% 85%  
45 20% 78%  
46 18% 58% Median
47 21% 40%  
48 8% 19%  
49 9% 11%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 1.0% 100%  
35 4% 99.0%  
36 19% 95%  
37 50% 76% Median
38 21% 26%  
39 3% 4%  
40 0.4% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 1.0% 99.9%  
31 2% 98.9%  
32 13% 97%  
33 22% 84%  
34 37% 63% Median
35 13% 26%  
36 6% 12%  
37 3% 6%  
38 0.7% 3%  
39 0.2% 2%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.7% 100%  
11 2% 99.3%  
12 4% 98%  
13 49% 94% Median
14 45% 45%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 44% 100%  
7 46% 56% Median
8 9% 9%  
9 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 23% 100%  
5 47% 77% Median
6 28% 29%  
7 1.3% 1.3%  
8 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 9% 100% Last Result
3 8% 91%  
4 64% 83% Median
5 18% 19%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Median
1 36% 36% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 249 100% 245–251 243–252 243–253 242–254
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 205 100% 202–207 202–208 200–209 199–211
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 203 100% 199–206 197–207 197–208 197–209
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 188 100% 185–192 184–192 184–192 182–194
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 177 81% 174–182 174–182 173–182 172–184
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 177 56% 172–181 172–181 172–181 169–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 170 0.2% 166–173 166–173 166–174 164–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 168 0.1% 164–171 164–172 162–172 161–173
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 165 0% 162–169 162–169 162–170 160–171
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 161 0% 157–164 157–164 156–164 155–167
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 159 0% 156–163 155–163 155–164 153–165
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 133 0% 128–137 128–139 127–139 126–140
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 127 0% 122–130 122–133 121–133 120–133
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 127 0% 122–130 122–132 121–132 120–133
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 0% 118–126 117–126 117–127 117–128
Partido Popular – Vox 137 114 0% 112–117 111–117 111–119 110–121
Partido Popular 137 80 0% 78–83 76–84 76–84 76–87

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0.1% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 2% 99.8%  
243 5% 98%  
244 2% 93%  
245 3% 92%  
246 7% 89%  
247 5% 82%  
248 25% 77% Median
249 14% 52%  
250 5% 38%  
251 24% 33%  
252 5% 9%  
253 3% 4%  
254 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
255 0.1% 0.4%  
256 0.2% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0.1% 0.1%  
259 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0.1% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 2% 99.8%  
200 1.3% 98%  
201 2% 97%  
202 7% 95%  
203 10% 88%  
204 18% 78%  
205 11% 60% Median
206 18% 49%  
207 21% 31%  
208 7% 9%  
209 2% 3%  
210 0.4% 1.0%  
211 0.4% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0.1% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0.1% 100%  
196 0.2% 99.8%  
197 5% 99.6%  
198 3% 94%  
199 8% 91%  
200 4% 83%  
201 7% 80%  
202 14% 72% Median
203 17% 59%  
204 13% 41%  
205 10% 28%  
206 10% 18%  
207 5% 8%  
208 1.0% 3%  
209 2% 2%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0.1% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0.1% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.9% Last Result
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.5% 99.7%  
183 0.8% 99.2%  
184 6% 98%  
185 10% 92%  
186 3% 82%  
187 26% 79%  
188 10% 53% Median
189 5% 43%  
190 17% 38%  
191 8% 21%  
192 11% 13%  
193 1.4% 2%  
194 0.6% 0.7%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.3% 99.9%  
172 0.9% 99.6%  
173 2% 98.7% Last Result
174 12% 97%  
175 5% 85%  
176 17% 81% Majority
177 16% 64% Median
178 13% 48%  
179 6% 35%  
180 16% 29%  
181 2% 13%  
182 9% 11%  
183 1.1% 2%  
184 0.5% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0.1% 100% Last Result
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.4% 99.8%  
170 0.3% 99.5%  
171 0.5% 99.2%  
172 12% 98.7%  
173 8% 87%  
174 5% 79%  
175 17% 74%  
176 5% 56% Median, Majority
177 13% 51%  
178 7% 38%  
179 11% 31%  
180 9% 20%  
181 10% 12%  
182 0.8% 2%  
183 1.1% 1.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
164 0.4% 99.7%  
165 0.9% 99.2%  
166 13% 98%  
167 4% 85%  
168 10% 81%  
169 20% 71%  
170 14% 51% Median
171 4% 37%  
172 15% 33%  
173 12% 17%  
174 3% 5%  
175 2% 2%  
176 0.2% 0.2% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 2% 99.8%  
162 0.9% 98%  
163 0.8% 97%  
164 7% 96%  
165 9% 89%  
166 3% 80%  
167 13% 78%  
168 16% 65% Median
169 17% 49%  
170 14% 32%  
171 12% 18%  
172 4% 6%  
173 0.9% 1.2%  
174 0.2% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1% Majority
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.2% 99.9%  
160 0.2% 99.7%  
161 0.9% 99.5% Last Result
162 9% 98.6%  
163 8% 90%  
164 5% 82%  
165 27% 77%  
166 12% 50% Median
167 7% 37%  
168 15% 30%  
169 10% 15%  
170 4% 5%  
171 1.1% 1.4%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.9% 99.9%  
156 3% 99.0%  
157 11% 96%  
158 12% 85%  
159 14% 73%  
160 8% 59% Median
161 7% 51%  
162 23% 44%  
163 8% 20%  
164 10% 12%  
165 1.3% 2%  
166 0.3% 0.9%  
167 0.4% 0.6%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1% Last Result
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.8%  
154 0.7% 99.5%  
155 6% 98.8%  
156 9% 93% Last Result
157 3% 84%  
158 30% 80%  
159 11% 51% Median
160 6% 40%  
161 8% 34%  
162 14% 26%  
163 8% 12%  
164 2% 3%  
165 0.9% 1.1%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 2% 99.9%  
127 0.9% 98%  
128 8% 97%  
129 8% 89%  
130 5% 81%  
131 13% 76%  
132 7% 63%  
133 7% 56% Median
134 10% 49%  
135 6% 39%  
136 13% 32%  
137 11% 19%  
138 2% 8%  
139 5% 6%  
140 0.3% 0.6%  
141 0.2% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.7% 99.9%  
121 3% 99.2%  
122 8% 97%  
123 7% 88%  
124 9% 81%  
125 11% 73%  
126 5% 62% Median
127 8% 56%  
128 18% 49%  
129 6% 31%  
130 17% 25%  
131 0.9% 9%  
132 2% 8%  
133 5% 6%  
134 0.2% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 2% 99.8%  
121 1.1% 98%  
122 13% 96%  
123 3% 83%  
124 10% 80%  
125 12% 70%  
126 5% 58% Median
127 6% 52%  
128 19% 47%  
129 8% 28%  
130 11% 20%  
131 2% 9%  
132 6% 6%  
133 0.5% 0.9%  
134 0.2% 0.4%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.7%  
117 6% 99.5%  
118 4% 93%  
119 9% 90%  
120 9% 81%  
121 20% 72%  
122 9% 53% Median
123 7% 44%  
124 10% 36%  
125 7% 26%  
126 16% 20%  
127 3% 4%  
128 1.3% 1.5%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.1% 100%  
110 0.5% 99.9%  
111 5% 99.4%  
112 17% 94%  
113 8% 77%  
114 22% 69% Median
115 13% 48%  
116 14% 34%  
117 15% 20%  
118 1.4% 5%  
119 2% 3%  
120 0.1% 2%  
121 2% 2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.9%  
76 7% 99.7%  
77 2% 93%  
78 10% 90%  
79 19% 80%  
80 12% 61% Median
81 7% 49%  
82 12% 42%  
83 21% 30%  
84 7% 9%  
85 0.3% 2%  
86 0.3% 1.5%  
87 0.7% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations