Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–18 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español |
22.6% |
27.6% |
27.0–28.2% |
26.9–28.3% |
26.7–28.5% |
26.5–28.7% |
Partido Popular |
33.0% |
20.3% |
19.8–20.8% |
19.7–21.0% |
19.5–21.1% |
19.3–21.3% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
13.1% |
14.3% |
13.9–14.8% |
13.7–14.9% |
13.6–15.0% |
13.4–15.2% |
Unidos Podemos |
21.2% |
13.7% |
13.3–14.1% |
13.2–14.3% |
13.0–14.4% |
12.8–14.6% |
Vox |
0.2% |
12.4% |
12.0–12.8% |
11.9–12.9% |
11.8–13.0% |
11.6–13.2% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí |
2.7% |
2.8% |
2.6–3.0% |
2.5–3.1% |
2.5–3.1% |
2.4–3.2% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal |
1.2% |
2.3% |
2.1–2.5% |
2.1–2.6% |
2.0–2.6% |
2.0–2.7% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
1.2% |
1.4% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.2–1.6% |
1.1–1.7% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català |
2.0% |
1.3% |
1.2–1.5% |
1.1–1.5% |
1.1–1.5% |
1.0–1.6% |
Euskal Herria Bildu |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.8–1.0% |
0.7–1.1% |
0.7–1.1% |
0.7–1.2% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.2–0.3% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
117 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
118 |
4% |
93% |
|
119 |
9% |
90% |
|
120 |
9% |
81% |
|
121 |
20% |
72% |
|
122 |
9% |
53% |
Median |
123 |
7% |
44% |
|
124 |
10% |
36% |
|
125 |
7% |
26% |
|
126 |
16% |
20% |
|
127 |
3% |
4% |
|
128 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
130 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
131 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
2% |
93% |
|
78 |
10% |
90% |
|
79 |
19% |
80% |
|
80 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
49% |
|
82 |
12% |
42% |
|
83 |
21% |
30% |
|
84 |
7% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
12% |
97% |
|
44 |
7% |
85% |
|
45 |
20% |
78% |
|
46 |
18% |
58% |
Median |
47 |
21% |
40% |
|
48 |
8% |
19% |
|
49 |
9% |
11% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
35 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
19% |
95% |
|
37 |
50% |
76% |
Median |
38 |
21% |
26% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
13% |
97% |
|
33 |
22% |
84% |
|
34 |
37% |
63% |
Median |
35 |
13% |
26% |
|
36 |
6% |
12% |
|
37 |
3% |
6% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
4% |
98% |
|
13 |
49% |
94% |
Median |
14 |
45% |
45% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
44% |
100% |
|
7 |
46% |
56% |
Median |
8 |
9% |
9% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
23% |
100% |
|
5 |
47% |
77% |
Median |
6 |
28% |
29% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
8% |
91% |
|
4 |
64% |
83% |
Median |
5 |
18% |
19% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
36% |
36% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
254 |
249 |
100% |
245–251 |
243–252 |
243–253 |
242–254 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos |
188 |
205 |
100% |
202–207 |
202–208 |
200–209 |
199–211 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular |
222 |
203 |
100% |
199–206 |
197–207 |
197–208 |
197–209 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu |
180 |
188 |
100% |
185–192 |
184–192 |
184–192 |
182–194 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català |
173 |
177 |
81% |
174–182 |
174–182 |
173–182 |
172–184 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu |
167 |
177 |
56% |
172–181 |
172–181 |
172–181 |
169–183 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu |
163 |
170 |
0.2% |
166–173 |
166–173 |
166–174 |
164–175 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
117 |
168 |
0.1% |
164–171 |
164–172 |
162–172 |
161–173 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
161 |
165 |
0% |
162–169 |
162–169 |
162–170 |
160–171 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox |
169 |
161 |
0% |
157–164 |
157–164 |
156–164 |
155–167 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos |
156 |
159 |
0% |
156–163 |
155–163 |
155–164 |
153–165 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco |
174 |
133 |
0% |
128–137 |
128–139 |
127–139 |
126–140 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario |
170 |
127 |
0% |
122–130 |
122–133 |
121–133 |
120–133 |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía |
169 |
127 |
0% |
122–130 |
122–132 |
121–132 |
120–133 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español |
85 |
122 |
0% |
118–126 |
117–126 |
117–127 |
117–128 |
Partido Popular – Vox |
137 |
114 |
0% |
112–117 |
111–117 |
111–119 |
110–121 |
Partido Popular |
137 |
80 |
0% |
78–83 |
76–84 |
76–84 |
76–87 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
239 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
241 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
242 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
243 |
5% |
98% |
|
244 |
2% |
93% |
|
245 |
3% |
92% |
|
246 |
7% |
89% |
|
247 |
5% |
82% |
|
248 |
25% |
77% |
Median |
249 |
14% |
52% |
|
250 |
5% |
38% |
|
251 |
24% |
33% |
|
252 |
5% |
9% |
|
253 |
3% |
4% |
|
254 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
255 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
256 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
259 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
188 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
100% |
|
195 |
0% |
100% |
|
196 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
197 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
199 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
200 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
201 |
2% |
97% |
|
202 |
7% |
95% |
|
203 |
10% |
88% |
|
204 |
18% |
78% |
|
205 |
11% |
60% |
Median |
206 |
18% |
49% |
|
207 |
21% |
31% |
|
208 |
7% |
9% |
|
209 |
2% |
3% |
|
210 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
211 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
212 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
213 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
195 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
196 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
197 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
198 |
3% |
94% |
|
199 |
8% |
91% |
|
200 |
4% |
83% |
|
201 |
7% |
80% |
|
202 |
14% |
72% |
Median |
203 |
17% |
59% |
|
204 |
13% |
41% |
|
205 |
10% |
28% |
|
206 |
10% |
18% |
|
207 |
5% |
8% |
|
208 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
209 |
2% |
2% |
|
210 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
211 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
212 |
0% |
0% |
|
213 |
0% |
0% |
|
214 |
0% |
0% |
|
215 |
0% |
0% |
|
216 |
0% |
0% |
|
217 |
0% |
0% |
|
218 |
0% |
0% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
220 |
0% |
0% |
|
221 |
0% |
0% |
|
222 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
178 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
179 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
180 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
181 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
182 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
183 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
184 |
6% |
98% |
|
185 |
10% |
92% |
|
186 |
3% |
82% |
|
187 |
26% |
79% |
|
188 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
189 |
5% |
43% |
|
190 |
17% |
38% |
|
191 |
8% |
21% |
|
192 |
11% |
13% |
|
193 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
194 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
195 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
196 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
170 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
171 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
172 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
173 |
2% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
174 |
12% |
97% |
|
175 |
5% |
85% |
|
176 |
17% |
81% |
Majority |
177 |
16% |
64% |
Median |
178 |
13% |
48% |
|
179 |
6% |
35% |
|
180 |
16% |
29% |
|
181 |
2% |
13% |
|
182 |
9% |
11% |
|
183 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
184 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
185 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
186 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
167 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
168 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
169 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
170 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
171 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
172 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
173 |
8% |
87% |
|
174 |
5% |
79% |
|
175 |
17% |
74% |
|
176 |
5% |
56% |
Median, Majority |
177 |
13% |
51% |
|
178 |
7% |
38% |
|
179 |
11% |
31% |
|
180 |
9% |
20% |
|
181 |
10% |
12% |
|
182 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
183 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
184 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
185 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
162 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
163 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
164 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
165 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
166 |
13% |
98% |
|
167 |
4% |
85% |
|
168 |
10% |
81% |
|
169 |
20% |
71% |
|
170 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
171 |
4% |
37% |
|
172 |
15% |
33% |
|
173 |
12% |
17% |
|
174 |
3% |
5% |
|
175 |
2% |
2% |
|
176 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
177 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
178 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
|
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
159 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
160 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
161 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
162 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
163 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
164 |
7% |
96% |
|
165 |
9% |
89% |
|
166 |
3% |
80% |
|
167 |
13% |
78% |
|
168 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
169 |
17% |
49% |
|
170 |
14% |
32% |
|
171 |
12% |
18% |
|
172 |
4% |
6% |
|
173 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
174 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
175 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
176 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
177 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
159 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
160 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
161 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
162 |
9% |
98.6% |
|
163 |
8% |
90% |
|
164 |
5% |
82% |
|
165 |
27% |
77% |
|
166 |
12% |
50% |
Median |
167 |
7% |
37% |
|
168 |
15% |
30% |
|
169 |
10% |
15% |
|
170 |
4% |
5% |
|
171 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
173 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
174 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
154 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
155 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
156 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
157 |
11% |
96% |
|
158 |
12% |
85% |
|
159 |
14% |
73% |
|
160 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
161 |
7% |
51% |
|
162 |
23% |
44% |
|
163 |
8% |
20% |
|
164 |
10% |
12% |
|
165 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
166 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
167 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
169 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
170 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
152 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
153 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
154 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
155 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
156 |
9% |
93% |
Last Result |
157 |
3% |
84% |
|
158 |
30% |
80% |
|
159 |
11% |
51% |
Median |
160 |
6% |
40% |
|
161 |
8% |
34% |
|
162 |
14% |
26% |
|
163 |
8% |
12% |
|
164 |
2% |
3% |
|
165 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
166 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
167 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
168 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
126 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
127 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
128 |
8% |
97% |
|
129 |
8% |
89% |
|
130 |
5% |
81% |
|
131 |
13% |
76% |
|
132 |
7% |
63% |
|
133 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
134 |
10% |
49% |
|
135 |
6% |
39% |
|
136 |
13% |
32% |
|
137 |
11% |
19% |
|
138 |
2% |
8% |
|
139 |
5% |
6% |
|
140 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
143 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
120 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
121 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
122 |
8% |
97% |
|
123 |
7% |
88% |
|
124 |
9% |
81% |
|
125 |
11% |
73% |
|
126 |
5% |
62% |
Median |
127 |
8% |
56% |
|
128 |
18% |
49% |
|
129 |
6% |
31% |
|
130 |
17% |
25% |
|
131 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
132 |
2% |
8% |
|
133 |
5% |
6% |
|
134 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
120 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
121 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
122 |
13% |
96% |
|
123 |
3% |
83% |
|
124 |
10% |
80% |
|
125 |
12% |
70% |
|
126 |
5% |
58% |
Median |
127 |
6% |
52% |
|
128 |
19% |
47% |
|
129 |
8% |
28% |
|
130 |
11% |
20% |
|
131 |
2% |
9% |
|
132 |
6% |
6% |
|
133 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
134 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
136 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
117 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
118 |
4% |
93% |
|
119 |
9% |
90% |
|
120 |
9% |
81% |
|
121 |
20% |
72% |
|
122 |
9% |
53% |
Median |
123 |
7% |
44% |
|
124 |
10% |
36% |
|
125 |
7% |
26% |
|
126 |
16% |
20% |
|
127 |
3% |
4% |
|
128 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
130 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
131 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partido Popular – Vox

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
109 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
111 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
112 |
17% |
94% |
|
113 |
8% |
77% |
|
114 |
22% |
69% |
Median |
115 |
13% |
48% |
|
116 |
14% |
34% |
|
117 |
15% |
20% |
|
118 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
119 |
2% |
3% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
121 |
2% |
2% |
|
122 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
123 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
124 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partido Popular

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
2% |
93% |
|
78 |
10% |
90% |
|
79 |
19% |
80% |
|
80 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
49% |
|
82 |
12% |
42% |
|
83 |
21% |
30% |
|
84 |
7% |
9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 22 February–18 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 10600
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.23%