Opinion Poll by GAD3 for ABC, 1–19 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 31.5% 30.9–32.1% 30.7–32.3% 30.6–32.4% 30.3–32.7%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.1% 19.6–20.6% 19.4–20.8% 19.3–20.9% 19.1–21.2%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 13.9% 13.5–14.4% 13.3–14.5% 13.2–14.6% 13.0–14.8%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 12.5% 12.1–12.9% 12.0–13.1% 11.9–13.2% 11.7–13.4%
Vox 0.2% 11.4% 11.0–11.8% 10.9–11.9% 10.8–12.0% 10.6–12.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.3% 3.1–3.6% 3.0–3.6% 3.0–3.7% 2.9–3.8%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 1.9% 1.7–2.1% 1.7–2.1% 1.6–2.2% 1.6–2.3%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.2% 1.1–1.4% 1.0–1.4% 1.0–1.4% 0.9–1.5%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 1.1–1.4% 1.0–1.4% 1.0–1.4% 0.9–1.5%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.9% 0.8–1.0% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 137 137–139 135–141 134–142 133–143
Partido Popular 137 79 76–80 73–81 72–81 70–82
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 40 39–43 38–45 38–46 38–47
Unidos Podemos 71 33 31–35 31–36 30–37 29–37
Vox 0 29 28–31 28–32 28–32 28–33
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 15 14–15 14–15 14–15 14–16
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6 6 6 4–7
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 4 2–5 2–5 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.4% 99.8%  
134 4% 99.5%  
135 2% 96%  
136 2% 94%  
137 48% 91% Median
138 4% 44%  
139 32% 40%  
140 2% 8%  
141 2% 6%  
142 2% 4%  
143 1.4% 2%  
144 0.3% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 0.6% 94%  
75 2% 93%  
76 5% 91%  
77 14% 86%  
78 18% 73%  
79 5% 54% Median
80 45% 50%  
81 3% 5%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.5% 100%  
38 7% 99.5%  
39 20% 93%  
40 45% 73% Median
41 2% 28%  
42 10% 26%  
43 7% 15%  
44 3% 9%  
45 2% 6%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.4% 2%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.5%  
31 6% 95%  
32 19% 89%  
33 45% 69% Median
34 9% 25%  
35 7% 15%  
36 5% 8%  
37 3% 3%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 100%  
28 18% 99.8%  
29 50% 82% Median
30 8% 32%  
31 15% 24%  
32 7% 9%  
33 1.5% 2%  
34 0.3% 0.3%  
35 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 31% 99.7%  
15 68% 69% Median
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.9% 100%  
4 77% 99.1% Median
5 22% 22%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.6% 99.9%  
5 0.5% 99.3% Last Result
6 98% 98.8% Median
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 6% 100% Last Result
3 3% 94%  
4 83% 91% Median
5 7% 8%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 87% 88% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 257 100% 255–258 254–259 253–260 252–261
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 217 100% 214–217 212–218 211–219 208–221
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 210 100% 210–215 210–216 208–217 208–219
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 199 100% 198–202 197–203 194–204 193–205
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 189 100% 188–192 186–193 184–194 183–196
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 189 100% 188–193 187–193 184–194 183–195
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 180 97% 179–183 178–185 175–186 174–187
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 177 98.9% 177–182 176–183 176–185 174–187
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 176 88% 175–180 174–180 171–182 170–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 170 3% 169–174 168–174 165–176 165–177
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 149 0% 146–151 145–152 144–154 143–155
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 137 0% 137–139 135–141 134–142 133–143
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 126 0% 122–126 121–129 120–130 119–131
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 121 0% 116–121 116–124 115–125 114–126
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 120 0% 116–120 115–123 114–124 113–125
Partido Popular – Vox 137 109 0% 105–109 104–109 102–111 100–113
Partido Popular 137 79 0% 76–80 73–81 72–81 70–82

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.6% 99.9%  
253 2% 99.3%  
254 5% 97% Last Result
255 5% 92%  
256 17% 87% Median
257 46% 70%  
258 15% 24%  
259 5% 9%  
260 3% 4%  
261 0.7% 0.8%  
262 0.1% 0.1%  
263 0.1% 0.1%  
264 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
207 0.1% 100%  
208 0.8% 99.9%  
209 0.8% 99.1%  
210 0.6% 98%  
211 0.8% 98%  
212 4% 97%  
213 0.7% 93%  
214 4% 93%  
215 5% 89%  
216 19% 84% Median
217 58% 64%  
218 2% 6%  
219 2% 4%  
220 0.8% 2%  
221 1.3% 1.4%  
222 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
223 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0.1% 100%  
204 0% 99.9%  
205 0.1% 99.9%  
206 0.2% 99.8%  
207 0.1% 99.7%  
208 3% 99.6%  
209 2% 97%  
210 58% 95% Median
211 2% 38%  
212 11% 36%  
213 4% 25%  
214 3% 21%  
215 12% 18%  
216 3% 6%  
217 0.7% 3%  
218 1.2% 2%  
219 0.4% 0.9%  
220 0.2% 0.5%  
221 0.2% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.1%  
223 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 2% 99.9%  
194 0.8% 98%  
195 0.6% 97%  
196 1.3% 97%  
197 5% 96%  
198 2% 91%  
199 44% 89% Median
200 17% 44%  
201 10% 28%  
202 11% 18%  
203 3% 7%  
204 1.2% 4%  
205 2% 2%  
206 0.2% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100% Last Result
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100% Majority
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 2% 99.8%  
184 0.9% 98%  
185 0.6% 97%  
186 2% 97%  
187 4% 95%  
188 3% 90%  
189 56% 87% Median
190 6% 31%  
191 7% 25%  
192 11% 18%  
193 3% 7%  
194 1.4% 4%  
195 2% 2%  
196 0.6% 0.7%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100% Last Result
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100% Majority
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 0.4% 99.9%  
184 2% 99.5%  
185 0.2% 97%  
186 2% 97%  
187 4% 95%  
188 3% 91%  
189 44% 88% Median
190 17% 44%  
191 4% 27%  
192 13% 23%  
193 6% 10%  
194 1.1% 4%  
195 2% 2%  
196 0.3% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0% 100% Last Result
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 2% 99.9%  
175 0.8% 98%  
176 0.4% 97% Majority
177 1.3% 97%  
178 3% 96%  
179 3% 92%  
180 45% 89% Median
181 17% 45%  
182 8% 28%  
183 12% 19%  
184 1.3% 7%  
185 2% 6%  
186 1.1% 3%  
187 2% 2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.3% 99.8%  
175 0.6% 99.5%  
176 4% 98.9% Majority
177 51% 94% Median
178 17% 44%  
179 3% 27%  
180 3% 24%  
181 9% 21%  
182 4% 12%  
183 3% 8%  
184 1.3% 5%  
185 3% 4%  
186 0.1% 0.8%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.2% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100% Last Result
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.5% 99.9%  
171 2% 99.3%  
172 0.3% 97%  
173 2% 97%  
174 3% 95%  
175 5% 93%  
176 45% 88% Median, Majority
177 16% 44%  
178 5% 28%  
179 11% 23%  
180 7% 12%  
181 2% 5%  
182 0.9% 3%  
183 2% 2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100% Last Result
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.3% 99.9%  
165 2% 99.6%  
166 0.3% 97%  
167 2% 97%  
168 3% 95%  
169 4% 93%  
170 44% 88% Median
171 16% 44%  
172 5% 28%  
173 11% 23%  
174 7% 12%  
175 2% 5%  
176 0.8% 3% Majority
177 2% 2%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0.1% 100%  
143 2% 99.9%  
144 1.3% 98%  
145 2% 97%  
146 5% 95%  
147 15% 90%  
148 19% 75% Median
149 44% 56%  
150 1.2% 12%  
151 5% 11%  
152 2% 5%  
153 0.9% 4%  
154 0.8% 3%  
155 2% 2%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.4% 99.8%  
134 4% 99.5%  
135 2% 96%  
136 2% 94%  
137 48% 91% Median
138 4% 44%  
139 32% 40%  
140 2% 8%  
141 2% 6%  
142 2% 4%  
143 1.4% 2%  
144 0.3% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0.9% 99.9%  
120 2% 99.1%  
121 6% 97%  
122 1.1% 90%  
123 16% 89%  
124 6% 73%  
125 15% 68% Median
126 44% 53%  
127 2% 9%  
128 0.9% 7%  
129 3% 6%  
130 1.2% 3%  
131 2% 2%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.8% 99.9%  
115 3% 99.1%  
116 7% 96%  
117 1.4% 90%  
118 16% 88%  
119 13% 73%  
120 6% 59% Median
121 44% 53%  
122 2% 9%  
123 2% 7%  
124 2% 5%  
125 1.1% 3%  
126 2% 2%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0.7% 99.9%  
114 3% 99.2%  
115 6% 97%  
116 1.2% 90%  
117 16% 89%  
118 6% 73%  
119 14% 68% Median
120 44% 53%  
121 3% 9%  
122 0.7% 7%  
123 3% 6%  
124 1.2% 3%  
125 2% 2%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0.1% 100%  
99 0.2% 99.8%  
100 0.4% 99.7%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 2% 99.1%  
103 1.3% 97%  
104 3% 96%  
105 12% 94%  
106 3% 81%  
107 6% 78%  
108 4% 71% Median
109 63% 68%  
110 1.3% 5%  
111 1.4% 3%  
112 1.4% 2%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 0.6% 94%  
75 2% 93%  
76 5% 91%  
77 14% 86%  
78 18% 73%  
79 5% 54% Median
80 45% 50%  
81 3% 5%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations