Opinion Poll by Invymark for laSexta, 15–19 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 28.1% 26.5–29.8% 26.0–30.3% 25.6–30.7% 24.8–31.5%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.4% 19.0–22.0% 18.6–22.4% 18.2–22.8% 17.6–23.6%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.2% 13.9–16.6% 13.5–17.0% 13.2–17.3% 12.7–18.0%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.7% 11.2–15.0% 10.7–15.7%
Vox 0.2% 12.7% 11.5–14.0% 11.2–14.4% 10.9–14.7% 10.4–15.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.3% 2.8–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.2–4.9%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 121 112–130 109–132 107–134 103–139
Partido Popular 137 81 73–89 71–92 69–95 66–101
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 49 43–55 40–57 38–59 34–62
Unidos Podemos 71 35 29–39 27–41 26–42 24–44
Vox 0 34 28–43 27–44 26–46 24–49
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 15 12–18 12–18 11–20 9–20
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 3–8 3–8 3–8 1–9
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–8 4–10 3–10 3–10

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.5%  
105 0.5% 99.3%  
106 0.5% 98.9%  
107 0.9% 98%  
108 2% 97%  
109 1.5% 95%  
110 2% 94%  
111 1.3% 92%  
112 2% 91%  
113 4% 89%  
114 5% 84%  
115 3% 80%  
116 6% 77%  
117 5% 71%  
118 4% 66%  
119 6% 62%  
120 6% 57%  
121 6% 51% Median
122 5% 45%  
123 6% 40%  
124 5% 34%  
125 3% 29%  
126 5% 26%  
127 4% 21%  
128 5% 17%  
129 2% 12%  
130 3% 10%  
131 2% 7%  
132 0.9% 6%  
133 1.2% 5%  
134 1.5% 4%  
135 0.7% 2%  
136 0.5% 1.5%  
137 0.3% 1.0%  
138 0.2% 0.7%  
139 0.2% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.3% 99.3%  
68 0.9% 99.0%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 4% 89%  
75 5% 85%  
76 4% 80%  
77 5% 75%  
78 8% 70%  
79 3% 62%  
80 5% 59%  
81 3% 53% Median
82 7% 50%  
83 8% 43%  
84 7% 35%  
85 6% 28%  
86 6% 23%  
87 2% 17%  
88 3% 15%  
89 3% 12%  
90 1.4% 9%  
91 1.3% 7%  
92 1.3% 6%  
93 1.2% 5%  
94 0.9% 4%  
95 0.6% 3%  
96 0.3% 2%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.3% 1.4%  
99 0.1% 1.0%  
100 0.4% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
33 0.1% 99.8%  
34 0.3% 99.7%  
35 0.2% 99.4%  
36 0.4% 99.3%  
37 1.1% 98.9%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 1.3% 97%  
40 1.4% 95%  
41 1.2% 94%  
42 3% 93%  
43 4% 90%  
44 4% 86%  
45 7% 83%  
46 7% 75%  
47 10% 69%  
48 6% 59%  
49 8% 53% Median
50 8% 44%  
51 8% 36%  
52 3% 28%  
53 8% 25%  
54 6% 17%  
55 4% 12%  
56 2% 7%  
57 2% 5%  
58 1.0% 4%  
59 0.8% 3%  
60 0.4% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.4%  
62 0.2% 0.6%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.7%  
25 1.1% 99.1%  
26 2% 98%  
27 4% 96%  
28 2% 92%  
29 3% 90%  
30 5% 87%  
31 6% 82%  
32 7% 75%  
33 9% 69%  
34 8% 60%  
35 10% 52% Median
36 11% 42%  
37 12% 31%  
38 6% 19%  
39 4% 13%  
40 3% 9%  
41 2% 6%  
42 1.4% 4%  
43 1.5% 2%  
44 0.5% 0.9%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.4% 99.8%  
25 0.7% 99.4%  
26 1.4% 98.7%  
27 3% 97%  
28 5% 94%  
29 3% 89%  
30 4% 86%  
31 9% 82%  
32 7% 73%  
33 15% 66%  
34 12% 52% Median
35 7% 40%  
36 3% 33%  
37 3% 30%  
38 4% 27%  
39 4% 23%  
40 4% 19%  
41 2% 15%  
42 1.4% 12%  
43 4% 11%  
44 3% 7%  
45 1.2% 4%  
46 0.8% 3%  
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.8%  
49 0.2% 0.6%  
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.8% 100% Last Result
10 0.6% 99.1%  
11 2% 98.5%  
12 7% 97%  
13 12% 89%  
14 22% 77%  
15 29% 55% Median
16 13% 26%  
17 3% 13%  
18 6% 10%  
19 1.2% 4%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 0.6% 98%  
3 11% 98%  
4 24% 87%  
5 15% 62% Median
6 26% 47%  
7 6% 21%  
8 13% 15% Last Result
9 1.3% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 4% 99.9%  
4 2% 96%  
5 3% 94% Last Result
6 45% 91% Median
7 5% 46%  
8 31% 41%  
9 4% 10%  
10 5% 6%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 251 100% 242–259 239–260 238–262 233–266
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 203 100% 195–213 192–215 188–216 183–221
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 202 100% 193–210 191–212 187–215 184–219
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 175 50% 167–183 163–186 161–189 157–193
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 169 20% 161–178 158–180 154–183 150–187
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 164 6% 156–173 153–176 150–179 147–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 162 3% 153–171 151–173 147–176 143–181
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 155 0.3% 147–164 143–166 141–169 136–174
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 136 0% 126–147 124–149 122–152 118–156
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 130 0% 120–140 117–143 115–145 111–149
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 121 0% 112–130 109–132 107–134 103–139
Partido Popular – Vox 137 116 0% 107–124 105–127 103–131 97–136
Partido Popular 137 81 0% 73–89 71–92 69–95 66–101

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.9%  
232 0.2% 99.8%  
233 0.2% 99.6%  
234 0.4% 99.5%  
235 0.3% 99.1%  
236 0.8% 98.8%  
237 0.4% 98%  
238 2% 98%  
239 1.0% 96%  
240 2% 95%  
241 2% 93%  
242 3% 91%  
243 4% 87%  
244 2% 83%  
245 3% 81%  
246 6% 79%  
247 5% 73%  
248 4% 68%  
249 6% 64%  
250 7% 58%  
251 6% 51% Median
252 4% 45%  
253 5% 41%  
254 5% 36% Last Result
255 6% 31%  
256 5% 24%  
257 5% 19%  
258 3% 14%  
259 5% 11%  
260 2% 6%  
261 1.0% 4%  
262 0.7% 3%  
263 0.6% 2%  
264 0.6% 1.4%  
265 0.2% 0.8%  
266 0.3% 0.6%  
267 0.3% 0.4%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0.1% 100%  
180 0.1% 99.9%  
181 0.1% 99.8%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0.1% 99.6%  
184 0.4% 99.5%  
185 0.5% 99.1%  
186 0.3% 98.6%  
187 0.6% 98%  
188 0.3% 98% Last Result
189 0.6% 97%  
190 0.9% 97%  
191 0.8% 96%  
192 0.9% 95%  
193 1.0% 94%  
194 1.4% 93%  
195 2% 92%  
196 1.2% 90%  
197 3% 89%  
198 6% 86%  
199 3% 80%  
200 5% 77%  
201 8% 72%  
202 7% 64%  
203 7% 57%  
204 7% 49%  
205 5% 42% Median
206 6% 37%  
207 4% 31%  
208 4% 27%  
209 3% 23%  
210 5% 20%  
211 3% 16%  
212 2% 13%  
213 3% 11%  
214 3% 8%  
215 2% 6%  
216 2% 4%  
217 0.4% 2%  
218 0.4% 2%  
219 0.3% 1.3%  
220 0.1% 1.1%  
221 0.5% 0.9%  
222 0.1% 0.5%  
223 0.1% 0.3%  
224 0.1% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.8%  
183 0.1% 99.7%  
184 0.2% 99.6%  
185 1.0% 99.5%  
186 0.9% 98%  
187 0.4% 98%  
188 0.4% 97%  
189 0.5% 97%  
190 0.5% 96%  
191 3% 96%  
192 1.1% 92%  
193 6% 91%  
194 4% 85%  
195 3% 81%  
196 3% 78%  
197 3% 75%  
198 4% 72%  
199 3% 68%  
200 6% 65%  
201 6% 59%  
202 8% 54% Median
203 4% 46%  
204 7% 42%  
205 2% 35%  
206 4% 33%  
207 7% 29%  
208 5% 23%  
209 4% 17%  
210 5% 14%  
211 2% 9%  
212 2% 7%  
213 0.9% 5%  
214 1.3% 4%  
215 0.8% 3%  
216 0.3% 2%  
217 0.5% 2%  
218 0.4% 1.0%  
219 0.2% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.3%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
223 0.1% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0.2% 99.5%  
158 0.4% 99.3%  
159 0.7% 98.9%  
160 0.7% 98%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.9% 97%  
163 1.3% 96%  
164 0.9% 95%  
165 0.6% 94%  
166 2% 93%  
167 3% 91%  
168 5% 88%  
169 7% 83%  
170 5% 76%  
171 6% 71%  
172 3% 65%  
173 4% 62% Last Result
174 5% 58%  
175 4% 53%  
176 6% 50% Median, Majority
177 5% 43%  
178 8% 38%  
179 3% 30%  
180 5% 27%  
181 4% 21%  
182 4% 17%  
183 3% 13%  
184 2% 10%  
185 2% 7%  
186 1.4% 5%  
187 0.4% 4%  
188 1.1% 4%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.5% 2%  
191 0.5% 1.5%  
192 0.3% 0.9%  
193 0.2% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.7%  
150 0.4% 99.6%  
151 0.5% 99.2%  
152 0.6% 98.7%  
153 0.4% 98%  
154 0.4% 98%  
155 0.8% 97%  
156 0.4% 97%  
157 0.8% 96%  
158 1.1% 95%  
159 0.6% 94%  
160 0.9% 94%  
161 4% 93%  
162 2% 89%  
163 4% 88%  
164 7% 84%  
165 4% 77%  
166 7% 73%  
167 6% 66%  
168 6% 60%  
169 6% 54%  
170 7% 47% Median
171 3% 40%  
172 4% 38%  
173 6% 33%  
174 4% 27%  
175 4% 23%  
176 3% 20% Majority
177 4% 17%  
178 5% 13%  
179 2% 8%  
180 2% 7%  
181 0.8% 5%  
182 2% 4%  
183 0.7% 3%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.4% 1.4%  
186 0.2% 0.9%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0.1% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.4% 99.5%  
148 0.5% 99.2%  
149 0.5% 98.7%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 0.4% 97%  
152 1.3% 97%  
153 1.4% 96%  
154 2% 94%  
155 1.3% 92%  
156 3% 91%  
157 3% 88%  
158 5% 85%  
159 5% 81%  
160 3% 76%  
161 5% 73%  
162 7% 67%  
163 7% 60%  
164 6% 53% Median
165 3% 47%  
166 4% 44%  
167 5% 40%  
168 5% 35%  
169 5% 31% Last Result
170 6% 26%  
171 6% 20%  
172 2% 14%  
173 3% 12%  
174 1.4% 8%  
175 1.2% 7%  
176 1.2% 6% Majority
177 1.2% 5%  
178 0.8% 3%  
179 0.5% 3%  
180 0.6% 2%  
181 0.5% 1.4%  
182 0.3% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.6%  
184 0.2% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.2% 99.6%  
144 0.4% 99.4%  
145 0.4% 99.0%  
146 0.4% 98.5%  
147 0.7% 98%  
148 0.4% 97%  
149 0.9% 97%  
150 0.9% 96%  
151 2% 95%  
152 2% 93%  
153 3% 91%  
154 2% 88%  
155 4% 86%  
156 7% 82%  
157 4% 75%  
158 3% 71%  
159 9% 68%  
160 4% 58%  
161 5% 55% Last Result
162 5% 50% Median
163 4% 46%  
164 6% 42%  
165 3% 36%  
166 6% 33%  
167 6% 27%  
168 4% 20%  
169 3% 16%  
170 2% 13%  
171 3% 11%  
172 2% 8%  
173 0.9% 6%  
174 1.0% 5%  
175 1.5% 4%  
176 0.4% 3% Majority
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.5% 2%  
179 0.6% 1.3%  
180 0.2% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.2% 99.4%  
138 0.5% 99.1%  
139 0.3% 98.6%  
140 0.6% 98%  
141 0.8% 98%  
142 0.5% 97%  
143 2% 96%  
144 0.9% 95%  
145 1.3% 94%  
146 2% 93%  
147 4% 91%  
148 5% 87%  
149 6% 82%  
150 5% 76%  
151 7% 71%  
152 3% 64%  
153 5% 61%  
154 3% 56%  
155 6% 53%  
156 6% 47% Last Result, Median
157 3% 41%  
158 6% 38%  
159 6% 32%  
160 5% 27%  
161 3% 21%  
162 4% 18%  
163 3% 14%  
164 2% 11%  
165 3% 9%  
166 2% 7%  
167 0.9% 4%  
168 1.0% 4%  
169 0.4% 3%  
170 0.6% 2%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.5% 1.3%  
173 0.2% 0.8%  
174 0.2% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.3% Majority
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.7%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.4% 99.3%  
120 0.6% 99.0%  
121 0.8% 98%  
122 1.3% 98%  
123 0.9% 96%  
124 2% 95%  
125 2% 94%  
126 3% 92%  
127 2% 89%  
128 2% 88%  
129 3% 85%  
130 4% 83%  
131 3% 78%  
132 6% 75%  
133 6% 69%  
134 4% 64%  
135 6% 60%  
136 4% 53% Median
137 5% 50%  
138 4% 45%  
139 4% 41%  
140 4% 37%  
141 5% 33%  
142 3% 28%  
143 4% 25%  
144 4% 21%  
145 3% 17%  
146 2% 14%  
147 1.5% 11%  
148 4% 10%  
149 2% 6%  
150 1.2% 5%  
151 0.8% 4%  
152 0.5% 3%  
153 0.9% 2%  
154 0.6% 1.5%  
155 0.3% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.6%  
157 0.2% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.2% 99.6%  
112 0.3% 99.4%  
113 0.6% 99.1%  
114 0.9% 98%  
115 0.9% 98%  
116 1.2% 97%  
117 1.2% 96%  
118 2% 94%  
119 2% 92%  
120 4% 91%  
121 2% 87%  
122 1.3% 85%  
123 2% 83%  
124 6% 81%  
125 3% 76%  
126 5% 72%  
127 7% 67%  
128 5% 60%  
129 5% 55%  
130 4% 51% Median
131 5% 47%  
132 5% 42%  
133 6% 37%  
134 2% 31%  
135 5% 29%  
136 4% 24%  
137 3% 20%  
138 4% 17%  
139 1.3% 14%  
140 4% 12%  
141 2% 8%  
142 0.9% 6%  
143 0.9% 5%  
144 1.0% 4%  
145 1.4% 3%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.5% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.0%  
149 0.1% 0.6%  
150 0.2% 0.5%  
151 0.2% 0.3%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.5%  
105 0.5% 99.3%  
106 0.5% 98.9%  
107 0.9% 98%  
108 2% 97%  
109 1.5% 95%  
110 2% 94%  
111 1.3% 92%  
112 2% 91%  
113 4% 89%  
114 5% 84%  
115 3% 80%  
116 6% 77%  
117 5% 71%  
118 4% 66%  
119 6% 62%  
120 6% 57%  
121 6% 51% Median
122 5% 45%  
123 6% 40%  
124 5% 34%  
125 3% 29%  
126 5% 26%  
127 4% 21%  
128 5% 17%  
129 2% 12%  
130 3% 10%  
131 2% 7%  
132 0.9% 6%  
133 1.2% 5%  
134 1.5% 4%  
135 0.7% 2%  
136 0.5% 1.5%  
137 0.3% 1.0%  
138 0.2% 0.7%  
139 0.2% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.3% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.5%  
99 0.2% 99.3%  
100 0.3% 99.1%  
101 0.3% 98.8%  
102 0.5% 98.5%  
103 1.0% 98%  
104 0.8% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 94%  
107 2% 92%  
108 3% 90%  
109 5% 87%  
110 5% 82%  
111 4% 77%  
112 2% 73%  
113 4% 70%  
114 5% 66%  
115 4% 61% Median
116 8% 57%  
117 12% 49%  
118 8% 37%  
119 5% 29%  
120 4% 24%  
121 5% 21%  
122 4% 16%  
123 2% 12%  
124 2% 10%  
125 1.2% 8%  
126 1.1% 7%  
127 1.1% 6%  
128 0.5% 4%  
129 0.6% 4%  
130 0.3% 3%  
131 0.7% 3%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.6% 1.4%  
135 0.2% 0.8%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.3% 99.3%  
68 0.9% 99.0%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 4% 89%  
75 5% 85%  
76 4% 80%  
77 5% 75%  
78 8% 70%  
79 3% 62%  
80 5% 59%  
81 3% 53% Median
82 7% 50%  
83 8% 43%  
84 7% 35%  
85 6% 28%  
86 6% 23%  
87 2% 17%  
88 3% 15%  
89 3% 12%  
90 1.4% 9%  
91 1.3% 7%  
92 1.3% 6%  
93 1.2% 5%  
94 0.9% 4%  
95 0.6% 3%  
96 0.3% 2%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.3% 1.4%  
99 0.1% 1.0%  
100 0.4% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations