Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 12–19 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 30.5% | 29.1–31.9% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.4–32.7% | 27.8–33.4% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 18.5% | 17.4–19.7% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.8–20.4% | 16.2–21.0% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.8–17.0% | 14.5–17.4% | 14.3–17.7% | 13.8–18.2% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 14.6% | 13.5–15.7% | 13.2–16.0% | 13.0–16.3% | 12.5–16.8% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 10.9% | 10.0–11.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.5–12.4% | 9.1–12.9% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 132 | 126–139 | 120–140 | 119–140 | 115–145 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 71 | 63–77 | 63–79 | 61–80 | 57–83 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 49 | 45–57 | 45–60 | 43–60 | 40–63 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 40 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 32–48 | 32–52 |
| Vox | 0 | 27 | 24–30 | 22–32 | 21–33 | 20–36 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 11–15 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–17 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 3–10 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 6 | 3–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–9 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 2–7 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 97% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 126 | 3% | 90% | |
| 127 | 9% | 87% | |
| 128 | 6% | 78% | |
| 129 | 13% | 72% | |
| 130 | 4% | 59% | |
| 131 | 2% | 55% | |
| 132 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 133 | 10% | 48% | |
| 134 | 2% | 38% | |
| 135 | 3% | 36% | |
| 136 | 7% | 33% | |
| 137 | 9% | 26% | |
| 138 | 6% | 17% | |
| 139 | 4% | 11% | |
| 140 | 5% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 63 | 7% | 96% | |
| 64 | 5% | 90% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 66 | 11% | 84% | |
| 67 | 3% | 72% | |
| 68 | 7% | 69% | |
| 69 | 4% | 63% | |
| 70 | 3% | 58% | |
| 71 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 72 | 20% | 49% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 74 | 2% | 28% | |
| 75 | 10% | 26% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 77 | 9% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 13% | 97% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 47 | 10% | 82% | |
| 48 | 11% | 73% | |
| 49 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 50 | 7% | 46% | |
| 51 | 4% | 39% | |
| 52 | 3% | 35% | |
| 53 | 5% | 32% | |
| 54 | 2% | 27% | |
| 55 | 9% | 25% | |
| 56 | 6% | 16% | |
| 57 | 3% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 95% | |
| 36 | 9% | 93% | |
| 37 | 6% | 84% | |
| 38 | 15% | 78% | |
| 39 | 8% | 63% | |
| 40 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 45% | |
| 42 | 10% | 29% | |
| 43 | 3% | 18% | |
| 44 | 2% | 16% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 46 | 4% | 13% | |
| 47 | 5% | 9% | |
| 48 | 3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98% | |
| 22 | 2% | 96% | |
| 23 | 2% | 94% | |
| 24 | 6% | 93% | |
| 25 | 2% | 87% | |
| 26 | 28% | 85% | |
| 27 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 28 | 21% | 48% | |
| 29 | 13% | 27% | |
| 30 | 6% | 14% | |
| 31 | 3% | 8% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 10 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 6% | 94% | |
| 12 | 17% | 88% | |
| 13 | 5% | 71% | |
| 14 | 29% | 66% | Median |
| 15 | 31% | 38% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 17 | 5% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 10% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 15% | 89% | |
| 5 | 30% | 74% | Median |
| 6 | 12% | 44% | |
| 7 | 17% | 32% | |
| 8 | 14% | 15% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 3 | 2% | 91% | |
| 4 | 8% | 89% | |
| 5 | 30% | 81% | |
| 6 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 7 | 36% | 37% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 31% | 98% | |
| 4 | 17% | 68% | |
| 5 | 12% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 35% | 38% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 44% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 251 | 100% | 248–259 | 245–261 | 244–262 | 242–266 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 220 | 100% | 216–233 | 214–234 | 213–235 | 211–238 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 180 | 202 | 100% | 192–210 | 190–212 | 190–212 | 187–215 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 203 | 100% | 196–207 | 194–208 | 192–211 | 188–216 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 192 | 99.7% | 182–199 | 181–206 | 179–206 | 176–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 192 | 99.5% | 184–199 | 180–203 | 178–203 | 176–206 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 181 | 91% | 176–193 | 172–193 | 170–194 | 170–196 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 163 | 181 | 80% | 174–191 | 172–193 | 170–193 | 168–197 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 175 | 47% | 168–186 | 166–190 | 164–191 | 162–192 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 170 | 23% | 165–180 | 163–187 | 160–187 | 157–188 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 147 | 0% | 140–158 | 137–159 | 137–160 | 135–162 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 132 | 0% | 126–139 | 120–140 | 119–140 | 115–145 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 124 | 0% | 117–135 | 117–136 | 114–137 | 113–142 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 122 | 0% | 114–132 | 113–132 | 111–134 | 110–139 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 121 | 0% | 113–132 | 112–132 | 111–133 | 109–138 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 98 | 0% | 90–105 | 89–106 | 86–107 | 83–110 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 71 | 0% | 63–77 | 63–79 | 61–80 | 57–83 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 240 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 243 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 244 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 245 | 3% | 97% | |
| 246 | 2% | 94% | |
| 247 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 248 | 2% | 91% | |
| 249 | 2% | 88% | |
| 250 | 27% | 86% | |
| 251 | 10% | 59% | |
| 252 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 253 | 6% | 38% | |
| 254 | 0.9% | 32% | Last Result |
| 255 | 1.5% | 31% | |
| 256 | 7% | 30% | |
| 257 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 258 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 259 | 14% | 21% | |
| 260 | 2% | 7% | |
| 261 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 262 | 2% | 5% | |
| 263 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 264 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 265 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 266 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 207 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 208 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 212 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 213 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 214 | 3% | 97% | |
| 215 | 2% | 94% | |
| 216 | 12% | 93% | |
| 217 | 2% | 81% | |
| 218 | 6% | 79% | |
| 219 | 13% | 73% | |
| 220 | 15% | 60% | |
| 221 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 222 | 2% | 41% | |
| 223 | 2% | 39% | |
| 224 | 2% | 37% | |
| 225 | 8% | 35% | |
| 226 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 227 | 4% | 26% | |
| 228 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 229 | 6% | 22% | |
| 230 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 231 | 3% | 15% | |
| 232 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 233 | 2% | 10% | |
| 234 | 5% | 9% | |
| 235 | 2% | 4% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 237 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 240 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 187 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 190 | 3% | 98% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 192 | 9% | 93% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 194 | 3% | 84% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 81% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 197 | 2% | 79% | |
| 198 | 5% | 77% | |
| 199 | 7% | 72% | |
| 200 | 4% | 65% | |
| 201 | 6% | 60% | |
| 202 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 203 | 7% | 41% | |
| 204 | 9% | 35% | |
| 205 | 2% | 26% | |
| 206 | 4% | 23% | |
| 207 | 3% | 20% | |
| 208 | 4% | 16% | |
| 209 | 2% | 13% | |
| 210 | 2% | 10% | |
| 211 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 212 | 6% | 8% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 192 | 2% | 98% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 194 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 195 | 3% | 95% | |
| 196 | 3% | 92% | |
| 197 | 2% | 89% | |
| 198 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 199 | 4% | 85% | |
| 200 | 6% | 81% | |
| 201 | 17% | 75% | |
| 202 | 8% | 58% | |
| 203 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 204 | 13% | 41% | |
| 205 | 11% | 29% | |
| 206 | 7% | 18% | |
| 207 | 4% | 11% | |
| 208 | 2% | 7% | |
| 209 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 210 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 211 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 212 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 213 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 179 | 3% | 98% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 181 | 2% | 96% | |
| 182 | 9% | 94% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 184 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 186 | 5% | 83% | |
| 187 | 2% | 78% | |
| 188 | 4% | 76% | |
| 189 | 12% | 73% | |
| 190 | 5% | 60% | |
| 191 | 2% | 55% | Median |
| 192 | 18% | 53% | |
| 193 | 8% | 35% | |
| 194 | 3% | 27% | |
| 195 | 3% | 24% | |
| 196 | 3% | 21% | |
| 197 | 4% | 18% | |
| 198 | 3% | 14% | |
| 199 | 2% | 11% | |
| 200 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 202 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 206 | 6% | 6% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 178 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 180 | 6% | 97% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 184 | 9% | 90% | |
| 185 | 2% | 81% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 187 | 7% | 78% | |
| 188 | 2% | 71% | |
| 189 | 7% | 69% | |
| 190 | 2% | 63% | |
| 191 | 9% | 60% | |
| 192 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 193 | 6% | 38% | |
| 194 | 3% | 33% | |
| 195 | 8% | 30% | |
| 196 | 7% | 22% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 198 | 2% | 14% | |
| 199 | 3% | 12% | |
| 200 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 202 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 203 | 4% | 7% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 205 | 2% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 171 | 2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 174 | 2% | 94% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 176 | 6% | 91% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 85% | |
| 178 | 20% | 83% | |
| 179 | 5% | 63% | |
| 180 | 7% | 58% | |
| 181 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 182 | 9% | 47% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 38% | |
| 184 | 3% | 37% | |
| 185 | 5% | 34% | |
| 186 | 2% | 29% | |
| 187 | 6% | 26% | |
| 188 | 2% | 20% | |
| 189 | 2% | 19% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 191 | 2% | 16% | |
| 192 | 2% | 14% | |
| 193 | 7% | 12% | |
| 194 | 2% | 4% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 196 | 2% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euskal Herria Bildu – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 172 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 174 | 5% | 95% | |
| 175 | 10% | 89% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 80% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 178 | 6% | 79% | |
| 179 | 7% | 73% | |
| 180 | 14% | 66% | |
| 181 | 3% | 52% | |
| 182 | 4% | 49% | |
| 183 | 5% | 44% | Median |
| 184 | 6% | 40% | |
| 185 | 2% | 34% | |
| 186 | 10% | 32% | |
| 187 | 5% | 22% | |
| 188 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 189 | 2% | 16% | |
| 190 | 2% | 14% | |
| 191 | 4% | 13% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 193 | 6% | 8% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 164 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 167 | 2% | 95% | |
| 168 | 9% | 93% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 170 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 172 | 5% | 82% | |
| 173 | 13% | 77% | |
| 174 | 13% | 64% | |
| 175 | 4% | 51% | |
| 176 | 2% | 47% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 45% | Median |
| 178 | 7% | 42% | |
| 179 | 2% | 35% | |
| 180 | 2% | 33% | |
| 181 | 12% | 31% | |
| 182 | 3% | 19% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 184 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 185 | 2% | 14% | |
| 186 | 3% | 12% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 190 | 2% | 6% | |
| 191 | 4% | 5% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 163 | 3% | 95% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 165 | 9% | 92% | |
| 166 | 3% | 83% | |
| 167 | 2% | 79% | |
| 168 | 8% | 77% | |
| 169 | 3% | 70% | |
| 170 | 17% | 66% | |
| 171 | 5% | 49% | |
| 172 | 2% | 44% | Median |
| 173 | 6% | 42% | |
| 174 | 4% | 36% | |
| 175 | 9% | 32% | |
| 176 | 5% | 23% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 178 | 2% | 17% | |
| 179 | 2% | 15% | |
| 180 | 4% | 13% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0% | 6% | |
| 187 | 6% | 6% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 140 | 2% | 91% | |
| 141 | 2% | 89% | |
| 142 | 9% | 87% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 145 | 3% | 75% | |
| 146 | 9% | 72% | |
| 147 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 148 | 6% | 47% | |
| 149 | 5% | 41% | |
| 150 | 4% | 36% | |
| 151 | 6% | 32% | |
| 152 | 4% | 25% | |
| 153 | 2% | 21% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 155 | 3% | 19% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 158 | 9% | 15% | |
| 159 | 2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 2% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 97% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 126 | 3% | 90% | |
| 127 | 9% | 87% | |
| 128 | 6% | 78% | |
| 129 | 13% | 72% | |
| 130 | 4% | 59% | |
| 131 | 2% | 55% | |
| 132 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 133 | 10% | 48% | |
| 134 | 2% | 38% | |
| 135 | 3% | 36% | |
| 136 | 7% | 33% | |
| 137 | 9% | 26% | |
| 138 | 6% | 17% | |
| 139 | 4% | 11% | |
| 140 | 5% | 7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 117 | 8% | 96% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 119 | 5% | 87% | |
| 120 | 4% | 83% | |
| 121 | 5% | 79% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 74% | |
| 123 | 14% | 73% | |
| 124 | 18% | 59% | |
| 125 | 2% | 41% | Median |
| 126 | 1.0% | 39% | |
| 127 | 3% | 38% | |
| 128 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 129 | 9% | 34% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 131 | 4% | 24% | |
| 132 | 2% | 20% | |
| 133 | 2% | 18% | |
| 134 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 135 | 9% | 15% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 137 | 3% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 4% | 95% | |
| 114 | 5% | 91% | |
| 115 | 4% | 86% | |
| 116 | 6% | 82% | |
| 117 | 9% | 76% | |
| 118 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 119 | 6% | 65% | |
| 120 | 3% | 59% | |
| 121 | 3% | 56% | Median |
| 122 | 16% | 53% | |
| 123 | 8% | 37% | |
| 124 | 3% | 29% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 126 | 4% | 25% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 128 | 2% | 20% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 131 | 3% | 16% | |
| 132 | 9% | 13% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 111 | 3% | 98% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 113 | 9% | 95% | |
| 114 | 4% | 86% | |
| 115 | 6% | 82% | |
| 116 | 2% | 76% | |
| 117 | 10% | 74% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 119 | 9% | 63% | |
| 120 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 121 | 13% | 51% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 38% | |
| 123 | 9% | 36% | |
| 124 | 2% | 27% | |
| 125 | 4% | 25% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 129 | 2% | 18% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 131 | 3% | 15% | |
| 132 | 8% | 12% | |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 89 | 4% | 96% | |
| 90 | 5% | 92% | |
| 91 | 6% | 87% | |
| 92 | 6% | 81% | |
| 93 | 4% | 75% | |
| 94 | 2% | 71% | |
| 95 | 3% | 69% | |
| 96 | 3% | 66% | |
| 97 | 4% | 62% | |
| 98 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 99 | 2% | 46% | |
| 100 | 6% | 44% | |
| 101 | 11% | 38% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 103 | 14% | 26% | |
| 104 | 2% | 12% | |
| 105 | 3% | 11% | |
| 106 | 5% | 7% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 63 | 7% | 96% | |
| 64 | 5% | 90% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 66 | 11% | 84% | |
| 67 | 3% | 72% | |
| 68 | 7% | 69% | |
| 69 | 4% | 63% | |
| 70 | 3% | 58% | |
| 71 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 72 | 20% | 49% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 74 | 2% | 28% | |
| 75 | 10% | 26% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 77 | 9% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 12–19 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.49%