Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–19 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.6% 27.0–28.2% 26.9–28.3% 26.7–28.5% 26.5–28.7%
Partido Popular 33.0% 20.1% 19.6–20.6% 19.5–20.8% 19.3–20.9% 19.1–21.1%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 14.2% 13.8–14.6% 13.6–14.8% 13.5–14.9% 13.3–15.1%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.7% 13.3–14.1% 13.2–14.3% 13.1–14.4% 12.9–14.6%
Vox 0.2% 12.5% 12.1–12.9% 12.0–13.0% 11.9–13.2% 11.7–13.4%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.8% 2.6–3.0% 2.5–3.1% 2.5–3.1% 2.4–3.2%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.3% 2.1–2.5% 2.1–2.6% 2.0–2.6% 2.0–2.7%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.2–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.0% 0.6–1.1%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 123 120–125 120–125 119–125 118–128
Partido Popular 137 80 77–83 77–83 77–84 76–85
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 45 44–49 43–49 42–50 41–50
Unidos Podemos 71 37 37–39 36–40 36–41 35–41
Vox 0 34 33–38 32–38 32–38 31–40
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 13 13–14 13–14 12–14 11–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 1 1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 4 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0.3% 100%  
118 0.3% 99.7%  
119 4% 99.4%  
120 14% 96%  
121 9% 82%  
122 13% 73%  
123 20% 60% Median
124 17% 40%  
125 21% 23%  
126 0.6% 2%  
127 0.5% 1.0%  
128 0.2% 0.5%  
129 0.2% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.9% 99.5%  
77 11% 98.7%  
78 7% 87%  
79 8% 81%  
80 31% 73% Median
81 5% 42%  
82 25% 38%  
83 9% 12%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.6% 0.8%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.3% 100%  
41 0.4% 99.7%  
42 3% 99.3%  
43 5% 97%  
44 35% 92%  
45 15% 56% Median
46 10% 41%  
47 17% 31%  
48 3% 14%  
49 7% 11%  
50 4% 4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 2% 100%  
36 5% 98%  
37 64% 93% Median
38 16% 29%  
39 7% 13%  
40 2% 6%  
41 4% 4%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 1.3% 99.9%  
32 5% 98.6%  
33 30% 94%  
34 31% 64% Median
35 7% 32%  
36 11% 25%  
37 2% 14%  
38 11% 12%  
39 0.8% 1.4%  
40 0.5% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0.8% 100%  
12 4% 99.2%  
13 64% 95% Median
14 31% 31%  
15 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 25% 100%  
5 31% 75% Median
6 43% 44%  
7 0.2% 0.3%  
8 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 89% 100% Median
7 8% 11%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 15% 99.9% Last Result
3 3% 85%  
4 81% 82% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Median
1 33% 33% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 249 100% 245–252 244–252 244–253 243–254
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 206 100% 203–208 201–208 201–210 199–210
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 204 100% 200–205 199–206 199–207 197–208
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 188 100% 186–191 185–191 185–192 184–193
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 178 93% 176–181 175–182 175–183 174–184
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 177 77% 174–179 174–179 173–180 171–182
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 170 0.4% 167–172 167–172 167–173 165–175
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 169 0% 165–170 164–171 164–172 162–174
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 166 0% 164–168 163–169 163–171 162–172
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 160 0% 158–162 157–163 157–165 156–165
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 161 0% 158–163 158–164 157–164 156–165
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 131 0% 128–135 128–137 128–137 127–139
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 125 0% 123–129 123–131 123–131 121–132
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 124 0% 122–129 122–131 122–131 121–131
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 123 0% 120–125 120–125 119–125 118–128
Partido Popular – Vox 137 115 0% 113–117 112–118 112–118 111–121
Partido Popular 137 80 0% 77–83 77–83 77–84 76–85

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0.1% 100%  
243 0.4% 99.9%  
244 8% 99.5%  
245 6% 92%  
246 12% 86%  
247 7% 73%  
248 8% 67% Median
249 30% 59%  
250 3% 29%  
251 4% 26%  
252 18% 22%  
253 3% 4%  
254 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0.2% 100%  
198 0% 99.8%  
199 0.3% 99.7%  
200 0.4% 99.4%  
201 6% 99.0%  
202 2% 93%  
203 10% 91%  
204 7% 81%  
205 5% 74% Median
206 33% 68%  
207 21% 35%  
208 9% 14%  
209 0.9% 5%  
210 3% 4%  
211 0.2% 0.5%  
212 0.3% 0.3%  
213 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0.2% 100%  
197 0.3% 99.8%  
198 1.5% 99.5%  
199 4% 98%  
200 11% 94%  
201 14% 83%  
202 5% 68%  
203 12% 63% Median
204 7% 51%  
205 40% 45%  
206 2% 5%  
207 2% 3%  
208 0.7% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0.1% 100%  
183 0.2% 99.8%  
184 2% 99.6%  
185 7% 98%  
186 9% 91%  
187 17% 82%  
188 20% 64% Median
189 7% 44%  
190 13% 38%  
191 22% 24%  
192 2% 3%  
193 0.2% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.2% 0.3%  
196 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0.1% 100%  
173 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
174 0.8% 99.7%  
175 6% 98.9%  
176 9% 93% Majority
177 21% 84%  
178 19% 63% Median
179 5% 44%  
180 10% 39%  
181 21% 29%  
182 5% 8%  
183 0.4% 3%  
184 2% 2%  
185 0.2% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100% Last Result
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0.2% 100%  
171 0.4% 99.8%  
172 0.4% 99.3%  
173 1.5% 98.9%  
174 10% 97%  
175 10% 87%  
176 8% 77% Majority
177 26% 68% Median
178 7% 42%  
179 32% 35%  
180 3% 4%  
181 0.5% 1.0%  
182 0.1% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.3% 0.3%  
185 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0.1% 100% Last Result
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.5% 99.8%  
166 1.2% 99.3%  
167 8% 98%  
168 14% 90%  
169 11% 76%  
170 24% 66% Median
171 16% 41%  
172 22% 25%  
173 2% 3%  
174 0.3% 0.9%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.2% 0.4% Majority
177 0.2% 0.3%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0.2% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.4% 99.7%  
163 0.9% 99.3%  
164 7% 98%  
165 6% 91%  
166 13% 86%  
167 4% 73%  
168 6% 69% Median
169 35% 63%  
170 21% 28%  
171 1.4% 6%  
172 3% 5%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 1.4% 2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0% Majority

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
162 0.6% 99.6%  
163 7% 99.0%  
164 11% 92%  
165 13% 81%  
166 23% 68% Median
167 12% 45%  
168 24% 33%  
169 5% 8%  
170 0.2% 3%  
171 2% 3%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.3% 99.8%  
156 1.1% 99.5% Last Result
157 7% 98%  
158 14% 91%  
159 9% 77%  
160 27% 67% Median
161 10% 40%  
162 23% 31%  
163 5% 8%  
164 0.2% 3%  
165 2% 3%  
166 0.2% 0.5%  
167 0.2% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.2% 100%  
155 0.2% 99.7%  
156 0.2% 99.5%  
157 2% 99.3%  
158 33% 97%  
159 5% 64% Median
160 9% 59%  
161 16% 50%  
162 24% 34%  
163 3% 10%  
164 7% 7%  
165 0.4% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0.1% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.6% 99.7%  
128 11% 99.2%  
129 6% 88%  
130 31% 81%  
131 2% 51% Median
132 8% 49%  
133 4% 41%  
134 5% 37%  
135 23% 32%  
136 0.9% 9%  
137 7% 8%  
138 0.3% 0.9%  
139 0.4% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0.1% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.5% 99.7%  
122 2% 99.3%  
123 15% 98%  
124 22% 82%  
125 13% 60% Median
126 4% 47%  
127 7% 43%  
128 6% 36%  
129 21% 30%  
130 1.1% 9%  
131 7% 8%  
132 1.1% 1.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0.1% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0.1% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.7% 99.7%  
122 11% 99.0%  
123 6% 88%  
124 32% 81%  
125 4% 50% Median
126 7% 45%  
127 2% 38%  
128 8% 36%  
129 20% 28%  
130 0.9% 8%  
131 7% 7%  
132 0.2% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0.1% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0.3% 100%  
118 0.3% 99.7%  
119 4% 99.4%  
120 14% 96%  
121 9% 82%  
122 13% 73%  
123 20% 60% Median
124 17% 40%  
125 21% 23%  
126 0.6% 2%  
127 0.5% 1.0%  
128 0.2% 0.5%  
129 0.2% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partido Popular – Vox

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.2% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 2% 99.7%  
112 6% 98%  
113 12% 91%  
114 29% 80% Median
115 26% 51%  
116 4% 24%  
117 11% 20%  
118 8% 9%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.3% 1.2%  
121 0.6% 0.9%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.2% 0.2%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.9% 99.5%  
77 11% 98.7%  
78 7% 87%  
79 8% 81%  
80 31% 73% Median
81 5% 42%  
82 25% 38%  
83 9% 12%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.6% 0.8%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations