Opinion Poll by IMOP for El Confidencial, 14–20 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 29.8% 28.2–31.4% 27.8–31.8% 27.4–32.2% 26.7–33.0%
Partido Popular 33.0% 19.8% 18.5–21.2% 18.1–21.6% 17.8–22.0% 17.2–22.7%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 15.1% 13.9–16.4% 13.6–16.7% 13.3–17.1% 12.7–17.7%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 14.9% 13.7–16.1% 13.4–16.5% 13.1–16.8% 12.5–17.5%
Vox 0.2% 10.0% 9.0–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.5–11.7% 8.1–12.2%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.4%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.9%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.6–2.2%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.6–2.2%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.6%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 130 121–137 119–139 118–142 115–146
Partido Popular 137 80 70–84 68–85 67–88 64–92
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 51 43–54 38–59 34–59 34–60
Unidos Podemos 71 42 37–46 36–46 36–50 33–55
Vox 0 24 19–28 19–28 17–29 15–32
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 13 10–15 10–17 9–17 9–18
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 4 3–6 1–7 1–8 1–8
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 3–7 3–8 3–9 3–10
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 2 1–6 1–6 1–6 1–7
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–4

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.8%  
115 0.3% 99.6%  
116 0.5% 99.3%  
117 0.2% 98.8%  
118 1.3% 98.6%  
119 7% 97%  
120 0.2% 91%  
121 24% 90%  
122 0.6% 66%  
123 7% 65%  
124 0.6% 59%  
125 0.6% 58%  
126 0.7% 57%  
127 0.8% 57%  
128 2% 56%  
129 2% 54%  
130 3% 51% Median
131 8% 49%  
132 0.9% 41%  
133 1.5% 40%  
134 5% 38%  
135 0.7% 34%  
136 9% 33%  
137 16% 24%  
138 2% 8%  
139 2% 6%  
140 2% 4%  
141 0.1% 3%  
142 0.4% 3%  
143 0.2% 2%  
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.1% 2%  
146 1.3% 1.5%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.5%  
65 0.1% 99.1%  
66 1.1% 99.0%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 0.5% 93%  
70 9% 92%  
71 2% 83%  
72 8% 82%  
73 3% 73%  
74 0.7% 71%  
75 4% 70%  
76 5% 66%  
77 1.1% 61%  
78 3% 60%  
79 3% 57%  
80 8% 54% Median
81 0.6% 46%  
82 26% 46%  
83 7% 20%  
84 4% 13%  
85 5% 9%  
86 0.3% 4%  
87 0.3% 3%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.4% 1.3%  
90 0.1% 0.9%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0.1% 100%  
34 4% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 96%  
36 0.3% 96%  
37 0.4% 96%  
38 0.4% 95%  
39 0.5% 95%  
40 2% 94%  
41 0.7% 93%  
42 1.2% 92%  
43 2% 91%  
44 3% 89%  
45 8% 86%  
46 2% 78%  
47 0.9% 76%  
48 6% 75%  
49 11% 70%  
50 7% 59%  
51 4% 52% Median
52 34% 48%  
53 4% 14%  
54 1.1% 10%  
55 0.7% 9%  
56 0.6% 9%  
57 0.6% 8%  
58 0.6% 7%  
59 6% 7%  
60 0.4% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.5%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.8%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 1.1% 99.3%  
35 0.5% 98%  
36 3% 98%  
37 7% 94%  
38 10% 87%  
39 10% 78%  
40 6% 67%  
41 11% 62%  
42 0.7% 50% Median
43 7% 50%  
44 2% 43%  
45 1.1% 41%  
46 35% 40%  
47 1.0% 5%  
48 0.4% 4%  
49 0.6% 3%  
50 0.5% 3%  
51 0.2% 2%  
52 0.4% 2%  
53 0.2% 2%  
54 0.7% 1.5%  
55 0.6% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0.2% 99.7%  
16 0.8% 99.5%  
17 2% 98.6%  
18 0.5% 96%  
19 10% 96%  
20 0.7% 86%  
21 3% 85%  
22 2% 82%  
23 30% 80%  
24 14% 50% Median
25 9% 36%  
26 6% 27%  
27 5% 21%  
28 13% 16%  
29 1.4% 3%  
30 0.6% 1.4%  
31 0.3% 0.9%  
32 0.2% 0.5%  
33 0.2% 0.4%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100%  
9 2% 99.5% Last Result
10 9% 97%  
11 10% 88%  
12 13% 78%  
13 29% 64% Median
14 14% 35%  
15 14% 21%  
16 1.0% 7%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 71% 71% Median
2 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 6% 100%  
2 2% 94%  
3 27% 91%  
4 14% 64% Median
5 29% 50%  
6 13% 21%  
7 4% 8%  
8 4% 4% Last Result
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 12% 99.8%  
4 5% 88%  
5 3% 83% Last Result
6 55% 79% Median
7 19% 25%  
8 3% 6%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 23% 99.6%  
2 38% 77% Last Result, Median
3 7% 39%  
4 7% 31%  
5 15% 25%  
6 9% 10%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100%  
1 68% 76% Last Result, Median
2 7% 8%  
3 0.7% 1.3%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 255 100% 251–261 249–263 247–267 242–270
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 219 100% 213–234 211–235 208–235 204–237
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 207 100% 202–215 198–220 196–221 192–222
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 195 100% 188–206 183–211 183–212 183–214
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 186 93% 179–198 175–201 175–203 173–205
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 186 91% 178–196 171–200 171–203 171–206
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 178 58% 171–190 166–192 166–194 164–200
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 178 60% 172–189 170–189 167–191 162–195
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 173 49% 166–189 165–190 165–190 160–196
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 169 31% 161–183 158–184 158–185 154–190
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 154 0% 143–160 138–166 136–166 134–166
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 132 0% 122–142 122–149 121–149 116–149
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 130 0% 121–137 119–139 118–142 115–146
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 129 0% 116–137 116–142 115–142 112–143
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 129 0% 115–136 115–142 114–142 111–142
Partido Popular – Vox 137 105 0% 91–109 89–111 88–111 85–117
Partido Popular 137 80 0% 70–84 68–85 67–88 64–92

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.2% 99.9%  
242 0.3% 99.7%  
243 0.5% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 98.9%  
245 0.3% 98.8%  
246 0.7% 98.6%  
247 1.1% 98%  
248 1.2% 97%  
249 2% 96%  
250 0.6% 94%  
251 4% 93%  
252 8% 89%  
253 4% 81%  
254 4% 77% Last Result
255 29% 73%  
256 3% 44%  
257 3% 41%  
258 5% 38%  
259 2% 33%  
260 9% 31%  
261 15% 22% Median
262 1.2% 8%  
263 2% 6%  
264 0.2% 5%  
265 0.8% 4%  
266 0.3% 4%  
267 2% 3%  
268 0.2% 2%  
269 0.9% 1.4%  
270 0.1% 0.5%  
271 0.3% 0.4%  
272 0.1% 0.1%  
273 0.1% 0.1%  
274 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0.3% 100%  
199 0% 99.7%  
200 0% 99.7%  
201 0% 99.7%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0% 99.6%  
204 0.1% 99.6%  
205 0.1% 99.5%  
206 0.2% 99.4%  
207 0.6% 99.2%  
208 2% 98.5%  
209 0.5% 96%  
210 0.3% 96%  
211 2% 95%  
212 2% 94%  
213 5% 92%  
214 1.3% 87%  
215 2% 86%  
216 0.5% 84%  
217 6% 83%  
218 7% 77%  
219 32% 70%  
220 0.8% 37%  
221 2% 37%  
222 4% 34%  
223 10% 31% Median
224 1.5% 21%  
225 0.9% 19%  
226 2% 18%  
227 1.3% 16%  
228 0.2% 15%  
229 0.8% 14%  
230 1.4% 14%  
231 0.6% 12%  
232 0.6% 12%  
233 0.1% 11%  
234 3% 11%  
235 8% 8%  
236 0.2% 0.8%  
237 0.3% 0.7%  
238 0% 0.4%  
239 0.1% 0.3%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0.1% 0.2%  
242 0.1% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0.2% 99.8%  
192 0.1% 99.5%  
193 0.2% 99.4%  
194 0.8% 99.2%  
195 0.1% 98%  
196 3% 98%  
197 0.6% 96%  
198 0.7% 95%  
199 0.5% 94%  
200 0.6% 94%  
201 2% 93%  
202 7% 91%  
203 28% 84%  
204 0.7% 57%  
205 0.7% 56%  
206 3% 55%  
207 14% 53%  
208 1.2% 39%  
209 9% 38%  
210 5% 29% Median
211 10% 24%  
212 0.5% 14%  
213 0.7% 14%  
214 2% 13%  
215 1.2% 11%  
216 0.4% 10%  
217 3% 9%  
218 1.3% 7%  
219 0.2% 5%  
220 0.7% 5%  
221 4% 5%  
222 0.4% 0.9% Last Result
223 0.2% 0.4%  
224 0.1% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0.1% 0.2%  
227 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.9% Last Result
181 0% 99.8%  
182 0.1% 99.8%  
183 6% 99.7%  
184 0.2% 94%  
185 0.1% 93%  
186 2% 93%  
187 0.7% 92%  
188 1.4% 91%  
189 0.5% 90%  
190 0.8% 89%  
191 26% 88%  
192 1.2% 63%  
193 3% 61%  
194 0.9% 58%  
195 8% 57%  
196 3% 49%  
197 2% 46% Median
198 0.5% 44%  
199 0.8% 43%  
200 6% 43%  
201 0.8% 37%  
202 2% 36%  
203 3% 34%  
204 5% 31%  
205 8% 26%  
206 10% 18%  
207 0.9% 8%  
208 0.8% 7%  
209 0.3% 6%  
210 0.7% 6%  
211 2% 5%  
212 1.5% 3%  
213 0.9% 2%  
214 0.5% 0.8%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0.1% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0.1% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
174 0.1% 99.4%  
175 6% 99.3%  
176 2% 93% Majority
177 0.8% 91%  
178 0.4% 90%  
179 0.2% 90%  
180 0.9% 90%  
181 0.7% 89%  
182 1.0% 88%  
183 24% 87%  
184 2% 63%  
185 5% 61%  
186 11% 56%  
187 0.6% 45%  
188 2% 45%  
189 5% 43% Median
190 0.5% 38%  
191 0.5% 37%  
192 0.9% 37%  
193 2% 36%  
194 3% 34%  
195 4% 31%  
196 0.8% 27%  
197 4% 26%  
198 14% 22%  
199 0.9% 7%  
200 1.2% 6%  
201 0.6% 5%  
202 0.6% 5%  
203 3% 4%  
204 0.7% 1.3%  
205 0.2% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.4%  
207 0.1% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0.1% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9% Last Result
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.8%  
171 6% 99.8%  
172 0.1% 94%  
173 0.5% 94%  
174 0.1% 93%  
175 2% 93%  
176 0.3% 91% Majority
177 1.1% 91%  
178 0.4% 90%  
179 0.3% 90%  
180 1.2% 89%  
181 5% 88%  
182 24% 84%  
183 2% 59%  
184 2% 57%  
185 0.7% 55%  
186 11% 54%  
187 0.7% 43% Median
188 1.0% 43%  
189 2% 42%  
190 1.1% 39%  
191 0.8% 38%  
192 1.1% 37%  
193 5% 36%  
194 17% 31%  
195 3% 14%  
196 4% 12%  
197 0.4% 7%  
198 0.9% 7%  
199 0.5% 6%  
200 0.8% 6%  
201 0.3% 5%  
202 2% 5%  
203 2% 3%  
204 0.4% 1.1%  
205 0% 0.6%  
206 0.4% 0.6%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0.1% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.8% Last Result
164 0.4% 99.7%  
165 0.3% 99.3%  
166 6% 99.0%  
167 0.6% 93%  
168 0.2% 93%  
169 2% 92%  
170 0.1% 91%  
171 1.1% 91%  
172 3% 90%  
173 1.0% 87%  
174 2% 86%  
175 26% 83%  
176 1.1% 58% Majority
177 0.4% 57%  
178 7% 56%  
179 0.7% 49%  
180 3% 48% Median
181 2% 46%  
182 6% 44%  
183 3% 37%  
184 4% 34%  
185 1.0% 30%  
186 12% 29%  
187 2% 18%  
188 0.3% 16%  
189 0.5% 16%  
190 7% 15%  
191 0.5% 8%  
192 2% 7%  
193 1.4% 5%  
194 2% 3%  
195 0.7% 2%  
196 0% 1.1%  
197 0.4% 1.1%  
198 0.1% 0.7%  
199 0% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0.4% 0.4%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.9%  
162 0.3% 99.7%  
163 0.3% 99.5%  
164 0.1% 99.2%  
165 0.1% 99.1%  
166 0.6% 99.0%  
167 2% 98%  
168 0.3% 96%  
169 0.5% 96%  
170 5% 95%  
171 0.7% 91%  
172 0.7% 90%  
173 25% 89%  
174 1.0% 64%  
175 3% 63%  
176 5% 60% Majority
177 0.9% 55%  
178 9% 54%  
179 4% 45%  
180 7% 41%  
181 1.5% 34% Median
182 12% 33%  
183 0.7% 21%  
184 1.2% 20%  
185 1.3% 19%  
186 2% 18%  
187 1.4% 15%  
188 3% 14%  
189 7% 11%  
190 1.2% 4%  
191 0.2% 3%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.2% 2%  
194 0.2% 2%  
195 2% 2%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0.6% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
162 0.1% 99.1%  
163 0.6% 98.9%  
164 0.1% 98%  
165 7% 98%  
166 1.3% 91%  
167 0.5% 90%  
168 0.3% 89%  
169 0.8% 89%  
170 3% 88%  
171 1.3% 86%  
172 10% 84%  
173 25% 74%  
174 0.3% 50%  
175 0.4% 49%  
176 2% 49% Majority
177 7% 47%  
178 4% 41% Median
179 3% 37%  
180 0.3% 34%  
181 1.4% 34%  
182 4% 33%  
183 5% 29%  
184 0.6% 24%  
185 8% 23%  
186 2% 15%  
187 0.7% 13%  
188 0.5% 13%  
189 7% 12%  
190 3% 5%  
191 0.1% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 1.1% 2%  
194 0% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.4% 0.6%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.4% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.4%  
156 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
157 0.6% 98.9%  
158 6% 98%  
159 1.4% 92%  
160 0.4% 91%  
161 0.8% 91%  
162 0.7% 90%  
163 1.0% 89%  
164 3% 88%  
165 1.3% 85%  
166 2% 84%  
167 25% 82%  
168 0.6% 58%  
169 11% 57%  
170 0.3% 46%  
171 7% 46%  
172 0.7% 39% Median
173 3% 38%  
174 0.6% 36%  
175 4% 35%  
176 2% 31% Majority
177 0.7% 28%  
178 8% 28%  
179 4% 19%  
180 2% 15%  
181 0.9% 14%  
182 0.5% 13%  
183 7% 12%  
184 0.8% 5%  
185 2% 5%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.5% 1.1%  
189 0.1% 0.6%  
190 0.4% 0.5%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0.1% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0.4% 99.8%  
135 0.9% 99.4%  
136 1.2% 98.5%  
137 0.6% 97%  
138 2% 97%  
139 0.6% 94%  
140 1.2% 94%  
141 0.3% 92%  
142 2% 92%  
143 15% 90%  
144 2% 76%  
145 5% 73%  
146 2% 69%  
147 3% 66%  
148 6% 64%  
149 1.0% 58%  
150 0.5% 57%  
151 2% 56%  
152 0.7% 54%  
153 2% 53%  
154 8% 51%  
155 3% 42% Median
156 2% 39%  
157 26% 38%  
158 0.7% 12%  
159 0.1% 11%  
160 1.1% 11%  
161 1.2% 10%  
162 2% 8%  
163 0.2% 7%  
164 0.3% 7%  
165 0% 6%  
166 6% 6%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1% Last Result
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.7%  
117 0.2% 99.4%  
118 0.8% 99.3%  
119 0.7% 98%  
120 0.3% 98%  
121 0.8% 98%  
122 12% 97%  
123 5% 85%  
124 3% 80%  
125 2% 78%  
126 3% 76%  
127 1.3% 74%  
128 0.9% 72%  
129 1.0% 71%  
130 11% 70%  
131 3% 59%  
132 7% 57%  
133 1.0% 49%  
134 3% 48%  
135 2% 46%  
136 0.8% 44%  
137 3% 43% Median
138 1.5% 40%  
139 1.2% 39%  
140 25% 37%  
141 2% 13%  
142 2% 10%  
143 0.8% 8%  
144 0.6% 8%  
145 0.4% 7%  
146 0.1% 7%  
147 0.1% 6%  
148 0.1% 6%  
149 6% 6%  
150 0.1% 0.5%  
151 0.2% 0.4%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.8%  
115 0.3% 99.6%  
116 0.5% 99.3%  
117 0.2% 98.8%  
118 1.3% 98.6%  
119 7% 97%  
120 0.2% 91%  
121 24% 90%  
122 0.6% 66%  
123 7% 65%  
124 0.6% 59%  
125 0.6% 58%  
126 0.7% 57%  
127 0.8% 57%  
128 2% 56%  
129 2% 54%  
130 3% 51% Median
131 8% 49%  
132 0.9% 41%  
133 1.5% 40%  
134 5% 38%  
135 0.7% 34%  
136 9% 33%  
137 16% 24%  
138 2% 8%  
139 2% 6%  
140 2% 4%  
141 0.1% 3%  
142 0.4% 3%  
143 0.2% 2%  
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.1% 2%  
146 1.3% 1.5%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0.3% 99.7%  
113 0.3% 99.3%  
114 1.3% 99.0%  
115 0.8% 98%  
116 9% 97%  
117 2% 88%  
118 0.9% 86%  
119 4% 85%  
120 4% 81%  
121 2% 77%  
122 1.4% 74%  
123 0.7% 73%  
124 2% 72%  
125 13% 71%  
126 1.0% 58%  
127 0.8% 57%  
128 3% 56%  
129 9% 53%  
130 0.8% 44%  
131 0.7% 43%  
132 3% 43% Median
133 2% 40%  
134 1.1% 38%  
135 24% 37%  
136 2% 13%  
137 1.5% 11%  
138 1.0% 10%  
139 2% 9%  
140 0.2% 7%  
141 0.1% 7%  
142 6% 7%  
143 0.1% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.5%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.3% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.5%  
112 0.5% 99.4%  
113 0.8% 98.8%  
114 0.6% 98%  
115 9% 97%  
116 0.9% 88%  
117 3% 87%  
118 2% 84%  
119 5% 82%  
120 1.1% 76%  
121 2% 75%  
122 0.8% 73%  
123 2% 72%  
124 11% 71%  
125 3% 59%  
126 3% 57%  
127 0.5% 54%  
128 3% 53%  
129 7% 51%  
130 0.9% 44%  
131 3% 43% Median
132 0.7% 40%  
133 2% 39%  
134 25% 37%  
135 0.4% 12%  
136 2% 12%  
137 1.0% 10%  
138 2% 9%  
139 0.1% 7%  
140 0.2% 7%  
141 0.4% 7%  
142 6% 6%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.4% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.4%  
87 1.3% 99.4%  
88 1.1% 98%  
89 3% 97%  
90 0.7% 94%  
91 7% 94%  
92 0.6% 87%  
93 0.2% 86%  
94 3% 86%  
95 1.5% 83%  
96 2% 82%  
97 0.8% 80%  
98 10% 79%  
99 1.4% 68%  
100 5% 67%  
101 1.4% 62%  
102 1.2% 61%  
103 5% 60%  
104 0.4% 55% Median
105 32% 54%  
106 1.3% 22%  
107 9% 21%  
108 2% 12%  
109 1.0% 10%  
110 2% 9%  
111 6% 8%  
112 0.2% 2%  
113 0.3% 2%  
114 0.2% 1.3%  
115 0% 1.0%  
116 0.4% 1.0%  
117 0.1% 0.6%  
118 0.2% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0.3% 0.3%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.5%  
65 0.1% 99.1%  
66 1.1% 99.0%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 0.5% 93%  
70 9% 92%  
71 2% 83%  
72 8% 82%  
73 3% 73%  
74 0.7% 71%  
75 4% 70%  
76 5% 66%  
77 1.1% 61%  
78 3% 60%  
79 3% 57%  
80 8% 54% Median
81 0.6% 46%  
82 26% 46%  
83 7% 20%  
84 4% 13%  
85 5% 9%  
86 0.3% 4%  
87 0.3% 3%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.4% 1.3%  
90 0.1% 0.9%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations