Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 13–20 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 30.0% | 28.6–31.4% | 28.3–31.8% | 27.9–32.2% | 27.3–32.8% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 18.4% | 17.3–19.6% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.7–20.3% | 16.1–20.9% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.4–16.6% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.9–17.3% | 13.4–17.8% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 14.7% | 13.7–15.9% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.2–16.4% | 12.7–17.0% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 9.9–13.9% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.3% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 130 | 124–137 | 122–138 | 121–140 | 117–141 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 70 | 64–76 | 63–78 | 62–79 | 59–82 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 50 | 46–54 | 43–57 | 42–60 | 39–60 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 38 | 36–44 | 35–46 | 35–51 | 31–51 |
| Vox | 0 | 33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 25–37 | 23–41 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 9–16 | 9–19 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 2–8 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 3–9 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 5 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–7 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 121 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 122 | 5% | 96% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 124 | 7% | 91% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 126 | 22% | 82% | |
| 127 | 2% | 61% | |
| 128 | 2% | 59% | |
| 129 | 3% | 56% | |
| 130 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 131 | 7% | 49% | |
| 132 | 4% | 41% | |
| 133 | 9% | 37% | |
| 134 | 14% | 29% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 136 | 3% | 14% | |
| 137 | 5% | 11% | |
| 138 | 2% | 6% | |
| 139 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 141 | 2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 16% | 88% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 67 | 7% | 71% | |
| 68 | 5% | 65% | |
| 69 | 3% | 60% | |
| 70 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 3% | 50% | |
| 72 | 2% | 46% | |
| 73 | 3% | 44% | |
| 74 | 23% | 41% | |
| 75 | 4% | 18% | |
| 76 | 5% | 14% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 78 | 6% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 95% | |
| 45 | 2% | 93% | |
| 46 | 3% | 91% | |
| 47 | 2% | 88% | |
| 48 | 7% | 86% | |
| 49 | 7% | 79% | |
| 50 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 51 | 19% | 41% | |
| 52 | 7% | 22% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 54 | 4% | 14% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 56 | 2% | 8% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 9% | 95% | |
| 37 | 35% | 86% | |
| 38 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 39 | 9% | 44% | |
| 40 | 6% | 35% | |
| 41 | 10% | 29% | |
| 42 | 7% | 20% | |
| 43 | 2% | 13% | |
| 44 | 4% | 11% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 8% | 96% | |
| 27 | 12% | 88% | |
| 28 | 9% | 76% | |
| 29 | 2% | 67% | |
| 30 | 4% | 65% | |
| 31 | 7% | 61% | |
| 32 | 3% | 54% | |
| 33 | 30% | 51% | Median |
| 34 | 16% | 21% | |
| 35 | 2% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 11 | 5% | 97% | |
| 12 | 8% | 92% | |
| 13 | 7% | 84% | |
| 14 | 47% | 77% | Median |
| 15 | 27% | 30% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 15% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 22% | 85% | |
| 5 | 38% | 63% | Median |
| 6 | 13% | 25% | |
| 7 | 6% | 12% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 7% | 92% | |
| 5 | 4% | 86% | Last Result |
| 6 | 74% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 15% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 3 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 4 | 20% | 83% | |
| 5 | 40% | 63% | Median |
| 6 | 16% | 23% | |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 34% | 43% | Last Result |
| 2 | 9% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 250 | 100% | 245–255 | 243–256 | 241–257 | 239–260 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 219 | 100% | 213–228 | 212–230 | 209–233 | 207–237 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 200 | 100% | 195–206 | 195–209 | 193–211 | 184–213 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 199 | 100% | 191–206 | 190–209 | 189–210 | 185–213 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 188 | 98% | 181–195 | 179–201 | 176–202 | 174–203 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 188 | 99.5% | 182–195 | 180–199 | 178–201 | 175–203 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 179 | 80% | 173–188 | 171–189 | 170–192 | 166–193 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 180 | 61% | 173–186 | 171–191 | 168–192 | 167–195 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 175 | 48% | 169–181 | 166–186 | 164–186 | 162–190 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 170 | 10% | 163–176 | 160–182 | 158–183 | 156–185 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 150 | 0% | 143–159 | 141–160 | 140–161 | 137–164 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 130 | 0% | 124–137 | 122–138 | 121–140 | 117–141 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 127 | 0% | 119–133 | 117–134 | 115–138 | 113–142 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 123 | 0% | 115–128 | 113–128 | 111–133 | 109–137 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 121 | 0% | 115–127 | 113–128 | 111–133 | 108–136 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 100 | 0% | 94–109 | 91–109 | 90–109 | 88–114 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 70 | 0% | 64–76 | 63–78 | 62–79 | 59–82 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 239 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 240 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 241 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 242 | 2% | 97% | |
| 243 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 244 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 245 | 3% | 93% | |
| 246 | 4% | 90% | |
| 247 | 3% | 85% | |
| 248 | 8% | 82% | |
| 249 | 3% | 74% | |
| 250 | 32% | 71% | Median |
| 251 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 252 | 11% | 38% | |
| 253 | 3% | 27% | |
| 254 | 5% | 24% | Last Result |
| 255 | 9% | 19% | |
| 256 | 6% | 10% | |
| 257 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 258 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 259 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 260 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 262 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 263 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 265 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 100% | |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 208 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 209 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 212 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 213 | 22% | 94% | |
| 214 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 215 | 9% | 70% | |
| 216 | 7% | 61% | |
| 217 | 2% | 54% | |
| 218 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 219 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 220 | 4% | 49% | |
| 221 | 5% | 45% | |
| 222 | 14% | 40% | |
| 223 | 5% | 26% | |
| 224 | 3% | 21% | |
| 225 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 226 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 227 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 228 | 7% | 15% | |
| 229 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 230 | 3% | 7% | |
| 231 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 232 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 233 | 2% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 237 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 193 | 3% | 98% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 195 | 5% | 95% | |
| 196 | 5% | 90% | |
| 197 | 8% | 85% | |
| 198 | 3% | 77% | |
| 199 | 17% | 74% | |
| 200 | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 201 | 6% | 35% | |
| 202 | 8% | 30% | |
| 203 | 6% | 22% | |
| 204 | 3% | 16% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 206 | 5% | 12% | |
| 207 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 208 | 2% | 7% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 210 | 2% | 5% | |
| 211 | 2% | 3% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 187 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 189 | 2% | 98% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 191 | 6% | 94% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 193 | 24% | 88% | |
| 194 | 3% | 64% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 62% | |
| 196 | 3% | 61% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 58% | |
| 198 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 199 | 20% | 56% | |
| 200 | 11% | 36% | |
| 201 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 202 | 2% | 24% | |
| 203 | 5% | 22% | |
| 204 | 6% | 17% | |
| 205 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 206 | 2% | 11% | |
| 207 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 208 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 209 | 3% | 6% | |
| 210 | 2% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 176 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 179 | 2% | 95% | |
| 180 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 181 | 7% | 92% | |
| 182 | 22% | 85% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 184 | 2% | 63% | |
| 185 | 2% | 61% | |
| 186 | 2% | 59% | |
| 187 | 1.1% | 57% | Median |
| 188 | 9% | 56% | |
| 189 | 9% | 47% | |
| 190 | 15% | 39% | |
| 191 | 5% | 23% | |
| 192 | 1.3% | 18% | |
| 193 | 2% | 17% | |
| 194 | 4% | 15% | |
| 195 | 2% | 11% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 197 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 201 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 202 | 2% | 4% | |
| 203 | 2% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 177 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 179 | 2% | 97% | |
| 180 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 182 | 24% | 94% | |
| 183 | 6% | 71% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 185 | 3% | 64% | |
| 186 | 2% | 61% | |
| 187 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 188 | 10% | 54% | |
| 189 | 15% | 44% | |
| 190 | 2% | 30% | |
| 191 | 3% | 28% | |
| 192 | 6% | 24% | |
| 193 | 2% | 18% | |
| 194 | 5% | 16% | |
| 195 | 2% | 11% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 198 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 199 | 2% | 6% | |
| 200 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 201 | 2% | 3% | |
| 202 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 171 | 3% | 97% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 173 | 3% | 93% | |
| 174 | 8% | 90% | |
| 175 | 2% | 82% | |
| 176 | 22% | 80% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 58% | |
| 178 | 5% | 56% | |
| 179 | 1.2% | 50% | |
| 180 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 181 | 3% | 47% | |
| 182 | 6% | 44% | |
| 183 | 6% | 39% | |
| 184 | 3% | 33% | |
| 185 | 12% | 30% | |
| 186 | 3% | 18% | |
| 187 | 4% | 15% | |
| 188 | 4% | 12% | |
| 189 | 2% | 7% | |
| 190 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 192 | 2% | 4% | |
| 193 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 169 | 2% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 173 | 7% | 94% | |
| 174 | 23% | 87% | |
| 175 | 3% | 64% | |
| 176 | 2% | 61% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 57% | Median |
| 180 | 8% | 56% | |
| 181 | 15% | 48% | |
| 182 | 7% | 33% | |
| 183 | 6% | 26% | |
| 184 | 3% | 19% | |
| 185 | 3% | 16% | |
| 186 | 3% | 13% | |
| 187 | 2% | 10% | |
| 188 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 191 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 192 | 3% | 5% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 164 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 165 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 168 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 169 | 22% | 92% | |
| 170 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 171 | 7% | 69% | |
| 172 | 2% | 62% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 59% | |
| 174 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 175 | 4% | 52% | |
| 176 | 3% | 48% | Majority |
| 177 | 20% | 45% | |
| 178 | 4% | 26% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 180 | 7% | 20% | |
| 181 | 3% | 13% | |
| 182 | 2% | 10% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 184 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 186 | 3% | 5% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 163 | 22% | 94% | |
| 164 | 2% | 72% | |
| 165 | 7% | 70% | |
| 166 | 3% | 62% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 60% | |
| 168 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 169 | 2% | 53% | |
| 170 | 4% | 51% | |
| 171 | 19% | 46% | |
| 172 | 5% | 28% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 174 | 9% | 22% | |
| 175 | 3% | 13% | |
| 176 | 2% | 10% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 182 | 2% | 5% | |
| 183 | 2% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 141 | 4% | 96% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 143 | 2% | 92% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 145 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 146 | 7% | 87% | |
| 147 | 5% | 81% | |
| 148 | 3% | 76% | |
| 149 | 5% | 72% | |
| 150 | 18% | 68% | |
| 151 | 7% | 50% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 43% | |
| 153 | 3% | 43% | Median |
| 154 | 2% | 39% | |
| 155 | 1.5% | 38% | |
| 156 | 2% | 36% | |
| 157 | 22% | 34% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 159 | 6% | 11% | |
| 160 | 2% | 5% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 162 | 2% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 121 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 122 | 5% | 96% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 124 | 7% | 91% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 126 | 22% | 82% | |
| 127 | 2% | 61% | |
| 128 | 2% | 59% | |
| 129 | 3% | 56% | |
| 130 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 131 | 7% | 49% | |
| 132 | 4% | 41% | |
| 133 | 9% | 37% | |
| 134 | 14% | 29% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 136 | 3% | 14% | |
| 137 | 5% | 11% | |
| 138 | 2% | 6% | |
| 139 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 141 | 2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 115 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 117 | 2% | 96% | |
| 118 | 2% | 94% | |
| 119 | 3% | 92% | |
| 120 | 3% | 89% | |
| 121 | 3% | 86% | |
| 122 | 13% | 84% | |
| 123 | 8% | 71% | |
| 124 | 6% | 63% | |
| 125 | 4% | 57% | |
| 126 | 2% | 53% | Median |
| 127 | 3% | 51% | |
| 128 | 3% | 48% | |
| 129 | 3% | 44% | |
| 130 | 28% | 41% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 132 | 3% | 13% | |
| 133 | 2% | 11% | |
| 134 | 6% | 9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 2% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 114 | 2% | 95% | |
| 115 | 6% | 93% | |
| 116 | 3% | 87% | |
| 117 | 18% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 66% | |
| 119 | 7% | 64% | |
| 120 | 3% | 57% | Median |
| 121 | 2% | 55% | |
| 122 | 2% | 52% | |
| 123 | 5% | 50% | |
| 124 | 30% | 45% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 126 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 127 | 2% | 13% | |
| 128 | 7% | 11% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 113 | 2% | 95% | |
| 114 | 4% | 94% | |
| 115 | 6% | 90% | |
| 116 | 14% | 84% | |
| 117 | 5% | 70% | |
| 118 | 2% | 65% | |
| 119 | 7% | 63% | |
| 120 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 121 | 3% | 52% | |
| 122 | 4% | 49% | |
| 123 | 4% | 45% | |
| 124 | 26% | 41% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 126 | 2% | 13% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 128 | 6% | 10% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 93 | 2% | 93% | |
| 94 | 6% | 91% | |
| 95 | 5% | 85% | |
| 96 | 2% | 81% | |
| 97 | 5% | 78% | |
| 98 | 7% | 73% | |
| 99 | 13% | 66% | |
| 100 | 3% | 53% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 102 | 2% | 49% | |
| 103 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 104 | 2% | 39% | |
| 105 | 2% | 37% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 107 | 21% | 34% | |
| 108 | 2% | 13% | |
| 109 | 9% | 12% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 16% | 88% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 67 | 7% | 71% | |
| 68 | 5% | 65% | |
| 69 | 3% | 60% | |
| 70 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 3% | 50% | |
| 72 | 2% | 46% | |
| 73 | 3% | 44% | |
| 74 | 23% | 41% | |
| 75 | 4% | 18% | |
| 76 | 5% | 14% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 78 | 6% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 13–20 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%