Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 22 February–20 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 22.6% 27.5% 26.9–28.1% 26.8–28.2% 26.7–28.4% 26.4–28.6%
Partido Popular 33.0% 19.9% 19.4–20.4% 19.3–20.5% 19.1–20.7% 18.9–20.9%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 13.1% 14.3% 13.9–14.7% 13.7–14.9% 13.6–15.0% 13.4–15.2%
Unidos Podemos 21.2% 13.6% 13.2–14.0% 13.0–14.2% 13.0–14.3% 12.8–14.5%
Vox 0.2% 12.5% 12.1–12.9% 12.0–13.0% 11.9–13.1% 11.7–13.4%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 2.7% 2.7% 2.5–2.9% 2.5–3.0% 2.4–3.0% 2.3–3.1%
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 1.2% 2.2% 2.0–2.4% 2.0–2.5% 1.9–2.5% 1.9–2.6%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.0% 1.3% 1.2–1.4% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.2% 1.3% 1.2–1.4% 1.1–1.5% 1.1–1.5% 1.0–1.6%
Euskal Herria Bildu 0.8% 0.8% 0.7–0.9% 0.7–1.0% 0.6–1.0% 0.6–1.1%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 0.3% 0.2% 0.2–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 118–126 118–127 118–127 117–128
Partido Popular 137 81 78–83 77–83 76–84 74–84
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 32 46 43–49 42–50 42–50 41–51
Unidos Podemos 71 37 36–39 36–40 36–41 35–42
Vox 0 34 33–38 33–38 32–38 31–40
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 9 13 13–14 12–14 12–14 10–14
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal 0 1 1 1 1 1
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 8 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 5 6 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Euskal Herria Bildu 2 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–5
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0.3% 99.9%  
117 0.2% 99.6%  
118 13% 99.3%  
119 3% 87%  
120 6% 84%  
121 10% 78%  
122 29% 68% Median
123 6% 39%  
124 17% 34%  
125 4% 16%  
126 6% 13%  
127 5% 6%  
128 1.2% 1.4%  
129 0.2% 0.2%  
130 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 1.2% 99.9%  
75 1.2% 98.7%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 4% 97%  
78 10% 93%  
79 11% 83%  
80 11% 73%  
81 21% 61% Median
82 28% 40%  
83 8% 12%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100% Last Result
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 2% 99.8%  
42 5% 98%  
43 23% 93%  
44 2% 69%  
45 12% 67%  
46 13% 55% Median
47 17% 41%  
48 4% 24%  
49 13% 21%  
50 6% 8%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0% 0%  

Unidos Podemos

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 1.4% 99.9%  
36 14% 98.5%  
37 57% 85% Median
38 13% 27%  
39 7% 14%  
40 3% 7%  
41 3% 4%  
42 1.5% 2%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 1.4% 100%  
32 2% 98.6%  
33 29% 97%  
34 25% 67% Median
35 14% 43%  
36 1.2% 29%  
37 4% 28%  
38 22% 23%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.2% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100% Last Result
10 1.5% 99.9%  
11 0.8% 98%  
12 4% 98%  
13 56% 94% Median
14 37% 37%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 40% 100%  
5 39% 60% Median
6 21% 22%  
7 0.5% 0.6%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 69% 99.9% Median
7 17% 31%  
8 14% 14%  
9 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 29% 99.8% Last Result
3 27% 71% Median
4 41% 44%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Median
1 41% 41% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 254 248 100% 246–252 245–253 245–254 243–254
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos 188 206 100% 202–210 201–210 200–211 199–213
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular 222 203 100% 199–207 199–207 198–207 197–209
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu 180 187 100% 185–190 184–192 183–192 182–194
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 173 177 79% 175–181 174–182 172–183 172–185
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu 167 175 44% 173–180 172–181 172–181 171–183
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu 163 169 0.8% 166–173 165–174 165–174 165–176
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 117 168 0.6% 165–172 163–174 163–174 162–177
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 161 166 0% 162–170 161–171 161–171 161–173
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox 169 162 0% 158–164 156–165 156–165 155–166
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos 156 159 0% 156–163 155–164 155–165 155–167
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 174 132 0% 129–137 128–138 126–138 125–139
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario 170 127 0% 123–130 123–131 121–132 119–133
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía 169 126 0% 123–130 122–130 120–131 119–132
Partido Socialista Obrero Español 85 122 0% 118–126 118–127 118–127 117–128
Partido Popular – Vox 137 115 0% 112–120 111–120 111–120 110–121
Partido Popular 137 81 0% 78–83 77–83 76–84 74–84

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0.1% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.3% 99.7%  
244 2% 99.4%  
245 7% 98%  
246 11% 90%  
247 20% 79%  
248 13% 59%  
249 11% 46% Median
250 7% 35%  
251 8% 27%  
252 13% 19%  
253 4% 6%  
254 3% 3% Last Result
255 0.2% 0.2%  
256 0.1% 0.1%  
257 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100% Last Result
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0.4% 100%  
199 0.1% 99.6%  
200 4% 99.4%  
201 3% 95%  
202 24% 92%  
203 5% 68%  
204 1.3% 64%  
205 10% 62% Median
206 16% 53%  
207 5% 37%  
208 11% 32%  
209 8% 20%  
210 9% 12%  
211 2% 3%  
212 0.2% 1.0%  
213 0.7% 0.8%  
214 0.1% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
194 0.1% 100%  
195 0.1% 99.8%  
196 0.2% 99.8%  
197 0.2% 99.6%  
198 2% 99.4%  
199 15% 97%  
200 4% 83%  
201 5% 78%  
202 15% 74%  
203 15% 59% Median
204 21% 44%  
205 9% 23%  
206 3% 14%  
207 10% 11%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 1.1% 1.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0.1% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0.3% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.6%  
183 4% 99.5%  
184 4% 95%  
185 10% 92%  
186 29% 82% Median
187 14% 52%  
188 7% 39%  
189 8% 32%  
190 14% 24%  
191 2% 10%  
192 6% 8%  
193 1.0% 2%  
194 0.9% 1.0%  
195 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 3% 99.9%  
173 0.9% 97% Last Result
174 3% 96%  
175 13% 93%  
176 7% 79% Majority
177 28% 72% Median
178 10% 44%  
179 11% 34%  
180 7% 23%  
181 7% 16%  
182 5% 10%  
183 3% 5%  
184 1.2% 2%  
185 0.8% 0.9%  
186 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100% Last Result
168 0.1% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.3% 99.8%  
171 0.5% 99.5%  
172 6% 99.0%  
173 12% 93%  
174 6% 81%  
175 31% 75% Median
176 8% 44% Majority
177 7% 36%  
178 4% 29%  
179 11% 25%  
180 6% 14%  
181 5% 8%  
182 1.4% 2%  
183 0.8% 0.8%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
164 0.2% 99.8%  
165 8% 99.6%  
166 7% 92%  
167 10% 85%  
168 20% 75% Median
169 13% 55%  
170 12% 42%  
171 8% 30%  
172 11% 23%  
173 4% 11%  
174 5% 8%  
175 1.4% 2%  
176 0.8% 0.8% Majority
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0.4% 99.9%  
162 0.5% 99.5%  
163 4% 99.1%  
164 3% 95%  
165 24% 91%  
166 1.0% 67%  
167 12% 66%  
168 6% 54% Median
169 20% 48%  
170 3% 28%  
171 12% 25%  
172 4% 13%  
173 4% 9%  
174 5% 5%  
175 0.1% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.6% Majority
177 0.5% 0.5%  
178 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 7% 99.8% Last Result
162 4% 93%  
163 11% 89%  
164 6% 78%  
165 19% 72% Median
166 3% 53%  
167 14% 50%  
168 17% 36%  
169 8% 18%  
170 5% 10%  
171 3% 5%  
172 2% 2%  
173 0.8% 0.9%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 2% 99.9%  
156 5% 98%  
157 2% 94%  
158 8% 92%  
159 10% 84%  
160 10% 74%  
161 7% 64% Median
162 14% 58%  
163 33% 44%  
164 5% 11%  
165 5% 6%  
166 0.4% 0.8%  
167 0.2% 0.4%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
170 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 10% 99.7%  
156 6% 90% Last Result
157 8% 84%  
158 6% 76%  
159 23% 70% Median
160 9% 48%  
161 15% 39%  
162 8% 23%  
163 6% 15%  
164 5% 10%  
165 2% 5%  
166 2% 2%  
167 0.8% 0.9%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0.1% 100%  
125 1.0% 99.9%  
126 2% 98.9%  
127 0.6% 97%  
128 6% 97%  
129 2% 91%  
130 2% 89%  
131 27% 87%  
132 10% 60%  
133 7% 50% Median
134 15% 43%  
135 7% 28%  
136 10% 21%  
137 5% 11%  
138 4% 6%  
139 1.1% 1.5%  
140 0.2% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0.1% 100%  
119 1.0% 99.9%  
120 0.9% 98.9%  
121 1.4% 98%  
122 1.5% 97%  
123 5% 95%  
124 3% 90%  
125 27% 87%  
126 8% 60%  
127 10% 52% Median
128 12% 42%  
129 13% 31%  
130 12% 17%  
131 2% 5%  
132 2% 3%  
133 1.0% 1.3%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.2% 0.2%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 1.0% 99.8%  
120 2% 98.9%  
121 1.0% 97%  
122 6% 96%  
123 2% 90%  
124 9% 88%  
125 22% 80%  
126 10% 58%  
127 11% 48% Median
128 17% 37%  
129 4% 20%  
130 12% 16%  
131 3% 5%  
132 1.4% 2%  
133 0.1% 0.4%  
134 0.2% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0.3% 99.9%  
117 0.2% 99.6%  
118 13% 99.3%  
119 3% 87%  
120 6% 84%  
121 10% 78%  
122 29% 68% Median
123 6% 39%  
124 17% 34%  
125 4% 16%  
126 6% 13%  
127 5% 6%  
128 1.2% 1.4%  
129 0.2% 0.2%  
130 0% 0%  

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.7% 99.9%  
111 5% 99.2%  
112 8% 94%  
113 17% 86%  
114 15% 69%  
115 9% 54% Median
116 17% 45%  
117 2% 28%  
118 1.0% 26%  
119 6% 25%  
120 18% 19%  
121 2% 2%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 1.2% 99.9%  
75 1.2% 98.7%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 4% 97%  
78 10% 93%  
79 11% 83%  
80 11% 73%  
81 21% 61% Median
82 28% 40%  
83 8% 12%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations