Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 14–21 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 22.6% | 29.5% | 28.1–30.9% | 27.8–31.3% | 27.4–31.7% | 26.8–32.3% |
| Partido Popular | 33.0% | 18.2% | 17.1–19.4% | 16.8–19.8% | 16.5–20.1% | 16.0–20.7% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.1–16.2% | 13.8–16.6% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.0–17.4% |
| Unidos Podemos | 21.2% | 14.7% | 13.7–15.9% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.2–16.4% | 12.7–17.0% |
| Vox | 0.2% | 12.6% | 11.6–13.7% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.2–14.2% | 10.7–14.8% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 129 | 127–134 | 120–136 | 117–137 | 116–141 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 68 | 66–71 | 65–77 | 65–77 | 60–79 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 32 | 50 | 47–50 | 46–53 | 44–54 | 39–57 |
| Unidos Podemos | 71 | 37 | 36–42 | 36–46 | 36–48 | 34–48 |
| Vox | 0 | 37 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 29–39 | 27–44 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 9 | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 8 | 5 | 4–6 | 3–8 | 3–8 | 2–8 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 3–8 |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | 2 | 3 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 1–6 | 1–7 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 124 | 3% | 93% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 127 | 6% | 90% | |
| 128 | 11% | 84% | |
| 129 | 61% | 73% | Median |
| 130 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 136 | 6% | 10% | |
| 137 | 2% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 62% | 88% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 26% | |
| 70 | 3% | 19% | |
| 71 | 5% | 15% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 5% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 46 | 2% | 95% | |
| 47 | 10% | 94% | |
| 48 | 2% | 84% | |
| 49 | 2% | 81% | |
| 50 | 73% | 80% | Median |
| 51 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Unidos Podemos
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 67% | 87% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 21% | |
| 39 | 2% | 19% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 41 | 5% | 16% | |
| 42 | 2% | 11% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 48 | 5% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 5% | 93% | |
| 33 | 15% | 89% | |
| 34 | 2% | 73% | |
| 35 | 2% | 72% | |
| 36 | 5% | 70% | |
| 37 | 61% | 65% | Median |
| 38 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 97% | |
| 14 | 10% | 91% | |
| 15 | 79% | 81% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 8% | 93% | |
| 5 | 63% | 84% | Median |
| 6 | 15% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 92% | Last Result |
| 6 | 80% | 91% | Median |
| 7 | 7% | 12% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Euskal Herria Bildu
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 3 | 66% | 88% | Median |
| 4 | 10% | 22% | |
| 5 | 8% | 12% | |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 19% | 21% | Last Result |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 254 | 247 | 100% | 244–249 | 241–255 | 241–255 | 236–256 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos | 188 | 216 | 100% | 213–221 | 212–223 | 209–225 | 203–229 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 180 | 195 | 100% | 191–201 | 189–204 | 189–205 | 185–208 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular | 222 | 197 | 100% | 196–202 | 193–205 | 187–205 | 185–210 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 173 | 186 | 99.5% | 182–194 | 180–194 | 178–196 | 175–200 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu | 167 | 184 | 98.9% | 180–191 | 178–194 | 176–196 | 173–199 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu | 163 | 175 | 21% | 173–182 | 169–184 | 169–187 | 165–189 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 117 | 179 | 85% | 174–181 | 171–183 | 167–185 | 163–191 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 161 | 172 | 19% | 169–179 | 165–180 | 165–183 | 161–187 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos | 156 | 166 | 9% | 163–174 | 159–176 | 158–177 | 155–181 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox | 169 | 155 | 0% | 148–159 | 146–160 | 144–160 | 141–164 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | 85 | 129 | 0% | 127–134 | 120–136 | 117–137 | 116–141 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | 174 | 124 | 0% | 119–129 | 118–135 | 116–135 | 112–136 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | 170 | 118 | 0% | 115–124 | 113–127 | 111–127 | 108–131 |
| Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 169 | 118 | 0% | 114–124 | 113–127 | 110–127 | 107–130 |
| Partido Popular – Vox | 137 | 105 | 0% | 100–106 | 99–109 | 98–111 | 92–116 |
| Partido Popular | 137 | 68 | 0% | 66–71 | 65–77 | 65–77 | 60–79 |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 232 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 233 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 234 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 235 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 236 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 237 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 238 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 239 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 240 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 241 | 3% | 98% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 243 | 3% | 94% | |
| 244 | 5% | 91% | |
| 245 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 246 | 3% | 85% | |
| 247 | 62% | 82% | Median |
| 248 | 5% | 20% | |
| 249 | 6% | 15% | |
| 250 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 251 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 252 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 254 | 0.5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 255 | 4% | 5% | |
| 256 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0% | 100% | |
| 196 | 0% | 100% | |
| 197 | 0% | 100% | |
| 198 | 0% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0% | 100% | |
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 202 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 204 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 209 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 212 | 3% | 96% | |
| 213 | 5% | 93% | |
| 214 | 5% | 88% | |
| 215 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 216 | 61% | 83% | Median |
| 217 | 2% | 21% | |
| 218 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 220 | 7% | 18% | |
| 221 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 222 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 223 | 6% | 9% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 225 | 2% | 3% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 188 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 189 | 3% | 98% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 191 | 5% | 94% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 193 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 195 | 66% | 88% | Median |
| 196 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 200 | 7% | 18% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 202 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 204 | 5% | 8% | |
| 205 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 208 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 184 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 187 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 193 | 4% | 95% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 197 | 67% | 89% | Median |
| 198 | 6% | 23% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 200 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 201 | 2% | 15% | |
| 202 | 5% | 14% | |
| 203 | 2% | 9% | |
| 204 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 205 | 5% | 7% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 210 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 178 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 182 | 5% | 94% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 184 | 6% | 89% | |
| 185 | 2% | 83% | |
| 186 | 61% | 82% | Median |
| 187 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 190 | 2% | 19% | |
| 191 | 4% | 18% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 194 | 9% | 12% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 197 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 176 | 3% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 179 | 5% | 95% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 183 | 5% | 89% | |
| 184 | 62% | 83% | Median |
| 185 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 187 | 3% | 20% | |
| 188 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 189 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 190 | 5% | 15% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 194 | 5% | 9% | |
| 195 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco – Euskal Herria Bildu
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 169 | 3% | 98% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 173 | 5% | 93% | |
| 174 | 5% | 89% | |
| 175 | 62% | 84% | Median |
| 176 | 0.5% | 21% | Majority |
| 177 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 179 | 3% | 20% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 182 | 6% | 16% | |
| 183 | 5% | 10% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 187 | 2% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 171 | 3% | 96% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 174 | 3% | 93% | |
| 175 | 5% | 90% | |
| 176 | 0.9% | 85% | Majority |
| 177 | 5% | 84% | |
| 178 | 5% | 79% | |
| 179 | 61% | 73% | Median |
| 180 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 181 | 3% | 12% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 183 | 5% | 9% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 162 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 165 | 3% | 98% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 169 | 5% | 94% | |
| 170 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 172 | 66% | 86% | Median |
| 173 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 19% | Majority |
| 177 | 3% | 18% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 179 | 9% | 15% | |
| 180 | 2% | 6% | |
| 181 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español – Unidos Podemos
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 157 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 158 | 3% | 98% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 163 | 5% | 93% | |
| 164 | 6% | 89% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 166 | 61% | 82% | Median |
| 167 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 170 | 3% | 19% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 173 | 4% | 15% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 176 | 5% | 9% | Majority |
| 177 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 145 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 146 | 4% | 96% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 149 | 5% | 89% | |
| 150 | 4% | 84% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 81% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 154 | 6% | 79% | |
| 155 | 61% | 73% | Median |
| 156 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 159 | 5% | 10% | |
| 160 | 3% | 5% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 124 | 3% | 93% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 127 | 6% | 90% | |
| 128 | 11% | 84% | |
| 129 | 61% | 73% | Median |
| 130 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 136 | 6% | 10% | |
| 137 | 2% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 119 | 9% | 95% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 85% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 124 | 63% | 82% | Median |
| 125 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 126 | 3% | 19% | |
| 127 | 6% | 16% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 4% | 10% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 135 | 5% | 5% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 113 | 5% | 97% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 115 | 2% | 91% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 117 | 5% | 88% | |
| 118 | 63% | 83% | Median |
| 119 | 3% | 20% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 122 | 5% | 16% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 125 | 3% | 9% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 127 | 5% | 6% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 113 | 5% | 96% | |
| 114 | 2% | 91% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 116 | 5% | 88% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 118 | 63% | 82% | Median |
| 119 | 3% | 20% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 121 | 6% | 16% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 124 | 4% | 10% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 127 | 5% | 6% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 99 | 7% | 97% | |
| 100 | 3% | 91% | |
| 101 | 2% | 87% | |
| 102 | 5% | 85% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 104 | 6% | 79% | |
| 105 | 61% | 74% | Median |
| 106 | 3% | 12% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 109 | 5% | 8% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partido Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 62% | 88% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 26% | |
| 70 | 3% | 19% | |
| 71 | 5% | 15% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 5% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 14–21 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%