Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 8–13 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 31.5% 33.0% 30.4–35.8% 29.6–36.6% 29.0–37.3% 27.8–38.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 26.9% 27.0% 24.6–29.7% 23.9–30.4% 23.3–31.1% 22.2–32.4%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 26.0% 24.0% 21.7–26.6% 21.0–27.3% 20.5–27.9% 19.4–29.2%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 5.3% 6.0% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.0% 4.2–8.4% 3.7–9.3%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 3.8% 6.0% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.0% 4.2–8.4% 3.7–9.3%
JETZT–Liste Pilz 4.4% 2.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4% 1.1–3.6% 0.9–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 64 58–68 56–70 56–72 53–74
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 51 47–56 45–58 45–59 42–62
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 51 46 41–50 40–52 39–53 37–56
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 10 11 9–14 8–15 8–16 0–17
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 0 11 9–14 8–15 8–16 0–17
JETZT–Liste Pilz 8 0 0 0 0 0–7

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.7% 99.4%  
55 1.1% 98.7%  
56 3% 98%  
57 4% 94%  
58 6% 90%  
59 8% 85%  
60 4% 77%  
61 4% 73%  
62 9% 69% Last Result
63 7% 61%  
64 17% 54% Median
65 9% 37%  
66 12% 28%  
67 6% 16%  
68 2% 10%  
69 2% 8%  
70 2% 7%  
71 2% 5%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.6% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 0.8% 99.4%  
44 1.0% 98.6%  
45 3% 98%  
46 3% 94%  
47 5% 91%  
48 7% 86%  
49 9% 79%  
50 10% 70%  
51 12% 60% Median
52 10% 48% Last Result
53 9% 38%  
54 7% 29%  
55 5% 22%  
56 7% 16%  
57 3% 9%  
58 3% 6%  
59 1.2% 3%  
60 0.9% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.3%  
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.8%  
37 0.5% 99.6%  
38 1.1% 99.1%  
39 2% 98%  
40 4% 96%  
41 5% 92%  
42 7% 88%  
43 8% 80%  
44 9% 73%  
45 9% 64%  
46 14% 55% Median
47 11% 41%  
48 8% 30%  
49 6% 22%  
50 6% 15%  
51 4% 10% Last Result
52 2% 6%  
53 0.9% 3%  
54 1.2% 2%  
55 0.5% 1.1%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0% 98.8%  
4 0% 98.8%  
5 0% 98.8%  
6 0% 98.8%  
7 0.9% 98.8%  
8 6% 98%  
9 10% 92%  
10 17% 82% Last Result
11 19% 65% Median
12 19% 46%  
13 11% 27%  
14 9% 16%  
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0.7% 98%  
8 5% 98%  
9 10% 93%  
10 18% 83%  
11 22% 64% Median
12 15% 42%  
13 14% 27%  
14 6% 13%  
15 3% 6%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.8% 1.2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

JETZT–Liste Pilz

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0% 0.8%  
5 0% 0.8%  
6 0% 0.8%  
7 0.3% 0.8%  
8 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 114 115 100% 109–120 108–122 106–123 104–126
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 113 109 100% 103–115 102–116 100–117 98–121
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 103 97 92% 92–103 90–104 89–105 87–110
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 86 8% 80–91 79–93 78–94 73–96
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 62 75 0% 68–78 68–82 67–83 63–84
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 75 0% 69–80 67–81 66–83 63–85
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 62 74 0% 68–80 67–81 66–82 62–85
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 64 0% 58–68 56–70 56–72 53–74
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 51 0% 47–56 45–58 45–59 42–62

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.3% 99.8%  
104 0.6% 99.5%  
105 0.7% 98.9%  
106 1.1% 98%  
107 2% 97%  
108 3% 95%  
109 4% 93%  
110 6% 89%  
111 6% 82%  
112 6% 77%  
113 9% 71%  
114 9% 61% Last Result
115 12% 52% Median
116 11% 40%  
117 4% 30%  
118 7% 25%  
119 3% 18%  
120 6% 15%  
121 3% 9%  
122 2% 5%  
123 0.9% 3%  
124 0.8% 2%  
125 0.7% 1.5%  
126 0.4% 0.7%  
127 0.1% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.4% 99.6%  
99 0.8% 99.2%  
100 1.0% 98%  
101 2% 97%  
102 3% 96%  
103 4% 93%  
104 5% 89%  
105 6% 84%  
106 9% 78%  
107 5% 69%  
108 8% 64%  
109 12% 56%  
110 8% 44% Median
111 7% 35%  
112 8% 28%  
113 7% 20% Last Result
114 3% 14%  
115 5% 11%  
116 3% 6%  
117 1.1% 3%  
118 0.8% 2%  
119 0.6% 1.3%  
120 0.2% 0.7%  
121 0.2% 0.6%  
122 0.1% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 0.9% 99.5%  
88 0.9% 98.6%  
89 1.2% 98%  
90 3% 97%  
91 2% 94%  
92 3% 92% Majority
93 4% 89%  
94 8% 85%  
95 8% 77%  
96 17% 69%  
97 9% 52% Median
98 10% 43%  
99 4% 33%  
100 6% 29%  
101 4% 23%  
102 6% 18%  
103 3% 12% Last Result
104 5% 9%  
105 2% 4%  
106 0.4% 2%  
107 0.6% 1.5%  
108 0.3% 0.9%  
109 0.1% 0.7%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.2% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.2% 99.4%  
75 0.3% 99.3%  
76 0.6% 99.0%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 3% 98%  
79 5% 95%  
80 3% 91%  
81 6% 87%  
82 4% 81%  
83 6% 77%  
84 4% 70%  
85 10% 66%  
86 9% 56% Median
87 17% 47%  
88 8% 30%  
89 8% 22%  
90 4% 14%  
91 3% 10%  
92 2% 8% Majority
93 3% 6%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.9% 1.3%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
63 0.3% 99.6%  
64 0.5% 99.3%  
65 0.2% 98.8%  
66 0.2% 98.6%  
67 3% 98%  
68 6% 96%  
69 11% 90%  
70 5% 78%  
71 1.2% 73%  
72 0.5% 72%  
73 0.6% 72%  
74 5% 71%  
75 21% 66% Median
76 20% 45%  
77 14% 25%  
78 2% 11%  
79 0.6% 9%  
80 0.3% 9%  
81 1.2% 8%  
82 3% 7%  
83 3% 4%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.1% 99.6%  
64 0.3% 99.4%  
65 0.9% 99.1%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 2% 94%  
69 4% 92%  
70 5% 88%  
71 5% 83%  
72 12% 78% Last Result
73 6% 65%  
74 7% 59%  
75 6% 52% Median
76 16% 46%  
77 10% 30%  
78 6% 19%  
79 3% 13%  
80 3% 10%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
63 0.2% 99.4%  
64 0.6% 99.2%  
65 0.9% 98.6%  
66 1.2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 5% 94%  
69 3% 89%  
70 7% 86%  
71 8% 79%  
72 7% 71%  
73 8% 64% Median
74 12% 55%  
75 8% 43%  
76 5% 35%  
77 9% 30%  
78 6% 22%  
79 5% 15%  
80 4% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.4%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.7% 99.4%  
55 1.1% 98.7%  
56 3% 98%  
57 4% 94%  
58 6% 90%  
59 8% 85%  
60 4% 77%  
61 4% 73%  
62 9% 69% Last Result
63 7% 61%  
64 17% 54% Median
65 9% 37%  
66 12% 28%  
67 6% 16%  
68 2% 10%  
69 2% 8%  
70 2% 7%  
71 2% 5%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.6% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 0.8% 99.4%  
44 1.0% 98.6%  
45 3% 98%  
46 3% 94%  
47 5% 91%  
48 7% 86%  
49 9% 79%  
50 10% 70%  
51 12% 60% Median
52 10% 48% Last Result
53 9% 38%  
54 7% 29%  
55 5% 22%  
56 7% 16%  
57 3% 9%  
58 3% 6%  
59 1.2% 3%  
60 0.9% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.3%  
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations