Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
Voting Intentions
Last result: 26.9% (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 22.0% | 19.7–23.8% | 18.5–24.5% | 17.7–25.0% | 16.5–26.1% |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
22.0% | 21.1–23.0% | 20.8–23.3% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.1–24.0% |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
23.0% | 21.1–24.9% | 20.6–25.5% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.3–27.0% |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 19.0% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.3–22.1% | 15.5–23.1% |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 22.0% | 21.0–23.0% | 20.8–23.3% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.1–24.0% |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
22.0% | 20.9–23.1% | 20.6–23.4% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
22.0% | 20.9–23.2% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.3–23.8% | 19.8–24.4% |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
21.9% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.1% | 18.5–25.7% | 17.5–26.9% |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
22.0% | 21.0–23.0% | 20.8–23.3% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.1–24.0% |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.6% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.5–26.0% |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.2–25.2% | 18.6–25.8% | 17.6–27.1% |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
21.0% | 20.1–22.0% | 19.8–22.3% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.1–23.0% |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
21.8% | 19.6–24.3% | 19.0–25.0% | 18.4–25.7% | 17.4–26.9% |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | 18.8–23.5% | 18.2–24.2% | 17.7–24.8% | 16.7–26.0% |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
20.9% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.6–24.7% | 16.6–25.9% |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.3–26.1% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 20.0% | 18.8–21.3% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.1–22.0% | 17.5–22.7% |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.1–25.2% | 18.6–25.8% | 17.6–27.0% |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
21.9% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.1% | 18.5–25.7% | 17.5–27.0% |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.2–25.2% | 18.6–25.8% | 17.6–27.1% |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.1–25.2% | 18.5–25.8% | 17.5–27.0% |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
20.9% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.4% | 18.3–23.9% | 17.5–24.8% |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
21.0% | 19.5–22.7% | 19.1–23.2% | 18.7–23.6% | 18.0–24.4% |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 21.0% | 19.3–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.7–24.5% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.1–26.3% | 19.5–26.9% | 18.5–28.2% |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
22.0% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–25.9% |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 26.0% | 23.6–28.6% | 22.9–29.4% | 22.3–30.0% | 21.2–31.3% |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
27.6% | 25.7–29.6% | 25.1–30.1% | 24.7–30.7% | 23.8–31.6% |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 27.0% | 25.6–28.5% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.1–30.0% |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.8% | 21.7–28.7% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.4–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.5–26.8% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.3% |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.3% |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 27.0% | 25.6–28.5% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.1–30.0% |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.6–27.6% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
24.8% | 22.9–26.8% | 22.4–27.4% | 21.9–27.9% | 21.1–28.9% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.8% | 21.7–28.7% |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.3–27.9% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.9% | 22.6–29.8% |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
26.9% | 25.0–29.0% | 24.4–29.6% | 23.9–30.1% | 23.0–31.1% |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.3–27.9% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.9% | 22.6–29.8% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
27.0% | 25.0–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
25.9% | 24.0–27.9% | 23.4–28.5% | 23.0–29.0% | 22.1–30.0% |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.6–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 25.0% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.9–28.3% | 21.0–29.4% |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.5–29.7% |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
27.5% | 26.1–29.1% | 25.7–29.5% | 25.3–29.9% | 24.6–30.6% |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
26.1% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.6–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.5–30.8% |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.2% |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.9% | 21.6–26.5% | 21.0–27.2% | 20.4–27.8% | 19.3–29.1% |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.3% |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
29.0% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.4–31.7% | 26.0–32.3% | 25.0–33.3% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.6–30.8% |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
28.0% | 25.9–30.3% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.8–31.4% | 23.8–32.5% |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.3% |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.5–29.7% |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
29.0% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.4–31.7% | 26.0–32.3% | 25.0–33.3% |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.6–30.8% |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
29.0% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.4–31.7% | 26.0–32.3% | 25.0–33.3% |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
26.0% | 23.9–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.3% | 21.9–30.4% |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
28.0% | 26.1–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.3% |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.7% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.5–28.0% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.4% |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.4% | 21.9–30.5% |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
27.0% | 25.0–29.2% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.9–30.4% | 23.0–31.5% |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.3–27.9% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
27.7% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.5–30.1% | 25.0–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
28.0% | 26.2–29.8% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.8% | 24.4–31.7% |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
28.0% | 26.0–30.2% | 25.4–30.9% | 24.9–31.4% | 24.0–32.5% |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.4% | 21.9–30.5% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
27.0% | 24.6–29.7% | 23.9–30.4% | 23.3–31.1% | 22.2–32.4% |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
28.0% | 26.2–29.8% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.8% | 24.5–31.7% |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.2% |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
27.1% | 25.0–29.3% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.9–30.4% | 23.0–31.5% |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
30.0% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.8% | 26.9–33.3% | 26.0–34.3% |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
28.0% | 26.2–29.8% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.8% | 24.5–31.7% |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
27.9% | 25.5–30.6% | 24.8–31.3% | 24.2–32.0% | 23.1–33.2% |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.6% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.6% |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
28.0% | 25.5–30.7% | 24.8–31.4% | 24.2–32.1% | 23.1–33.4% |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
29.0% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.4–31.7% | 26.0–32.2% | 25.0–33.3% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.4–29.8% | 23.6–30.7% |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.3–27.9% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
25.1% | 23.1–27.2% | 22.5–27.8% | 22.1–28.4% | 21.1–29.4% |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
27.9% | 25.8–30.2% | 25.3–30.8% | 24.7–31.4% | 23.8–32.4% |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
26.0% | 23.6–28.6% | 22.9–29.4% | 22.3–30.0% | 21.2–31.3% |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.5–29.7% |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
27.0% | 24.6–29.7% | 23.9–30.4% | 23.3–31.1% | 22.2–32.4% |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
28.0% | 25.9–30.3% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.8–31.4% | 23.8–32.5% |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.7% | 24.0–30.2% | 23.1–31.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 3% | 98% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 4% | 95% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 7% | 90% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 19% | 84% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 20% | 33% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 9% | 13% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 52 seats (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 42 | 37–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 | 31–49 |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–49 |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
42 | 40–43 | 39–44 | 39–44 | 38–45 |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 36–51 |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 36 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–43 |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 41 | 39–43 | 39–44 | 38–44 | 38–45 |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
42 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 39–45 | 38–46 |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
42 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 39–45 | 38–47 |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
42 | 40–43 | 39–44 | 39–44 | 38–45 |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
40 | 38–41 | 37–42 | 37–42 | 36–43 |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
40 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 33–47 | 31–50 |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
40 | 36–44 | 34–46 | 34–47 | 31–50 |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
44 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 39 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 34–44 |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
42 | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
42 | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 | 33–51 |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 32–46 |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–49 |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
40 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 34–46 |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–48 |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
44 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 39 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
44 | 39–48 | 38–50 | 37–51 | 35–53 |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–49 |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 50 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 42–58 | 40–60 |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
52 | 49–56 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 51 | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 46–57 |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
53 | 50–57 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 51 | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 46–57 |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 39–53 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
51 | 47–54 | 46–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 41–55 |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
50 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
48 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 42–53 | 41–54 |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 39–54 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
48 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 44–56 | 42–57 |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
52 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–59 |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
49 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
50 | 46–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 43–57 |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
51 | 47–54 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 43–59 |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
51 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
50 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 43–57 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
48 | 45–51 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
51 | 47–55 | 46–57 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
49 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 45–54 |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
50 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–55 |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–58 |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
48 | 44–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 48 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 41–54 | 39–56 |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
51 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
53 | 50–55 | 49–57 | 48–57 | 47–59 |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 | 42–57 |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
51 | 47–54 | 46–56 | 44–57 | 43–59 |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–60 |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
54 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–62 |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 41–51 | 40–53 | 38–54 | 36–57 |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
54 | 49–57 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 46–62 |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
55 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 47–64 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
54 | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
54 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 47–62 | 45–64 |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–61 |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
51 | 48–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
57 | 52–61 | 51–63 | 50–64 | 48–67 |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–61 |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
52 | 48–56 | 47–58 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
57 | 52–61 | 51–63 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
50 | 46–54 | 46–55 | 45–55 | 43–58 |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
51 | 46–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 | 42–60 |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–62 |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
52 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 | 42–57 |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
50 | 46–53 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–58 |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
50 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 43–57 | 42–59 |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
52 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–60 |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
53 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–59 | 44–62 |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
49 | 46–53 | 45–55 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–56 |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
52 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–60 |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
53 | 50–57 | 48–58 | 48–59 | 46–61 |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
55 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 47–63 |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
54 | 49–58 | 48–60 | 47–60 | 45–62 |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
50 | 46–54 | 45–56 | 44–57 | 42–59 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
52 | 49–56 | 47–57 | 47–58 | 45–59 |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
51 | 47–56 | 45–58 | 45–59 | 42–62 |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
55 | 51–59 | 50–61 | 49–62 | 48–64 |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
52 | 48–56 | 47–58 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
58 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 51–65 | 49–67 |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
53 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–61 | 43–63 |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
56 | 54–58 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 51–61 |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
53 | 48–58 | 46–59 | 45–61 | 43–62 |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
56 | 53–61 | 51–61 | 50–63 | 48–64 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
53 | 49–57 | 47–59 | 47–59 | 45–61 |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
50 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–58 |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
52 | 48–56 | 47–58 | 47–59 | 44–62 |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
50 | 45–53 | 43–55 | 42–57 | 40–60 |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
50 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–58 |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
53 | 49–57 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 46–62 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
52 | 47–57 | 45–59 | 44–60 | 42–63 |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
54 | 49–56 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–61 |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
54 | 50–58 | 48–59 | 47–61 | 45–63 |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
52 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 2% | 91% | |
| 38 | 4% | 89% | |
| 39 | 6% | 85% | |
| 40 | 11% | 79% | |
| 41 | 16% | 68% | |
| 42 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 43 | 13% | 36% | |
| 44 | 9% | 22% | |
| 45 | 6% | 13% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |