NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 5.3% (General Election of 15 October 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8.2% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
16–23 September 2019 OGM
Servus TV
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
19–22 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
12–20 September 2019 Peter Hajek
ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV
8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
13–18 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
16–18 September 2019 Market
Der Standard
7.9% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.7% 6.3–10.0% 5.8–10.7%
1–18 September 2019 Institut für Grundlagenforschung 8.0% 6.9–9.5% 6.5–9.9% 6.2–10.3% 5.7–11.0%
11–17 September 2019 Karmasin 9.0% 8.4–9.7% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4%
2–13 September 2019 Unique Research
profil
8.0% 7.3–8.7% 7.1–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5%
6–13 September 2019 OGM
KURIER
8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.6%
6–11 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9.0% 7.6–10.8% 7.1–11.4% 6.8–11.8% 6.2–12.7%
5–10 September 2019 Karmasin
PULS 24
9.0% 8.4–9.7% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4%
5–8 September 2019 Market
Der Standard
10.0% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9% 8.1–12.2% 7.5–13.0%
30 August–4 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.9% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2% 5.9–10.6% 5.3–11.5%
2–4 September 2019 Market
Der Standard
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
29 August–3 September 2019 Karmasin
PULS 24
9.0% 8.4–9.7% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4%
22–28 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.9% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2% 5.9–10.6% 5.3–11.5%
19–22 August 2019 Unique Research
profil
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
16–21 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.9% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2% 5.9–10.6% 5.3–11.5%
9–14 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9.1% 7.6–10.9% 7.2–11.5% 6.9–11.9% 6.2–12.9%
8–12 August 2019 OGM
KURIER
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
26 July–9 August 2019 Kowarcz Marktforschung 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0%
1–7 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.9% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2% 5.9–10.6% 5.3–11.5%
2–5 August 2019 Market
Der Standard
10.0% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.9% 8.1–12.3% 7.5–13.0%
25–31 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2% 5.9–10.7% 5.3–11.6%
18–24 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.9% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1% 5.0–9.5% 4.5–10.4%
5–17 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
8–12 July 2019 Unique Research
profil
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
5–10 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 6.6–9.8% 6.2–10.3% 5.9–10.7% 5.3–11.6%
8–9 July 2019 Market
Der Standard
10.0% 8.8–11.5% 8.4–11.9% 8.1–12.3% 7.6–13.1%
27 June–4 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
24–28 June 2019 Peter Hajek
ATV
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
14–20 June 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
31 May–10 June 2019 SORA
ORF
8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
5–6 June 2019 Market
Der Standard
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.9% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
31 May–5 June 2019 Unique Research 10.0% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.9% 8.1–12.3% 7.5–13.0%
29 May–4 June 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
29–31 May 2019 Unique Research 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.0% 7.7–12.7%
29–31 May 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
10.0% 8.5–11.9% 8.0–12.5% 7.7–13.0% 7.0–13.9%
1–31 May 2019 Demox Research 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
27–29 May 2019 OGM
KURIER
8.0% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.7% 6.3–10.0% 5.8–10.7%
18–20 May 2019 Research Affairs 9.0% 7.5–10.9% 7.1–11.4% 6.8–11.8% 6.2–12.8%
29 April–2 May 2019 OGM
KURIER
7.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6% 5.5–8.9% 5.0–9.5%
25 April–2 May 2019 Demox Research 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
25 April–1 May 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
11–17 April 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 6.9–11.6%
12–15 April 2019 Market
Der Standard
7.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
8–12 April 2019 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
28 March–11 April 2019 Demox Research 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
28 March–3 April 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.5%
14–20 March 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
11–15 March 2019 Unique Research
profil
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
4–7 March 2019 Unique Research
Heute
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
26 February–6 March 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
27 February–1 March 2019 INSA
SWG
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
21–28 February 2019 Peter Hajek
ATV
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
13–20 February 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
18–20 February 2019 Market
Der Standard
10.9% 9.6–12.4% 9.2–12.8% 8.9–13.2% 8.3–13.9%
11–15 February 2019 Unique Research
profil
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
5–8 February 2019 Demox Research
Die Presse
8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
31 January–6 February 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
17–23 January 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
15–17 January 2019 OGM
KURIER
7.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
7–11 January 2019 Unique Research
profil
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
3–9 January 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
10–14 December 2018 Unique Research
profil
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
6–12 December 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.5%
7–12 December 2018 Market
Der Standard
7.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.6–8.6% 5.4–8.9% 4.9–9.6%
3–11 December 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
26 November–9 December 2018 GfK
Die Presse
7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.7% 6.1–9.1%
3–6 December 2018 Unique Research
Heute
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
22–28 November 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
12–16 November 2018 Unique Research
profil
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
13–15 November 2018 Market
Der Standard
8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.7%
8–14 November 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
22–31 October 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
24–30 October 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
9–29 October 2018 Spectra 5.9% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.6% 4.4–7.9% 4.0–8.6%
11–17 October 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
1–13 October 2018 GfK
Die Presse
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
8–12 October 2018 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
9–11 October 2018 OGM
KURIER
6.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.5–7.8% 4.1–8.5%
27 September–3 October 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
25–27 September 2018 Market
Der Standard
8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7% 6.3–10.0% 5.8–10.7%
19–20 September 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.9% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2% 5.9–10.6% 5.3–11.5%
10–13 September 2018 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
3–6 September 2018 Unique Research
Heute
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
30 August–5 September 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
23–29 August 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
7.0% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.8% 5.3–9.1% 4.8–9.9%
20–23 August 2018 Market
Der Standard
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
16–22 August 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.5%
6–10 August 2018 Unique Research
profil
5.0% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.3–7.3%
2–8 August 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
19–25 July 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
9–13 July 2018 Unique Research
profil
5.0% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.3–7.3%
5–11 July 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
6–29 June 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
3.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.7% 2.4–6.2%
26–28 June 2018 OGM
ServusTV
6.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.5% 4.5–7.8% 4.1–8.4%
21–27 June 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
18–21 June 2018 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
12–15 June 2018 Market
Der Standard
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
7–13 June 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
4–11 June 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
8.0% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.9% 6.2–10.3% 5.7–11.0%
4–6 June 2018 Unique Research
Heute
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
9 May–5 June 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
4.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.6% 2.4–6.2%
24–30 May 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
22–25 May 2018 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 5.0–9.6%
10–16 May 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
18 April–9 May 2018 IMAS
Kronen Zeitung
5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
26 April–2 May 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
9–30 April 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.3–7.5%
19–25 April 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
8.0% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.9% 6.2–10.3% 5.7–11.0%
12–18 April 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
8–13 April 2018 Unique Research
profil
6.0% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.0% 4.2–8.4% 3.7–9.3%
29 March–4 April 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
26–29 March 2018 Market
Der Standard
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
6–26 March 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
4.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.8% 2.5–6.3%
19–22 March 2018 Unique Research
Heute
8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%
14–21 March 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
19–21 March 2018 OGM
ServusTV
6.9% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1% 5.0–9.5% 4.5–10.3%
14 February–18 March 2018 IMAS
Kronen Zeitung
7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6%
12–15 March 2018 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.2% 5.1–9.6% 4.5–10.5%
6–8 March 2018 Market
Der Standard
8.1% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.4–10.2% 5.9–10.8%
1–7 March 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
15–21 February 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
12–20 February 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
7.0% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.8% 5.4–9.1% 4.9–9.8%
25 January–19 February 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
4.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.4%
11–16 February 2018 Unique Research
profil
7.0% 5.7–8.7% 5.4–9.2% 5.1–9.6% 4.5–10.5%
1–8 February 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
18–24 January 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
15–19 January 2018 Unique Research
profil
6.0% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.0% 4.2–8.4% 3.7–9.3%
4–10 January 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
18–21 December 2017 Peter Hajek
ATV
6.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7% 4.5–8.0% 4.0–8.7%
18–20 December 2017 Market
Der Standard
6.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.6% 4.6–7.9% 4.1–8.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.1% 100% Last Result
5.5–6.5% 2% 99.9%  
6.5–7.5% 19% 97%  
7.5–8.5% 45% 78% Median
8.5–9.5% 27% 33%  
9.5–10.5% 5% 6%  
10.5–11.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 10 seats (General Election of 15 October 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–20
16–23 September 2019 OGM
Servus TV
15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
19–22 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
12–20 September 2019 Peter Hajek
ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV
15 14–16 13–16 13–17 13–17
13–18 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
16–18 September 2019 Market
Der Standard
15 13–17 12–18 11–19 11–20
1–18 September 2019 Institut für Grundlagenforschung 15 12–18 12–18 11–19 10–20
11–17 September 2019 Karmasin 17 15–18 15–18 15–19 14–19
2–13 September 2019 Unique Research
profil
15 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
6–13 September 2019 OGM
KURIER
15 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
6–11 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
17 14–20 13–21 12–22 11–24
5–10 September 2019 Karmasin
PULS 24
17 15–18 15–18 15–19 14–19
5–8 September 2019 Market
Der Standard
19 16–21 15–22 15–23 14–24
30 August–4 September 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–22
2–4 September 2019 Market
Der Standard
17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
29 August–3 September 2019 Karmasin
PULS 24
17 15–18 15–18 15–19 14–19
22–28 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–22
19–22 August 2019 Unique Research
profil
17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
16–21 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–22
9–14 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
17 14–21 14–22 13–22 11–24
8–12 August 2019 OGM
KURIER
15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
26 July–9 August 2019 Kowarcz Marktforschung 17 15–19 15–19 15–20 14–21
1–7 August 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–22
2–5 August 2019 Market
Der Standard
19 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
25–31 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–21
18–24 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 10–16 10–17 9–18 8–19
5–17 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–17
8–12 July 2019 Unique Research
profil
17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
5–10 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–22
8–9 July 2019 Market
Der Standard
19 16–21 15–22 15–23 14–24
27 June–4 July 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
24–28 June 2019 Peter Hajek
ATV
16 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
14–20 June 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
31 May–10 June 2019 SORA
ORF
15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
5–6 June 2019 Market
Der Standard
17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
31 May–5 June 2019 Unique Research 19 16–21 15–22 15–23 14–24
29 May–4 June 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
17 15–19 14–20 14–21 13–22
29–31 May 2019 Unique Research 18 16–21 16–21 15–22 14–23
29–31 May 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
19 16–22 15–23 14–24 13–26
1–31 May 2019 Demox Research 20 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–25
27–29 May 2019 OGM
KURIER
15 13–17 12–18 11–19 11–20
18–20 May 2019 Research Affairs 17 14–20 13–21 13–22 11–24
29 April–2 May 2019 OGM
KURIER
13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–18
25 April–2 May 2019 Demox Research 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 12–18
25 April–1 May 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
17 15–19 14–20 14–21 13–22
11–17 April 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
17 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
12–15 April 2019 Market
Der Standard
13 11–16 10–16 10–17 9–18
8–12 April 2019 Unique Research
profil
13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
28 March–11 April 2019 Demox Research 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–16
28 March–3 April 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
14–20 March 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–18
11–15 March 2019 Unique Research
profil
15 13–18 12–18 12–19 11–20
4–7 March 2019 Unique Research
Heute
13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
26 February–6 March 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 12–16 10–16 10–17 10–17
27 February–1 March 2019 INSA
SWG
15 13–17 13–18 12–19 11–20
21–28 February 2019 Peter Hajek
ATV
15 12–17 12–18 11–19 11–20
13–20 February 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–17
18–20 February 2019 Market
Der Standard
20 18–23 17–23 16–24 15–26
11–15 February 2019 Unique Research
profil
15 13–17 12–18 11–19 11–20
5–8 February 2019 Demox Research
Die Presse
16 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
31 January–6 February 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–16 11–16 10–17 10–18
17–23 January 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–18
15–17 January 2019 OGM
KURIER
13 10–16 10–17 9–17 9–18
7–11 January 2019 Unique Research
profil
15 13–18 12–18 12–19 11–20
3–9 January 2019 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–17
10–14 December 2018 Unique Research
profil
15 13–17 12–18 12–19 10–20
6–12 December 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
7–12 December 2018 Market
Der Standard
13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
3–11 December 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
17 15–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
26 November–9 December 2018 GfK
Die Presse
14 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
3–6 December 2018 Unique Research
Heute
17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
22–28 November 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
12–16 November 2018 Unique Research
profil
17 15–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
13–15 November 2018 Market
Der Standard
15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
8–14 November 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 10–13 9–14 9–15 8–16
22–31 October 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 10–17
24–30 October 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
9–29 October 2018 Spectra 11 9–13 8–14 8–15 7–16
11–17 October 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–16 11–16 10–17 10–18
1–13 October 2018 GfK
Die Presse
13 12–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
8–12 October 2018 Unique Research
profil
13 11–15 11–16 10–17 9–18
9–11 October 2018 OGM
KURIER
11 9–14 8–15 8–15 7–16
27 September–3 October 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
14 12–16 11–16 10–17 10–18
25–27 September 2018 Market
Der Standard
15 12–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
19–20 September 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
15 12–18 12–19 11–20 10–22
10–13 September 2018 Unique Research
profil
13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
3–6 September 2018 Unique Research
Heute
13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
30 August–5 September 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
14 11–16 11–16 10–17 10–18
23–29 August 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
13 11–16 10–17 10–17 9–19
20–23 August 2018 Market
Der Standard
13 11–16 10–16 10–17 9–18
16–22 August 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
16 14–18 13–19 12–19 11–20
6–10 August 2018 Unique Research
profil
9 8–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
2–8 August 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
19–25 July 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 9–13 9–14 9–14 8–16
9–13 July 2018 Unique Research
profil
10 7–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
5–11 July 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–17 10–18
6–29 June 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–12
26–28 June 2018 OGM
ServusTV
11 9–13 9–14 8–15 7–16
21–27 June 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
18–21 June 2018 Unique Research
profil
13 11–16 11–16 10–17 9–18
12–15 June 2018 Market
Der Standard
13 11–15 11–16 10–17 9–18
7–13 June 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9 8–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
4–11 June 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
16 12–18 12–18 11–19 11–21
4–6 June 2018 Unique Research
Heute
15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
9 May–5 June 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
7 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–12
24–30 May 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
9 8–11 7–11 0–12 0–13
22–25 May 2018 Unique Research
profil
13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
10–16 May 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 9–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
18 April–9 May 2018 IMAS
Kronen Zeitung
9 8–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
26 April–2 May 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 11–17 10–18
9–30 April 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
9 7–11 0–12 0–13 0–14
19–25 April 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
15 13–18 12–19 11–19 11–21
12–18 April 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–16 10–18
8–13 April 2018 Unique Research
profil
11 9–14 8–15 8–16 0–17
29 March–4 April 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
26–29 March 2018 Market
Der Standard
15 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–21
6–26 March 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
7 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–12
19–22 March 2018 Unique Research
Heute
15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
14–21 March 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 9–13 9–14 8–14 8–15
19–21 March 2018 OGM
ServusTV
13 10–16 10–17 9–17 8–19
14 February–18 March 2018 IMAS
Kronen Zeitung
13 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
12–15 March 2018 Unique Research
profil
13 10–16 9–17 9–18 8–19
6–8 March 2018 Market
Der Standard
15 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
1–7 March 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
12 10–13 9–14 9–15 8–16
15–21 February 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
13 11–15 11–16 10–17 10–18
12–20 February 2018 Peter Hajek
ATV
13 11–16 10–16 10–17 9–18
25 January–19 February 2018 Spectra
OÖNachrichten
9 7–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
11–16 February 2018 Unique Research
profil
13 10–16 10–17 9–18 8–20
1–8 February 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 9–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
18–24 January 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
12 10–14 9–14 9–15 8–16
15–19 January 2018 Unique Research
profil
11 9–14 8–15 8–16 0–17
4–10 January 2018 Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
18–21 December 2017 Peter Hajek
ATV
11 9–13 9–14 8–15 8–16
18–20 December 2017 Market
Der Standard
11 9–14 9–14 9–15 8–16

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100% Last Result
11 1.0% 99.8%  
12 3% 98.8%  
13 9% 95%  
14 19% 86%  
15 26% 67% Median
16 21% 41%  
17 13% 20%  
18 5% 7%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%