Österreichische Volkspartei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 31.5% (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 33.8% | 31.8–35.7% | 31.0–36.4% | 30.3–37.0% | 28.9–38.2% |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
34.0% | 32.9–35.1% | 32.6–35.4% | 32.3–35.7% | 31.8–36.2% |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.3% | 30.8–39.4% |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 32.0% | 29.8–34.3% | 29.2–34.9% | 28.6–35.5% | 27.6–36.6% |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 34.0% | 32.9–35.1% | 32.6–35.5% | 32.3–35.7% | 31.8–36.3% |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
33.0% | 31.8–34.3% | 31.5–34.6% | 31.2–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
35.0% | 33.7–36.3% | 33.3–36.7% | 33.0–37.0% | 32.4–37.7% |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
35.0% | 32.4–37.8% | 31.7–38.6% | 31.0–39.3% | 29.8–40.6% |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
35.0% | 33.9–36.1% | 33.6–36.5% | 33.3–36.7% | 32.8–37.3% |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
35.9% | 33.2–38.7% | 32.5–39.5% | 31.8–40.2% | 30.6–41.6% |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
35.0% | 33.9–36.1% | 33.6–36.5% | 33.3–36.7% | 32.8–37.3% |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
35.7% | 33.0–38.5% | 32.3–39.3% | 31.6–40.0% | 30.4–41.4% |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
36.0% | 33.9–38.2% | 33.3–38.9% | 32.7–39.4% | 31.7–40.5% |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
35.0% | 32.4–37.8% | 31.7–38.6% | 31.0–39.3% | 29.8–40.7% |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
35.0% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.6–38.6% | 30.9–39.2% | 29.7–40.6% |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.3% | 30.8–39.4% |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 31.0% | 29.5–32.5% | 29.1–33.0% | 28.8–33.3% | 28.1–34.0% |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36.0% | 33.4–38.9% | 32.6–39.6% | 32.0–40.3% | 30.7–41.7% |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.4% | 30.8–39.4% |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36.1% | 33.4–38.9% | 32.6–39.7% | 32.0–40.4% | 30.7–41.7% |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
35.9% | 33.2–38.7% | 32.5–39.5% | 31.8–40.2% | 30.6–41.6% |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
37.0% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.6–39.6% | 34.1–40.1% | 33.2–41.0% |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
37.0% | 34.8–39.2% | 34.2–39.9% | 33.7–40.4% | 32.7–41.5% |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36.9% | 34.2–39.8% | 33.5–40.6% | 32.8–41.2% | 31.5–42.6% |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
36.1% | 33.9–38.3% | 33.3–38.9% | 32.8–39.4% | 31.8–40.5% |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
37.0% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.6–39.6% | 34.1–40.1% | 33.2–41.0% |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
38.0% | 35.8–40.2% | 35.2–40.9% | 34.7–41.4% | 33.7–42.5% |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38.0% | 36.0–40.0% | 35.5–40.5% | 35.0–41.0% | 34.1–42.0% |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
38.0% | 36.2–39.9% | 35.6–40.5% | 35.2–40.9% | 34.3–41.9% |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
37.9% | 35.8–40.2% | 35.2–40.8% | 34.7–41.4% | 33.6–42.4% |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 37.0% | 34.8–39.2% | 34.2–39.9% | 33.7–40.4% | 32.7–41.5% |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38.0% | 36.1–40.0% | 35.5–40.6% | 35.0–41.1% | 34.1–42.0% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 38.1% | 36.1–40.1% | 35.5–40.7% | 35.0–41.2% | 34.1–42.2% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38.0% | 35.3–40.8% | 34.5–41.6% | 33.9–42.3% | 32.6–43.7% |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 37.7% | 35.8–39.7% | 35.2–40.3% | 34.7–40.8% | 33.8–41.7% |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
36.0% | 33.9–38.2% | 33.3–38.9% | 32.8–39.4% | 31.8–40.5% |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 38.0% | 35.3–40.8% | 34.5–41.6% | 33.9–42.3% | 32.6–43.7% |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
30.5% | 28.5–32.5% | 28.0–33.1% | 27.5–33.6% | 26.6–34.6% |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 34.0% | 32.4–35.6% | 32.0–36.0% | 31.6–36.4% | 30.9–37.2% |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–36.9% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 33.0% | 31.5–34.6% | 31.0–35.0% | 30.7–35.4% | 29.9–36.2% |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
33.7% | 31.6–35.8% | 31.0–36.5% | 30.5–37.0% | 29.5–38.0% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
32.0% | 29.9–34.2% | 29.4–34.8% | 28.9–35.3% | 27.9–36.4% |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
34.9% | 32.8–37.1% | 32.2–37.7% | 31.6–38.2% | 30.7–39.3% |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.4% | 30.8–39.4% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.4% | 30.8–39.4% |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.3% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
34.9% | 32.8–37.1% | 32.2–37.7% | 31.6–38.3% | 30.7–39.3% |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
34.0% | 32.7–35.4% | 32.3–35.8% | 31.9–36.1% | 31.3–36.8% |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.4% | 30.8–39.4% |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.9–37.4% |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 33.1% | 30.8–35.4% | 30.2–36.0% | 29.7–36.6% | 28.6–37.7% |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
33.0% | 31.5–34.6% | 31.0–35.0% | 30.7–35.4% | 29.9–36.2% |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.4–36.9% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.5% |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
33.0% | 30.9–35.1% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.3% |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34.0% | 31.4–36.8% | 30.6–37.6% | 30.0–38.2% | 28.8–39.6% |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
33.0% | 31.2–35.0% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.2–36.0% | 29.3–37.0% |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
34.0% | 31.8–36.4% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.6–37.6% | 29.5–38.7% |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.2–36.9% |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
33.0% | 31.2–35.0% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.2–36.0% | 29.3–37.0% |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.2–36.9% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
33.0% | 31.2–35.0% | 30.7–35.5% | 30.2–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
34.0% | 31.8–36.3% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.6–37.6% | 29.5–38.7% |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.9–37.4% |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.7% | 30.8–34.6% | 30.3–35.2% | 29.8–35.6% | 29.0–36.6% |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.4% | 29.8–38.4% |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–35.9% | 29.2–36.9% |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
34.0% | 31.8–36.4% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.6–37.6% | 29.5–38.7% |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
33.1% | 30.9–35.3% | 30.3–36.0% | 29.7–36.6% | 28.7–37.7% |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.1–33.9% | 29.6–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.3–35.9% |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
32.0% | 29.9–34.2% | 29.4–34.8% | 28.9–35.3% | 27.9–36.4% |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.2–34.0% | 29.7–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.4–35.9% |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
32.7% | 30.8–34.6% | 30.3–35.2% | 29.8–35.6% | 29.0–36.6% |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.2–34.0% | 29.7–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.3–35.9% |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
34.0% | 31.8–36.3% | 31.2–36.9% | 30.7–37.5% | 29.6–38.6% |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
33.0% | 30.8–35.3% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.6–36.6% | 28.6–37.7% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.1–33.9% | 29.6–34.5% | 29.2–34.9% | 28.3–35.9% |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
33.0% | 30.4–35.8% | 29.6–36.6% | 29.0–37.3% | 27.8–38.6% |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.2–34.0% | 29.7–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.4–35.9% |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
32.1% | 30.0–34.2% | 29.4–34.8% | 28.9–35.4% | 28.0–36.4% |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
31.0% | 28.8–33.2% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.7–34.4% | 26.7–35.6% |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
32.0% | 29.9–34.2% | 29.4–34.8% | 28.9–35.3% | 27.9–36.4% |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.2–34.0% | 29.7–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.4–35.9% |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
32.0% | 29.4–34.7% | 28.7–35.5% | 28.1–36.1% | 26.9–37.4% |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
32.0% | 30.7–33.3% | 30.3–33.7% | 30.0–34.0% | 29.4–34.7% |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
31.0% | 28.4–33.7% | 27.7–34.5% | 27.1–35.2% | 25.9–36.5% |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
33.0% | 30.9–35.1% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.3% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32.0% | 30.2–33.9% | 29.6–34.4% | 29.2–34.9% | 28.3–35.8% |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.4% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.8% |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
34.0% | 31.8–36.3% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.7–37.6% | 29.6–38.7% |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
32.9% | 30.7–35.2% | 30.0–35.8% | 29.5–36.4% | 28.5–37.5% |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
33.0% | 30.4–35.8% | 29.6–36.6% | 29.0–37.3% | 27.8–38.6% |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
31.0% | 29.1–32.9% | 28.6–33.4% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.8% |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.6–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
34.0% | 31.4–36.8% | 30.6–37.6% | 30.0–38.3% | 28.7–39.6% |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.4% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.4–34.8% |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
31.0% | 28.8–33.3% | 28.2–34.0% | 27.7–34.5% | 26.7–35.7% |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
33.0% | 30.9–35.2% | 30.3–35.8% | 29.8–36.3% | 28.8–37.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Österreichische Volkspartei.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 31.5–32.5% | 12% | 92% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 23% | 80% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 34.5–35.5% | 17% | 28% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 62 seats (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 64 | 60–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 54–72 |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
65 | 61–69 | 60–70 | 60–71 | 58–73 |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
64 | 61–68 | 60–69 | 59–70 | 57–72 |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
64 | 62–67 | 62–67 | 61–68 | 60–69 |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
64 | 61–68 | 60–69 | 59–70 | 57–72 |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
66 | 62–70 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 60 | 56–65 | 54–66 | 53–67 | 51–69 |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 64 | 62–66 | 61–66 | 61–67 | 60–68 |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
63 | 61–66 | 60–66 | 60–67 | 59–68 |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
67 | 65–70 | 64–70 | 63–71 | 62–72 |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 | 56–77 |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
66 | 64–68 | 64–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
64 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–71 | 56–72 |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
68 | 63–73 | 61–75 | 60–76 | 58–79 |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
64 | 60–68 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
66 | 64–69 | 64–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
68 | 63–73 | 61–75 | 60–76 | 58–79 |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
68 | 64–72 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–76 |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
67 | 61–72 | 60–74 | 58–75 | 56–78 |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
67 | 62–72 | 60–74 | 59–75 | 57–78 |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
66 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 60 | 57–63 | 56–64 | 56–64 | 54–65 |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
69 | 64–74 | 62–76 | 61–77 | 59–79 |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
66 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
68 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 60–76 | 58–79 |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
68 | 63–73 | 61–75 | 60–76 | 58–78 |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
70 | 66–74 | 65–75 | 65–76 | 63–78 |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
69 | 65–73 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 61–78 |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
70 | 65–75 | 63–77 | 62–78 | 60–80 |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
68 | 63–72 | 62–73 | 61–74 | 59–76 |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
71 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 65–77 | 64–79 |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
71 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 65–78 | 63–80 |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
73 | 69–76 | 68–78 | 67–78 | 65–80 |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
72 | 69–76 | 67–76 | 67–77 | 65–79 |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
71 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 65–77 | 63–79 |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 69 | 65–73 | 64–74 | 63–76 | 61–78 |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
73 | 69–76 | 68–77 | 67–78 | 65–80 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 71 | 68–75 | 67–76 | 66–77 | 64–79 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
72 | 67–78 | 65–79 | 64–80 | 61–83 |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 71 | 67–74 | 66–75 | 65–76 | 63–78 |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
68 | 64–72 | 63–74 | 62–74 | 60–77 |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 73 | 67–78 | 66–80 | 65–82 | 62–85 |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
58 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 64 | 61–67 | 61–68 | 60–69 | 59–71 |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–74 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–74 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
65 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 57–74 |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
65 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 57–74 |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 62 | 60–66 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 57–69 |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
67 | 62–69 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–75 |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–74 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
65 | 61–69 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 57–74 |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
62 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 55–70 |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 62–69 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 58–73 |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
56 | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 49–63 |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
64 | 60–68 | 58–69 | 58–70 | 56–72 |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 62–69 | 60–70 | 60–71 | 58–73 |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
63 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
60 | 56–65 | 55–66 | 55–67 | 53–69 |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
64 | 61–69 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–73 |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 62–70 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 61–69 | 60–70 | 60–71 | 58–72 |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
66 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–75 |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
67 | 62–70 | 61–72 | 60–72 | 58–75 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 62–69 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–74 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
66 | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–74 |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 62–69 | 60–70 | 60–72 | 58–73 |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
65 | 60–69 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
66 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 57–74 |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
65 | 62–67 | 61–68 | 61–69 | 60–70 |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
63 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 61–68 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–72 |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
66 | 63–71 | 61–72 | 60–74 | 58–76 |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
62 | 59–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 62–70 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
63 | 60–67 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 56–70 |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
67 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 63 | 58–67 | 57–69 | 56–71 | 54–73 |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
67 | 62–72 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 59–74 |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
63 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 59–68 | 57–70 |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
65 | 61–68 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
66 | 62–71 | 60–71 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
67 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
62 | 59–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–71 |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
66 | 60–71 | 58–73 | 57–75 | 54–78 |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
65 | 61–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–74 |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
63 | 59–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 61–69 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 57–74 |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
65 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–73 | 57–76 |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
62 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
65 | 61–69 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 57–74 |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
67 | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 58–77 |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
64 | 61–69 | 59–70 | 59–71 | 57–73 |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
64 | 60–68 | 58–70 | 57–71 | 55–73 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
67 | 61–71 | 60–73 | 60–74 | 57–77 |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
63 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–70 | 56–72 |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
67 | 62–73 | 61–75 | 59–76 | 57–78 |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
62 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–71 |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
62 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–72 |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
64 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–71 | 55–73 |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
65 | 61–68 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
63 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 57–70 | 55–72 |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
66 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–73 | 56–76 |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
64 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 55–72 |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
65 | 60–70 | 59–72 | 58–74 | 55–76 |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
61 | 57–65 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 53–70 |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
60 | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–67 | 52–69 |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
62 | 58–66 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–71 |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
63 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
63 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
65 | 60–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–75 |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
63 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 56–71 | 54–74 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
62 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 56–68 | 54–70 |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
64 | 58–68 | 56–70 | 56–72 | 53–74 |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
63 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 55–72 |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
62 | 57–67 | 56–68 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
60 | 55–64 | 54–66 | 53–66 | 51–69 |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
62 | 57–66 | 56–67 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
61 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
61 | 56–66 | 54–67 | 53–69 | 51–73 |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
64 | 61–66 | 61–67 | 60–68 | 59–69 |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
58 | 53–63 | 52–65 | 51–66 | 48–69 |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
64 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–70 | 56–73 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
62 | 59–66 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
60 | 56–64 | 54–65 | 54–66 | 52–68 |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
65 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 58–72 | 56–75 |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
62 | 57–66 | 57–67 | 55–69 | 54–72 |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
62 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–71 | 53–73 |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
60 | 55–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 52–68 |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
62 | 58–65 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 53–69 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
66 | 60–71 | 58–73 | 57–75 | 54–77 |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
61 | 57–65 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 53–69 |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
59 | 55–64 | 54–65 | 53–67 | 51–69 |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
64 | 60–69 | 58–70 | 57–71 | 55–74 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Österreichische Volkspartei.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 89% | |
| 62 | 11% | 82% | Last Result |
| 63 | 14% | 72% | |
| 64 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 65 | 15% | 43% | |
| 66 | 10% | 28% | |
| 67 | 7% | 18% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |