Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
Voting Intentions
Last result: 26.0% (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20.3% | 19.0–25.2% | 18.5–26.7% | 18.1–27.7% | 17.3–29.1% |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
20.0% | 19.1–21.0% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.8% |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 26.1% | 24.0–28.3% | 23.4–28.9% | 23.0–29.4% | 22.0–30.5% |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 20.0% | 19.1–21.0% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.6% | 18.0–22.2% |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
20.0% | 18.9–21.1% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.4–21.7% | 17.8–22.3% |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.3–22.0% | 15.8–22.6% | 14.9–23.8% |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
19.0% | 18.1–20.0% | 17.8–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
21.0% | 19.3–23.0% | 18.8–23.5% | 18.4–24.0% | 17.5–25.0% |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 17.9–22.5% | 17.3–23.2% | 16.8–23.8% | 15.8–25.0% |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
20.0% | 19.1–21.0% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19.8% | 17.7–22.3% | 17.1–23.0% | 16.6–23.6% | 15.6–24.8% |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.3–22.1% | 15.8–22.7% | 14.9–23.9% |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.3–22.0% | 15.8–22.6% | 14.8–23.8% |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
20.0% | 18.2–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.3–22.8% | 16.6–23.8% |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.4–24.8% |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 17.9–22.4% | 17.3–23.1% | 16.7–23.7% | 15.8–24.9% |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19.9% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.2–23.0% | 16.7–23.7% | 15.7–24.8% |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 17.9–22.5% | 17.3–23.2% | 16.8–23.8% | 15.8–25.0% |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 17.4–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
18.0% | 15.9–20.3% | 15.3–21.0% | 14.8–21.6% | 13.9–22.7% |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
20.0% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.7–22.4% | 17.3–22.9% | 16.5–23.8% |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17.0% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
18.0% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.2–21.2% |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
19.0% | 17.4–20.9% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.5–21.9% | 15.7–22.8% |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 19.0% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.0–21.2% | 16.6–21.6% | 15.9–22.4% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17.0% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% | 14.0–20.5% | 13.0–21.7% |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–23.9% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 18.0% | 15.9–20.4% | 15.4–21.0% | 14.9–21.6% | 13.9–22.8% |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
24.5% | 22.7–26.5% | 22.2–27.0% | 21.8–27.5% | 20.9–28.5% |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.3–24.9% |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.6% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.5–26.0% |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.3–26.9% |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.8% | 21.7–28.7% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
20.8% | 19.1–22.8% | 18.6–23.3% | 18.2–23.8% | 17.4–24.7% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.3–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.5% |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.3–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.5% |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
23.9% | 22.1–25.9% | 21.5–26.5% | 21.1–27.0% | 20.2–28.0% |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.6–27.6% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
23.5% | 22.3–24.8% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.7–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
25.0% | 23.1–27.1% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.2% | 21.3–29.1% |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.4% | 21.9–30.4% |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
23.5% | 22.2–25.0% | 21.8–25.4% | 21.4–25.8% | 20.8–26.5% |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
26.1% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.6–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.9% | 21.6–26.5% | 21.0–27.2% | 20.4–27.8% | 19.3–29.1% |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.3–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.5% |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
23.0% | 21.0–25.1% | 20.5–25.7% | 20.0–26.3% | 19.1–27.3% |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.6–27.6% |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.5–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
28.1% | 26.0–30.3% | 25.4–30.9% | 24.9–31.5% | 23.9–32.6% |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
25.1% | 23.2–27.1% | 22.6–27.7% | 22.2–28.2% | 21.3–29.2% |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.2–27.6% | 21.4–28.5% |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
25.0% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.9–28.3% | 21.0–29.4% |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
28.0% | 25.9–30.2% | 25.4–30.8% | 24.9–31.4% | 23.9–32.4% |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.4–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.5–26.8% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
25.7% | 24.0–27.6% | 23.5–28.1% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.4% |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
27.0% | 24.9–29.1% | 24.4–29.8% | 23.9–30.3% | 22.9–31.4% |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.4% | 21.9–30.5% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.5–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
24.0% | 21.7–26.6% | 21.0–27.3% | 20.5–27.9% | 19.4–29.2% |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
25.0% | 23.2–27.1% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.2–28.1% | 21.3–29.1% |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
29.0% | 26.9–31.3% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.8–32.4% | 24.8–33.5% |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 20.4–23.8% | 20.0–24.3% | 19.6–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
24.1% | 21.8–26.6% | 21.2–27.3% | 20.6–28.0% | 19.5–29.2% |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
25.0% | 23.8–26.2% | 23.5–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.5% |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.0–28.3% | 21.4–29.0% | 20.3–30.3% |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
24.0% | 22.2–26.0% | 21.7–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.4–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.6–26.7% | 20.8–27.6% |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
25.1% | 23.1–27.2% | 22.5–27.8% | 22.1–28.4% | 21.1–29.4% |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
26.0% | 23.9–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.3% | 21.9–30.4% |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
26.0% | 23.6–28.6% | 22.9–29.4% | 22.3–30.0% | 21.2–31.3% |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.5–29.7% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
25.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.0–28.3% | 21.4–29.0% | 20.3–30.3% |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.9–29.4% | 21.9–30.5% |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.1–29.2% | 22.2–30.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 19% | 95% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 32% | 76% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 20% | 44% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 7% | 24% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 17% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 14% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 12% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 6% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 51 seats (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 38 | 36–47 | 35–50 | 34–52 | 33–55 |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
38 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
40 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–46 |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
38 | 36–40 | 35–40 | 35–40 | 34–41 |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 32–44 |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 41–58 |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 37 | 36–39 | 35–40 | 35–40 | 34–41 |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
38 | 36–40 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
38 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36 | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–43 | 28–45 |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
36 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 33–39 | 32–39 |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
40 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 31–44 | 30–47 |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
40 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
38 | 36–40 | 35–40 | 35–40 | 34–41 |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–45 | 29–47 |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36 | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–43 | 28–45 |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36 | 32–41 | 31–42 | 30–43 | 28–45 |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 42 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 39–46 | 37–48 |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 32–45 | 30–47 |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 | 29–47 |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
38 | 34–42 | 32–44 | 31–45 | 30–47 |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
36 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 30–42 |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–46 |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–41 | 26–43 |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
34 | 32–37 | 30–39 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–39 |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
34 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 30–38 | 28–40 |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
35 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 29–43 |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–38 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
32 | 28–36 | 27–38 | 26–39 | 24–41 |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
40 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 34 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 26–44 |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
47 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 42 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 36–47 |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–49 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
45 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
42 | 39–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
42 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 45 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–51 |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
45 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
46 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–55 |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–50 | 39–52 |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
43 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 37–49 | 36–51 |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
39 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 32–46 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
47 | 43–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 35–49 |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 38–53 |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
40 | 36–43 | 35–45 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
45 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
42 | 38–45 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 34–50 |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
45 | 42–47 | 42–48 | 41–48 | 40–49 |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
42 | 38–45 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–49 |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 40–53 |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
45 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 38–54 |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
47 | 44–51 | 42–53 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
48 | 44–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–56 |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 49 | 45–53 | 43–55 | 43–56 | 41–58 |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–55 |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
45 | 42–48 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–53 | 40–56 |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
50 | 46–54 | 45–56 | 44–58 | 42–59 |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
45 | 42–49 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
44 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 41–51 | 40–53 | 39–54 | 36–57 |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
48 | 44–52 | 43–52 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
45 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–51 | 36–53 |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
43 | 40–47 | 39–49 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 44–50 | 43–52 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 41–53 | 39–54 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
55 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–62 | 46–64 |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–55 |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
48 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 41–57 |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–53 | 40–56 |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
48 | 44–51 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–56 |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
48 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 41–55 | 39–58 |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–55 |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
55 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 48–63 | 46–65 |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
49 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–54 |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
51 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 43–60 |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
50 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 44–56 | 42–59 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
46 | 41–50 | 40–52 | 39–53 | 37–56 |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 39–53 |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
48 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
56 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 49–63 | 47–65 |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
46 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 39–53 | 37–56 |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
50 | 47–52 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
46 | 43–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 38–57 |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–54 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 41–53 | 40–55 |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
46 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 41–52 | 39–53 |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
49 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 43–56 | 41–58 |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
49 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 42–57 | 40–60 |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
47 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
51 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 44–59 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
48 | 43–53 | 42–55 | 41–56 | 39–59 |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–61 |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
50 | 47–53 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 42–56 |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
51 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 45–57 | 43–59 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 10% | 92% | |
| 37 | 16% | 81% | |
| 38 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 48% | |
| 40 | 9% | 34% | |
| 41 | 5% | 25% | |
| 42 | 3% | 20% | |
| 43 | 2% | 17% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 47 | 2% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 2% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 52 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |