Opinion Poll by Market for Der Standard, 5–6 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 31.5% 37.9% 35.8–40.2% 35.2–40.8% 34.7–41.4% 33.6–42.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 26.9% 22.0% 20.2–24.0% 19.7–24.5% 19.3–25.0% 18.4–26.0%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 26.0% 19.0% 17.4–20.9% 16.9–21.4% 16.5–21.9% 15.7–22.8%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 3.8% 10.0% 8.8–11.5% 8.4–11.9% 8.1–12.3% 7.6–13.0%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 5.3% 9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.9% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
JETZT–Liste Pilz 4.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 71 67–75 66–76 65–77 63–79
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 41 38–45 37–46 36–47 34–48
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 51 35 32–39 31–40 31–41 29–43
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 0 18 16–21 15–22 15–23 14–24
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 10 17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
JETZT–Liste Pilz 8 0 0 0 0 0

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.5% 99.7%  
64 1.0% 99.2%  
65 2% 98%  
66 4% 96%  
67 5% 92%  
68 8% 87%  
69 10% 79%  
70 11% 69%  
71 13% 58% Median
72 13% 45%  
73 10% 32%  
74 8% 22%  
75 6% 14%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.3% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.1%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.4% 99.8%  
35 1.1% 99.4%  
36 3% 98%  
37 5% 96%  
38 8% 91%  
39 11% 83%  
40 14% 72%  
41 15% 58% Median
42 13% 43%  
43 11% 30%  
44 8% 19%  
45 5% 11%  
46 3% 6%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.8% 1.2%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.8%  
30 2% 99.2%  
31 4% 98%  
32 6% 94%  
33 10% 88%  
34 13% 78%  
35 15% 65% Median
36 14% 50%  
37 13% 35%  
38 9% 22%  
39 6% 13%  
40 4% 7%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.8% 1.3%  
43 0.3% 0.5%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Last Result

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 1.3% 99.7%  
15 4% 98%  
16 9% 95%  
17 15% 85%  
18 20% 70% Median
19 18% 50%  
20 15% 31%  
21 9% 17%  
22 5% 7%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.7% 1.0%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.1%  
14 8% 96%  
15 15% 88%  
16 21% 73%  
17 20% 53% Median
18 16% 33%  
19 10% 17%  
20 5% 8%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.6% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

JETZT–Liste Pilz

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 114 112 100% 108–116 107–117 106–119 104–120
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 106 100% 102–111 101–112 100–113 98–115
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 113 107 100% 102–111 101–112 100–113 98–115
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 62 90 29% 85–94 84–95 83–96 81–98
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 88 13% 84–92 82–93 81–94 79–96
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 62 76 0% 72–81 71–82 70–83 68–85
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 103 77 0% 72–81 71–82 70–83 68–85
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 71 0% 67–75 66–76 65–77 63–79
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 41 0% 38–45 37–46 36–47 34–48

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0.1% 100%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.6% 99.7%  
105 0.8% 99.0%  
106 2% 98%  
107 3% 96%  
108 6% 93%  
109 6% 87%  
110 11% 81%  
111 10% 70%  
112 14% 59% Median
113 11% 45%  
114 11% 35% Last Result
115 9% 24%  
116 6% 15%  
117 4% 9%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.4% 3%  
120 0.6% 1.1%  
121 0.3% 0.5%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100% Majority
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.2% 99.9%  
98 0.5% 99.7%  
99 0.9% 99.2%  
100 2% 98%  
101 3% 96%  
102 5% 93%  
103 7% 88%  
104 9% 81%  
105 11% 72%  
106 12% 61% Median
107 13% 49%  
108 11% 36%  
109 9% 26%  
110 6% 16%  
111 5% 10%  
112 3% 5%  
113 2% 3%  
114 0.7% 1.3%  
115 0.4% 0.6%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.2% 99.9%  
98 0.4% 99.7%  
99 0.8% 99.3%  
100 2% 98.6%  
101 3% 97%  
102 4% 94%  
103 6% 90%  
104 9% 83%  
105 11% 75%  
106 12% 63% Median
107 11% 51%  
108 11% 40%  
109 10% 29%  
110 7% 19%  
111 5% 12%  
112 3% 7%  
113 2% 4% Last Result
114 1.0% 2%  
115 0.4% 0.7%  
116 0.2% 0.3%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.8%  
82 0.8% 99.3%  
83 2% 98.6%  
84 3% 97%  
85 5% 94%  
86 7% 89%  
87 8% 83%  
88 11% 75%  
89 12% 64% Median
90 12% 52%  
91 11% 40%  
92 11% 29% Majority
93 6% 19%  
94 5% 12%  
95 3% 7%  
96 2% 4%  
97 0.9% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.9%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.4%  
81 1.4% 98.7%  
82 3% 97%  
83 4% 95%  
84 6% 90%  
85 8% 84%  
86 11% 76%  
87 12% 65%  
88 13% 54% Median
89 11% 41%  
90 10% 30%  
91 7% 20%  
92 6% 13% Majority
93 3% 8%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.0% 2%  
96 0.6% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 1.0% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 3% 96%  
72 5% 93%  
73 7% 88%  
74 10% 81%  
75 11% 71%  
76 11% 60% Median
77 12% 49%  
78 11% 37%  
79 9% 25%  
80 6% 17%  
81 4% 10%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.8% 1.4%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0.7% 99.4%  
70 2% 98.7%  
71 3% 97%  
72 5% 95%  
73 6% 90%  
74 9% 84%  
75 11% 74%  
76 13% 64% Median
77 12% 51%  
78 11% 39%  
79 9% 28%  
80 7% 19%  
81 5% 12%  
82 3% 7%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.5% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.5% 99.7%  
64 1.0% 99.2%  
65 2% 98%  
66 4% 96%  
67 5% 92%  
68 8% 87%  
69 10% 79%  
70 11% 69%  
71 13% 58% Median
72 13% 45%  
73 10% 32%  
74 8% 22%  
75 6% 14%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.3% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.1%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.4% 99.8%  
35 1.1% 99.4%  
36 3% 98%  
37 5% 96%  
38 8% 91%  
39 11% 83%  
40 14% 72%  
41 15% 58% Median
42 13% 43%  
43 11% 30%  
44 8% 19%  
45 5% 11%  
46 3% 6%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.8% 1.2%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations