Opinion Poll by Research Affairs for ÖSTERREICH, 14–20 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 31.5% 38.0% 36.0–40.0% 35.5–40.5% 35.0–41.0% 34.1–42.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 26.9% 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.8–26.6%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 26.0% 17.0% 15.6–18.7% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.2–20.3%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 3.8% 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 5.3% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
JETZT–Liste Pilz 4.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 73 69–76 68–78 67–78 65–80
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 44 41–47 40–48 39–49 38–51
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 51 32 30–35 29–36 28–37 27–39
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 0 19 17–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
JETZT–Liste Pilz 8 0 0 0 0 0

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 1.0% 99.4%  
67 2% 98%  
68 4% 96%  
69 6% 92%  
70 9% 86%  
71 13% 78%  
72 12% 65%  
73 14% 53% Median
74 13% 39%  
75 10% 27%  
76 7% 17%  
77 5% 10%  
78 3% 5%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 1.0% 99.6%  
39 2% 98.6%  
40 5% 96%  
41 8% 91%  
42 11% 83%  
43 14% 71%  
44 16% 57% Median
45 14% 41%  
46 11% 27%  
47 8% 16%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.0% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.6%  
52 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.9% 99.7%  
28 2% 98.8%  
29 6% 96%  
30 10% 90%  
31 15% 80%  
32 17% 66% Median
33 17% 49%  
34 14% 32%  
35 9% 18%  
36 5% 9%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.1% 2%  
39 0.3% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Last Result

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.5%  
16 7% 97%  
17 14% 90%  
18 20% 76%  
19 21% 56% Median
20 17% 35%  
21 10% 18%  
22 5% 8%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 1.0% 99.9%  
12 5% 98.8%  
13 11% 94%  
14 21% 83%  
15 24% 61% Median
16 18% 37%  
17 12% 19%  
18 5% 7%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

JETZT–Liste Pilz

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 114 117 100% 113–120 112–121 111–122 109–124
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 107 100% 103–110 102–111 101–112 99–114
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 113 105 100% 101–109 100–110 99–111 97–113
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 62 92 51% 88–95 87–97 86–97 84–99
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 88 10% 84–92 83–93 82–94 80–95
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 62 78 0% 74–82 73–83 72–84 70–86
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 103 76 0% 73–80 72–81 71–82 69–84
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 73 0% 69–76 68–78 67–78 65–80
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 44 0% 41–47 40–48 39–49 38–51

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0.1% 100%  
108 0.2% 99.9%  
109 0.4% 99.7%  
110 1.0% 99.3%  
111 2% 98%  
112 4% 96%  
113 6% 92%  
114 9% 86% Last Result
115 12% 77%  
116 13% 65%  
117 13% 53% Median
118 13% 39%  
119 10% 26%  
120 7% 16%  
121 5% 9%  
122 2% 4%  
123 1.3% 2%  
124 0.5% 0.8%  
125 0.2% 0.3%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100% Majority
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.2% 99.9%  
99 0.5% 99.7%  
100 1.1% 99.1%  
101 2% 98%  
102 4% 96%  
103 6% 92%  
104 10% 85%  
105 11% 76%  
106 13% 64%  
107 13% 51% Median
108 12% 38%  
109 9% 26%  
110 7% 16%  
111 4% 9%  
112 3% 5%  
113 1.2% 2%  
114 0.6% 0.9%  
115 0.2% 0.3%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.3% 99.8%  
98 0.7% 99.5%  
99 2% 98.8%  
100 3% 97%  
101 5% 94%  
102 7% 89%  
103 10% 82%  
104 12% 71%  
105 14% 59% Median
106 13% 46%  
107 11% 33%  
108 8% 22%  
109 6% 13%  
110 3% 7%  
111 2% 3%  
112 0.9% 2%  
113 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.6% 99.7%  
85 1.2% 99.1%  
86 2% 98%  
87 5% 96%  
88 6% 91%  
89 10% 85%  
90 11% 75%  
91 13% 64%  
92 13% 51% Median, Majority
93 12% 38%  
94 10% 26%  
95 6% 16%  
96 4% 10%  
97 3% 5%  
98 1.3% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.0%  
100 0.3% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.5% 99.7%  
81 1.1% 99.2%  
82 2% 98%  
83 4% 96%  
84 6% 92%  
85 8% 86%  
86 13% 78%  
87 12% 65%  
88 14% 53% Median
89 12% 39%  
90 10% 28%  
91 8% 18%  
92 5% 10% Majority
93 3% 6%  
94 1.4% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.2%  
96 0.3% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.9% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 6% 93%  
75 8% 87%  
76 11% 78%  
77 13% 67%  
78 14% 54% Median
79 12% 40%  
80 10% 28%  
81 7% 18%  
82 5% 11%  
83 3% 6%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.7% 1.2%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.7%  
70 1.2% 99.1%  
71 3% 98%  
72 4% 95%  
73 7% 91%  
74 9% 84%  
75 12% 74%  
76 13% 62% Median
77 13% 49%  
78 11% 36%  
79 10% 24%  
80 6% 15%  
81 4% 8%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.5% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 1.0% 99.4%  
67 2% 98%  
68 4% 96%  
69 6% 92%  
70 9% 86%  
71 13% 78%  
72 12% 65%  
73 14% 53% Median
74 13% 39%  
75 10% 27%  
76 7% 17%  
77 5% 10%  
78 3% 5%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 1.0% 99.6%  
39 2% 98.6%  
40 5% 96%  
41 8% 91%  
42 11% 83%  
43 14% 71%  
44 16% 57% Median
45 14% 41%  
46 11% 27%  
47 8% 16%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.0% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.6%  
52 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations