Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 19–22 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 31.5% 36.0% 33.9–38.2% 33.3–38.9% 32.7–39.4% 31.7–40.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 26.9% 20.0% 18.3–21.9% 17.8–22.5% 17.4–22.9% 16.6–23.9%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 26.0% 20.0% 18.3–21.9% 17.8–22.5% 17.4–22.9% 16.6–23.9%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 3.8% 12.0% 10.6–13.6% 10.2–14.1% 9.9–14.4% 9.3–15.2%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 5.3% 9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
JETZT–Liste Pilz 4.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 68 64–72 63–73 62–74 60–76
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 38 34–41 33–42 33–43 31–45
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 51 38 34–41 33–42 33–43 31–45
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 0 22 20–25 19–26 19–27 17–29
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 10 17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
JETZT–Liste Pilz 8 0 0 0 0 0

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.5% 99.7%  
61 1.1% 99.2%  
62 2% 98% Last Result
63 4% 96%  
64 5% 92%  
65 8% 87%  
66 10% 79%  
67 12% 70%  
68 13% 58% Median
69 11% 45%  
70 10% 34%  
71 8% 23%  
72 6% 15%  
73 4% 9%  
74 2% 5%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.7% 1.2%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.2%  
33 3% 98%  
34 6% 95%  
35 9% 89%  
36 12% 80%  
37 14% 67%  
38 15% 54% Median
39 14% 39%  
40 10% 25%  
41 7% 15%  
42 4% 8%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.1% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.8%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.2%  
33 3% 98%  
34 5% 95%  
35 9% 89%  
36 13% 80%  
37 15% 67%  
38 15% 52% Median
39 13% 37%  
40 9% 24%  
41 6% 15%  
42 5% 9%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.0% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.7%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Last Result

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.8%  
18 2% 99.3%  
19 5% 98%  
20 11% 92%  
21 15% 81%  
22 17% 66% Median
23 16% 50%  
24 15% 33%  
25 10% 19%  
26 5% 9%  
27 2% 4%  
28 0.9% 1.5%  
29 0.3% 0.5%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.2%  
14 8% 96%  
15 14% 89%  
16 19% 75%  
17 21% 56% Median
18 16% 35%  
19 11% 20%  
20 5% 9%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.8% 1.1%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

JETZT–Liste Pilz

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 108 100% 103–112 102–113 101–114 99–116
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 113 106 100% 102–110 100–111 99–112 97–114
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 114 106 100% 102–110 100–111 99–112 97–114
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 62 91 40% 86–95 85–96 84–97 82–99
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 85 3% 81–89 80–90 78–92 76–94
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 62 77 0% 73–81 72–83 71–84 69–86
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 103 75 0% 71–80 70–81 69–82 67–84
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 68 0% 64–72 63–73 62–74 60–76
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 52 60 0% 56–64 55–65 54–66 53–69
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 38 0% 34–41 33–42 33–43 31–45

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100% Majority
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.2% 99.9%  
99 0.4% 99.7%  
100 0.9% 99.2%  
101 2% 98%  
102 3% 97%  
103 5% 94%  
104 7% 89%  
105 8% 82%  
106 11% 74%  
107 11% 62% Median
108 13% 51%  
109 11% 38%  
110 9% 27%  
111 7% 18%  
112 5% 11%  
113 3% 6%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.9% 2%  
116 0.4% 0.7%  
117 0.2% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.4% 99.8%  
98 0.6% 99.4%  
99 1.3% 98.8%  
100 3% 97%  
101 3% 95%  
102 8% 91%  
103 7% 84%  
104 11% 77%  
105 12% 66%  
106 11% 54% Median
107 12% 43%  
108 10% 31%  
109 8% 21%  
110 6% 14%  
111 4% 8%  
112 2% 4%  
113 1.2% 2% Last Result
114 0.5% 0.9%  
115 0.2% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.3% 99.8%  
98 0.7% 99.4%  
99 1.4% 98.7%  
100 3% 97%  
101 4% 95%  
102 6% 91%  
103 8% 85%  
104 10% 77%  
105 12% 67%  
106 13% 55% Median
107 11% 43%  
108 10% 31%  
109 7% 21%  
110 6% 14%  
111 3% 8%  
112 2% 4%  
113 1.2% 2%  
114 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
115 0.3% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 99.7%  
83 0.9% 99.3%  
84 2% 98%  
85 3% 97%  
86 4% 94%  
87 6% 89%  
88 8% 83%  
89 11% 75%  
90 12% 64% Median
91 12% 52%  
92 12% 40% Majority
93 9% 28%  
94 7% 20%  
95 5% 13%  
96 3% 7%  
97 2% 4%  
98 1.0% 2%  
99 0.5% 0.9%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8%  
77 0.7% 99.5%  
78 1.4% 98.8%  
79 2% 97%  
80 4% 95%  
81 5% 91%  
82 8% 86%  
83 11% 78%  
84 11% 67%  
85 13% 55% Median
86 10% 43%  
87 10% 33%  
88 8% 23%  
89 6% 15%  
90 4% 8%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.4% 3% Majority
93 0.7% 1.2%  
94 0.3% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.6%  
70 1.2% 99.1%  
71 2% 98%  
72 4% 96%  
73 6% 92%  
74 8% 86%  
75 10% 79%  
76 12% 69%  
77 11% 57% Median
78 12% 46%  
79 11% 34%  
80 7% 23%  
81 8% 16%  
82 3% 9%  
83 3% 5%  
84 1.3% 3%  
85 0.6% 1.2%  
86 0.4% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.9% 99.3%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 5% 94%  
72 7% 89%  
73 9% 82%  
74 11% 73%  
75 13% 62%  
76 11% 49% Median
77 11% 38%  
78 8% 26%  
79 7% 18%  
80 5% 11%  
81 3% 6%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.5% 99.7%  
61 1.1% 99.2%  
62 2% 98% Last Result
63 4% 96%  
64 5% 92%  
65 8% 87%  
66 10% 79%  
67 12% 70%  
68 13% 58% Median
69 11% 45%  
70 10% 34%  
71 8% 23%  
72 6% 15%  
73 4% 9%  
74 2% 5%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.7% 1.2%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
53 0.8% 99.5%  
54 2% 98.7%  
55 3% 97%  
56 5% 94%  
57 8% 89%  
58 10% 81%  
59 11% 70%  
60 13% 60% Median
61 11% 47%  
62 11% 36%  
63 9% 24%  
64 6% 15%  
65 4% 9%  
66 2% 5%  
67 1.1% 2%  
68 0.7% 1.2%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.2%  
33 3% 98%  
34 6% 95%  
35 9% 89%  
36 12% 80%  
37 14% 67%  
38 15% 54% Median
39 14% 39%  
40 10% 25%  
41 7% 15%  
42 4% 8%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.1% 2%  
45 0.5% 0.8%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations