Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 2–13 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 31.5% 33.0% 31.8–34.3% 31.5–34.6% 31.2–34.9% 30.6–35.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 26.9% 22.0% 20.9–23.1% 20.6–23.4% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 26.0% 20.0% 19.0–21.1% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.6% 18.0–22.2%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 3.8% 13.0% 12.1–13.9% 11.9–14.2% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 5.3% 8.0% 7.3–8.7% 7.1–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5%
JETZT–Liste Pilz 4.4% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 63 61–66 60–66 60–67 59–68
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 42 40–44 39–45 39–45 38–46
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 51 38 36–40 36–41 35–41 34–42
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 0 25 23–26 22–27 22–27 21–28
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 10 15 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
JETZT–Liste Pilz 8 0 0 0 0 0

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.9%  
59 2% 99.6%  
60 4% 98%  
61 11% 94%  
62 17% 83% Last Result
63 22% 66% Median
64 18% 44%  
65 16% 26%  
66 7% 11%  
67 3% 4%  
68 0.9% 1.2%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 1.2% 99.8%  
39 5% 98.5%  
40 12% 94%  
41 21% 82%  
42 24% 61% Median
43 19% 37%  
44 11% 18%  
45 5% 6%  
46 1.4% 2%  
47 0.3% 0.3%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.9% 99.9%  
35 3% 99.0%  
36 11% 96%  
37 20% 85%  
38 24% 65% Median
39 22% 40%  
40 12% 19%  
41 5% 7%  
42 1.4% 2%  
43 0.3% 0.3%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0% Last Result

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.7% 100%  
22 4% 99.3%  
23 15% 95%  
24 26% 80%  
25 29% 54% Median
26 17% 25%  
27 6% 8%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.7% 100%  
13 7% 99.3%  
14 26% 93%  
15 36% 67% Median
16 23% 31%  
17 7% 9%  
18 1.1% 1.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

JETZT–Liste Pilz

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 114 105 100% 103–108 102–108 101–109 100–110
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 103 100% 100–105 100–106 99–107 98–108
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 113 101 100% 99–104 98–105 98–105 96–106
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 62 88 3% 85–90 85–91 84–92 83–93
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 62 82 0% 79–84 78–85 78–85 77–87
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 103 80 0% 78–83 77–83 76–84 75–85
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 72 78 0% 76–81 75–81 75–82 73–83
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 52 67 0% 64–69 64–70 63–70 62–71
Österreichische Volkspartei 62 63 0% 61–66 60–66 60–67 59–68
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 52 42 0% 40–44 39–45 39–45 38–46

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0.1% 100%  
100 0.6% 99.8%  
101 2% 99.3%  
102 5% 97%  
103 10% 92%  
104 17% 82%  
105 20% 65% Median
106 20% 45%  
107 14% 26%  
108 7% 12%  
109 3% 5%  
110 1.0% 1.3%  
111 0.3% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100% Last Result
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100% Majority
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0.2% 100%  
98 0.9% 99.7%  
99 3% 98.8%  
100 7% 96%  
101 13% 89%  
102 18% 77%  
103 21% 58% Median
104 18% 38%  
105 11% 20%  
106 6% 9%  
107 2% 3%  
108 0.7% 0.8%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.5% 99.9%  
97 2% 99.4%  
98 5% 98%  
99 10% 93%  
100 15% 83%  
101 20% 68% Median
102 18% 47%  
103 15% 29%  
104 9% 14%  
105 4% 5%  
106 1.1% 2%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 100%  
83 0.9% 99.7%  
84 3% 98.8%  
85 7% 96%  
86 12% 89%  
87 18% 77%  
88 20% 58% Median
89 18% 38%  
90 11% 20%  
91 6% 9%  
92 2% 3% Majority
93 0.7% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 99.6%  
78 4% 98%  
79 9% 95%  
80 15% 86%  
81 18% 71%  
82 20% 53% Median
83 15% 32%  
84 10% 17%  
85 5% 7%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.5% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.7% 99.8%  
76 2% 99.2%  
77 6% 97%  
78 11% 91%  
79 18% 80%  
80 21% 62% Median
81 18% 42%  
82 13% 23%  
83 7% 11%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.9% 1.2%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100% Last Result
73 0.5% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.3%  
75 5% 98%  
76 11% 93%  
77 17% 82%  
78 20% 65% Median
79 19% 45%  
80 14% 26%  
81 7% 12%  
82 3% 5%  
83 1.2% 1.5%  
84 0.3% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100% Last Result
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.3% 100%  
62 1.0% 99.7%  
63 4% 98.7%  
64 8% 95%  
65 15% 87%  
66 20% 72%  
67 21% 52% Median
68 16% 32%  
69 9% 16%  
70 5% 6%  
71 1.5% 2%  
72 0.4% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.9%  
59 2% 99.6%  
60 4% 98%  
61 11% 94%  
62 17% 83% Last Result
63 22% 66% Median
64 18% 44%  
65 16% 26%  
66 7% 11%  
67 3% 4%  
68 0.9% 1.2%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 1.2% 99.8%  
39 5% 98.5%  
40 12% 94%  
41 21% 82%  
42 24% 61% Median
43 19% 37%  
44 11% 18%  
45 5% 6%  
46 1.4% 2%  
47 0.3% 0.3%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations