Opinion Poll by iVox for Sudpresse, 16–17 February 2017

Areas included: Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
PS 11.7% 21.3% 19.7–23.0% 19.2–23.5% 18.9–23.9% 18.1–24.8%
MR 9.6% 20.7% 19.1–22.4% 18.7–22.9% 18.3–23.3% 17.6–24.1%
PTB 2.0% 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.5% 15.2–19.9% 14.5–20.6%
Ecolo 3.3% 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
cdH 5.0% 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.9–12.8%
Parti Populaire 1.5% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
DéFI 1.8% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
PS 23 12 12–14 12–14 11–15 10–15
MR 20 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–14
PTB 2 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
Ecolo 6 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
cdH 9 4 4–6 4–7 3–7 3–7
Parti Populaire 1 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
DéFI 2 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–3

PS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.1%  
12 61% 97% Median
13 19% 35%  
14 13% 16%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

MR

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.9%  
11 10% 98.8%  
12 24% 89%  
13 45% 65% Median
14 20% 20%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

PTB

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.7% 100%  
8 35% 99.3%  
9 35% 65% Median
10 29% 30%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.0% 100%  
6 22% 99.0% Last Result
7 51% 77% Median
8 18% 26%  
9 7% 8%  
10 0.7% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

cdH

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 3% 100%  
4 62% 97% Median
5 18% 35%  
6 8% 17%  
7 8% 9%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Populaire

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
2 94% 99.3% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 5% 7%  
2 0.6% 2% Last Result
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:———:|:———–:|:——:|:———:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|:———————–:|

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations