Ecolo

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 3.3% (General Election of 25 May 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.0% 6.7–7.1% 6.6–7.2% 6.5–7.2% 6.4–7.2%
6–14 May 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 7.6% 6.6–7.0% 6.5–7.0% 6.5–7.0% 6.3–7.0%
25 March–14 April 2019 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 8.6% 7.6–8.0% 7.5–8.0% 7.4–8.0% 7.2–8.0%
5–11 February 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 6.8% 5.9–6.3% 5.9–6.3% 5.8–6.3% 5.6–6.3%
13–17 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Nieuwsblad		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 November–8 December 2018 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 7.7% 6.8–7.2% 6.7–7.2% 6.7–7.2% 6.5–7.2%
27 November–3 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 5.6% 4.9–5.2% 4.8–5.2% 4.7–5.2% 4.6–5.2%
20–27 September 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 4.5% 3.7–4.0% 3.7–4.0% 3.6–4.0% 3.5–4.0%
29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 5.1% 4.3–4.6% 4.2–4.6% 4.1–4.6% 4.0–4.6%
26 February–17 March 2018 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 6.7% 5.9–6.2% 5.8–6.2% 5.7–6.2% 5.5–6.2%
27 February–6 March 2018 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 5.4% 4.6–4.9% 4.5–5.0% 4.5–5.0% 4.3–5.0%
27 November–4 December 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 4.5% 3.8–4.0% 3.7–4.0% 3.6–4.0% 3.5–4.1%
11 September–5 October 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 7.2% 6.3–6.6% 6.2–6.6% 6.1–6.6% 6.0–6.6%
25 August–3 September 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 4.8% 4.0–4.3% 4.0–4.3% 3.9–4.4% 3.7–4.4%
23–27 June 2017 Dedicated
MR		 4.5% 3.5–3.9% 3.5–3.9% 3.4–3.9% 3.2–3.9%
27 March–11 April 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 March 2017 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 1.5% 1.3–1.4% 1.3–1.4% 1.2–1.4% 1.2–1.4%
16–17 February 2017 iVox
Sudpresse		 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
10–17 January 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 4.4% 3.7–4.0% 3.6–4.0% 3.6–4.0% 3.4–4.0%
24–28 November 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 1.5% 1.2–1.4% 1.2–1.4% 1.2–1.4% 1.1–1.4%
14 September–3 October 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–25 September 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 3.0% 2.4–2.7% 2.4–2.7% 2.3–2.7% 2.2–2.7%
2–6 September 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 3.9% 3.1–3.4% 3.0–3.4% 3.0–3.4% 2.8–3.4%
6–12 May 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 3.7% 3.1–3.3% 3.0–3.4% 2.9–3.4% 2.8–3.4%
31 March–4 April 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 4.2% 3.5–3.8% 3.5–3.8% 3.4–3.8% 3.3–3.8%
22 February–9 March 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–20 January 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 3.4% 2.8–3.1% 2.7–3.1% 2.7–3.1% 2.6–3.1%
3–7 December 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 3.2% 2.7–3.2% 2.6–3.2% 2.5–3.2% 2.3–3.2%
28 September–4 October 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 3.0% 2.6–3.0% 2.5–3.1% 2.4–3.1% 2.3–3.1%
22 September–2 October 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 September 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 3.0% 2.5–3.1% 2.4–3.1% 2.3–3.1% 2.1–3.1%
12–18 May 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 3.0% 2.5–3.0% 2.4–3.0% 2.3–3.1% 2.1–3.1%
5 March–9 May 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 April–3 May 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–24 April 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 3.0% 2.6–3.1% 2.5–3.1% 2.4–3.1% 2.3–3.1%
5–9 March 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 3.4% 2.7–2.9% 2.6–3.0% 2.5–3.0% 2.4–3.0%
23–28 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 2.8% 2.4–2.8% 2.3–2.9% 2.2–2.9% 2.1–2.9%
5–11 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 2.6% 2.2–2.6% 2.1–2.6% 2.0–2.7% 1.9–2.7%
4–5 December 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 November–1 December 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 2.7% 2.2–2.7% 2.1–2.8% 2.0–2.8% 1.9–2.8%
9–10 October 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 September–3 October 2014 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 September 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 2.8% 2.3–2.9% 2.2–2.9% 2.1–2.9% 2.0–2.9%
1–31 July 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ecolo.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100% Last Result
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 3% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 100% 97% Median
7.5–8.5% 100% 0%  
8.5–9.5% 100% 0%  
9.5–10.5% 7% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 6 seats (General Election of 25 May 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 16 14–18 13–18 13–18 12–19
6–14 May 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 13–17 13–17 12–17 12–17
25 March–14 April 2019 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 17 16–18 16–18 15–18 15–19
5–11 February 2019 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 13–16 13–17 12–17 11–17
13–17 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Nieuwsblad		          
19 November–8 December 2018 TNS
De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT		 15 14–16 14–16 13–17 13–17
27 November–3 December 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
20–27 September 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8 7–9 7–10 6–10 5–11
29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
26 February–17 March 2018 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 13 11–15 11–15 11–15 10–16
27 February–6 March 2018 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 10 10–11 10–11 9–12 9–13
27 November–4 December 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 9 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
11 September–5 October 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 14 13–16 12–16 12–16 11–17
25 August–3 September 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
23–27 June 2017 Dedicated
MR		 8 7–9 6–10 5–10 5–10
27 March–11 April 2017 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		          
16–20 March 2017 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
16–17 February 2017 iVox
Sudpresse		 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
10–17 January 2017 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 8 7–9 7–9 6–10 6–10
24–28 November 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
14 September–3 October 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		          
19–25 September 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 5 4–6 3–6 3–6 3–7
2–6 September 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 4–10
6–12 May 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 7 5–8 5–8 4–8 4–8
31 March–4 April 2016 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 7 7–8 6–8 6–9 6–9
22 February–9 March 2016 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		          
15–20 January 2016 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 6 5–7 5–7 5–8 4–8
3–7 December 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 4 3–5 3–5 2–6 2–6
28 September–4 October 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 5 4–5 3–6 3–6 2–6
22 September–2 October 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		          
9–14 September 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 4 3–5 2–5 2–6 1–6
12–18 May 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 4 2–5 2–5 1–6 1–6
5 March–9 May 2015 Dedicated
La Libre Belgique–RTBf		 2 2 2 2 2
20 April–3 May 2015 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		          
20–24 April 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 4 3–5 2–5 2–6 2–6
5–9 March 2015 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 5 4–7 3–7 3–7 3–8
23–28 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 4 2–5 2–5 2–5 1–6
5–11 January 2015 Ipsos
RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws		 3 2–5 1–5 1–5 1–5
4–5 December 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		          
27 November–1 December 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 4 1–5 1–5 1–5 1–6
9–10 October 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		          
22 September–3 October 2014 TNS
De Standaard–VRT		          
5–9 September 2014 Dedicated
RTBf–La Libre Belgique		 4 1–4 1–5 1–5 1–5
1–31 July 2014 AQ Rate
Het Laatste Nieuws		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ecolo.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 5% 98%  
14 8% 93%  
15 14% 85%  
16 30% 71% Median
17 28% 41%  
18 13% 13%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0% 0%