Opinion Poll by BMG Research, 9–12 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 40.0% 41.0% 39.4–42.6% 38.9–43.1% 38.5–43.5% 37.8–44.3%
Conservative Party 42.4% 40.0% 38.4–41.6% 37.9–42.1% 37.5–42.5% 36.8–43.3%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 262 292 262–316 256–321 249–326 239–335
Conservative Party 317 287 268–313 263–320 258–328 250–337
Liberal Democrats 12 16 13–20 12–22 9–24 6–26
UK Independence Party 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 29 9–48 7–51 4–52 2–54
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–7 4–8 3–8

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.2% 99.6%  
240 0.2% 99.3%  
241 0.2% 99.2%  
242 0.1% 98.9%  
243 0.2% 98.9%  
244 0.1% 98.7%  
245 0.2% 98.6%  
246 0.3% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.5% 97%  
251 0.3% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0.4% 96%  
254 0.3% 96%  
255 0.5% 96%  
256 0.6% 95%  
257 0.4% 95%  
258 1.1% 94%  
259 0.7% 93%  
260 0.8% 93%  
261 0.8% 92%  
262 1.2% 91% Last Result
263 0.8% 90%  
264 0.8% 89%  
265 0.8% 88%  
266 0.6% 87%  
267 1.3% 87%  
268 0.9% 85%  
269 0.5% 85%  
270 0.3% 84%  
271 1.3% 84%  
272 2% 83%  
273 1.2% 81%  
274 1.2% 79%  
275 1.1% 78%  
276 1.0% 77%  
277 1.3% 76%  
278 3% 75%  
279 2% 72%  
280 0.7% 70%  
281 1.1% 69%  
282 0.9% 68%  
283 2% 67%  
284 3% 65%  
285 2% 62%  
286 1.5% 60%  
287 2% 58%  
288 1.1% 57%  
289 1.4% 56%  
290 2% 54%  
291 1.5% 52%  
292 3% 51% Median
293 2% 47%  
294 2% 46%  
295 2% 44%  
296 2% 42%  
297 3% 40%  
298 2% 37%  
299 1.0% 35%  
300 3% 34%  
301 3% 31%  
302 2% 29%  
303 1.4% 27%  
304 1.2% 26%  
305 2% 24%  
306 1.2% 22%  
307 2% 21%  
308 0.7% 19%  
309 2% 18%  
310 1.1% 16%  
311 1.3% 15%  
312 1.0% 14%  
313 1.1% 13%  
314 0.8% 12%  
315 0.4% 11%  
316 2% 11%  
317 0.8% 9%  
318 0.7% 8%  
319 0.4% 7%  
320 2% 7%  
321 0.7% 6%  
322 0.5% 5%  
323 0.9% 4%  
324 0.1% 3%  
325 0.5% 3%  
326 0.3% 3% Majority
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.3% 2%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.2% 1.5%  
331 0.2% 1.3%  
332 0.1% 1.1%  
333 0.1% 1.0%  
334 0.2% 0.9%  
335 0.2% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0.1% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.8%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.2% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.4%  
252 0.1% 99.3%  
253 0.1% 99.2%  
254 0.2% 99.1%  
255 0.3% 98.9%  
256 0.5% 98.5%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.3% 98%  
259 0.3% 97%  
260 0.5% 97%  
261 0.6% 97%  
262 0.6% 96%  
263 0.7% 95%  
264 0.9% 95%  
265 1.1% 94%  
266 0.9% 93%  
267 1.1% 92%  
268 1.3% 90%  
269 2% 89%  
270 1.3% 87%  
271 2% 85%  
272 2% 83%  
273 1.4% 81%  
274 3% 80%  
275 1.1% 77%  
276 1.2% 75%  
277 2% 74%  
278 4% 72%  
279 3% 68%  
280 4% 66%  
281 3% 62%  
282 0.9% 59%  
283 2% 58%  
284 0.9% 57%  
285 3% 56%  
286 2% 53%  
287 2% 51% Median
288 2% 49%  
289 4% 47%  
290 0.9% 43%  
291 2% 42%  
292 3% 41%  
293 2% 37%  
294 0.7% 35%  
295 0.7% 35%  
296 2% 34%  
297 2% 32%  
298 2% 30%  
299 3% 28%  
300 0.6% 25%  
301 2% 24%  
302 2% 23%  
303 0.6% 21%  
304 1.4% 20%  
305 1.4% 19%  
306 1.1% 18%  
307 0.3% 17%  
308 2% 16%  
309 1.0% 15%  
310 1.2% 14%  
311 1.1% 13%  
312 0.5% 12%  
313 1.3% 11%  
314 1.3% 10%  
315 0.6% 8%  
316 0.5% 8%  
317 0.6% 7% Last Result
318 0.7% 7%  
319 0.5% 6%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.3% 5%  
322 0.2% 5%  
323 0.4% 5%  
324 0.2% 4%  
325 0.6% 4%  
326 0.5% 3% Majority
327 0.1% 3%  
328 0.5% 3%  
329 0.5% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.2% 1.5%  
332 0.2% 1.3%  
333 0.1% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 1.0%  
335 0.2% 0.9%  
336 0.1% 0.7%  
337 0.2% 0.6%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100%  
5 0.2% 99.9%  
6 0.4% 99.7%  
7 0.2% 99.3%  
8 0.9% 99.1%  
9 0.8% 98%  
10 0.7% 97%  
11 1.4% 97%  
12 3% 95% Last Result
13 3% 92%  
14 9% 89%  
15 18% 80%  
16 22% 62% Median
17 11% 40%  
18 5% 29%  
19 8% 24%  
20 8% 16%  
21 1.3% 8%  
22 2% 7%  
23 1.4% 5%  
24 1.3% 3%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.6%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.9%  
2 1.2% 99.8%  
3 0.7% 98.5%  
4 0.4% 98%  
5 0.4% 97%  
6 1.2% 97%  
7 2% 96%  
8 2% 94%  
9 5% 92%  
10 0.7% 88%  
11 0.2% 87%  
12 0.6% 87%  
13 2% 86%  
14 1.0% 84%  
15 0.4% 83%  
16 0.6% 82%  
17 1.5% 82%  
18 0.5% 80%  
19 1.4% 80%  
20 1.2% 78%  
21 0.8% 77%  
22 1.2% 76%  
23 2% 75%  
24 4% 73%  
25 1.1% 70%  
26 9% 68%  
27 3% 60%  
28 7% 57%  
29 4% 50% Median
30 2% 46%  
31 0.3% 44%  
32 2% 44%  
33 1.1% 42%  
34 0.6% 41%  
35 2% 40% Last Result
36 1.5% 39%  
37 1.2% 37%  
38 3% 36%  
39 4% 33%  
40 4% 29%  
41 2% 25%  
42 2% 23%  
43 1.2% 21%  
44 3% 20%  
45 2% 17%  
46 2% 15%  
47 2% 13%  
48 3% 11%  
49 1.0% 8%  
50 1.3% 7%  
51 2% 6%  
52 0.9% 3%  
53 1.1% 2%  
54 0.8% 1.2%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.4% 99.9%  
3 0.9% 99.5%  
4 13% 98.6% Last Result
5 78% 86% Median
6 3% 8%  
7 0.8% 5%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 343 81% 317–362 310–367 302–372 293–380
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 338 75% 312–357 304–362 297–367 288–375
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 322 44% 297–352 292–359 287–365 277–377
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 317 35% 292–347 287–354 283–360 272–372
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 327 53% 302–346 294–350 287–354 278–362
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 322 44% 297–341 289–345 282–350 273–357
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 313 25% 283–338 276–344 270–348 259–358
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 303 13% 285–328 280–336 276–343 268–352
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 308 18% 278–333 271–339 265–343 254–354
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 292 5% 273–318 268–326 263–333 255–342
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 297 5% 267–321 261–326 254–331 244–340
Conservative Party 317 287 3% 268–313 263–320 258–328 250–337
Labour Party 262 292 3% 262–316 256–321 249–326 239–335

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.2% 99.6%  
294 0.2% 99.5%  
295 0.2% 99.3%  
296 0.1% 99.1%  
297 0.1% 99.1%  
298 0.2% 98.9%  
299 0.2% 98.8%  
300 0.2% 98.6%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.5% 98%  
303 0.2% 97%  
304 0.3% 97%  
305 0.8% 97%  
306 0.2% 96%  
307 0.4% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.3% 95%  
310 0.6% 95%  
311 0.5% 95%  
312 0.7% 94%  
313 0.7% 93% Last Result
314 0.3% 93%  
315 0.6% 92%  
316 1.4% 92%  
317 1.3% 90%  
318 0.5% 89%  
319 0.9% 88%  
320 1.2% 88%  
321 1.0% 86%  
322 2% 85%  
323 0.3% 84%  
324 1.0% 83%  
325 1.3% 82%  
326 1.0% 81% Majority
327 1.1% 80%  
328 2% 79%  
329 2% 77%  
330 0.8% 76%  
331 2% 75%  
332 2% 73%  
333 2% 71%  
334 2% 68%  
335 0.7% 66%  
336 0.9% 66%  
337 2% 65%  
338 3% 63%  
339 2% 60%  
340 1.0% 58%  
341 4% 57%  
342 0.8% 53% Median
343 3% 52%  
344 1.4% 49%  
345 3% 48%  
346 1.1% 45%  
347 1.4% 44%  
348 1.4% 42%  
349 2% 41%  
350 4% 39%  
351 3% 35%  
352 4% 32%  
353 2% 28%  
354 0.9% 26%  
355 1.5% 25%  
356 2% 24%  
357 3% 22%  
358 2% 19%  
359 2% 17%  
360 2% 15%  
361 1.4% 13%  
362 2% 12%  
363 0.9% 10%  
364 0.8% 9%  
365 1.2% 8%  
366 0.9% 7%  
367 1.0% 6%  
368 0.7% 5%  
369 0.7% 4%  
370 0.4% 4%  
371 0.4% 3%  
372 0.3% 3%  
373 0.3% 2%  
374 0.5% 2%  
375 0.3% 2%  
376 0.2% 1.2%  
377 0.2% 1.0%  
378 0.1% 0.9%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.2% 0.6%  
381 0.1% 0.5%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.2% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.5%  
290 0.2% 99.3%  
291 0.1% 99.1%  
292 0.1% 99.0%  
293 0.2% 98.9%  
294 0.2% 98.7%  
295 0.3% 98%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.5% 98%  
298 0.2% 97%  
299 0.3% 97%  
300 0.8% 97%  
301 0.2% 96%  
302 0.3% 96%  
303 0.3% 96%  
304 0.4% 95%  
305 0.6% 95%  
306 0.5% 94%  
307 0.5% 94%  
308 0.7% 93%  
309 0.3% 93% Last Result
310 0.7% 92%  
311 1.3% 92%  
312 1.3% 90%  
313 0.8% 89%  
314 0.6% 88%  
315 2% 88%  
316 1.0% 86%  
317 1.4% 85%  
318 0.5% 84%  
319 1.0% 83%  
320 1.2% 82%  
321 1.1% 81%  
322 1.2% 80%  
323 2% 79%  
324 0.9% 77%  
325 2% 76%  
326 2% 75% Majority
327 2% 73%  
328 2% 71%  
329 2% 68%  
330 0.8% 66%  
331 1.0% 65%  
332 2% 64%  
333 3% 63%  
334 2% 60%  
335 1.0% 58%  
336 4% 57%  
337 1.0% 53% Median
338 2% 52%  
339 2% 49%  
340 2% 47%  
341 1.2% 45%  
342 1.3% 44%  
343 2% 42%  
344 2% 41%  
345 4% 39%  
346 4% 35%  
347 4% 32%  
348 2% 28%  
349 1.4% 26%  
350 1.5% 25%  
351 2% 23%  
352 3% 22%  
353 2% 19%  
354 2% 17%  
355 0.9% 15%  
356 2% 14%  
357 2% 12%  
358 0.9% 10%  
359 0.9% 9%  
360 1.0% 8%  
361 0.9% 7%  
362 1.1% 6%  
363 0.7% 5%  
364 0.6% 4%  
365 0.5% 4%  
366 0.3% 3%  
367 0.5% 3%  
368 0.3% 2%  
369 0.4% 2%  
370 0.4% 2%  
371 0.2% 1.3%  
372 0.1% 1.1%  
373 0.2% 0.9%  
374 0.2% 0.8%  
375 0.1% 0.6%  
376 0.1% 0.5%  
377 0.1% 0.3%  
378 0.1% 0.3%  
379 0.1% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.2% 99.7%  
277 0.2% 99.5%  
278 0.2% 99.3%  
279 0.2% 99.1%  
280 0.2% 98.9%  
281 0.1% 98.7%  
282 0.2% 98.6%  
283 0.2% 98%  
284 0.1% 98%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 0.3% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.8% 97%  
289 0.1% 97%  
290 0.5% 97%  
291 1.1% 96%  
292 0.9% 95%  
293 0.5% 94%  
294 0.6% 94%  
295 2% 93%  
296 0.9% 91%  
297 0.7% 90%  
298 0.7% 90%  
299 0.7% 89%  
300 2% 88%  
301 1.2% 87%  
302 0.6% 86%  
303 2% 85%  
304 1.0% 83%  
305 2% 82%  
306 1.1% 81%  
307 0.9% 79%  
308 1.2% 79%  
309 2% 77%  
310 1.1% 75%  
311 3% 74%  
312 1.4% 71%  
313 4% 70%  
314 1.4% 66%  
315 1.3% 64%  
316 1.2% 63%  
317 1.1% 62%  
318 4% 61%  
319 2% 57%  
320 1.4% 55%  
321 2% 54% Median
322 3% 52%  
323 1.0% 49%  
324 1.2% 48%  
325 2% 47%  
326 1.1% 44% Majority
327 2% 43%  
328 1.2% 41%  
329 2% 40%  
330 3% 38%  
331 1.2% 36%  
332 2% 35%  
333 1.5% 32%  
334 1.0% 31%  
335 3% 30%  
336 2% 27%  
337 2% 25%  
338 2% 24%  
339 0.9% 22%  
340 0.4% 21%  
341 2% 21%  
342 0.7% 19%  
343 0.7% 18%  
344 0.8% 17%  
345 1.1% 17%  
346 1.2% 16%  
347 0.5% 14%  
348 0.4% 14%  
349 1.2% 13%  
350 1.2% 12%  
351 0.6% 11%  
352 0.5% 10%  
353 0.9% 10%  
354 0.4% 9%  
355 1.1% 9%  
356 0.4% 7% Last Result
357 0.7% 7%  
358 1.2% 6%  
359 0.4% 5%  
360 0.8% 5%  
361 0.2% 4%  
362 0.3% 4%  
363 0.4% 4%  
364 0.4% 3%  
365 0.3% 3%  
366 0.2% 2%  
367 0.2% 2%  
368 0.1% 2%  
369 0.2% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.2% 2%  
372 0.2% 1.4%  
373 0% 1.2%  
374 0.2% 1.2%  
375 0.3% 1.0%  
376 0.2% 0.7%  
377 0.1% 0.5%  
378 0.1% 0.4%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.2% 99.6%  
273 0.3% 99.4%  
274 0.2% 99.1%  
275 0.2% 98.9%  
276 0.2% 98.8%  
277 0.1% 98.6%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.2% 98%  
280 0.2% 98%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.2% 98%  
283 0.7% 98%  
284 0.3% 97%  
285 0.4% 97%  
286 1.1% 96%  
287 0.7% 95%  
288 0.8% 94%  
289 0.4% 94%  
290 2% 93%  
291 0.7% 92%  
292 1.0% 91%  
293 0.7% 90%  
294 0.6% 89%  
295 2% 88%  
296 1.2% 87%  
297 1.0% 86%  
298 1.2% 85%  
299 1.1% 83%  
300 2% 82%  
301 1.0% 80%  
302 0.8% 79%  
303 0.9% 78%  
304 2% 77%  
305 0.9% 75%  
306 3% 74%  
307 2% 71%  
308 4% 70%  
309 1.4% 66%  
310 1.2% 64%  
311 1.1% 63%  
312 1.2% 62%  
313 3% 61%  
314 3% 58%  
315 2% 55%  
316 2% 54% Median
317 3% 52%  
318 0.9% 49%  
319 1.3% 48%  
320 2% 46%  
321 1.2% 44%  
322 2% 43%  
323 1.1% 41%  
324 1.5% 40%  
325 3% 38%  
326 1.0% 35% Majority
327 2% 34%  
328 2% 32%  
329 0.7% 31%  
330 3% 30%  
331 2% 27%  
332 2% 25%  
333 2% 24%  
334 0.7% 22%  
335 0.8% 21%  
336 2% 20%  
337 0.9% 19%  
338 0.8% 18%  
339 0.8% 17%  
340 0.9% 16%  
341 1.4% 15%  
342 0.4% 14%  
343 0.4% 14%  
344 1.3% 13%  
345 1.3% 12%  
346 0.4% 11%  
347 0.6% 10%  
348 1.1% 10%  
349 0.3% 9%  
350 1.0% 8%  
351 0.3% 7%  
352 0.6% 7% Last Result
353 1.3% 6%  
354 0.4% 5%  
355 0.9% 5%  
356 0.2% 4%  
357 0.3% 4%  
358 0.4% 3%  
359 0.4% 3%  
360 0.4% 3%  
361 0.2% 2%  
362 0.1% 2%  
363 0.2% 2%  
364 0.2% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.5%  
367 0.1% 1.3%  
368 0.1% 1.2%  
369 0.1% 1.1%  
370 0.3% 1.0%  
371 0.2% 0.7%  
372 0.2% 0.5%  
373 0% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.2% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0.2% 99.4%  
281 0.1% 99.2%  
282 0.2% 99.0%  
283 0.2% 98.8%  
284 0.1% 98.6%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.3% 98%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.3% 97%  
289 0.2% 97%  
290 0.8% 97%  
291 0.3% 96%  
292 0.2% 96%  
293 0.3% 96%  
294 0.7% 95%  
295 0.5% 94%  
296 0.5% 94%  
297 0.5% 93%  
298 0.4% 93%  
299 1.1% 93%  
300 0.8% 91%  
301 0.6% 91% Last Result
302 1.0% 90%  
303 2% 89%  
304 0.5% 87%  
305 0.9% 87%  
306 1.2% 86%  
307 1.0% 85%  
308 2% 84%  
309 0.9% 82%  
310 1.0% 81%  
311 1.3% 80%  
312 1.5% 78%  
313 1.0% 77%  
314 0.6% 76%  
315 3% 75%  
316 2% 72%  
317 1.4% 70%  
318 3% 69%  
319 3% 66%  
320 0.6% 64%  
321 2% 63%  
322 0.8% 61%  
323 3% 60%  
324 1.3% 58%  
325 4% 56%  
326 2% 53% Median, Majority
327 2% 51%  
328 2% 49%  
329 1.2% 47%  
330 3% 46%  
331 5% 44%  
332 1.3% 39%  
333 1.3% 38%  
334 2% 36%  
335 3% 34%  
336 3% 31%  
337 3% 28%  
338 2% 25%  
339 3% 24%  
340 2% 21%  
341 2% 19%  
342 3% 17%  
343 0.9% 14%  
344 2% 13%  
345 1.2% 12%  
346 1.3% 10%  
347 1.3% 9%  
348 2% 8%  
349 0.8% 6%  
350 0.7% 5%  
351 0.9% 5%  
352 0.6% 4%  
353 0.5% 3%  
354 0.4% 3%  
355 0.3% 2%  
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 0.3% 1.4%  
359 0.2% 1.1%  
360 0.2% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.2% 0.5%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0.1% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.2% 99.6%  
274 0.1% 99.5%  
275 0.2% 99.4%  
276 0.2% 99.2%  
277 0.2% 99.0%  
278 0.2% 98.8%  
279 0.1% 98.5%  
280 0.3% 98%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.6% 98%  
283 0.3% 97%  
284 0.2% 97%  
285 0.7% 97%  
286 0.4% 96%  
287 0.2% 96%  
288 0.3% 95%  
289 0.7% 95%  
290 0.5% 94%  
291 0.5% 94%  
292 0.4% 93%  
293 0.4% 93%  
294 1.1% 92%  
295 0.8% 91%  
296 0.5% 91%  
297 0.9% 90% Last Result
298 2% 89%  
299 0.6% 87%  
300 0.9% 86%  
301 1.0% 86%  
302 1.0% 85%  
303 2% 84%  
304 1.0% 82%  
305 0.7% 81%  
306 1.4% 80%  
307 1.5% 78%  
308 0.6% 77%  
309 1.1% 76%  
310 3% 75%  
311 2% 72%  
312 1.5% 70%  
313 2% 69%  
314 3% 66%  
315 0.8% 64%  
316 2% 63%  
317 1.4% 61%  
318 2% 60%  
319 1.2% 57%  
320 4% 56%  
321 2% 53% Median
322 1.4% 51%  
323 2% 49%  
324 1.1% 47%  
325 2% 46%  
326 5% 44% Majority
327 1.5% 39%  
328 0.8% 37%  
329 2% 36%  
330 3% 34%  
331 3% 31%  
332 3% 28%  
333 2% 25%  
334 3% 23%  
335 2% 21%  
336 1.4% 19%  
337 3% 18%  
338 0.9% 14%  
339 1.3% 13%  
340 0.9% 12%  
341 2% 11%  
342 1.1% 9%  
343 2% 8%  
344 0.7% 6%  
345 0.8% 6%  
346 1.0% 5%  
347 0.6% 4%  
348 0.5% 3%  
349 0.3% 3%  
350 0.4% 3%  
351 0.5% 2%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.3% 1.4%  
354 0.2% 1.1%  
355 0.2% 0.9%  
356 0.2% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.5%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.3%  
361 0.1% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.7%  
259 0.2% 99.6%  
260 0.3% 99.3%  
261 0.1% 99.1%  
262 0.1% 98.9%  
263 0.1% 98.9%  
264 0.2% 98.8%  
265 0.2% 98.6%  
266 0.2% 98%  
267 0.2% 98%  
268 0.1% 98%  
269 0.1% 98%  
270 0.4% 98%  
271 0.3% 97%  
272 0.4% 97%  
273 0.2% 97%  
274 0.2% 96%  
275 0.9% 96%  
276 0.4% 95%  
277 1.1% 95%  
278 0.7% 94% Last Result
279 0.2% 93%  
280 1.2% 93%  
281 0.3% 92%  
282 1.1% 91%  
283 0.5% 90%  
284 0.5% 90%  
285 1.2% 89%  
286 1.1% 88%  
287 0.7% 87%  
288 0.3% 86%  
289 1.4% 86%  
290 0.9% 85%  
291 0.6% 84%  
292 1.1% 83%  
293 0.8% 82%  
294 2% 81%  
295 0.7% 80%  
296 0.7% 79%  
297 2% 78%  
298 1.5% 77%  
299 2% 75%  
300 2% 73%  
301 1.3% 71%  
302 1.4% 69%  
303 2% 68%  
304 0.9% 66%  
305 3% 65%  
306 2% 62%  
307 1.1% 60%  
308 2% 59%  
309 1.3% 58%  
310 2% 56%  
311 2% 54%  
312 0.8% 52%  
313 3% 52% Median
314 2% 49%  
315 0.7% 47%  
316 3% 46%  
317 2% 43%  
318 2% 40%  
319 0.9% 38%  
320 1.1% 37%  
321 1.3% 36%  
322 4% 35%  
323 2% 31%  
324 3% 29%  
325 1.0% 26%  
326 2% 25% Majority
327 0.9% 23%  
328 0.8% 22%  
329 0.8% 21%  
330 3% 20%  
331 0.9% 18%  
332 1.4% 17%  
333 0.8% 15%  
334 0.9% 15%  
335 2% 14%  
336 1.0% 12%  
337 0.7% 11%  
338 0.9% 10%  
339 0.8% 9%  
340 0.6% 9%  
341 2% 8%  
342 0.7% 7%  
343 0.6% 6%  
344 0.8% 5%  
345 0.8% 4%  
346 0.3% 4%  
347 0.4% 3%  
348 0.5% 3%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.1% 2%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.1% 2%  
354 0.1% 1.4%  
355 0.2% 1.3%  
356 0.3% 1.2%  
357 0.2% 0.9%  
358 0.2% 0.7%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0% 99.5%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.2% 99.3%  
272 0.3% 99.0%  
273 0.3% 98.7%  
274 0.5% 98%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.4% 98%  
277 0.5% 97%  
278 0.6% 97%  
279 0.6% 96%  
280 1.0% 96%  
281 0.6% 95%  
282 1.1% 94%  
283 2% 93%  
284 1.0% 91%  
285 2% 90%  
286 1.5% 89%  
287 0.9% 87%  
288 2% 86%  
289 3% 84%  
290 2% 81%  
291 3% 80%  
292 2% 77%  
293 2% 75%  
294 4% 73%  
295 3% 69%  
296 2% 66%  
297 2% 64%  
298 1.1% 63%  
299 4% 62%  
300 4% 58%  
301 1.2% 54%  
302 1.3% 53%  
303 2% 52% Median
304 2% 50%  
305 4% 48%  
306 0.8% 44%  
307 3% 43%  
308 0.8% 40%  
309 2% 39%  
310 0.6% 37%  
311 3% 37%  
312 2% 34%  
313 1.2% 31%  
314 1.5% 30%  
315 4% 29%  
316 0.7% 25%  
317 1.0% 24%  
318 1.3% 23%  
319 1.2% 22%  
320 1.2% 21%  
321 1.1% 19%  
322 2% 18%  
323 1.2% 17%  
324 1.3% 16%  
325 0.9% 14%  
326 0.5% 13% Majority
327 2% 13%  
328 1.1% 11%  
329 0.5% 10% Last Result
330 0.8% 9%  
331 1.2% 9%  
332 0.3% 7%  
333 0.6% 7%  
334 0.5% 7%  
335 0.5% 6%  
336 0.7% 6%  
337 0.4% 5%  
338 0.2% 5%  
339 0.2% 4%  
340 0.7% 4%  
341 0.3% 3%  
342 0.3% 3%  
343 0.6% 3%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.2% 2%  
347 0.2% 1.4%  
348 0.2% 1.2%  
349 0.2% 1.0%  
350 0.2% 0.8%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0.1% 0.5%  
353 0.2% 0.4%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.7%  
253 0.1% 99.6%  
254 0.2% 99.5%  
255 0.3% 99.3%  
256 0.1% 99.0%  
257 0.1% 98.9%  
258 0.2% 98.8%  
259 0.1% 98.7%  
260 0.2% 98.5%  
261 0.2% 98%  
262 0.2% 98%  
263 0.2% 98%  
264 0.1% 98%  
265 0.4% 98%  
266 0.4% 97%  
267 0.4% 97%  
268 0.2% 97%  
269 0.2% 96%  
270 0.9% 96%  
271 0.4% 95%  
272 1.1% 95%  
273 0.8% 94%  
274 0.2% 93% Last Result
275 1.2% 93%  
276 0.4% 91%  
277 0.9% 91%  
278 0.5% 90%  
279 0.5% 90%  
280 1.3% 89%  
281 1.0% 88%  
282 0.7% 87%  
283 0.4% 86%  
284 1.3% 86%  
285 1.0% 84%  
286 0.6% 83%  
287 1.0% 83%  
288 0.6% 82%  
289 2% 81%  
290 0.4% 80%  
291 0.9% 79%  
292 2% 78%  
293 1.3% 76%  
294 2% 75%  
295 2% 73%  
296 2% 71%  
297 1.4% 69%  
298 2% 68%  
299 1.1% 66%  
300 2% 64%  
301 2% 62%  
302 1.1% 60%  
303 2% 59%  
304 1.2% 57%  
305 2% 56%  
306 2% 54%  
307 0.9% 52%  
308 3% 51% Median
309 2% 48%  
310 0.6% 46%  
311 2% 46%  
312 3% 44%  
313 2% 40%  
314 1.0% 38%  
315 1.4% 37%  
316 1.0% 36%  
317 4% 35%  
318 2% 31%  
319 3% 29%  
320 1.3% 26%  
321 2% 25%  
322 1.2% 23%  
323 0.9% 22%  
324 0.9% 21%  
325 2% 20%  
326 0.8% 18% Majority
327 2% 17%  
328 0.5% 15%  
329 0.8% 15%  
330 2% 14%  
331 1.1% 12%  
332 0.7% 11%  
333 0.7% 10%  
334 0.7% 10%  
335 0.9% 9%  
336 1.5% 8%  
337 0.5% 7%  
338 0.9% 6%  
339 0.8% 5%  
340 0.8% 4%  
341 0.2% 4%  
342 0.4% 3%  
343 0.5% 3%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.1% 2%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.1% 1.5%  
350 0.1% 1.3%  
351 0.3% 1.2%  
352 0.1% 0.9%  
353 0.3% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4%  
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.2% 99.6%  
256 0.1% 99.4%  
257 0.1% 99.3%  
258 0.2% 99.2%  
259 0.1% 99.0%  
260 0.4% 98.8%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.3% 98%  
263 0.3% 98%  
264 0.5% 97%  
265 0.4% 97%  
266 0.6% 97%  
267 0.5% 96%  
268 1.1% 95%  
269 0.7% 94%  
270 1.1% 94%  
271 1.0% 92%  
272 1.0% 91%  
273 1.4% 90%  
274 3% 89%  
275 1.1% 86%  
276 2% 85%  
277 2% 83%  
278 1.4% 81%  
279 3% 80%  
280 1.2% 77%  
281 2% 76%  
282 2% 74%  
283 3% 72%  
284 3% 69%  
285 3% 65%  
286 3% 62%  
287 1.2% 59%  
288 2% 58%  
289 0.9% 57%  
290 3% 56%  
291 2% 53%  
292 1.1% 51% Median
293 2% 50%  
294 4% 48%  
295 0.9% 43%  
296 2% 42%  
297 3% 41%  
298 2% 38%  
299 0.8% 36%  
300 0.8% 35%  
301 2% 34%  
302 2% 32%  
303 1.3% 30%  
304 3% 28%  
305 1.4% 25%  
306 1.0% 24%  
307 2% 23%  
308 0.7% 21%  
309 2% 21%  
310 1.3% 19%  
311 1.0% 18%  
312 0.5% 17%  
313 1.4% 16%  
314 1.0% 15%  
315 1.5% 14%  
316 0.7% 12%  
317 0.7% 12%  
318 1.3% 11%  
319 1.2% 10%  
320 0.5% 8%  
321 0.6% 8% Last Result
322 0.7% 7%  
323 0.6% 7%  
324 0.5% 6%  
325 0.6% 6%  
326 0.3% 5% Majority
327 0.3% 5%  
328 0.3% 4%  
329 0.2% 4%  
330 0.6% 4%  
331 0.5% 3%  
332 0.2% 3%  
333 0.5% 3%  
334 0.5% 2%  
335 0.3% 2%  
336 0.2% 2%  
337 0.2% 1.3%  
338 0.1% 1.1%  
339 0.1% 1.0%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.7%  
342 0.2% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.2% 99.8%  
244 0.2% 99.6%  
245 0.2% 99.4%  
246 0.2% 99.2%  
247 0.1% 99.0%  
248 0.2% 98.9%  
249 0.1% 98.7%  
250 0.2% 98.6%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0.3% 98%  
254 0.4% 98%  
255 0.5% 97%  
256 0.3% 97%  
257 0.3% 97%  
258 0.4% 96%  
259 0.3% 96%  
260 0.5% 96%  
261 0.6% 95%  
262 0.2% 95%  
263 1.1% 94%  
264 0.7% 93%  
265 0.6% 93%  
266 1.0% 92% Last Result
267 1.2% 91%  
268 0.9% 90%  
269 0.8% 89%  
270 0.8% 88%  
271 0.5% 87%  
272 1.3% 87%  
273 0.9% 86%  
274 0.2% 85%  
275 0.5% 84%  
276 1.2% 84%  
277 2% 83%  
278 1.0% 81%  
279 1.4% 80%  
280 1.1% 78%  
281 0.9% 77%  
282 1.3% 76%  
283 3% 75%  
284 1.3% 71%  
285 0.8% 70%  
286 1.1% 69%  
287 1.1% 68%  
288 2% 67%  
289 3% 65%  
290 2% 62%  
291 2% 60%  
292 1.3% 59%  
293 1.1% 57%  
294 2% 56%  
295 2% 54%  
296 2% 52%  
297 3% 51% Median
298 2% 47%  
299 2% 46%  
300 2% 44%  
301 2% 42%  
302 2% 40%  
303 2% 37%  
304 1.0% 35%  
305 3% 34%  
306 3% 31%  
307 1.5% 29%  
308 2% 27%  
309 0.8% 25%  
310 3% 25%  
311 0.9% 22%  
312 2% 21%  
313 0.9% 19%  
314 2% 18%  
315 0.8% 16%  
316 1.3% 15%  
317 1.1% 14%  
318 1.1% 13%  
319 0.9% 12%  
320 0.4% 11%  
321 2% 10%  
322 1.0% 9%  
323 0.6% 8%  
324 0.4% 7%  
325 2% 7%  
326 0.6% 5% Majority
327 0.6% 5%  
328 0.8% 4%  
329 0.2% 3%  
330 0.4% 3%  
331 0.4% 3%  
332 0.4% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.3% 2%  
335 0.1% 1.4%  
336 0.2% 1.3%  
337 0.1% 1.1%  
338 0.2% 1.0%  
339 0.2% 0.8%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.8%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.2% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.4%  
252 0.1% 99.3%  
253 0.1% 99.2%  
254 0.2% 99.1%  
255 0.3% 98.9%  
256 0.5% 98.5%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.3% 98%  
259 0.3% 97%  
260 0.5% 97%  
261 0.6% 97%  
262 0.6% 96%  
263 0.7% 95%  
264 0.9% 95%  
265 1.1% 94%  
266 0.9% 93%  
267 1.1% 92%  
268 1.3% 90%  
269 2% 89%  
270 1.3% 87%  
271 2% 85%  
272 2% 83%  
273 1.4% 81%  
274 3% 80%  
275 1.1% 77%  
276 1.2% 75%  
277 2% 74%  
278 4% 72%  
279 3% 68%  
280 4% 66%  
281 3% 62%  
282 0.9% 59%  
283 2% 58%  
284 0.9% 57%  
285 3% 56%  
286 2% 53%  
287 2% 51% Median
288 2% 49%  
289 4% 47%  
290 0.9% 43%  
291 2% 42%  
292 3% 41%  
293 2% 37%  
294 0.7% 35%  
295 0.7% 35%  
296 2% 34%  
297 2% 32%  
298 2% 30%  
299 3% 28%  
300 0.6% 25%  
301 2% 24%  
302 2% 23%  
303 0.6% 21%  
304 1.4% 20%  
305 1.4% 19%  
306 1.1% 18%  
307 0.3% 17%  
308 2% 16%  
309 1.0% 15%  
310 1.2% 14%  
311 1.1% 13%  
312 0.5% 12%  
313 1.3% 11%  
314 1.3% 10%  
315 0.6% 8%  
316 0.5% 8%  
317 0.6% 7% Last Result
318 0.7% 7%  
319 0.5% 6%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.3% 5%  
322 0.2% 5%  
323 0.4% 5%  
324 0.2% 4%  
325 0.6% 4%  
326 0.5% 3% Majority
327 0.1% 3%  
328 0.5% 3%  
329 0.5% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.2% 1.5%  
332 0.2% 1.3%  
333 0.1% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 1.0%  
335 0.2% 0.9%  
336 0.1% 0.7%  
337 0.2% 0.6%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.2% 99.6%  
240 0.2% 99.3%  
241 0.2% 99.2%  
242 0.1% 98.9%  
243 0.2% 98.9%  
244 0.1% 98.7%  
245 0.2% 98.6%  
246 0.3% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.5% 97%  
251 0.3% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0.4% 96%  
254 0.3% 96%  
255 0.5% 96%  
256 0.6% 95%  
257 0.4% 95%  
258 1.1% 94%  
259 0.7% 93%  
260 0.8% 93%  
261 0.8% 92%  
262 1.2% 91% Last Result
263 0.8% 90%  
264 0.8% 89%  
265 0.8% 88%  
266 0.6% 87%  
267 1.3% 87%  
268 0.9% 85%  
269 0.5% 85%  
270 0.3% 84%  
271 1.3% 84%  
272 2% 83%  
273 1.2% 81%  
274 1.2% 79%  
275 1.1% 78%  
276 1.0% 77%  
277 1.3% 76%  
278 3% 75%  
279 2% 72%  
280 0.7% 70%  
281 1.1% 69%  
282 0.9% 68%  
283 2% 67%  
284 3% 65%  
285 2% 62%  
286 1.5% 60%  
287 2% 58%  
288 1.1% 57%  
289 1.4% 56%  
290 2% 54%  
291 1.5% 52%  
292 3% 51% Median
293 2% 47%  
294 2% 46%  
295 2% 44%  
296 2% 42%  
297 3% 40%  
298 2% 37%  
299 1.0% 35%  
300 3% 34%  
301 3% 31%  
302 2% 29%  
303 1.4% 27%  
304 1.2% 26%  
305 2% 24%  
306 1.2% 22%  
307 2% 21%  
308 0.7% 19%  
309 2% 18%  
310 1.1% 16%  
311 1.3% 15%  
312 1.0% 14%  
313 1.1% 13%  
314 0.8% 12%  
315 0.4% 11%  
316 2% 11%  
317 0.8% 9%  
318 0.7% 8%  
319 0.4% 7%  
320 2% 7%  
321 0.7% 6%  
322 0.5% 5%  
323 0.9% 4%  
324 0.1% 3%  
325 0.5% 3%  
326 0.3% 3% Majority
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.3% 2%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.2% 1.5%  
331 0.2% 1.3%  
332 0.1% 1.1%  
333 0.1% 1.0%  
334 0.2% 0.9%  
335 0.2% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0.1% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations