Scottish National Party
Voting Intentions
Last result: 3.1% (General Election of 8 June 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.9% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.0–4.7% | 1.9–4.9% | 1.6–5.3% |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Survation | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Panelbase | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Opinium | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Deltapoll | 4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| 6–11 December 2019 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 December 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 9–10 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 6–9 December 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 5–8 December 2019 | Qriously | 2.0% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% |
| 6–8 December 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
4.0% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
4.0% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 5–6 December 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Panelbase | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 4–6 December 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 4–5 December 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 2–4 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 2–3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| 2–3 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 28 November–2 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 29 November–2 December 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 26–30 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 28–30 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 28–29 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 27–29 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 27–28 November 2019 | Panelbase | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 27–28 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 26–27 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 25–26 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
4.1% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.5% |
| 25–26 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 21–25 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 22–25 November 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 20–23 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 21–23 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 21–22 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 20–21 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 19–21 November 2019 | BMG Research | 2.0% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% |
| 12–20 November 2019 | YouGov | 4.0% | 3.7–4.2% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.5% |
| 18–19 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 15–19 November 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 18–19 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 14–18 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 15–18 November 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 14–16 November 2019 | Survation | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 10–16 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 14–15 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| 13–15 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 9–15 November 2019 | BMG Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% |
| 13–14 November 2019 | Panelbase | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 13–14 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% |
| 11–12 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% |
| 11–12 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 7–11 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 1.9–4.5% |
| 8–11 November 2019 | ICM Research | 2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 8–10 November 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 6–9 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.4% |
| 7–8 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times and Sky News |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Survation | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Panelbase | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 5–8 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 5–6 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 30 October–5 November 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% |
| 1–4 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% |
| 1–4 November 2019 | ICM Research Reuters |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 31 October–2 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 30–31 October 2019 | Panelbase | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 29–30 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.1% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% |
| 29–30 October 2019 | Survation | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 17–28 October 2019 | YouGov | 3.9% | 3.7–4.2% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% |
| 25–28 October 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 24–25 October 2019 | YouGov | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| 23–25 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 20–21 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% |
| 18–21 October 2019 | Deltapoll | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Panelbase | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 15–17 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 16–17 October 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 14–15 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 10–15 October 2019 | Kantar Public | 3.0% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.6% |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 9–10 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 8–9 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 4–6 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 3–4 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% |
| 1–4 October 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.4% |
| 30 September–1 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% |
| 26–27 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 25–27 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 24–25 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% |
| 25 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 24 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 19–20 September 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 19–20 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 18–19 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 17–18 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% |
| 13–16 September 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 12–15 September 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 11–13 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 9–10 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 5–9 September 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 6–8 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 5–7 September 2019 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 5–6 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Panelbase | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 4–6 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 4–6 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 3–6 September 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.1% |
| 3–4 September 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 2–3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 29–31 August 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 29–30 August 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 28–29 August 2019 | YouGov | 4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| 27–28 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 22–23 August 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 21–23 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.9% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.8–6.3% |
| 20–21 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 15–19 August 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.8% |
| 13–14 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 7–12 August 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 6–11 August 2019 | Survation | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 9–11 August 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 8–9 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 5–6 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 29–30 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.4–6.1% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.0–6.6% |
| 26–30 July 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 26–28 July 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 25–27 July 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 25–26 July 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.8–6.3% |
| 24–25 July 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 23–24 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.8–5.3% |
| 16–17 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 15–16 July 2019 | ComRes | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 10–11 July 2019 | Survation | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 10–11 July 2019 | ComRes The Express |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| 9–10 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| 5–7 July 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 3–5 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.9% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.8–6.3% |
| 2–5 July 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| 2–3 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 24–25 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 21–25 June 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Survation Daily Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 13–14 June 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| 9–10 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.1% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.5% |
| 7–9 June 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 4–7 June 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 4–6 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 29–30 May 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.9% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% |
| 28–29 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
5.1% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.6% |
| 23–24 May 2019 | Lord Ashcroft | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 14–21 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 17–20 May 2019 | Opinium The Times |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
| 8–17 May 2019 | YouGov Best For Britain |
4.3% | 4.0–4.6% | 3.9–4.6% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.7–4.8% |
| 17 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 13–14 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.2% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 10–14 May 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Kantar Public | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.6–6.9% |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 10–12 May 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.1% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.6% |
| 7–10 May 2019 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.8–5.0% | 3.7–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% |
| 9 May 2019 | ComRes Brexit Express |
2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 3–7 May 2019 | Opinium | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 29–30 April 2019 | YouGov | 3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 23–24 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 21–23 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 16–17 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 17 April 2019 | OnePoll The Sun on Sunday |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 16–17 April 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 9–12 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 4–8 April 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.8% |
| 5–8 April 2019 | Hanbury Strategy Open Europe |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 3–6 April 2019 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 April 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 2.9–5.6% |
| 2–3 April 2019 | YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% |
| 28–30 March 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 28–29 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 24–25 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 20–22 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 15–19 March 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 14–15 March 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
3.0% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% |
| 15 March 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 12–15 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 7–11 March 2019 | Kantar Public | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.6–6.9% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | BMG Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 3–4 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 26 February–1 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 22–23 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 21–23 February 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 18–19 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 18 February 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 7–11 February 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 4–8 February 2019 | BMG Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 1–5 February 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 3–4 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
| 30 January–1 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 30 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 23–25 January 2019 | Opinium People’s Vote |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 16–18 January 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.8–6.3% |
| 16–18 January 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 10–17 January 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Politico |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 16–17 January 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 14–15 January 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 13–14 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 10–14 January 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 10–11 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 8–11 January 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 6–7 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 21 December 2018–4 January 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
3.5% | 3.3–3.7% | 3.3–3.7% | 3.3–3.7% | 3.2–3.8% |
| 18–20 December 2018 | Opinium | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 16–17 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 12–14 December 2018 | YouGov People’s Vote |
4.3% | 4.0–4.7% | 3.9–4.8% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% |
| 13–14 December 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 10–11 December 2018 | Populus | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 6–7 December 2018 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% |
| 5–6 December 2018 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 30 November–5 December 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 3–4 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.2% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 30 November–2 December 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 26–27 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 18–19 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 14–15 November 2018 | Opinium | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.9% |
| 14–15 November 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 8–12 November 2018 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 4–5 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 20 October–2 November 2018 | Survation Channel 4 |
3.1% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.9–3.3% | 2.8–3.3% | 2.8–3.4% |
| 29–30 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 26–28 October 2018 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% |
| 24–26 October 2018 | Deltapoll Mirror |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 22–23 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
5.2% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.4–6.1% | 4.2–6.3% | 3.9–6.7% |
| 19–22 October 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| 14–15 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.9% |
| 11–15 October 2018 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 11–12 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 10 October 2018 | Survation | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 8–9 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 4–7 October 2018 | BMG Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 3–5 October 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 30 September–1 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 28–29 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 26–28 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.4% |
| 26–27 September 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 24–25 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 21–24 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 21–22 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 18–20 September 2018 | Opinium | 3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 18–19 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% |
| 14–18 September 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 12–13 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 11–13 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 6–10 September 2018 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 7–9 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 7 September 2018 | Survation Daily Mail |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 4–7 September 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 3–4 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 31 August–1 September 2018 | Survation | 3.0% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 28–29 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 20–21 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.2% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 17–19 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–4.0% |
| 14–17 August 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 14–16 August 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| 13–14 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Kantar Public | 3.9% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 6–10 August 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% |
| 8–9 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 3–5 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 30–31 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 20–24 July 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 22–23 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 20–22 July 2018 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 19–20 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 16–17 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 12–14 July 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.4% |
| 10–13 July 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 10–11 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 8–9 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 5–9 July 2018 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 6–9 July 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 7 July 2018 | Survation | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 3–5 July 2018 | BMG Research | 3.1% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.5% |
| 3–4 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 22–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 25–26 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 22–24 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 19–20 June 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 18–19 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 11–12 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 8–10 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% |
| 5–8 June 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| 5–7 June 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.6–7.4% |
| 4–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 31 May–4 June 2018 | Survation | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| 28–29 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 25–29 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 18–22 May 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 20–21 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 16–17 May 2018 | ComRes Daily Mail |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 15–16 May 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 13–14 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
2.6% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% |
| 11–13 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 8–10 May 2018 | Survation | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% |
| 8–9 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 1–4 May 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.8–5.5% |
| 30 April–1 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.9% |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ComRes Daily Express |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 24–25 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 20–24 April 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.7% |
| 16–17 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 14 April 2018 | Survation The Mail on Sunday |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 10–13 April 2018 | BMG Research | 4.0% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 10–12 April 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 11–12 April 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 9–10 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 6–8 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| 4–5 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 27 March–5 April 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 26–27 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
2.6% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% |
| 16–18 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.3% |
| 13–16 March 2018 | BMG Research | 4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| 14–15 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
4.3% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
| 13–15 March 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 7–8 March 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 2–7 March 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 5–6 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 2–4 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 26–27 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| 19–20 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 16–19 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.3% |
| 12–13 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.8% |
| 6–12 February 2018 | Kantar Public | 4.0% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% |
| 6–9 February 2018 | BMG Research | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 6–8 February 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 5–6 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
2.6% | 2.1–3.1% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.8–3.6% |
| 2–4 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 28–29 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% |
| 26–29 January 2018 | Survation | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 19–23 January 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
| 10–19 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.7–3.4% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% |
| 16–17 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 12–14 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 11–12 January 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 9–12 January 2018 | BMG Research | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 7–8 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Scottish National Party.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 19% | 90% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 62% | 71% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 35 seats (General Election of 8 June 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 47 | 26–51 | 14–52 | 3–53 | 0–54 |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Survation | 48 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 41–54 | 37–55 |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Panelbase | 48 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 41–52 | 41–53 |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Opinium | 47 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 38–52 |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 47 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 38–52 |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
|||||
| 9–11 December 2019 | Deltapoll | 48 | 41–52 | 41–53 | 39–54 | 34–56 |
| 6–11 December 2019 | BMG Research | |||||
| 8–10 December 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg |
48 | 41–52 | 39–54 | 36–54 | 30–56 |
| 9–10 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
50 | 45–51 | 41–53 | 40–54 | 38–54 |
| 6–9 December 2019 | ICM Research | 38 | 22–45 | 19–47 | 17–48 | 5–50 |
| 5–8 December 2019 | Qriously | 14 | 1–30 | 0–33 | 0–34 | 0–37 |
| 6–8 December 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
48 | 45–50 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–51 |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
37 | 26–45 | 17–48 | 13–50 | 2–51 |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
47 | 41–51 | 41–52 | 39–54 | 34–56 |
| 5–6 December 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
48 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 40–53 | 35–54 |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Panelbase | 48 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 37–53 |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
45 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–51 | 34–52 |
| 4–6 December 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
40 | 31–45 | 22–48 | 17–50 | 6–50 |
| 4–5 December 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
50 | 45–51 | 41–53 | 41–54 | 39–54 |
| 2–4 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
48 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 39–53 | 34–54 |
| 2–3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
53 | 50–56 | 50–56 | 48–57 | 47–58 |
| 2–3 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 41–53 | 39–54 |
| 28 November–2 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 38 | 25–47 | 18–48 | 13–50 | 3–51 |
| 29 November–2 December 2019 | ICM Research | 39 | 22–45 | 19–47 | 16–48 | 6–50 |
| 26–30 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
40 | 23–47 | 17–50 | 11–50 | 2–52 |
| 28–30 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
38 | 18–41 | 17–42 | 15–45 | 6–50 |
| 28–29 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
48 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 40–53 | 34–54 |
| 27–29 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
47 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 38–51 | 34–52 |
| 27–28 November 2019 | Panelbase | 40 | 25–45 | 22–47 | 17–48 | 6–50 |
| 27–28 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
36 | 32–42 | 19–47 | 17–48 | 14–50 |
| 26–27 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
50 | 48–53 | 45–53 | 42–53 | 40–54 |
| 25–26 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
48 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 41–53 | 36–54 |
| 25–26 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
40 | 28–47 | 22–47 | 19–48 | 10–50 |
| 21–25 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 48 | 41–51 | 41–53 | 37–53 | 33–54 |
| 22–25 November 2019 | ICM Research | 40 | 26–45 | 22–47 | 18–48 | 11–50 |
| 20–23 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
39 | 31–48 | 22–50 | 16–51 | 5–53 |
| 21–23 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
48 | 41–51 | 39–51 | 39–53 | 34–54 |
| 21–22 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
50 | 41–51 | 39–53 | 39–53 | 35–54 |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase | 40 | 31–42 | 25–47 | 20–48 | 14–50 |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 45–57 | 41–58 |
| 20–21 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Express |
38 | 31–45 | 25–47 | 19–48 | 14–50 |
| 19–21 November 2019 | BMG Research | 17 | 2–32 | 0–33 | 0–35 | 0–39 |
| 12–20 November 2019 | YouGov | 48 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 42–50 |
| 18–19 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 41–51 | 39–51 | 39–53 | 35–54 |
| 15–19 November 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
47 | 39–51 | 37–52 | 35–54 | 33–54 |
| 18–19 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
49 | 41–51 | 41–53 | 39–53 | 35–53 |
| 14–18 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 47 | 39–51 | 36–52 | 34–53 | 33–54 |
| 15–18 November 2019 | ICM Research | 40 | 31–45 | 25–47 | 20–48 | 14–50 |
| 14–16 November 2019 | Survation | 41 | 30–48 | 27–50 | 21–50 | 10–51 |
| 10–16 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
41 | 37–41 | 34–42 | 15–42 | 6–47 |
| 14–15 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
47 | 41–50 | 39–51 | 36–52 | 33–54 |
| 13–15 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
47 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 41–53 | 37–54 |
| 9–15 November 2019 | BMG Research | 40 | 34–50 | 32–50 | 29–51 | 18–53 |
| 13–14 November 2019 | Panelbase | 47 | 40–51 | 39–53 | 33–53 | 33–54 |
| 13–14 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
40 | 31–46 | 23–48 | 20–48 | 14–50 |
| 11–12 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
39 | 33–45 | 30–48 | 28–50 | 17–50 |
| 11–12 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
50 | 45–53 | 40–53 | 39–53 | 39–53 |
| 7–11 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 39 | 32–49 | 27–51 | 22–51 | 12–53 |
| 8–11 November 2019 | ICM Research | 39 | 33–47 | 28–48 | 22–50 | 18–51 |
| 8–10 November 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
51 | 47–53 | 45–53 | 43–53 | 39–54 |
| 6–9 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
39 | 33–47 | 30–48 | 24–50 | 16–51 |
| 7–8 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times and Sky News |
50 | 45–53 | 41–54 | 39–54 | 39–54 |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Survation | 51 | 48–53 | 46–53 | 45–53 | 41–53 |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Panelbase | 50 | 42–53 | 40–53 | 39–54 | 34–54 |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 48–55 |
| 5–8 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
22 | 0–35 | 0–38 | 0–38 | 0–42 |
| 5–6 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
51 | 50–54 | 46–54 | 43–54 | 39–54 |
| 30 October–5 November 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
51 | 50–53 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 46–53 |
| 1–4 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 48–52 | 47–53 | 47–54 | 41–54 |
| 1–4 November 2019 | ICM Research Reuters |
39 | 35–48 | 32–50 | 28–50 | 18–51 |
| 31 October–2 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
41 | 33–47 | 33–48 | 28–50 | 18–51 |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
54 | 51–54 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 48–55 |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
50 | 45–51 | 42–52 | 40–53 | 37–54 |
| 30–31 October 2019 | Panelbase | 40 | 32–48 | 23–50 | 18–51 | 6–53 |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
53 | 53–55 | 51–55 | 51–55 | 50–55 |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
51 | 46–53 | 45–53 | 43–54 | 39–54 |
| 29–30 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 48–54 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 39–54 |
| 29–30 October 2019 | Survation | 51 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 43–54 | 39–54 |
| 17–28 October 2019 | YouGov | 50 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 |
| 25–28 October 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 39 | 31–46 | 28–49 | 26–50 | 15–52 |
| 24–25 October 2019 | YouGov | 43 | 37–48 | 34–49 | 32–51 | 31–53 |
| 23–25 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 50–55 | 48–55 |
| 20–21 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
40 | 34–49 | 32–50 | 28–52 | 28–54 |
| 18–21 October 2019 | Deltapoll | 50 | 48–54 | 43–54 | 43–54 | 39–54 |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
51 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 38–54 |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Panelbase | 51 | 47–54 | 43–54 | 39–54 | 36–54 |
| 15–17 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
50 | 49–53 | 47–54 | 45–54 | 40–54 |
| 16–17 October 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
53 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 48–54 |
| 14–15 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
49 | 43–54 | 43–54 | 41–54 | 39–54 |
| 10–15 October 2019 | Kantar Public | 39 | 32–48 | 30–51 | 26–51 | 15–53 |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
53 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 45–53 |
| 9–10 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
53 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 45–54 |
| 8–9 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 48–54 | 45–54 | 39–54 | 38–54 |
| 4–6 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
52 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 45–54 |
| 3–4 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 51–54 | 51–55 | 51–55 | 50–55 |
| 1–4 October 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
47 | 37–49 | 37–51 | 36–51 | 29–53 |
| 30 September–1 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
48 | 35–48 | 35–50 | 35–50 | 32–52 |
| 26–27 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
49 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 45–54 | 43–54 |
| 25–27 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 53–54 | 51–54 | 51–54 | 50–54 |
| 24–25 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
48 | 38–50 | 33–52 | 31–52 | 31–52 |
| 25 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
51 | 50–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 44–54 |
| 24 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
52 | 51–53 | 49–54 | 49–54 | 46–54 |
| 19–20 September 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
51 | 49–52 | 49–53 | 48–54 | 46–54 |
| 19–20 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
51 | 46–54 | 43–54 | 43–54 | 39–54 |
| 18–19 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
53 | 51–53 | 51–53 | 49–53 | 49–54 |
| 17–18 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 51–52 | 49–52 | 48–52 | 46–54 |
| 13–16 September 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
49 | 39–51 | 38–52 | 38–52 | 32–54 |
| 12–15 September 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
51 | 51–53 | 51–53 | 49–53 | 48–54 |
| 11–13 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
51 | 50–52 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 41–54 |
| 9–10 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 | 44–54 |
| 5–9 September 2019 | Kantar Public | 49 | 45–54 | 43–54 | 40–54 | 39–54 |
| 6–8 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
46 | 31–53 | 31–53 | 31–53 | 23–53 |
| 5–7 September 2019 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–54 |
| 5–6 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
54 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 39–54 | 38–54 |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
53 | 49–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 45–54 |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Panelbase | 48 | 43–51 | 33–52 | 21–53 | 16–53 |
| 4–6 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 51–54 | 51–54 |
| 4–6 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
46 | 38–49 | 38–51 | 37–51 | 35–52 |
| 3–6 September 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
47 | 42–51 | 37–51 | 37–51 | 32–53 |
| 3–4 September 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 53 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 48–54 | 45–54 |
| 2–3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 49–53 | 48–54 | 46–54 | 45–54 |
| 29–31 August 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
51 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 40–54 | 40–54 |
| 29–30 August 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
51 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 46–54 | 39–54 |
| 28–29 August 2019 | YouGov | 52 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 45–54 | 42–54 |
| 27–28 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 49–54 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 42–54 |
| 22–23 August 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
53 | 50–54 | 49–54 | 47–54 | 47–54 |
| 21–23 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 51–55 |
| 20–21 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 39–54 |
| 15–19 August 2019 | Kantar Public | 51 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 50–55 | 47–55 |
| 13–14 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 |
| 7–12 August 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
44 | 40–49 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 34–53 |
| 6–11 August 2019 | Survation | 51 | 51–54 | 51–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 |
| 9–11 August 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
50 | 42–51 | 39–53 | 39–53 | 33–53 |
| 8–9 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 51–53 | 51–53 | 51–54 | 49–55 |
| 5–6 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 49–53 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 |
| 29–30 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 54 | 54 | 53–54 | 52–54 |
| 26–30 July 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 52 | 47–54 | 43–54 | 40–54 | 37–54 |
| 26–28 July 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
48 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 38–53 | 24–53 |
| 25–27 July 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
53 | 49–54 | 49–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 |
| 25–26 July 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
54 | 52–54 | 51–54 | 51–54 | 50–54 |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–55 |
| 24–25 July 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
49 | 48–51 | 37–51 | 37–51 | 28–53 |
| 23–24 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 50–52 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 47–54 |
| 16–17 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 48–54 |
| 15–16 July 2019 | ComRes | 53 | 51–53 | 51–53 | 51–54 | 50–54 |
| 10–11 July 2019 | Survation | 52 | 51–53 | 51–53 | 51–54 | 48–54 |
| 10–11 July 2019 | ComRes The Express |
51 | 48–53 | 47–53 | 43–53 | 37–53 |
| 9–10 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 51–54 | 51–54 |
| 5–7 July 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
51 | 48–53 | 47–53 | 42–53 | 34–53 |
| 3–5 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 53–54 | 53–55 | 53–55 | 52–55 |
| 2–5 July 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
31 | 6–46 | 4–47 | 1–48 | 0–49 |
| 2–3 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 48–54 |
| 24–25 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 |
| 21–25 June 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 51 | 50–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 45–54 |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Survation Daily Mail on Sunday |
51 | 48–51 | 47–53 | 45–53 | 39–53 |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 51–53 | 51–54 | 51–54 | 50–54 |
| 13–14 June 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
50 | 48–50 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 42–54 |
| 9–10 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 |
| 7–9 June 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
51 | 49–52 | 47–53 | 46–53 | 35–53 |
| 4–7 June 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
49 | 47–52 | 43–53 | 38–53 | 32–53 |
| 4–6 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 53–54 | 51–54 | 51–54 | 50–54 |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 52–53 | 51–53 | 50–53 | 50–54 |
| 29–30 May 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
53 | 52–53 | 52–54 | 51–54 | 51–54 |
| 28–29 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 52–54 | 52–54 | 52–54 | 51–54 |
| 23–24 May 2019 | Lord Ashcroft | |||||
| 22 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
51 | 49–53 | 39–53 | 35–53 | 21–53 |
| 14–21 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
53 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 53–54 |
| 17–20 May 2019 | Opinium The Times |
53 | 53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–55 |
| 8–17 May 2019 | YouGov Best For Britain |
53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 52–54 | 51–54 |
| 17 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
53 | 53–55 | 53–56 | 53–57 | 53–58 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–56 |
| 13–14 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 53–54 | 52–54 | 51–54 | 50–54 |
| 10–14 May 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 53 | 52–53 | 51–54 | 50–54 | 48–55 |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Kantar Public | 53 | 53 | 53–54 | 53–55 | 53–55 |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 53 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 53–54 |
| 10–12 May 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
53 | 51–53 | 50–53 | 49–53 | 46–53 |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 52–53 | 52–53 | 52–53 | 49–54 |
| 7–10 May 2019 | BMG Research | |||||
| 8–9 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 52–54 | 50–54 |
| 9 May 2019 | ComRes Brexit Express |
51 | 50–53 | 50–53 | 49–53 | 42–53 |
| 3–7 May 2019 | Opinium | 53 | 48–53 | 43–53 | 35–53 | 24–53 |
| 29–30 April 2019 | YouGov | 53 | 48–53 | 46–53 | 45–53 | 36–53 |
| 23–24 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 53–54 | 53–54 | 53–55 | 51–57 |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
54 | 54–57 | 53–57 | 52–57 | 49–58 |
| 21–23 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
58 | 57–58 | 57–59 | 57–59 | 56–59 |
| 16–17 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 53–55 | 53–56 | 51–57 | 51–58 |
| 17 April 2019 | OnePoll The Sun on Sunday |
54 | 53–56 | 53–56 | 53–57 | 53–57 |
| 16–17 April 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
54 | 54–57 | 53–57 | 51–58 | 51–58 |
| 9–12 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
57 | 56–58 | 55–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 |
| 4–8 April 2019 | Kantar Public | 54 | 53–57 | 53–57 | 52–58 | 51–58 |
| 5–8 April 2019 | Hanbury Strategy Open Europe |
55 | 51–57 | 49–57 | 48–57 | 37–58 |
| 3–6 April 2019 | Survation | |||||
| 2–5 April 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
51 | 50–54 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 40–56 |
| 2–3 April 2019 | YouGov | 54 | 53–55 | 53–56 | 53–57 | 51–58 |
| 28–30 March 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
36 | 9–54 | 6–55 | 3–57 | 1–58 |
| 28–29 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 49–56 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 40–57 |
| 24–25 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 | 42–55 |
| 20–22 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
58 | 57–58 | 55–58 | 55–58 | 53–59 |
| 15–19 March 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 57 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 51–59 | 48–59 |
| 14–15 March 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
48 | 37–51 | 33–51 | 22–53 | 8–53 |
| 15 March 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
38 | 10–51 | 6–52 | 3–53 | 1–54 |
| 12–15 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
57 | 55–58 | 54–58 | 52–58 | 51–59 |
| 7–11 March 2019 | Kantar Public | 57 | 53–59 | 51–59 | 49–59 | 45–59 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | BMG Research | 40 | 22–48 | 22–50 | 17–50 | 5–51 |
| 3–4 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 45–53 | 43–54 | 41–54 | 40–54 |
| 26 February–1 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
51 | 42–56 | 41–57 | 41–57 | 40–57 |
| 22–23 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 45–53 | 41–54 | 41–56 | 38–57 |
| 21–23 February 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
52 | 43–56 | 40–58 | 36–58 | 24–58 |
| 18–19 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 47–54 | 45–56 | 42–56 | 41–57 |
| 18 February 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
39 | 17–49 | 8–51 | 4–51 | 0–54 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 48–57 | 45–57 | 44–57 | 39–58 |
| 7–11 February 2019 | Kantar Public | 52 | 41–56 | 40–56 | 38–57 | 29–57 |
| 4–8 February 2019 | BMG Research | 41 | 24–50 | 20–50 | 16–50 | 6–51 |
| 1–5 February 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 51 | 44–55 | 39–56 | 37–57 | 24–57 |
| 3–4 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 47–54 | 45–56 | 42–56 | 41–57 |
| 30 January–1 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
51 | 45–55 | 42–56 | 41–57 | 39–58 |
| 30 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
45 | 32–51 | 26–52 | 18–52 | 2–55 |
| 23–25 January 2019 | Opinium People’s Vote |
54 | 45–56 | 43–57 | 42–58 | 38–58 |
| 16–18 January 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
58 | 57–58 | 55–58 | 55–58 | 53–58 |
| 16–18 January 2019 | ICM Research | 32 | 15–45 | 9–49 | 8–50 | 4–51 |
| 10–17 January 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Politico |
36 | 9–49 | 6–52 | 3–54 | 1–55 |
| 16–17 January 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
39 | 23–48 | 17–50 | 13–50 | 6–52 |
| 14–15 January 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
39 | 21–50 | 13–51 | 9–52 | 6–54 |
| 13–14 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 47–56 | 42–56 |
| 10–14 January 2019 | Kantar Public | 52 | 47–57 | 44–57 | 39–57 | 26–58 |
| 10–11 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
30 | 9–50 | 5–51 | 3–52 | 0–54 |
| 8–11 January 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
42 | 24–50 | 19–51 | 10–51 | 4–53 |
| 6–7 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
43 | 36–50 | 32–51 | 28–51 | 20–54 |
| 21 December 2018–4 January 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
45 | 42–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 41–48 |
| 18–20 December 2018 | Opinium | 55 | 49–58 | 47–58 | 43–58 | 35–58 |
| 16–17 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 49–58 | 46–58 | 43–58 | 39–58 |
| 12–14 December 2018 | YouGov People’s Vote |
52 | 50–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 47–56 |
| 13–14 December 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 47–57 | 45–57 | 42–57 | 32–58 |
| 10–11 December 2018 | Populus | 34 | 16–50 | 12–53 | 7–54 | 4–55 |
| 6–7 December 2018 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
52 | 50–56 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 40–57 |
| 5–6 December 2018 | Kantar Public | 52 | 45–56 | 41–57 | 38–57 | 26–58 |
| 30 November–5 December 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 52 | 44–57 | 39–57 | 36–57 | 26–58 |
| 3–4 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 48–57 | 46–57 | 42–57 | 39–57 |
| 30 November–2 December 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
39 | 21–49 | 14–51 | 9–51 | 6–52 |
| 26–27 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
45 | 38–51 | 35–52 | 29–52 | 21–54 |
| 18–19 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
46 | 38–53 | 31–54 | 25–55 | 19–57 |
| 14–15 November 2018 | Opinium | 58 | 56–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 52–58 |
| 14–15 November 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
39 | 17–50 | 10–51 | 8–52 | 4–54 |
| 8–12 November 2018 | Kantar Public | 52 | 42–57 | 39–57 | 35–58 | 24–58 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
52 | 45–55 | 41–57 | 39–57 | 29–58 |
| 4–5 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
46 | 36–53 | 28–54 | 24–55 | 15–57 |
| 20 October–2 November 2018 | Survation Channel 4 |
30 | 27–39 | 26–40 | 24–41 | 24–44 |
| 29–30 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
48 | 35–54 | 25–54 | 22–55 | 9–56 |
| 26–28 October 2018 | ICM Research | 38 | 21–47 | 17–48 | 9–50 | 5–52 |
| 24–26 October 2018 | Deltapoll Mirror |
53 | 41–56 | 33–58 | 26–58 | 16–58 |
| 22–23 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
57 | 55–58 | 54–58 | 53–58 | 49–59 |
| 19–22 October 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 50 | 41–55 | 40–56 | 35–57 | 24–57 |
| 14–15 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
45 | 37–51 | 34–52 | 28–53 | 19–56 |
| 11–15 October 2018 | Kantar Public | 50 | 41–54 | 40–56 | 39–56 | 26–57 |
| 11–12 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 46–55 | 42–57 | 41–57 | 38–58 |
| 10 October 2018 | Survation | 54 | 42–58 | 39–58 | 31–58 | 21–58 |
| 8–9 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 48–56 | 45–57 | 41–57 | 40–57 |
| 4–7 October 2018 | BMG Research | 39 | 16–50 | 8–50 | 6–51 | 2–53 |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
39 | 21–49 | 14–51 | 8–52 | 4–55 |
| 3–5 October 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
51 | 46–54 | 44–55 | 41–56 | 29–57 |
| 30 September–1 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
44 | 35–51 | 31–52 | 24–53 | 19–55 |
| 28–29 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
52 | 48–54 | 44–54 | 36–54 | 26–56 |
| 26–28 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
51 | 47–55 | 44–56 | 41–57 | 39–57 |
| 26–27 September 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
33 | 18–47 | 9–49 | 7–51 | 6–52 |
| 24–25 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
45 | 39–50 | 34–50 | 27–51 | 18–52 |
| 21–24 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
33 | 14–46 | 9–48 | 7–49 | 3–51 |
| 21–22 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
51 | 44–54 | 40–56 | 34–57 | 21–57 |
| 18–20 September 2018 | Opinium | 52 | 48–56 | 46–56 | 43–57 | 33–57 |
| 18–19 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 50–54 | 48–54 | 45–54 | 42–56 |
| 14–18 September 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 40 | 17–50 | 9–50 | 6–51 | 1–53 |
| 12–13 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
45 | 39–50 | 35–51 | 25–51 | 14–54 |
| 11–13 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 47–57 | 45–58 | 41–58 | 39–58 |
| 6–10 September 2018 | Kantar Public | 50 | 42–54 | 40–56 | 39–57 | 29–57 |
| 7–9 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
33 | 20–45 | 10–48 | 7–50 | 4–53 |
| 7 September 2018 | Survation Daily Mail |
39 | 16–50 | 7–51 | 5–52 | 1–54 |
| 4–7 September 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
3 | 0–14 | 0–22 | 0–28 | 0–39 |
| 3–4 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 47–55 | 42–56 |
| 31 August–1 September 2018 | Survation | 40 | 11–55 | 7–56 | 3–57 | 1–58 |
| 28–29 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
47 | 38–51 | 32–52 | 27–52 | 16–55 |
| 20–21 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 48–57 | 46–57 | 43–57 | 40–57 |
| 17–19 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
34 | 14–47 | 9–49 | 7–51 | 3–53 |
| 14–17 August 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 47–56 | 45–58 | 42–58 | 38–58 |
| 14–16 August 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
38 | 18–50 | 12–51 | 7–53 | 4–55 |
| 13–14 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43 | 32–52 | 24–54 | 21–54 | 12–55 |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 53 | 44–57 | 38–57 | 30–58 | 21–58 |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Kantar Public | 51 | 43–55 | 39–57 | 37–57 | 24–57 |
| 6–10 August 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
39 | 18–50 | 9–51 | 7–51 | 2–54 |
| 8–9 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 48–56 | 47–56 | 45–57 | 41–57 |
| 3–5 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
54 | 47–57 | 42–57 | 40–58 | 31–58 |
| 30–31 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
46 | 32–51 | 26–52 | 23–54 | 12–55 |
| 20–24 July 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 51 | 45–56 | 41–56 | 39–57 | 26–57 |
| 22–23 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
47 | 35–51 | 27–52 | 24–52 | 15–54 |
| 20–22 July 2018 | ICM Research | 32 | 13–47 | 9–50 | 7–51 | 3–54 |
| 19–20 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 49–57 | 47–57 | 46–57 | 39–58 |
| 16–17 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
49 | 30–52 | 27–54 | 22–54 | 10–57 |
| 12–14 July 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
33 | 12–52 | 7–54 | 4–55 | 2–57 |
| 10–13 July 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
53 | 49–57 | 47–57 | 44–57 | 30–58 |
| 10–11 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
47 | 32–51 | 28–52 | 24–54 | 12–54 |
| 8–9 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
46 | 29–51 | 26–52 | 21–54 | 9–56 |
| 5–9 July 2018 | Kantar Public | 51 | 41–55 | 39–57 | 36–57 | 23–58 |
| 6–9 July 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
35 | 18–46 | 12–48 | 7–49 | 4–51 |
| 7 July 2018 | Survation | 39 | 11–50 | 7–52 | 3–52 | 1–54 |
| 3–5 July 2018 | BMG Research | 39 | 19–47 | 14–49 | 12–50 | 5–52 |
| 3–4 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 27–51 | 23–52 | 19–53 | 8–55 |
| 22–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 51 | 40–57 | 39–58 | 34–58 | 25–58 |
| 25–26 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 45–56 | 42–57 | 41–57 | 36–58 |
| 22–24 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
26 | 13–47 | 9–48 | 8–49 | 6–51 |
| 19–20 June 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
53 | 42–57 | 41–58 | 38–58 | 24–58 |
| 18–19 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41 | 27–51 | 22–52 | 17–52 | 7–55 |
| 11–12 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 29–51 | 24–53 | 19–55 | 9–55 |
| 8–10 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
39 | 21–41 | 17–45 | 8–48 | 3–54 |
| 5–8 June 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
1 | 0–13 | 0–24 | 0–28 | 0–38 |
| 5–7 June 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
58 | 58 | 57–58 | 57–58 | 55–59 |
| 4–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 33–51 | 24–53 | 23–54 | 15–55 |
| 31 May–4 June 2018 | Survation | 29 | 20–45 | 13–48 | 8–49 | 3–51 |
| 28–29 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
51 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 41–57 | 39–57 |
| 25–29 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
32 | 10–42 | 8–47 | 6–49 | 3–52 |
| 18–22 May 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 51–58 | 46–58 |
| 20–21 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 32–51 | 25–52 | 21–53 | 13–55 |
| 16–17 May 2018 | ComRes Daily Mail |
33 | 9–45 | 7–50 | 6–52 | 3–54 |
| 15–16 May 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 42–56 | 38–58 |
| 13–14 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
19 | 6–38 | 3–40 | 0–41 | 0–48 |
| 11–13 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
34 | 14–42 | 9–45 | 7–47 | 4–52 |
| 8–10 May 2018 | Survation | 35 | 13–49 | 8–49 | 6–51 | 2–54 |
| 8–9 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43 | 30–50 | 24–51 | 21–52 | 11–54 |
| 1–4 May 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
51 | 46–54 | 40–56 | 39–56 | 28–57 |
| 30 April–1 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
45 | 32–53 | 27–54 | 21–55 | 15–56 |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
37 | 19–46 | 13–48 | 8–49 | 4–53 |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ComRes Daily Express |
35 | 13–47 | 9–49 | 6–51 | 3–52 |
| 24–25 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 34–51 | 25–53 | 23–54 | 8–55 |
| 20–24 April 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 35 | 9–48 | 6–50 | 1–51 | 0–53 |
| 16–17 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 30–51 | 23–53 | 21–54 | 8–55 |
| 14 April 2018 | Survation The Mail on Sunday |
51 | 46–54 | 40–56 | 37–57 | 28–57 |
| 10–13 April 2018 | BMG Research | 51 | 47–54 | 42–54 | 40–54 | 29–56 |
| 10–12 April 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 45–56 | 42–57 | 40–58 | 29–58 |
| 11–12 April 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
28 | 15–47 | 7–50 | 6–52 | 2–54 |
| 9–10 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
44 | 32–51 | 28–52 | 21–53 | 8–55 |
| 6–8 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
29 | 9–47 | 7–50 | 4–52 | 2–54 |
| 4–5 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42 | 26–53 | 20–54 | 13–55 | 7–56 |
| 27 March–5 April 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 49 | 40–55 | 36–57 | 32–57 | 20–58 |
| 26–27 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
19 | 3–39 | 2–41 | 0–42 | 0–48 |
| 16–18 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
27 | 8–42 | 6–48 | 4–50 | 2–53 |
| 13–16 March 2018 | BMG Research | 51 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 40–56 | 29–57 |
| 14–15 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 48–57 | 46–58 | 42–58 | 40–58 |
| 13–15 March 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
52 | 44–56 | 43–57 | 41–58 | 34–58 |
| 7–8 March 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
29 | 7–49 | 3–51 | 3–54 | 0–57 |
| 2–7 March 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 52 | 40–56 | 31–58 | 25–58 | 10–58 |
| 5–6 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41 | 26–53 | 17–54 | 12–55 | 6–56 |
| 2–4 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
27 | 9–43 | 7–46 | 5–50 | 3–53 |
| 26–27 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43 | 28–54 | 22–54 | 16–55 | 7–57 |
| 19–20 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
46 | 27–52 | 23–55 | 17–55 | 8–57 |
| 16–19 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
29 | 7–49 | 7–50 | 5–52 | 2–54 |
| 12–13 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
21 | 5–38 | 2–43 | 2–45 | 0–50 |
| 6–12 February 2018 | Kantar Public | 52 | 47–56 | 45–57 | 41–57 | 36–57 |
| 6–9 February 2018 | BMG Research | 3 | 0–16 | 0–22 | 0–29 | 0–38 |
| 6–8 February 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 42–56 | 30–58 |
| 5–6 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
13 | 3–35 | 1–40 | 0–40 | 0–46 |
| 2–4 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
29 | 13–47 | 9–48 | 7–51 | 2–54 |
| 28–29 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
44 | 30–54 | 22–55 | 14–55 | 8–56 |
| 26–29 January 2018 | Survation | 2 | 0–11 | 0–17 | 0–28 | 0–43 |
| 19–23 January 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 44 | 15–52 | 11–54 | 9–56 | 3–57 |
| 10–19 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
33 | 17–44 | 13–46 | 9–48 | 7–52 |
| 16–17 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
47 | 26–54 | 23–55 | 20–55 | 8–57 |
| 12–14 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
30 | 16–49 | 9–51 | 6–52 | 4–54 |
| 11–12 January 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
54 | 48–56 | 44–58 | 42–58 | 32–58 |
| 9–12 January 2018 | BMG Research | 29 | 9–48 | 7–51 | 4–52 | 2–54 |
| 7–8 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
44 | 26–51 | 21–52 | 15–54 | 7–55 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Scottish National Party.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 87% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 37 | 2% | 86% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 40 | 2% | 83% | |
| 41 | 9% | 81% | |
| 42 | 6% | 72% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 66% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 65% | |
| 45 | 8% | 65% | |
| 46 | 2% | 57% | |
| 47 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 48 | 13% | 45% | |
| 49 | 3% | 32% | |
| 50 | 14% | 29% | |
| 51 | 10% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |