Conservative Party
Voting Intentions
Last result: 43.4% (General Election of 8 June 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 43.4% | 40.9–45.4% | 40.3–46.0% | 39.8–46.4% | 38.8–47.1% |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Survation | 45.0% | 43.7–46.3% | 43.3–46.7% | 43.0–47.0% | 42.4–47.6% |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Panelbase | 43.0% | 41.9–44.1% | 41.6–44.5% | 41.3–44.7% | 40.8–45.3% |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Opinium | 45.3% | 44.2–46.5% | 43.8–46.8% | 43.5–47.1% | 43.0–47.7% |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 43.9% | 42.7–45.1% | 42.4–45.5% | 42.1–45.8% | 41.5–46.3% |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
44.0% | 42.7–45.4% | 42.3–45.8% | 41.9–46.1% | 41.3–46.7% |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Deltapoll | 44.3% | 42.8–45.8% | 42.4–46.3% | 42.1–46.6% | 41.4–47.4% |
| 6–11 December 2019 | BMG Research | 41.0% | 39.5–42.6% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.7–43.4% | 37.9–44.2% |
| 8–10 December 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg |
43.0% | 41.0–45.0% | 40.5–45.6% | 40.0–46.1% | 39.0–47.1% |
| 9–10 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
41.0% | 39.6–42.4% | 39.2–42.8% | 38.9–43.1% | 38.2–43.8% |
| 6–9 December 2019 | ICM Research | 42.2% | 40.8–43.7% | 40.4–44.0% | 40.1–44.4% | 39.4–45.1% |
| 5–8 December 2019 | Qriously | 43.4% | 42.1–44.8% | 41.7–45.2% | 41.4–45.5% | 40.7–46.2% |
| 6–8 December 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
42.5% | 41.7–43.3% | 41.4–43.5% | 41.2–43.7% | 40.8–44.1% |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
44.6% | 42.6–46.6% | 42.0–47.2% | 41.5–47.6% | 40.6–48.6% |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
44.4% | 42.7–46.0% | 42.3–46.5% | 41.9–46.9% | 41.1–47.6% |
| 5–6 December 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
42.9% | 41.4–44.5% | 40.9–44.9% | 40.6–45.3% | 39.8–46.1% |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Panelbase | 42.9% | 41.5–44.3% | 41.1–44.7% | 40.8–45.1% | 40.1–45.7% |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
45.9% | 44.5–47.3% | 44.1–47.8% | 43.7–48.1% | 43.0–48.8% |
| 4–6 December 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
41.1% | 39.5–42.7% | 39.1–43.2% | 38.7–43.6% | 37.9–44.4% |
| 4–5 December 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
41.0% | 39.6–42.4% | 39.2–42.8% | 38.9–43.2% | 38.2–43.8% |
| 2–4 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
44.0% | 42.4–45.6% | 41.9–46.1% | 41.5–46.5% | 40.8–47.3% |
| 2–3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
41.5% | 40.0–43.0% | 39.5–43.5% | 39.2–43.9% | 38.4–44.6% |
| 2–3 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
42.0% | 40.6–43.4% | 40.2–43.8% | 39.9–44.2% | 39.2–44.8% |
| 28 November–2 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 43.5% | 41.6–45.5% | 41.1–46.0% | 40.6–46.5% | 39.7–47.4% |
| 29 November–2 December 2019 | ICM Research | 42.3% | 40.9–43.8% | 40.5–44.2% | 40.2–44.5% | 39.5–45.2% |
| 26–30 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
42.0% | 40.0–43.9% | 39.5–44.5% | 39.0–45.0% | 38.1–45.9% |
| 28–30 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
45.1% | 43.5–46.7% | 43.0–47.2% | 42.6–47.6% | 41.8–48.4% |
| 28–29 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
42.9% | 41.4–44.5% | 40.9–44.9% | 40.6–45.3% | 39.8–46.1% |
| 27–29 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
45.4% | 44.0–46.9% | 43.6–47.3% | 43.3–47.6% | 42.6–48.3% |
| 27–28 November 2019 | Panelbase | 41.9% | 40.5–43.3% | 40.1–43.7% | 39.8–44.1% | 39.1–44.7% |
| 27–28 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
43.0% | 41.6–44.4% | 41.2–44.8% | 40.9–45.2% | 40.2–45.9% |
| 26–27 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
39.1% | 37.6–40.6% | 37.1–41.1% | 36.8–41.5% | 36.0–42.2% |
| 25–26 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
43.3% | 41.8–44.9% | 41.3–45.3% | 41.0–45.7% | 40.2–46.5% |
| 25–26 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
41.4% | 40.0–42.8% | 39.6–43.2% | 39.3–43.6% | 38.6–44.2% |
| 21–25 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 42.8% | 40.8–44.7% | 40.3–45.2% | 39.8–45.7% | 38.9–46.6% |
| 22–25 November 2019 | ICM Research | 40.9% | 39.5–42.3% | 39.1–42.8% | 38.8–43.1% | 38.1–43.8% |
| 20–23 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
40.2% | 38.2–42.2% | 37.7–42.8% | 37.2–43.3% | 36.3–44.2% |
| 21–23 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
43.2% | 41.6–44.8% | 41.1–45.3% | 40.7–45.7% | 39.9–46.5% |
| 21–22 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
41.9% | 40.4–43.5% | 39.9–43.9% | 39.6–44.3% | 38.8–45.1% |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase | 42.0% | 40.6–43.4% | 40.2–43.8% | 39.9–44.2% | 39.2–44.9% |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
47.1% | 45.7–48.6% | 45.3–49.0% | 44.9–49.3% | 44.3–50.0% |
| 20–21 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Express |
42.0% | 40.6–43.4% | 40.2–43.8% | 39.9–44.2% | 39.2–44.8% |
| 19–21 November 2019 | BMG Research | 41.7% | 40.2–43.3% | 39.8–43.7% | 39.4–44.1% | 38.6–44.9% |
| 12–20 November 2019 | YouGov | 42.6% | 42.0–43.2% | 41.8–43.3% | 41.7–43.5% | 41.4–43.8% |
| 18–19 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
41.9% | 40.3–43.5% | 39.9–44.0% | 39.5–44.3% | 38.8–45.1% |
| 15–19 November 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
44.0% | 42.1–45.9% | 41.5–46.4% | 41.1–46.9% | 40.2–47.8% |
| 18–19 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
42.0% | 40.5–43.6% | 40.0–44.0% | 39.6–44.4% | 38.9–45.2% |
| 14–18 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 45.0% | 43.1–46.9% | 42.6–47.4% | 42.2–47.8% | 41.3–48.7% |
| 15–18 November 2019 | ICM Research | 41.9% | 40.5–43.3% | 40.1–43.7% | 39.8–44.1% | 39.1–44.7% |
| 14–16 November 2019 | Survation | 42.4% | 40.4–44.4% | 39.8–45.0% | 39.4–45.5% | 38.4–46.4% |
| 10–16 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
45.0% | 43.4–46.7% | 42.9–47.1% | 42.5–47.5% | 41.8–48.3% |
| 14–15 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
44.4% | 42.9–46.0% | 42.4–46.4% | 42.1–46.8% | 41.3–47.6% |
| 13–15 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
43.8% | 42.4–45.3% | 42.0–45.7% | 41.7–46.0% | 41.0–46.7% |
| 9–15 November 2019 | BMG Research | 37.0% | 35.5–38.6% | 35.0–39.0% | 34.6–39.4% | 33.9–40.1% |
| 13–14 November 2019 | Panelbase | 43.2% | 41.2–45.2% | 40.7–45.8% | 40.2–46.3% | 39.2–47.2% |
| 13–14 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
41.0% | 39.6–42.4% | 39.2–42.8% | 38.9–43.1% | 38.2–43.8% |
| 11–12 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
42.0% | 40.4–43.6% | 40.0–44.0% | 39.6–44.4% | 38.9–45.2% |
| 11–12 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
39.3% | 37.9–40.7% | 37.5–41.1% | 37.2–41.5% | 36.5–42.1% |
| 7–11 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 37.0% | 35.2–38.8% | 34.7–39.4% | 34.3–39.8% | 33.4–40.7% |
| 8–11 November 2019 | ICM Research | 38.5% | 37.1–39.9% | 36.8–40.3% | 36.4–40.7% | 35.8–41.3% |
| 8–10 November 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
36.9% | 35.5–38.3% | 35.1–38.7% | 34.8–39.0% | 34.2–39.7% |
| 6–9 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
41.3% | 39.7–43.0% | 39.2–43.4% | 38.9–43.8% | 38.1–44.6% |
| 7–8 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times and Sky News |
38.9% | 37.4–40.5% | 37.0–40.9% | 36.6–41.3% | 35.9–42.0% |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Survation | 35.0% | 33.7–36.4% | 33.3–36.8% | 33.0–37.1% | 32.3–37.8% |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Panelbase | 39.8% | 37.8–41.7% | 37.3–42.3% | 36.8–42.8% | 35.9–43.7% |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
41.1% | 39.7–42.5% | 39.3–42.9% | 38.9–43.3% | 38.3–43.9% |
| 5–8 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
36.6% | 35.1–38.3% | 34.6–38.7% | 34.2–39.1% | 33.5–39.9% |
| 5–6 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
35.8% | 34.3–37.3% | 33.9–37.8% | 33.5–38.1% | 32.8–38.9% |
| 30 October–5 November 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
35.4% | 34.6–36.2% | 34.4–36.4% | 34.2–36.6% | 33.8–37.0% |
| 1–4 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
37.7% | 36.6–38.8% | 36.3–39.1% | 36.1–39.4% | 35.6–39.9% |
| 1–4 November 2019 | ICM Research Reuters |
37.5% | 36.2–38.9% | 35.8–39.3% | 35.4–39.6% | 34.8–40.3% |
| 31 October–2 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
39.9% | 38.3–41.6% | 37.9–42.0% | 37.5–42.4% | 36.7–43.2% |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
38.8% | 37.4–40.3% | 37.0–40.7% | 36.6–41.1% | 35.9–41.8% |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
41.4% | 40.0–42.8% | 39.6–43.2% | 39.2–43.5% | 38.6–44.2% |
| 30–31 October 2019 | Panelbase | 40.0% | 38.0–42.0% | 37.5–42.6% | 37.0–43.0% | 36.1–44.0% |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
35.9% | 34.6–37.3% | 34.2–37.7% | 33.8–38.0% | 33.2–38.7% |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
36.1% | 34.6–37.7% | 34.1–38.1% | 33.8–38.5% | 33.0–39.3% |
| 29–30 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
36.3% | 34.8–37.8% | 34.4–38.2% | 34.1–38.6% | 33.4–39.3% |
| 29–30 October 2019 | Survation | 34.0% | 32.1–35.9% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–36.9% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 17–28 October 2019 | YouGov | 35.5% | 34.9–36.0% | 34.7–36.2% | 34.6–36.4% | 34.3–36.6% |
| 25–28 October 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 40.8% | 38.9–42.8% | 38.3–43.4% | 37.8–43.9% | 36.9–44.9% |
| 24–25 October 2019 | YouGov | 35.8% | 34.3–37.4% | 33.9–37.8% | 33.6–38.2% | 32.8–38.9% |
| 23–25 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
40.2% | 38.8–41.6% | 38.4–42.0% | 38.0–42.4% | 37.4–43.0% |
| 20–21 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
36.5% | 35.0–38.0% | 34.6–38.4% | 34.2–38.8% | 33.5–39.5% |
| 18–21 October 2019 | Deltapoll | 36.8% | 35.5–38.2% | 35.1–38.6% | 34.8–39.0% | 34.1–39.6% |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
31.5% | 29.7–33.4% | 29.2–34.0% | 28.7–34.4% | 27.9–35.4% |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Panelbase | 36.4% | 34.5–38.4% | 34.0–38.9% | 33.5–39.4% | 32.6–40.4% |
| 15–17 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
36.5% | 35.2–37.9% | 34.8–38.3% | 34.4–38.7% | 33.8–39.4% |
| 16–17 October 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
32.4% | 31.1–33.8% | 30.7–34.1% | 30.4–34.5% | 29.8–35.1% |
| 14–15 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
37.2% | 35.7–38.7% | 35.2–39.2% | 34.8–39.6% | 34.1–40.3% |
| 10–15 October 2019 | Kantar Public | 39.3% | 37.5–41.1% | 37.0–41.6% | 36.5–42.1% | 35.7–43.0% |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
33.2% | 31.9–34.6% | 31.5–34.9% | 31.2–35.3% | 30.5–35.9% |
| 9–10 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
32.9% | 31.6–34.3% | 31.2–34.7% | 30.9–35.0% | 30.3–35.7% |
| 8–9 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
34.5% | 33.0–36.0% | 32.5–36.4% | 32.2–36.8% | 31.5–37.6% |
| 4–6 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
32.4% | 31.0–33.7% | 30.7–34.1% | 30.3–34.4% | 29.7–35.1% |
| 3–4 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
38.5% | 37.1–39.9% | 36.7–40.3% | 36.4–40.6% | 35.7–41.3% |
| 1–4 October 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
31.2% | 29.7–32.7% | 29.2–33.2% | 28.9–33.6% | 28.2–34.3% |
| 30 September–1 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
33.8% | 32.3–35.4% | 31.9–35.8% | 31.6–36.2% | 30.8–36.9% |
| 26–27 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
32.8% | 31.4–34.4% | 31.0–34.8% | 30.6–35.2% | 29.9–35.9% |
| 25–27 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
35.8% | 34.5–37.2% | 34.1–37.6% | 33.7–38.0% | 33.1–38.6% |
| 24–25 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
31.7% | 30.2–33.2% | 29.8–33.6% | 29.5–34.0% | 28.8–34.7% |
| 25 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.4–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 24 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
28.1% | 26.4–30.0% | 25.9–30.5% | 25.5–31.0% | 24.6–31.9% |
| 19–20 September 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
30.1% | 28.8–31.4% | 28.4–31.8% | 28.1–32.1% | 27.5–32.8% |
| 19–20 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
37.2% | 35.8–38.6% | 35.4–39.0% | 35.1–39.3% | 34.4–40.0% |
| 18–19 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
29.4% | 28.1–30.7% | 27.7–31.1% | 27.4–31.4% | 26.8–32.0% |
| 17–18 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
31.3% | 29.8–32.8% | 29.4–33.2% | 29.1–33.6% | 28.4–34.3% |
| 13–16 September 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
33.2% | 31.3–35.1% | 30.8–35.7% | 30.3–36.2% | 29.5–37.1% |
| 12–15 September 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.6% |
| 11–13 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
37.2% | 35.8–38.6% | 35.4–39.0% | 35.1–39.3% | 34.4–40.0% |
| 9–10 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
31.7% | 30.3–33.2% | 29.9–33.7% | 29.6–34.0% | 28.9–34.7% |
| 5–9 September 2019 | Kantar Public | 38.0% | 36.2–39.9% | 35.7–40.4% | 35.3–40.9% | 34.4–41.8% |
| 6–8 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
29.9% | 28.6–31.2% | 28.3–31.6% | 27.9–32.0% | 27.3–32.6% |
| 5–7 September 2019 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
30.9% | 29.6–32.3% | 29.3–32.7% | 29.0–33.0% | 28.4–33.6% |
| 5–6 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
34.8% | 33.4–36.4% | 33.0–36.8% | 32.6–37.2% | 31.9–37.9% |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
28.7% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.5–31.1% | 26.0–31.6% | 25.2–32.5% |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Panelbase | 31.3% | 29.5–33.2% | 28.9–33.7% | 28.5–34.2% | 27.6–35.1% |
| 4–6 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
34.8% | 33.5–36.2% | 33.1–36.6% | 32.8–37.0% | 32.1–37.6% |
| 4–6 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
31.0% | 29.7–32.4% | 29.3–32.7% | 29.0–33.1% | 28.4–33.7% |
| 3–6 September 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
29.1% | 27.6–30.7% | 27.2–31.1% | 26.9–31.5% | 26.2–32.2% |
| 3–4 September 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 32.9% | 31.0–34.8% | 30.5–35.4% | 30.0–35.8% | 29.1–36.8% |
| 2–3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
34.8% | 33.3–36.4% | 32.9–36.8% | 32.6–37.2% | 31.9–37.9% |
| 29–31 August 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
34.2% | 32.9–35.6% | 32.5–36.0% | 32.2–36.3% | 31.6–37.0% |
| 29–30 August 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
30.6% | 28.8–32.5% | 28.3–33.0% | 27.8–33.5% | 27.0–34.4% |
| 28–29 August 2019 | YouGov | 32.5% | 31.1–33.9% | 30.8–34.3% | 30.4–34.7% | 29.8–35.4% |
| 27–28 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
33.8% | 32.5–35.2% | 32.1–35.6% | 31.8–36.0% | 31.2–36.6% |
| 22–23 August 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
33.5% | 32.1–34.9% | 31.8–35.2% | 31.4–35.6% | 30.8–36.2% |
| 21–23 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
31.6% | 30.3–33.0% | 29.9–33.4% | 29.6–33.7% | 29.0–34.4% |
| 20–21 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
31.8% | 30.4–33.3% | 30.0–33.7% | 29.6–34.1% | 29.0–34.8% |
| 15–19 August 2019 | Kantar Public | 41.7% | 39.9–43.7% | 39.4–44.2% | 38.9–44.7% | 38.0–45.6% |
| 13–14 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
29.6% | 28.2–31.1% | 27.8–31.5% | 27.4–31.9% | 26.7–32.6% |
| 7–12 August 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
30.9% | 29.4–32.5% | 29.0–32.9% | 28.7–33.3% | 28.0–34.0% |
| 6–11 August 2019 | Survation | 28.2% | 27.0–29.5% | 26.6–29.9% | 26.3–30.2% | 25.7–30.9% |
| 9–11 August 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
30.8% | 29.5–32.2% | 29.2–32.6% | 28.8–32.9% | 28.2–33.5% |
| 8–9 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
31.2% | 29.8–32.5% | 29.5–32.9% | 29.2–33.2% | 28.5–33.9% |
| 5–6 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
30.8% | 29.3–32.3% | 28.9–32.7% | 28.6–33.1% | 27.9–33.8% |
| 29–30 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
33.3% | 31.9–34.6% | 31.6–35.0% | 31.2–35.3% | 30.6–36.0% |
| 26–30 July 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 32.6% | 30.7–34.5% | 30.2–35.1% | 29.7–35.5% | 28.9–36.5% |
| 26–28 July 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
28.3% | 27.1–29.7% | 26.7–30.0% | 26.4–30.4% | 25.8–31.0% |
| 25–27 July 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
30.0% | 28.7–31.3% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.0% | 27.4–32.7% |
| 25–26 July 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
30.8% | 29.4–32.3% | 29.0–32.7% | 28.7–33.1% | 28.0–33.8% |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
29.4% | 28.1–30.7% | 27.7–31.1% | 27.4–31.4% | 26.8–32.0% |
| 24–25 July 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
28.1% | 26.9–29.5% | 26.5–29.8% | 26.2–30.1% | 25.6–30.8% |
| 23–24 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
24.4% | 23.1–25.8% | 22.8–26.2% | 22.5–26.5% | 21.8–27.2% |
| 16–17 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
25.1% | 23.8–26.5% | 23.4–26.9% | 23.1–27.2% | 22.5–27.9% |
| 15–16 July 2019 | ComRes | 24.7% | 23.5–25.9% | 23.1–26.3% | 22.8–26.6% | 22.3–27.2% |
| 10–11 July 2019 | Survation | 22.7% | 21.1–24.5% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.5–26.3% |
| 10–11 July 2019 | ComRes The Express |
24.0% | 22.7–25.3% | 22.4–25.7% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.5–26.7% |
| 9–10 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
23.9% | 22.6–25.3% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.9–26.0% | 21.3–26.7% |
| 5–7 July 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
25.4% | 24.2–26.7% | 23.8–27.0% | 23.5–27.3% | 22.9–28.0% |
| 3–5 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
22.7% | 21.6–24.0% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.9–24.6% | 20.4–25.2% |
| 2–5 July 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
28.2% | 26.7–29.7% | 26.4–30.1% | 26.0–30.5% | 25.3–31.2% |
| 2–3 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
23.9% | 22.5–25.3% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.0% | 21.2–26.7% |
| 24–25 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.8% | 19.7–24.4% |
| 21–25 June 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 26.4% | 24.7–28.2% | 24.2–28.7% | 23.8–29.1% | 23.0–30.0% |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Survation Daily Mail on Sunday |
23.8% | 22.6–25.0% | 22.2–25.4% | 21.9–25.7% | 21.4–26.3% |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| 13–14 June 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
21.1% | 19.9–22.4% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.2–23.1% | 18.6–23.8% |
| 9–10 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
17.2% | 16.0–18.4% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.4–19.0% | 14.9–19.6% |
| 7–9 June 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
22.8% | 21.6–24.0% | 21.3–24.3% | 21.0–24.6% | 20.4–25.2% |
| 4–7 June 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
25.7% | 24.3–27.2% | 23.9–27.6% | 23.6–28.0% | 22.9–28.7% |
| 4–6 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
17.9% | 16.7–19.2% | 16.4–19.6% | 16.1–19.9% | 15.6–20.5% |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
17.0% | 16.0–18.1% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 14.9–19.3% |
| 29–30 May 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
19.6% | 18.6–20.7% | 18.3–21.0% | 18.1–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% |
| 28–29 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
18.9% | 17.8–20.2% | 17.5–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.6–21.5% |
| 23–24 May 2019 | Lord Ashcroft | 18.0% | 17.5–18.5% | 17.4–18.7% | 17.3–18.8% | 17.0–19.0% |
| 22 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
27.9% | 26.7–29.2% | 26.3–29.6% | 26.0–29.9% | 25.4–30.6% |
| 14–21 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| 17–20 May 2019 | Opinium The Times |
22.4% | 21.2–23.6% | 20.9–24.0% | 20.6–24.3% | 20.1–24.9% |
| 8–17 May 2019 | YouGov Best For Britain |
24.0% | 23.4–24.6% | 23.3–24.7% | 23.1–24.9% | 22.9–25.2% |
| 17 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
26.7% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
22.2% | 21.0–23.4% | 20.7–23.7% | 20.4–24.0% | 19.8–24.6% |
| 13–14 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
24.8% | 23.4–26.2% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.7–26.9% | 22.1–27.6% |
| 10–14 May 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 24.3% | 22.6–26.0% | 22.2–26.5% | 21.8–26.9% | 21.0–27.8% |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Kantar Public | 25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.6–27.6% | 21.8–28.4% |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 20.8% | 19.7–22.0% | 19.3–22.3% | 19.1–22.6% | 18.5–23.2% |
| 10–12 May 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
20.4% | 19.3–21.6% | 19.0–21.9% | 18.7–22.2% | 18.2–22.8% |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.8% | 19.6–24.4% |
| 7–10 May 2019 | BMG Research | 27.0% | 25.6–28.5% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.2–30.0% |
| 8–9 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
24.2% | 23.1–25.4% | 22.8–25.8% | 22.5–26.1% | 21.9–26.7% |
| 9 May 2019 | ComRes Brexit Express |
18.8% | 17.7–20.0% | 17.5–20.3% | 17.2–20.6% | 16.7–21.2% |
| 3–7 May 2019 | Opinium | 25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.2% | 22.3–27.9% |
| 29–30 April 2019 | YouGov | 28.7% | 27.3–30.2% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.6–31.0% | 25.9–31.7% |
| 23–24 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.3–28.7% | 25.0–29.1% | 24.3–29.8% |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
26.7% | 25.5–28.0% | 25.2–28.4% | 24.9–28.7% | 24.3–29.4% |
| 21–23 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
26.0% | 24.5–27.7% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.6–28.6% | 22.9–29.4% |
| 16–17 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
29.0% | 27.6–30.4% | 27.3–30.8% | 26.9–31.2% | 26.3–31.9% |
| 17 April 2019 | OnePoll The Sun on Sunday |
24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| 16–17 April 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
26.0% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.9–28.2% | 23.2–28.9% |
| 9–12 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.4–30.7% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| 4–8 April 2019 | Kantar Public | 31.7% | 29.9–33.4% | 29.5–33.9% | 29.1–34.4% | 28.2–35.2% |
| 5–8 April 2019 | Hanbury Strategy Open Europe |
30.7% | 29.4–32.1% | 29.0–32.4% | 28.7–32.8% | 28.1–33.4% |
| 3–6 April 2019 | Survation | 36.6% | 35.8–37.4% | 35.6–37.7% | 35.4–37.9% | 35.1–38.3% |
| 2–5 April 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
35.3% | 33.8–36.9% | 33.3–37.4% | 33.0–37.8% | 32.2–38.6% |
| 2–3 April 2019 | YouGov | 32.0% | 30.6–33.5% | 30.2–33.9% | 29.9–34.2% | 29.2–34.9% |
| 28–30 March 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
35.6% | 33.7–37.6% | 33.2–38.2% | 32.7–38.7% | 31.8–39.6% |
| 28–29 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
34.9% | 33.6–36.3% | 33.2–36.7% | 32.8–37.0% | 32.2–37.7% |
| 24–25 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
36.0% | 34.7–37.4% | 34.3–37.8% | 34.0–38.1% | 33.4–38.8% |
| 20–22 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
36.0% | 34.6–37.4% | 34.3–37.8% | 33.9–38.1% | 33.3–38.8% |
| 15–19 March 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 38.0% | 36.1–39.9% | 35.6–40.5% | 35.1–41.0% | 34.2–41.9% |
| 14–15 March 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
35.0% | 34.2–37.2% | 33.9–37.6% | 33.5–38.0% | 32.8–38.7% |
| 15 March 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
35.3% | 33.3–37.2% | 32.8–37.8% | 32.4–38.3% | 31.5–39.2% |
| 12–15 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
38.0% | 36.6–39.4% | 36.2–39.8% | 35.9–40.2% | 35.2–40.9% |
| 7–11 March 2019 | Kantar Public | 41.4% | 39.6–43.3% | 39.0–43.8% | 38.6–44.3% | 37.7–45.2% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | BMG Research | 39.0% | 37.4–40.6% | 36.9–41.1% | 36.5–41.5% | 35.8–42.3% |
| 3–4 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
40.0% | 38.7–41.4% | 38.3–41.8% | 38.0–42.1% | 37.3–42.8% |
| 26 February–1 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
39.6% | 38.2–41.0% | 37.8–41.4% | 37.4–41.8% | 36.7–42.5% |
| 22–23 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.5–42.6% | 39.1–43.0% | 38.7–43.4% | 38.0–44.2% |
| 21–23 February 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
43.3% | 41.4–45.3% | 40.8–45.9% | 40.3–46.4% | 39.4–47.4% |
| 18–19 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
41.4% | 40.0–42.9% | 39.6–43.3% | 39.2–43.7% | 38.5–44.4% |
| 18 February 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
39.6% | 37.6–41.6% | 37.1–42.1% | 36.6–42.6% | 35.7–43.6% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
37.3% | 35.9–38.7% | 35.5–39.1% | 35.2–39.4% | 34.5–40.1% |
| 7–11 February 2019 | Kantar Public | 40.0% | 38.2–41.9% | 37.6–42.4% | 37.2–42.9% | 36.3–43.8% |
| 4–8 February 2019 | BMG Research | 37.6% | 36.0–39.2% | 35.6–39.7% | 35.2–40.1% | 34.4–40.9% |
| 1–5 February 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 37.6% | 35.7–39.6% | 35.1–40.2% | 34.7–40.7% | 33.7–41.6% |
| 3–4 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.6–42.5% | 39.1–42.9% | 38.8–43.3% | 38.1–44.0% |
| 30 January–1 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
41.0% | 39.6–42.4% | 39.2–42.8% | 38.8–43.2% | 38.1–43.9% |
| 30 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
38.4% | 36.5–40.4% | 35.9–40.9% | 35.5–41.4% | 34.6–42.4% |
| 23–25 January 2019 | Opinium People’s Vote |
40.0% | 38.6–41.4% | 38.2–41.8% | 37.8–42.2% | 37.2–42.8% |
| 16–18 January 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
36.3% | 34.9–37.7% | 34.5–38.1% | 34.2–38.4% | 33.6–39.1% |
| 16–18 January 2019 | ICM Research | 38.9% | 37.5–40.3% | 37.1–40.7% | 36.8–41.0% | 36.2–41.7% |
| 10–17 January 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Politico |
41.5% | 39.5–43.5% | 39.0–44.0% | 38.5–44.5% | 37.6–45.5% |
| 16–17 January 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
38.0% | 36.6–39.4% | 36.2–39.8% | 35.9–40.1% | 35.3–40.8% |
| 14–15 January 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
37.4% | 36.0–38.8% | 35.6–39.2% | 35.3–39.5% | 34.6–40.2% |
| 13–14 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
39.0% | 37.5–40.5% | 37.1–41.0% | 36.7–41.3% | 36.0–42.1% |
| 10–14 January 2019 | Kantar Public | 35.0% | 33.2–36.9% | 32.7–37.4% | 32.2–37.9% | 31.4–38.8% |
| 10–11 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
37.6% | 35.7–39.6% | 35.1–40.2% | 34.7–40.6% | 33.8–41.6% |
| 8–11 January 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
36.0% | 34.4–37.6% | 34.0–38.1% | 33.6–38.5% | 32.9–39.2% |
| 6–7 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
41.4% | 39.9–43.0% | 39.4–43.4% | 39.1–43.8% | 38.3–44.6% |
| 21 December 2018–4 January 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
40.8% | 40.4–41.2% | 40.3–41.3% | 40.2–41.4% | 40.0–41.6% |
| 18–20 December 2018 | Opinium | 38.9% | 37.5–40.4% | 37.1–40.8% | 36.8–41.1% | 36.1–41.8% |
| 16–17 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.5–42.6% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.7–43.4% | 37.9–44.2% |
| 12–14 December 2018 | YouGov People’s Vote |
40.4% | 39.5–41.3% | 39.3–41.6% | 39.1–41.8% | 38.6–42.2% |
| 13–14 December 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
37.9% | 36.5–39.3% | 36.1–39.7% | 35.8–40.0% | 35.1–40.7% |
| 10–11 December 2018 | Populus | 37.8% | 36.4–39.2% | 36.0–39.6% | 35.7–39.9% | 35.0–40.6% |
| 6–7 December 2018 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
38.8% | 37.3–40.4% | 36.8–40.8% | 36.5–41.2% | 35.7–41.9% |
| 5–6 December 2018 | Kantar Public | 37.6% | 35.8–39.4% | 35.3–40.0% | 34.9–40.4% | 34.0–41.3% |
| 30 November–5 December 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 38.0% | 36.1–40.0% | 35.6–40.5% | 35.1–41.0% | 34.2–42.0% |
| 3–4 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.6% | 38.0–41.2% | 37.6–41.6% | 37.2–42.0% | 36.5–42.8% |
| 30 November–2 December 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
37.6% | 36.3–39.0% | 35.9–39.4% | 35.6–39.8% | 34.9–40.5% |
| 26–27 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.4% | 38.9–41.9% | 38.5–42.4% | 38.1–42.8% | 37.4–43.5% |
| 18–19 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.8% | 38.3–41.4% | 37.8–41.8% | 37.5–42.2% | 36.7–42.9% |
| 14–15 November 2018 | Opinium | 36.0% | 34.3–37.8% | 33.8–38.3% | 33.4–38.8% | 32.5–39.6% |
| 14–15 November 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
36.0% | 34.6–37.4% | 34.2–37.8% | 33.9–38.1% | 33.3–38.8% |
| 8–12 November 2018 | Kantar Public | 40.0% | 38.2–41.9% | 37.7–42.4% | 37.2–42.9% | 36.3–43.8% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
39.5% | 38.1–40.9% | 37.7–41.3% | 37.4–41.6% | 36.7–42.3% |
| 4–5 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.4% | 39.9–43.0% | 39.4–43.4% | 39.0–43.8% | 38.3–44.6% |
| 20 October–2 November 2018 | Survation Channel 4 |
39.8% | 39.4–40.3% | 39.2–40.4% | 39.1–40.5% | 38.9–40.7% |
| 29–30 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.7% | 40.2–43.3% | 39.8–43.8% | 39.4–44.2% | 38.6–44.9% |
| 26–28 October 2018 | ICM Research | 40.3% | 38.9–41.7% | 38.5–42.1% | 38.2–42.4% | 37.5–43.1% |
| 24–26 October 2018 | Deltapoll Mirror |
42.8% | 40.8–44.8% | 40.2–45.3% | 39.8–45.8% | 38.8–46.8% |
| 22–23 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.3% | 39.8–42.8% | 39.4–43.2% | 39.0–43.6% | 38.3–44.3% |
| 19–22 October 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 38.5% | 36.6–40.5% | 36.1–41.0% | 35.6–41.5% | 34.7–42.4% |
| 14–15 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.8% | 40.3–43.4% | 39.9–43.9% | 39.5–44.2% | 38.7–45.0% |
| 11–15 October 2018 | Kantar Public | 41.0% | 39.1–42.9% | 38.6–43.4% | 38.1–43.9% | 37.2–44.8% |
| 11–12 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
40.6% | 39.2–42.0% | 38.8–42.4% | 38.5–42.8% | 37.8–43.5% |
| 10 October 2018 | Survation | 39.6% | 37.7–41.6% | 37.1–42.2% | 36.7–42.7% | 35.7–43.7% |
| 8–9 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.4–42.6% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.6–43.4% | 37.9–44.1% |
| 4–7 October 2018 | BMG Research | 37.0% | 35.4–38.6% | 35.0–39.1% | 34.6–39.5% | 33.9–40.3% |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
39.4% | 38.0–40.8% | 37.6–41.2% | 37.3–41.6% | 36.6–42.2% |
| 3–5 October 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
37.9% | 36.3–39.6% | 35.9–40.0% | 35.5–40.4% | 34.8–41.2% |
| 30 September–1 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.4% | 40.9–44.0% | 40.4–44.5% | 40.0–44.9% | 39.3–45.6% |
| 28–29 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
34.7% | 32.9–36.5% | 32.4–37.0% | 32.0–37.4% | 31.2–38.3% |
| 26–28 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
39.7% | 38.3–41.1% | 37.9–41.5% | 37.6–41.9% | 36.9–42.5% |
| 26–27 September 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
39.3% | 37.9–40.7% | 37.5–41.1% | 37.2–41.4% | 36.5–42.1% |
| 24–25 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.3% | 40.8–43.9% | 40.3–44.4% | 39.9–44.8% | 39.2–45.5% |
| 21–24 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
40.8% | 39.4–42.2% | 39.0–42.6% | 38.6–43.0% | 38.0–43.6% |
| 21–22 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
38.2% | 36.2–40.2% | 35.7–40.7% | 35.2–41.2% | 34.3–42.2% |
| 18–20 September 2018 | Opinium | 36.6% | 35.3–38.0% | 34.9–38.4% | 34.6–38.8% | 33.9–39.5% |
| 18–19 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.0% | 38.8–41.3% | 38.4–41.6% | 38.1–42.0% | 37.5–42.6% |
| 14–18 September 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 38.9% | 37.0–40.8% | 36.5–41.4% | 36.0–41.8% | 35.1–42.8% |
| 12–13 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.4% | 38.9–42.0% | 38.4–42.5% | 38.1–42.8% | 37.3–43.6% |
| 11–13 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
39.4% | 38.0–40.8% | 37.6–41.2% | 37.3–41.5% | 36.6–42.2% |
| 6–10 September 2018 | Kantar Public | 40.3% | 38.4–42.2% | 37.9–42.8% | 37.5–43.2% | 36.6–44.1% |
| 7–9 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
41.9% | 40.5–43.3% | 40.1–43.7% | 39.8–44.0% | 39.1–44.7% |
| 7 September 2018 | Survation Daily Mail |
38.4% | 36.5–40.4% | 36.0–40.9% | 35.5–41.4% | 34.6–42.4% |
| 4–7 September 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
36.9% | 35.4–38.5% | 34.9–39.0% | 34.5–39.4% | 33.8–40.1% |
| 3–4 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.0% | 37.5–40.4% | 37.1–40.8% | 36.8–41.2% | 36.1–41.9% |
| 31 August–1 September 2018 | Survation | 37.0% | 35.1–38.9% | 34.5–39.5% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.2–40.9% |
| 28–29 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.4% | 37.9–41.0% | 37.5–41.4% | 37.1–41.8% | 36.4–42.6% |
| 20–21 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.6% | 38.1–41.1% | 37.7–41.6% | 37.3–42.0% | 36.6–42.7% |
| 17–19 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
39.1% | 37.8–40.5% | 37.4–41.0% | 37.0–41.3% | 36.4–42.0% |
| 14–17 August 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
39.0% | 37.6–40.4% | 37.2–40.8% | 36.9–41.2% | 36.2–41.8% |
| 14–16 August 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
36.7% | 35.3–38.1% | 34.9–38.5% | 34.5–38.9% | 33.9–39.6% |
| 13–14 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.6% | 39.1–42.2% | 38.6–42.6% | 38.3–43.0% | 37.5–43.7% |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 38.4% | 36.5–40.4% | 36.0–40.9% | 35.5–41.4% | 34.6–42.4% |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Kantar Public | 39.2% | 37.4–41.1% | 36.9–41.7% | 36.4–42.1% | 35.5–43.0% |
| 6–10 August 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
37.2% | 35.6–38.8% | 35.2–39.3% | 34.8–39.7% | 34.0–40.5% |
| 8–9 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.0% | 37.5–40.5% | 37.0–41.0% | 36.7–41.4% | 36.0–42.1% |
| 3–5 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
39.2% | 37.8–40.6% | 37.4–41.0% | 37.1–41.3% | 36.4–42.0% |
| 30–31 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
38.0% | 36.5–39.5% | 36.1–40.0% | 35.7–40.3% | 35.0–41.1% |
| 20–24 July 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 37.6% | 35.7–39.6% | 35.2–40.2% | 34.7–40.6% | 33.8–41.6% |
| 22–23 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
38.3% | 36.8–39.9% | 36.4–40.3% | 36.0–40.7% | 35.3–41.4% |
| 20–22 July 2018 | ICM Research | 39.5% | 38.1–40.9% | 37.7–41.3% | 37.4–41.7% | 36.7–42.3% |
| 19–20 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
38.0% | 36.5–39.6% | 36.1–40.0% | 35.7–40.4% | 35.0–41.1% |
| 16–17 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
36.3% | 34.8–37.8% | 34.4–38.2% | 34.0–38.6% | 33.3–39.4% |
| 12–14 July 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
37.0% | 35.4–38.6% | 34.9–39.1% | 34.6–39.5% | 33.8–40.3% |
| 10–13 July 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
35.7% | 34.3–37.1% | 33.9–37.4% | 33.6–37.8% | 32.9–38.5% |
| 10–11 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
37.0% | 35.5–38.5% | 35.1–38.9% | 34.8–39.3% | 34.1–40.0% |
| 8–9 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.0% | 37.5–40.6% | 37.1–41.0% | 36.7–41.4% | 36.0–42.1% |
| 5–9 July 2018 | Kantar Public | 40.0% | 38.1–41.9% | 37.5–42.4% | 37.1–42.9% | 36.2–43.9% |
| 6–9 July 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
40.9% | 39.5–42.3% | 39.1–42.7% | 38.7–43.1% | 38.1–43.7% |
| 7 July 2018 | Survation | 38.4% | 36.5–40.4% | 35.9–41.0% | 35.5–41.5% | 34.6–42.4% |
| 3–5 July 2018 | BMG Research | 40.1% | 38.5–41.7% | 38.0–42.2% | 37.7–42.6% | 36.9–43.4% |
| 3–4 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.5–42.6% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.7–43.4% | 37.9–44.2% |
| 22–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 41.0% | 39.1–43.0% | 38.5–43.6% | 38.1–44.1% | 37.1–45.0% |
| 25–26 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.0% | 40.5–43.6% | 40.0–44.0% | 39.6–44.4% | 38.9–45.2% |
| 22–24 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
40.9% | 39.5–42.3% | 39.1–42.7% | 38.7–43.1% | 38.1–43.7% |
| 19–20 June 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
41.9% | 39.9–43.9% | 39.4–44.4% | 38.9–44.9% | 38.0–45.9% |
| 18–19 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.6% | 40.0–43.2% | 39.6–43.6% | 39.2–44.0% | 38.5–44.8% |
| 11–12 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.3% | 40.7–43.9% | 40.3–44.3% | 39.9–44.7% | 39.2–45.5% |
| 8–10 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
42.2% | 40.8–43.6% | 40.4–44.0% | 40.1–44.4% | 39.4–45.1% |
| 5–8 June 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
38.3% | 36.7–39.9% | 36.2–40.4% | 35.8–40.8% | 35.1–41.5% |
| 5–7 June 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
41.2% | 39.8–42.6% | 39.4–43.0% | 39.0–43.4% | 38.4–44.1% |
| 4–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
44.3% | 42.8–45.9% | 42.3–46.4% | 41.9–46.8% | 41.2–47.6% |
| 31 May–4 June 2018 | Survation | 41.4% | 40.0–42.8% | 39.6–43.2% | 39.3–43.6% | 38.6–44.3% |
| 28–29 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.6% | 40.0–43.1% | 39.6–43.6% | 39.2–43.9% | 38.5–44.7% |
| 25–29 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
42.6% | 41.1–44.0% | 40.7–44.4% | 40.4–44.7% | 39.7–45.4% |
| 18–22 May 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 40.2% | 38.2–42.2% | 37.7–42.8% | 37.2–43.3% | 36.3–44.2% |
| 20–21 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.4% | 40.9–44.0% | 40.4–44.4% | 40.0–44.8% | 39.3–45.6% |
| 16–17 May 2018 | ComRes Daily Mail |
41.0% | 39.6–42.4% | 39.2–42.8% | 38.9–43.1% | 38.2–43.8% |
| 15–16 May 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
42.6% | 41.2–44.0% | 40.8–44.4% | 40.4–44.7% | 39.7–45.4% |
| 13–14 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43.0% | 41.5–44.6% | 41.0–45.1% | 40.6–45.5% | 39.9–46.2% |
| 11–13 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
42.5% | 41.1–43.9% | 40.7–44.3% | 40.4–44.6% | 39.7–45.3% |
| 8–10 May 2018 | Survation | 41.0% | 39.4–42.6% | 39.0–43.1% | 38.6–43.5% | 37.9–44.2% |
| 8–9 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43.4% | 41.9–45.0% | 41.4–45.5% | 41.1–45.9% | 40.3–46.6% |
| 1–4 May 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
38.9% | 37.3–40.6% | 36.8–41.1% | 36.4–41.5% | 35.7–42.3% |
| 30 April–1 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.9% | 41.3–44.5% | 40.8–44.9% | 40.5–45.3% | 39.7–46.1% |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
41.9% | 40.5–43.3% | 40.1–43.7% | 39.8–44.1% | 39.1–44.7% |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ComRes Daily Express |
39.5% | 38.1–40.9% | 37.7–41.3% | 37.4–41.7% | 36.7–42.3% |
| 24–25 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43.0% | 41.4–44.6% | 41.0–45.0% | 40.6–45.4% | 39.9–46.1% |
| 20–24 April 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 41.0% | 39.1–43.1% | 38.5–43.6% | 38.0–44.1% | 37.1–45.1% |
| 16–17 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43.0% | 41.4–44.6% | 41.0–45.0% | 40.6–45.4% | 39.8–46.2% |
| 14 April 2018 | Survation The Mail on Sunday |
39.6% | 38.2–41.0% | 37.8–41.4% | 37.5–41.7% | 36.9–42.4% |
| 10–13 April 2018 | BMG Research | 39.2% | 37.6–40.8% | 37.2–41.2% | 36.8–41.6% | 36.0–42.4% |
| 10–12 April 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
40.0% | 38.6–41.4% | 38.2–41.8% | 37.9–42.2% | 37.2–42.8% |
| 11–12 April 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
40.0% | 38.6–41.4% | 38.2–41.8% | 37.9–42.1% | 37.2–42.8% |
| 9–10 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.0% | 38.5–41.6% | 38.0–42.0% | 37.7–42.4% | 36.9–43.2% |
| 6–8 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
41.8% | 40.3–43.4% | 39.8–43.8% | 39.4–44.2% | 38.7–44.9% |
| 4–5 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.6% | 40.0–43.1% | 39.6–43.6% | 39.2–44.0% | 38.5–44.7% |
| 27 March–5 April 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 42.9% | 41.0–44.9% | 40.4–45.5% | 39.9–46.0% | 39.0–46.9% |
| 26–27 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43.5% | 41.9–45.0% | 41.5–45.5% | 41.1–45.9% | 40.3–46.6% |
| 16–18 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
43.5% | 42.0–45.1% | 41.5–45.6% | 41.2–46.0% | 40.4–46.7% |
| 13–16 March 2018 | BMG Research | 37.9% | 36.5–39.4% | 36.0–39.8% | 35.7–40.2% | 35.0–40.9% |
| 14–15 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.0% | 40.6–43.4% | 40.2–43.8% | 39.8–44.2% | 39.2–44.9% |
| 13–15 March 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
41.9% | 40.5–43.3% | 40.1–43.7% | 39.7–44.1% | 39.1–44.7% |
| 7–8 March 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
36.5% | 34.6–38.5% | 34.1–39.0% | 33.6–39.5% | 32.7–40.4% |
| 2–7 March 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 42.9% | 40.9–44.9% | 40.3–45.5% | 39.9–46.0% | 38.9–46.9% |
| 5–6 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.5–42.6% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.7–43.4% | 37.9–44.2% |
| 2–4 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
42.8% | 41.4–44.2% | 41.0–44.6% | 40.7–45.0% | 40.0–45.7% |
| 26–27 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.0% | 39.4–42.5% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.6–43.4% | 37.9–44.1% |
| 19–20 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
39.9% | 38.3–41.4% | 37.9–41.9% | 37.5–42.3% | 36.8–43.0% |
| 16–19 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
41.8% | 40.3–43.4% | 39.8–43.8% | 39.5–44.2% | 38.7–45.0% |
| 12–13 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.4% | 38.9–42.0% | 38.4–42.4% | 38.0–42.8% | 37.3–43.5% |
| 6–12 February 2018 | Kantar Public | 39.4% | 38.1–40.7% | 37.8–41.0% | 37.4–41.3% | 36.9–42.0% |
| 6–9 February 2018 | BMG Research | 39.9% | 38.3–41.5% | 37.8–42.0% | 37.4–42.4% | 36.7–43.2% |
| 6–8 February 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
41.6% | 40.2–43.0% | 39.8–43.4% | 39.5–43.8% | 38.8–44.5% |
| 5–6 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
43.0% | 41.6–44.4% | 41.2–44.8% | 40.8–45.2% | 40.2–45.9% |
| 2–4 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
40.9% | 39.5–42.3% | 39.1–42.7% | 38.8–43.1% | 38.1–43.8% |
| 28–29 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
42.0% | 40.5–43.6% | 40.0–44.0% | 39.6–44.4% | 38.9–45.1% |
| 26–29 January 2018 | Survation | 39.9% | 38.0–41.9% | 37.5–42.4% | 37.0–42.9% | 36.1–43.9% |
| 19–23 January 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 39.0% | 37.1–41.0% | 36.5–41.5% | 36.0–42.0% | 35.1–43.0% |
| 10–19 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
40.9% | 39.9–41.9% | 39.6–42.2% | 39.4–42.4% | 38.9–42.9% |
| 16–17 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
41.3% | 39.8–42.9% | 39.4–43.3% | 39.0–43.7% | 38.3–44.5% |
| 12–14 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
40.3% | 38.9–41.7% | 38.5–42.1% | 38.2–42.5% | 37.5–43.1% |
| 11–12 January 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
40.3% | 38.9–41.7% | 38.5–42.1% | 38.1–42.5% | 37.5–43.1% |
| 9–12 January 2018 | BMG Research | 40.0% | 38.4–41.6% | 37.9–42.1% | 37.5–42.5% | 36.8–43.3% |
| 7–8 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
40.3% | 38.8–41.9% | 38.3–42.3% | 38.0–42.7% | 37.2–43.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Conservative Party.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 10% | 93% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 16% | 83% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 21% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 43.5–44.5% | 22% | 46% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 16% | 24% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 47.5–48.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48.5–49.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 317 seats (General Election of 8 June 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 348 | 321–373 | 313–381 | 308–388 | 292–397 |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Survation | 356 | 340–371 | 336–375 | 333–378 | 327–384 |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Panelbase | 338 | 325–352 | 323–356 | 320–360 | 314–367 |
| 10–11 December 2019 | Opinium | 353 | 344–369 | 341–373 | 336–375 | 327–379 |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 355 | 342–368 | 337–372 | 333–373 | 326–378 |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
360 | 345–377 | 340–379 | 339–380 | 333–385 |
| 9–11 December 2019 | Deltapoll | 347 | 331–367 | 326–372 | 322–376 | 316–382 |
| 6–11 December 2019 | BMG Research | 345 | 326–365 | 322–370 | 318–374 | 311–378 |
| 8–10 December 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg |
344 | 321–366 | 315–371 | 311–376 | 301–383 |
| 9–10 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
314 | 299–327 | 292–331 | 286–335 | 274–344 |
| 6–9 December 2019 | ICM Research | 329 | 316–342 | 310–345 | 303–351 | 291–362 |
| 5–8 December 2019 | Qriously | 383 | 366–394 | 362–398 | 358–401 | 349–411 |
| 6–8 December 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
326 | 316–333 | 314–337 | 313–339 | 311–344 |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
377 | 355–396 | 347–404 | 341–411 | 330–420 |
| 5–7 December 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
352 | 331–372 | 327–375 | 325–377 | 316–385 |
| 5–6 December 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
343 | 323–362 | 320–366 | 316–370 | 309–375 |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Panelbase | 334 | 318–350 | 315–356 | 312–362 | 306–369 |
| 4–6 December 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
370 | 358–384 | 353–390 | 348–394 | 341–403 |
| 4–6 December 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
343 | 324–360 | 317–368 | 314–371 | 305–379 |
| 4–5 December 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
329 | 316–346 | 312–351 | 309–356 | 302–364 |
| 2–4 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
355 | 336–370 | 329–373 | 324–377 | 317–385 |
| 2–3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
333 | 317–350 | 312–356 | 309–361 | 304–366 |
| 2–3 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
342 | 325–360 | 322–364 | 319–367 | 312–372 |
| 28 November–2 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 357 | 333–376 | 325–382 | 321–386 | 311–398 |
| 29 November–2 December 2019 | ICM Research | 332 | 318–348 | 314–354 | 310–358 | 299–366 |
| 26–30 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
346 | 324–371 | 320–377 | 315–381 | 302–390 |
| 28–30 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
364 | 343–381 | 337–385 | 333–389 | 326–402 |
| 28–29 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
333 | 317–353 | 313–359 | 310–364 | 304–372 |
| 27–29 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
370 | 357–384 | 354–388 | 348–394 | 341–403 |
| 27–28 November 2019 | Panelbase | 337 | 322–355 | 319–360 | 315–365 | 307–373 |
| 27–28 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
350 | 333–368 | 329–372 | 326–376 | 318–381 |
| 26–27 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
316 | 302–332 | 296–340 | 289–341 | 275–355 |
| 25–26 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
348 | 329–366 | 325–370 | 321–373 | 314–379 |
| 25–26 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
330 | 316–346 | 313–352 | 309–356 | 297–364 |
| 21–25 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 347 | 322–367 | 319–372 | 313–376 | 304–385 |
| 22–25 November 2019 | ICM Research | 331 | 317–345 | 311–352 | 307–355 | 299–366 |
| 20–23 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
351 | 323–373 | 318–378 | 313–383 | 302–397 |
| 21–23 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
355 | 339–366 | 331–370 | 325–376 | 313–391 |
| 21–22 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
350 | 329–364 | 324–368 | 318–372 | 309–383 |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase | 348 | 329–366 | 326–371 | 322–373 | 315–380 |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
394 | 373–404 | 369–407 | 366–411 | 362–418 |
| 20–21 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Express |
346 | 328–363 | 323–368 | 320–371 | 312–376 |
| 19–21 November 2019 | BMG Research | 367 | 350–384 | 343–389 | 338–395 | 326–404 |
| 12–20 November 2019 | YouGov | 360 | 356–365 | 355–367 | 354–369 | 350–372 |
| 18–19 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
351 | 332–365 | 325–370 | 319–374 | 311–385 |
| 15–19 November 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
370 | 350–391 | 347–395 | 342–402 | 327–412 |
| 18–19 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
343 | 323–361 | 318–365 | 313–368 | 306–376 |
| 14–18 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 383 | 360–403 | 356–407 | 352–411 | 343–420 |
| 15–18 November 2019 | ICM Research | 352 | 333–370 | 329–373 | 325–377 | 317–382 |
| 14–16 November 2019 | Survation | 374 | 353–396 | 345–403 | 339–408 | 326–417 |
| 10–16 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
378 | 366–398 | 360–404 | 354–408 | 345–417 |
| 14–15 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
379 | 362–399 | 358–403 | 355–407 | 347–414 |
| 13–15 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
374 | 363–387 | 358–394 | 357–400 | 350–407 |
| 9–15 November 2019 | BMG Research | 326 | 307–348 | 302–354 | 298–359 | 288–366 |
| 13–14 November 2019 | Panelbase | 355 | 332–375 | 324–381 | 318–387 | 309–400 |
| 13–14 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
332 | 317–351 | 313–355 | 310–361 | 302–369 |
| 11–12 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
370 | 353–388 | 347–392 | 343–400 | 332–407 |
| 11–12 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
334 | 315–354 | 311–358 | 308–362 | 301–366 |
| 7–11 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 345 | 317–365 | 310–370 | 300–372 | 293–386 |
| 8–11 November 2019 | ICM Research | 330 | 311–350 | 308–353 | 305–359 | 299–367 |
| 8–10 November 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
316 | 299–335 | 295–341 | 291–345 | 285–351 |
| 6–9 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
356 | 336–373 | 331–380 | 321–385 | 314–391 |
| 7–8 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times and Sky News |
351 | 336–368 | 330–374 | 323–378 | 314–387 |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Survation | 301 | 286–320 | 282–325 | 277–328 | 265–339 |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Panelbase | 335 | 312–359 | 307–363 | 301–369 | 293–379 |
| 6–8 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
346 | 333–356 | 326–360 | 323–367 | 308–375 |
| 5–8 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
332 | 316–354 | 309–362 | 306–364 | 300–373 |
| 5–6 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
338 | 313–355 | 312–365 | 305–366 | 296–374 |
| 30 October–5 November 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
309 | 303–321 | 297–324 | 293–324 | 288–330 |
| 1–4 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
353 | 342–360 | 337–366 | 337–370 | 329–377 |
| 1–4 November 2019 | ICM Research Reuters |
323 | 308–339 | 304–346 | 301–352 | 291–361 |
| 31 October–2 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
363 | 343–378 | 336–381 | 330–386 | 318–399 |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
348 | 328–359 | 323–362 | 320–367 | 308–376 |
| 30 October–1 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
370 | 356–386 | 352–392 | 349–394 | 344–405 |
| 30–31 October 2019 | Panelbase | 355 | 329–376 | 321–382 | 316–388 | 306–400 |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
324 | 306–343 | 301–348 | 298–351 | 293–357 |
| 30–31 October 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
310 | 298–334 | 296–343 | 290–347 | 282–355 |
| 29–30 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
366 | 343–382 | 338–388 | 333–391 | 328–402 |
| 29–30 October 2019 | Survation | 309 | 283–334 | 277–340 | 272–344 | 258–357 |
| 17–28 October 2019 | YouGov | 353 | 344–361 | 343–362 | 339–363 | 337–366 |
| 25–28 October 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 378 | 351–399 | 346–405 | 341–414 | 332–431 |
| 24–25 October 2019 | YouGov | 354 | 341–371 | 335–375 | 330–382 | 319–389 |
| 23–25 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
375 | 354–388 | 353–393 | 352–397 | 345–402 |
| 20–21 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
372 | 344–390 | 340–393 | 335–395 | 323–399 |
| 18–21 October 2019 | Deltapoll | 344 | 332–358 | 327–366 | 320–373 | 313–378 |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
300 | 277–330 | 270–335 | 264–341 | 253–351 |
| 17–18 October 2019 | Panelbase | 322 | 302–347 | 296–350 | 288–358 | 278–365 |
| 15–17 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
353 | 341–374 | 336–376 | 333–380 | 324–387 |
| 16–17 October 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
279 | 259–294 | 243–299 | 243–299 | 235–309 |
| 14–15 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
367 | 345–383 | 338–385 | 335–387 | 327–400 |
| 10–15 October 2019 | Kantar Public | 362 | 345–389 | 337–397 | 335–400 | 322–411 |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
281 | 255–297 | 248–300 | 241–305 | 230–314 |
| 9–10 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
293 | 279–314 | 275–319 | 270–324 | 256–334 |
| 8–9 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
340 | 324–368 | 321–368 | 316–371 | 299–382 |
| 4–6 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
291 | 275–312 | 273–315 | 270–322 | 259–332 |
| 3–4 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
366 | 347–386 | 347–388 | 346–393 | 342–399 |
| 1–4 October 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
284 | 266–308 | 254–312 | 248–315 | 235–329 |
| 30 September–1 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
335 | 314–347 | 310–347 | 303–357 | 290–362 |
| 26–27 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
312 | 292–333 | 288–335 | 288–340 | 271–355 |
| 25–27 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
328 | 321–341 | 313–341 | 309–344 | 302–351 |
| 24–25 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
306 | 290–321 | 284–328 | 277–337 | 273–349 |
| 25 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
222 | 176–257 | 162–264 | 153–271 | 130–285 |
| 24 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
218 | 189–255 | 179–258 | 170–265 | 156–275 |
| 19–20 September 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
269 | 254–288 | 251–296 | 242–301 | 236–305 |
| 19–20 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
363 | 329–370 | 329–376 | 328–376 | 319–384 |
| 18–19 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
234 | 227–258 | 206–260 | 206–272 | 206–276 |
| 17–18 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
301 | 287–310 | 287–321 | 275–322 | 267–325 |
| 13–16 September 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
302 | 274–327 | 267–337 | 258–340 | 251–358 |
| 12–15 September 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
233 | 211–250 | 205–255 | 199–259 | 190–268 |
| 11–13 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
352 | 340–356 | 329–356 | 317–357 | 312–369 |
| 9–10 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
302 | 273–315 | 273–324 | 265–324 | 256–333 |
| 5–9 September 2019 | Kantar Public | 343 | 342–366 | 335–370 | 325–370 | 299–382 |
| 6–8 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
251 | 213–267 | 208–272 | 207–284 | 206–290 |
| 5–7 September 2019 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
265 | 238–283 | 231–290 | 219–291 | 216–305 |
| 5–6 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
342 | 313–364 | 313–369 | 312–369 | 312–374 |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
255 | 217–280 | 203–289 | 193–302 | 169–309 |
| 5–6 September 2019 | Panelbase | 270 | 248–301 | 228–301 | 225–310 | 209–321 |
| 4–6 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
318 | 293–341 | 293–346 | 293–349 | 285–353 |
| 4–6 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
271 | 256–284 | 242–288 | 231–300 | 219–311 |
| 3–6 September 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
273 | 249–297 | 249–304 | 246–313 | 239–319 |
| 3–4 September 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 277 | 248–299 | 248–316 | 248–321 | 240–334 |
| 2–3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
325 | 301–347 | 301–348 | 301–361 | 291–366 |
| 29–31 August 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
320 | 307–328 | 307–329 | 297–336 | 279–345 |
| 29–30 August 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
271 | 251–304 | 251–309 | 245–312 | 220–329 |
| 28–29 August 2019 | YouGov | 310 | 299–328 | 297–338 | 282–344 | 275–356 |
| 27–28 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
333 | 312–344 | 311–352 | 310–357 | 296–363 |
| 22–23 August 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
328 | 319–335 | 313–345 | 306–348 | 305–355 |
| 21–23 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
287 | 275–300 | 267–311 | 262–316 | 244–319 |
| 20–21 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
312 | 292–334 | 288–339 | 277–345 | 268–345 |
| 15–19 August 2019 | Kantar Public | 352 | 335–366 | 335–378 | 335–382 | 324–393 |
| 13–14 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
291 | 264–309 | 264–316 | 264–319 | 257–332 |
| 7–12 August 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
270 | 264–313 | 260–316 | 258–321 | 254–334 |
| 6–11 August 2019 | Survation | 250 | 225–266 | 215–275 | 205–278 | 193–285 |
| 9–11 August 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
270 | 245–299 | 241–307 | 219–312 | 218–321 |
| 8–9 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
288 | 264–290 | 246–293 | 223–294 | 211–307 |
| 5–6 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
296 | 276–302 | 264–307 | 260–316 | 253–330 |
| 29–30 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
317 | 313–328 | 308–331 | 303–339 | 288–349 |
| 26–30 July 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 302 | 285–331 | 278–339 | 267–345 | 257–357 |
| 26–28 July 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
224 | 208–254 | 194–254 | 190–261 | 182–279 |
| 25–27 July 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
271 | 253–291 | 244–295 | 241–302 | 231–308 |
| 25–26 July 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
303 | 285–324 | 285–325 | 281–326 | 267–337 |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
255 | 228–275 | 218–279 | 211–283 | 197–291 |
| 24–25 July 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
227 | 205–244 | 181–254 | 181–254 | 178–268 |
| 23–24 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
209 | 171–236 | 154–246 | 149–253 | 133–265 |
| 16–17 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
173 | 141–211 | 137–225 | 131–235 | 109–247 |
| 15–16 July 2019 | ComRes | 149 | 120–176 | 116–184 | 110–200 | 98–205 |
| 10–11 July 2019 | Survation | 100 | 70–132 | 64–141 | 59–148 | 47–168 |
| 10–11 July 2019 | ComRes The Express |
128 | 109–152 | 103–161 | 97–167 | 83–185 |
| 9–10 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
156 | 120–181 | 108–187 | 102–201 | 90–217 |
| 5–7 July 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
141 | 125–172 | 118–182 | 111–189 | 102–209 |
| 3–5 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
106 | 90–125 | 83–155 | 81–155 | 72–163 |
| 2–5 July 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
237 | 213–273 | 200–280 | 199–285 | 185–297 |
| 2–3 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
141 | 119–170 | 108–175 | 100–179 | 89–201 |
| 24–25 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
107 | 83–136 | 76–143 | 73–149 | 65–164 |
| 21–25 June 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 230 | 191–259 | 183–265 | 172–273 | 153–288 |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Survation Daily Mail on Sunday |
125 | 103–151 | 98–162 | 93–171 | 84–188 |
| 19–20 June 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
68 | 56–80 | 50–82 | 48–86 | 45–97 |
| 13–14 June 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
80 | 60–100 | 58–108 | 56–116 | 52–128 |
| 9–10 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
2 | 0–8 | 0–26 | 0–31 | 0–40 |
| 7–9 June 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
94 | 82–117 | 77–124 | 72–131 | 64–142 |
| 4–7 June 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
185 | 150–212 | 129–232 | 119–236 | 117–240 |
| 4–6 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
52 | 41–65 | 39–70 | 37–75 | 34–84 |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
49 | 36–55 | 35–57 | 31–59 | 29–64 |
| 29–30 May 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
64 | 52–73 | 49–77 | 48–82 | 44–86 |
| 28–29 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
58 | 44–80 | 42–85 | 40–90 | 36–105 |
| 23–24 May 2019 | Lord Ashcroft | 73 | 67–84 | 65–86 | 63–89 | 59–94 |
| 22 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
216 | 202–232 | 196–235 | 192–241 | 185–248 |
| 14–21 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
95 | 73–112 | 67–120 | 65–125 | 50–141 |
| 17–20 May 2019 | Opinium The Times |
82 | 74–101 | 71–107 | 70–110 | 63–121 |
| 8–17 May 2019 | YouGov Best For Britain |
162 | 143–176 | 139–179 | 136–185 | 126–190 |
| 17 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
207 | 183–237 | 174–240 | 172–243 | 159–268 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
88 | 68–102 | 66–110 | 62–116 | 56–124 |
| 13–14 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
169 | 144–214 | 134–221 | 127–232 | 116–243 |
| 10–14 May 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 179 | 149–221 | 142–235 | 137–247 | 112–266 |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Kantar Public | 179 | 150–204 | 142–211 | 139–211 | 124–220 |
| 9–13 May 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 97 | 77–120 | 70–126 | 64–130 | 54–144 |
| 10–12 May 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
87 | 67–108 | 60–114 | 59–119 | 50–128 |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
116 | 85–129 | 78–135 | 75–142 | 68–148 |
| 7–10 May 2019 | BMG Research | 209 | 191–231 | 187–241 | 182–248 | 174–262 |
| 8–9 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
170 | 126–199 | 121–212 | 120–218 | 114–232 |
| 9 May 2019 | ComRes Brexit Express |
67 | 50–90 | 46–95 | 42–97 | 35–108 |
| 3–7 May 2019 | Opinium | 175 | 152–200 | 148–212 | 139–218 | 123–237 |
| 29–30 April 2019 | YouGov | 244 | 215–276 | 204–278 | 195–282 | 185–294 |
| 23–24 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
219 | 196–243 | 196–250 | 190–252 | 183–264 |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
208 | 189–221 | 184–225 | 179–229 | 168–234 |
| 21–23 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
206 | 171–226 | 159–234 | 151–238 | 139–247 |
| 16–17 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
247 | 233–278 | 228–284 | 222–293 | 215–298 |
| 17 April 2019 | OnePoll The Sun on Sunday |
186 | 165–205 | 163–211 | 155–217 | 142–227 |
| 16–17 April 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
221 | 201–251 | 197–263 | 194–276 | 183–281 |
| 9–12 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
223 | 211–238 | 207–242 | 201–246 | 192–254 |
| 4–8 April 2019 | Kantar Public | 245 | 226–271 | 221–280 | 215–288 | 207–303 |
| 5–8 April 2019 | Hanbury Strategy Open Europe |
224 | 208–237 | 202–241 | 198–244 | 190–251 |
| 3–6 April 2019 | Survation | 261 | 250–268 | 249–270 | 248–273 | 245–277 |
| 2–5 April 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
281 | 253–307 | 249–310 | 245–314 | 237–321 |
| 2–3 April 2019 | YouGov | 276 | 249–299 | 243–302 | 239–306 | 231–313 |
| 28–30 March 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
262 | 242–284 | 237–292 | 233–302 | 221–317 |
| 28–29 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
271 | 251–305 | 248–312 | 247–315 | 240–321 |
| 24–25 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
302 | 277–316 | 273–320 | 267–323 | 254–329 |
| 20–22 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
299 | 272–317 | 264–319 | 259–320 | 254–327 |
| 15–19 March 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 315 | 285–332 | 277–338 | 268–345 | 256–355 |
| 14–15 March 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
309 | 285–332 | 273–332 | 264–334 | 254–347 |
| 15 March 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
255 | 238–281 | 234–291 | 228–299 | 217–314 |
| 12–15 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
317 | 291–326 | 285–330 | 284–333 | 271–340 |
| 7–11 March 2019 | Kantar Public | 349 | 326–369 | 323–373 | 317–375 | 310–384 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | BMG Research | 321 | 300–337 | 290–341 | 284–350 | 269–357 |
| 3–4 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
338 | 320–355 | 317–355 | 317–359 | 310–371 |
| 26 February–1 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
325 | 310–340 | 304–349 | 298–350 | 289–357 |
| 22–23 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
351 | 331–372 | 326–374 | 324–377 | 317–384 |
| 21–23 February 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
342 | 322–364 | 314–369 | 308–376 | 292–387 |
| 18–19 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
333 | 317–350 | 313–355 | 311–362 | 305–369 |
| 18 February 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
318 | 291–342 | 280–346 | 270–350 | 260–364 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
281 | 260–303 | 258–316 | 254–320 | 247–324 |
| 7–11 February 2019 | Kantar Public | 314 | 293–339 | 282–345 | 272–351 | 259–361 |
| 4–8 February 2019 | BMG Research | 304 | 274–320 | 266–329 | 265–332 | 250–339 |
| 1–5 February 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 280 | 251–312 | 247–316 | 241–321 | 235–331 |
| 3–4 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
325 | 312–342 | 309–347 | 304–351 | 292–362 |
| 30 January–1 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
334 | 320–349 | 316–354 | 312–358 | 300–367 |
| 30 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
283 | 257–316 | 251–324 | 246–329 | 239–338 |
| 23–25 January 2019 | Opinium People’s Vote |
318 | 301–335 | 290–340 | 282–342 | 274–350 |
| 16–18 January 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
265 | 249–282 | 247–286 | 245–295 | 238–303 |
| 16–18 January 2019 | ICM Research | 286 | 269–306 | 263–312 | 262–317 | 254–329 |
| 10–17 January 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Politico |
313 | 279–337 | 274–343 | 269–347 | 258–357 |
| 16–17 January 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
291 | 273–319 | 266–323 | 260–326 | 255–333 |
| 14–15 January 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
275 | 259–298 | 255–304 | 251–309 | 244–323 |
| 13–14 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
313 | 299–326 | 290–330 | 285–339 | 271–346 |
| 10–14 January 2019 | Kantar Public | 256 | 238–283 | 234–291 | 229–299 | 222–313 |
| 10–11 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
265 | 247–293 | 242–302 | 237–311 | 228–325 |
| 8–11 January 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
277 | 251–303 | 250–313 | 244–317 | 235–322 |
| 6–7 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
321 | 311–340 | 309–342 | 300–346 | 279–365 |
| 21 December 2018–4 January 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
326 | 319–332 | 318–333 | 317–333 | 316–335 |
| 18–20 December 2018 | Opinium | 294 | 273–318 | 268–323 | 264–329 | 257–335 |
| 16–17 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
306 | 282–327 | 276–331 | 270–335 | 262–344 |
| 12–14 December 2018 | YouGov People’s Vote |
309 | 298–317 | 294–321 | 291–322 | 285–328 |
| 13–14 December 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
276 | 259–298 | 254–306 | 252–312 | 244–321 |
| 10–11 December 2018 | Populus | 274 | 258–291 | 256–300 | 253–305 | 246–315 |
| 6–7 December 2018 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
285 | 261–311 | 256–314 | 253–318 | 247–325 |
| 5–6 December 2018 | Kantar Public | 277 | 255–311 | 251–317 | 247–321 | 238–330 |
| 30 November–5 December 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 280 | 254–312 | 250–319 | 243–324 | 237–333 |
| 3–4 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
300 | 272–320 | 266–324 | 260–328 | 253–334 |
| 30 November–2 December 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
272 | 257–294 | 252–302 | 249–307 | 243–318 |
| 26–27 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
322 | 303–336 | 295–342 | 289–345 | 277–356 |
| 18–19 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
316 | 289–332 | 282–337 | 275–341 | 265–348 |
| 14–15 November 2018 | Opinium | 263 | 246–287 | 242–296 | 238–303 | 230–316 |
| 14–15 November 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
260 | 245–276 | 242–282 | 239–288 | 231–299 |
| 8–12 November 2018 | Kantar Public | 298 | 266–322 | 262–328 | 258–332 | 248–342 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
283 | 266–309 | 262–315 | 259–320 | 252–326 |
| 4–5 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
323 | 299–338 | 292–343 | 284–347 | 273–356 |
| 20 October–2 November 2018 | Survation Channel 4 |
285 | 280–293 | 278–296 | 276–297 | 274–302 |
| 29–30 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
316 | 288–335 | 282–338 | 276–342 | 268–349 |
| 26–28 October 2018 | ICM Research | 309 | 284–330 | 277–332 | 273–335 | 263–342 |
| 24–26 October 2018 | Deltapoll Mirror |
319 | 292–342 | 284–348 | 277–353 | 265–363 |
| 22–23 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
319 | 304–333 | 297–336 | 290–340 | 278–349 |
| 19–22 October 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 300 | 260–319 | 259–324 | 252–330 | 244–340 |
| 14–15 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
326 | 307–341 | 296–343 | 292–351 | 278–359 |
| 11–15 October 2018 | Kantar Public | 317 | 292–337 | 285–343 | 276–349 | 263–360 |
| 11–12 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
319 | 299–332 | 293–335 | 286–339 | 274–347 |
| 10 October 2018 | Survation | 299 | 268–328 | 264–333 | 259–337 | 249–348 |
| 8–9 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
315 | 292–330 | 287–334 | 280–338 | 268–348 |
| 4–7 October 2018 | BMG Research | 271 | 250–300 | 245–306 | 241–312 | 235–323 |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
293 | 271–318 | 269–326 | 266–331 | 263–338 |
| 3–5 October 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
267 | 252–294 | 246–302 | 243–313 | 237–319 |
| 30 September–1 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
330 | 314–347 | 307–353 | 301–357 | 288–366 |
| 28–29 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
241 | 223–258 | 218–266 | 214–274 | 204–289 |
| 26–28 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
310 | 285–324 | 278–329 | 270–331 | 261–339 |
| 26–27 September 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
282 | 265–307 | 261–313 | 257–319 | 250–329 |
| 24–25 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
322 | 307–338 | 299–343 | 296–348 | 282–360 |
| 21–24 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
302 | 278–327 | 272–331 | 269–333 | 262–339 |
| 21–22 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
278 | 253–310 | 248–317 | 243–322 | 235–331 |
| 18–20 September 2018 | Opinium | 264 | 250–287 | 246–293 | 243–299 | 238–311 |
| 18–19 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
307 | 293–318 | 287–322 | 278–325 | 272–332 |
| 14–18 September 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 298 | 262–324 | 255–328 | 251–333 | 241–343 |
| 12–13 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
317 | 292–329 | 282–335 | 276–340 | 264–344 |
| 11–13 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
297 | 273–320 | 268–324 | 265–328 | 260–335 |
| 6–10 September 2018 | Kantar Public | 315 | 291–336 | 284–344 | 275–350 | 261–360 |
| 7–9 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
325 | 298–338 | 293–340 | 285–345 | 278–354 |
| 7 September 2018 | Survation Daily Mail |
294 | 263–324 | 258–329 | 253–334 | 244–343 |
| 4–7 September 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
275 | 263–300 | 260–313 | 256–320 | 245–332 |
| 3–4 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
308 | 287–320 | 279–324 | 274–327 | 262–336 |
| 31 August–1 September 2018 | Survation | 271 | 252–296 | 246–306 | 242–314 | 232–329 |
| 28–29 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
297 | 273–322 | 268–327 | 263–330 | 255–337 |
| 20–21 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
307 | 282–323 | 274–327 | 268–331 | 259–338 |
| 17–19 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
296 | 274–317 | 270–326 | 267–330 | 260–338 |
| 14–17 August 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
300 | 274–320 | 269–325 | 266–328 | 259–335 |
| 14–16 August 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
271 | 253–288 | 247–294 | 244–299 | 239–310 |
| 13–14 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
318 | 290–335 | 283–338 | 278–343 | 269–350 |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 270 | 249–299 | 244–308 | 240–317 | 231–326 |
| 9–13 August 2018 | Kantar Public | 292 | 264–320 | 258–326 | 253–329 | 244–338 |
| 6–10 August 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
267 | 251–293 | 248–301 | 242–308 | 236–321 |
| 8–9 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
311 | 287–324 | 281–329 | 274–332 | 263–341 |
| 3–5 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
280 | 264–305 | 262–308 | 257–318 | 251–326 |
| 30–31 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
282 | 259–306 | 255–312 | 252–318 | 245–326 |
| 20–24 July 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 278 | 254–310 | 248–315 | 243–320 | 235–331 |
| 22–23 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
282 | 258–307 | 255–316 | 250–321 | 244–326 |
| 20–22 July 2018 | ICM Research | 286 | 269–310 | 264–317 | 261–323 | 255–333 |
| 19–20 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
272 | 252–296 | 249–305 | 247–309 | 241–318 |
| 16–17 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
251 | 239–268 | 234–274 | 231–278 | 224–292 |
| 12–14 July 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
263 | 248–282 | 243–287 | 239–293 | 232–307 |
| 10–13 July 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
256 | 243–271 | 240–278 | 237–282 | 229–295 |
| 10–11 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
264 | 251–290 | 246–297 | 242–303 | 237–314 |
| 8–9 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
284 | 263–315 | 259–320 | 256–324 | 248–331 |
| 5–9 July 2018 | Kantar Public | 303 | 268–325 | 262–330 | 258–335 | 250–344 |
| 6–9 July 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
310 | 286–332 | 279–335 | 274–337 | 266–344 |
| 7 July 2018 | Survation | 269 | 250–303 | 245–312 | 240–319 | 231–329 |
| 3–5 July 2018 | BMG Research | 317 | 277–330 | 274–333 | 267–333 | 259–340 |
| 3–4 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
299 | 272–323 | 266–329 | 262–332 | 255–339 |
| 22–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 322 | 285–337 | 274–344 | 270–349 | 259–360 |
| 25–26 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
320 | 298–334 | 292–340 | 290–344 | 272–351 |
| 22–24 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
301 | 280–328 | 272–330 | 270–335 | 261–339 |
| 19–20 June 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
319 | 285–339 | 276–343 | 270–350 | 260–360 |
| 18–19 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
309 | 279–325 | 273–332 | 266–336 | 261–344 |
| 11–12 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
321 | 295–342 | 284–345 | 276–345 | 264–354 |
| 8–10 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
323 | 292–331 | 286–336 | 279–340 | 272–344 |
| 5–8 June 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
270 | 256–294 | 253–297 | 249–305 | 239–320 |
| 5–7 June 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
301 | 284–324 | 276–327 | 272–329 | 264–336 |
| 4–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
339 | 324–357 | 319–362 | 313–368 | 301–376 |
| 31 May–4 June 2018 | Survation | 300 | 280–325 | 274–332 | 270–335 | 262–340 |
| 28–29 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
312 | 284–326 | 276–329 | 272–335 | 263–339 |
| 25–29 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
322 | 298–339 | 291–342 | 287–346 | 277–352 |
| 18–22 May 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 285 | 260–317 | 256–321 | 249–327 | 245–338 |
| 20–21 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
323 | 299–337 | 290–343 | 284–346 | 272–354 |
| 16–17 May 2018 | ComRes Daily Mail |
299 | 279–322 | 275–330 | 271–335 | 264–342 |
| 15–16 May 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
329 | 312–340 | 304–343 | 300–346 | 287–354 |
| 13–14 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
334 | 317–350 | 303–356 | 296–360 | 291–369 |
| 11–13 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
318 | 298–339 | 294–340 | 287–345 | 278–355 |
| 8–10 May 2018 | Survation | 304 | 277–329 | 275–333 | 268–336 | 261–344 |
| 8–9 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
325 | 306–343 | 299–348 | 294–350 | 278–359 |
| 1–4 May 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
280 | 257–305 | 255–313 | 249–318 | 243–329 |
| 30 April–1 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
328 | 305–346 | 295–348 | 291–352 | 277–363 |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
323 | 299–339 | 291–342 | 287–345 | 276–352 |
| 27–29 April 2018 | ComRes Daily Express |
293 | 271–319 | 263–327 | 262–330 | 256–333 |
| 24–25 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
330 | 307–345 | 304–350 | 295–355 | 285–365 |
| 20–24 April 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 290 | 266–333 | 257–334 | 256–335 | 249–342 |
| 16–17 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
328 | 312–346 | 303–351 | 297–354 | 282–362 |
| 14 April 2018 | Survation The Mail on Sunday |
285 | 263–305 | 260–314 | 258–318 | 249–326 |
| 10–13 April 2018 | BMG Research | 299 | 263–316 | 254–318 | 250–321 | 244–331 |
| 10–12 April 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
291 | 269–313 | 266–320 | 263–325 | 255–332 |
| 11–12 April 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
294 | 271–316 | 269–318 | 267–325 | 261–336 |
| 9–10 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
288 | 266–312 | 261–318 | 255–328 | 251–331 |
| 6–8 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
312 | 285–333 | 280–339 | 276–344 | 268–349 |
| 4–5 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
305 | 279–330 | 275–335 | 271–340 | 263–346 |
| 27 March–5 April 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 326 | 300–344 | 290–350 | 284–355 | 269–368 |
| 26–27 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
333 | 308–348 | 302–352 | 296–356 | 284–365 |
| 16–18 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
327 | 298–340 | 290–344 | 284–348 | 273–355 |
| 13–16 March 2018 | BMG Research | 262 | 249–286 | 246–296 | 242–297 | 237–310 |
| 14–15 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
318 | 295–332 | 288–336 | 283–339 | 271–343 |
| 13–15 March 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
319 | 293–330 | 286–336 | 281–339 | 271–346 |
| 7–8 March 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
250 | 230–273 | 228–276 | 222–283 | 203–296 |
| 2–7 March 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 304 | 277–335 | 271–339 | 266–343 | 257–352 |
| 5–6 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
282 | 267–306 | 265–315 | 260–320 | 252–333 |
| 2–4 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
307 | 288–336 | 283–345 | 281–345 | 273–347 |
| 26–27 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
290 | 269–309 | 262–323 | 259–329 | 254–335 |
| 19–20 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
284 | 261–306 | 254–312 | 251–315 | 244–329 |
| 16–19 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
291 | 275–316 | 268–323 | 263–331 | 254–341 |
| 12–13 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
292 | 270–314 | 267–326 | 261–328 | 256–338 |
| 6–12 February 2018 | Kantar Public | 285 | 267–303 | 262–312 | 261–318 | 253–323 |
| 6–9 February 2018 | BMG Research | 297 | 280–325 | 275–334 | 271–340 | 265–346 |
| 6–8 February 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
321 | 300–337 | 285–338 | 279–341 | 270–344 |
| 5–6 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
332 | 308–348 | 304–351 | 302–353 | 289–362 |
| 2–4 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
284 | 271–306 | 267–314 | 264–321 | 259–339 |
| 28–29 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
302 | 282–326 | 274–333 | 272–339 | 265–345 |
| 26–29 January 2018 | Survation | 279 | 266–306 | 259–319 | 254–334 | 243–340 |
| 19–23 January 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 269 | 247–293 | 242–308 | 240–312 | 227–323 |
| 10–19 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
300 | 284–317 | 280–324 | 278–328 | 272–334 |
| 16–17 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
289 | 272–310 | 269–318 | 265–320 | 253–332 |
| 12–14 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
288 | 275–315 | 270–325 | 266–332 | 260–335 |
| 11–12 January 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
294 | 276–320 | 271–326 | 268–329 | 261–336 |
| 9–12 January 2018 | BMG Research | 287 | 268–313 | 263–320 | 258–328 | 250–337 |
| 7–8 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
279 | 261–306 | 256–313 | 252–320 | 245–329 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Conservative Party.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 277 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 278 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 279 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 280 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 281 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 282 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 283 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 284 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 285 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 286 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 287 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 288 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 289 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 290 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 291 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 292 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 293 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 294 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 295 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 296 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 297 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 298 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 299 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 300 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 301 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 302 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 303 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 304 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 305 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 306 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 307 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 308 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 309 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 310 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 311 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 312 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 313 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 314 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 315 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 316 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 317 | 0.6% | 93% | Last Result |
| 318 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 319 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 320 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 321 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 322 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 323 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 324 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 325 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 326 | 1.0% | 85% | Majority |
| 327 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 328 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 329 | 1.5% | 82% | |
| 330 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 331 | 1.4% | 79% | |
| 332 | 1.3% | 77% | |
| 333 | 2% | 76% | |
| 334 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 335 | 2% | 73% | |
| 336 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 337 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 338 | 2% | 69% | |
| 339 | 2% | 67% | |
| 340 | 1.4% | 65% | |
| 341 | 2% | 64% | |
| 342 | 2% | 62% | |
| 343 | 2% | 61% | |
| 344 | 2% | 59% | |
| 345 | 3% | 57% | |
| 346 | 2% | 54% | |
| 347 | 2% | 52% | |
| 348 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 349 | 2% | 49% | |
| 350 | 2% | 47% | |
| 351 | 3% | 45% | |
| 352 | 2% | 42% | |
| 353 | 2% | 41% | |
| 354 | 2% | 39% | |
| 355 | 2% | 37% | |
| 356 | 2% | 35% | |
| 357 | 1.5% | 33% | |
| 358 | 2% | 31% | |
| 359 | 2% | 29% | |
| 360 | 2% | 27% | |
| 361 | 1.5% | 25% | |
| 362 | 2% | 24% | |
| 363 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 364 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 365 | 2% | 20% | |
| 366 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 367 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 368 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 369 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 370 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 371 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 372 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 373 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 374 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 375 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 376 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 377 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 378 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 379 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 380 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 381 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 382 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 383 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 384 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 385 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 386 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 387 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 388 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 389 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 390 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 391 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 392 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 393 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 394 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 395 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 396 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 397 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 398 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 399 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 400 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 401 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 402 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 403 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 404 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 405 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 406 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 407 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 408 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 409 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 410 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 411 | 0% | 0% |