UK Independence Party

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 1.9% (General Election of 8 June 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
10–11 December 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 December 2019 Panelbase 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 December 2019 Opinium 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 December 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 December 2019 Deltapoll 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 December 2019 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 December 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Bloomberg		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 December 2019 ICM Research 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
5–8 December 2019 Qriously 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 December 2019 ComRes
Remain United		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 December 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 December 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
5–6 December 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 December 2019 Panelbase 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 December 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 December 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
4–5 December 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–3 December 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–3 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 November–2 December 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 November–2 December 2019 ICM Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
28–29 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 November 2019 Panelbase 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
25–26 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 November 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 November 2019 ICM Research 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
20–23 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 November 2019 Panelbase 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
20–21 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Express		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 November 2019 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–20 November 2019 YouGov 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 November 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 November 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 November 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–18 November 2019 ICM Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 November 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
9–15 November 2019 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 November 2019 Panelbase 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
13–14 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
7–11 November 2019 Kantar Public 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
8–11 November 2019 ICM Research 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
8–10 November 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
6–9 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
7–8 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times and Sky News		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 November 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 November 2019 Panelbase 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.1%
6–8 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
5–8 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
5–6 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
30 October–5 November 2019 ComRes
Remain United		 0.2% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5%
1–4 November 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.2–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6%
1–4 November 2019 ICM Research
Reuters		 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
31 October–2 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
30 October–1 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
30 October–1 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
30–31 October 2019 Panelbase 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30–31 October 2019 ORB
The Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30–31 October 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
29–30 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 October 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–28 October 2019 YouGov 0.3% 0.2–0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.4%
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos MORI 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
24–25 October 2019 YouGov 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
23–25 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
20–21 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
18–21 October 2019 Deltapoll 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
17–18 October 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
17–18 October 2019 Panelbase 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
15–17 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
16–17 October 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
14–15 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
10–15 October 2019 Kantar Public 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0%
9–11 October 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
9–10 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Express		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
8–9 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
4–6 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
3–4 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
1–4 October 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
30 September–1 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
26–27 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
25–27 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
24–25 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
25 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 September 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
19–20 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
18–19 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
17–18 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
13–16 September 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
12–15 September 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%
11–13 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
9–10 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
5–9 September 2019 Kantar Public 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
6–8 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
5–7 September 2019 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday		 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
5–6 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
5–6 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 September 2019 Panelbase 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
4–6 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
4–6 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
3–6 September 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
3–4 September 2019 Hanbury Strategy 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
2–3 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
29–31 August 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
29–30 August 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 August 2019 YouGov 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
27–28 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
22–23 August 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
21–23 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
20–21 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
15–19 August 2019 Kantar Public 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.0–1.0%
13–14 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
7–12 August 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
6–11 August 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 August 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
8–9 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
5–6 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
29–30 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7%
26–30 July 2019 Ipsos MORI 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
26–28 July 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
25–27 July 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
25–26 July 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
24–26 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
24–25 July 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
23–24 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
16–17 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
15–16 July 2019 ComRes 1.0% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
10–11 July 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 July 2019 ComRes
The Express		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
9–10 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
5–7 July 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
3–5 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
2–5 July 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.2%
2–3 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
24–25 June 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%
21–25 June 2019 Ipsos MORI 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
19–20 June 2019 Survation
Daily Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
19–20 June 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
13–14 June 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%
9–10 June 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%
7–9 June 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
4–7 June 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
4–6 June 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
29–30 May 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6%
28–29 May 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
23–24 May 2019 Lord Ashcroft 3.0% 2.8–3.2% 2.7–3.3% 2.7–3.4% 2.6–3.5%
22 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
14–21 May 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times		 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
17–20 May 2019 Opinium
The Times		 2.0% 1.7–2.5% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0%
8–17 May 2019 YouGov
Best For Britain		 2.0% 1.8–2.2% 1.8–2.3% 1.7–2.3% 1.6–2.4%
17 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
14–16 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
13–14 May 2019 YouGov
The Times		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
10–14 May 2019 Ipsos MORI 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
9–13 May 2019 Kantar Public 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
9–13 May 2019 Hanbury Strategy 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
10–12 May 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.4%
8–10 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
7–10 May 2019 BMG Research 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
8–9 May 2019 YouGov
The Times		 2.0% 1.7–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9%
9 May 2019 ComRes
Brexit Express		 2.9% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
3–7 May 2019 Opinium 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
29–30 April 2019 YouGov 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0%
23–24 April 2019 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
18–24 April 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times		 4.9% 4.4–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3%
21–23 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.8–5.7%
16–17 April 2019 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
17 April 2019 OnePoll
The Sun on Sunday		 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
16–17 April 2019 ORB
The Telegraph		 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
9–12 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 11.0% 10.2–12.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–12.9%
4–8 April 2019 Kantar Public 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.3% 5.6–8.5% 5.2–9.0%
5–8 April 2019 Hanbury Strategy
Open Europe		 7.9% 7.2–8.7% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.2% 6.5–9.6%
3–6 April 2019 Survation 6.9% 6.5–7.4% 6.4–7.5% 6.3–7.6% 6.1–7.8%
2–5 April 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 6.1% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.6–7.8%
2–3 April 2019 YouGov 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.6–8.7%
28–30 March 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
28–29 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 9.0% 8.2–9.8% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.7%
24–25 March 2019 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
20–22 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.8%
15–19 March 2019 Ipsos MORI 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
14–15 March 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote		 5.0% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.4% 4.8–7.8%
15 March 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
12–15 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
7–11 March 2019 Kantar Public 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.1%
4–8 March 2019 BMG Research 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
3–4 March 2019 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.1%
26 February–1 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
22–23 February 2019 YouGov
The Times		 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
21–23 February 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
18–19 February 2019 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.4%
18 February 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
13–15 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6%
7–11 February 2019 Kantar Public 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
4–8 February 2019 BMG Research 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.6–6.6%
1–5 February 2019 Ipsos MORI 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
3–4 February 2019 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
30 January–1 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
30 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
23–25 January 2019 Opinium
People’s Vote		 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
16–18 January 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
16–18 January 2019 ICM Research 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.4%
10–17 January 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Politico		 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
16–17 January 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
14–15 January 2019 ComRes
Daily Express		 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.1% 6.0–8.3% 5.7–8.7%
13–14 January 2019 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
10–14 January 2019 Kantar Public 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.3–8.0%
10–11 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 3.9% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
8–11 January 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
6–7 January 2019 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
21 December 2018–4 January 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote		 4.1% 3.9–4.3% 3.9–4.3% 3.8–4.3% 3.8–4.4%
18–20 December 2018 Opinium 6.0% 5.3–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
16–17 December 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
12–14 December 2018 YouGov
People’s Vote		 4.0% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8%
13–14 December 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
10–11 December 2018 Populus 6.1% 5.5–6.9% 5.3–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.7%
6–7 December 2018 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%
5–6 December 2018 Kantar Public 4.9% 4.2–5.8% 4.0–6.1% 3.8–6.3% 3.5–6.8%
30 November–5 December 2018 Ipsos MORI 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
3–4 December 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
30 November–2 December 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 6.1% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.8–7.6%
26–27 November 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
18–19 November 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
14–15 November 2018 Opinium 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2%
14–15 November 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
8–12 November 2018 Kantar Public 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
2–7 November 2018 Panelbase
Constitutional Commission		 5.0% 4.4–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3%
4–5 November 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
20 October–2 November 2018 Survation
Channel 4		 3.1% 2.9–3.2% 2.9–3.3% 2.8–3.3% 2.8–3.4%
29–30 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
26–28 October 2018 ICM Research 5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
24–26 October 2018 Deltapoll
Mirror		 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
22–23 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.1% 3.5–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4%
19–22 October 2018 Ipsos MORI 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
14–15 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.5%
11–15 October 2018 Kantar Public 3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
11–12 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 5.9% 5.3–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.7–7.4%
10 October 2018 Survation 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
8–9 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
4–7 October 2018 BMG Research 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
3–5 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 6.1% 5.4–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.8–7.6%
3–5 October 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
30 September–1 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
28–29 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK		 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8%
26–28 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 6.1% 5.5–6.9% 5.3–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.6%
26–27 September 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 5.1% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
24–25 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
21–24 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.3%
21–22 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK		 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
18–20 September 2018 Opinium 7.9% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.2% 6.5–9.6%
18–19 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 5.0% 4.5–5.6% 4.3–5.8% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2%
14–18 September 2018 Ipsos MORI 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
12–13 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
11–13 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 6.1% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.8–7.6%
6–10 September 2018 Kantar Public 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
7–9 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.3%
7 September 2018 Survation
Daily Mail		 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
4–7 September 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
3–4 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%
31 August–1 September 2018 Survation 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
28–29 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
20–21 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
17–19 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.4%
14–17 August 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
14–16 August 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday		 5.9% 5.3–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
13–14 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
9–13 August 2018 Number Cruncher Politics 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
9–13 August 2018 Kantar Public 3.9% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.2% 2.7–5.7%
6–10 August 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
8–9 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
3–5 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 6.1% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.8–7.5%
30–31 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
20–24 July 2018 Ipsos MORI 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
22–23 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
20–22 July 2018 ICM Research 4.9% 4.4–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3%
19–20 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.7%
16–17 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 7.1% 6.3–7.9% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.8%
12–14 July 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday		 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
10–13 July 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 7.9% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.2% 6.5–9.6%
10–11 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
8–9 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 5.0% 4.3–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
5–9 July 2018 Kantar Public 3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.6%
6–9 July 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
7 July 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 July 2018 BMG Research 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
3–4 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
22–27 June 2018 Ipsos MORI 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
25–26 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
22–24 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
19–20 June 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
18–19 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.0–4.3%
11–12 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
8–10 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1%
5–8 June 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5%
5–7 June 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 2.9% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
4–5 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
31 May–4 June 2018 Survation 2.0% 1.7–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.8% 1.3–3.0%
28–29 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
25–29 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 2.9% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
18–22 May 2018 Ipsos MORI 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
20–21 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 2.0% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1%
16–17 May 2018 ComRes
Daily Mail		 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
15–16 May 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
13–14 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
11–13 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
8–10 May 2018 Survation 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
8–9 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1%
1–4 May 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.8–5.5%
30 April–1 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%
27–29 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
27–29 April 2018 ComRes
Daily Express		 4.9% 4.4–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3%
24–25 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
20–24 April 2018 Ipsos MORI 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
16–17 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
14 April 2018 Survation
The Mail on Sunday		 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
10–13 April 2018 BMG Research 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
10–12 April 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.4%
11–12 April 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
9–10 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
6–8 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
4–5 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
27 March–5 April 2018 Number Cruncher Politics 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
26–27 March 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
16–18 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
13–16 March 2018 BMG Research 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
14–15 March 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
13–15 March 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
7–8 March 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
2–7 March 2018 Ipsos MORI 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
5–6 March 2018 YouGov
The Times		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1%
2–4 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 2.0% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
26–27 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
19–20 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
16–19 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
12–13 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
6–12 February 2018 Kantar Public 4.0% 3.6–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2%
6–9 February 2018 BMG Research 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
6–8 February 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 4.9% 4.4–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3%
5–6 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
2–4 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
28–29 January 2018 YouGov
The Times		 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0%
26–29 January 2018 Survation 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
19–23 January 2018 Ipsos MORI 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.7%
10–19 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.6–4.4% 3.5–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8%
16–17 January 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
12–14 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
11–12 January 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
9–12 January 2018 BMG Research 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5%
7–8 January 2018 YouGov
The Times		 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for UK Independence Party.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 96% 100% Median
0.5–1.5% 4% 4%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0 0 0
10–11 December 2019 Survation          
10–11 December 2019 Panelbase          
10–11 December 2019 Opinium          
9–11 December 2019 Kantar Public          
9–11 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		          
9–11 December 2019 Deltapoll          
6–11 December 2019 BMG Research          
8–10 December 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Bloomberg		          
9–10 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		          
6–9 December 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
5–8 December 2019 Qriously          
6–8 December 2019 ComRes
Remain United		          
5–7 December 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain		          
5–7 December 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
5–6 December 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		          
4–6 December 2019 Panelbase          
4–6 December 2019 Opinium
The Observer		          
4–6 December 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
4–5 December 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph		          
2–4 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		          
2–3 December 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		          
2–3 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		          
28 November–2 December 2019 Kantar Public          
29 November–2 December 2019 ICM Research          
26–30 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain		          
28–30 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
28–29 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		          
27–29 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		          
27–28 November 2019 Panelbase          
27–28 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph		          
26–27 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
25–26 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		          
25–26 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		          
21–25 November 2019 Kantar Public          
22–25 November 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
20–23 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain		          
21–23 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		          
21–22 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		          
20–22 November 2019 Panelbase          
20–22 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
20–21 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Express		          
19–21 November 2019 BMG Research          
12–20 November 2019 YouGov          
18–19 November 2019 YouGov
The Times		          
15–19 November 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		          
18–19 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		          
14–18 November 2019 Kantar Public          
15–18 November 2019 ICM Research          
14–16 November 2019 Survation          
10–16 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		          
14–15 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		          
13–15 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
9–15 November 2019 BMG Research          
13–14 November 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
13–14 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph		          
11–12 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		          
11–12 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
7–11 November 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
8–11 November 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
8–10 November 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0 0 0 0 0
6–9 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
7–8 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times and Sky News		          
6–8 November 2019 Survation          
6–8 November 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
6–8 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
5–8 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
5–6 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News		 0 0 0 0 0
30 October–5 November 2019 ComRes
Remain United		 0 0 0 0 0
1–4 November 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
1–4 November 2019 ICM Research
Reuters		 0 0 0 0 0
31 October–2 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
30 October–1 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
30 October–1 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
30–31 October 2019 Panelbase          
30–31 October 2019 ORB
The Telegraph		          
30–31 October 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 0 0 0 0 0
29–30 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		          
29–30 October 2019 Survation          
17–28 October 2019 YouGov 0 0 0 0 0
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
24–25 October 2019 YouGov 0 0 0 0 0
23–25 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
20–21 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
18–21 October 2019 Deltapoll 0 0 0 0 0
17–18 October 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0 0 0 0 0
17–18 October 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
15–17 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
16–17 October 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0 0 0 0 0
14–15 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
10–15 October 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 October 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
9–10 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Express		 0 0 0 0 0
8–9 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
4–6 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
3–4 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
1–4 October 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
30 September–1 October 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
26–27 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
25–27 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
24–25 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
25 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		          
24 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		          
19–20 September 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote		 0 0 0 0 0
19–20 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
18–19 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0 0 0 0 0
17–18 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
13–16 September 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard		 0 0 0 0 0
12–15 September 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 0 0 0 0 0
11–13 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
9–10 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
5–9 September 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
6–8 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
5–7 September 2019 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
5–6 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
5–6 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		          
5–6 September 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
4–6 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
4–6 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0 0 0 0 0
3–6 September 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
3–4 September 2019 Hanbury Strategy 0 0 0 0 0
2–3 September 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
29–31 August 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
29–30 August 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		          
28–29 August 2019 YouGov 0 0 0 0 0
27–28 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
22–23 August 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
21–23 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
20–21 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
15–19 August 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
13–14 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
7–12 August 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
6–11 August 2019 Survation          
9–11 August 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
8–9 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
5–6 August 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
29–30 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
26–30 July 2019 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
26–28 July 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects		 0 0 0 0 0
25–27 July 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
25–26 July 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
24–26 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
24–25 July 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 0 0 0 0 0
23–24 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
16–17 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
15–16 July 2019 ComRes 0 0 0 0 0
10–11 July 2019 Survation          
10–11 July 2019 ComRes
The Express		 0 0 0 0 0
9–10 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
5–7 July 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
3–5 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
2–5 July 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
2–3 July 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
24–25 June 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
21–25 June 2019 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
19–20 June 2019 Survation
Daily Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
19–20 June 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
13–14 June 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
9–10 June 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
7–9 June 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
4–7 June 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 0 0 0 0 0
4–6 June 2019 YouGov
The Times		          
28–30 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
29–30 May 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
28–29 May 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
23–24 May 2019 Lord Ashcroft 0 0 0 0 0
22 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0 0 0 0 0
14–21 May 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
17–20 May 2019 Opinium
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
8–17 May 2019 YouGov
Best For Britain		 0 0 0 0 0
17 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 0 0 0 0 0
14–16 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
13–14 May 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
10–14 May 2019 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
9–13 May 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
9–13 May 2019 Hanbury Strategy 0 0 0 0 0
10–12 May 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
8–10 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
7–10 May 2019 BMG Research 0 0 0 0 0
8–9 May 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
9 May 2019 ComRes
Brexit Express		 0 0 0 0 0
3–7 May 2019 Opinium 0 0 0 0 0
29–30 April 2019 YouGov 0 0 0 0 0
23–24 April 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
18–24 April 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times		 0 0 0 0 0
21–23 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0 0 0
16–17 April 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
17 April 2019 OnePoll
The Sun on Sunday		 0 0 0 0 0
16–17 April 2019 ORB
The Telegraph		 0 0 0 0 0
9–12 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 10 2–13 2–15 2–17 2–18
4–8 April 2019 Kantar Public 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
5–8 April 2019 Hanbury Strategy
Open Europe		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
3–6 April 2019 Survation 1 1 1 1 1
2–5 April 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
2–3 April 2019 YouGov 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
28–30 March 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
28–29 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2 2 2 2–5 1–6
24–25 March 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
20–22 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2 2 2 2–4 1–5
15–19 March 2019 Ipsos MORI 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
14–15 March 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote		 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
15 March 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 1 1 1 1 0–1
12–15 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
7–11 March 2019 Kantar Public 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
4–8 March 2019 BMG Research 1 1 1 1 1
3–4 March 2019 YouGov
The Times		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
26 February–1 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
22–23 February 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
21–23 February 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday		 1 1 1 1 0–1
18–19 February 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
18 February 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 1 1 1 1 0–1
13–15 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
7–11 February 2019 Kantar Public 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–8 February 2019 BMG Research 1 1 1 1 1
1–5 February 2019 Ipsos MORI 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
3–4 February 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
30 January–1 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
30 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
23–25 January 2019 Opinium
People’s Vote		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
16–18 January 2019 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1–2
16–18 January 2019 ICM Research 1 1 1 1 1
10–17 January 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Politico		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
16–17 January 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1 1 1 1 1
14–15 January 2019 ComRes
Daily Express		 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
13–14 January 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
10–14 January 2019 Kantar Public 1 1 1 1 1–2
10–11 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
8–11 January 2019 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 1 1 1 1–2
6–7 January 2019 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
21 December 2018–4 January 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote		 1 1 1 1 1
18–20 December 2018 Opinium 1 1 1 1 1
16–17 December 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
12–14 December 2018 YouGov
People’s Vote		 1 1 1 1 0–1
13–14 December 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
10–11 December 2018 Populus 1 1 1 1 1
6–7 December 2018 YouGov
The Sunday Times		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
5–6 December 2018 Kantar Public 1 1 1 1 1
30 November–5 December 2018 Ipsos MORI 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
3–4 December 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
30 November–2 December 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1 1 1 1 1
26–27 November 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
18–19 November 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1–2
14–15 November 2018 Opinium 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
14–15 November 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1 1 1 1 1–2
8–12 November 2018 Kantar Public 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
2–7 November 2018 Panelbase
Constitutional Commission		 1 1 1 1 1
4–5 November 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
20 October–2 November 2018 Survation
Channel 4		 0 0 0 0 0
29–30 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
26–28 October 2018 ICM Research 1 1 1 1 1
24–26 October 2018 Deltapoll
Mirror		 1 1 1 1 0–1
22–23 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
19–22 October 2018 Ipsos MORI 1 1 1 1 0–1
14–15 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–15 October 2018 Kantar Public 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–12 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
10 October 2018 Survation 1 1 1 1 1–2
8–9 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–7 October 2018 BMG Research 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
3–5 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
3–5 October 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
30 September–1 October 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
28–29 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK		 1 1 1 1 0–1
26–28 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1–2
26–27 September 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1 1 1 1 1
24–25 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
21–24 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
21–22 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK		 1 1 1 1 1
18–20 September 2018 Opinium 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
18–19 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
14–18 September 2018 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
12–13 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–13 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
6–10 September 2018 Kantar Public 1 1 1 1 0–1
7–9 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
7 September 2018 Survation
Daily Mail		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–7 September 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
3–4 September 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
31 August–1 September 2018 Survation 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
28–29 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
20–21 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1–2
17–19 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 1 1 1 1
14–17 August 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
14–16 August 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday		 1 1 1 1 1
13–14 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
9–13 August 2018 Number Cruncher Politics 1 1 1 1 0–1
9–13 August 2018 Kantar Public 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–10 August 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 1 1 1 1
8–9 August 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
3–5 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 1 1 1 1
30–31 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
20–24 July 2018 Ipsos MORI 1 1 1 1 1–2
22–23 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
20–22 July 2018 ICM Research 1 1 1 1 1
19–20 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
16–17 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1–2
12–14 July 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday		 1 1 1 1 1
10–13 July 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
10–11 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
8–9 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 1 1 1 1
5–9 July 2018 Kantar Public 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–9 July 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
7 July 2018 Survation          
3–5 July 2018 BMG Research 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
3–4 July 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
22–27 June 2018 Ipsos MORI 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
25–26 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
22–24 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
19–20 June 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
18–19 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–12 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
8–10 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
5–8 June 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
5–7 June 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–5 June 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
31 May–4 June 2018 Survation 0 0 0 0 0
28–29 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
25–29 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
18–22 May 2018 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
20–21 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
16–17 May 2018 ComRes
Daily Mail		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
15–16 May 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
13–14 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–13 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
8–10 May 2018 Survation 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
8–9 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
1–4 May 2018 BMG Research
The Independent		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
30 April–1 May 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
27–29 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
27–29 April 2018 ComRes
Daily Express		 1 1 1 1 1
24–25 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
20–24 April 2018 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
16–17 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
14 April 2018 Survation
The Mail on Sunday		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
10–13 April 2018 BMG Research 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
10–12 April 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
11–12 April 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
9–10 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–8 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–5 April 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
27 March–5 April 2018 Number Cruncher Politics 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
26–27 March 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
16–18 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0 0 0
13–16 March 2018 BMG Research 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
14–15 March 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
13–15 March 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
7–8 March 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
2–7 March 2018 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
5–6 March 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
2–4 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0 0 0
26–27 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0–1
19–20 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
16–19 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
12–13 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–12 February 2018 Kantar Public 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–9 February 2018 BMG Research 1 1 1 1 1
6–8 February 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
5–6 February 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
2–4 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
28–29 January 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0 0 0
26–29 January 2018 Survation 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
19–23 January 2018 Ipsos MORI 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
10–19 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
16–17 January 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
12–14 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–12 January 2018 Opinium
The Observer		 1 1 1 1 1
9–12 January 2018 BMG Research 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
7–8 January 2018 YouGov
The Times		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for UK Independence Party.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median