Opinion Poll by ICM Research for The Guardian, 2–4 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 40.9% 39.5–42.3% 39.1–42.7% 38.8–43.1% 38.1–43.8%
Labour Party 40.0% 39.9% 38.5–41.3% 38.1–41.7% 37.8–42.0% 37.1–42.7%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.5–9.6%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
Green Party 1.6% 3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 284 271–306 267–314 264–321 259–339
Labour Party 262 294 269–314 262–319 258–325 241–331
Liberal Democrats 12 19 15–23 13–24 12–25 9–26
UK Independence Party 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 29 13–47 9–48 7–51 2–54
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.8%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0.2% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.3% 99.5%  
261 0.8% 99.2%  
262 0.5% 98%  
263 0.3% 98%  
264 0.2% 98%  
265 0.6% 97%  
266 0.8% 97%  
267 2% 96%  
268 1.3% 94%  
269 0.3% 93%  
270 2% 93%  
271 2% 91%  
272 2% 88%  
273 2% 86%  
274 0.4% 85%  
275 4% 84%  
276 1.0% 81%  
277 13% 80%  
278 0.6% 66%  
279 3% 66%  
280 3% 63%  
281 2% 60%  
282 1.3% 58%  
283 0.8% 57%  
284 6% 56% Median
285 5% 50%  
286 2% 45%  
287 1.2% 42%  
288 5% 41%  
289 2% 36%  
290 0.5% 34%  
291 3% 34%  
292 1.0% 30%  
293 2% 29%  
294 0.5% 27%  
295 0.9% 26%  
296 1.3% 25%  
297 0.7% 24%  
298 4% 23%  
299 0.5% 19%  
300 0.4% 18%  
301 0.1% 18%  
302 0.3% 18%  
303 5% 18%  
304 2% 13%  
305 0% 11%  
306 1.4% 11%  
307 0% 10%  
308 2% 10%  
309 0.2% 8%  
310 0.1% 8%  
311 0.5% 8%  
312 0.7% 7%  
313 0.3% 7%  
314 2% 6%  
315 0.3% 4%  
316 1.2% 4%  
317 0.2% 3% Last Result
318 0.1% 3%  
319 0% 3%  
320 0.2% 3%  
321 0.1% 3%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.5% 2%  
326 0.1% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 2%  
328 0.1% 2%  
329 0.1% 1.5%  
330 0.2% 1.4%  
331 0.2% 1.2%  
332 0.1% 1.1%  
333 0.1% 1.0%  
334 0.1% 0.9%  
335 0% 0.8%  
336 0.1% 0.8%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.4%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.7%  
240 0.1% 99.6%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0.1% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.3%  
244 0.1% 99.2%  
245 0% 99.2%  
246 0.1% 99.1%  
247 0.1% 99.1%  
248 0.2% 99.0%  
249 0.2% 98.8%  
250 0.1% 98.6%  
251 0.1% 98.5%  
252 0.1% 98%  
253 0.1% 98%  
254 0.2% 98%  
255 0.3% 98%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 0.6% 97%  
260 1.4% 97%  
261 0.1% 95%  
262 2% 95% Last Result
263 0% 94%  
264 0.1% 94%  
265 0.8% 93%  
266 0.2% 93%  
267 0.4% 92%  
268 0.9% 92%  
269 2% 91%  
270 0.7% 89%  
271 4% 88%  
272 0.1% 85%  
273 0.6% 84%  
274 0.2% 84%  
275 0.4% 84%  
276 0.8% 83%  
277 0.4% 83%  
278 1.0% 82%  
279 0.5% 81%  
280 0.8% 81%  
281 2% 80%  
282 2% 78%  
283 0.8% 76%  
284 2% 75%  
285 4% 73%  
286 0.6% 68%  
287 4% 68%  
288 2% 64%  
289 0.8% 61%  
290 1.1% 60%  
291 0.6% 59%  
292 2% 59%  
293 1.4% 56%  
294 5% 55% Median
295 2% 50%  
296 1.1% 48%  
297 0.8% 47%  
298 1.0% 46%  
299 3% 45%  
300 3% 42%  
301 0.2% 39%  
302 0.9% 39%  
303 0.7% 38%  
304 0.9% 38%  
305 4% 37%  
306 10% 33%  
307 1.3% 23%  
308 0.2% 22%  
309 6% 22%  
310 1.4% 16%  
311 0.4% 15%  
312 0.4% 14%  
313 4% 14%  
314 0.6% 10%  
315 0.9% 10%  
316 3% 9%  
317 0.3% 6%  
318 0.1% 5%  
319 0.9% 5%  
320 0.2% 4%  
321 0.7% 4%  
322 0.1% 3%  
323 0.2% 3%  
324 0.5% 3%  
325 0.3% 3%  
326 1.4% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 0.9%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0.1% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.8%  
9 0.9% 99.7%  
10 0.2% 98.8%  
11 0.8% 98.6%  
12 0.5% 98% Last Result
13 2% 97%  
14 2% 95%  
15 9% 93%  
16 9% 84%  
17 14% 75%  
18 7% 61%  
19 17% 53% Median
20 12% 37%  
21 12% 25%  
22 0.6% 13%  
23 7% 12%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.5% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.1%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 87% 87% Median
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.5% 100%  
3 0.2% 99.5%  
4 0.4% 99.3%  
5 0.2% 98.8%  
6 0.1% 98.6%  
7 1.5% 98.5%  
8 0.3% 97%  
9 5% 97%  
10 0% 92%  
11 1.1% 92%  
12 0.3% 91%  
13 4% 90%  
14 0.2% 86%  
15 0.1% 86%  
16 0% 86%  
17 1.1% 86%  
18 3% 85%  
19 0.9% 82%  
20 0.2% 81%  
21 1.0% 81%  
22 0.1% 80%  
23 5% 80%  
24 4% 75%  
25 0.1% 71%  
26 4% 71%  
27 0.7% 67%  
28 14% 67%  
29 4% 52% Median
30 0.8% 48%  
31 0.9% 47%  
32 1.0% 46%  
33 1.2% 45%  
34 0.2% 44%  
35 6% 44% Last Result
36 0.3% 38%  
37 0.2% 37%  
38 3% 37%  
39 4% 34%  
40 3% 31%  
41 7% 28%  
42 2% 21%  
43 2% 19%  
44 3% 17%  
45 2% 15%  
46 1.2% 13%  
47 3% 12%  
48 4% 9%  
49 1.5% 5%  
50 0.2% 3%  
51 1.3% 3%  
52 0.3% 2%  
53 0.8% 2%  
54 0.6% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Median
1 7% 12%  
2 3% 5%  
3 0.3% 2%  
4 0.7% 1.4% Last Result
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 346 89% 324–359 316–363 309–367 292–371
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 346 89% 324–359 316–363 308–366 289–371
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 316 29% 297–344 293–352 286–357 280–374
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 315 29% 297–344 293–352 286–357 280–372
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 328 58% 307–340 299–345 293–347 277–353
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 327 58% 307–340 299–344 292–347 274–352
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 314 22% 286–334 278–338 273–344 256–350
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 315 22% 286–334 278–338 273–344 258–350
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 303 9% 290–323 285–331 284–337 278–354
Labour Party 262 294 2% 269–314 262–319 258–325 241–331
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 294 2% 269–314 262–319 258–325 243–332
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 285 2% 271–306 267–314 265–322 260–341
Conservative Party 317 284 2% 271–306 267–314 264–321 259–339

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.2% 99.6%  
293 0% 99.4%  
294 0.2% 99.4%  
295 0% 99.2%  
296 0.1% 99.2%  
297 0.1% 99.1%  
298 0.1% 99.0%  
299 0.2% 98.9%  
300 0.2% 98.8%  
301 0.1% 98.6%  
302 0.1% 98.6%  
303 0.1% 98%  
304 0.1% 98%  
305 0.4% 98%  
306 0.1% 98%  
307 0.1% 98%  
308 0.2% 98%  
309 0.1% 98%  
310 0.1% 97%  
311 0.1% 97%  
312 0.1% 97%  
313 0.2% 97% Last Result
314 1.0% 97%  
315 0.4% 96%  
316 2% 96%  
317 0.2% 94%  
318 0.8% 94%  
319 0.5% 93%  
320 0.1% 92%  
321 0.3% 92%  
322 2% 92%  
323 0.1% 90%  
324 1.4% 90%  
325 0% 89%  
326 2% 89% Majority
327 5% 87%  
328 0.2% 82%  
329 0.2% 82%  
330 0.4% 82%  
331 0.5% 82%  
332 4% 81%  
333 1.0% 77%  
334 1.1% 76%  
335 0.7% 75%  
336 0.8% 74%  
337 2% 73%  
338 1.2% 71%  
339 3% 70%  
340 0.3% 66%  
341 2% 66%  
342 5% 64% Median
343 1.0% 59%  
344 3% 58%  
345 5% 55%  
346 6% 50%  
347 0.5% 44%  
348 1.2% 44%  
349 3% 43%  
350 3% 40%  
351 0.3% 37%  
352 3% 37%  
353 13% 34%  
354 0.8% 21%  
355 4% 20%  
356 0.5% 16%  
357 1.4% 15%  
358 2% 14%  
359 2% 12%  
360 2% 10%  
361 0.8% 8%  
362 0.7% 7%  
363 1.3% 6%  
364 1.0% 5%  
365 1.1% 4%  
366 0.2% 3%  
367 0.3% 3%  
368 0.6% 2%  
369 0.7% 2%  
370 0.3% 0.8%  
371 0% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0.2% 0.4%  
374 0.1% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.6%  
289 0.1% 99.6%  
290 0.1% 99.4%  
291 0.1% 99.3%  
292 0.1% 99.2%  
293 0.1% 99.2%  
294 0.1% 99.1%  
295 0.1% 99.0%  
296 0.1% 99.0%  
297 0.1% 98.9%  
298 0.1% 98.8%  
299 0.2% 98.8%  
300 0.1% 98.5%  
301 0.2% 98%  
302 0% 98%  
303 0% 98%  
304 0.1% 98%  
305 0.3% 98%  
306 0.1% 98%  
307 0.1% 98%  
308 0.1% 98%  
309 0.1% 97% Last Result
310 0.1% 97%  
311 0.1% 97%  
312 0.2% 97%  
313 0.2% 97%  
314 1.0% 97%  
315 0.4% 96%  
316 2% 95%  
317 0.3% 94%  
318 0.7% 93%  
319 0.5% 93%  
320 0.1% 92%  
321 0.3% 92%  
322 1.4% 92%  
323 0.2% 90%  
324 1.3% 90%  
325 0.1% 89%  
326 2% 89% Majority
327 5% 87%  
328 0.5% 82%  
329 0.2% 82%  
330 0.1% 82%  
331 0.5% 81%  
332 4% 81%  
333 2% 77%  
334 0.6% 75%  
335 0.7% 75%  
336 1.0% 74%  
337 2% 73%  
338 1.0% 71%  
339 3% 70%  
340 0.5% 66%  
341 3% 66%  
342 4% 63% Median
343 2% 59%  
344 2% 57%  
345 5% 55%  
346 6% 50%  
347 0.7% 44%  
348 1.5% 43%  
349 3% 42%  
350 2% 39%  
351 1.1% 37%  
352 3% 36%  
353 12% 33%  
354 2% 21%  
355 4% 19%  
356 0.2% 16%  
357 1.5% 15%  
358 2% 14%  
359 3% 12%  
360 2% 9%  
361 0.9% 8%  
362 1.1% 7%  
363 0.8% 6%  
364 1.1% 5%  
365 1.1% 4%  
366 0.2% 3%  
367 0.2% 2%  
368 0.7% 2%  
369 0.7% 1.4%  
370 0.2% 0.7%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0.1% 0.4%  
374 0.1% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0.1% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.6%  
278 0% 99.6%  
279 0% 99.6%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0% 99.5%  
282 0.1% 99.4%  
283 0.1% 99.4%  
284 1.0% 99.2%  
285 0.4% 98%  
286 0.3% 98%  
287 0.4% 97%  
288 0.6% 97%  
289 0.1% 96%  
290 0.1% 96%  
291 0.2% 96%  
292 0.5% 96%  
293 1.0% 96%  
294 2% 95%  
295 0% 92%  
296 0.2% 92%  
297 5% 92%  
298 0.3% 87%  
299 0.4% 86%  
300 4% 86%  
301 0.2% 82%  
302 0.5% 81%  
303 3% 81%  
304 0.6% 78%  
305 10% 78%  
306 0.1% 68%  
307 3% 68%  
308 2% 65%  
309 2% 63%  
310 0.4% 60%  
311 0.5% 60%  
312 0.8% 59%  
313 4% 59% Median
314 2% 55%  
315 2% 52%  
316 1.4% 50%  
317 0.6% 49%  
318 0.6% 48%  
319 3% 48%  
320 0.6% 44%  
321 1.3% 44%  
322 4% 43%  
323 5% 38%  
324 0.8% 34%  
325 4% 33%  
326 3% 29% Majority
327 0.7% 26%  
328 0.4% 25%  
329 1.5% 25%  
330 1.0% 23%  
331 0.9% 22%  
332 0.6% 21%  
333 0.6% 21%  
334 0.6% 20%  
335 0.7% 20%  
336 2% 19%  
337 1.3% 17%  
338 0.8% 16%  
339 0.4% 15%  
340 0.8% 15%  
341 0.1% 14%  
342 1.2% 14%  
343 0.2% 13%  
344 4% 13%  
345 0.7% 9%  
346 0.5% 8%  
347 0.5% 8%  
348 0.7% 7%  
349 0.5% 7%  
350 0.1% 6%  
351 0.8% 6%  
352 1.1% 5%  
353 0.2% 4%  
354 0.1% 4%  
355 0.4% 4%  
356 0.6% 4% Last Result
357 0.9% 3%  
358 0.1% 2%  
359 0.1% 2%  
360 0.3% 2%  
361 0.1% 2%  
362 0.2% 2%  
363 0% 1.4%  
364 0.2% 1.4%  
365 0.1% 1.2%  
366 0.1% 1.2%  
367 0.1% 1.1%  
368 0% 1.0%  
369 0.1% 1.0%  
370 0.1% 0.9%  
371 0.1% 0.8%  
372 0.1% 0.7%  
373 0% 0.7%  
374 0.1% 0.6%  
375 0.1% 0.5%  
376 0% 0.4%  
377 0.1% 0.4%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0.1% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0.1% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.2% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.7%  
277 0% 99.6%  
278 0% 99.6%  
279 0% 99.6%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0% 99.5%  
282 0.1% 99.4%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 1.0% 99.2%  
285 0.4% 98%  
286 0.3% 98%  
287 0.4% 97%  
288 0.6% 97%  
289 0.1% 96%  
290 0.2% 96%  
291 0.2% 96%  
292 0.5% 96%  
293 1.1% 95%  
294 2% 94%  
295 0.1% 92%  
296 0.3% 92%  
297 5% 92%  
298 0.4% 87%  
299 0.4% 86%  
300 5% 86%  
301 0.3% 81%  
302 0.4% 81%  
303 3% 81%  
304 0.1% 78%  
305 10% 78%  
306 0.4% 68%  
307 4% 68%  
308 2% 64%  
309 2% 62%  
310 0.5% 60%  
311 0.9% 60%  
312 0.3% 59%  
313 4% 59% Median
314 3% 55%  
315 2% 52%  
316 2% 50%  
317 1.3% 48%  
318 0.4% 47%  
319 2% 47%  
320 0.6% 44%  
321 1.2% 44%  
322 4% 42%  
323 5% 38%  
324 0.5% 33%  
325 4% 33%  
326 3% 29% Majority
327 1.0% 26%  
328 0.5% 25%  
329 1.5% 24%  
330 0.8% 23%  
331 0.9% 22%  
332 0.5% 21%  
333 0.9% 21%  
334 0.4% 20%  
335 0.4% 19%  
336 2% 19%  
337 1.3% 17%  
338 1.1% 16%  
339 0.4% 15%  
340 0.5% 14%  
341 0.1% 14%  
342 1.1% 14%  
343 0.3% 13%  
344 4% 12%  
345 0.9% 9%  
346 0.3% 8%  
347 0.5% 8%  
348 0.7% 7%  
349 0.5% 7%  
350 0.2% 6%  
351 0.7% 6%  
352 1.1% 5% Last Result
353 0.1% 4%  
354 0% 4%  
355 0.4% 4%  
356 0.6% 4%  
357 0.9% 3%  
358 0.2% 2%  
359 0.1% 2%  
360 0.2% 2%  
361 0.2% 2%  
362 0.1% 1.4%  
363 0% 1.3%  
364 0.2% 1.2%  
365 0.1% 1.0%  
366 0% 1.0%  
367 0.1% 1.0%  
368 0.1% 0.9%  
369 0.1% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.7%  
371 0.1% 0.7%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0.1% 0.4%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0.1% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 0.1% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.3%  
280 0.1% 99.2%  
281 0.1% 99.1%  
282 0.1% 99.1%  
283 0.2% 99.0%  
284 0.2% 98.8%  
285 0% 98.5%  
286 0.1% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.1% 98%  
289 0.1% 98%  
290 0.1% 98%  
291 0.1% 98%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.1% 98%  
294 0.2% 97%  
295 0.2% 97%  
296 1.0% 97%  
297 0.2% 96%  
298 0.3% 96%  
299 0.6% 96%  
300 1.3% 95%  
301 1.3% 94% Last Result
302 0.4% 92%  
303 0.6% 92%  
304 0.2% 91%  
305 0.1% 91%  
306 0.2% 91%  
307 3% 91%  
308 1.4% 88%  
309 2% 87%  
310 0.6% 85%  
311 1.3% 85%  
312 6% 83%  
313 0.9% 78%  
314 0.3% 77%  
315 0.6% 76%  
316 0.8% 76%  
317 0.6% 75%  
318 4% 74%  
319 0.4% 71%  
320 2% 70%  
321 2% 68%  
322 4% 65%  
323 0.8% 61% Median
324 1.1% 60%  
325 1.0% 59%  
326 5% 58% Majority
327 3% 53%  
328 4% 50%  
329 4% 46%  
330 0.5% 42%  
331 3% 41%  
332 3% 38%  
333 2% 34%  
334 11% 32%  
335 0.1% 22%  
336 2% 22%  
337 7% 20%  
338 0.7% 14%  
339 0.6% 13%  
340 2% 12%  
341 2% 10%  
342 2% 8%  
343 0.3% 6%  
344 0.3% 5%  
345 2% 5%  
346 0.6% 4%  
347 0.6% 3%  
348 0.4% 2%  
349 0.8% 2%  
350 0.3% 1.2%  
351 0.2% 0.8%  
352 0.1% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3%  
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0% 99.8%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.1% 99.6%  
274 0.2% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.1% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.2%  
278 0.1% 99.2%  
279 0.1% 99.1%  
280 0.1% 99.0%  
281 0.1% 98.9%  
282 0.2% 98.9%  
283 0.2% 98.7%  
284 0.2% 98%  
285 0% 98%  
286 0.1% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.2% 98%  
289 0% 98%  
290 0.1% 98%  
291 0.1% 98%  
292 0.1% 98%  
293 0.1% 97%  
294 0.2% 97%  
295 0.2% 97%  
296 0.9% 97%  
297 0.2% 96% Last Result
298 0.3% 96%  
299 0.6% 95%  
300 1.3% 95%  
301 1.4% 94%  
302 0.3% 92%  
303 0.7% 92%  
304 0.1% 91%  
305 0.1% 91%  
306 0.2% 91%  
307 3% 91%  
308 1.4% 88%  
309 2% 87%  
310 0.5% 85%  
311 1.0% 84%  
312 6% 83%  
313 0.9% 78%  
314 0.3% 77%  
315 0.8% 76%  
316 0.6% 76%  
317 0.6% 75%  
318 4% 74%  
319 0.5% 70%  
320 2% 70%  
321 2% 67%  
322 4% 65%  
323 1.0% 61% Median
324 1.3% 60%  
325 1.0% 59%  
326 5% 58% Majority
327 3% 52%  
328 4% 49%  
329 4% 45%  
330 0.5% 41%  
331 4% 41%  
332 3% 37%  
333 2% 34%  
334 10% 32%  
335 0.9% 22%  
336 2% 21%  
337 6% 19%  
338 0.6% 13%  
339 1.2% 13%  
340 2% 11%  
341 2% 10%  
342 2% 8%  
343 0.5% 6%  
344 0.1% 5%  
345 2% 5%  
346 0.5% 3%  
347 0.4% 3%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.7% 2%  
350 0.3% 1.1%  
351 0.1% 0.8%  
352 0.2% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.2% 0.4%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0.1% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0% 99.6%  
255 0.1% 99.6%  
256 0.1% 99.5%  
257 0% 99.4%  
258 0.1% 99.4%  
259 0.1% 99.3%  
260 0.1% 99.2%  
261 0.1% 99.1%  
262 0% 99.0%  
263 0.1% 99.0%  
264 0.1% 98.9%  
265 0.1% 98.8%  
266 0.2% 98.8%  
267 0% 98.6%  
268 0.2% 98.6%  
269 0.1% 98%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.1% 98%  
272 0.1% 98%  
273 0.9% 98%  
274 0.5% 97% Last Result
275 0.2% 96%  
276 0.3% 96%  
277 0.1% 96%  
278 1.1% 96%  
279 0.7% 95%  
280 0.1% 94%  
281 0.4% 94%  
282 0.7% 93%  
283 0.5% 93%  
284 0.5% 92%  
285 0.7% 92%  
286 3% 91%  
287 0.5% 88%  
288 1.2% 87%  
289 0.1% 86%  
290 0.8% 86%  
291 0.2% 85%  
292 1.0% 85%  
293 1.3% 84%  
294 2% 83%  
295 0.6% 81%  
296 0.6% 80%  
297 0.6% 80%  
298 0.1% 79%  
299 1.3% 79%  
300 1.0% 78%  
301 1.3% 77%  
302 0.3% 75%  
303 1.0% 75%  
304 3% 74%  
305 4% 71%  
306 0.8% 67%  
307 4% 66%  
308 5% 62%  
309 0.3% 57%  
310 2% 57%  
311 3% 56%  
312 0.8% 53%  
313 0.5% 52% Median
314 2% 52%  
315 2% 50%  
316 3% 48%  
317 4% 45%  
318 0.4% 42%  
319 1.2% 41%  
320 0.1% 40%  
321 3% 40%  
322 1.4% 37%  
323 4% 36%  
324 0.2% 32%  
325 10% 32%  
326 0.6% 22% Majority
327 2% 22%  
328 1.1% 20%  
329 0.4% 19%  
330 4% 18%  
331 0.3% 14%  
332 0.4% 14%  
333 3% 13%  
334 3% 11%  
335 0.1% 8%  
336 2% 8%  
337 0.6% 6%  
338 1.3% 5%  
339 0.2% 4%  
340 0.1% 4%  
341 0.2% 4%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.5% 3%  
344 0.4% 3%  
345 0.4% 2%  
346 1.0% 2%  
347 0.2% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.4%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0.1% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0% 99.8%  
254 0% 99.8%  
255 0% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.7%  
257 0% 99.6%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.1% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.4%  
261 0.1% 99.3%  
262 0.1% 99.2%  
263 0.1% 99.1%  
264 0.1% 99.1%  
265 0.1% 99.0%  
266 0.2% 99.0%  
267 0% 98.8%  
268 0.1% 98.7%  
269 0.1% 98.7%  
270 0.3% 98.5%  
271 0.1% 98%  
272 0.2% 98%  
273 0.9% 98%  
274 0.6% 97%  
275 0.2% 97%  
276 0.3% 96%  
277 0.1% 96%  
278 1.1% 96% Last Result
279 0.7% 95%  
280 0.1% 94%  
281 0.4% 94%  
282 0.8% 94%  
283 0.5% 93%  
284 0.3% 92%  
285 0.9% 92%  
286 3% 91%  
287 0.5% 88%  
288 1.1% 87%  
289 0.1% 86%  
290 0.5% 86%  
291 0.2% 86%  
292 1.3% 85%  
293 1.3% 84%  
294 2% 83%  
295 0.4% 81%  
296 0.3% 81%  
297 0.9% 80%  
298 0.1% 79%  
299 1.3% 79%  
300 0.9% 78%  
301 1.3% 77%  
302 0.7% 76%  
303 0.8% 75%  
304 3% 74%  
305 4% 71%  
306 0.4% 67%  
307 4% 67%  
308 5% 62%  
309 0.3% 58%  
310 2% 57%  
311 2% 56%  
312 0.7% 54%  
313 1.2% 53% Median
314 2% 52%  
315 2% 50%  
316 2% 48%  
317 4% 46%  
318 0.4% 42%  
319 0.3% 41%  
320 0.8% 41%  
321 2% 40%  
322 1.1% 38%  
323 4% 37%  
324 0.4% 32%  
325 10% 32%  
326 0.1% 22% Majority
327 2% 22%  
328 1.0% 20%  
329 0.5% 19%  
330 4% 19%  
331 0.4% 14%  
332 0.3% 14%  
333 3% 13%  
334 3% 11%  
335 0.2% 8%  
336 2% 8%  
337 0.6% 6%  
338 1.4% 5%  
339 0.2% 4%  
340 0.1% 4%  
341 0.1% 4%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.4% 3%  
344 0.4% 3%  
345 0.4% 2%  
346 1.0% 2%  
347 0.1% 0.9%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.4%  
354 0% 0.4%  
355 0.2% 0.4%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0.1% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.7%  
277 0% 99.6%  
278 0.1% 99.5%  
279 0.3% 99.4%  
280 0.3% 99.2%  
281 0.7% 98.9%  
282 0.4% 98%  
283 0.3% 98%  
284 0.9% 98%  
285 2% 97%  
286 0.3% 95%  
287 0.3% 95%  
288 1.0% 94%  
289 2% 93%  
290 3% 91%  
291 1.2% 88%  
292 0.3% 87%  
293 7% 87%  
294 1.5% 80%  
295 0.2% 78%  
296 10% 78%  
297 2% 68%  
298 3% 66%  
299 1.3% 63%  
300 3% 62%  
301 4% 59%  
302 4% 54%  
303 3% 50% Median
304 5% 47%  
305 0.7% 42%  
306 1.4% 41%  
307 1.0% 40%  
308 4% 39%  
309 2% 35%  
310 2% 32%  
311 0.6% 30%  
312 4% 30%  
313 0.6% 26%  
314 1.1% 25%  
315 0.7% 24%  
316 0.3% 24%  
317 1.0% 23%  
318 6% 22%  
319 1.3% 17%  
320 0.4% 15%  
321 2% 15%  
322 1.4% 13%  
323 3% 12%  
324 0.2% 9%  
325 0.1% 9%  
326 0.2% 9% Majority
327 0.6% 9%  
328 0.3% 8%  
329 1.2% 8% Last Result
330 1.5% 7%  
331 0.7% 5%  
332 0.3% 4%  
333 0.2% 4%  
334 0.9% 4%  
335 0.2% 3%  
336 0.2% 3%  
337 0.1% 3%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.1% 2%  
340 0.1% 2%  
341 0.1% 2%  
342 0.1% 2%  
343 0.2% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.5%  
347 0.2% 1.3%  
348 0.1% 1.0%  
349 0.1% 0.9%  
350 0% 0.9%  
351 0.1% 0.8%  
352 0.1% 0.7%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4%  
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0.1% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.7%  
240 0.1% 99.6%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0.1% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.3%  
244 0.1% 99.2%  
245 0% 99.2%  
246 0.1% 99.1%  
247 0.1% 99.1%  
248 0.2% 99.0%  
249 0.2% 98.8%  
250 0.1% 98.6%  
251 0.1% 98.5%  
252 0.1% 98%  
253 0.1% 98%  
254 0.2% 98%  
255 0.3% 98%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 0.6% 97%  
260 1.4% 97%  
261 0.1% 95%  
262 2% 95% Last Result
263 0% 94%  
264 0.1% 94%  
265 0.8% 93%  
266 0.2% 93%  
267 0.4% 92%  
268 0.9% 92%  
269 2% 91%  
270 0.7% 89%  
271 4% 88%  
272 0.1% 85%  
273 0.6% 84%  
274 0.2% 84%  
275 0.4% 84%  
276 0.8% 83%  
277 0.4% 83%  
278 1.0% 82%  
279 0.5% 81%  
280 0.8% 81%  
281 2% 80%  
282 2% 78%  
283 0.8% 76%  
284 2% 75%  
285 4% 73%  
286 0.6% 68%  
287 4% 68%  
288 2% 64%  
289 0.8% 61%  
290 1.1% 60%  
291 0.6% 59%  
292 2% 59%  
293 1.4% 56%  
294 5% 55% Median
295 2% 50%  
296 1.1% 48%  
297 0.8% 47%  
298 1.0% 46%  
299 3% 45%  
300 3% 42%  
301 0.2% 39%  
302 0.9% 39%  
303 0.7% 38%  
304 0.9% 38%  
305 4% 37%  
306 10% 33%  
307 1.3% 23%  
308 0.2% 22%  
309 6% 22%  
310 1.4% 16%  
311 0.4% 15%  
312 0.4% 14%  
313 4% 14%  
314 0.6% 10%  
315 0.9% 10%  
316 3% 9%  
317 0.3% 6%  
318 0.1% 5%  
319 0.9% 5%  
320 0.2% 4%  
321 0.7% 4%  
322 0.1% 3%  
323 0.2% 3%  
324 0.5% 3%  
325 0.3% 3%  
326 1.4% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 0.9%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0.1% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.6%  
244 0.1% 99.5%  
245 0.1% 99.4%  
246 0% 99.3%  
247 0.1% 99.2%  
248 0.2% 99.1%  
249 0.2% 98.9%  
250 0% 98.7%  
251 0% 98.7%  
252 0.1% 98.6%  
253 0.1% 98.6%  
254 0.1% 98%  
255 0.2% 98%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 0.7% 97%  
260 1.3% 97%  
261 0.1% 95%  
262 1.5% 95%  
263 0.1% 94%  
264 0.1% 94%  
265 0.8% 94%  
266 0.2% 93% Last Result
267 0.4% 93%  
268 0.9% 92%  
269 2% 91%  
270 0.6% 89%  
271 4% 89%  
272 0.2% 85%  
273 0.9% 85%  
274 0.2% 84%  
275 0.4% 84%  
276 0.8% 83%  
277 0.2% 83%  
278 1.3% 82%  
279 0.6% 81%  
280 0.3% 81%  
281 2% 80%  
282 2% 78%  
283 0.4% 76%  
284 2% 75%  
285 5% 73%  
286 0.4% 69%  
287 4% 68%  
288 2% 64%  
289 1.0% 61%  
290 1.0% 60%  
291 0.5% 59%  
292 2% 59%  
293 2% 57%  
294 5% 55% Median
295 1.1% 50%  
296 1.0% 49%  
297 2% 48%  
298 0.8% 46%  
299 3% 45%  
300 3% 42%  
301 0.4% 40%  
302 0.3% 39%  
303 1.2% 39%  
304 0.7% 38%  
305 3% 37%  
306 10% 33%  
307 0.6% 23%  
308 1.0% 23%  
309 6% 22%  
310 0.9% 16%  
311 0.6% 15%  
312 0.5% 14%  
313 4% 14%  
314 0.7% 10%  
315 0.8% 10%  
316 3% 9%  
317 0.3% 6%  
318 0.3% 6%  
319 0.9% 5%  
320 0.2% 4%  
321 0.7% 4%  
322 0.1% 3%  
323 0.3% 3%  
324 0.5% 3%  
325 0.3% 3%  
326 1.4% 2% Majority
327 0% 0.9%  
328 0.2% 0.9%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0% 0.6%  
332 0.2% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0.1% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0.2% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.1% 99.6%  
260 0.2% 99.5%  
261 0.7% 99.3%  
262 0.6% 98.6%  
263 0.2% 98%  
264 0.3% 98%  
265 0.7% 98%  
266 0.6% 97%  
267 1.4% 96%  
268 1.1% 95%  
269 0.7% 94%  
270 2% 93%  
271 3% 91%  
272 2% 88%  
273 2% 86%  
274 0.3% 85%  
275 3% 84%  
276 2% 82%  
277 12% 80%  
278 0.6% 67%  
279 3% 67%  
280 2% 63%  
281 3% 61%  
282 0.3% 58%  
283 2% 58%  
284 6% 56% Median
285 5% 50%  
286 2% 45%  
287 1.3% 43%  
288 5% 42%  
289 2% 37%  
290 0.7% 34%  
291 3% 34%  
292 0.8% 30%  
293 2% 30%  
294 0.6% 27%  
295 1.0% 27%  
296 0.8% 26%  
297 1.2% 25%  
298 4% 24%  
299 0.5% 19%  
300 0.1% 19%  
301 0.1% 19%  
302 0.6% 18%  
303 5% 18%  
304 2% 13%  
305 0.1% 11%  
306 1.3% 11%  
307 0.2% 10%  
308 1.4% 10%  
309 0.3% 8%  
310 0.1% 8%  
311 0.4% 8%  
312 0.7% 7%  
313 0.4% 7%  
314 2% 6%  
315 0.2% 5%  
316 1.2% 4%  
317 0.2% 3%  
318 0.2% 3%  
319 0.1% 3%  
320 0.2% 3%  
321 0.1% 3% Last Result
322 0.1% 3%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.1% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 2%  
328 0% 2%  
329 0.2% 2%  
330 0.1% 2%  
331 0.2% 1.5%  
332 0.1% 1.3%  
333 0% 1.2%  
334 0.1% 1.1%  
335 0.1% 1.1%  
336 0.1% 1.0%  
337 0.1% 0.9%  
338 0.1% 0.9%  
339 0.1% 0.8%  
340 0% 0.7%  
341 0.2% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.8%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0.2% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.3% 99.5%  
261 0.8% 99.2%  
262 0.5% 98%  
263 0.3% 98%  
264 0.2% 98%  
265 0.6% 97%  
266 0.8% 97%  
267 2% 96%  
268 1.3% 94%  
269 0.3% 93%  
270 2% 93%  
271 2% 91%  
272 2% 88%  
273 2% 86%  
274 0.4% 85%  
275 4% 84%  
276 1.0% 81%  
277 13% 80%  
278 0.6% 66%  
279 3% 66%  
280 3% 63%  
281 2% 60%  
282 1.3% 58%  
283 0.8% 57%  
284 6% 56% Median
285 5% 50%  
286 2% 45%  
287 1.2% 42%  
288 5% 41%  
289 2% 36%  
290 0.5% 34%  
291 3% 34%  
292 1.0% 30%  
293 2% 29%  
294 0.5% 27%  
295 0.9% 26%  
296 1.3% 25%  
297 0.7% 24%  
298 4% 23%  
299 0.5% 19%  
300 0.4% 18%  
301 0.1% 18%  
302 0.3% 18%  
303 5% 18%  
304 2% 13%  
305 0% 11%  
306 1.4% 11%  
307 0% 10%  
308 2% 10%  
309 0.2% 8%  
310 0.1% 8%  
311 0.5% 8%  
312 0.7% 7%  
313 0.3% 7%  
314 2% 6%  
315 0.3% 4%  
316 1.2% 4%  
317 0.2% 3% Last Result
318 0.1% 3%  
319 0% 3%  
320 0.2% 3%  
321 0.1% 3%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.5% 2%  
326 0.1% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 2%  
328 0.1% 2%  
329 0.1% 1.5%  
330 0.2% 1.4%  
331 0.2% 1.2%  
332 0.1% 1.1%  
333 0.1% 1.0%  
334 0.1% 0.9%  
335 0% 0.8%  
336 0.1% 0.8%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.4%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations