Opinion Poll by BMG Research, 6–9 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 39.9% 38.3–41.5% 37.8–42.0% 37.4–42.4% 36.7–43.2%
Labour Party 40.0% 39.9% 38.3–41.5% 37.8–42.0% 37.4–42.4% 36.7–43.2%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 8.0% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Green Party 1.6% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 297 280–325 275–334 271–340 265–346
Labour Party 262 312 278–326 270–331 263–334 254–343
Liberal Democrats 12 17 15–22 14–23 11–25 9–27
UK Independence Party 0 1 1 1 1 1
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Scottish National Party 35 3 0–16 0–22 0–29 0–38
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.1% 99.6%  
265 0.4% 99.5%  
266 0% 99.2%  
267 0.3% 99.1%  
268 0.1% 98.8%  
269 0.4% 98.7%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.2% 97%  
273 1.0% 97%  
274 0.4% 96%  
275 1.2% 96%  
276 0.6% 95%  
277 1.1% 94%  
278 0.6% 93%  
279 0.4% 92%  
280 5% 92%  
281 3% 87%  
282 2% 84%  
283 0.6% 82%  
284 0.8% 82%  
285 0.2% 81%  
286 0.8% 81%  
287 1.1% 80%  
288 0.9% 79%  
289 7% 78%  
290 11% 70%  
291 3% 59%  
292 1.1% 56%  
293 0.4% 55%  
294 0.4% 54%  
295 0.3% 54%  
296 1.4% 53%  
297 6% 52% Median
298 0.4% 47%  
299 1.1% 46%  
300 0.7% 45%  
301 0.5% 44%  
302 8% 44%  
303 2% 36%  
304 2% 35%  
305 1.1% 33%  
306 0.1% 32%  
307 0.2% 32%  
308 0.1% 32%  
309 0.4% 32%  
310 0.4% 31%  
311 2% 31%  
312 6% 28%  
313 1.0% 22%  
314 2% 21%  
315 0.7% 19%  
316 0.6% 19%  
317 0.4% 18% Last Result
318 0.5% 18%  
319 0.4% 17%  
320 3% 17%  
321 0.5% 14%  
322 0.2% 14%  
323 1.5% 14%  
324 0.7% 12%  
325 1.4% 11%  
326 0.5% 10% Majority
327 0.6% 9%  
328 1.1% 9%  
329 0.3% 8%  
330 0.4% 8%  
331 0.1% 7%  
332 2% 7%  
333 0.2% 5%  
334 0.4% 5%  
335 0.2% 5%  
336 0.6% 5%  
337 0.5% 4%  
338 0.2% 3%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 1.0% 2%  
343 0% 1.0%  
344 0% 1.0%  
345 0.1% 1.0%  
346 0.5% 0.8%  
347 0% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0% 99.7%  
251 0% 99.7%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0.2% 99.6%  
255 0% 99.4%  
256 0.1% 99.4%  
257 0.7% 99.3%  
258 0% 98.6%  
259 0.3% 98.6%  
260 0.1% 98%  
261 0% 98%  
262 0.3% 98% Last Result
263 0.6% 98%  
264 0.2% 97%  
265 0.1% 97%  
266 0.3% 97%  
267 0.2% 97%  
268 0.1% 96%  
269 0.9% 96%  
270 2% 95%  
271 0.3% 94%  
272 0.3% 93%  
273 1.0% 93%  
274 0.4% 92%  
275 0.3% 92%  
276 0.1% 92%  
277 1.2% 91%  
278 2% 90%  
279 0.7% 88%  
280 0.5% 87%  
281 2% 87%  
282 0.5% 85%  
283 0.2% 85%  
284 0.7% 85%  
285 0.1% 84%  
286 0.6% 84%  
287 0.3% 83%  
288 0.4% 83%  
289 3% 82%  
290 0.3% 79%  
291 0.3% 79%  
292 5% 79%  
293 0.4% 74%  
294 2% 73%  
295 0.9% 71%  
296 2% 70%  
297 0.7% 68%  
298 0.6% 68%  
299 0.5% 67%  
300 2% 67%  
301 0.4% 65%  
302 6% 64%  
303 0.7% 58%  
304 0.7% 57%  
305 0.3% 57%  
306 2% 56%  
307 1.3% 54%  
308 1.5% 53%  
309 0.5% 51%  
310 0.4% 51%  
311 0.3% 50%  
312 0.4% 50% Median
313 11% 50%  
314 9% 39%  
315 1.3% 30%  
316 2% 29%  
317 3% 27%  
318 1.2% 24%  
319 1.3% 23%  
320 0.8% 22%  
321 0.1% 21%  
322 7% 21%  
323 0.7% 14%  
324 0.5% 13%  
325 2% 13%  
326 1.0% 11% Majority
327 1.1% 10%  
328 0.3% 9%  
329 1.2% 8%  
330 2% 7%  
331 1.0% 5%  
332 0.1% 4%  
333 1.3% 4%  
334 0.6% 3%  
335 0.1% 2%  
336 0% 2%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 1.0% 2%  
339 0.1% 0.9%  
340 0.1% 0.8%  
341 0.1% 0.7%  
342 0% 0.6%  
343 0.4% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0.1% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 99.9%  
9 0.4% 99.8%  
10 0.9% 99.4%  
11 2% 98%  
12 0.5% 97% Last Result
13 0.4% 96%  
14 2% 96%  
15 5% 94%  
16 10% 89%  
17 39% 79% Median
18 5% 40%  
19 11% 35%  
20 7% 23%  
21 6% 17%  
22 5% 11%  
23 1.2% 5%  
24 1.1% 4%  
25 0.7% 3%  
26 0.9% 2%  
27 1.0% 1.4%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.5% Median
2 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 86% 100% Last Result, Median
2 13% 14%  
3 0.3% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100%  
1 5% 70%  
2 14% 65%  
3 2% 51% Median
4 5% 49%  
5 2% 44%  
6 7% 42%  
7 3% 35%  
8 0.2% 32%  
9 16% 31%  
10 0.7% 15%  
11 0.1% 15%  
12 0.2% 14%  
13 1.0% 14%  
14 2% 13%  
15 0.3% 11%  
16 4% 11%  
17 0.1% 7%  
18 0% 7%  
19 1.0% 7%  
20 0.3% 6%  
21 0.4% 6%  
22 0.5% 5%  
23 0.1% 5%  
24 0.4% 5%  
25 0.5% 4%  
26 0.4% 4%  
27 0.2% 3%  
28 0.3% 3%  
29 0.8% 3%  
30 0.4% 2%  
31 0.3% 2%  
32 0% 1.4%  
33 0.1% 1.4%  
34 0% 1.3%  
35 0.1% 1.2% Last Result
36 0.1% 1.1%  
37 0% 1.0%  
38 0.5% 1.0%  
39 0% 0.5%  
40 0.3% 0.4%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 21% 56% Median
2 16% 35%  
3 12% 19%  
4 7% 8% Last Result
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 333 67% 305–350 296–354 290–358 284–365
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 331 59% 303–350 295–353 289–358 284–364
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 314 31% 298–345 294–351 290–357 284–360
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 330 53% 296–345 287–349 281–355 271–363
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 331 54% 296–346 288–351 281–355 271–363
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 300 17% 284–334 280–343 275–349 266–359
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 299 17% 283–334 279–342 275–349 266–359
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 299 11% 280–327 277–334 271–341 265–346
Conservative Party 317 297 10% 280–325 275–334 271–340 265–346
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 316 20% 285–332 279–335 273–339 270–345
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 314 19% 284–330 278–335 273–338 269–345
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 313 12% 279–329 272–333 264–334 254–343
Labour Party 262 312 11% 278–326 270–331 263–334 254–343

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.7%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0.5% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.1%  
286 0% 99.0%  
287 0% 99.0%  
288 1.1% 99.0%  
289 0.2% 98%  
290 0.5% 98%  
291 0.5% 97%  
292 0.2% 97%  
293 0.5% 97%  
294 0.6% 96%  
295 0.2% 95%  
296 0.4% 95%  
297 0.5% 95%  
298 1.4% 94%  
299 0.1% 93%  
300 0.4% 93%  
301 0.3% 92%  
302 1.1% 92%  
303 0.6% 91%  
304 0.5% 91%  
305 2% 90%  
306 0.4% 88%  
307 2% 88%  
308 0.6% 86%  
309 0.2% 86%  
310 3% 86%  
311 0.4% 83%  
312 0.7% 83%  
313 0.7% 82% Last Result
314 0.1% 81%  
315 1.1% 81%  
316 1.3% 80%  
317 1.1% 79%  
318 6% 78%  
319 2% 72%  
320 0.5% 69%  
321 0.3% 69%  
322 0.1% 68%  
323 0.3% 68%  
324 0.9% 68%  
325 0.2% 67%  
326 2% 67% Majority
327 2% 65%  
328 7% 63%  
329 0.5% 56%  
330 0.7% 56%  
331 1.4% 55%  
332 0.2% 54%  
333 5% 53% Median
334 1.5% 48%  
335 0.2% 46%  
336 0.4% 46%  
337 0.4% 46%  
338 2% 45%  
339 3% 44%  
340 11% 41%  
341 8% 29%  
342 0.6% 22%  
343 1.2% 21%  
344 0.7% 20%  
345 0.1% 19%  
346 1.2% 19%  
347 0.1% 18%  
348 2% 18%  
349 3% 15%  
350 4% 12%  
351 0.8% 8%  
352 0.7% 7%  
353 0.7% 7%  
354 1.3% 6%  
355 0.5% 5%  
356 1.2% 4%  
357 0.1% 3%  
358 0.5% 3%  
359 0.5% 2%  
360 0.1% 2%  
361 0.4% 2%  
362 0.2% 1.3%  
363 0.3% 1.1%  
364 0.4% 0.9%  
365 0% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.5%  
367 0.1% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0% 0.3%  
370 0% 0.3%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.5% 99.6%  
285 0.2% 99.0%  
286 0.1% 98.8%  
287 0.1% 98.8%  
288 1.2% 98.7%  
289 0.1% 98%  
290 0.9% 97%  
291 0.4% 97%  
292 0.2% 96%  
293 0.5% 96%  
294 0.2% 95%  
295 0.6% 95%  
296 0.3% 95%  
297 0.2% 94%  
298 2% 94%  
299 0.2% 92%  
300 0.5% 92%  
301 1.3% 92%  
302 0.1% 90%  
303 1.4% 90%  
304 0.3% 89%  
305 0.6% 89%  
306 0.4% 88%  
307 2% 88%  
308 0.5% 86%  
309 0.1% 85% Last Result
310 3% 85%  
311 0.2% 83%  
312 2% 82%  
313 1.0% 80%  
314 0.5% 79%  
315 2% 79%  
316 0.4% 77%  
317 1.1% 77%  
318 5% 76%  
319 2% 71%  
320 0.2% 69%  
321 0.2% 68%  
322 0.2% 68%  
323 0.4% 68%  
324 2% 67%  
325 6% 65%  
326 2% 59% Majority
327 1.4% 58%  
328 0.9% 56%  
329 0.4% 55%  
330 1.4% 55%  
331 5% 53%  
332 0.5% 48% Median
333 0.1% 48%  
334 2% 47%  
335 0.6% 46%  
336 3% 45%  
337 0.4% 42%  
338 1.0% 42%  
339 11% 41%  
340 1.4% 30%  
341 8% 28%  
342 0.6% 21%  
343 1.1% 20%  
344 0.8% 19%  
345 0.7% 18%  
346 0.3% 17%  
347 2% 17%  
348 3% 15%  
349 2% 13%  
350 4% 11%  
351 0.7% 7%  
352 1.0% 6%  
353 0.8% 5%  
354 0.1% 5%  
355 1.3% 4%  
356 0.4% 3%  
357 0.1% 3%  
358 0.7% 3%  
359 0.2% 2%  
360 0.2% 2%  
361 0.4% 1.5%  
362 0% 1.0%  
363 0.2% 1.0%  
364 0.4% 0.8%  
365 0% 0.4%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0.2% 99.6%  
285 0.7% 99.5%  
286 0% 98.8%  
287 0% 98.7%  
288 0.4% 98.7%  
289 0.2% 98%  
290 0.8% 98%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 1.3% 97%  
293 0.3% 95%  
294 0.2% 95%  
295 1.1% 95%  
296 1.1% 94%  
297 0.8% 93%  
298 4% 92%  
299 2% 88%  
300 4% 86%  
301 0.8% 82%  
302 0.4% 82%  
303 0.2% 81%  
304 1.2% 81%  
305 0.9% 80%  
306 0.4% 79%  
307 11% 78%  
308 9% 67%  
309 0.9% 58%  
310 3% 57%  
311 0.1% 55%  
312 0.6% 54%  
313 1.3% 54%  
314 6% 52% Median
315 0.6% 47%  
316 0.8% 46%  
317 0.3% 45%  
318 0.6% 45%  
319 7% 44%  
320 1.4% 38%  
321 3% 36%  
322 0.4% 34%  
323 1.2% 33%  
324 0.3% 32%  
325 0.5% 32%  
326 0.3% 31% Majority
327 0.2% 31%  
328 0.7% 31%  
329 7% 30% Last Result
330 0.6% 23%  
331 1.2% 23%  
332 1.4% 22%  
333 2% 20%  
334 0.4% 18%  
335 0.3% 18%  
336 1.1% 17%  
337 0.3% 16%  
338 0.2% 16%  
339 0.1% 16%  
340 0.1% 16%  
341 3% 16%  
342 0.2% 13%  
343 0.2% 12%  
344 1.0% 12%  
345 2% 11%  
346 1.1% 10%  
347 0.5% 8%  
348 0.9% 8%  
349 0.6% 7%  
350 0.5% 6%  
351 1.2% 6%  
352 0.1% 5%  
353 0.2% 5%  
354 1.1% 4%  
355 0.4% 3%  
356 0.3% 3%  
357 1.2% 3%  
358 0.1% 1.4%  
359 0.4% 1.3%  
360 0.4% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.4%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.7%  
267 0% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0.4% 99.6%  
272 0% 99.2%  
273 0.1% 99.2%  
274 0% 99.1% Last Result
275 0.2% 99.1%  
276 0% 98.8%  
277 0.6% 98.8%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.2% 98%  
280 0.4% 98%  
281 0.3% 98%  
282 0.1% 97%  
283 0.4% 97%  
284 0.6% 97%  
285 0.3% 96%  
286 0.6% 96%  
287 0.6% 95%  
288 1.2% 95%  
289 1.0% 93%  
290 0.3% 92%  
291 0.3% 92%  
292 0.2% 92%  
293 0.3% 92%  
294 0.1% 91%  
295 0.7% 91%  
296 3% 91%  
297 0.4% 88%  
298 0.7% 88%  
299 0.3% 87%  
300 0.5% 87%  
301 0.1% 86%  
302 0.7% 86%  
303 2% 85%  
304 0.1% 83%  
305 0.9% 83%  
306 0.4% 82%  
307 0.1% 81%  
308 0.7% 81%  
309 6% 81%  
310 3% 75%  
311 0.4% 72%  
312 0.4% 72%  
313 2% 71%  
314 0.5% 70%  
315 0.8% 69%  
316 0.2% 69%  
317 2% 68%  
318 2% 67%  
319 6% 65%  
320 0.1% 58%  
321 0.6% 58%  
322 2% 57%  
323 0.1% 55%  
324 1.2% 55%  
325 1.2% 54%  
326 1.2% 53% Majority
327 0.6% 52%  
328 0.1% 51%  
329 0.1% 51% Median
330 11% 51%  
331 5% 39%  
332 1.1% 34%  
333 2% 33%  
334 6% 31%  
335 0.8% 25%  
336 0.2% 24%  
337 0.5% 24%  
338 1.1% 23%  
339 0.5% 22%  
340 1.0% 22%  
341 9% 21%  
342 0.6% 12%  
343 0.6% 11%  
344 0.5% 11%  
345 0.7% 10%  
346 1.1% 10%  
347 2% 8%  
348 1.1% 7%  
349 1.1% 6%  
350 0.3% 5%  
351 0.7% 4%  
352 0.2% 4%  
353 0.3% 3%  
354 0.6% 3%  
355 0.9% 3%  
356 0% 2%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.5% 1.3%  
359 0% 0.8%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0% 0.7%  
362 0% 0.6%  
363 0.3% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.7%  
271 0.4% 99.6%  
272 0% 99.2%  
273 0% 99.2%  
274 0.1% 99.2%  
275 0.2% 99.1%  
276 0.1% 98.9%  
277 0.3% 98.8%  
278 0.1% 98% Last Result
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.2% 98%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 0% 97%  
283 0.2% 97%  
284 0.7% 97%  
285 0.1% 96%  
286 0.3% 96%  
287 0.3% 96%  
288 1.4% 96%  
289 0.6% 94%  
290 0.5% 94%  
291 1.2% 93%  
292 0.3% 92%  
293 0.3% 92%  
294 0.2% 92%  
295 0.3% 91%  
296 1.3% 91%  
297 2% 90%  
298 0.5% 88%  
299 0.1% 88%  
300 0.8% 87%  
301 0.3% 87%  
302 0.7% 86%  
303 2% 86%  
304 0.7% 84%  
305 0.6% 83%  
306 0.2% 83%  
307 0.5% 82%  
308 0.7% 82%  
309 5% 81%  
310 3% 76%  
311 0.1% 73%  
312 0.4% 73%  
313 1.4% 73%  
314 0.6% 71%  
315 1.3% 71%  
316 0.3% 70%  
317 0.5% 69%  
318 3% 69%  
319 1.3% 66%  
320 0.1% 65%  
321 0.6% 65%  
322 7% 64%  
323 0.2% 57%  
324 1.3% 56%  
325 1.3% 55%  
326 0.5% 54% Majority
327 0.8% 53%  
328 1.3% 53%  
329 0.3% 51%  
330 0.3% 51% Median
331 11% 51%  
332 1.1% 39%  
333 6% 38%  
334 4% 32%  
335 1.1% 28%  
336 0.4% 27%  
337 3% 27%  
338 1.0% 24%  
339 0.3% 23%  
340 0.2% 23%  
341 9% 22%  
342 0.9% 14%  
343 0.8% 13%  
344 0.7% 12%  
345 0.5% 11%  
346 1.0% 11%  
347 2% 10%  
348 0.1% 8%  
349 2% 8%  
350 1.4% 6%  
351 0.6% 5%  
352 0.8% 5%  
353 0.5% 4%  
354 0.6% 3%  
355 0.2% 3%  
356 0.8% 2%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.4%  
359 0.3% 1.3%  
360 0.2% 1.0%  
361 0.1% 0.8%  
362 0.1% 0.7%  
363 0.3% 0.6%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0.4% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.4%  
268 0% 99.4%  
269 0.1% 99.4%  
270 0% 99.3%  
271 0.4% 99.2%  
272 0.2% 98.8%  
273 0.2% 98.6%  
274 0.8% 98%  
275 0.1% 98%  
276 0.6% 97%  
277 0.3% 97%  
278 0.4% 96%  
279 0.4% 96%  
280 1.0% 96%  
281 1.3% 95%  
282 0.1% 93%  
283 2% 93%  
284 2% 92%  
285 0.5% 90%  
286 0.1% 89%  
287 1.1% 89%  
288 0.4% 88%  
289 9% 88%  
290 0.9% 79%  
291 0.8% 78%  
292 0.8% 77%  
293 0.5% 76%  
294 0.6% 76%  
295 0.5% 75%  
296 6% 75%  
297 1.4% 69%  
298 1.2% 67%  
299 5% 66%  
300 11% 61%  
301 0.1% 49% Median
302 0.4% 49%  
303 0.4% 49%  
304 1.2% 48%  
305 1.4% 47%  
306 0.9% 46%  
307 0.7% 45%  
308 2% 44%  
309 0.2% 42%  
310 0.1% 42%  
311 7% 42%  
312 2% 35%  
313 2% 33%  
314 0.1% 32%  
315 0.8% 31%  
316 0.8% 31%  
317 1.2% 30%  
318 0.8% 29%  
319 0.1% 28%  
320 3% 28%  
321 6% 25%  
322 0.3% 19%  
323 0.2% 19%  
324 0.3% 18%  
325 0.9% 18%  
326 0.1% 17% Majority
327 2% 17%  
328 0.7% 15%  
329 0.5% 14%  
330 0.2% 14%  
331 0.3% 13%  
332 0.8% 13%  
333 0.2% 12%  
334 3% 12%  
335 0.1% 9%  
336 0.2% 9%  
337 0.3% 9%  
338 0.2% 8%  
339 0.5% 8%  
340 0.1% 8%  
341 1.1% 8%  
342 1.2% 6%  
343 0.5% 5%  
344 0.6% 5%  
345 0.3% 4%  
346 0.7% 4%  
347 0.4% 3%  
348 0.1% 3%  
349 0.3% 3%  
350 0.4% 2%  
351 0.2% 2%  
352 0.1% 2%  
353 0.6% 2%  
354 0% 1.2%  
355 0.2% 1.2%  
356 0% 0.9% Last Result
357 0.1% 0.9%  
358 0% 0.8%  
359 0.4% 0.8%  
360 0% 0.4%  
361 0% 0.4%  
362 0.1% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0.3% 99.7%  
267 0% 99.4%  
268 0% 99.4%  
269 0.3% 99.4%  
270 0.3% 99.1%  
271 0.1% 98.8%  
272 0.2% 98.7%  
273 0.9% 98.5%  
274 0% 98%  
275 0.2% 98%  
276 0.6% 97%  
277 1.1% 97%  
278 0.5% 96%  
279 1.0% 95%  
280 0.9% 94%  
281 1.3% 93%  
282 0.6% 92%  
283 2% 91%  
284 0.6% 89%  
285 0.3% 89%  
286 0.7% 89%  
287 0.9% 88%  
288 0.9% 87%  
289 8% 86%  
290 0.2% 78%  
291 0.6% 77%  
292 0.8% 77%  
293 3% 76%  
294 0.7% 73%  
295 0.7% 72%  
296 4% 72%  
297 6% 68%  
298 1.2% 62%  
299 11% 61%  
300 0.5% 49% Median
301 0% 49%  
302 1.4% 49%  
303 0.8% 47%  
304 0.6% 47%  
305 1.4% 46%  
306 1.1% 45%  
307 1.0% 44%  
308 7% 42%  
309 0.3% 36%  
310 0.1% 35%  
311 1.3% 35%  
312 3% 34%  
313 0.4% 31%  
314 0.3% 31%  
315 1.2% 30%  
316 0.9% 29%  
317 2% 28%  
318 0% 27%  
319 0.2% 27%  
320 3% 27%  
321 5% 24%  
322 0.3% 18%  
323 0.6% 18%  
324 0.1% 18%  
325 0.6% 17%  
326 0.8% 17% Majority
327 2% 16%  
328 0.9% 14%  
329 0.4% 14%  
330 0.5% 13%  
331 0.5% 13%  
332 0.6% 12%  
333 1.4% 11%  
334 1.4% 10%  
335 0.1% 9%  
336 0.3% 9%  
337 0.3% 8%  
338 0.5% 8%  
339 1.0% 8%  
340 0.5% 7%  
341 0.6% 6%  
342 1.3% 5%  
343 0.3% 4%  
344 0.3% 4%  
345 0.1% 4%  
346 0.7% 3%  
347 0.1% 3%  
348 0% 3%  
349 0.6% 3%  
350 0.2% 2%  
351 0.3% 2%  
352 0.1% 2% Last Result
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.1% 1.2%  
355 0.2% 1.1%  
356 0% 0.9%  
357 0% 0.8%  
358 0% 0.8%  
359 0.4% 0.8%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.8%  
262 0% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.3% 99.6%  
266 0.1% 99.3%  
267 0.2% 99.2%  
268 0.1% 99.0%  
269 0.4% 98.9%  
270 0.1% 98%  
271 0.9% 98%  
272 0.1% 97%  
273 0.3% 97%  
274 1.0% 97%  
275 0.5% 96%  
276 0.2% 96%  
277 2% 95%  
278 0.3% 94%  
279 0.6% 94%  
280 5% 93%  
281 0.4% 88%  
282 3% 87%  
283 1.4% 84%  
284 0.6% 83%  
285 0.8% 82%  
286 0.4% 81%  
287 1.0% 81%  
288 1.0% 80%  
289 8% 79%  
290 1.4% 72%  
291 11% 70%  
292 0.9% 59%  
293 0.8% 58%  
294 2% 57%  
295 0.6% 55%  
296 2% 54%  
297 0.2% 52%  
298 0.5% 52% Median
299 5% 52%  
300 1.2% 46%  
301 0.4% 45%  
302 0.9% 45%  
303 1.4% 44%  
304 2% 42%  
305 7% 41%  
306 1.3% 34%  
307 0.3% 32%  
308 0.3% 32%  
309 0.2% 32%  
310 0.4% 32%  
311 2% 31%  
312 5% 29%  
313 1.1% 24%  
314 0.4% 23%  
315 2% 23%  
316 0.6% 21%  
317 0.6% 20%  
318 2% 20%  
319 0.1% 17%  
320 3% 17%  
321 0.5% 15% Last Result
322 0.1% 14%  
323 2% 14%  
324 0.4% 12%  
325 0.8% 12%  
326 0.1% 11% Majority
327 1.4% 11%  
328 0.2% 10%  
329 1.2% 9%  
330 0.5% 8%  
331 0.2% 8%  
332 2% 8%  
333 0.3% 6%  
334 0.7% 6%  
335 0.2% 5%  
336 0.2% 5%  
337 0.5% 5%  
338 0.2% 4%  
339 0.4% 4%  
340 0.9% 3%  
341 0.2% 3%  
342 1.1% 2%  
343 0.1% 1.3%  
344 0.1% 1.2%  
345 0.2% 1.1%  
346 0.6% 1.0%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.4%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.1% 99.6%  
265 0.4% 99.5%  
266 0% 99.2%  
267 0.3% 99.1%  
268 0.1% 98.8%  
269 0.4% 98.7%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.2% 97%  
273 1.0% 97%  
274 0.4% 96%  
275 1.2% 96%  
276 0.6% 95%  
277 1.1% 94%  
278 0.6% 93%  
279 0.4% 92%  
280 5% 92%  
281 3% 87%  
282 2% 84%  
283 0.6% 82%  
284 0.8% 82%  
285 0.2% 81%  
286 0.8% 81%  
287 1.1% 80%  
288 0.9% 79%  
289 7% 78%  
290 11% 70%  
291 3% 59%  
292 1.1% 56%  
293 0.4% 55%  
294 0.4% 54%  
295 0.3% 54%  
296 1.4% 53%  
297 6% 52% Median
298 0.4% 47%  
299 1.1% 46%  
300 0.7% 45%  
301 0.5% 44%  
302 8% 44%  
303 2% 36%  
304 2% 35%  
305 1.1% 33%  
306 0.1% 32%  
307 0.2% 32%  
308 0.1% 32%  
309 0.4% 32%  
310 0.4% 31%  
311 2% 31%  
312 6% 28%  
313 1.0% 22%  
314 2% 21%  
315 0.7% 19%  
316 0.6% 19%  
317 0.4% 18% Last Result
318 0.5% 18%  
319 0.4% 17%  
320 3% 17%  
321 0.5% 14%  
322 0.2% 14%  
323 1.5% 14%  
324 0.7% 12%  
325 1.4% 11%  
326 0.5% 10% Majority
327 0.6% 9%  
328 1.1% 9%  
329 0.3% 8%  
330 0.4% 8%  
331 0.1% 7%  
332 2% 7%  
333 0.2% 5%  
334 0.4% 5%  
335 0.2% 5%  
336 0.6% 5%  
337 0.5% 4%  
338 0.2% 3%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 1.0% 2%  
343 0% 1.0%  
344 0% 1.0%  
345 0.1% 1.0%  
346 0.5% 0.8%  
347 0% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.4% 99.6%  
271 0.5% 99.2%  
272 0.2% 98.7%  
273 1.2% 98.5%  
274 0.2% 97%  
275 0.5% 97%  
276 1.0% 97%  
277 0.2% 96%  
278 0.1% 95%  
279 1.2% 95%  
280 0.5% 94%  
281 1.1% 94%  
282 0.5% 93%  
283 0.3% 92%  
284 1.3% 92%  
285 2% 90%  
286 1.0% 89%  
287 0.2% 88%  
288 0.3% 87%  
289 3% 87%  
290 0.1% 84%  
291 0.2% 84%  
292 0.2% 84%  
293 0.4% 84%  
294 0.9% 84%  
295 0.5% 83%  
296 0.3% 82%  
297 3% 82%  
298 0.7% 79%  
299 1.3% 78%  
300 0.5% 77%  
301 7% 77% Last Result
302 0.5% 70%  
303 0.1% 69%  
304 0.7% 69%  
305 0.2% 68%  
306 0.2% 68%  
307 1.2% 68%  
308 2% 67%  
309 1.5% 65%  
310 2% 64%  
311 6% 62%  
312 0.6% 56%  
313 0.4% 55%  
314 0.8% 55%  
315 0.6% 54%  
316 6% 53% Median
317 2% 47%  
318 0.2% 46%  
319 0.6% 46%  
320 2% 45%  
321 0.9% 43%  
322 9% 42%  
323 11% 33%  
324 0.5% 21%  
325 0.8% 21%  
326 1.0% 20% Majority
327 0.2% 19%  
328 0.6% 19%  
329 0.7% 18%  
330 5% 17%  
331 1.2% 13%  
332 4% 12%  
333 0.8% 8%  
334 1.3% 7%  
335 0.5% 5%  
336 0.3% 5%  
337 0.9% 5%  
338 0.6% 4%  
339 0.9% 3%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.5% 2%  
342 0% 1.4%  
343 0.1% 1.3%  
344 0.4% 1.2%  
345 0.5% 0.9%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.6%  
270 0.6% 99.5%  
271 0.5% 98.8%  
272 0.2% 98%  
273 2% 98%  
274 0.2% 97%  
275 0.6% 96%  
276 0.4% 96%  
277 0% 95%  
278 0.6% 95%  
279 2% 95%  
280 0.6% 93%  
281 0.1% 92%  
282 0.6% 92%  
283 1.4% 92%  
284 1.1% 90%  
285 2% 89%  
286 0.1% 87%  
287 0.3% 87%  
288 0.2% 87%  
289 3% 87%  
290 0.3% 84%  
291 0.1% 84%  
292 0.1% 84%  
293 0.7% 84%  
294 2% 83%  
295 0.1% 81%  
296 0.1% 81%  
297 4% 81% Last Result
298 0.4% 76%  
299 0.4% 76%  
300 1.4% 76%  
301 5% 74%  
302 0% 69%  
303 0.7% 69%  
304 0.1% 68%  
305 0.5% 68%  
306 0.8% 68%  
307 1.0% 67%  
308 9% 66%  
309 1.4% 57%  
310 1.1% 56%  
311 0.3% 55%  
312 0.4% 55%  
313 0.4% 54%  
314 6% 54%  
315 0.9% 48% Median
316 0.2% 47%  
317 1.1% 47%  
318 0.8% 46%  
319 4% 45%  
320 1.3% 41%  
321 1.0% 40%  
322 18% 39%  
323 0.7% 21%  
324 0.7% 20%  
325 0.5% 20%  
326 1.0% 19% Majority
327 1.4% 18%  
328 0.2% 17%  
329 0.8% 17%  
330 6% 16%  
331 2% 10%  
332 2% 8%  
333 0.9% 6%  
334 0.4% 6%  
335 1.2% 5%  
336 0.3% 4%  
337 0.6% 4%  
338 0.6% 3%  
339 0.5% 2%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0% 1.3%  
343 0.2% 1.2%  
344 0.4% 1.0%  
345 0.3% 0.6%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0.1% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0.2% 99.7%  
255 0% 99.5%  
256 0% 99.4%  
257 0.6% 99.4%  
258 0.1% 98.8%  
259 0.1% 98.7%  
260 0.1% 98.6%  
261 0.3% 98%  
262 0% 98%  
263 0.5% 98%  
264 0.3% 98%  
265 0.1% 97%  
266 0.2% 97% Last Result
267 0.4% 97%  
268 0.2% 97%  
269 0.2% 96%  
270 0.7% 96%  
271 0.3% 96%  
272 2% 95%  
273 1.2% 94%  
274 0.3% 92%  
275 0.1% 92%  
276 0.1% 92%  
277 1.3% 92%  
278 0.4% 91%  
279 2% 90%  
280 0.6% 89%  
281 3% 88%  
282 0.3% 86%  
283 0.1% 85%  
284 0.8% 85%  
285 0.1% 84%  
286 0.3% 84%  
287 0.3% 84%  
288 0.5% 84%  
289 3% 83%  
290 0.4% 80%  
291 0.4% 80%  
292 5% 79%  
293 0.2% 74%  
294 0.7% 74%  
295 0.5% 73%  
296 2% 73%  
297 2% 71%  
298 2% 69%  
299 0.1% 68%  
300 0.9% 68%  
301 2% 67%  
302 0.6% 65%  
303 1.0% 65%  
304 0.7% 64%  
305 6% 63%  
306 1.0% 57%  
307 1.0% 56%  
308 2% 55%  
309 0.9% 53%  
310 0.5% 52%  
311 0.1% 51%  
312 1.1% 51%  
313 0.5% 50% Median
314 14% 50%  
315 2% 36%  
316 6% 34%  
317 0.1% 28%  
318 1.3% 27%  
319 0.3% 26%  
320 3% 26%  
321 0.5% 22%  
322 8% 22%  
323 0.2% 14%  
324 0.3% 14%  
325 2% 14%  
326 0.8% 12% Majority
327 0.4% 11%  
328 0.7% 11%  
329 0.9% 10%  
330 2% 9%  
331 0.7% 7%  
332 1.4% 6%  
333 1.2% 5%  
334 1.5% 4%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0% 2%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 0.6% 2%  
339 0.7% 2%  
340 0% 0.8%  
341 0% 0.8%  
342 0% 0.8%  
343 0.5% 0.8%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0% 99.7%  
251 0% 99.7%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0.2% 99.6%  
255 0% 99.4%  
256 0.1% 99.4%  
257 0.7% 99.3%  
258 0% 98.6%  
259 0.3% 98.6%  
260 0.1% 98%  
261 0% 98%  
262 0.3% 98% Last Result
263 0.6% 98%  
264 0.2% 97%  
265 0.1% 97%  
266 0.3% 97%  
267 0.2% 97%  
268 0.1% 96%  
269 0.9% 96%  
270 2% 95%  
271 0.3% 94%  
272 0.3% 93%  
273 1.0% 93%  
274 0.4% 92%  
275 0.3% 92%  
276 0.1% 92%  
277 1.2% 91%  
278 2% 90%  
279 0.7% 88%  
280 0.5% 87%  
281 2% 87%  
282 0.5% 85%  
283 0.2% 85%  
284 0.7% 85%  
285 0.1% 84%  
286 0.6% 84%  
287 0.3% 83%  
288 0.4% 83%  
289 3% 82%  
290 0.3% 79%  
291 0.3% 79%  
292 5% 79%  
293 0.4% 74%  
294 2% 73%  
295 0.9% 71%  
296 2% 70%  
297 0.7% 68%  
298 0.6% 68%  
299 0.5% 67%  
300 2% 67%  
301 0.4% 65%  
302 6% 64%  
303 0.7% 58%  
304 0.7% 57%  
305 0.3% 57%  
306 2% 56%  
307 1.3% 54%  
308 1.5% 53%  
309 0.5% 51%  
310 0.4% 51%  
311 0.3% 50%  
312 0.4% 50% Median
313 11% 50%  
314 9% 39%  
315 1.3% 30%  
316 2% 29%  
317 3% 27%  
318 1.2% 24%  
319 1.3% 23%  
320 0.8% 22%  
321 0.1% 21%  
322 7% 21%  
323 0.7% 14%  
324 0.5% 13%  
325 2% 13%  
326 1.0% 11% Majority
327 1.1% 10%  
328 0.3% 9%  
329 1.2% 8%  
330 2% 7%  
331 1.0% 5%  
332 0.1% 4%  
333 1.3% 4%  
334 0.6% 3%  
335 0.1% 2%  
336 0% 2%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 1.0% 2%  
339 0.1% 0.9%  
340 0.1% 0.8%  
341 0.1% 0.7%  
342 0% 0.6%  
343 0.4% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0.1% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations