Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 19–20 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 40.0% 41.9% 40.3–43.5% 39.9–43.9% 39.5–44.3% 38.8–45.0%
Conservative Party 42.4% 39.9% 38.3–41.4% 37.9–41.9% 37.5–42.3% 36.8–43.0%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.5% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 262 291 261–309 259–315 249–322 241–330
Conservative Party 317 284 261–306 254–312 251–315 244–329
Liberal Democrats 12 16 12–20 11–21 9–24 6–26
UK Independence Party 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 46 27–52 23–55 17–55 8–57
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 4 1–5 1–5 0–5 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0.2% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.7%  
241 0.3% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.4%  
243 0% 99.3%  
244 0% 99.3%  
245 0.3% 99.3%  
246 0% 99.0%  
247 0.1% 99.0%  
248 0% 98.9%  
249 2% 98.9%  
250 0.1% 97%  
251 0.1% 97%  
252 0% 97%  
253 0% 97%  
254 0% 97%  
255 0.1% 97%  
256 1.1% 97%  
257 0.2% 96%  
258 0% 96%  
259 4% 96%  
260 0.6% 92%  
261 2% 91%  
262 0.1% 90% Last Result
263 0.1% 90%  
264 2% 89%  
265 0.9% 88%  
266 0.5% 87%  
267 0.1% 86%  
268 0.3% 86%  
269 0% 86%  
270 0.7% 86%  
271 0.1% 85%  
272 3% 85%  
273 0.6% 83%  
274 1.1% 82%  
275 0.8% 81%  
276 0.8% 80%  
277 0.3% 79%  
278 0.4% 79%  
279 8% 79%  
280 0.1% 71%  
281 7% 71%  
282 3% 64%  
283 0.3% 61%  
284 0.7% 60%  
285 0.2% 60%  
286 0.9% 59%  
287 0.5% 59%  
288 2% 58%  
289 5% 56%  
290 0.2% 52%  
291 8% 51% Median
292 2% 44%  
293 0.9% 42%  
294 0.9% 41%  
295 10% 40%  
296 3% 30%  
297 2% 27%  
298 0.9% 25%  
299 1.1% 24%  
300 0.7% 23%  
301 2% 22%  
302 3% 20%  
303 0.6% 17%  
304 2% 16%  
305 0.5% 14%  
306 0.2% 14%  
307 0.4% 14%  
308 0.5% 13%  
309 3% 13%  
310 1.1% 9%  
311 0.1% 8%  
312 1.2% 8%  
313 0.2% 7%  
314 2% 7%  
315 1.1% 5%  
316 0.2% 4%  
317 0.1% 4%  
318 0.1% 4%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.4% 3%  
321 0.1% 3%  
322 1.3% 3%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.2% 1.4%  
326 0.5% 1.2% Majority
327 0.1% 0.7%  
328 0.1% 0.6%  
329 0% 0.5%  
330 0% 0.5%  
331 0% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.5% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.2%  
246 0.6% 99.2%  
247 0.3% 98.6%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.1% 98%  
250 0.3% 98%  
251 0.3% 98%  
252 0.9% 97%  
253 0.3% 97%  
254 2% 96%  
255 0.2% 94%  
256 0.3% 94%  
257 1.0% 94%  
258 0.1% 93%  
259 0.7% 92%  
260 2% 92%  
261 1.3% 90%  
262 0.4% 89%  
263 0.8% 88%  
264 1.0% 88%  
265 13% 87%  
266 0.2% 74%  
267 0.8% 74%  
268 1.1% 73%  
269 2% 72%  
270 3% 70%  
271 1.4% 68%  
272 2% 66%  
273 1.2% 64%  
274 0.2% 62%  
275 0.8% 62%  
276 0.6% 61%  
277 0.2% 61%  
278 0.3% 61%  
279 2% 60%  
280 5% 59%  
281 2% 54%  
282 1.1% 52%  
283 0.5% 51%  
284 9% 50% Median
285 11% 41%  
286 0.3% 30%  
287 3% 30%  
288 0.1% 27%  
289 1.2% 27%  
290 0.2% 26%  
291 0.5% 25%  
292 0.4% 25%  
293 5% 25%  
294 0% 19%  
295 1.0% 19%  
296 0.1% 18%  
297 0.2% 18%  
298 0.1% 18%  
299 0.1% 18%  
300 0.1% 18%  
301 0.7% 18%  
302 0.2% 17%  
303 2% 17%  
304 1.1% 14%  
305 0.9% 13%  
306 3% 12%  
307 0.1% 10%  
308 0.1% 9%  
309 0.1% 9%  
310 0.3% 9%  
311 1.0% 9%  
312 4% 8%  
313 0.1% 4%  
314 0.1% 4%  
315 2% 4%  
316 0.2% 2%  
317 0% 2% Last Result
318 0% 2%  
319 0% 2%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.1% 1.4%  
322 0.1% 1.3%  
323 0% 1.2%  
324 0.2% 1.2%  
325 0% 1.0%  
326 0% 1.0% Majority
327 0.1% 0.9%  
328 0% 0.8%  
329 0.5% 0.8%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0.1% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.3% 99.8%  
6 0.4% 99.6%  
7 0.8% 99.2%  
8 0.6% 98%  
9 2% 98%  
10 0.4% 96%  
11 3% 96%  
12 7% 93% Last Result
13 10% 86%  
14 8% 75%  
15 8% 68%  
16 32% 59% Median
17 5% 27%  
18 7% 22%  
19 2% 15%  
20 4% 13%  
21 4% 9%  
22 1.3% 5%  
23 0.6% 3%  
24 1.1% 3%  
25 0.8% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.7%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 69% 69% Median
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0.2% 99.8%  
8 0.3% 99.6%  
9 0.5% 99.2%  
10 0.1% 98.7%  
11 0.1% 98.7%  
12 0.1% 98.6%  
13 0.4% 98.5%  
14 0.2% 98%  
15 0.2% 98%  
16 0.1% 98%  
17 0.4% 98%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0.3% 97%  
20 0.2% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 4% 97%  
24 0.5% 93%  
25 2% 92%  
26 0.6% 91%  
27 0.3% 90%  
28 3% 90%  
29 2% 87%  
30 5% 85%  
31 0.7% 80%  
32 0.3% 79%  
33 0.2% 79%  
34 8% 79%  
35 1.4% 71% Last Result
36 0% 70%  
37 0.1% 70%  
38 2% 69%  
39 4% 68%  
40 1.1% 63%  
41 4% 62%  
42 0.7% 58%  
43 0.1% 58%  
44 4% 58%  
45 3% 54%  
46 3% 51% Median
47 1.4% 48%  
48 4% 47%  
49 4% 43%  
50 14% 38%  
51 14% 25%  
52 4% 11%  
53 0.5% 7%  
54 1.2% 6%  
55 4% 5%  
56 0.4% 1.3%  
57 0.9% 0.9%  
58 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 7% 97%  
2 21% 90%  
3 8% 69%  
4 47% 62% Last Result, Median
5 14% 14%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 346 87% 325–370 318–376 315–379 301–386
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 343 84% 320–367 316–373 311–376 298–385
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 323 44% 303–353 297–356 291–367 281–375
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 333 75% 309–352 300–360 300–364 287–367
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 320 41% 300–351 296–352 289–363 277–372
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 329 62% 305–350 298–356 297–361 282–365
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 311 13% 279–330 278–334 267–341 258–353
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 307 11% 277–327 274–333 263–339 255–350
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 297 9% 279–322 270–330 266–330 264–344
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 295 2% 265–312 261–318 253–324 244–333
Labour Party 262 291 1.2% 261–309 259–315 249–322 241–330
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 287 1.3% 263–310 257–314 254–319 245–332
Conservative Party 317 284 1.0% 261–306 254–312 251–315 244–329

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0.1% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0.1% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0% 99.7%  
301 0.5% 99.7%  
302 0% 99.2%  
303 0.1% 99.2%  
304 0% 99.1%  
305 0% 99.1%  
306 0.2% 99.0%  
307 0% 98.8%  
308 0.1% 98.8%  
309 0% 98.7%  
310 0.1% 98.7%  
311 0.2% 98.6%  
312 0% 98%  
313 0% 98% Last Result
314 0.2% 98%  
315 2% 98%  
316 0.2% 97%  
317 0% 96%  
318 4% 96%  
319 1.3% 93%  
320 0.3% 91%  
321 0.1% 91%  
322 0.2% 91%  
323 0.1% 91%  
324 0.2% 90%  
325 3% 90%  
326 0.1% 87% Majority
327 3% 87%  
328 0.2% 83%  
329 0.7% 83%  
330 0.1% 82%  
331 0.1% 82%  
332 0% 82%  
333 0.3% 82%  
334 0.1% 82%  
335 0.8% 82%  
336 0.3% 81%  
337 5% 81%  
338 0.4% 75%  
339 0.5% 75%  
340 0.2% 75%  
341 1.1% 74%  
342 0.3% 73%  
343 3% 73%  
344 0.2% 70%  
345 11% 70%  
346 9% 59%  
347 0.6% 50%  
348 1.0% 49%  
349 2% 48%  
350 6% 47%  
351 2% 41%  
352 0.4% 40%  
353 0.1% 39%  
354 0.6% 39%  
355 0.8% 39%  
356 0.1% 38%  
357 1.2% 38% Median
358 0.8% 36%  
359 2% 36%  
360 1.4% 33%  
361 2% 32%  
362 3% 30%  
363 0.5% 27%  
364 0.6% 27%  
365 0.2% 26%  
366 13% 26%  
367 0.6% 13%  
368 0.7% 12%  
369 0.9% 11%  
370 2% 11%  
371 0.2% 8%  
372 0.6% 8%  
373 0.7% 7%  
374 0.6% 7%  
375 0.2% 6%  
376 2% 6%  
377 0.3% 4%  
378 1.0% 4%  
379 0.2% 3%  
380 0.3% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.3% 2%  
383 0% 2%  
384 0.8% 2%  
385 0% 0.8%  
386 0.5% 0.8%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0.1% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0% 99.7%  
296 0% 99.7%  
297 0% 99.7%  
298 0.2% 99.7%  
299 0.4% 99.4%  
300 0% 99.1%  
301 0% 99.0%  
302 0% 99.0%  
303 0.1% 99.0%  
304 0.2% 98.9%  
305 0% 98.7%  
306 0.2% 98.6%  
307 0% 98%  
308 0.1% 98%  
309 0% 98% Last Result
310 0.2% 98%  
311 2% 98%  
312 0.1% 96%  
313 0.1% 96%  
314 0.5% 96%  
315 0.5% 96%  
316 4% 95%  
317 0.7% 92%  
318 0.2% 91%  
319 0.2% 91%  
320 0.5% 90%  
321 2% 90%  
322 0.1% 88%  
323 4% 88%  
324 0% 84%  
325 0.1% 84%  
326 1.1% 84% Majority
327 0% 83%  
328 0.8% 83%  
329 0.3% 82%  
330 0.1% 82%  
331 0.1% 82%  
332 1.0% 82%  
333 1.0% 81%  
334 0.3% 80%  
335 5% 80%  
336 0.2% 75%  
337 0.7% 75%  
338 3% 74%  
339 0.1% 71%  
340 3% 71%  
341 9% 68%  
342 9% 59%  
343 0.8% 51%  
344 0.1% 50%  
345 1.3% 50%  
346 6% 49%  
347 0.2% 42%  
348 0.4% 42%  
349 1.1% 42%  
350 2% 41%  
351 0.1% 39%  
352 0.3% 39%  
353 0.7% 38% Median
354 0.2% 38%  
355 4% 37%  
356 2% 34%  
357 0.8% 31%  
358 2% 31%  
359 1.3% 29%  
360 0.7% 27%  
361 0.7% 27%  
362 10% 26%  
363 0.4% 16%  
364 3% 15%  
365 0.6% 12%  
366 0.7% 12%  
367 0.9% 11%  
368 1.3% 10%  
369 0.9% 9%  
370 0.8% 8%  
371 0.7% 7%  
372 0.1% 6%  
373 2% 6%  
374 0.7% 4%  
375 0.5% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.3% 2%  
378 0.3% 2%  
379 0% 2%  
380 0.6% 2%  
381 0% 1.1%  
382 0.3% 1.1%  
383 0% 0.8%  
384 0% 0.7%  
385 0.5% 0.7%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0.1% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0.1% 99.5%  
282 0% 99.4%  
283 0.1% 99.4%  
284 0.1% 99.3%  
285 0.4% 99.2%  
286 0% 98.8%  
287 0.1% 98.8%  
288 0.1% 98.7%  
289 0.1% 98.6%  
290 0.1% 98%  
291 1.4% 98%  
292 0.1% 97%  
293 0.2% 97%  
294 0.1% 97%  
295 0.2% 97%  
296 0.5% 96%  
297 1.0% 96%  
298 0.9% 95%  
299 0.1% 94%  
300 0.7% 94%  
301 3% 93%  
302 0.2% 90%  
303 0.4% 90%  
304 0.2% 90%  
305 0.8% 90%  
306 0% 89%  
307 0.6% 89%  
308 4% 88%  
309 2% 84%  
310 0.9% 81%  
311 0.2% 81%  
312 1.1% 80%  
313 3% 79%  
314 0.3% 76%  
315 0.2% 76%  
316 0.4% 75%  
317 0.3% 75%  
318 0.7% 75%  
319 0.6% 74%  
320 11% 73%  
321 4% 62%  
322 2% 59%  
323 8% 57%  
324 0.1% 49%  
325 5% 49%  
326 0.1% 44% Majority
327 0.7% 44%  
328 2% 43%  
329 0.1% 41%  
330 0.1% 41%  
331 2% 41%  
332 0.2% 39%  
333 1.4% 38%  
334 5% 37% Median
335 0.6% 32%  
336 3% 32%  
337 0.2% 28%  
338 9% 28%  
339 0.5% 19%  
340 0.3% 19%  
341 0.2% 19%  
342 1.4% 18%  
343 0.8% 17%  
344 1.1% 16%  
345 0% 15%  
346 0% 15%  
347 0.8% 15%  
348 0.7% 14%  
349 0.2% 14%  
350 1.1% 13%  
351 0.1% 12%  
352 0.2% 12%  
353 5% 12%  
354 0.2% 7%  
355 0.5% 7%  
356 2% 6% Last Result
357 0% 4%  
358 0.1% 4%  
359 0.8% 4%  
360 0.2% 4%  
361 0% 3%  
362 0.1% 3%  
363 0.1% 3%  
364 0.1% 3%  
365 0.1% 3%  
366 0.1% 3%  
367 2% 3%  
368 0.3% 1.4%  
369 0.1% 1.1%  
370 0.1% 1.0%  
371 0.2% 1.0%  
372 0.1% 0.7%  
373 0% 0.7%  
374 0% 0.6%  
375 0.3% 0.6%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0.2% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0.1% 100%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.3% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.6%  
285 0% 99.6%  
286 0% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.5%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.1% 99.4%  
290 0.2% 99.2%  
291 0.2% 99.1%  
292 0.1% 98.8%  
293 0.1% 98.7%  
294 0% 98.7%  
295 0% 98.7%  
296 0.2% 98.6%  
297 0% 98%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.1% 98%  
300 4% 98%  
301 2% 94% Last Result
302 0% 93%  
303 0.8% 93%  
304 0.5% 92%  
305 0.3% 91%  
306 0.2% 91%  
307 0.1% 91%  
308 0.2% 91%  
309 0.9% 91%  
310 2% 90%  
311 3% 87%  
312 0% 85%  
313 0.1% 85%  
314 2% 84%  
315 0.3% 82%  
316 0.3% 82%  
317 0.8% 82%  
318 0.1% 81%  
319 0.1% 81%  
320 0.1% 81%  
321 5% 81%  
322 0.2% 76%  
323 0.2% 76%  
324 0.2% 76%  
325 0.2% 75%  
326 0.8% 75% Majority
327 2% 74%  
328 0.8% 73%  
329 12% 72%  
330 0.4% 60%  
331 3% 60%  
332 0.9% 57%  
333 9% 56%  
334 1.1% 46%  
335 5% 45%  
336 0.9% 40%  
337 0.1% 39%  
338 0.3% 39%  
339 1.2% 39%  
340 1.0% 38%  
341 0.6% 37% Median
342 1.2% 36%  
343 2% 35%  
344 0.9% 33%  
345 3% 32%  
346 0.4% 29%  
347 2% 28%  
348 1.4% 27%  
349 0.2% 25%  
350 11% 25%  
351 3% 14%  
352 1.2% 10%  
353 2% 9%  
354 0.1% 8%  
355 0.6% 7%  
356 0.1% 7%  
357 0.4% 7%  
358 0.3% 6%  
359 0.6% 6%  
360 0.7% 5%  
361 0% 5%  
362 0.8% 5%  
363 0.2% 4%  
364 3% 4%  
365 0.3% 0.9%  
366 0% 0.7%  
367 0.3% 0.6%  
368 0% 0.3%  
369 0.1% 0.3%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0.1% 0.1%  
377 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.8%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.7%  
277 0.1% 99.6%  
278 0% 99.5%  
279 0.1% 99.4%  
280 0% 99.4%  
281 0% 99.4%  
282 0.1% 99.3%  
283 0.4% 99.2%  
284 0.1% 98.8%  
285 0.1% 98.7%  
286 0.2% 98.6%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.2% 98%  
289 1.3% 98%  
290 0.1% 97%  
291 0.4% 97%  
292 0% 96%  
293 0.5% 96%  
294 0.3% 96%  
295 0.3% 95%  
296 2% 95%  
297 2% 93%  
298 0.2% 92%  
299 0.9% 91%  
300 0.8% 90%  
301 0.4% 90%  
302 0.3% 89%  
303 0.4% 89%  
304 1.2% 89%  
305 0.2% 87%  
306 5% 87%  
307 0.9% 82%  
308 3% 81%  
309 0.7% 78%  
310 0.9% 77%  
311 0.3% 76%  
312 0.8% 76%  
313 0.1% 75%  
314 0.2% 75%  
315 1.3% 75%  
316 12% 74%  
317 0.6% 61%  
318 1.0% 61%  
319 9% 60%  
320 0.9% 50%  
321 0.9% 49%  
322 0.3% 48%  
323 5% 48%  
324 2% 43%  
325 0.2% 41%  
326 0% 41% Majority
327 0.2% 41%  
328 0.1% 41%  
329 0.2% 41%  
330 7% 41% Median
331 3% 34%  
332 2% 31%  
333 0.8% 29%  
334 9% 29%  
335 0.5% 19%  
336 0.1% 19%  
337 0.2% 19%  
338 1.2% 19%  
339 0.8% 17%  
340 0.1% 16%  
341 0.1% 16%  
342 1.2% 16%  
343 0.3% 15%  
344 1.4% 15%  
345 0.1% 13%  
346 0.3% 13%  
347 0% 13%  
348 0.1% 13%  
349 0.7% 13%  
350 0.4% 12%  
351 5% 12%  
352 2% 6% Last Result
353 0.1% 4%  
354 0% 4%  
355 0.9% 4%  
356 0% 3%  
357 0.1% 3%  
358 0% 3%  
359 0.1% 3%  
360 0% 3%  
361 0.2% 3%  
362 0.1% 3%  
363 2% 3%  
364 0.2% 1.4%  
365 0.2% 1.2%  
366 0% 1.0%  
367 0% 1.0%  
368 0.3% 0.9%  
369 0% 0.7%  
370 0.1% 0.7%  
371 0% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0.4% 0.4%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0.1% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0.2% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.6%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0% 99.5%  
284 0.1% 99.5%  
285 0.1% 99.4%  
286 0% 99.3%  
287 0.1% 99.2%  
288 0.2% 99.1%  
289 0.3% 98.9%  
290 0% 98.7%  
291 0.2% 98.6%  
292 0% 98%  
293 0% 98%  
294 0.1% 98%  
295 0% 98%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 2% 98% Last Result
298 3% 96%  
299 0.1% 93%  
300 0.7% 93%  
301 0.9% 92%  
302 0.1% 91%  
303 0.1% 91%  
304 0.2% 91%  
305 1.3% 91%  
306 0.9% 89%  
307 1.2% 89%  
308 0.1% 87%  
309 3% 87%  
310 1.5% 85%  
311 0.1% 83%  
312 0.1% 83%  
313 2% 83%  
314 0.3% 81%  
315 0.1% 81%  
316 0.2% 81%  
317 0.1% 81%  
318 0% 80%  
319 4% 80%  
320 0.4% 76%  
321 0.1% 76%  
322 0.7% 76%  
323 1.2% 75%  
324 4% 74%  
325 8% 70%  
326 4% 62% Majority
327 1.0% 58%  
328 0.2% 57%  
329 8% 57%  
330 0.4% 48%  
331 5% 48%  
332 2% 43%  
333 1.2% 41%  
334 0.4% 39%  
335 0.2% 39%  
336 0.7% 39%  
337 1.3% 38% Median
338 1.0% 37%  
339 2% 36%  
340 1.2% 34%  
341 1.1% 33%  
342 2% 32%  
343 3% 30%  
344 0.3% 27%  
345 0.7% 26%  
346 10% 25%  
347 3% 15%  
348 1.0% 12%  
349 0.9% 11%  
350 1.4% 11%  
351 2% 9%  
352 0.3% 7%  
353 0.4% 7%  
354 0.6% 7%  
355 0.1% 6%  
356 0.9% 6%  
357 0.2% 5%  
358 0.3% 5%  
359 0.1% 4%  
360 0.8% 4%  
361 3% 4%  
362 0% 0.7%  
363 0% 0.7%  
364 0% 0.7%  
365 0.4% 0.6%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0.1% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.3% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.5%  
261 0% 99.3%  
262 0.2% 99.3%  
263 0% 99.1%  
264 0% 99.1%  
265 0% 99.0%  
266 0.4% 99.0%  
267 2% 98.6%  
268 0.1% 97%  
269 0.2% 97%  
270 0% 97%  
271 0.1% 97%  
272 0% 97%  
273 0.1% 97%  
274 0% 97%  
275 0.1% 97%  
276 0.8% 96%  
277 0.1% 96%  
278 2% 96% Last Result
279 4% 94%  
280 2% 90%  
281 0.7% 88%  
282 0.1% 87%  
283 0% 87%  
284 0.3% 87%  
285 0.1% 87%  
286 1.3% 87%  
287 0.2% 85%  
288 1.4% 85%  
289 0% 84%  
290 0.1% 84%  
291 0.8% 84%  
292 1.3% 83%  
293 0.2% 82%  
294 0.1% 81%  
295 0.5% 81%  
296 9% 81%  
297 0.5% 71%  
298 0.8% 71%  
299 4% 70%  
300 6% 66%  
301 1.0% 60%  
302 0.1% 59%  
303 0.1% 59%  
304 0.1% 59%  
305 0.2% 59%  
306 0.1% 59%  
307 6% 59%  
308 0.6% 52%  
309 0.9% 52%  
310 0.3% 51%  
311 10% 50% Median
312 1.0% 40%  
313 0.6% 39%  
314 0.8% 39%  
315 12% 38%  
316 0.8% 26%  
317 0.1% 25%  
318 0.8% 25%  
319 0.1% 24%  
320 1.2% 24%  
321 0.6% 23%  
322 3% 22%  
323 0.2% 19%  
324 3% 19%  
325 3% 16%  
326 1.2% 13% Majority
327 0.3% 12%  
328 0.5% 11%  
329 0.4% 11%  
330 0.8% 10%  
331 0.7% 10%  
332 0.3% 9%  
333 0.3% 9%  
334 3% 8%  
335 0.1% 5%  
336 0.5% 5%  
337 0.4% 4%  
338 0% 4%  
339 0.1% 4%  
340 0.3% 4%  
341 1.4% 3%  
342 0.1% 2%  
343 0.2% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.1% 1.5%  
346 0.1% 1.3%  
347 0% 1.2%  
348 0.5% 1.2%  
349 0.1% 0.7%  
350 0% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.6%  
352 0% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4%  
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0.2% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.8%  
255 0.3% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.4%  
257 0.1% 99.4%  
258 0% 99.3%  
259 0.2% 99.3%  
260 0% 99.1%  
261 0.1% 99.0%  
262 0.3% 99.0%  
263 2% 98.7%  
264 0.1% 97%  
265 0% 97%  
266 0.1% 97%  
267 0.1% 97%  
268 0.1% 97%  
269 0% 97%  
270 0.1% 97%  
271 0.1% 96%  
272 0.8% 96%  
273 0% 96%  
274 1.4% 96% Last Result
275 0.9% 94%  
276 0.2% 93%  
277 4% 93%  
278 2% 89%  
279 0.1% 88%  
280 1.1% 88%  
281 0.2% 87%  
282 0.4% 86%  
283 1.0% 86%  
284 0.1% 85%  
285 0% 85%  
286 1.1% 85%  
287 0.8% 84%  
288 1.4% 83%  
289 0.1% 82%  
290 0.3% 82%  
291 0.7% 81%  
292 9% 81%  
293 0.4% 72%  
294 3% 72%  
295 0.4% 68%  
296 5% 68%  
297 0.4% 63%  
298 1.2% 63%  
299 2% 61%  
300 0.7% 60%  
301 0.1% 59%  
302 0.3% 59%  
303 2% 59%  
304 0.4% 57%  
305 5% 56%  
306 0.1% 52%  
307 8% 51% Median
308 2% 43%  
309 2% 42%  
310 3% 40%  
311 11% 37%  
312 0.4% 26%  
313 0.5% 26%  
314 0.3% 25%  
315 0.3% 25%  
316 0.2% 25%  
317 4% 24%  
318 1.0% 21%  
319 0.3% 20%  
320 0.9% 19%  
321 2% 19%  
322 1.1% 16%  
323 4% 15%  
324 0.3% 11%  
325 0.6% 11%  
326 0.4% 11% Majority
327 0.2% 10%  
328 0.4% 10%  
329 1.1% 10%  
330 2% 8%  
331 0.2% 6%  
332 0.8% 6%  
333 0.8% 5%  
334 0.5% 4%  
335 0.5% 4%  
336 0.1% 3%  
337 0.2% 3%  
338 0.1% 3%  
339 1.3% 3%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0% 1.4%  
343 0.1% 1.3%  
344 0.1% 1.3%  
345 0% 1.2%  
346 0.5% 1.2%  
347 0.1% 0.7%  
348 0% 0.6%  
349 0% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.2% 0.5%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0.1% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0.1% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.3% 99.6%  
265 0.3% 99.4%  
266 3% 99.1%  
267 0.2% 96%  
268 0.8% 96%  
269 0% 95%  
270 0.7% 95%  
271 0.2% 95%  
272 0.6% 94%  
273 0.1% 94%  
274 0.4% 94%  
275 0.3% 93%  
276 0.5% 93%  
277 1.5% 92%  
278 0.8% 91%  
279 1.4% 90%  
280 4% 89%  
281 10% 85%  
282 0.5% 75%  
283 1.1% 74%  
284 2% 73%  
285 0.4% 71%  
286 3% 71%  
287 0.7% 67%  
288 3% 67%  
289 0.6% 64%  
290 1.1% 64%  
291 0.9% 62%  
292 0.5% 62%  
293 0.2% 61%  
294 0.9% 61%  
295 5% 60%  
296 0.6% 55%  
297 10% 54%  
298 0.8% 44%  
299 3% 43%  
300 0.2% 40% Median
301 12% 40%  
302 1.1% 29%  
303 2% 27%  
304 1.0% 26%  
305 0.2% 25%  
306 0.2% 25%  
307 0.2% 24%  
308 0.2% 24%  
309 5% 24%  
310 0% 19%  
311 0.1% 19%  
312 0.2% 19%  
313 0.8% 19%  
314 0.1% 18%  
315 0.5% 18%  
316 2% 18%  
317 0.1% 16%  
318 0% 15%  
319 1.2% 15%  
320 2% 14%  
321 2% 12%  
322 0.9% 10%  
323 0% 9%  
324 0.2% 9%  
325 0.2% 9%  
326 0.5% 9% Majority
327 0.8% 8%  
328 0.1% 7%  
329 2% 7% Last Result
330 4% 6%  
331 0.1% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0% 2%  
334 0% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0% 1.4%  
337 0.1% 1.3%  
338 0.1% 1.3%  
339 0.2% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.8%  
342 0.1% 0.6%  
343 0% 0.6%  
344 0% 0.5%  
345 0% 0.5%  
346 0% 0.5%  
347 0.3% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0.1% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0.3% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.4%  
246 0.1% 99.4%  
247 0.2% 99.3%  
248 0.1% 99.1%  
249 0% 99.0%  
250 0% 99.0%  
251 0% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 99.0%  
253 2% 98.9%  
254 0% 97%  
255 0.1% 97%  
256 0.1% 97%  
257 0% 97%  
258 0% 97%  
259 0.1% 97%  
260 1.2% 97%  
261 4% 96%  
262 0.2% 92%  
263 0.3% 92%  
264 0% 92%  
265 2% 92%  
266 2% 90% Last Result
267 0.1% 87%  
268 0.1% 87%  
269 0% 87%  
270 0.7% 87%  
271 0.1% 86%  
272 0.7% 86%  
273 0.3% 86%  
274 0.2% 85%  
275 0.7% 85%  
276 3% 85%  
277 1.0% 82%  
278 0.4% 81%  
279 0.2% 81%  
280 1.1% 80%  
281 0.4% 79%  
282 3% 79%  
283 8% 76%  
284 0.1% 68%  
285 5% 68%  
286 0.6% 63%  
287 3% 62%  
288 0.9% 59%  
289 0.2% 58%  
290 0.2% 58%  
291 6% 58%  
292 0.2% 52%  
293 0.5% 52%  
294 0.2% 51%  
295 8% 51% Median
296 2% 43%  
297 0.7% 41%  
298 0.6% 40%  
299 12% 39%  
300 2% 28%  
301 2% 26%  
302 0.2% 23%  
303 0.2% 23%  
304 4% 23%  
305 0.7% 19%  
306 2% 18%  
307 0.8% 16%  
308 0.9% 15%  
309 0.3% 14%  
310 0.8% 14%  
311 0.9% 13%  
312 2% 12%  
313 0.8% 10%  
314 2% 9%  
315 0.2% 7%  
316 0.6% 7%  
317 0.8% 7%  
318 2% 6%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.2% 4%  
321 0.2% 4%  
322 0% 3%  
323 0.1% 3%  
324 1.2% 3%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.3% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 2%  
328 0.7% 1.5%  
329 0% 0.8%  
330 0.1% 0.7%  
331 0% 0.6%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.5%  
335 0% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0.1% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0.2% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.7%  
241 0.3% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.4%  
243 0% 99.3%  
244 0% 99.3%  
245 0.3% 99.3%  
246 0% 99.0%  
247 0.1% 99.0%  
248 0% 98.9%  
249 2% 98.9%  
250 0.1% 97%  
251 0.1% 97%  
252 0% 97%  
253 0% 97%  
254 0% 97%  
255 0.1% 97%  
256 1.1% 97%  
257 0.2% 96%  
258 0% 96%  
259 4% 96%  
260 0.6% 92%  
261 2% 91%  
262 0.1% 90% Last Result
263 0.1% 90%  
264 2% 89%  
265 0.9% 88%  
266 0.5% 87%  
267 0.1% 86%  
268 0.3% 86%  
269 0% 86%  
270 0.7% 86%  
271 0.1% 85%  
272 3% 85%  
273 0.6% 83%  
274 1.1% 82%  
275 0.8% 81%  
276 0.8% 80%  
277 0.3% 79%  
278 0.4% 79%  
279 8% 79%  
280 0.1% 71%  
281 7% 71%  
282 3% 64%  
283 0.3% 61%  
284 0.7% 60%  
285 0.2% 60%  
286 0.9% 59%  
287 0.5% 59%  
288 2% 58%  
289 5% 56%  
290 0.2% 52%  
291 8% 51% Median
292 2% 44%  
293 0.9% 42%  
294 0.9% 41%  
295 10% 40%  
296 3% 30%  
297 2% 27%  
298 0.9% 25%  
299 1.1% 24%  
300 0.7% 23%  
301 2% 22%  
302 3% 20%  
303 0.6% 17%  
304 2% 16%  
305 0.5% 14%  
306 0.2% 14%  
307 0.4% 14%  
308 0.5% 13%  
309 3% 13%  
310 1.1% 9%  
311 0.1% 8%  
312 1.2% 8%  
313 0.2% 7%  
314 2% 7%  
315 1.1% 5%  
316 0.2% 4%  
317 0.1% 4%  
318 0.1% 4%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.4% 3%  
321 0.1% 3%  
322 1.3% 3%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.2% 1.4%  
326 0.5% 1.2% Majority
327 0.1% 0.7%  
328 0.1% 0.6%  
329 0% 0.5%  
330 0% 0.5%  
331 0% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0% 99.8%  
245 0.5% 99.8%  
246 0% 99.3%  
247 0% 99.3%  
248 0% 99.2%  
249 0.3% 99.2%  
250 0.6% 98.9%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.3% 98%  
253 0.2% 98%  
254 0.3% 98%  
255 0.4% 97%  
256 0.8% 97%  
257 2% 96%  
258 0.1% 94%  
259 0.7% 94%  
260 0.3% 93%  
261 0.6% 93%  
262 2% 92%  
263 0.5% 90%  
264 1.0% 90%  
265 0.8% 89%  
266 0.2% 88%  
267 3% 88%  
268 0.1% 84%  
269 11% 84%  
270 0.3% 74%  
271 2% 73%  
272 0.2% 71%  
273 2% 71%  
274 0.2% 69%  
275 4% 68%  
276 2% 64%  
277 0.8% 62%  
278 0.2% 62%  
279 0.2% 61%  
280 2% 61%  
281 0.3% 60%  
282 1.2% 59%  
283 0.2% 58%  
284 6% 58%  
285 1.2% 52%  
286 0.2% 50%  
287 0.8% 50%  
288 9% 49% Median
289 9% 41%  
290 3% 32%  
291 0.3% 29%  
292 3% 29%  
293 0.4% 26%  
294 0.4% 26%  
295 5% 25%  
296 0.1% 20%  
297 1.1% 20%  
298 1.0% 19%  
299 0.1% 18%  
300 0.1% 18%  
301 0.2% 18%  
302 0.8% 18%  
303 0.1% 17%  
304 0.1% 17%  
305 1.1% 17%  
306 0% 16%  
307 2% 16%  
308 2% 13%  
309 0.5% 12%  
310 2% 11%  
311 0.2% 10%  
312 0.2% 9%  
313 0.7% 9%  
314 4% 9%  
315 0.3% 5%  
316 0.9% 5%  
317 0% 4%  
318 0.1% 4%  
319 2% 4%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.1% 2% Last Result
322 0% 2%  
323 0% 2%  
324 0% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.2% 1.3% Majority
327 0.1% 1.1%  
328 0% 1.0%  
329 0% 1.0%  
330 0% 1.0%  
331 0.4% 1.0%  
332 0.2% 0.6%  
333 0% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0.1% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.5% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.2%  
246 0.6% 99.2%  
247 0.3% 98.6%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.1% 98%  
250 0.3% 98%  
251 0.3% 98%  
252 0.9% 97%  
253 0.3% 97%  
254 2% 96%  
255 0.2% 94%  
256 0.3% 94%  
257 1.0% 94%  
258 0.1% 93%  
259 0.7% 92%  
260 2% 92%  
261 1.3% 90%  
262 0.4% 89%  
263 0.8% 88%  
264 1.0% 88%  
265 13% 87%  
266 0.2% 74%  
267 0.8% 74%  
268 1.1% 73%  
269 2% 72%  
270 3% 70%  
271 1.4% 68%  
272 2% 66%  
273 1.2% 64%  
274 0.2% 62%  
275 0.8% 62%  
276 0.6% 61%  
277 0.2% 61%  
278 0.3% 61%  
279 2% 60%  
280 5% 59%  
281 2% 54%  
282 1.1% 52%  
283 0.5% 51%  
284 9% 50% Median
285 11% 41%  
286 0.3% 30%  
287 3% 30%  
288 0.1% 27%  
289 1.2% 27%  
290 0.2% 26%  
291 0.5% 25%  
292 0.4% 25%  
293 5% 25%  
294 0% 19%  
295 1.0% 19%  
296 0.1% 18%  
297 0.2% 18%  
298 0.1% 18%  
299 0.1% 18%  
300 0.1% 18%  
301 0.7% 18%  
302 0.2% 17%  
303 2% 17%  
304 1.1% 14%  
305 0.9% 13%  
306 3% 12%  
307 0.1% 10%  
308 0.1% 9%  
309 0.1% 9%  
310 0.3% 9%  
311 1.0% 9%  
312 4% 8%  
313 0.1% 4%  
314 0.1% 4%  
315 2% 4%  
316 0.2% 2%  
317 0% 2% Last Result
318 0% 2%  
319 0% 2%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.1% 1.4%  
322 0.1% 1.3%  
323 0% 1.2%  
324 0.2% 1.2%  
325 0% 1.0%  
326 0% 1.0% Majority
327 0.1% 0.9%  
328 0% 0.8%  
329 0.5% 0.8%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0.1% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations