Opinion Poll by ICM Research for The Guardian, 16–18 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 43.5% 42.0–45.1% 41.5–45.6% 41.2–46.0% 40.4–46.7%
Labour Party 40.0% 40.6% 39.1–42.2% 38.6–42.6% 38.3–43.0% 37.5–43.8%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.3% 6.3–9.8%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 327 298–340 290–344 284–348 273–355
Labour Party 262 259 239–282 237–295 231–304 225–314
Liberal Democrats 12 15 8–17 8–19 7–20 4–21
Scottish National Party 35 27 8–42 6–48 4–50 2–53
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–6 4–6 4–8 4–8
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.2% 99.8%  
273 0.2% 99.6%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.1% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.3%  
278 0.1% 99.2%  
279 0.5% 99.1%  
280 0% 98.6%  
281 0.2% 98.5%  
282 0.7% 98%  
283 0.1% 98%  
284 0.8% 98%  
285 0.2% 97%  
286 0.3% 97%  
287 0.2% 96%  
288 0.9% 96%  
289 0% 95%  
290 0.2% 95%  
291 0.1% 95%  
292 0.3% 95%  
293 0% 95%  
294 0.3% 94%  
295 0.5% 94%  
296 1.0% 94%  
297 0.7% 93%  
298 5% 92%  
299 0.3% 87%  
300 0.7% 87%  
301 0.3% 86%  
302 0.6% 86%  
303 0.9% 85%  
304 0.7% 84%  
305 0.4% 84%  
306 0.8% 83%  
307 0.4% 82%  
308 7% 82%  
309 6% 75%  
310 2% 70%  
311 0.7% 68%  
312 0% 68%  
313 0.7% 68%  
314 0.1% 67%  
315 3% 67%  
316 0.2% 64%  
317 3% 64% Last Result
318 2% 61%  
319 1.0% 59%  
320 2% 58%  
321 1.3% 57%  
322 0.4% 55%  
323 0.9% 55%  
324 2% 54%  
325 0.8% 52%  
326 0.2% 52% Majority
327 8% 51% Median
328 5% 43%  
329 1.4% 38%  
330 5% 37%  
331 1.1% 32%  
332 7% 31%  
333 1.3% 24%  
334 0.7% 22%  
335 0.7% 22%  
336 0.5% 21%  
337 5% 20%  
338 3% 15%  
339 1.2% 13%  
340 2% 11%  
341 1.1% 9%  
342 0.2% 8%  
343 3% 8%  
344 0.9% 5%  
345 0.1% 4%  
346 0.8% 4%  
347 0.1% 3%  
348 0.9% 3%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.1% 2%  
352 0.7% 2%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.6%  
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0.1% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0.3% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.6%  
224 0% 99.6%  
225 0.2% 99.5%  
226 0.1% 99.4%  
227 0.3% 99.3%  
228 0.1% 99.0%  
229 0.6% 98.9%  
230 0.4% 98%  
231 0.8% 98%  
232 0.3% 97%  
233 0.2% 97%  
234 0.2% 97%  
235 0.1% 96%  
236 0.4% 96%  
237 4% 96%  
238 2% 92%  
239 0.9% 91%  
240 4% 90%  
241 0.4% 86%  
242 3% 86%  
243 0.8% 83%  
244 0.2% 82%  
245 2% 82%  
246 0.3% 80%  
247 0.6% 79%  
248 2% 79%  
249 0.5% 77%  
250 7% 76%  
251 0.4% 70%  
252 6% 69%  
253 0.7% 63%  
254 0.4% 63%  
255 0.8% 62%  
256 2% 61%  
257 1.0% 59%  
258 0.2% 58%  
259 9% 58% Median
260 0.6% 49%  
261 0.4% 48%  
262 2% 48% Last Result
263 1.3% 46%  
264 2% 45%  
265 0.8% 43%  
266 1.1% 42%  
267 5% 41%  
268 0.7% 36%  
269 2% 35%  
270 2% 33%  
271 1.1% 31%  
272 0.9% 30%  
273 0.1% 29%  
274 2% 29%  
275 5% 27%  
276 5% 22%  
277 1.5% 17%  
278 0.1% 16%  
279 1.0% 16%  
280 3% 15%  
281 1.5% 12%  
282 1.1% 11%  
283 0.2% 9%  
284 0.2% 9%  
285 0.3% 9%  
286 0.4% 9%  
287 1.2% 8%  
288 0.4% 7%  
289 0.3% 7%  
290 0.2% 6%  
291 0% 6%  
292 0.2% 6%  
293 0.1% 6%  
294 0.5% 6%  
295 0.4% 5%  
296 0.1% 5%  
297 0.1% 5%  
298 1.2% 5%  
299 0.1% 4%  
300 0.4% 3%  
301 0.1% 3%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.1% 3%  
304 0.1% 3%  
305 0% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.4% 2%  
308 0.4% 2%  
309 0% 1.5%  
310 0.8% 1.4%  
311 0% 0.7%  
312 0% 0.6%  
313 0% 0.6%  
314 0.2% 0.6%  
315 0% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0% Majority

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 0.2% 99.6%  
5 0.4% 99.4%  
6 1.1% 99.0%  
7 1.0% 98%  
8 10% 97%  
9 3% 87%  
10 2% 84%  
11 2% 82%  
12 3% 80% Last Result
13 6% 77%  
14 11% 71%  
15 19% 60% Median
16 17% 42%  
17 17% 24%  
18 2% 8%  
19 3% 6%  
20 2% 3%  
21 1.1% 2%  
22 0.1% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.4%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.8%  
2 0.7% 99.8%  
3 1.4% 99.1%  
4 1.3% 98%  
5 1.0% 96%  
6 0.6% 95%  
7 2% 95%  
8 3% 93%  
9 2% 90%  
10 0.1% 88%  
11 1.5% 88%  
12 0.4% 86%  
13 0.7% 86%  
14 0.3% 85%  
15 0.1% 85%  
16 0.5% 85%  
17 0.3% 84%  
18 0% 84%  
19 2% 84%  
20 2% 82%  
21 4% 80%  
22 0.7% 76%  
23 15% 75%  
24 2% 60%  
25 1.0% 58%  
26 6% 57%  
27 2% 51% Median
28 0.9% 49%  
29 0.9% 48%  
30 0.7% 47%  
31 0.1% 46%  
32 0.7% 46%  
33 0.5% 46%  
34 0.2% 45%  
35 5% 45% Last Result
36 0.6% 40%  
37 0.5% 40%  
38 4% 39%  
39 8% 35%  
40 13% 27%  
41 2% 14%  
42 1.4% 11%  
43 0.7% 10%  
44 1.2% 9%  
45 0.8% 8%  
46 0.7% 7%  
47 1.0% 7%  
48 2% 6%  
49 0.5% 3%  
50 0.8% 3%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 0.4% 1.0%  
53 0.4% 0.7%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.1% 99.8%  
3 0.1% 99.8%  
4 24% 99.7% Last Result
5 64% 76% Median
6 8% 12%  
7 1.3% 4%  
8 2% 3%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 355 93% 335–377 319–381 311–390 301–395
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 350 92% 331–372 314–376 306–385 297–390
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 336 67% 312–354 306–359 298–360 289–367
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 332 57% 303–345 294–349 288–352 277–361
Conservative Party 317 327 52% 298–340 290–344 284–348 273–355
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 304 17% 291–333 287–341 283–347 276–358
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 299 14% 286–328 282–337 279–343 270–354
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 295 5% 277–319 272–325 271–333 264–342
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 290 3% 272–314 268–321 265–329 258–338
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 281 2% 259–300 255–317 246–325 241–334
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 276 0.9% 254–296 250–312 241–320 236–330
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 264 0.1% 245–286 242–300 235–309 230–318
Labour Party 262 259 0% 239–282 237–295 231–304 225–314

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.2% 99.7%  
302 0.2% 99.5%  
303 0% 99.2%  
304 0.1% 99.2%  
305 0.1% 99.1%  
306 0.5% 99.1%  
307 0.2% 98.6%  
308 0.1% 98%  
309 0.5% 98%  
310 0.1% 98%  
311 0.3% 98%  
312 0.3% 97%  
313 0.1% 97%  
314 0.7% 97%  
315 0.3% 96%  
316 0% 96%  
317 0.2% 96%  
318 0.6% 96%  
319 0.1% 95%  
320 0.4% 95%  
321 0.1% 95%  
322 0.4% 94%  
323 0% 94%  
324 0.1% 94%  
325 0.5% 94%  
326 0.2% 93% Majority
327 0.1% 93%  
328 0.2% 93%  
329 0.9% 93%  
330 0.3% 92%  
331 0.2% 92%  
332 0.5% 92%  
333 0.1% 91%  
334 0.1% 91%  
335 1.1% 91%  
336 0.9% 90%  
337 1.3% 89%  
338 2% 88%  
339 6% 86%  
340 2% 80%  
341 1.2% 78%  
342 5% 77%  
343 2% 72%  
344 0.7% 70%  
345 1.1% 70%  
346 3% 69%  
347 0.4% 66%  
348 1.4% 65%  
349 5% 64%  
350 0.4% 59%  
351 0.5% 58%  
352 2% 58%  
353 0.6% 55%  
354 1.2% 55%  
355 8% 54%  
356 0.5% 45% Last Result
357 2% 45%  
358 1.1% 43%  
359 1.1% 42% Median
360 0.4% 41%  
361 0.7% 40%  
362 0.9% 40%  
363 2% 39%  
364 5% 37%  
365 0.2% 32%  
366 0.3% 31%  
367 2% 31%  
368 0.5% 29%  
369 1.4% 29%  
370 3% 27%  
371 0.7% 24%  
372 1.2% 23%  
373 5% 22%  
374 0.2% 17%  
375 3% 17%  
376 0.7% 14%  
377 4% 13%  
378 0.4% 9%  
379 0.3% 9%  
380 0.4% 9%  
381 3% 8%  
382 0.2% 5%  
383 0.1% 4%  
384 0.2% 4%  
385 0.2% 4%  
386 0.6% 4%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.2% 3%  
389 0.1% 3%  
390 1.3% 3%  
391 0.3% 1.3%  
392 0.2% 1.0%  
393 0.1% 0.8%  
394 0.1% 0.7%  
395 0.3% 0.6%  
396 0% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0.2% 99.8%  
297 0.4% 99.6%  
298 0% 99.3%  
299 0.1% 99.2%  
300 0% 99.1%  
301 0.5% 99.1%  
302 0.2% 98.6%  
303 0% 98%  
304 0.6% 98%  
305 0.1% 98%  
306 0.4% 98%  
307 0.1% 97%  
308 0.3% 97%  
309 0.7% 97%  
310 0.3% 96%  
311 0.1% 96%  
312 0% 96%  
313 0.6% 96%  
314 0.1% 95%  
315 0.4% 95%  
316 0.1% 95%  
317 0.3% 94%  
318 0.2% 94%  
319 0% 94%  
320 0.5% 94%  
321 0.2% 93%  
322 0.2% 93%  
323 0.1% 93%  
324 0.2% 93%  
325 0.9% 93%  
326 0.2% 92% Majority
327 0.1% 92%  
328 0.4% 92%  
329 0.2% 91%  
330 0.5% 91%  
331 2% 90%  
332 1.1% 89%  
333 1.4% 88%  
334 6% 86%  
335 1.3% 81%  
336 2% 79%  
337 6% 78%  
338 2% 72%  
339 0.8% 71%  
340 4% 70%  
341 0.8% 67%  
342 0.1% 66%  
343 1.4% 66%  
344 5% 64%  
345 0.7% 59%  
346 0.4% 58%  
347 1.5% 58%  
348 2% 56%  
349 1.4% 55%  
350 8% 53%  
351 2% 46%  
352 0.5% 43% Last Result
353 1.1% 43%  
354 1.2% 42% Median
355 0.4% 41%  
356 0.5% 40%  
357 2% 40%  
358 0.8% 38%  
359 0.7% 37%  
360 5% 36%  
361 0.2% 31%  
362 0.9% 31%  
363 2% 30%  
364 2% 29%  
365 1.4% 27%  
366 2% 25%  
367 1.1% 23%  
368 5% 22%  
369 0.2% 17%  
370 3% 17%  
371 0.6% 14%  
372 4% 13%  
373 0.4% 9%  
374 0.8% 9%  
375 0.4% 8%  
376 3% 7%  
377 0.2% 4%  
378 0% 4%  
379 0% 4%  
380 0.2% 4%  
381 0.4% 4%  
382 0.6% 4%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.1% 3%  
385 0.6% 3%  
386 1.2% 2%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0.1% 0.8%  
389 0% 0.6%  
390 0.3% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0.2% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.6%  
290 0% 99.4%  
291 0.1% 99.4%  
292 0.1% 99.3%  
293 0% 99.2%  
294 0.6% 99.2%  
295 0% 98.6%  
296 0.2% 98.6%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.7% 98%  
299 0.2% 97%  
300 0.3% 97%  
301 0.2% 97%  
302 0.5% 97%  
303 0.4% 96%  
304 0.5% 96%  
305 0% 95%  
306 0.3% 95%  
307 0.3% 95%  
308 0.6% 94%  
309 0.4% 94%  
310 0.3% 93%  
311 0.3% 93%  
312 5% 93%  
313 0.4% 88%  
314 1.0% 87%  
315 0.3% 86%  
316 0.3% 86%  
317 1.1% 86%  
318 0.1% 85%  
319 2% 85%  
320 0.9% 83%  
321 2% 82%  
322 0.5% 80%  
323 2% 80%  
324 10% 78%  
325 0.6% 68%  
326 0.2% 67% Majority
327 0.7% 67%  
328 0.1% 66%  
329 2% 66% Last Result
330 0.8% 64%  
331 1.1% 64%  
332 2% 62%  
333 0.1% 60%  
334 1.4% 60%  
335 3% 59%  
336 6% 56%  
337 0.3% 50%  
338 0.1% 50%  
339 1.2% 49%  
340 0.8% 48%  
341 0.8% 47%  
342 2% 47% Median
343 1.2% 44%  
344 8% 43%  
345 1.3% 35%  
346 6% 33%  
347 2% 28%  
348 3% 25%  
349 4% 22%  
350 1.1% 19%  
351 0.3% 18%  
352 6% 17%  
353 0.9% 12%  
354 2% 11%  
355 1.0% 8%  
356 0.9% 7%  
357 0.2% 6%  
358 0.9% 6%  
359 3% 5%  
360 0.2% 3%  
361 0.8% 2%  
362 0.2% 2%  
363 0.2% 1.5%  
364 0.2% 1.3%  
365 0.3% 1.1%  
366 0.3% 0.8%  
367 0% 0.5%  
368 0% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0.1% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0.2% 99.7%  
278 0.1% 99.5%  
279 0% 99.4%  
280 0.1% 99.4%  
281 0% 99.3%  
282 0.1% 99.3%  
283 0.1% 99.2%  
284 0.5% 99.1%  
285 0.3% 98.6%  
286 0% 98%  
287 0.7% 98%  
288 0.7% 98%  
289 0.2% 97%  
290 0.2% 97%  
291 0.4% 97%  
292 0.3% 96%  
293 0.7% 96%  
294 0.2% 95%  
295 0.1% 95%  
296 0.1% 95%  
297 0.2% 95%  
298 0% 95%  
299 0.7% 95%  
300 0.4% 94%  
301 0.7% 93%  
302 0.5% 93%  
303 5% 92%  
304 0.3% 87%  
305 0.9% 87%  
306 0.3% 86%  
307 0.6% 86%  
308 0.7% 85%  
309 0.8% 84%  
310 0.4% 84%  
311 1.0% 83%  
312 0.5% 82%  
313 6% 82%  
314 6% 75%  
315 0.9% 69%  
316 0.7% 68%  
317 0.2% 68%  
318 0.5% 67%  
319 2% 67%  
320 0.5% 65%  
321 1.0% 64% Last Result
322 0.7% 63%  
323 3% 62%  
324 0.9% 59%  
325 1.3% 58%  
326 1.5% 57% Majority
327 0.7% 55%  
328 0.7% 55%  
329 2% 54%  
330 0.5% 52%  
331 1.5% 52%  
332 7% 50% Median
333 5% 43%  
334 2% 38%  
335 4% 36%  
336 0.7% 32%  
337 4% 32%  
338 5% 27%  
339 0.8% 22%  
340 0.6% 22%  
341 5% 21%  
342 0.3% 16%  
343 3% 15%  
344 0.9% 13%  
345 2% 12%  
346 0.7% 10%  
347 3% 9%  
348 0.6% 6%  
349 0.8% 5%  
350 0.2% 5%  
351 0.9% 4%  
352 0.9% 3%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.2% 2%  
355 0.2% 2%  
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.8% 2%  
358 0.1% 0.8%  
359 0.1% 0.7%  
360 0% 0.6%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0.1% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.2% 99.8%  
273 0.2% 99.6%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.1% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.3%  
278 0.1% 99.2%  
279 0.5% 99.1%  
280 0% 98.6%  
281 0.2% 98.5%  
282 0.7% 98%  
283 0.1% 98%  
284 0.8% 98%  
285 0.2% 97%  
286 0.3% 97%  
287 0.2% 96%  
288 0.9% 96%  
289 0% 95%  
290 0.2% 95%  
291 0.1% 95%  
292 0.3% 95%  
293 0% 95%  
294 0.3% 94%  
295 0.5% 94%  
296 1.0% 94%  
297 0.7% 93%  
298 5% 92%  
299 0.3% 87%  
300 0.7% 87%  
301 0.3% 86%  
302 0.6% 86%  
303 0.9% 85%  
304 0.7% 84%  
305 0.4% 84%  
306 0.8% 83%  
307 0.4% 82%  
308 7% 82%  
309 6% 75%  
310 2% 70%  
311 0.7% 68%  
312 0% 68%  
313 0.7% 68%  
314 0.1% 67%  
315 3% 67%  
316 0.2% 64%  
317 3% 64% Last Result
318 2% 61%  
319 1.0% 59%  
320 2% 58%  
321 1.3% 57%  
322 0.4% 55%  
323 0.9% 55%  
324 2% 54%  
325 0.8% 52%  
326 0.2% 52% Majority
327 8% 51% Median
328 5% 43%  
329 1.4% 38%  
330 5% 37%  
331 1.1% 32%  
332 7% 31%  
333 1.3% 24%  
334 0.7% 22%  
335 0.7% 22%  
336 0.5% 21%  
337 5% 20%  
338 3% 15%  
339 1.2% 13%  
340 2% 11%  
341 1.1% 9%  
342 0.2% 8%  
343 3% 8%  
344 0.9% 5%  
345 0.1% 4%  
346 0.8% 4%  
347 0.1% 3%  
348 0.9% 3%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.1% 2%  
352 0.7% 2%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.6%  
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0.1% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0.1% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0% 99.7%  
272 0% 99.7%  
273 0% 99.7%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.5%  
277 0% 99.4%  
278 0.2% 99.4%  
279 0.7% 99.2%  
280 0.1% 98%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 0.1% 98%  
283 0.9% 98%  
284 0.1% 97%  
285 0.8% 97%  
286 0.1% 96%  
287 0.9% 96%  
288 3% 95%  
289 0.2% 92%  
290 1.1% 92%  
291 2% 91%  
292 1.2% 89%  
293 3% 87%  
294 5% 85%  
295 0.5% 80%  
296 0.7% 79%  
297 0.7% 78%  
298 1.3% 78%  
299 7% 76%  
300 1.1% 69%  
301 5% 68%  
302 1.4% 63%  
303 5% 62%  
304 8% 57%  
305 0.2% 49%  
306 0.8% 48% Median
307 2% 48%  
308 0.9% 46%  
309 0.4% 45%  
310 1.3% 45%  
311 2% 43%  
312 1.0% 42%  
313 2% 41% Last Result
314 3% 39%  
315 0.2% 36%  
316 3% 36%  
317 0.1% 33%  
318 0.7% 33%  
319 0% 32%  
320 0.7% 32%  
321 2% 32%  
322 6% 30%  
323 7% 25%  
324 0.4% 18%  
325 0.8% 18%  
326 0.4% 17% Majority
327 0.7% 16%  
328 0.9% 16%  
329 0.6% 15%  
330 0.3% 14%  
331 0.7% 14%  
332 0.3% 13%  
333 5% 13%  
334 0.7% 8%  
335 1.0% 7%  
336 0.5% 6%  
337 0.3% 6%  
338 0% 6%  
339 0.3% 5%  
340 0.1% 5%  
341 0.2% 5%  
342 0% 5%  
343 0.9% 5%  
344 0.2% 4%  
345 0.3% 4%  
346 0.2% 3%  
347 0.8% 3%  
348 0.1% 2%  
349 0.7% 2%  
350 0.2% 2%  
351 0% 1.5%  
352 0.5% 1.4%  
353 0.1% 0.9%  
354 0.1% 0.8%  
355 0.1% 0.7%  
356 0.1% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0.2% 0.6%  
359 0.2% 0.4%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0.1% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.7%  
267 0% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.6%  
270 0.1% 99.5%  
271 0% 99.5%  
272 0.1% 99.4%  
273 0.1% 99.3%  
274 0.8% 99.2%  
275 0.4% 98%  
276 0.2% 98%  
277 0.2% 98%  
278 0.2% 98%  
279 0.9% 98%  
280 0.9% 97%  
281 0.2% 96%  
282 0.8% 95%  
283 0.6% 95%  
284 3% 94%  
285 0.7% 91%  
286 2% 90%  
287 0.9% 88%  
288 3% 87%  
289 0.3% 85%  
290 5% 84%  
291 0.6% 79%  
292 0.8% 78%  
293 5% 78%  
294 4% 73%  
295 0.7% 68%  
296 4% 68%  
297 2% 64%  
298 5% 62%  
299 7% 57%  
300 1.5% 50%  
301 0.5% 48% Median
302 2% 48%  
303 0.7% 46%  
304 0.7% 45%  
305 1.5% 45%  
306 1.3% 43%  
307 0.9% 42%  
308 3% 41%  
309 0.7% 38% Last Result
310 1.0% 37%  
311 0.5% 36%  
312 2% 35%  
313 0.5% 33%  
314 0.2% 33%  
315 0.7% 32%  
316 0.9% 32%  
317 6% 31%  
318 6% 25%  
319 0.5% 18%  
320 1.0% 18%  
321 0.4% 17%  
322 0.8% 16%  
323 0.7% 16%  
324 0.6% 15%  
325 0.3% 14%  
326 0.9% 14% Majority
327 0.3% 13%  
328 5% 13%  
329 0.5% 8%  
330 0.7% 7%  
331 0.4% 7%  
332 0.7% 6%  
333 0% 5%  
334 0.2% 5%  
335 0.1% 5%  
336 0.1% 5%  
337 0.2% 5%  
338 0.7% 5%  
339 0.3% 4%  
340 0.4% 4%  
341 0.2% 3%  
342 0.2% 3%  
343 0.7% 3%  
344 0.7% 2%  
345 0% 2%  
346 0.3% 2%  
347 0.5% 1.4%  
348 0.1% 0.9%  
349 0.1% 0.8%  
350 0% 0.7%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.2% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.3%  
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.8%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0% 99.6%  
264 0% 99.5%  
265 0.3% 99.5%  
266 0.3% 99.2%  
267 0.2% 98.9%  
268 0.2% 98.7%  
269 0.2% 98.5%  
270 0.8% 98%  
271 0.2% 98%  
272 3% 97%  
273 0.9% 95%  
274 0.2% 94%  
275 0.9% 94%  
276 1.0% 93%  
277 2% 92%  
278 0.9% 89%  
279 6% 88%  
280 0.3% 83%  
281 1.1% 82%  
282 4% 81%  
283 3% 78%  
284 2% 75%  
285 6% 72%  
286 1.3% 67%  
287 8% 65%  
288 1.2% 57%  
289 2% 56%  
290 0.8% 53%  
291 0.8% 53% Median
292 1.2% 52%  
293 0.1% 51%  
294 0.3% 50%  
295 6% 50%  
296 3% 44%  
297 1.4% 41%  
298 0.1% 40%  
299 2% 40%  
300 1.1% 38%  
301 0.7% 36% Last Result
302 2% 36%  
303 0.1% 34%  
304 0.7% 34%  
305 0.2% 33%  
306 0.6% 33%  
307 10% 32%  
308 2% 22%  
309 0.5% 20%  
310 2% 20%  
311 0.9% 18%  
312 2% 17%  
313 0.1% 15%  
314 1.1% 15%  
315 0.3% 14%  
316 0.3% 14%  
317 1.0% 14%  
318 0.4% 13%  
319 5% 12%  
320 0.3% 7%  
321 0.3% 7%  
322 0.4% 7%  
323 0.6% 6%  
324 0.3% 6%  
325 0.3% 5%  
326 0% 5% Majority
327 0.5% 5%  
328 0.4% 4%  
329 0.5% 4%  
330 0.2% 3%  
331 0.3% 3%  
332 0.2% 3%  
333 0.7% 3%  
334 0.4% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0% 1.4%  
337 0.6% 1.4%  
338 0% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.8%  
340 0.1% 0.7%  
341 0% 0.6%  
342 0.2% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.2% 0.4%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.8%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.7%  
257 0.1% 99.6%  
258 0.1% 99.5%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.2% 99.4%  
261 0.2% 99.2%  
262 0.3% 99.0%  
263 0.3% 98.7%  
264 0.6% 98%  
265 0.6% 98%  
266 0.2% 97%  
267 0.5% 97%  
268 3% 97%  
269 0.8% 94%  
270 0.8% 93%  
271 1.5% 92%  
272 2% 91%  
273 0.9% 89%  
274 1.1% 88%  
275 5% 87%  
276 0.6% 82%  
277 6% 82%  
278 3% 76%  
279 0.5% 73%  
280 6% 72%  
281 0.7% 66%  
282 8% 66%  
283 2% 57%  
284 1.4% 55%  
285 1.0% 54%  
286 0.7% 53% Median
287 0.9% 52%  
288 0.7% 51%  
289 0.1% 50%  
290 6% 50%  
291 3% 44%  
292 0.6% 41%  
293 0.8% 40%  
294 0.5% 40%  
295 3% 39%  
296 1.0% 36%  
297 2% 35% Last Result
298 0.7% 34%  
299 0.2% 33%  
300 0.1% 33%  
301 0.7% 33%  
302 10% 32%  
303 1.0% 22%  
304 1.1% 21%  
305 2% 20%  
306 0.6% 18%  
307 1.1% 18%  
308 1.3% 16%  
309 1.0% 15%  
310 0.1% 14%  
311 0.6% 14%  
312 0.9% 14%  
313 0.4% 13%  
314 5% 12%  
315 0.5% 7%  
316 0.1% 7%  
317 0.2% 7%  
318 0.9% 6%  
319 0.2% 6%  
320 0.1% 5%  
321 0.3% 5%  
322 0.2% 5%  
323 0.8% 5%  
324 0.4% 4%  
325 0.2% 3%  
326 0.2% 3% Majority
327 0.3% 3%  
328 0.2% 3%  
329 1.0% 3%  
330 0% 2%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.6% 1.4%  
333 0% 0.8%  
334 0.1% 0.8%  
335 0.1% 0.7%  
336 0% 0.6%  
337 0.1% 0.6%  
338 0.2% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.4%  
340 0.2% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.3% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.2%  
245 1.2% 99.2%  
246 0.6% 98%  
247 0.1% 97%  
248 0.3% 97%  
249 0.6% 97%  
250 0.4% 96%  
251 0.2% 96%  
252 0% 96%  
253 0% 96%  
254 0.2% 96%  
255 3% 96%  
256 0.4% 93%  
257 0.8% 92%  
258 0.4% 91%  
259 4% 91%  
260 0.6% 87%  
261 3% 86%  
262 0.2% 83%  
263 5% 83%  
264 1.1% 78%  
265 2% 77%  
266 1.4% 75%  
267 2% 73%  
268 2% 71%  
269 0.9% 70%  
270 0.2% 69%  
271 5% 69%  
272 0.7% 64%  
273 0.8% 63%  
274 2% 62%  
275 0.5% 60%  
276 0.4% 60%  
277 1.2% 59%  
278 1.1% 58% Last Result
279 0.5% 57% Median
280 2% 57%  
281 8% 54%  
282 1.4% 47%  
283 2% 45%  
284 1.5% 44%  
285 0.4% 42%  
286 0.7% 42%  
287 5% 41%  
288 1.4% 36%  
289 0.1% 34%  
290 0.8% 34%  
291 4% 33%  
292 0.8% 30%  
293 2% 29%  
294 6% 28%  
295 2% 22%  
296 1.3% 21%  
297 6% 19%  
298 1.4% 14%  
299 1.1% 12%  
300 2% 11%  
301 0.5% 10%  
302 0.2% 9%  
303 0.4% 9%  
304 0.1% 8%  
305 0.2% 8%  
306 0.9% 8%  
307 0.2% 7%  
308 0.1% 7%  
309 0.2% 7%  
310 0.2% 7%  
311 0.5% 7%  
312 0% 6%  
313 0.2% 6%  
314 0.3% 6%  
315 0.1% 6%  
316 0.4% 5%  
317 0.1% 5%  
318 0.6% 5%  
319 0% 4%  
320 0.1% 4%  
321 0.3% 4%  
322 0.7% 4%  
323 0.3% 3%  
324 0.1% 3%  
325 0.4% 3%  
326 0.1% 2% Majority
327 0.6% 2%  
328 0% 2%  
329 0.2% 2%  
330 0.5% 1.4%  
331 0% 0.9%  
332 0.1% 0.9%  
333 0% 0.8%  
334 0.4% 0.7%  
335 0.2% 0.4%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.7%  
236 0.3% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0.1% 99.3%  
239 0.2% 99.2%  
240 0.3% 99.0%  
241 1.3% 98.7%  
242 0.1% 97%  
243 0.2% 97%  
244 0.4% 97%  
245 0.6% 97%  
246 0.2% 96%  
247 0.2% 96%  
248 0.1% 96%  
249 0.2% 96%  
250 3% 95%  
251 0.4% 92%  
252 0.3% 91%  
253 0.4% 91%  
254 4% 91%  
255 0.7% 87%  
256 3% 86%  
257 0.2% 83%  
258 5% 83%  
259 1.2% 78%  
260 0.7% 77%  
261 3% 76%  
262 1.4% 73%  
263 0.5% 71%  
264 2% 71%  
265 0.3% 69%  
266 0.2% 69%  
267 5% 68%  
268 2% 63%  
269 0.9% 61%  
270 0.7% 60%  
271 0.4% 60%  
272 1.1% 59%  
273 1.1% 58%  
274 2% 57% Last Result, Median
275 0.5% 55%  
276 8% 55%  
277 1.2% 46%  
278 0.6% 45%  
279 2% 45%  
280 0.5% 42%  
281 0.4% 42%  
282 5% 41%  
283 1.4% 36%  
284 0.4% 35%  
285 3% 34%  
286 1.1% 31%  
287 0.7% 30%  
288 2% 30%  
289 5% 28%  
290 1.2% 23%  
291 2% 22%  
292 6% 20%  
293 2% 14%  
294 1.3% 12%  
295 0.9% 11%  
296 1.1% 10%  
297 0.1% 9%  
298 0.1% 9%  
299 0.5% 9%  
300 0.2% 8%  
301 0.3% 8%  
302 0.9% 8%  
303 0.2% 7%  
304 0.1% 7%  
305 0.2% 7%  
306 0.5% 7%  
307 0.1% 6%  
308 0% 6%  
309 0.4% 6%  
310 0.1% 6%  
311 0.4% 5%  
312 0.1% 5%  
313 0.6% 5%  
314 0.2% 4%  
315 0% 4%  
316 0.3% 4%  
317 0.7% 4%  
318 0.1% 3%  
319 0.3% 3%  
320 0.3% 3%  
321 0.1% 2%  
322 0.5% 2%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.5% 1.4%  
326 0.1% 0.9% Majority
327 0.1% 0.9%  
328 0% 0.8%  
329 0.2% 0.8%  
330 0.2% 0.5%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.2% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.6%  
229 0% 99.6%  
230 0.2% 99.6%  
231 0.2% 99.4%  
232 0.2% 99.3%  
233 0% 99.0%  
234 0.6% 99.0%  
235 1.1% 98%  
236 0.2% 97%  
237 0.2% 97%  
238 0.1% 97%  
239 0% 97%  
240 0.3% 97%  
241 0.1% 96%  
242 4% 96%  
243 0.8% 92%  
244 1.0% 92%  
245 4% 90%  
246 0.2% 86%  
247 3% 86%  
248 0.4% 83%  
249 2% 82%  
250 0.1% 80%  
251 0.2% 80%  
252 0.6% 80%  
253 1.3% 79%  
254 2% 78%  
255 5% 76%  
256 7% 71%  
257 0.6% 64%  
258 0.9% 64%  
259 0.6% 63%  
260 2% 62%  
261 0.6% 60%  
262 1.2% 60%  
263 0.4% 58%  
264 8% 58% Median
265 2% 50%  
266 1.5% 48% Last Result
267 0.2% 47%  
268 2% 47%  
269 1.3% 44%  
270 0.8% 43%  
271 2% 42%  
272 5% 41%  
273 0.4% 36%  
274 0.4% 35%  
275 4% 35%  
276 2% 31%  
277 0.3% 29%  
278 1.5% 29%  
279 0.3% 28%  
280 5% 27%  
281 6% 22%  
282 0.9% 17%  
283 0.4% 16%  
284 0.6% 15%  
285 4% 15%  
286 2% 11%  
287 0.2% 10%  
288 0.1% 9%  
289 0.1% 9%  
290 0.3% 9%  
291 0.9% 9%  
292 0.7% 8%  
293 0.4% 7%  
294 0.4% 7%  
295 0.1% 6%  
296 0.2% 6%  
297 0.1% 6%  
298 0.4% 6%  
299 0.2% 6%  
300 0.4% 5%  
301 0.1% 5%  
302 0.1% 5%  
303 1.2% 5%  
304 0.1% 4%  
305 0.4% 3%  
306 0.3% 3%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0% 3%  
309 0.1% 3%  
310 0% 2%  
311 0.1% 2%  
312 0.6% 2%  
313 0.3% 2%  
314 0.1% 1.4%  
315 0.7% 1.4%  
316 0% 0.7%  
317 0% 0.7%  
318 0.2% 0.6%  
319 0% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0.3% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.6%  
224 0% 99.6%  
225 0.2% 99.5%  
226 0.1% 99.4%  
227 0.3% 99.3%  
228 0.1% 99.0%  
229 0.6% 98.9%  
230 0.4% 98%  
231 0.8% 98%  
232 0.3% 97%  
233 0.2% 97%  
234 0.2% 97%  
235 0.1% 96%  
236 0.4% 96%  
237 4% 96%  
238 2% 92%  
239 0.9% 91%  
240 4% 90%  
241 0.4% 86%  
242 3% 86%  
243 0.8% 83%  
244 0.2% 82%  
245 2% 82%  
246 0.3% 80%  
247 0.6% 79%  
248 2% 79%  
249 0.5% 77%  
250 7% 76%  
251 0.4% 70%  
252 6% 69%  
253 0.7% 63%  
254 0.4% 63%  
255 0.8% 62%  
256 2% 61%  
257 1.0% 59%  
258 0.2% 58%  
259 9% 58% Median
260 0.6% 49%  
261 0.4% 48%  
262 2% 48% Last Result
263 1.3% 46%  
264 2% 45%  
265 0.8% 43%  
266 1.1% 42%  
267 5% 41%  
268 0.7% 36%  
269 2% 35%  
270 2% 33%  
271 1.1% 31%  
272 0.9% 30%  
273 0.1% 29%  
274 2% 29%  
275 5% 27%  
276 5% 22%  
277 1.5% 17%  
278 0.1% 16%  
279 1.0% 16%  
280 3% 15%  
281 1.5% 12%  
282 1.1% 11%  
283 0.2% 9%  
284 0.2% 9%  
285 0.3% 9%  
286 0.4% 9%  
287 1.2% 8%  
288 0.4% 7%  
289 0.3% 7%  
290 0.2% 6%  
291 0% 6%  
292 0.2% 6%  
293 0.1% 6%  
294 0.5% 6%  
295 0.4% 5%  
296 0.1% 5%  
297 0.1% 5%  
298 1.2% 5%  
299 0.1% 4%  
300 0.4% 3%  
301 0.1% 3%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.1% 3%  
304 0.1% 3%  
305 0% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.4% 2%  
308 0.4% 2%  
309 0% 1.5%  
310 0.8% 1.4%  
311 0% 0.7%  
312 0% 0.6%  
313 0% 0.6%  
314 0.2% 0.6%  
315 0% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0% Majority

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations