Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 26–27 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 43.5% 41.9–45.0% 41.5–45.5% 41.1–45.9% 40.3–46.6%
Labour Party 40.0% 39.4% 37.9–41.0% 37.5–41.4% 37.1–41.8% 36.4–42.6%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.9–9.5% 6.5–10.0%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 333 308–348 302–352 296–356 284–365
Labour Party 262 263 241–289 237–295 232–303 224–315
Liberal Democrats 12 16 11–19 9–21 9–22 7–24
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 19 3–39 2–41 0–42 0–48
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 0.1% 99.5%  
286 0.1% 99.4%  
287 0.1% 99.3%  
288 0.3% 99.2%  
289 0.2% 98.9%  
290 0.2% 98.7%  
291 0.1% 98.6%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.2% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.2% 98%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.4% 97%  
298 0.5% 97%  
299 0.4% 96%  
300 0.5% 96%  
301 0.2% 95%  
302 0.4% 95%  
303 0.9% 95%  
304 0.6% 94%  
305 0.6% 93%  
306 0.6% 93%  
307 0.1% 92%  
308 2% 92%  
309 0.8% 90%  
310 1.1% 89%  
311 1.0% 88%  
312 2% 87%  
313 0.7% 86%  
314 1.2% 85%  
315 1.0% 84%  
316 1.5% 83%  
317 0.5% 81% Last Result
318 1.1% 81%  
319 3% 79%  
320 2% 77%  
321 0.8% 75%  
322 0.8% 74%  
323 2% 73%  
324 1.3% 71%  
325 2% 70%  
326 3% 68% Majority
327 1.2% 65%  
328 1.1% 63%  
329 2% 62%  
330 5% 60%  
331 2% 55%  
332 3% 53%  
333 1.4% 50% Median
334 3% 49%  
335 3% 46%  
336 2% 43%  
337 3% 41%  
338 6% 37%  
339 3% 32%  
340 3% 28%  
341 3% 25%  
342 2% 22%  
343 2% 20%  
344 2% 18%  
345 3% 16%  
346 0.9% 13%  
347 1.2% 12%  
348 1.2% 11%  
349 1.1% 10%  
350 2% 9%  
351 1.1% 6%  
352 0.6% 5%  
353 0.3% 5%  
354 0.4% 4%  
355 0.6% 4%  
356 0.8% 3%  
357 0.6% 2%  
358 0.5% 2%  
359 0.2% 1.4%  
360 0.1% 1.2%  
361 0.1% 1.0%  
362 0.2% 1.0%  
363 0.1% 0.8%  
364 0.1% 0.7%  
365 0.2% 0.6%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0.1% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0.1% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0% 99.7%  
222 0.1% 99.6%  
223 0% 99.5%  
224 0% 99.5%  
225 0.1% 99.5%  
226 0.2% 99.4%  
227 0.3% 99.3%  
228 0.3% 98.9%  
229 0.2% 98.6%  
230 0.4% 98%  
231 0.4% 98%  
232 0.8% 98%  
233 0.5% 97%  
234 0.2% 96%  
235 0.5% 96%  
236 0.4% 96%  
237 0.7% 95%  
238 0.9% 95%  
239 2% 94%  
240 1.3% 92%  
241 3% 91%  
242 3% 88%  
243 1.3% 85%  
244 0.6% 84%  
245 1.5% 83%  
246 0.6% 81%  
247 1.0% 81%  
248 2% 80%  
249 3% 78%  
250 1.1% 75%  
251 2% 74%  
252 3% 72%  
253 4% 69%  
254 2% 66%  
255 1.0% 64%  
256 0.4% 63%  
257 0.9% 63%  
258 1.1% 62%  
259 3% 61%  
260 2% 57%  
261 2% 55%  
262 3% 53% Last Result
263 1.2% 50% Median
264 1.2% 49%  
265 0.5% 48%  
266 2% 47%  
267 2% 46%  
268 3% 44%  
269 2% 41%  
270 4% 39%  
271 2% 36%  
272 3% 33%  
273 2% 31%  
274 2% 28%  
275 0.6% 26%  
276 1.2% 26%  
277 0.3% 25%  
278 0.7% 24%  
279 3% 24%  
280 2% 21%  
281 3% 19%  
282 0.9% 16%  
283 0.7% 15%  
284 0.7% 15%  
285 2% 14%  
286 0.7% 12%  
287 0.5% 11%  
288 0.5% 11%  
289 0.4% 10%  
290 0.4% 10%  
291 1.1% 10%  
292 0.4% 8%  
293 1.4% 8%  
294 0.3% 7%  
295 2% 6%  
296 0.4% 5%  
297 0.3% 4%  
298 0.3% 4%  
299 0.2% 4%  
300 0.2% 4%  
301 0.3% 3%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.5% 3%  
304 0.5% 2%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.1% 2%  
307 0.1% 1.4%  
308 0% 1.3%  
309 0.1% 1.2%  
310 0.1% 1.2%  
311 0.1% 1.1%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.1% 0.8%  
314 0.2% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.6%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 99.9%  
7 0.5% 99.6%  
8 1.2% 99.2%  
9 4% 98%  
10 2% 94%  
11 3% 92%  
12 3% 89% Last Result
13 4% 86%  
14 8% 83%  
15 8% 74%  
16 19% 66% Median
17 20% 47%  
18 13% 27%  
19 5% 14%  
20 3% 9%  
21 2% 6%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.2% 1.0%  
24 0.4% 0.8%  
25 0.2% 0.4%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 1.3% 97%  
2 3% 96%  
3 4% 93%  
4 3% 90%  
5 9% 87%  
6 2% 79%  
7 4% 76%  
8 4% 72%  
9 1.1% 68%  
10 1.4% 67%  
11 0.9% 65%  
12 0.5% 65%  
13 6% 64%  
14 2% 58%  
15 2% 57%  
16 0.2% 54%  
17 2% 54%  
18 2% 53%  
19 4% 51% Median
20 3% 47%  
21 6% 44%  
22 0.3% 38%  
23 6% 38%  
24 2% 32%  
25 2% 30%  
26 2% 28%  
27 2% 26%  
28 0.3% 23%  
29 2% 23%  
30 0.8% 21%  
31 0.6% 21%  
32 2% 20%  
33 0.4% 18%  
34 0.8% 17%  
35 1.4% 17% Last Result
36 2% 15%  
37 1.3% 13%  
38 2% 12%  
39 2% 10%  
40 2% 8%  
41 3% 5%  
42 0.9% 3%  
43 0.5% 2%  
44 0.1% 2%  
45 0.2% 1.4%  
46 0.5% 1.2%  
47 0.1% 0.7%  
48 0.3% 0.6%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 11% 78%  
2 28% 66% Median
3 10% 38%  
4 21% 28% Last Result
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 351 89% 325–375 319–380 312–384 299–393
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 349 88% 322–372 317–378 309–382 297–391
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 349 90% 325–363 319–367 313–370 301–378
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 335 71% 311–350 304–354 298–359 287–367
Conservative Party 317 333 68% 308–348 302–352 296–356 284–365
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 298 7% 283–322 279–329 275–335 266–347
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 296 6% 281–320 276–327 272–333 264–344
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 282 1.4% 259–309 253–314 249–322 240–334
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 280 1.2% 256–306 251–312 247–319 238–332
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 282 1.0% 268–306 264–312 261–318 253–330
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 280 0.7% 266–303 262–310 258–316 250–327
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 266 0.1% 242–292 239–297 234–306 226–317
Labour Party 262 263 0.1% 241–289 237–295 232–303 224–315

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.6%  
299 0.1% 99.5%  
300 0.2% 99.4%  
301 0.2% 99.3%  
302 0.2% 99.1%  
303 0% 98.9%  
304 0.1% 98.9%  
305 0.1% 98.8%  
306 0.1% 98.8%  
307 0.2% 98.7%  
308 0.2% 98.5%  
309 0.1% 98%  
310 0.2% 98%  
311 0.4% 98%  
312 0.6% 98%  
313 0.4% 97%  
314 0.3% 97%  
315 0.2% 96%  
316 0.2% 96%  
317 0.3% 96%  
318 0.2% 95%  
319 2% 95%  
320 0.7% 94%  
321 0.1% 93%  
322 0.8% 93%  
323 0.5% 92%  
324 2% 92%  
325 0.8% 90%  
326 0.2% 89% Majority
327 0.8% 89%  
328 0.5% 88%  
329 0.9% 88%  
330 1.0% 87%  
331 0.4% 86%  
332 2% 85%  
333 0.9% 83%  
334 2% 82%  
335 2% 80%  
336 2% 78%  
337 0.7% 76%  
338 1.0% 76%  
339 1.3% 75%  
340 2% 73%  
341 0.9% 71%  
342 2% 70%  
343 2% 69%  
344 0.9% 67%  
345 3% 66%  
346 3% 63%  
347 2% 60%  
348 2% 58%  
349 2% 56%  
350 2% 54%  
351 2% 52%  
352 2% 49%  
353 2% 48%  
354 0.8% 45% Median
355 0.9% 45%  
356 2% 44% Last Result
357 1.2% 42%  
358 0.5% 40%  
359 1.4% 40%  
360 3% 38%  
361 2% 35%  
362 3% 33%  
363 0.9% 30%  
364 3% 29%  
365 2% 27%  
366 1.2% 25%  
367 2% 24%  
368 1.2% 22%  
369 1.3% 21%  
370 2% 19%  
371 1.4% 18%  
372 2% 16%  
373 2% 14%  
374 2% 12%  
375 1.0% 10%  
376 2% 9%  
377 0.7% 8%  
378 0.8% 7%  
379 0.6% 6%  
380 1.0% 5%  
381 0.7% 5%  
382 0.5% 4%  
383 0.5% 3%  
384 0.5% 3%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.3% 2%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.2% 1.4%  
389 0.3% 1.2%  
390 0.1% 0.9%  
391 0.1% 0.8%  
392 0.1% 0.7%  
393 0.1% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.5%  
395 0.1% 0.4%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0% 0.3%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.7%  
294 0% 99.7%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.1% 99.5%  
298 0.2% 99.4%  
299 0.1% 99.3%  
300 0.2% 99.2%  
301 0.1% 99.0%  
302 0.1% 98.9%  
303 0.1% 98.8%  
304 0.1% 98.7%  
305 0.1% 98.7%  
306 0.3% 98.6%  
307 0.2% 98%  
308 0.4% 98%  
309 0.5% 98%  
310 0.3% 97%  
311 0.5% 97%  
312 0.1% 96%  
313 0.2% 96%  
314 0.1% 96%  
315 0.5% 96%  
316 0.2% 95%  
317 0.5% 95%  
318 1.3% 95%  
319 0.8% 93%  
320 0.3% 92%  
321 1.5% 92%  
322 0.9% 91%  
323 0.6% 90%  
324 0.5% 89%  
325 1.1% 89%  
326 0.3% 88% Majority
327 0.4% 87%  
328 1.0% 87%  
329 0.8% 86%  
330 0.5% 85%  
331 1.1% 85%  
332 2% 83%  
333 1.4% 81%  
334 4% 80%  
335 0.8% 76%  
336 1.0% 75%  
337 1.3% 74%  
338 1.4% 73%  
339 0.8% 71%  
340 0.8% 71%  
341 3% 70%  
342 0.7% 67%  
343 3% 67%  
344 2% 63%  
345 3% 62%  
346 3% 59%  
347 2% 55%  
348 2% 53%  
349 2% 51%  
350 3% 49%  
351 2% 47%  
352 1.0% 45% Last Result, Median
353 0.8% 44%  
354 0.8% 43%  
355 1.0% 42%  
356 3% 41%  
357 2% 38%  
358 3% 36%  
359 2% 34%  
360 2% 32%  
361 2% 30%  
362 2% 28%  
363 2% 26%  
364 0.9% 23%  
365 0.8% 22%  
366 1.0% 22%  
367 2% 21%  
368 2% 19%  
369 2% 16%  
370 2% 15%  
371 1.2% 13%  
372 2% 11%  
373 1.2% 10%  
374 0.8% 8%  
375 0.8% 8%  
376 0.7% 7%  
377 0.6% 6%  
378 1.3% 6%  
379 0.7% 4%  
380 0.5% 4%  
381 0.3% 3%  
382 0.5% 3%  
383 0.4% 2%  
384 0.4% 2%  
385 0.3% 1.5%  
386 0.1% 1.2%  
387 0.1% 1.0%  
388 0.1% 0.9%  
389 0.2% 0.8%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.7%  
300 0.1% 99.7%  
301 0.1% 99.6%  
302 0.1% 99.5%  
303 0.2% 99.4%  
304 0.1% 99.2%  
305 0.1% 99.1%  
306 0.1% 99.0%  
307 0.3% 98.9%  
308 0.2% 98.6%  
309 0.1% 98%  
310 0.2% 98%  
311 0.3% 98%  
312 0.2% 98%  
313 0.4% 98%  
314 0.5% 97%  
315 0.5% 97%  
316 0.1% 96%  
317 0.4% 96%  
318 0.5% 96%  
319 0.9% 95%  
320 0.7% 94%  
321 0.5% 93%  
322 0.5% 93%  
323 0.4% 92%  
324 0.6% 92%  
325 2% 91%  
326 0.7% 90% Majority
327 1.1% 89%  
328 2% 88%  
329 0.8% 86% Last Result
330 1.2% 85%  
331 1.4% 84%  
332 1.2% 83%  
333 0.6% 82%  
334 1.2% 81%  
335 2% 80%  
336 1.3% 78%  
337 3% 77%  
338 2% 74%  
339 0.7% 72%  
340 0.8% 71%  
341 2% 70%  
342 3% 68%  
343 1.0% 65%  
344 2% 64%  
345 1.4% 62%  
346 4% 61%  
347 4% 57%  
348 3% 53%  
349 2% 50% Median
350 2% 48%  
351 3% 46%  
352 2% 43%  
353 4% 41%  
354 6% 37%  
355 5% 32%  
356 4% 26%  
357 2% 22%  
358 2% 20%  
359 2% 18%  
360 2% 16%  
361 1.4% 14%  
362 1.2% 12%  
363 2% 11%  
364 1.4% 9%  
365 0.9% 8%  
366 1.3% 7%  
367 1.3% 5%  
368 0.7% 4%  
369 0.7% 4%  
370 0.6% 3%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.4% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.3% 1.3%  
375 0.1% 1.1%  
376 0.2% 1.0%  
377 0.1% 0.8%  
378 0.2% 0.7%  
379 0.1% 0.5%  
380 0.1% 0.4%  
381 0.1% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.6%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.5%  
288 0.2% 99.4%  
289 0.1% 99.2%  
290 0.1% 99.1%  
291 0.2% 99.0%  
292 0.4% 98.8%  
293 0.1% 98%  
294 0.1% 98%  
295 0.1% 98%  
296 0.3% 98%  
297 0.3% 98%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.6% 97%  
300 0.4% 97%  
301 0.6% 96%  
302 0.3% 96%  
303 0.5% 96%  
304 0.3% 95%  
305 0.8% 95%  
306 0.4% 94%  
307 0.3% 93%  
308 0.7% 93%  
309 2% 92%  
310 0.7% 91%  
311 1.0% 90%  
312 1.4% 89%  
313 0.6% 88%  
314 1.4% 87%  
315 0.8% 86%  
316 1.2% 85%  
317 1.1% 84%  
318 0.8% 83%  
319 3% 82%  
320 1.2% 79%  
321 1.2% 78% Last Result
322 2% 77%  
323 0.7% 75%  
324 2% 74%  
325 0.8% 72%  
326 2% 71% Majority
327 2% 69%  
328 1.0% 67%  
329 2% 66%  
330 3% 65%  
331 1.5% 62%  
332 5% 60%  
333 2% 55%  
334 2% 53%  
335 3% 51% Median
336 2% 49%  
337 2% 47%  
338 2% 45%  
339 4% 42%  
340 5% 38%  
341 3% 33%  
342 4% 30%  
343 4% 26%  
344 2% 22%  
345 2% 20%  
346 2% 18%  
347 2% 17%  
348 2% 14%  
349 2% 13%  
350 2% 11%  
351 0.8% 9%  
352 1.3% 9%  
353 0.6% 7%  
354 2% 7%  
355 0.8% 5%  
356 0.5% 4%  
357 0.5% 4%  
358 0.4% 3%  
359 0.4% 3%  
360 0.8% 2%  
361 0.3% 2%  
362 0.1% 1.2%  
363 0.1% 1.1%  
364 0.2% 1.0%  
365 0.1% 0.8%  
366 0.1% 0.7%  
367 0.2% 0.7%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 0.1% 99.5%  
286 0.1% 99.4%  
287 0.1% 99.3%  
288 0.3% 99.2%  
289 0.2% 98.9%  
290 0.2% 98.7%  
291 0.1% 98.6%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.2% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.2% 98%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.4% 97%  
298 0.5% 97%  
299 0.4% 96%  
300 0.5% 96%  
301 0.2% 95%  
302 0.4% 95%  
303 0.9% 95%  
304 0.6% 94%  
305 0.6% 93%  
306 0.6% 93%  
307 0.1% 92%  
308 2% 92%  
309 0.8% 90%  
310 1.1% 89%  
311 1.0% 88%  
312 2% 87%  
313 0.7% 86%  
314 1.2% 85%  
315 1.0% 84%  
316 1.5% 83%  
317 0.5% 81% Last Result
318 1.1% 81%  
319 3% 79%  
320 2% 77%  
321 0.8% 75%  
322 0.8% 74%  
323 2% 73%  
324 1.3% 71%  
325 2% 70%  
326 3% 68% Majority
327 1.2% 65%  
328 1.1% 63%  
329 2% 62%  
330 5% 60%  
331 2% 55%  
332 3% 53%  
333 1.4% 50% Median
334 3% 49%  
335 3% 46%  
336 2% 43%  
337 3% 41%  
338 6% 37%  
339 3% 32%  
340 3% 28%  
341 3% 25%  
342 2% 22%  
343 2% 20%  
344 2% 18%  
345 3% 16%  
346 0.9% 13%  
347 1.2% 12%  
348 1.2% 11%  
349 1.1% 10%  
350 2% 9%  
351 1.1% 6%  
352 0.6% 5%  
353 0.3% 5%  
354 0.4% 4%  
355 0.6% 4%  
356 0.8% 3%  
357 0.6% 2%  
358 0.5% 2%  
359 0.2% 1.4%  
360 0.1% 1.2%  
361 0.1% 1.0%  
362 0.2% 1.0%  
363 0.1% 0.8%  
364 0.1% 0.7%  
365 0.2% 0.6%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0.1% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0.1% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0% 99.7%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.2% 99.6%  
267 0.1% 99.4%  
268 0.1% 99.3%  
269 0.2% 99.2%  
270 0% 99.0%  
271 0.1% 98.9%  
272 0.2% 98.8%  
273 0.5% 98.6%  
274 0.6% 98%  
275 0.8% 98%  
276 0.6% 97%  
277 0.4% 96%  
278 0.3% 96%  
279 0.6% 95%  
280 1.1% 95%  
281 2% 94%  
282 1.2% 91%  
283 1.2% 90%  
284 1.2% 89%  
285 1.0% 88%  
286 2% 87%  
287 2% 84%  
288 2% 82%  
289 2% 80%  
290 3% 78%  
291 3% 75%  
292 4% 72%  
293 6% 68%  
294 4% 62%  
295 2% 59%  
296 3% 57%  
297 3% 54%  
298 2% 51%  
299 3% 49%  
300 2% 47% Median
301 5% 45%  
302 2% 40%  
303 1.1% 38%  
304 1.1% 36%  
305 4% 35%  
306 2% 32%  
307 1.3% 30%  
308 2% 29%  
309 0.8% 27%  
310 1.2% 26%  
311 1.4% 25%  
312 3% 23%  
313 1.1% 20% Last Result
314 0.6% 19%  
315 1.4% 19%  
316 1.0% 17%  
317 1.3% 16%  
318 1.0% 15%  
319 1.4% 14%  
320 0.8% 13%  
321 1.1% 12%  
322 0.9% 11%  
323 2% 10%  
324 0.1% 8%  
325 0.7% 8%  
326 0.5% 7% Majority
327 0.6% 7%  
328 0.8% 6%  
329 0.4% 5%  
330 0.3% 5%  
331 0.3% 4%  
332 0.4% 4%  
333 0.5% 4%  
334 0.4% 3%  
335 0.3% 3%  
336 0.3% 2%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.2% 2%  
340 0.1% 2%  
341 0.2% 1.4%  
342 0.2% 1.3%  
343 0.3% 1.1%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0.1% 0.4%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.8%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.2% 99.6%  
265 0.1% 99.3%  
266 0% 99.3%  
267 0.2% 99.2%  
268 0.1% 99.0%  
269 0.1% 98.9%  
270 0.3% 98.8%  
271 0.8% 98%  
272 0.4% 98%  
273 0.4% 97%  
274 0.5% 97%  
275 0.5% 96%  
276 0.8% 96%  
277 2% 95%  
278 0.6% 93%  
279 1.3% 93%  
280 0.8% 91%  
281 1.5% 91%  
282 2% 89%  
283 2% 87%  
284 2% 86%  
285 2% 83%  
286 2% 81%  
287 2% 80%  
288 4% 78%  
289 4% 74%  
290 3% 70%  
291 5% 67%  
292 5% 62%  
293 2% 57%  
294 2% 55%  
295 2% 53%  
296 3% 51%  
297 2% 48%  
298 2% 46% Median
299 5% 44%  
300 1.4% 40%  
301 3% 38%  
302 2% 35%  
303 1.2% 33%  
304 1.5% 32%  
305 2% 31%  
306 0.8% 28%  
307 2% 28%  
308 1.2% 26%  
309 1.1% 24% Last Result
310 1.4% 23%  
311 1.0% 22%  
312 3% 21%  
313 0.8% 18%  
314 1.0% 17%  
315 1.4% 16%  
316 0.8% 15%  
317 1.2% 14%  
318 1.0% 13%  
319 1.0% 12%  
320 1.0% 11%  
321 0.7% 10%  
322 2% 9%  
323 0.7% 8%  
324 0.3% 7%  
325 0.4% 6%  
326 0.8% 6% Majority
327 0.3% 5%  
328 0.5% 5%  
329 0.4% 4%  
330 0.5% 4%  
331 0.3% 4%  
332 0.6% 3%  
333 0.2% 3%  
334 0.3% 2%  
335 0.3% 2%  
336 0.1% 2%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.2% 1.2%  
341 0.1% 1.0%  
342 0.1% 0.9%  
343 0.2% 0.8%  
344 0.1% 0.6%  
345 0.1% 0.5%  
346 0% 0.4%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.7%  
240 0.1% 99.6%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0.2% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.2%  
244 0.1% 99.1%  
245 0.1% 99.0%  
246 0.3% 98.8%  
247 0.4% 98.5%  
248 0.4% 98%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.3% 97%  
251 0.5% 97%  
252 0.6% 96%  
253 1.4% 96%  
254 0.6% 94%  
255 0.8% 94%  
256 0.8% 93%  
257 0.7% 92%  
258 1.2% 92%  
259 2% 90%  
260 1.1% 89%  
261 2% 87%  
262 2% 85%  
263 2% 84%  
264 2% 81%  
265 1.1% 79%  
266 0.8% 78%  
267 0.9% 77%  
268 2% 77%  
269 2% 74%  
270 2% 72%  
271 2% 70%  
272 1.1% 67%  
273 3% 66%  
274 2% 63%  
275 3% 62%  
276 1.0% 59%  
277 0.8% 58%  
278 0.8% 57% Last Result
279 1.3% 56%  
280 2% 55%  
281 3% 53% Median
282 2% 50%  
283 1.5% 48%  
284 2% 47%  
285 3% 45%  
286 3% 41%  
287 2% 38%  
288 3% 36%  
289 0.5% 33%  
290 3% 33%  
291 0.7% 30%  
292 0.8% 29%  
293 2% 29%  
294 0.9% 27%  
295 1.0% 26%  
296 0.8% 25%  
297 4% 24%  
298 2% 20%  
299 2% 19%  
300 1.3% 17%  
301 0.5% 15%  
302 0.8% 15%  
303 1.0% 14%  
304 0.4% 13%  
305 0.8% 13%  
306 0.6% 12%  
307 0.4% 11%  
308 0.6% 11%  
309 0.9% 10%  
310 1.5% 9%  
311 0.4% 8%  
312 0.8% 7%  
313 2% 7%  
314 0.3% 5%  
315 0.4% 5%  
316 0.3% 4%  
317 0.2% 4%  
318 0.2% 4%  
319 0.1% 4%  
320 0.5% 4%  
321 0.3% 3%  
322 0.5% 3%  
323 0.5% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.4% Majority
327 0% 1.3%  
328 0.1% 1.3%  
329 0.1% 1.2%  
330 0.1% 1.1%  
331 0.2% 1.0%  
332 0.1% 0.8%  
333 0.2% 0.7%  
334 0.1% 0.6%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0.1% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.1% 99.5%  
239 0.1% 99.4%  
240 0.1% 99.3%  
241 0.1% 99.2%  
242 0.3% 99.1%  
243 0.2% 98.8%  
244 0.3% 98.6%  
245 0.3% 98%  
246 0.3% 98%  
247 0.5% 98%  
248 0.5% 97%  
249 0.5% 97%  
250 0.6% 96%  
251 1.0% 95%  
252 0.6% 94%  
253 0.8% 94%  
254 0.8% 93%  
255 2% 92%  
256 1.0% 91%  
257 2% 90%  
258 2% 87%  
259 2% 86%  
260 1.3% 84%  
261 2% 82%  
262 1.2% 81%  
263 1.3% 79%  
264 2% 78%  
265 1.4% 76%  
266 2% 75%  
267 3% 73%  
268 0.9% 70%  
269 3% 70%  
270 1.4% 66%  
271 3% 65%  
272 1.4% 62%  
273 0.5% 60%  
274 1.1% 60% Last Result
275 2% 58%  
276 0.9% 56%  
277 1.1% 55%  
278 2% 54%  
279 1.4% 52% Median
280 2% 51%  
281 2% 48%  
282 2% 46%  
283 1.5% 44%  
284 2% 42%  
285 3% 40%  
286 3% 37%  
287 0.7% 34%  
288 2% 33%  
289 2% 31%  
290 1.0% 29%  
291 2% 28%  
292 0.9% 26%  
293 1.0% 25%  
294 0.7% 24%  
295 2% 24%  
296 2% 22%  
297 2% 20%  
298 1.3% 18%  
299 2% 16%  
300 0.5% 15%  
301 1.0% 14%  
302 0.9% 13%  
303 0.9% 12%  
304 0.3% 11%  
305 0.2% 11%  
306 0.8% 11%  
307 2% 10%  
308 0.5% 8%  
309 0.8% 8%  
310 0.1% 7%  
311 0.8% 7%  
312 2% 6%  
313 0.2% 5%  
314 0.4% 4%  
315 0.1% 4%  
316 0.2% 4%  
317 0.3% 4%  
318 0.4% 3%  
319 0.6% 3%  
320 0.4% 2%  
321 0.2% 2%  
322 0.1% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.2% 1.5%  
325 0.1% 1.3%  
326 0.1% 1.2% Majority
327 0.1% 1.1%  
328 0% 1.1%  
329 0.2% 1.1%  
330 0.1% 0.9%  
331 0.1% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0.1% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0.1% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0.1% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.7%  
251 0.1% 99.6%  
252 0.1% 99.6%  
253 0.2% 99.5%  
254 0.1% 99.3%  
255 0.1% 99.2%  
256 0.1% 99.0%  
257 0.3% 98.9%  
258 0.2% 98.6%  
259 0.4% 98%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.6% 98%  
262 0.7% 97%  
263 0.7% 96%  
264 1.3% 96%  
265 1.3% 94%  
266 0.8% 93%  
267 1.5% 92%  
268 2% 91%  
269 1.1% 89%  
270 1.4% 88%  
271 3% 86%  
272 2% 84%  
273 2% 82%  
274 2% 80%  
275 4% 78%  
276 6% 74%  
277 6% 68%  
278 3% 62%  
279 2% 59%  
280 3% 57%  
281 2% 53%  
282 2% 52%  
283 2% 49%  
284 4% 47% Median
285 4% 43%  
286 1.4% 39%  
287 2% 38%  
288 1.0% 36%  
289 3% 35%  
290 2% 32%  
291 0.7% 29%  
292 1.2% 29%  
293 1.4% 28%  
294 3% 26%  
295 1.3% 23%  
296 2% 22%  
297 1.2% 20%  
298 0.7% 19%  
299 1.2% 18%  
300 2% 17%  
301 1.0% 15% Last Result
302 0.8% 14%  
303 2% 14%  
304 1.0% 12%  
305 0.8% 11%  
306 2% 10%  
307 0.6% 8%  
308 0.4% 8%  
309 0.5% 7%  
310 0.5% 7%  
311 0.6% 6%  
312 1.0% 6%  
313 0.5% 5%  
314 0.4% 4%  
315 0.2% 4%  
316 0.5% 4%  
317 0.5% 3%  
318 0.4% 3%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.3% 2%  
321 0.2% 2%  
322 0.1% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.3% 1.4%  
325 0.1% 1.1%  
326 0.1% 1.0% Majority
327 0.1% 0.9%  
328 0.2% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.6%  
330 0.1% 0.5%  
331 0.1% 0.4%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0.1% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.8%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.6%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0.2% 99.5%  
252 0.1% 99.3%  
253 0.1% 99.1%  
254 0.2% 99.0%  
255 0.3% 98.8%  
256 0.2% 98.6%  
257 0.4% 98%  
258 0.6% 98%  
259 0.4% 97%  
260 0.9% 97%  
261 1.0% 96%  
262 1.2% 95%  
263 0.4% 94%  
264 2% 93%  
265 1.1% 92%  
266 2% 91%  
267 1.3% 88%  
268 2% 87%  
269 1.5% 85%  
270 1.3% 84%  
271 3% 83%  
272 4% 80%  
273 4% 76%  
274 5% 72%  
275 7% 67%  
276 3% 60%  
277 2% 58%  
278 3% 56%  
279 2% 52%  
280 2% 51%  
281 3% 49%  
282 3% 45% Median
283 3% 42%  
284 2% 39%  
285 2% 37%  
286 3% 35%  
287 0.7% 32%  
288 1.2% 32%  
289 2% 31%  
290 1.3% 28%  
291 0.7% 27%  
292 1.1% 26%  
293 2% 25%  
294 2% 23%  
295 0.5% 20%  
296 2% 20%  
297 0.8% 18% Last Result
298 2% 17%  
299 0.9% 15%  
300 1.0% 14%  
301 0.9% 13%  
302 1.3% 13%  
303 1.4% 11%  
304 0.3% 10%  
305 2% 9%  
306 0.4% 8%  
307 0.7% 7%  
308 0.5% 7%  
309 0.6% 6%  
310 0.8% 6%  
311 0.3% 5%  
312 0.4% 4%  
313 0.3% 4%  
314 0.6% 4%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.3% 3%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0.3% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.1% 2%  
321 0.1% 2%  
322 0.2% 1.4%  
323 0.2% 1.3%  
324 0.2% 1.0%  
325 0.1% 0.8%  
326 0.1% 0.7% Majority
327 0.1% 0.6%  
328 0.1% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.4%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.8%  
224 0% 99.7%  
225 0.1% 99.7%  
226 0.1% 99.5%  
227 0.1% 99.5%  
228 0.1% 99.4%  
229 0.2% 99.2%  
230 0.3% 99.1%  
231 0.2% 98.7%  
232 0.5% 98.5%  
233 0.4% 98%  
234 0.5% 98%  
235 0.3% 97%  
236 0.4% 97%  
237 0.6% 96%  
238 0.5% 96%  
239 0.6% 95%  
240 0.8% 95%  
241 3% 94%  
242 1.5% 91%  
243 1.3% 90%  
244 2% 89%  
245 2% 87%  
246 1.2% 85%  
247 2% 84%  
248 0.5% 82%  
249 2% 82%  
250 2% 80%  
251 1.2% 78%  
252 1.1% 77%  
253 3% 76%  
254 2% 73%  
255 3% 71%  
256 3% 68%  
257 2% 66%  
258 1.3% 64%  
259 2% 63%  
260 0.7% 61%  
261 2% 60%  
262 3% 58%  
263 2% 56%  
264 2% 54%  
265 2% 52% Median
266 2% 50% Last Result
267 2% 48%  
268 3% 47%  
269 1.1% 44%  
270 2% 43%  
271 2% 40%  
272 4% 38%  
273 2% 34%  
274 2% 33%  
275 2% 31%  
276 1.3% 29%  
277 1.2% 27%  
278 1.1% 26%  
279 0.9% 25%  
280 0.8% 24%  
281 6% 23%  
282 0.9% 18%  
283 0.3% 17%  
284 1.4% 17%  
285 0.8% 15%  
286 0.7% 15%  
287 1.3% 14%  
288 0.8% 13%  
289 0.6% 12%  
290 0.5% 11%  
291 0.7% 11%  
292 0.2% 10%  
293 0.5% 10%  
294 2% 9%  
295 0.5% 7%  
296 1.4% 7%  
297 0.5% 5%  
298 0.3% 5%  
299 0.5% 5%  
300 0.3% 4%  
301 0.2% 4%  
302 0.4% 4%  
303 0.3% 3%  
304 0.2% 3%  
305 0.3% 3%  
306 0.4% 3%  
307 0.6% 2%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0.1% 1.4%  
310 0.1% 1.4%  
311 0.1% 1.3%  
312 0.2% 1.2%  
313 0.1% 1.0%  
314 0.2% 1.0%  
315 0.1% 0.8%  
316 0.1% 0.7%  
317 0.1% 0.6%  
318 0.1% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0% 99.7%  
222 0.1% 99.6%  
223 0% 99.5%  
224 0% 99.5%  
225 0.1% 99.5%  
226 0.2% 99.4%  
227 0.3% 99.3%  
228 0.3% 98.9%  
229 0.2% 98.6%  
230 0.4% 98%  
231 0.4% 98%  
232 0.8% 98%  
233 0.5% 97%  
234 0.2% 96%  
235 0.5% 96%  
236 0.4% 96%  
237 0.7% 95%  
238 0.9% 95%  
239 2% 94%  
240 1.3% 92%  
241 3% 91%  
242 3% 88%  
243 1.3% 85%  
244 0.6% 84%  
245 1.5% 83%  
246 0.6% 81%  
247 1.0% 81%  
248 2% 80%  
249 3% 78%  
250 1.1% 75%  
251 2% 74%  
252 3% 72%  
253 4% 69%  
254 2% 66%  
255 1.0% 64%  
256 0.4% 63%  
257 0.9% 63%  
258 1.1% 62%  
259 3% 61%  
260 2% 57%  
261 2% 55%  
262 3% 53% Last Result
263 1.2% 50% Median
264 1.2% 49%  
265 0.5% 48%  
266 2% 47%  
267 2% 46%  
268 3% 44%  
269 2% 41%  
270 4% 39%  
271 2% 36%  
272 3% 33%  
273 2% 31%  
274 2% 28%  
275 0.6% 26%  
276 1.2% 26%  
277 0.3% 25%  
278 0.7% 24%  
279 3% 24%  
280 2% 21%  
281 3% 19%  
282 0.9% 16%  
283 0.7% 15%  
284 0.7% 15%  
285 2% 14%  
286 0.7% 12%  
287 0.5% 11%  
288 0.5% 11%  
289 0.4% 10%  
290 0.4% 10%  
291 1.1% 10%  
292 0.4% 8%  
293 1.4% 8%  
294 0.3% 7%  
295 2% 6%  
296 0.4% 5%  
297 0.3% 4%  
298 0.3% 4%  
299 0.2% 4%  
300 0.2% 4%  
301 0.3% 3%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.5% 3%  
304 0.5% 2%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.1% 2%  
307 0.1% 1.4%  
308 0% 1.3%  
309 0.1% 1.2%  
310 0.1% 1.2%  
311 0.1% 1.1%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.1% 0.8%  
314 0.2% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.6%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations