Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 4–5 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 41.6% 40.0–43.1% 39.6–43.6% 39.2–44.0% 38.5–44.7%
Labour Party 40.0% 40.6% 39.1–42.2% 38.6–42.6% 38.3–43.0% 37.5–43.8%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.7%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.5% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 305 279–330 275–335 271–340 263–346
Labour Party 262 270 246–296 241–302 239–308 233–318
Liberal Democrats 12 10 5–15 3–16 3–17 2–19
UK Independence Party 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 42 26–53 20–54 13–55 7–56
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 4 1–5 1–5 0–5 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.7%  
262 0% 99.6%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.2% 99.4%  
265 0.2% 99.2%  
266 0.1% 99.1%  
267 0.1% 98.9%  
268 0.6% 98.8%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.7% 98%  
272 0.4% 97%  
273 0.3% 97%  
274 0.5% 96%  
275 1.0% 96%  
276 1.5% 95%  
277 2% 93%  
278 0.5% 91%  
279 1.2% 91%  
280 2% 89%  
281 0.6% 88%  
282 0.7% 87%  
283 1.4% 87%  
284 2% 85%  
285 2% 84%  
286 2% 81%  
287 0.4% 80%  
288 1.0% 79%  
289 0.8% 78%  
290 3% 77%  
291 2% 75%  
292 2% 73%  
293 1.2% 71%  
294 0.8% 70%  
295 2% 69%  
296 2% 67%  
297 1.3% 65%  
298 2% 64%  
299 0.8% 62%  
300 4% 61%  
301 2% 57%  
302 2% 56%  
303 1.3% 53%  
304 2% 52%  
305 0.9% 50% Median
306 1.2% 49%  
307 1.5% 48%  
308 1.1% 47%  
309 6% 45%  
310 1.3% 39%  
311 2% 38%  
312 0.9% 36%  
313 2% 35%  
314 2% 33%  
315 2% 31%  
316 0.8% 28%  
317 1.2% 28% Last Result
318 2% 26%  
319 2% 24%  
320 1.4% 22%  
321 1.4% 21%  
322 1.2% 19%  
323 0.8% 18%  
324 1.3% 17%  
325 0.7% 16%  
326 2% 15% Majority
327 0.8% 14%  
328 1.3% 13%  
329 1.0% 12%  
330 1.0% 11%  
331 2% 10%  
332 0.7% 8%  
333 0.8% 7%  
334 0.7% 7%  
335 0.9% 6%  
336 0.9% 5%  
337 0.6% 4%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.6% 2%  
342 0.5% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.0%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.2% 99.6%  
234 0.1% 99.4%  
235 0% 99.4%  
236 0.1% 99.3%  
237 0.2% 99.2%  
238 0.8% 99.0%  
239 1.1% 98%  
240 0.8% 97%  
241 2% 96%  
242 2% 95%  
243 0.9% 93%  
244 0.8% 92%  
245 0.8% 91%  
246 0.9% 91%  
247 0.3% 90%  
248 0.8% 89%  
249 1.0% 89%  
250 2% 88%  
251 1.1% 86%  
252 2% 85%  
253 3% 83%  
254 0.7% 80%  
255 0.4% 79%  
256 2% 79%  
257 2% 77%  
258 1.1% 75%  
259 0.9% 74%  
260 2% 73%  
261 2% 72%  
262 2% 70% Last Result
263 4% 68%  
264 4% 64%  
265 2% 60%  
266 3% 57%  
267 2% 54%  
268 1.3% 53%  
269 0.6% 51%  
270 0.9% 51% Median
271 1.3% 50%  
272 1.1% 48%  
273 2% 47%  
274 1.4% 46%  
275 1.5% 44%  
276 2% 43%  
277 4% 41%  
278 3% 37%  
279 2% 34%  
280 3% 33%  
281 1.0% 30%  
282 1.3% 29%  
283 1.0% 28%  
284 0.7% 27%  
285 1.2% 26%  
286 1.1% 25%  
287 0.9% 24%  
288 3% 23%  
289 1.4% 20%  
290 4% 19%  
291 0.7% 15%  
292 2% 14%  
293 0.5% 12%  
294 1.2% 12%  
295 0.5% 11%  
296 1.0% 10%  
297 0.9% 9%  
298 0.7% 8%  
299 0.8% 7%  
300 0.5% 7%  
301 0.4% 6%  
302 1.0% 6%  
303 0.6% 5%  
304 0.6% 4%  
305 0.3% 3%  
306 0.3% 3%  
307 0.3% 3%  
308 0.5% 3%  
309 0.2% 2%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.2% 1.4%  
313 0.1% 1.3%  
314 0.2% 1.2%  
315 0.2% 1.0%  
316 0.2% 0.8%  
317 0.1% 0.6%  
318 0.1% 0.5%  
319 0% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.3%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0.3% 99.9%  
2 1.0% 99.7%  
3 5% 98.6%  
4 4% 94%  
5 8% 90%  
6 9% 82%  
7 5% 73%  
8 8% 69%  
9 7% 61%  
10 7% 54% Median
11 5% 47%  
12 7% 42% Last Result
13 7% 36%  
14 10% 28%  
15 9% 18%  
16 5% 9%  
17 2% 4%  
18 0.9% 1.5%  
19 0.3% 0.6%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100% Last Result
1 76% 76% Median
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0.1% 99.9%  
6 0.2% 99.8%  
7 0.2% 99.6%  
8 0.1% 99.4%  
9 1.0% 99.3%  
10 0.1% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0.1% 98%  
13 0.6% 98%  
14 0.5% 97%  
15 0.1% 97%  
16 0.1% 97%  
17 0.2% 97%  
18 0.1% 97%  
19 0.4% 96%  
20 1.2% 96%  
21 0.9% 95%  
22 0.5% 94%  
23 0.8% 93%  
24 2% 93%  
25 0.5% 91%  
26 2% 90%  
27 1.5% 88%  
28 2% 87%  
29 2% 85%  
30 1.3% 83%  
31 1.1% 81%  
32 0.8% 80%  
33 0.6% 79%  
34 0.6% 79%  
35 2% 78% Last Result
36 2% 76%  
37 0.7% 74%  
38 2% 74%  
39 5% 71%  
40 4% 66%  
41 7% 62%  
42 5% 55% Median
43 3% 50%  
44 3% 46%  
45 4% 43%  
46 0.8% 40%  
47 2% 39%  
48 5% 37%  
49 6% 32%  
50 3% 25%  
51 6% 22%  
52 5% 16%  
53 2% 11%  
54 6% 9%  
55 3% 3%  
56 0.6% 0.9%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 9% 95%  
2 17% 87%  
3 10% 70%  
4 44% 59% Last Result, Median
5 15% 15%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 350 87% 322–375 316–381 310–385 298–390
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 347 84% 320–372 313–378 307–381 295–386
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 326 50% 300–352 295–355 291–360 285–367
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 322 45% 297–348 291–352 287–357 281–364
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 316 30% 291–340 286–344 283–349 277–356
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 314 28% 291–339 286–344 281–348 275–354
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 313 26% 288–337 283–342 279–346 273–352
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 308 18% 282–334 278–339 274–343 266–349
Conservative Party 317 305 15% 279–330 275–335 271–340 263–346
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 283 2% 258–311 253–318 249–323 244–335
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 280 1.4% 255–309 249–314 246–320 240–332
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 274 0.3% 250–299 245–306 243–310 237–321
Labour Party 262 270 0.1% 246–296 241–302 239–308 233–318

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.8%  
296 0% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.6%  
299 0.1% 99.5%  
300 0.1% 99.4%  
301 0.1% 99.3%  
302 0.2% 99.2%  
303 0% 99.0%  
304 0.2% 98.9%  
305 0.1% 98.7%  
306 0.2% 98.6%  
307 0.1% 98%  
308 0.2% 98%  
309 0.1% 98%  
310 0.4% 98%  
311 0.2% 97%  
312 0.2% 97%  
313 0.8% 97%  
314 0.4% 96%  
315 0.5% 96%  
316 1.1% 95%  
317 0.8% 94%  
318 0.4% 94%  
319 0.5% 93%  
320 0.8% 93%  
321 1.5% 92%  
322 1.0% 90%  
323 0.4% 89%  
324 0.8% 89%  
325 0.8% 88%  
326 0.6% 87% Majority
327 1.1% 87%  
328 2% 86%  
329 0.9% 84%  
330 2% 83%  
331 2% 81%  
332 0.9% 79%  
333 2% 78%  
334 0.9% 76%  
335 2% 76%  
336 1.1% 74%  
337 3% 73%  
338 0.8% 70%  
339 1.2% 69%  
340 3% 68%  
341 3% 65%  
342 0.8% 62%  
343 1.5% 61%  
344 1.5% 59%  
345 1.1% 58%  
346 0.7% 57%  
347 2% 56%  
348 1.0% 54%  
349 2% 53%  
350 2% 51%  
351 2% 49% Median
352 2% 47%  
353 4% 45%  
354 1.4% 41%  
355 2% 40%  
356 1.1% 38% Last Result
357 1.1% 37%  
358 2% 36%  
359 2% 34%  
360 1.5% 32%  
361 3% 31%  
362 0.8% 28%  
363 3% 27%  
364 2% 25%  
365 1.1% 23%  
366 2% 22%  
367 0.8% 20%  
368 0.7% 19%  
369 1.1% 18%  
370 1.3% 17%  
371 0.8% 16%  
372 2% 15%  
373 0.6% 13%  
374 1.2% 12%  
375 1.3% 11%  
376 0.8% 10%  
377 0.5% 9%  
378 1.2% 8%  
379 0.7% 7%  
380 0.9% 6%  
381 0.5% 5%  
382 1.3% 5%  
383 0.4% 4%  
384 0.6% 3%  
385 0.5% 3%  
386 0.6% 2%  
387 0.5% 1.4%  
388 0.2% 0.9%  
389 0.1% 0.8%  
390 0.2% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0% 99.7%  
293 0% 99.7%  
294 0.1% 99.7%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.1% 99.5%  
297 0.1% 99.4%  
298 0.1% 99.3%  
299 0.1% 99.2%  
300 0.1% 99.1%  
301 0.3% 99.0%  
302 0.1% 98.7%  
303 0.2% 98.6%  
304 0.2% 98%  
305 0.2% 98%  
306 0.2% 98%  
307 0.2% 98%  
308 0.3% 97%  
309 0.3% 97%  
310 0.4% 97%  
311 0.7% 97%  
312 0.8% 96%  
313 0.9% 95%  
314 0.6% 94%  
315 0.6% 94%  
316 0.5% 93%  
317 0.5% 92%  
318 1.1% 92%  
319 0.9% 91%  
320 0.8% 90%  
321 1.1% 89%  
322 0.9% 88%  
323 1.0% 87%  
324 2% 86%  
325 0.4% 85%  
326 2% 84% Majority
327 1.1% 82%  
328 2% 81%  
329 2% 79%  
330 1.1% 78%  
331 1.3% 76%  
332 2% 75%  
333 1.2% 73%  
334 0.3% 72%  
335 3% 72%  
336 1.2% 69%  
337 3% 68%  
338 2% 65%  
339 3% 63%  
340 1.4% 60%  
341 1.2% 59%  
342 0.9% 57%  
343 2% 57%  
344 2% 55%  
345 0.7% 53%  
346 1.0% 53%  
347 3% 52% Median
348 2% 48%  
349 2% 46%  
350 2% 44%  
351 3% 42%  
352 1.3% 40% Last Result
353 2% 38%  
354 1.0% 37%  
355 2% 36%  
356 2% 34%  
357 2% 32%  
358 2% 30%  
359 3% 28%  
360 0.9% 25%  
361 2% 24%  
362 2% 22%  
363 1.3% 20%  
364 0.8% 19%  
365 0.9% 18%  
366 1.2% 17%  
367 0.6% 16%  
368 0.5% 16%  
369 2% 15%  
370 2% 13%  
371 1.1% 11%  
372 0.9% 10%  
373 1.2% 9%  
374 0.8% 8%  
375 0.5% 7%  
376 1.2% 7%  
377 0.6% 6%  
378 1.0% 5%  
379 0.6% 4%  
380 0.7% 3%  
381 0.4% 3%  
382 0.8% 2%  
383 0.4% 2%  
384 0.2% 1.1%  
385 0.2% 0.9%  
386 0.2% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.5%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.7%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.5%  
286 0.1% 99.4%  
287 0.1% 99.3%  
288 0.6% 99.1%  
289 0.6% 98.5%  
290 0.4% 98%  
291 0.3% 98%  
292 0.4% 97%  
293 0.6% 97%  
294 0.7% 96%  
295 1.3% 96%  
296 0.6% 94%  
297 0.8% 94%  
298 0.7% 93%  
299 1.4% 92%  
300 0.9% 91%  
301 1.2% 90%  
302 1.0% 89%  
303 1.0% 88%  
304 2% 87%  
305 1.0% 85%  
306 1.4% 84%  
307 0.8% 83%  
308 0.7% 82%  
309 2% 81%  
310 1.2% 79%  
311 2% 78%  
312 3% 76%  
313 1.2% 74% Last Result
314 0.8% 73%  
315 2% 72%  
316 2% 70%  
317 2% 67%  
318 0.8% 65%  
319 2% 64%  
320 1.4% 62%  
321 5% 61%  
322 1.3% 55%  
323 1.5% 54%  
324 2% 52%  
325 0.7% 51%  
326 2% 50% Median, Majority
327 2% 49%  
328 0.8% 47%  
329 3% 46%  
330 4% 43%  
331 1.0% 39%  
332 2% 38%  
333 1.2% 36%  
334 2% 35%  
335 2% 34%  
336 1.0% 32%  
337 1.1% 31%  
338 2% 30%  
339 2% 28%  
340 3% 26%  
341 1.0% 23%  
342 0.8% 22%  
343 0.5% 21%  
344 2% 21%  
345 2% 19%  
346 2% 17%  
347 1.4% 15%  
348 0.8% 14%  
349 0.7% 13%  
350 2% 12%  
351 0.6% 11%  
352 1.1% 10%  
353 2% 9%  
354 2% 7%  
355 0.9% 5%  
356 0.7% 5%  
357 0.4% 4%  
358 0.3% 3%  
359 0.5% 3%  
360 0.5% 3%  
361 0.3% 2%  
362 0.5% 2%  
363 0.2% 1.4%  
364 0.2% 1.2%  
365 0.2% 1.0%  
366 0.2% 0.8%  
367 0.2% 0.6%  
368 0% 0.4%  
369 0% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.4%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.6%  
282 0.1% 99.4%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 0.5% 99.2%  
285 0.6% 98.7%  
286 0.5% 98%  
287 0.3% 98%  
288 0.3% 97%  
289 0.8% 97%  
290 0.6% 96%  
291 0.8% 96%  
292 1.0% 95%  
293 0.9% 94%  
294 0.8% 93%  
295 1.2% 92%  
296 1.1% 91%  
297 0.7% 90%  
298 1.1% 89%  
299 1.1% 88%  
300 1.1% 87%  
301 0.8% 86%  
302 1.4% 85%  
303 0.5% 84%  
304 1.3% 83%  
305 2% 82%  
306 2% 81%  
307 2% 79%  
308 2% 77%  
309 2% 75% Last Result
310 0.9% 73%  
311 1.4% 72%  
312 2% 71%  
313 2% 68%  
314 1.5% 66%  
315 2% 65%  
316 2% 63%  
317 0.5% 61%  
318 3% 61%  
319 4% 58%  
320 2% 54%  
321 0.6% 52%  
322 2% 51% Median
323 2% 49%  
324 1.1% 48%  
325 2% 47%  
326 3% 45% Majority
327 2% 42%  
328 1.4% 40%  
329 3% 39%  
330 2% 36%  
331 2% 35%  
332 1.5% 33%  
333 1.2% 32%  
334 2% 30%  
335 1.1% 28%  
336 1.4% 27%  
337 2% 26%  
338 2% 24%  
339 0.8% 22%  
340 2% 21%  
341 2% 20%  
342 2% 18%  
343 1.1% 16%  
344 1.5% 15%  
345 0.5% 13%  
346 2% 13%  
347 0.4% 11%  
348 1.1% 11%  
349 2% 10%  
350 0.8% 8%  
351 1.2% 7%  
352 1.4% 6%  
353 0.4% 4%  
354 0.2% 4%  
355 0.4% 4%  
356 0.5% 3%  
357 0.6% 3%  
358 0.3% 2%  
359 0.2% 2%  
360 0.4% 2%  
361 0.2% 1.2%  
362 0.2% 1.0%  
363 0.2% 0.8%  
364 0.1% 0.6%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.3% 99.5%  
278 0.2% 99.3%  
279 0.2% 99.1%  
280 0.5% 98.9%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 0.2% 98%  
283 0.5% 98%  
284 0.5% 97%  
285 1.2% 97%  
286 0.5% 95%  
287 1.3% 95%  
288 0.9% 93%  
289 1.3% 93%  
290 1.0% 91%  
291 0.9% 90%  
292 1.0% 89%  
293 1.2% 88%  
294 1.5% 87%  
295 0.8% 86%  
296 1.0% 85%  
297 2% 84%  
298 2% 82%  
299 0.5% 80%  
300 0.9% 80%  
301 1.4% 79% Last Result
302 0.4% 78%  
303 2% 77%  
304 3% 75%  
305 0.9% 72%  
306 2% 72%  
307 5% 70%  
308 2% 64%  
309 1.1% 62%  
310 2% 61%  
311 2% 60%  
312 2% 58%  
313 2% 56%  
314 1.4% 54%  
315 2% 53%  
316 3% 51% Median
317 3% 48%  
318 3% 45%  
319 2% 43%  
320 2% 41%  
321 1.2% 38%  
322 1.4% 37%  
323 0.9% 36%  
324 2% 35%  
325 3% 33%  
326 1.4% 30% Majority
327 1.0% 29%  
328 1.2% 28%  
329 1.2% 26%  
330 3% 25%  
331 0.5% 22%  
332 1.4% 22%  
333 1.1% 21%  
334 2% 19%  
335 0.9% 18%  
336 3% 17%  
337 0.7% 14%  
338 0.9% 13%  
339 2% 12%  
340 1.2% 10%  
341 0.7% 9%  
342 0.8% 8%  
343 2% 7%  
344 0.8% 6%  
345 0.5% 5%  
346 0.5% 4%  
347 0.4% 4%  
348 0.7% 3%  
349 0.5% 3%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.3% 2%  
352 0.2% 1.4%  
353 0.2% 1.1%  
354 0.2% 0.9%  
355 0.2% 0.7%  
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0.1% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.6%  
275 0.2% 99.5%  
276 0.1% 99.3%  
277 0.2% 99.2%  
278 0.2% 99.0%  
279 0.4% 98.7%  
280 0.3% 98%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 0.8% 97%  
283 0.3% 97%  
284 0.3% 96%  
285 0.8% 96%  
286 0.6% 95%  
287 2% 95%  
288 0.6% 93%  
289 0.9% 92%  
290 0.8% 91%  
291 2% 91%  
292 0.5% 88%  
293 1.0% 88%  
294 3% 87%  
295 0.9% 83%  
296 1.3% 82%  
297 1.5% 81%  
298 1.3% 80%  
299 0.7% 78%  
300 2% 78%  
301 2% 76%  
302 0.9% 74%  
303 1.4% 73%  
304 1.4% 72%  
305 3% 70%  
306 1.1% 67%  
307 1.4% 66%  
308 1.1% 65%  
309 2% 64%  
310 2% 62%  
311 3% 60%  
312 1.5% 58%  
313 4% 56%  
314 3% 52%  
315 2% 49% Median
316 1.5% 47%  
317 2% 46%  
318 2% 44%  
319 1.2% 42%  
320 2% 41%  
321 1.3% 39%  
322 2% 38%  
323 5% 36%  
324 3% 31%  
325 1.0% 29%  
326 2% 28% Majority
327 2% 25%  
328 1.0% 23%  
329 1.3% 23% Last Result
330 1.0% 21%  
331 0.5% 20%  
332 2% 20%  
333 2% 18%  
334 1.0% 16%  
335 0.6% 15%  
336 1.5% 15%  
337 1.1% 13%  
338 0.9% 12%  
339 1.4% 11%  
340 1.0% 10%  
341 1.3% 9%  
342 0.9% 8%  
343 1.0% 7%  
344 0.8% 6%  
345 1.0% 5%  
346 0.7% 4%  
347 0.6% 3%  
348 0.3% 3%  
349 0.6% 2%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.3% 1.3%  
352 0.2% 1.0%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4%  
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.3%  
358 0.1% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.3% 99.6%  
274 0.1% 99.3%  
275 0.2% 99.2%  
276 0.3% 99.0%  
277 0.7% 98.6%  
278 0.3% 98%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.7% 97%  
281 0.7% 97%  
282 0.8% 96%  
283 1.4% 95%  
284 1.0% 94%  
285 0.7% 93%  
286 0.7% 92%  
287 0.9% 91%  
288 1.2% 90%  
289 1.5% 89%  
290 0.7% 88%  
291 2% 87%  
292 2% 86%  
293 1.1% 84%  
294 1.4% 83%  
295 1.1% 81%  
296 1.1% 80%  
297 0.9% 79% Last Result
298 0.5% 78%  
299 2% 78%  
300 2% 76%  
301 1.2% 74%  
302 2% 73%  
303 2% 70%  
304 3% 69%  
305 4% 65%  
306 1.1% 61%  
307 2% 60%  
308 1.3% 59%  
309 2% 57%  
310 1.5% 55%  
311 1.1% 54%  
312 2% 53% Median
313 3% 51%  
314 2% 48%  
315 2% 47%  
316 5% 44%  
317 2% 39%  
318 1.2% 37%  
319 1.0% 36%  
320 2% 35%  
321 1.3% 33%  
322 2% 32%  
323 2% 30%  
324 1.1% 29%  
325 1.4% 28%  
326 1.4% 26% Majority
327 2% 25%  
328 2% 23%  
329 1.3% 22%  
330 2% 20%  
331 1.3% 18%  
332 3% 17%  
333 0.5% 14%  
334 0.8% 14%  
335 1.0% 13%  
336 1.5% 12%  
337 2% 10%  
338 0.9% 9%  
339 2% 8%  
340 0.5% 6%  
341 0.5% 6%  
342 0.9% 5%  
343 0.4% 4%  
344 0.6% 4%  
345 0.5% 3%  
346 0.4% 3%  
347 0.6% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.1% 1.3%  
350 0.3% 1.2%  
351 0.3% 0.9%  
352 0.2% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3%  
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.1% 99.6%  
266 0.1% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.5%  
268 0.3% 99.3%  
269 0.1% 99.0%  
270 0.4% 98.9%  
271 0.2% 98.5%  
272 0.4% 98%  
273 0.4% 98%  
274 0.4% 98%  
275 0.6% 97%  
276 0.4% 97%  
277 0.3% 96%  
278 1.1% 96%  
279 1.2% 95%  
280 0.9% 94%  
281 2% 93%  
282 0.8% 90%  
283 0.8% 90%  
284 1.4% 89%  
285 0.7% 87%  
286 1.4% 87%  
287 1.0% 85%  
288 2% 84%  
289 2% 83%  
290 2% 81%  
291 0.7% 79%  
292 2% 78%  
293 1.1% 76%  
294 2% 75%  
295 1.3% 73%  
296 2% 72%  
297 1.4% 70%  
298 1.4% 69%  
299 1.4% 67%  
300 2% 66%  
301 3% 64%  
302 1.4% 61%  
303 0.9% 60%  
304 3% 59%  
305 2% 56%  
306 1.4% 54%  
307 2% 52%  
308 2% 51%  
309 0.7% 49% Median
310 2% 48%  
311 4% 47%  
312 3% 43%  
313 0.8% 40%  
314 2% 39%  
315 2% 37%  
316 1.4% 35%  
317 2% 34%  
318 2% 32%  
319 2% 30%  
320 0.9% 28%  
321 2% 27% Last Result
322 1.3% 25%  
323 2% 24%  
324 2% 22%  
325 2% 20%  
326 1.3% 18% Majority
327 0.6% 17%  
328 1.2% 16%  
329 0.6% 15%  
330 1.5% 14%  
331 0.7% 13%  
332 1.4% 12%  
333 0.8% 11%  
334 0.6% 10%  
335 2% 9%  
336 0.8% 8%  
337 0.6% 7%  
338 1.3% 6%  
339 0.8% 5%  
340 0.6% 4%  
341 0.5% 4%  
342 0.5% 3%  
343 0.2% 3%  
344 0.5% 2%  
345 0.5% 2%  
346 0.5% 1.4%  
347 0.2% 0.9%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.7%  
262 0% 99.6%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.2% 99.4%  
265 0.2% 99.2%  
266 0.1% 99.1%  
267 0.1% 98.9%  
268 0.6% 98.8%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.7% 98%  
272 0.4% 97%  
273 0.3% 97%  
274 0.5% 96%  
275 1.0% 96%  
276 1.5% 95%  
277 2% 93%  
278 0.5% 91%  
279 1.2% 91%  
280 2% 89%  
281 0.6% 88%  
282 0.7% 87%  
283 1.4% 87%  
284 2% 85%  
285 2% 84%  
286 2% 81%  
287 0.4% 80%  
288 1.0% 79%  
289 0.8% 78%  
290 3% 77%  
291 2% 75%  
292 2% 73%  
293 1.2% 71%  
294 0.8% 70%  
295 2% 69%  
296 2% 67%  
297 1.3% 65%  
298 2% 64%  
299 0.8% 62%  
300 4% 61%  
301 2% 57%  
302 2% 56%  
303 1.3% 53%  
304 2% 52%  
305 0.9% 50% Median
306 1.2% 49%  
307 1.5% 48%  
308 1.1% 47%  
309 6% 45%  
310 1.3% 39%  
311 2% 38%  
312 0.9% 36%  
313 2% 35%  
314 2% 33%  
315 2% 31%  
316 0.8% 28%  
317 1.2% 28% Last Result
318 2% 26%  
319 2% 24%  
320 1.4% 22%  
321 1.4% 21%  
322 1.2% 19%  
323 0.8% 18%  
324 1.3% 17%  
325 0.7% 16%  
326 2% 15% Majority
327 0.8% 14%  
328 1.3% 13%  
329 1.0% 12%  
330 1.0% 11%  
331 2% 10%  
332 0.7% 8%  
333 0.8% 7%  
334 0.7% 7%  
335 0.9% 6%  
336 0.9% 5%  
337 0.6% 4%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.6% 2%  
342 0.5% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.0%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.3% 99.4%  
246 0.2% 99.1%  
247 0.2% 99.0%  
248 0.9% 98.8%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.7% 97%  
251 0.7% 97%  
252 0.9% 96%  
253 0.5% 95%  
254 0.9% 95%  
255 0.8% 94%  
256 0.9% 93%  
257 1.1% 92%  
258 1.0% 91%  
259 1.1% 90%  
260 1.1% 89%  
261 2% 88%  
262 0.6% 85%  
263 0.7% 85%  
264 1.2% 84%  
265 0.8% 83%  
266 0.8% 82%  
267 0.9% 81%  
268 2% 80%  
269 2% 78%  
270 0.9% 76%  
271 2% 75%  
272 2% 72%  
273 2% 70%  
274 2% 68%  
275 2% 67%  
276 0.9% 64%  
277 2% 63%  
278 2% 62% Last Result
279 3% 60%  
280 1.5% 58%  
281 2% 56%  
282 2% 55%  
283 3% 52%  
284 1.1% 49% Median
285 1.2% 48%  
286 2% 47%  
287 1.1% 45%  
288 1.4% 44%  
289 1.3% 43%  
290 1.0% 41%  
291 3% 40%  
292 1.0% 37%  
293 4% 36%  
294 1.0% 33%  
295 3% 32%  
296 0.4% 29%  
297 1.2% 28%  
298 1.3% 27%  
299 2% 26%  
300 1.0% 24%  
301 2% 23%  
302 2% 21%  
303 1.0% 20%  
304 2% 19%  
305 0.8% 16%  
306 2% 16%  
307 0.8% 14%  
308 1.1% 13%  
309 1.0% 12%  
310 0.8% 11%  
311 0.8% 10%  
312 0.7% 9%  
313 0.9% 9%  
314 0.6% 8%  
315 0.4% 7%  
316 0.8% 7%  
317 0.8% 6%  
318 0.8% 5%  
319 0.8% 4%  
320 0.4% 4%  
321 0.1% 3%  
322 0.5% 3%  
323 0.3% 3%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.2% 2% Majority
327 0.2% 2%  
328 0.2% 1.5%  
329 0.3% 1.3%  
330 0.1% 1.1%  
331 0.1% 1.0%  
332 0.1% 0.9%  
333 0.1% 0.8%  
334 0.1% 0.7%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.7%  
240 0.1% 99.6%  
241 0.2% 99.4%  
242 0.1% 99.3%  
243 0.4% 99.1%  
244 0.7% 98.8%  
245 0.4% 98%  
246 0.7% 98%  
247 0.5% 97%  
248 1.3% 97%  
249 0.6% 95%  
250 0.5% 95%  
251 0.7% 94%  
252 1.4% 93%  
253 0.5% 92%  
254 0.8% 91%  
255 1.3% 91%  
256 0.7% 89%  
257 1.1% 89%  
258 2% 87%  
259 0.7% 85%  
260 1.3% 85%  
261 0.9% 83%  
262 0.9% 82%  
263 0.9% 81%  
264 2% 81%  
265 1.4% 78%  
266 2% 77%  
267 2% 75%  
268 1.0% 73%  
269 2% 72%  
270 2% 70%  
271 2% 68%  
272 2% 66%  
273 1.2% 64%  
274 1.3% 63% Last Result
275 1.3% 62%  
276 1.3% 60%  
277 4% 59%  
278 2% 55%  
279 2% 53%  
280 2% 51% Median
281 2% 49%  
282 1.2% 47%  
283 1.4% 46%  
284 2% 45%  
285 1.0% 43%  
286 1.1% 42%  
287 2% 41%  
288 0.9% 40%  
289 3% 39%  
290 3% 36%  
291 2% 33%  
292 0.9% 31%  
293 3% 30%  
294 1.0% 27%  
295 1.1% 26%  
296 2% 25%  
297 2% 24%  
298 1.2% 22%  
299 1.3% 21%  
300 2% 20%  
301 1.2% 17%  
302 2% 16%  
303 0.9% 15%  
304 1.0% 14%  
305 0.6% 13%  
306 1.0% 12%  
307 0.4% 11%  
308 0.7% 11%  
309 1.5% 10%  
310 0.9% 9%  
311 0.5% 8%  
312 0.5% 7%  
313 0.9% 7%  
314 1.0% 6%  
315 0.4% 5%  
316 0.5% 4%  
317 0.6% 4%  
318 0.4% 3%  
319 0.2% 3%  
320 0.4% 3%  
321 0.2% 2%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.1% 1.4%  
326 0.3% 1.4% Majority
327 0.1% 1.1%  
328 0.1% 1.1%  
329 0.2% 0.9%  
330 0.1% 0.7%  
331 0.1% 0.6%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0.1% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
231 0.1% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.7%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.2% 99.5%  
239 0.1% 99.3%  
240 0.1% 99.2%  
241 0.2% 99.1%  
242 1.1% 98.9%  
243 0.9% 98%  
244 2% 97%  
245 2% 95%  
246 0.9% 93%  
247 0.5% 92%  
248 0.8% 92%  
249 0.9% 91%  
250 0.8% 90%  
251 0.8% 89%  
252 1.1% 89%  
253 2% 87%  
254 1.1% 86%  
255 0.5% 85%  
256 3% 84%  
257 1.2% 81%  
258 1.1% 80%  
259 0.8% 79%  
260 0.8% 78%  
261 2% 77%  
262 1.3% 75%  
263 2% 74%  
264 2% 72%  
265 3% 70%  
266 3% 67% Last Result
267 4% 64%  
268 2% 60%  
269 2% 58%  
270 2% 56%  
271 1.3% 54%  
272 1.3% 52%  
273 0.7% 51%  
274 0.8% 50% Median
275 2% 50%  
276 2% 48%  
277 2% 46%  
278 3% 44%  
279 1.1% 41%  
280 3% 40%  
281 2% 37%  
282 2% 35%  
283 2% 33%  
284 2% 32%  
285 0.7% 30%  
286 2% 29%  
287 1.3% 27%  
288 0.6% 26%  
289 2% 26%  
290 2% 24%  
291 1.0% 22%  
292 3% 21%  
293 1.1% 18%  
294 3% 17%  
295 0.7% 14%  
296 2% 13%  
297 0.6% 12%  
298 1.0% 11%  
299 0.9% 10%  
300 0.8% 9%  
301 0.9% 8%  
302 0.8% 7%  
303 0.6% 7%  
304 0.7% 6%  
305 0.3% 5%  
306 0.7% 5%  
307 0.5% 4%  
308 0.6% 4%  
309 0.5% 3%  
310 0.3% 3%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.4% 2%  
313 0.1% 2%  
314 0.2% 2%  
315 0.3% 2%  
316 0.2% 1.3%  
317 0.1% 1.1%  
318 0.2% 1.0%  
319 0.3% 0.9%  
320 0.1% 0.6%  
321 0.1% 0.6%  
322 0% 0.5%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.3% Majority
327 0.1% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.2% 99.6%  
234 0.1% 99.4%  
235 0% 99.4%  
236 0.1% 99.3%  
237 0.2% 99.2%  
238 0.8% 99.0%  
239 1.1% 98%  
240 0.8% 97%  
241 2% 96%  
242 2% 95%  
243 0.9% 93%  
244 0.8% 92%  
245 0.8% 91%  
246 0.9% 91%  
247 0.3% 90%  
248 0.8% 89%  
249 1.0% 89%  
250 2% 88%  
251 1.1% 86%  
252 2% 85%  
253 3% 83%  
254 0.7% 80%  
255 0.4% 79%  
256 2% 79%  
257 2% 77%  
258 1.1% 75%  
259 0.9% 74%  
260 2% 73%  
261 2% 72%  
262 2% 70% Last Result
263 4% 68%  
264 4% 64%  
265 2% 60%  
266 3% 57%  
267 2% 54%  
268 1.3% 53%  
269 0.6% 51%  
270 0.9% 51% Median
271 1.3% 50%  
272 1.1% 48%  
273 2% 47%  
274 1.4% 46%  
275 1.5% 44%  
276 2% 43%  
277 4% 41%  
278 3% 37%  
279 2% 34%  
280 3% 33%  
281 1.0% 30%  
282 1.3% 29%  
283 1.0% 28%  
284 0.7% 27%  
285 1.2% 26%  
286 1.1% 25%  
287 0.9% 24%  
288 3% 23%  
289 1.4% 20%  
290 4% 19%  
291 0.7% 15%  
292 2% 14%  
293 0.5% 12%  
294 1.2% 12%  
295 0.5% 11%  
296 1.0% 10%  
297 0.9% 9%  
298 0.7% 8%  
299 0.8% 7%  
300 0.5% 7%  
301 0.4% 6%  
302 1.0% 6%  
303 0.6% 5%  
304 0.6% 4%  
305 0.3% 3%  
306 0.3% 3%  
307 0.3% 3%  
308 0.5% 3%  
309 0.2% 2%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.2% 1.4%  
313 0.1% 1.3%  
314 0.2% 1.2%  
315 0.2% 1.0%  
316 0.2% 0.8%  
317 0.1% 0.6%  
318 0.1% 0.5%  
319 0% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.3%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations