Opinion Poll by ICM Research for The Guardian, 6–8 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 41.8% 40.3–43.4% 39.8–43.8% 39.4–44.2% 38.7–44.9%
Labour Party 40.0% 40.8% 39.3–42.3% 38.8–42.8% 38.5–43.2% 37.7–43.9%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
Green Party 1.6% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 312 285–333 280–339 276–344 268–349
Labour Party 262 275 253–304 247–309 243–319 236–328
Liberal Democrats 12 12 7–16 5–17 4–18 3–19
UK Independence Party 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 29 9–47 7–50 4–52 2–54
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–4

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.2% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.4%  
270 0.1% 99.3%  
271 0% 99.2%  
272 0.2% 99.1%  
273 0.3% 98.9%  
274 0.9% 98.6%  
275 0.2% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.9% 97%  
278 0.9% 96%  
279 0.3% 95%  
280 1.0% 95%  
281 1.0% 94%  
282 0.7% 93%  
283 1.3% 92%  
284 0.5% 91%  
285 3% 91%  
286 1.3% 87%  
287 0.5% 86%  
288 0.8% 86%  
289 3% 85%  
290 1.0% 82%  
291 1.0% 81%  
292 0.8% 80%  
293 1.5% 79%  
294 0.7% 78%  
295 2% 77%  
296 0.3% 75%  
297 0.9% 74%  
298 2% 73%  
299 2% 72%  
300 4% 70%  
301 0.7% 66%  
302 2% 66%  
303 2% 64%  
304 0.4% 62%  
305 2% 61%  
306 2% 60%  
307 0.4% 58%  
308 2% 57%  
309 2% 56%  
310 1.2% 54%  
311 0.7% 52%  
312 2% 52% Median
313 0.6% 50%  
314 2% 49%  
315 8% 47%  
316 1.4% 39%  
317 2% 38% Last Result
318 0.3% 36%  
319 1.2% 36%  
320 0.6% 35%  
321 1.1% 34%  
322 0.4% 33%  
323 2% 33%  
324 3% 31%  
325 6% 28%  
326 2% 22% Majority
327 3% 20%  
328 1.4% 17%  
329 1.2% 16%  
330 0.8% 15%  
331 1.0% 14%  
332 1.2% 13%  
333 2% 12%  
334 1.5% 9%  
335 0.2% 8%  
336 0.8% 7%  
337 0.5% 7%  
338 0.6% 6%  
339 0.8% 6%  
340 0.3% 5%  
341 0.3% 5%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.6% 4%  
344 1.3% 3%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.1% 1.5%  
347 0.6% 1.4%  
348 0.2% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0% 0.5%  
351 0% 0.4%  
352 0.2% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0.1% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.2% 99.6%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0% 99.4%  
239 0.2% 99.3%  
240 0.4% 99.1%  
241 0.6% 98.8%  
242 0.6% 98%  
243 0.7% 98%  
244 0.6% 97%  
245 0.9% 96%  
246 0.1% 95%  
247 0.4% 95%  
248 1.2% 95%  
249 2% 94%  
250 0.6% 91%  
251 0.3% 91%  
252 0.5% 91%  
253 0.2% 90%  
254 1.3% 90%  
255 3% 89%  
256 0.6% 85%  
257 7% 85%  
258 0.9% 78%  
259 0.8% 77%  
260 1.3% 76%  
261 0.6% 75%  
262 2% 74% Last Result
263 0.5% 72%  
264 0.4% 72%  
265 1.1% 72%  
266 0.7% 70%  
267 0.9% 70%  
268 4% 69%  
269 1.1% 65%  
270 0.2% 64%  
271 0.3% 63%  
272 4% 63%  
273 2% 59%  
274 7% 57%  
275 2% 51% Median
276 2% 49%  
277 2% 47%  
278 2% 45%  
279 0.4% 43%  
280 0.5% 42%  
281 0.7% 42%  
282 0.2% 41%  
283 2% 41%  
284 1.4% 39%  
285 0.2% 38%  
286 3% 38%  
287 2% 35%  
288 0.4% 33%  
289 1.2% 32%  
290 2% 31%  
291 2% 29%  
292 2% 27%  
293 3% 25%  
294 1.4% 22%  
295 3% 21%  
296 0.6% 18%  
297 1.4% 17%  
298 0.9% 16%  
299 0.2% 15%  
300 0% 15%  
301 0.4% 15%  
302 2% 14%  
303 0.8% 13%  
304 2% 12%  
305 0.8% 10%  
306 0.7% 9%  
307 0.8% 8%  
308 1.4% 7%  
309 1.2% 6%  
310 0.1% 5%  
311 0% 5%  
312 0% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 0% 4%  
315 0.7% 4%  
316 0.1% 4%  
317 0.5% 4%  
318 0.2% 3%  
319 0.7% 3%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.5% 2%  
322 0.4% 1.4%  
323 0.2% 1.0%  
324 0% 0.8%  
325 0.1% 0.8%  
326 0% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.7%  
328 0.2% 0.7%  
329 0.2% 0.4%  
330 0.1% 0.3%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.9%  
3 1.2% 99.7%  
4 2% 98%  
5 2% 96%  
6 2% 94%  
7 10% 92%  
8 6% 82%  
9 12% 76%  
10 3% 63%  
11 4% 60%  
12 6% 56% Last Result, Median
13 6% 50%  
14 11% 43%  
15 12% 33%  
16 15% 21%  
17 4% 7%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.4% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 77% 77% Median
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.9%  
2 0.6% 99.8%  
3 1.5% 99.2%  
4 0.7% 98%  
5 0.8% 97%  
6 0.3% 96%  
7 2% 96%  
8 2% 94%  
9 6% 93%  
10 2% 87%  
11 0.1% 85%  
12 0.1% 85%  
13 0.2% 85%  
14 0.8% 85%  
15 0.7% 84%  
16 0.2% 83%  
17 0.6% 83%  
18 0.9% 83%  
19 3% 82%  
20 4% 79%  
21 1.3% 75%  
22 2% 74%  
23 1.1% 72%  
24 2% 71%  
25 0.8% 69%  
26 1.0% 68%  
27 10% 67%  
28 5% 57%  
29 2% 52% Median
30 2% 49%  
31 0.4% 47%  
32 0.9% 47%  
33 2% 46%  
34 0.1% 44%  
35 0.6% 44% Last Result
36 0.7% 43%  
37 2% 43%  
38 3% 41%  
39 11% 38%  
40 2% 27%  
41 4% 25%  
42 2% 20%  
43 3% 18%  
44 2% 15%  
45 1.3% 13%  
46 0.8% 11%  
47 1.4% 10%  
48 2% 9%  
49 1.3% 7%  
50 3% 6%  
51 0.8% 3%  
52 0.7% 3%  
53 0.2% 2%  
54 1.4% 2%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Median
1 11% 34%  
2 13% 24%  
3 4% 11%  
4 6% 7% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 342 73% 312–368 306–374 297–379 289–387
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 342 72% 311–368 305–373 296–378 288–385
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 318 39% 297–346 291–351 287–355 281–362
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 316 36% 297–346 289–350 286–354 279–362
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 324 47% 298–345 292–350 289–353 282–359
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 314 23% 285–334 280–341 277–345 269–351
Conservative Party 317 312 22% 285–333 280–339 276–344 268–349
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 306 22% 285–332 280–338 278–342 271–349
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 305 20% 285–332 279–338 276–341 271–348
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 289 5% 262–319 258–326 253–334 245–342
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 288 5% 262–318 256–325 251–334 244–342
Labour Party 262 275 0.7% 253–304 247–309 243–319 236–328
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 276 0.7% 254–305 248–312 243–319 237–329

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.5%  
290 0.1% 99.3%  
291 0.1% 99.2%  
292 0.3% 99.1%  
293 0.2% 98.9%  
294 0.4% 98.7%  
295 0.1% 98%  
296 0.7% 98%  
297 0.1% 98%  
298 0.1% 97%  
299 0.8% 97%  
300 0.1% 97%  
301 0.2% 96%  
302 0.1% 96%  
303 0.3% 96%  
304 0.3% 96%  
305 0.3% 95%  
306 1.2% 95%  
307 0.4% 94%  
308 0.2% 94%  
309 0.6% 93%  
310 2% 93%  
311 0.7% 91%  
312 0.2% 90%  
313 0.2% 90%  
314 2% 90%  
315 0.6% 88%  
316 0.6% 87%  
317 1.2% 87%  
318 1.0% 86%  
319 2% 85%  
320 2% 82%  
321 0.5% 81%  
322 1.0% 80%  
323 4% 79%  
324 0.6% 76%  
325 2% 75%  
326 0.3% 73% Majority
327 1.0% 73%  
328 2% 72%  
329 0.8% 70%  
330 0.4% 69%  
331 0.4% 68%  
332 3% 68%  
333 0.6% 65%  
334 1.3% 65%  
335 2% 63%  
336 0.6% 62%  
337 2% 61%  
338 1.3% 59%  
339 1.3% 58%  
340 2% 56%  
341 2% 54% Median
342 7% 52%  
343 1.0% 45%  
344 0.7% 44%  
345 0.3% 44%  
346 3% 43%  
347 2% 40%  
348 1.2% 38%  
349 1.3% 37%  
350 0.6% 35%  
351 3% 35%  
352 0.6% 32%  
353 0.6% 31%  
354 2% 31%  
355 2% 29%  
356 0.5% 27% Last Result
357 2% 26%  
358 0.9% 25%  
359 0.5% 24%  
360 0.5% 23%  
361 2% 23%  
362 0.5% 21%  
363 0.7% 20%  
364 6% 20%  
365 0.2% 14%  
366 1.0% 14%  
367 0.9% 13%  
368 3% 12%  
369 2% 9%  
370 0.8% 8%  
371 0.5% 7%  
372 0.7% 6%  
373 0.6% 6%  
374 0.4% 5%  
375 0.6% 5%  
376 0.2% 4%  
377 0.8% 4%  
378 0.4% 3%  
379 0.3% 3%  
380 0.8% 2%  
381 0.3% 2%  
382 0% 1.3%  
383 0.1% 1.2%  
384 0.2% 1.1%  
385 0.3% 0.9%  
386 0% 0.5%  
387 0.1% 0.5%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.3% 99.5%  
290 0.2% 99.2%  
291 0.1% 99.0%  
292 0% 98.8%  
293 0.2% 98.8%  
294 0.4% 98.6%  
295 0.1% 98%  
296 0.7% 98%  
297 0.1% 97%  
298 0.2% 97%  
299 0.7% 97%  
300 0.2% 96%  
301 0.1% 96%  
302 0.1% 96%  
303 0.5% 96%  
304 0.3% 95%  
305 0.5% 95%  
306 0.9% 95%  
307 0.5% 94%  
308 0.6% 93%  
309 0.1% 93%  
310 2% 93%  
311 0.2% 90%  
312 0.7% 90%  
313 0.6% 89%  
314 1.4% 89%  
315 0.3% 87%  
316 0.6% 87%  
317 3% 86%  
318 1.1% 84%  
319 0.5% 82%  
320 2% 82%  
321 1.0% 80%  
322 0.8% 79%  
323 4% 78%  
324 1.1% 75%  
325 2% 74%  
326 0.8% 72% Majority
327 0.9% 71%  
328 2% 70%  
329 0.2% 69%  
330 0.6% 68%  
331 0.5% 68%  
332 3% 67%  
333 1.0% 65%  
334 0.8% 64%  
335 2% 63%  
336 1.5% 61%  
337 2% 60%  
338 2% 57%  
339 2% 55%  
340 1.0% 54%  
341 2% 53% Median
342 7% 51%  
343 0.7% 44%  
344 2% 43%  
345 2% 42%  
346 2% 40%  
347 2% 38%  
348 0.3% 36%  
349 1.1% 36%  
350 0.8% 35%  
351 3% 34%  
352 0.6% 31% Last Result
353 0.5% 31%  
354 2% 30%  
355 2% 28%  
356 0.8% 26%  
357 1.3% 25%  
358 0.3% 24%  
359 0.6% 23%  
360 0.7% 23%  
361 2% 22%  
362 0.9% 20%  
363 0.6% 19%  
364 5% 18%  
365 0.2% 13%  
366 0.6% 13%  
367 0.9% 12%  
368 5% 12%  
369 0.3% 7%  
370 0.6% 7%  
371 0.3% 6%  
372 0.9% 6%  
373 0.5% 5%  
374 0.1% 5%  
375 0.5% 4%  
376 0.4% 4%  
377 1.0% 3%  
378 0.2% 3%  
379 0.3% 2%  
380 0.6% 2%  
381 0.3% 1.4%  
382 0.1% 1.1%  
383 0.2% 1.0%  
384 0.1% 0.8%  
385 0.3% 0.8%  
386 0% 0.4%  
387 0.2% 0.4%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.2% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.6%  
280 0% 99.6%  
281 0.1% 99.5%  
282 0.2% 99.5%  
283 0.6% 99.3%  
284 0.1% 98.7%  
285 0.2% 98.6%  
286 0.3% 98%  
287 1.3% 98%  
288 0.6% 97%  
289 0.5% 96%  
290 0.4% 96%  
291 0.5% 95%  
292 0.8% 95%  
293 0.5% 94%  
294 0.5% 94%  
295 0.7% 93%  
296 1.3% 92%  
297 2% 91%  
298 2% 89%  
299 0.9% 87%  
300 0.9% 86%  
301 0.6% 85%  
302 2% 85%  
303 3% 83%  
304 2% 80%  
305 6% 78%  
306 3% 72%  
307 2% 70%  
308 0.5% 67%  
309 0.9% 67%  
310 0.7% 66%  
311 1.2% 65%  
312 0.4% 64%  
313 1.5% 64% Last Result
314 2% 62%  
315 8% 61%  
316 2% 53% Median
317 0.6% 51%  
318 2% 50%  
319 0.5% 48%  
320 0.8% 48%  
321 2% 47%  
322 2% 45%  
323 0.3% 43%  
324 2% 43%  
325 2% 41%  
326 0.5% 39% Majority
327 2% 38%  
328 2% 37%  
329 0.9% 35%  
330 3% 34%  
331 2% 31%  
332 2% 29%  
333 1.5% 28%  
334 0.9% 26%  
335 2% 25%  
336 0.9% 23%  
337 0.3% 23%  
338 2% 22%  
339 0.9% 21%  
340 1.2% 20%  
341 2% 18%  
342 1.3% 16%  
343 0.8% 15%  
344 1.4% 14%  
345 0.9% 13%  
346 3% 12%  
347 1.2% 9%  
348 0.4% 8%  
349 1.1% 7%  
350 1.2% 6%  
351 0.4% 5%  
352 0.5% 5%  
353 1.2% 4%  
354 0.3% 3%  
355 0.3% 3%  
356 0.9% 2%  
357 0.3% 1.4%  
358 0.2% 1.1%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.9%  
361 0.1% 0.7%  
362 0.2% 0.7%  
363 0.1% 0.5%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.2% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.6%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.3% 99.4%  
283 0.7% 99.1%  
284 0.1% 98%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 2% 98%  
287 0% 97%  
288 0.9% 97%  
289 0.8% 96%  
290 0.6% 95%  
291 0.4% 94%  
292 0.2% 94%  
293 0.9% 94%  
294 1.0% 93%  
295 0.6% 92%  
296 1.0% 91%  
297 2% 90%  
298 1.5% 88%  
299 0.5% 86%  
300 1.1% 86%  
301 1.2% 85%  
302 1.1% 84%  
303 3% 83%  
304 2% 79%  
305 5% 77%  
306 2% 71%  
307 2% 69%  
308 0.4% 66%  
309 1.1% 66% Last Result
310 0.8% 65%  
311 1.1% 64%  
312 0.3% 63%  
313 1.2% 63%  
314 2% 62%  
315 7% 59%  
316 3% 52% Median
317 1.4% 50%  
318 1.3% 48%  
319 0.4% 47%  
320 1.0% 46%  
321 2% 45%  
322 2% 44%  
323 0.1% 42%  
324 2% 42%  
325 3% 40%  
326 0.8% 36% Majority
327 1.1% 36%  
328 2% 35%  
329 1.0% 33%  
330 2% 32%  
331 1.2% 30%  
332 3% 29%  
333 2% 26%  
334 1.0% 24%  
335 0.8% 23%  
336 0.6% 22%  
337 0.7% 22%  
338 2% 21%  
339 2% 20%  
340 1.0% 17%  
341 0.6% 16%  
342 2% 16%  
343 2% 14%  
344 1.1% 12%  
345 0.3% 11%  
346 3% 11%  
347 0.9% 9%  
348 1.1% 8%  
349 0.7% 7%  
350 1.1% 6%  
351 0.5% 5%  
352 0.6% 4%  
353 1.1% 4%  
354 0.2% 3%  
355 0.2% 2%  
356 1.0% 2%  
357 0.2% 1.1%  
358 0.1% 1.0%  
359 0.1% 0.8%  
360 0.2% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.2% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0% 99.6%  
282 0.2% 99.6%  
283 0.2% 99.4%  
284 0.3% 99.2%  
285 0.6% 98.9%  
286 0.4% 98%  
287 0.1% 98%  
288 0.1% 98%  
289 0.7% 98%  
290 0.6% 97%  
291 0.5% 96%  
292 1.4% 96%  
293 0.5% 94%  
294 2% 94%  
295 1.2% 92%  
296 0.6% 91%  
297 0.4% 90%  
298 1.2% 90%  
299 1.4% 89%  
300 3% 87%  
301 0.7% 85%  
302 3% 84%  
303 1.1% 81%  
304 2% 80%  
305 2% 79%  
306 0.7% 76%  
307 2% 76%  
308 1.2% 74%  
309 0.5% 73%  
310 0.3% 72%  
311 1.3% 72%  
312 2% 70%  
313 2% 69%  
314 1.5% 67%  
315 0.6% 65%  
316 2% 64%  
317 1.0% 63%  
318 3% 62%  
319 3% 59%  
320 3% 57%  
321 0.9% 54%  
322 0.8% 53%  
323 1.1% 52%  
324 2% 51% Median
325 1.4% 49%  
326 2% 47% Majority
327 1.1% 46%  
328 0.6% 44%  
329 7% 44% Last Result
330 0.8% 37%  
331 5% 36%  
332 0.4% 31%  
333 0.5% 31%  
334 5% 31%  
335 3% 26%  
336 0.9% 23%  
337 1.2% 22%  
338 0.8% 21%  
339 1.3% 20%  
340 3% 19%  
341 1.1% 15%  
342 2% 14%  
343 0.7% 12%  
344 0.4% 11%  
345 3% 11%  
346 0.8% 8%  
347 1.1% 8%  
348 0.5% 7%  
349 0.8% 6%  
350 0.4% 5%  
351 1.3% 5%  
352 0.3% 3%  
353 0.8% 3%  
354 0.8% 2%  
355 0.6% 2%  
356 0.1% 0.9%  
357 0.2% 0.9%  
358 0.2% 0.7%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.5%  
361 0% 0.4%  
362 0.2% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0.1% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.2% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.5%  
270 0.1% 99.5%  
271 0.1% 99.3%  
272 0.2% 99.2%  
273 0.2% 99.1%  
274 0.9% 98.9%  
275 0.2% 98%  
276 0.2% 98%  
277 0.7% 98%  
278 1.0% 97%  
279 0.3% 96%  
280 1.0% 96%  
281 0.7% 95%  
282 1.3% 94%  
283 1.1% 93%  
284 0.2% 92%  
285 3% 91%  
286 0.9% 89%  
287 2% 88%  
288 0.6% 86%  
289 2% 85%  
290 0.9% 84%  
291 2% 83%  
292 0.7% 81%  
293 2% 80%  
294 0.5% 78%  
295 0.9% 78%  
296 0.4% 77%  
297 3% 76%  
298 0.7% 74%  
299 3% 73%  
300 2% 71%  
301 0.6% 68%  
302 2% 68%  
303 2% 66%  
304 0.8% 64%  
305 3% 64%  
306 2% 61%  
307 0.5% 59%  
308 2% 58%  
309 1.3% 56%  
310 1.3% 55%  
311 0.6% 54%  
312 1.3% 53% Median
313 0.9% 52%  
314 3% 51%  
315 7% 48%  
316 2% 41%  
317 1.1% 38%  
318 0.4% 37%  
319 1.1% 37%  
320 0.6% 36%  
321 1.3% 35% Last Result
322 0.3% 34%  
323 2% 34%  
324 2% 31%  
325 5% 29%  
326 2% 23% Majority
327 3% 21%  
328 1.1% 17%  
329 0.6% 16%  
330 2% 16%  
331 0.5% 14%  
332 1.2% 14%  
333 2% 12%  
334 1.1% 10%  
335 0.1% 9%  
336 1.4% 9%  
337 0.7% 7%  
338 0.5% 7%  
339 0.3% 6%  
340 0.3% 6%  
341 0.8% 6%  
342 0.8% 5%  
343 0.6% 4%  
344 0.2% 3%  
345 1.4% 3%  
346 0.1% 2%  
347 0.6% 2%  
348 0.3% 1.0%  
349 0.1% 0.7%  
350 0% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0.2% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0.1% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.2% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.4%  
270 0.1% 99.3%  
271 0% 99.2%  
272 0.2% 99.1%  
273 0.3% 98.9%  
274 0.9% 98.6%  
275 0.2% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.9% 97%  
278 0.9% 96%  
279 0.3% 95%  
280 1.0% 95%  
281 1.0% 94%  
282 0.7% 93%  
283 1.3% 92%  
284 0.5% 91%  
285 3% 91%  
286 1.3% 87%  
287 0.5% 86%  
288 0.8% 86%  
289 3% 85%  
290 1.0% 82%  
291 1.0% 81%  
292 0.8% 80%  
293 1.5% 79%  
294 0.7% 78%  
295 2% 77%  
296 0.3% 75%  
297 0.9% 74%  
298 2% 73%  
299 2% 72%  
300 4% 70%  
301 0.7% 66%  
302 2% 66%  
303 2% 64%  
304 0.4% 62%  
305 2% 61%  
306 2% 60%  
307 0.4% 58%  
308 2% 57%  
309 2% 56%  
310 1.2% 54%  
311 0.7% 52%  
312 2% 52% Median
313 0.6% 50%  
314 2% 49%  
315 8% 47%  
316 1.4% 39%  
317 2% 38% Last Result
318 0.3% 36%  
319 1.2% 36%  
320 0.6% 35%  
321 1.1% 34%  
322 0.4% 33%  
323 2% 33%  
324 3% 31%  
325 6% 28%  
326 2% 22% Majority
327 3% 20%  
328 1.4% 17%  
329 1.2% 16%  
330 0.8% 15%  
331 1.0% 14%  
332 1.2% 13%  
333 2% 12%  
334 1.5% 9%  
335 0.2% 8%  
336 0.8% 7%  
337 0.5% 7%  
338 0.6% 6%  
339 0.8% 6%  
340 0.3% 5%  
341 0.3% 5%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.6% 4%  
344 1.3% 3%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.1% 1.5%  
347 0.6% 1.4%  
348 0.2% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0% 0.5%  
351 0% 0.4%  
352 0.2% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0.1% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.2% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.2% 99.5%  
273 0.1% 99.3%  
274 0.1% 99.2%  
275 0.1% 99.1%  
276 1.2% 98.9%  
277 0.2% 98%  
278 1.0% 98%  
279 0.2% 97%  
280 2% 96%  
281 0.4% 95%  
282 0.8% 94%  
283 0.7% 94%  
284 1.3% 93%  
285 2% 92%  
286 1.1% 90%  
287 0.7% 89%  
288 2% 88%  
289 1.0% 86%  
290 3% 85%  
291 2% 81%  
292 0.8% 80%  
293 0.6% 79%  
294 1.3% 79%  
295 3% 77%  
296 5% 74%  
297 0.5% 70%  
298 0.4% 69%  
299 4% 69%  
300 1.1% 64%  
301 7% 63% Last Result
302 0.4% 56%  
303 1.2% 56%  
304 2% 55% Median
305 2% 53%  
306 2% 51%  
307 0.6% 49%  
308 1.2% 48%  
309 0.9% 47%  
310 3% 46%  
311 2% 43%  
312 2% 41%  
313 1.5% 39%  
314 2% 37%  
315 0.4% 36%  
316 0.6% 35%  
317 2% 35%  
318 3% 33%  
319 1.4% 30%  
320 0.4% 28%  
321 0.5% 28%  
322 0.4% 27%  
323 2% 27%  
324 1.3% 25%  
325 2% 24%  
326 1.0% 22% Majority
327 2% 21%  
328 3% 19%  
329 0.3% 16%  
330 0.7% 16%  
331 4% 15%  
332 2% 12%  
333 0.3% 10%  
334 0.5% 10%  
335 1.4% 9%  
336 0.7% 8%  
337 1.3% 7%  
338 1.5% 6%  
339 0.4% 4%  
340 0.9% 4%  
341 0.5% 3%  
342 0.3% 3%  
343 0.1% 2%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.7% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.2%  
347 0.3% 1.0%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0.2% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0.1% 99.6%  
271 0.1% 99.5%  
272 0.2% 99.4%  
273 0.1% 99.2%  
274 0.2% 99.0%  
275 0.4% 98.8%  
276 1.4% 98%  
277 0.2% 97%  
278 0.5% 97%  
279 1.3% 96%  
280 0.7% 95%  
281 0.8% 94%  
282 1.0% 93%  
283 0.3% 92%  
284 0.5% 92%  
285 2% 92%  
286 2% 89%  
287 0.9% 87%  
288 3% 87%  
289 0.4% 84%  
290 2% 83%  
291 2% 81%  
292 0.8% 79%  
293 1.2% 78%  
294 0.6% 77%  
295 3% 77%  
296 5% 74%  
297 0.3% 69% Last Result
298 0.4% 69%  
299 5% 68%  
300 1.1% 64%  
301 8% 63%  
302 1.1% 55%  
303 1.0% 54%  
304 2% 53% Median
305 1.3% 51%  
306 2% 49%  
307 0.5% 47%  
308 0.7% 47%  
309 2% 46%  
310 4% 44%  
311 1.3% 40%  
312 1.2% 39%  
313 0.9% 38%  
314 2% 37%  
315 1.3% 35%  
316 0.7% 34%  
317 3% 33%  
318 2% 30%  
319 0.8% 29%  
320 0.9% 28%  
321 0.4% 27%  
322 0.3% 26%  
323 3% 26%  
324 1.4% 23%  
325 1.4% 22%  
326 3% 20% Majority
327 1.4% 17%  
328 0.4% 16%  
329 0.6% 16%  
330 1.0% 15%  
331 3% 14%  
332 1.3% 11%  
333 0.2% 9%  
334 1.2% 9%  
335 1.0% 8%  
336 0.4% 7%  
337 2% 7%  
338 1.0% 5%  
339 0.3% 4%  
340 1.0% 4%  
341 0.5% 3%  
342 0.3% 2%  
343 0.2% 2%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.6% 2%  
346 0.2% 0.9%  
347 0.2% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.5%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0.1% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.2% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.3% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.2%  
248 0.1% 99.0%  
249 0.2% 98.9%  
250 0.7% 98.7%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0.9% 98%  
254 0.5% 97%  
255 0.6% 96%  
256 0.1% 96%  
257 0.5% 95%  
258 0.8% 95%  
259 0.4% 94%  
260 0.6% 94%  
261 0.1% 93%  
262 3% 93%  
263 2% 90%  
264 0.4% 88%  
265 0.6% 87%  
266 5% 87%  
267 0.8% 82%  
268 0.9% 81%  
269 2% 80%  
270 0.5% 78%  
271 0.8% 78%  
272 0.1% 77%  
273 1.3% 77%  
274 1.1% 75%  
275 2% 74%  
276 2% 72%  
277 0.6% 70%  
278 0.8% 70% Last Result
279 3% 69%  
280 0.6% 66%  
281 1.2% 66%  
282 0.4% 64%  
283 0.6% 64%  
284 3% 63%  
285 2% 60%  
286 1.4% 58%  
287 0.9% 57% Median
288 6% 56%  
289 3% 50%  
290 0.9% 47%  
291 1.0% 46%  
292 3% 45%  
293 2% 43%  
294 2% 41%  
295 2% 40%  
296 1.1% 38%  
297 1.1% 36%  
298 2% 35%  
299 0.7% 33%  
300 0.4% 32%  
301 0.4% 32%  
302 0.8% 31%  
303 1.2% 31%  
304 1.5% 29%  
305 2% 28%  
306 0.3% 26%  
307 2% 26%  
308 3% 24%  
309 1.0% 21%  
310 2% 20%  
311 0.2% 18%  
312 1.4% 18%  
313 3% 17%  
314 0.5% 14%  
315 0.5% 13%  
316 1.4% 13%  
317 0.4% 11%  
318 0.9% 11%  
319 0.2% 10%  
320 2% 10%  
321 0.5% 8%  
322 0.5% 7%  
323 0.2% 7%  
324 1.2% 7%  
325 0.2% 5%  
326 0.6% 5% Majority
327 0.2% 5%  
328 0.4% 4%  
329 0.1% 4%  
330 0.2% 4%  
331 0.6% 4%  
332 0.1% 3%  
333 0.2% 3%  
334 0.3% 3%  
335 0.6% 2%  
336 0.1% 2%  
337 0.4% 2%  
338 0.2% 1.3%  
339 0.1% 1.2%  
340 0.3% 1.1%  
341 0.1% 0.8%  
342 0.2% 0.7%  
343 0% 0.5%  
344 0.1% 0.5%  
345 0% 0.4%  
346 0.1% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.2% 99.7%  
244 0% 99.5%  
245 0.1% 99.5%  
246 0.4% 99.4%  
247 0.1% 98.9%  
248 0.1% 98.8%  
249 0.2% 98.8%  
250 0.9% 98.5%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.4% 97%  
253 0.8% 97%  
254 0.2% 96%  
255 0.7% 96%  
256 0.4% 95%  
257 0.4% 95%  
258 0.8% 95%  
259 0.6% 94%  
260 0.7% 93%  
261 0.2% 92%  
262 4% 92%  
263 0.7% 88%  
264 0.7% 87%  
265 0.7% 87%  
266 5% 86%  
267 0.8% 81%  
268 0.5% 80%  
269 2% 79%  
270 0.5% 78%  
271 0.6% 77%  
272 0.8% 76%  
273 2% 76%  
274 0.7% 74% Last Result
275 2% 73%  
276 2% 71%  
277 0.9% 70%  
278 0.7% 69%  
279 3% 68%  
280 0.3% 65%  
281 1.0% 65%  
282 1.4% 64%  
283 2% 63%  
284 3% 60%  
285 0.5% 57%  
286 0.7% 57%  
287 0.9% 56% Median
288 6% 55%  
289 3% 49%  
290 2% 46%  
291 0.6% 44%  
292 1.1% 43%  
293 2% 42%  
294 1.1% 40%  
295 1.4% 38%  
296 2% 37%  
297 0.7% 35%  
298 2% 35%  
299 0.6% 32%  
300 0.2% 32%  
301 0.9% 31%  
302 0.9% 31%  
303 2% 30%  
304 1.0% 28%  
305 2% 27%  
306 0.5% 25%  
307 2% 25%  
308 3% 23%  
309 0.4% 20%  
310 2% 19%  
311 2% 18%  
312 1.3% 16%  
313 1.1% 14%  
314 0.5% 13%  
315 0.8% 13%  
316 1.5% 12%  
317 0.5% 11%  
318 0.2% 10%  
319 0.6% 10%  
320 2% 9%  
321 1.0% 8%  
322 0.2% 7%  
323 0.2% 6%  
324 1.2% 6%  
325 0.5% 5%  
326 0.4% 5% Majority
327 0% 4%  
328 0.4% 4%  
329 0.1% 4%  
330 0.2% 4%  
331 0.6% 3%  
332 0.3% 3%  
333 0.1% 3%  
334 0.2% 3%  
335 0.5% 2%  
336 0.1% 2%  
337 0.4% 2%  
338 0.4% 1.3%  
339 0% 0.9%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.7%  
342 0.2% 0.6%  
343 0% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0.1% 0.3%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.2% 99.6%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0% 99.4%  
239 0.2% 99.3%  
240 0.4% 99.1%  
241 0.6% 98.8%  
242 0.6% 98%  
243 0.7% 98%  
244 0.6% 97%  
245 0.9% 96%  
246 0.1% 95%  
247 0.4% 95%  
248 1.2% 95%  
249 2% 94%  
250 0.6% 91%  
251 0.3% 91%  
252 0.5% 91%  
253 0.2% 90%  
254 1.3% 90%  
255 3% 89%  
256 0.6% 85%  
257 7% 85%  
258 0.9% 78%  
259 0.8% 77%  
260 1.3% 76%  
261 0.6% 75%  
262 2% 74% Last Result
263 0.5% 72%  
264 0.4% 72%  
265 1.1% 72%  
266 0.7% 70%  
267 0.9% 70%  
268 4% 69%  
269 1.1% 65%  
270 0.2% 64%  
271 0.3% 63%  
272 4% 63%  
273 2% 59%  
274 7% 57%  
275 2% 51% Median
276 2% 49%  
277 2% 47%  
278 2% 45%  
279 0.4% 43%  
280 0.5% 42%  
281 0.7% 42%  
282 0.2% 41%  
283 2% 41%  
284 1.4% 39%  
285 0.2% 38%  
286 3% 38%  
287 2% 35%  
288 0.4% 33%  
289 1.2% 32%  
290 2% 31%  
291 2% 29%  
292 2% 27%  
293 3% 25%  
294 1.4% 22%  
295 3% 21%  
296 0.6% 18%  
297 1.4% 17%  
298 0.9% 16%  
299 0.2% 15%  
300 0% 15%  
301 0.4% 15%  
302 2% 14%  
303 0.8% 13%  
304 2% 12%  
305 0.8% 10%  
306 0.7% 9%  
307 0.8% 8%  
308 1.4% 7%  
309 1.2% 6%  
310 0.1% 5%  
311 0% 5%  
312 0% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 0% 4%  
315 0.7% 4%  
316 0.1% 4%  
317 0.5% 4%  
318 0.2% 3%  
319 0.7% 3%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.5% 2%  
322 0.4% 1.4%  
323 0.2% 1.0%  
324 0% 0.8%  
325 0.1% 0.8%  
326 0% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.7%  
328 0.2% 0.7%  
329 0.2% 0.4%  
330 0.1% 0.3%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.2% 99.7%  
238 0% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.5%  
240 0.2% 99.3%  
241 0.6% 99.1%  
242 0.6% 98.5%  
243 0.9% 98%  
244 0.3% 97%  
245 0.5% 97%  
246 0.4% 96%  
247 0.7% 96%  
248 1.1% 95%  
249 2% 94%  
250 0.3% 92%  
251 0.2% 92%  
252 0.6% 91%  
253 0.4% 91%  
254 1.1% 90%  
255 3% 89%  
256 2% 87%  
257 7% 85%  
258 0.2% 79%  
259 1.0% 78%  
260 1.4% 77%  
261 1.1% 76%  
262 2% 75%  
263 0.8% 73%  
264 0.6% 72%  
265 0.4% 72%  
266 0.5% 71% Last Result
267 1.0% 71%  
268 2% 70%  
269 0.9% 68%  
270 3% 67%  
271 0.7% 64%  
272 4% 64%  
273 2% 60%  
274 6% 58%  
275 2% 52% Median
276 0.4% 50%  
277 2% 50%  
278 2% 48%  
279 2% 45%  
280 1.0% 44%  
281 0.5% 43%  
282 0.6% 42%  
283 0.7% 42%  
284 1.4% 41%  
285 2% 40%  
286 2% 38%  
287 2% 36%  
288 1.0% 34%  
289 1.0% 33%  
290 1.3% 32%  
291 2% 30%  
292 2% 28%  
293 2% 26%  
294 2% 24%  
295 1.0% 23%  
296 2% 22%  
297 4% 20%  
298 0.5% 16%  
299 0.6% 16%  
300 0.2% 15%  
301 0.5% 15%  
302 2% 15%  
303 0.9% 13%  
304 2% 12%  
305 0.4% 10%  
306 0.9% 10%  
307 0.6% 9%  
308 0.7% 8%  
309 2% 8%  
310 0.6% 6%  
311 0.1% 5%  
312 0.1% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 0.1% 5%  
315 0.7% 5%  
316 0.1% 4%  
317 0.5% 4%  
318 0.1% 3%  
319 0.6% 3%  
320 0.4% 2%  
321 0.5% 2%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.1% 1.4%  
324 0.5% 1.3%  
325 0.1% 0.8%  
326 0% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.7%  
328 0.1% 0.7%  
329 0.1% 0.5%  
330 0.3% 0.5%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0.1% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations