Opinion Poll by Survation, 8–10 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 41.0% 39.4–42.6% 39.0–43.1% 38.6–43.5% 37.9–44.2%
Labour Party 40.0% 40.0% 38.4–41.6% 38.0–42.1% 37.6–42.4% 36.9–43.2%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 304 277–329 275–333 268–336 261–344
Labour Party 262 273 247–299 239–307 238–315 230–324
Liberal Democrats 12 16 12–20 10–21 8–22 6–25
Scottish National Party 35 35 13–49 8–49 6–51 2–54
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–6 4–8 3–8

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.7%  
260 0.1% 99.6%  
261 0.2% 99.5%  
262 0% 99.3%  
263 0% 99.3%  
264 0% 99.3%  
265 0.3% 99.2%  
266 0.4% 98.9%  
267 0.4% 98.6%  
268 0.8% 98%  
269 0.3% 97%  
270 0.6% 97%  
271 0.2% 97%  
272 0.5% 96%  
273 0.6% 96%  
274 0.1% 95%  
275 5% 95%  
276 0.6% 91%  
277 0.9% 90%  
278 2% 89%  
279 0.1% 87%  
280 0.2% 87%  
281 0.4% 87%  
282 1.0% 87%  
283 0.2% 86%  
284 0.8% 85%  
285 1.2% 85%  
286 2% 83%  
287 4% 81%  
288 0.1% 77%  
289 0.5% 77%  
290 2% 77%  
291 2% 75%  
292 2% 72%  
293 0.3% 70%  
294 0.4% 70%  
295 1.1% 69%  
296 0.1% 68%  
297 0.5% 68%  
298 8% 67%  
299 2% 60%  
300 4% 57%  
301 0.4% 53%  
302 0.2% 53%  
303 0.3% 52%  
304 3% 52% Median
305 0.3% 49%  
306 2% 49%  
307 0.8% 47%  
308 0.9% 46%  
309 2% 45%  
310 0.4% 44%  
311 1.0% 43%  
312 0.8% 42%  
313 6% 41%  
314 2% 36%  
315 0.3% 34%  
316 0.4% 33%  
317 4% 33% Last Result
318 1.0% 29%  
319 0.2% 28%  
320 0.5% 28%  
321 2% 28%  
322 0.1% 25%  
323 0.8% 25%  
324 1.0% 24%  
325 5% 23%  
326 3% 19% Majority
327 2% 16%  
328 4% 14%  
329 0.9% 10%  
330 0.8% 9%  
331 0.2% 8%  
332 0.1% 8%  
333 3% 8%  
334 0.2% 5%  
335 0.7% 4%  
336 1.2% 4%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.6% 2%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.5% 1.3%  
342 0.2% 0.9%  
343 0.1% 0.7%  
344 0.1% 0.6%  
345 0% 0.5%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.4% 99.6%  
231 0% 99.3%  
232 0.1% 99.2%  
233 0% 99.2%  
234 0% 99.2%  
235 0.1% 99.1%  
236 0.6% 99.1%  
237 0.3% 98.5%  
238 1.4% 98%  
239 3% 97%  
240 0.1% 94%  
241 0.1% 94%  
242 0.1% 94%  
243 3% 94%  
244 0.2% 91%  
245 0.6% 91%  
246 0.3% 90%  
247 0.4% 90%  
248 0.5% 90%  
249 4% 89%  
250 0.4% 85%  
251 4% 85%  
252 1.2% 81%  
253 2% 79%  
254 0.5% 78%  
255 1.0% 77%  
256 2% 76%  
257 0.4% 74%  
258 0.3% 74%  
259 2% 74%  
260 4% 72%  
261 4% 68%  
262 2% 64% Last Result
263 2% 62%  
264 0.3% 60%  
265 1.3% 60%  
266 0.5% 58%  
267 1.3% 58%  
268 0.2% 56%  
269 0.5% 56%  
270 0.2% 56%  
271 0.2% 56%  
272 5% 55%  
273 1.1% 51% Median
274 3% 50%  
275 5% 47%  
276 0.8% 42%  
277 0.5% 41%  
278 1.0% 41%  
279 3% 40%  
280 0.2% 37%  
281 0.3% 37%  
282 0.2% 36%  
283 0% 36%  
284 2% 36%  
285 2% 34%  
286 2% 32%  
287 4% 30%  
288 2% 26%  
289 0.5% 24%  
290 0.6% 23%  
291 0.3% 23%  
292 3% 23%  
293 0.5% 19%  
294 1.4% 19%  
295 0.8% 17%  
296 1.1% 16%  
297 0.3% 15%  
298 0.1% 15%  
299 5% 15%  
300 0.5% 10%  
301 1.0% 9%  
302 0.6% 8%  
303 0.1% 8%  
304 0.8% 8%  
305 0.8% 7%  
306 0.9% 6%  
307 0.2% 5%  
308 0.3% 5%  
309 0.3% 5%  
310 0.7% 4%  
311 0.1% 4%  
312 0.3% 4%  
313 0.1% 3%  
314 0.6% 3%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.1% 2%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.6% 1.3%  
321 0.1% 0.7%  
322 0.1% 0.7%  
323 0% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.5%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0.1% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0.1% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0.3% 99.9%  
6 0.2% 99.6%  
7 0.5% 99.3%  
8 2% 98.8%  
9 0.6% 97%  
10 2% 96%  
11 3% 94%  
12 7% 92% Last Result
13 3% 85%  
14 8% 82%  
15 23% 74%  
16 15% 52% Median
17 17% 37%  
18 6% 20%  
19 3% 14%  
20 5% 11%  
21 2% 6%  
22 2% 4%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.2% 1.1%  
25 0.6% 0.9%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.5% 99.8%  
3 0.7% 99.3%  
4 0.1% 98.6%  
5 0.8% 98%  
6 1.3% 98%  
7 0.9% 96%  
8 0.7% 95%  
9 3% 95%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0.2% 92%  
13 6% 92%  
14 0.1% 86%  
15 0.2% 86%  
16 0.6% 86%  
17 0.1% 85%  
18 0.7% 85%  
19 2% 85%  
20 1.3% 83%  
21 2% 82%  
22 3% 80%  
23 8% 76%  
24 0.5% 68%  
25 0.5% 68%  
26 3% 67%  
27 0.4% 64%  
28 2% 64%  
29 1.4% 62%  
30 1.2% 60%  
31 0.2% 59%  
32 1.2% 59%  
33 0.1% 58%  
34 0.3% 57%  
35 8% 57% Last Result, Median
36 1.1% 50%  
37 0.2% 48%  
38 4% 48%  
39 5% 44%  
40 13% 39%  
41 2% 26%  
42 1.4% 24%  
43 2% 23%  
44 5% 21%  
45 0.6% 16%  
46 2% 16%  
47 1.5% 14%  
48 2% 12%  
49 6% 10%  
50 0.6% 5%  
51 1.5% 4%  
52 0.4% 2%  
53 1.1% 2%  
54 0.7% 1.0%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.3% 100%  
3 0.5% 99.7%  
4 14% 99.2% Last Result
5 78% 86% Median
6 5% 8%  
7 0.5% 3%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 343 76% 315–370 305–376 298–378 290–386
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 338 67% 310–365 300–371 293–373 285–381
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 326 51% 302–354 298–356 295–363 287–370
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 321 47% 298–349 292–352 289–358 282–366
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 318 43% 295–345 290–350 286–352 278–361
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 312 24% 286–336 281–341 278–345 270–353
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 309 27% 282–333 279–339 273–342 265–349
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 307 16% 281–332 277–336 273–341 265–349
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 293 7% 266–321 260–331 258–338 250–345
Conservative Party 317 304 19% 277–329 275–333 268–336 261–344
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 288 6% 261–316 255–326 253–333 245–340
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 279 0.7% 252–304 244–312 243–320 235–328
Labour Party 262 273 0.3% 247–299 239–307 238–315 230–324

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0% 100%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.2% 99.5%  
292 0% 99.2%  
293 0% 99.2%  
294 0.1% 99.2%  
295 0.8% 99.1%  
296 0.5% 98%  
297 0% 98%  
298 0.3% 98%  
299 0.1% 97%  
300 0.1% 97%  
301 0.2% 97%  
302 0.1% 97%  
303 0.3% 97%  
304 0.8% 97%  
305 1.4% 96%  
306 0% 94%  
307 0.2% 94%  
308 0.1% 94%  
309 0.7% 94%  
310 2% 93%  
311 0.2% 92%  
312 0.1% 92%  
313 0.9% 91%  
314 0.3% 90%  
315 0.7% 90%  
316 4% 89%  
317 0.9% 85%  
318 0.4% 84%  
319 0.6% 84%  
320 0.5% 83%  
321 0.8% 83%  
322 1.2% 82%  
323 0.2% 81%  
324 4% 81%  
325 0.7% 77%  
326 2% 76% Majority
327 4% 74%  
328 0.2% 70%  
329 3% 70%  
330 0.4% 67%  
331 0.6% 67%  
332 3% 66%  
333 0.1% 63%  
334 0.6% 63%  
335 2% 62%  
336 0.9% 60%  
337 2% 59%  
338 0.1% 58%  
339 0.8% 58%  
340 0.1% 57%  
341 5% 57%  
342 1.3% 52%  
343 3% 51%  
344 3% 48% Median
345 0.9% 45%  
346 0.4% 44%  
347 0.3% 43%  
348 0.7% 43%  
349 1.3% 43%  
350 0.5% 41%  
351 0.7% 41%  
352 0.4% 40%  
353 5% 40%  
354 1.2% 34%  
355 0.1% 33%  
356 4% 33% Last Result
357 2% 29%  
358 0.4% 27%  
359 0.2% 27%  
360 3% 27%  
361 2% 24%  
362 2% 22%  
363 1.0% 20%  
364 2% 19%  
365 1.3% 17%  
366 0.1% 16%  
367 0.2% 16%  
368 0.7% 15%  
369 0.9% 15%  
370 5% 14%  
371 3% 9%  
372 0% 7%  
373 0.2% 7%  
374 0.6% 6%  
375 0.8% 6%  
376 2% 5%  
377 0.4% 3%  
378 0.3% 3%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.1% 2%  
381 0.8% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.2%  
383 0.1% 1.1%  
384 0% 1.0%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0.4% 0.9%  
387 0.1% 0.5%  
388 0% 0.4%  
389 0.2% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0.1% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.7%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.2% 99.6%  
286 0.1% 99.5%  
287 0.2% 99.4%  
288 0.1% 99.2%  
289 0.1% 99.2%  
290 0.7% 99.0%  
291 0.6% 98%  
292 0% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.1% 97%  
295 0.1% 97%  
296 0.2% 97%  
297 0.1% 97%  
298 0.3% 97%  
299 0.6% 97%  
300 2% 96%  
301 0% 94%  
302 0.2% 94%  
303 0% 94%  
304 0.7% 94%  
305 1.1% 93%  
306 0.8% 92%  
307 0.4% 92%  
308 0.5% 91%  
309 0.3% 91%  
310 0.9% 90%  
311 4% 90%  
312 1.0% 85%  
313 0.4% 84%  
314 0.5% 84%  
315 0.3% 83%  
316 1.1% 83%  
317 1.1% 82%  
318 0.6% 81%  
319 3% 80%  
320 0.2% 77%  
321 3% 77%  
322 4% 74%  
323 0.2% 70%  
324 1.3% 70%  
325 2% 69%  
326 2% 67% Majority
327 2% 65%  
328 0.3% 63%  
329 0.2% 63%  
330 1.1% 62%  
331 2% 61%  
332 2% 59%  
333 0.1% 58%  
334 0.1% 58%  
335 1.0% 58%  
336 5% 57%  
337 1.3% 52%  
338 3% 51%  
339 3% 47% Median
340 0.2% 45%  
341 1.0% 44%  
342 0.2% 43%  
343 1.1% 43%  
344 1.2% 42%  
345 0.1% 41%  
346 0.7% 41%  
347 0.6% 40%  
348 5% 40%  
349 1.3% 34%  
350 0.1% 33%  
351 4% 33%  
352 0.2% 29% Last Result
353 2% 29%  
354 0.2% 27%  
355 3% 27%  
356 2% 24%  
357 2% 22%  
358 1.0% 20%  
359 2% 19%  
360 0.9% 17%  
361 0.5% 16%  
362 0.4% 16%  
363 1.4% 15%  
364 0.3% 14%  
365 5% 14%  
366 2% 9%  
367 0% 7%  
368 0.2% 7%  
369 0.6% 6%  
370 0.8% 6%  
371 2% 5%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.4% 3%  
374 0.2% 2%  
375 0.1% 2%  
376 0.8% 2%  
377 0.1% 1.2%  
378 0% 1.1%  
379 0.2% 1.0%  
380 0.2% 0.8%  
381 0.2% 0.6%  
382 0% 0.4%  
383 0% 0.4%  
384 0.2% 0.3%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0.1% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0.1% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.5%  
288 0.1% 99.4%  
289 0.2% 99.2%  
290 0.3% 99.0%  
291 0.2% 98.7%  
292 0.6% 98%  
293 0.1% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 1.5% 98%  
296 0.5% 96%  
297 0.3% 96%  
298 3% 95%  
299 0.2% 92%  
300 0.2% 92%  
301 0.8% 92%  
302 0.9% 91%  
303 4% 90%  
304 2% 86%  
305 2% 84%  
306 5% 81%  
307 1.0% 77%  
308 0.8% 76%  
309 0.2% 75%  
310 3% 75%  
311 0.1% 72%  
312 0.2% 72%  
313 1.4% 72% Last Result
314 3% 70%  
315 0.7% 67%  
316 0.4% 67%  
317 2% 66%  
318 6% 64%  
319 0.8% 59%  
320 1.2% 58%  
321 0.4% 57%  
322 2% 56%  
323 0.8% 55%  
324 0.9% 54%  
325 2% 53%  
326 1.5% 51% Majority
327 1.3% 49%  
328 0.4% 48%  
329 0.1% 48% Median
330 0.6% 47%  
331 4% 47%  
332 3% 43%  
333 7% 40%  
334 0.4% 32%  
335 0.4% 32%  
336 0.9% 32%  
337 0.3% 31%  
338 0.3% 30%  
339 2% 30%  
340 2% 28%  
341 2% 25%  
342 0.5% 23%  
343 0.6% 23%  
344 4% 22%  
345 2% 19%  
346 1.2% 17%  
347 0.9% 15%  
348 0.7% 14%  
349 0.5% 14%  
350 0.5% 13%  
351 0.1% 13%  
352 0% 13%  
353 2% 13%  
354 0.8% 11%  
355 0.6% 10%  
356 4% 9%  
357 0.1% 5%  
358 0.6% 5%  
359 0.5% 4%  
360 0.2% 4%  
361 0.5% 3%  
362 0.3% 3%  
363 0.8% 3%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.4% 1.4%  
366 0.3% 1.1%  
367 0% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.7%  
369 0% 0.7%  
370 0.2% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0% 99.5%  
282 0.2% 99.5%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 0.4% 99.2%  
285 0.2% 98.8%  
286 0.3% 98.6%  
287 0.4% 98%  
288 0.3% 98%  
289 0.1% 98%  
290 2% 97%  
291 0.5% 96%  
292 1.0% 95%  
293 3% 94%  
294 0.1% 92%  
295 0.1% 92%  
296 0.8% 91%  
297 0.5% 91%  
298 5% 90%  
299 1.5% 86%  
300 3% 84%  
301 5% 81%  
302 2% 77%  
303 0.1% 75%  
304 0.3% 75%  
305 2% 75%  
306 0.9% 72%  
307 0.1% 72%  
308 2% 71%  
309 2% 69% Last Result
310 0.4% 67%  
311 0.6% 67%  
312 0.3% 66%  
313 7% 66%  
314 0.2% 59%  
315 2% 58%  
316 0.5% 57%  
317 2% 56%  
318 0.8% 54%  
319 0.8% 54%  
320 2% 53%  
321 2% 51%  
322 1.2% 49%  
323 0.4% 48%  
324 0.2% 47% Median
325 0.4% 47%  
326 4% 47% Majority
327 2% 43%  
328 8% 41%  
329 0.2% 33%  
330 0.5% 32%  
331 1.3% 32%  
332 0.2% 31%  
333 0.2% 30%  
334 2% 30%  
335 0.9% 28%  
336 4% 27%  
337 0.2% 23%  
338 0.6% 23%  
339 4% 22%  
340 2% 19%  
341 1.4% 17%  
342 0.9% 15%  
343 0.8% 14%  
344 0.5% 14%  
345 0.3% 13%  
346 0.2% 13%  
347 0.1% 13%  
348 0.7% 13%  
349 2% 12%  
350 0.7% 10%  
351 4% 9%  
352 0.6% 5%  
353 0.6% 5%  
354 0.4% 4%  
355 0% 4%  
356 0.4% 4%  
357 0.3% 3%  
358 0.9% 3%  
359 0.4% 2%  
360 0.2% 1.4%  
361 0.5% 1.2%  
362 0% 0.8%  
363 0% 0.7%  
364 0.1% 0.7%  
365 0% 0.6%  
366 0.2% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0.1% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.2% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.6%  
278 0.2% 99.5%  
279 0% 99.4%  
280 0% 99.3%  
281 0.3% 99.3%  
282 0.4% 99.0%  
283 0.3% 98.5%  
284 0.4% 98%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 0.5% 98%  
287 0.8% 97%  
288 0.1% 96%  
289 0.2% 96%  
290 4% 96%  
291 0.4% 92%  
292 1.2% 92%  
293 0.4% 91%  
294 0.4% 91%  
295 1.4% 90%  
296 0.2% 89%  
297 2% 88%  
298 0.7% 87%  
299 1.0% 86%  
300 0.3% 85%  
301 2% 85%  
302 3% 83%  
303 0.1% 79%  
304 0.4% 79%  
305 3% 79%  
306 2% 76%  
307 0.6% 74%  
308 1.5% 74%  
309 0.3% 72%  
310 2% 72%  
311 0.8% 69%  
312 4% 69%  
313 0.3% 65%  
314 5% 64%  
315 2% 59%  
316 0.4% 57%  
317 6% 57%  
318 1.1% 51%  
319 1.0% 50%  
320 0.4% 49% Median
321 0.7% 48%  
322 0.1% 48%  
323 3% 48%  
324 0.4% 44%  
325 1.1% 44%  
326 0.5% 43% Majority
327 1.0% 42%  
328 0.6% 41%  
329 3% 41% Last Result
330 4% 37%  
331 0.5% 33%  
332 2% 32%  
333 1.0% 30%  
334 1.4% 29%  
335 2% 28%  
336 1.0% 26%  
337 4% 25%  
338 0.3% 21%  
339 0.3% 20%  
340 1.1% 20%  
341 1.5% 19%  
342 0.7% 18%  
343 5% 17%  
344 0.4% 11%  
345 2% 11%  
346 0.1% 9%  
347 1.2% 9%  
348 0.5% 8%  
349 2% 7%  
350 1.2% 5%  
351 0.1% 4%  
352 2% 4%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 1.0% 2%  
355 0.3% 1.2%  
356 0.1% 0.9%  
357 0.1% 0.8%  
358 0.1% 0.7%  
359 0% 0.6%  
360 0% 0.6%  
361 0.2% 0.5%  
362 0.1% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.2% 99.6%  
271 0% 99.5%  
272 0.1% 99.4%  
273 0% 99.3%  
274 0.1% 99.3%  
275 0.1% 99.2%  
276 0.3% 99.1%  
277 1.0% 98.8%  
278 0.5% 98%  
279 1.1% 97%  
280 0.1% 96%  
281 1.2% 96%  
282 2% 95%  
283 0.5% 93%  
284 1.2% 92%  
285 0.1% 91%  
286 2% 91%  
287 0.2% 89%  
288 6% 89%  
289 1.1% 83%  
290 1.0% 82%  
291 1.1% 81%  
292 0.4% 80%  
293 0.5% 79%  
294 4% 79%  
295 1.0% 75%  
296 2% 74%  
297 1.0% 72%  
298 1.0% 71%  
299 2% 70%  
300 0.8% 68%  
301 4% 67% Last Result
302 4% 62%  
303 0.5% 59%  
304 0.7% 58%  
305 0.7% 58%  
306 0.9% 57%  
307 0.4% 56%  
308 3% 56%  
309 0.5% 52%  
310 0.4% 52%  
311 0.4% 52%  
312 2% 51%  
313 0.4% 49% Median
314 6% 49%  
315 0.6% 43%  
316 2% 43%  
317 5% 40%  
318 0.4% 36%  
319 4% 35%  
320 1.0% 31%  
321 2% 30%  
322 0.2% 28%  
323 1.5% 28%  
324 0.6% 26%  
325 2% 26%  
326 3% 24% Majority
327 0.5% 21%  
328 0.1% 21%  
329 3% 21%  
330 2% 17%  
331 0.4% 15%  
332 0.8% 15%  
333 1.2% 14%  
334 1.3% 13%  
335 0.2% 11%  
336 1.4% 11%  
337 0.4% 10%  
338 0.5% 9%  
339 1.2% 9%  
340 0.3% 8%  
341 4% 7%  
342 0.1% 4%  
343 0.1% 4%  
344 0.8% 4%  
345 0.5% 3%  
346 0.2% 2%  
347 0.4% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.4% 1.5%  
350 0.3% 1.0%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0% 0.7%  
353 0.2% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.2% 0.3%  
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.2% 99.6%  
266 0.1% 99.4%  
267 0% 99.3%  
268 0% 99.3%  
269 0% 99.3%  
270 0.5% 99.2%  
271 0.2% 98.7%  
272 0.5% 98.6%  
273 0.9% 98%  
274 0.3% 97%  
275 0.4% 97%  
276 0% 96%  
277 0.4% 96%  
278 0.6% 96%  
279 0.6% 95%  
280 4% 95%  
281 0.6% 91%  
282 2% 90%  
283 0.7% 88%  
284 0% 87%  
285 0.1% 87%  
286 0.3% 87%  
287 1.0% 87%  
288 0.4% 86%  
289 0.8% 85%  
290 1.4% 85%  
291 2% 83%  
292 4% 81%  
293 0.2% 77%  
294 0.3% 77%  
295 3% 77%  
296 0.9% 73%  
297 2% 72%  
298 0.3% 70%  
299 0.6% 70%  
300 0.9% 69%  
301 0.5% 68%  
302 0.3% 68%  
303 9% 67%  
304 2% 59%  
305 4% 57%  
306 0.2% 53%  
307 0.3% 53%  
308 0.4% 52%  
309 2% 52% Median
310 0.7% 50%  
311 2% 49%  
312 0.8% 47%  
313 1.0% 46%  
314 2% 45%  
315 0.3% 44%  
316 2% 43%  
317 0.2% 42%  
318 7% 41%  
319 0.7% 34%  
320 0.5% 34%  
321 0.1% 33% Last Result
322 2% 33%  
323 2% 31%  
324 0.1% 29%  
325 1.2% 28%  
326 2% 27% Majority
327 0.3% 25%  
328 0.1% 25%  
329 2% 25%  
330 5% 23%  
331 3% 18%  
332 1.3% 16%  
333 5% 14%  
334 0.5% 10%  
335 0.8% 9%  
336 0.2% 9%  
337 0.1% 8%  
338 3% 8%  
339 1.0% 6%  
340 0.8% 5%  
341 1.2% 4%  
342 0.1% 3%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.4% 2%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.3% 1.4%  
347 0.3% 1.1%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0.2% 0.7%  
350 0% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0.1% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.2% 99.6%  
266 0% 99.4%  
267 0.1% 99.4%  
268 0% 99.3%  
269 0.1% 99.3%  
270 0.2% 99.1%  
271 0.2% 98.9%  
272 0.9% 98.7%  
273 0.5% 98%  
274 1.3% 97%  
275 0.8% 96%  
276 0.1% 95%  
277 2% 95%  
278 0.6% 93%  
279 1.2% 92%  
280 0.1% 91%  
281 2% 91%  
282 0.1% 89%  
283 5% 89%  
284 0.4% 83%  
285 2% 83%  
286 1.1% 81%  
287 0.5% 80%  
288 0.6% 79%  
289 4% 79%  
290 0.8% 75%  
291 2% 74%  
292 2% 72%  
293 1.2% 70%  
294 1.5% 69%  
295 0.6% 67%  
296 4% 67%  
297 2% 62% Last Result
298 2% 60%  
299 0.8% 58%  
300 0.5% 58%  
301 0.5% 57%  
302 0.9% 57%  
303 4% 56%  
304 0.4% 52%  
305 0.6% 52%  
306 0.1% 51%  
307 2% 51%  
308 0.4% 49% Median
309 5% 49%  
310 0.2% 43%  
311 1.2% 43%  
312 6% 42%  
313 1.1% 36%  
314 3% 34%  
315 1.0% 32%  
316 3% 31%  
317 0.1% 28%  
318 0.2% 28%  
319 2% 28%  
320 2% 26%  
321 3% 24%  
322 0.4% 21%  
323 0.1% 21%  
324 3% 21%  
325 2% 17%  
326 0.9% 16% Majority
327 0.8% 15%  
328 1.1% 14%  
329 0.9% 13%  
330 0.7% 12%  
331 0.9% 11%  
332 0.9% 10%  
333 0.5% 9%  
334 0.5% 9%  
335 0.8% 8%  
336 4% 8%  
337 0% 4%  
338 0.3% 4%  
339 0.7% 4%  
340 0.3% 3%  
341 0.4% 3%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.4% 1.4%  
345 0.1% 1.0%  
346 0.2% 0.9%  
347 0% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.2% 0.5%  
350 0.1% 0.3%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.2% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.7%  
249 0% 99.6%  
250 0.2% 99.6%  
251 0.2% 99.4%  
252 0.2% 99.2%  
253 0% 99.0%  
254 0.1% 98.9%  
255 0.8% 98.8%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0.5% 98%  
259 0.2% 97%  
260 2% 97%  
261 0.8% 95%  
262 0.7% 94%  
263 0.1% 93%  
264 0% 93%  
265 2% 93%  
266 5% 91%  
267 0.5% 86%  
268 1.1% 86%  
269 0.4% 85%  
270 1.2% 84%  
271 0.2% 83%  
272 2% 83%  
273 1.1% 81%  
274 2% 80%  
275 2% 78%  
276 3% 76%  
277 0.2% 73%  
278 2% 73% Last Result
279 0.3% 71%  
280 4% 71%  
281 0.4% 67%  
282 1.1% 67%  
283 5% 66%  
284 1.0% 60%  
285 0.3% 59%  
286 1.0% 59%  
287 0.5% 58%  
288 0.8% 58%  
289 0.2% 57%  
290 1.0% 57%  
291 0.6% 56%  
292 3% 55%  
293 3% 52%  
294 1.2% 49% Median
295 5% 48%  
296 0.9% 43%  
297 0.1% 42%  
298 0.3% 42%  
299 1.4% 42%  
300 2% 41%  
301 0.7% 38%  
302 0.2% 37%  
303 0.4% 37%  
304 2% 37%  
305 2% 35%  
306 3% 33%  
307 0.9% 31%  
308 0.3% 30%  
309 4% 30%  
310 3% 26%  
311 0.3% 23%  
312 3% 23%  
313 0.6% 20%  
314 1.3% 19%  
315 0.9% 18%  
316 0.3% 17%  
317 0.5% 17%  
318 0.4% 16%  
319 1.0% 16%  
320 4% 15%  
321 0.9% 10%  
322 0.5% 10%  
323 0.3% 9%  
324 0.4% 9%  
325 1.3% 8%  
326 0.6% 7% Majority
327 0.7% 7%  
328 0.1% 6%  
329 0.2% 6%  
330 0% 6%  
331 2% 6%  
332 0.6% 4%  
333 0.3% 3%  
334 0.2% 3%  
335 0.1% 3%  
336 0.1% 3%  
337 0.1% 3%  
338 0.3% 3%  
339 0% 2%  
340 0.7% 2%  
341 0.7% 2%  
342 0.1% 1.0%  
343 0.1% 0.8%  
344 0.2% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0.1% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.7%  
260 0.1% 99.6%  
261 0.2% 99.5%  
262 0% 99.3%  
263 0% 99.3%  
264 0% 99.3%  
265 0.3% 99.2%  
266 0.4% 98.9%  
267 0.4% 98.6%  
268 0.8% 98%  
269 0.3% 97%  
270 0.6% 97%  
271 0.2% 97%  
272 0.5% 96%  
273 0.6% 96%  
274 0.1% 95%  
275 5% 95%  
276 0.6% 91%  
277 0.9% 90%  
278 2% 89%  
279 0.1% 87%  
280 0.2% 87%  
281 0.4% 87%  
282 1.0% 87%  
283 0.2% 86%  
284 0.8% 85%  
285 1.2% 85%  
286 2% 83%  
287 4% 81%  
288 0.1% 77%  
289 0.5% 77%  
290 2% 77%  
291 2% 75%  
292 2% 72%  
293 0.3% 70%  
294 0.4% 70%  
295 1.1% 69%  
296 0.1% 68%  
297 0.5% 68%  
298 8% 67%  
299 2% 60%  
300 4% 57%  
301 0.4% 53%  
302 0.2% 53%  
303 0.3% 52%  
304 3% 52% Median
305 0.3% 49%  
306 2% 49%  
307 0.8% 47%  
308 0.9% 46%  
309 2% 45%  
310 0.4% 44%  
311 1.0% 43%  
312 0.8% 42%  
313 6% 41%  
314 2% 36%  
315 0.3% 34%  
316 0.4% 33%  
317 4% 33% Last Result
318 1.0% 29%  
319 0.2% 28%  
320 0.5% 28%  
321 2% 28%  
322 0.1% 25%  
323 0.8% 25%  
324 1.0% 24%  
325 5% 23%  
326 3% 19% Majority
327 2% 16%  
328 4% 14%  
329 0.9% 10%  
330 0.8% 9%  
331 0.2% 8%  
332 0.1% 8%  
333 3% 8%  
334 0.2% 5%  
335 0.7% 4%  
336 1.2% 4%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.6% 2%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.5% 1.3%  
342 0.2% 0.9%  
343 0.1% 0.7%  
344 0.1% 0.6%  
345 0% 0.5%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0.2% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.6%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.4% 99.5%  
246 0.2% 99.1%  
247 0% 99.0%  
248 0.1% 99.0%  
249 0.1% 98.9%  
250 0.8% 98.8%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0.3% 98%  
254 0.4% 97%  
255 2% 97%  
256 0.7% 95%  
257 0.7% 94%  
258 0.1% 93%  
259 0% 93%  
260 3% 93%  
261 5% 91%  
262 1.1% 86%  
263 0.5% 85%  
264 0.2% 85%  
265 0.8% 84%  
266 0.6% 84%  
267 2% 83%  
268 1.1% 81%  
269 2% 80%  
270 2% 78%  
271 3% 76%  
272 0.2% 73%  
273 0.4% 73%  
274 2% 73% Last Result
275 4% 71%  
276 0.3% 67%  
277 1.1% 67%  
278 5% 66%  
279 0.4% 60%  
280 1.1% 60%  
281 1.0% 59%  
282 0.6% 58%  
283 0.4% 57%  
284 0.2% 57%  
285 0.4% 57%  
286 0.9% 56%  
287 3% 55%  
288 3% 52%  
289 1.2% 49% Median
290 5% 48%  
291 0.2% 43%  
292 0.7% 43%  
293 0.2% 42%  
294 1.4% 42%  
295 1.3% 41%  
296 2% 39%  
297 0.5% 38%  
298 0.1% 37%  
299 3% 37%  
300 0.6% 34%  
301 0.7% 33%  
302 3% 33%  
303 0.3% 30%  
304 4% 30%  
305 2% 26%  
306 0.7% 24%  
307 4% 23%  
308 0.2% 19%  
309 1.2% 19%  
310 1.0% 18%  
311 0.3% 17%  
312 0.6% 17%  
313 0.4% 16%  
314 0.9% 16%  
315 4% 15%  
316 0.7% 11%  
317 0.5% 10%  
318 0.7% 9%  
319 0.1% 9%  
320 0.7% 8%  
321 1.2% 8%  
322 0.7% 7%  
323 0.1% 6%  
324 0.2% 6%  
325 0% 6%  
326 1.4% 6% Majority
327 0.9% 4%  
328 0.3% 3%  
329 0.2% 3%  
330 0.1% 3%  
331 0.1% 3%  
332 0.1% 3%  
333 0.3% 3%  
334 0% 2%  
335 0.6% 2%  
336 0.8% 2%  
337 0.1% 0.9%  
338 0.1% 0.8%  
339 0% 0.8%  
340 0.3% 0.8%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.3% 99.7%  
236 0.1% 99.4%  
237 0% 99.2%  
238 0% 99.2%  
239 0% 99.2%  
240 0.1% 99.2%  
241 0.5% 99.1%  
242 0.5% 98.6%  
243 1.0% 98%  
244 3% 97%  
245 0.1% 94%  
246 0.1% 94%  
247 0.1% 94%  
248 2% 94%  
249 1.3% 92%  
250 0.2% 91%  
251 0.2% 90%  
252 0.4% 90%  
253 0.6% 90%  
254 4% 89%  
255 0.6% 85%  
256 4% 85%  
257 0.4% 81%  
258 3% 80%  
259 0.5% 78%  
260 1.0% 77%  
261 2% 76%  
262 0.3% 74%  
263 2% 74%  
264 0% 72%  
265 4% 72%  
266 5% 68% Last Result
267 2% 64%  
268 2% 62%  
269 1.1% 60%  
270 0.4% 59%  
271 0.7% 58%  
272 0.9% 58%  
273 0.2% 57%  
274 0.4% 57%  
275 0.1% 56%  
276 0.3% 56%  
277 5% 56%  
278 0.4% 51% Median
279 4% 50%  
280 5% 47%  
281 0.5% 42%  
282 0.9% 41%  
283 3% 40%  
284 0.5% 38%  
285 0.2% 37%  
286 0.4% 37%  
287 0.1% 36%  
288 0.6% 36%  
289 0.2% 36%  
290 5% 36%  
291 0.3% 30%  
292 4% 30%  
293 2% 26%  
294 0.7% 24%  
295 0.4% 23%  
296 0.2% 23%  
297 3% 23%  
298 0.4% 19%  
299 2% 19%  
300 0.5% 17%  
301 0.8% 16%  
302 0.4% 15%  
303 0% 15%  
304 5% 15%  
305 0.6% 10%  
306 1.2% 9%  
307 0.1% 8%  
308 1.0% 8%  
309 0.3% 7%  
310 0.7% 7%  
311 1.0% 6%  
312 0.4% 5%  
313 0.1% 5%  
314 0.2% 5%  
315 0.7% 4%  
316 0.1% 4%  
317 0.3% 4%  
318 0.2% 3%  
319 0.5% 3%  
320 0.5% 3%  
321 0.1% 2%  
322 0.1% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.3% 2%  
325 0.6% 1.3%  
326 0.2% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.6%  
328 0.1% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.5%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.4% 99.6%  
231 0% 99.3%  
232 0.1% 99.2%  
233 0% 99.2%  
234 0% 99.2%  
235 0.1% 99.1%  
236 0.6% 99.1%  
237 0.3% 98.5%  
238 1.4% 98%  
239 3% 97%  
240 0.1% 94%  
241 0.1% 94%  
242 0.1% 94%  
243 3% 94%  
244 0.2% 91%  
245 0.6% 91%  
246 0.3% 90%  
247 0.4% 90%  
248 0.5% 90%  
249 4% 89%  
250 0.4% 85%  
251 4% 85%  
252 1.2% 81%  
253 2% 79%  
254 0.5% 78%  
255 1.0% 77%  
256 2% 76%  
257 0.4% 74%  
258 0.3% 74%  
259 2% 74%  
260 4% 72%  
261 4% 68%  
262 2% 64% Last Result
263 2% 62%  
264 0.3% 60%  
265 1.3% 60%  
266 0.5% 58%  
267 1.3% 58%  
268 0.2% 56%  
269 0.5% 56%  
270 0.2% 56%  
271 0.2% 56%  
272 5% 55%  
273 1.1% 51% Median
274 3% 50%  
275 5% 47%  
276 0.8% 42%  
277 0.5% 41%  
278 1.0% 41%  
279 3% 40%  
280 0.2% 37%  
281 0.3% 37%  
282 0.2% 36%  
283 0% 36%  
284 2% 36%  
285 2% 34%  
286 2% 32%  
287 4% 30%  
288 2% 26%  
289 0.5% 24%  
290 0.6% 23%  
291 0.3% 23%  
292 3% 23%  
293 0.5% 19%  
294 1.4% 19%  
295 0.8% 17%  
296 1.1% 16%  
297 0.3% 15%  
298 0.1% 15%  
299 5% 15%  
300 0.5% 10%  
301 1.0% 9%  
302 0.6% 8%  
303 0.1% 8%  
304 0.8% 8%  
305 0.8% 7%  
306 0.9% 6%  
307 0.2% 5%  
308 0.3% 5%  
309 0.3% 5%  
310 0.7% 4%  
311 0.1% 4%  
312 0.3% 4%  
313 0.1% 3%  
314 0.6% 3%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.1% 2%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.6% 1.3%  
321 0.1% 0.7%  
322 0.1% 0.7%  
323 0% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.5%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0.1% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0.1% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations