Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 13–14 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 43.0% 41.5–44.6% 41.0–45.1% 40.6–45.5% 39.9–46.2%
Labour Party 40.0% 38.0% 36.5–39.6% 36.0–40.0% 35.7–40.4% 34.9–41.1%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
Green Party 1.6% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 334 317–350 303–356 296–360 291–369
Labour Party 262 254 231–273 229–284 221–295 213–303
Liberal Democrats 12 20 16–24 15–25 15–26 13–28
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 35 19 6–38 3–40 0–41 0–48
Plaid Cymru 4 3 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.6%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.3% 99.4%  
293 0% 99.1%  
294 0% 99.1%  
295 0.2% 99.1%  
296 1.3% 98.8%  
297 0.2% 97%  
298 0% 97%  
299 0% 97%  
300 0.3% 97%  
301 0.4% 97%  
302 0.8% 97%  
303 0.9% 96%  
304 0.1% 95%  
305 0.6% 95%  
306 0.3% 94%  
307 0.1% 94%  
308 0% 94%  
309 0.1% 94%  
310 0.2% 94%  
311 0.3% 94%  
312 0.6% 93%  
313 0.4% 93%  
314 0.2% 92%  
315 0.4% 92%  
316 2% 92%  
317 3% 90% Last Result
318 0.1% 87%  
319 0.2% 87%  
320 0.2% 87%  
321 0.5% 86%  
322 0.5% 86%  
323 0.1% 85%  
324 2% 85%  
325 0.4% 83%  
326 3% 83% Majority
327 12% 80%  
328 1.4% 68%  
329 1.1% 66%  
330 0.5% 65%  
331 2% 65%  
332 5% 63%  
333 3% 58%  
334 10% 55% Median
335 2% 45%  
336 3% 43%  
337 0.3% 40%  
338 2% 40%  
339 1.5% 38%  
340 2% 37%  
341 5% 35%  
342 5% 30%  
343 0.8% 25%  
344 0.3% 24%  
345 6% 24%  
346 0.3% 18%  
347 0.6% 17%  
348 3% 17%  
349 1.2% 14%  
350 5% 13%  
351 0.5% 8%  
352 1.2% 7%  
353 0.1% 6%  
354 0.5% 6%  
355 0.2% 5%  
356 1.2% 5%  
357 0.1% 4%  
358 0.2% 4%  
359 0% 4%  
360 2% 4%  
361 0% 2%  
362 0% 2%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.3%  
365 0.2% 1.1%  
366 0.3% 0.9%  
367 0% 0.6%  
368 0% 0.6%  
369 0.1% 0.5%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0% 0.4%  
372 0% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
208 0% 100%  
209 0.1% 99.9%  
210 0.3% 99.8%  
211 0% 99.6%  
212 0% 99.5%  
213 0% 99.5%  
214 0% 99.5%  
215 0% 99.5%  
216 0.1% 99.5%  
217 0% 99.4%  
218 0.1% 99.4%  
219 0.8% 99.3%  
220 0.2% 98.6%  
221 2% 98%  
222 0.3% 97%  
223 0% 97%  
224 0% 96%  
225 0.4% 96%  
226 0.2% 96%  
227 0.2% 96%  
228 0.3% 96%  
229 3% 95%  
230 2% 93%  
231 1.5% 91%  
232 3% 90%  
233 0.4% 87%  
234 0.9% 87%  
235 0.1% 86%  
236 0.1% 85%  
237 0.3% 85%  
238 0.3% 85%  
239 1.4% 85%  
240 4% 83%  
241 2% 80%  
242 1.1% 77%  
243 5% 76%  
244 1.4% 71%  
245 3% 70%  
246 2% 67%  
247 0.8% 65%  
248 0.4% 64%  
249 1.0% 64%  
250 4% 62%  
251 3% 59%  
252 3% 56%  
253 2% 53%  
254 0.7% 51% Median
255 2% 50%  
256 1.2% 48%  
257 0.3% 47%  
258 0.8% 47%  
259 3% 46%  
260 0.9% 43%  
261 2% 43%  
262 4% 41% Last Result
263 3% 37%  
264 2% 34%  
265 18% 32%  
266 1.3% 14%  
267 0.6% 13%  
268 0.2% 12%  
269 0.3% 12%  
270 0.5% 12%  
271 0.2% 11%  
272 0.4% 11%  
273 1.0% 11%  
274 2% 10%  
275 0.4% 7%  
276 0.6% 7%  
277 0.4% 6%  
278 0.1% 6%  
279 0.1% 6%  
280 0.2% 6%  
281 0% 6%  
282 0.1% 6%  
283 0.3% 5%  
284 0.1% 5%  
285 0.4% 5%  
286 1.5% 5%  
287 0.2% 3%  
288 0% 3%  
289 0.1% 3%  
290 0% 3%  
291 0% 3%  
292 0% 3%  
293 0.2% 3%  
294 0% 3%  
295 0.9% 3%  
296 0% 2%  
297 0.1% 2%  
298 0.6% 2%  
299 0.1% 1.0%  
300 0.1% 0.9%  
301 0.1% 0.7%  
302 0% 0.6%  
303 0.1% 0.6%  
304 0% 0.5%  
305 0.1% 0.5%  
306 0% 0.4%  
307 0.1% 0.4%  
308 0% 0.3%  
309 0.1% 0.3%  
310 0% 0.2%  
311 0.1% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.1% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.8%  
11 0.1% 99.7%  
12 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
13 0.5% 99.5%  
14 0.4% 99.0%  
15 4% 98.5%  
16 7% 95%  
17 11% 88%  
18 10% 77%  
19 12% 68%  
20 6% 55% Median
21 7% 50%  
22 29% 43%  
23 2% 14%  
24 6% 12%  
25 1.2% 6%  
26 2% 4%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.6% 0.9%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0.4% 96%  
2 0.6% 96%  
3 3% 95%  
4 1.2% 93%  
5 1.3% 91%  
6 3% 90%  
7 13% 88%  
8 1.3% 75%  
9 0.2% 74%  
10 0.1% 73%  
11 0.7% 73%  
12 0.4% 73%  
13 0.1% 72%  
14 0.5% 72%  
15 10% 72%  
16 0.1% 62%  
17 4% 61%  
18 2% 58%  
19 7% 55% Median
20 1.5% 48%  
21 6% 47%  
22 0% 40%  
23 6% 40%  
24 0.7% 34%  
25 0.1% 33%  
26 5% 33%  
27 0.6% 29%  
28 0.3% 28%  
29 4% 28%  
30 0.8% 24%  
31 0.5% 23%  
32 4% 22%  
33 0% 18%  
34 0.3% 18%  
35 0.3% 18% Last Result
36 1.1% 18%  
37 0.7% 17%  
38 7% 16%  
39 2% 9%  
40 3% 7%  
41 2% 4%  
42 0.4% 2%  
43 0.2% 2%  
44 0.2% 1.5%  
45 0.3% 1.3%  
46 0.2% 1.0%  
47 0.1% 0.8%  
48 0.4% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 5% 85%  
2 26% 80%  
3 33% 53% Median
4 12% 20% Last Result
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 356 95% 340–382 327–383 315–392 305–400
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 354 95% 336–379 325–382 312–389 303–397
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 356 95% 338–369 327–373 318–378 312–387
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 337 86% 319–353 306–357 299–363 292–372
Conservative Party 317 334 83% 317–350 303–356 296–360 291–369
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 297 6% 281–314 275–328 271–334 262–340
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 294 4% 278–312 274–325 268–332 259–338
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 277 0.6% 252–295 249–306 242–319 234–327
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 275 0.5% 249–291 248–304 239–315 231–326
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 275 0.3% 262–293 258–304 253–313 244–319
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 273 0.1% 259–291 255–302 250–311 241–318
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 256 0% 234–273 230–286 224–296 216–305
Labour Party 262 254 0% 231–273 229–284 221–295 213–303

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0% 99.8%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0% 99.7%  
303 0.1% 99.7%  
304 0% 99.6%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.1% 99.5%  
307 0% 99.4%  
308 0% 99.3%  
309 0.7% 99.3%  
310 0% 98.6%  
311 0.2% 98.6%  
312 0.6% 98%  
313 0.1% 98%  
314 0.2% 98%  
315 0.2% 98%  
316 0% 97%  
317 0.1% 97%  
318 0.2% 97%  
319 0% 97%  
320 0% 97%  
321 0.1% 97%  
322 0.3% 97%  
323 0% 97%  
324 1.3% 97%  
325 0.1% 95%  
326 0.2% 95% Majority
327 0.3% 95%  
328 0.1% 95%  
329 0.1% 95%  
330 0.6% 95%  
331 0.2% 94%  
332 0.6% 94%  
333 0.2% 93%  
334 0% 93%  
335 0.5% 93%  
336 1.4% 92%  
337 0.2% 91%  
338 0.6% 91%  
339 0.1% 90%  
340 2% 90%  
341 0.1% 88%  
342 0.2% 88%  
343 2% 88%  
344 16% 86%  
345 1.5% 70%  
346 3% 68%  
347 0.4% 66%  
348 0.3% 65%  
349 1.2% 65%  
350 0.4% 64%  
351 4% 63%  
352 0.2% 59%  
353 4% 59%  
354 1.5% 55%  
355 4% 54%  
356 0.8% 50% Last Result, Median
357 3% 49%  
358 1.2% 47%  
359 2% 46%  
360 6% 44%  
361 0.5% 38%  
362 0.1% 37%  
363 0.8% 37%  
364 0.9% 36%  
365 0.7% 35%  
366 6% 35%  
367 4% 29%  
368 1.3% 25%  
369 1.3% 24%  
370 0.5% 23%  
371 1.1% 22%  
372 5% 21%  
373 0.5% 16%  
374 0.2% 15%  
375 0.4% 15%  
376 0.3% 15%  
377 0.6% 14%  
378 1.1% 14%  
379 0.4% 13%  
380 1.1% 12%  
381 0.1% 11%  
382 4% 11%  
383 3% 8%  
384 0.4% 5%  
385 0.5% 4%  
386 0.2% 4%  
387 0.3% 4%  
388 0% 3%  
389 0.1% 3%  
390 0.1% 3%  
391 0.1% 3%  
392 1.4% 3%  
393 0.4% 2%  
394 0% 1.2%  
395 0.5% 1.1%  
396 0.1% 0.7%  
397 0% 0.6%  
398 0% 0.6%  
399 0% 0.6%  
400 0.1% 0.5%  
401 0.1% 0.4%  
402 0.3% 0.4%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0.1% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0% 99.7%  
301 0.1% 99.7%  
302 0.1% 99.6%  
303 0% 99.5%  
304 0.1% 99.5%  
305 0% 99.4%  
306 0% 99.4%  
307 0.1% 99.3%  
308 0.7% 99.3%  
309 0.7% 98.6%  
310 0.1% 98%  
311 0.3% 98%  
312 0% 98%  
313 0% 97%  
314 0.2% 97%  
315 0.1% 97%  
316 0.1% 97%  
317 0.1% 97%  
318 0% 97%  
319 0% 97%  
320 0% 97%  
321 0.4% 97%  
322 1.2% 96%  
323 0% 95%  
324 0.1% 95%  
325 0.3% 95%  
326 0.2% 95% Majority
327 0.5% 95%  
328 0.1% 94%  
329 0.7% 94%  
330 0.1% 93%  
331 0% 93%  
332 0.2% 93%  
333 0.5% 93%  
334 0.3% 92%  
335 0.8% 92%  
336 1.4% 91%  
337 2% 90%  
338 0.2% 88%  
339 0.2% 88%  
340 2% 88%  
341 7% 86%  
342 11% 80%  
343 0.3% 69%  
344 0.9% 69%  
345 1.0% 68%  
346 4% 67%  
347 0.6% 63%  
348 0.1% 63%  
349 5% 63%  
350 3% 57%  
351 0.8% 55%  
352 3% 54% Last Result
353 0.1% 51% Median
354 2% 51%  
355 5% 49%  
356 2% 45%  
357 0.2% 42%  
358 1.1% 42%  
359 2% 41%  
360 3% 39%  
361 1.0% 36%  
362 0.3% 35%  
363 8% 35%  
364 2% 27%  
365 1.1% 25%  
366 0.7% 24%  
367 1.3% 24%  
368 0.9% 22%  
369 4% 21%  
370 0.4% 17%  
371 0.4% 17%  
372 1.1% 16%  
373 0.6% 15%  
374 0.7% 14%  
375 1.2% 14%  
376 0.2% 13%  
377 0.1% 12%  
378 0.1% 12%  
379 4% 12%  
380 3% 8%  
381 0.1% 5%  
382 0.9% 5%  
383 0.3% 4%  
384 0.3% 4%  
385 0.3% 4%  
386 0.1% 3%  
387 0.2% 3%  
388 0.1% 3%  
389 1.4% 3%  
390 0.4% 2%  
391 0.3% 1.2%  
392 0.1% 0.9%  
393 0% 0.8%  
394 0.1% 0.8%  
395 0.2% 0.7%  
396 0% 0.5%  
397 0.1% 0.5%  
398 0% 0.4%  
399 0% 0.4%  
400 0% 0.4%  
401 0% 0.4%  
402 0.2% 0.3%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.6%  
309 0% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.6%  
311 0.1% 99.6%  
312 0% 99.5%  
313 0% 99.5%  
314 0.1% 99.5%  
315 0.3% 99.4%  
316 0.3% 99.1%  
317 1.2% 98.7%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.3% 97%  
320 0.1% 97%  
321 0.1% 97%  
322 0.2% 97%  
323 0.1% 97%  
324 1.3% 97%  
325 0.2% 95%  
326 0% 95% Majority
327 0.1% 95%  
328 0.7% 95%  
329 0.2% 94% Last Result
330 0.3% 94%  
331 0.2% 94%  
332 0.4% 93%  
333 0.2% 93%  
334 0.4% 93%  
335 0.6% 92%  
336 0.5% 92%  
337 1.1% 91%  
338 1.1% 90%  
339 2% 89%  
340 0.7% 87%  
341 0.8% 86%  
342 0.2% 85%  
343 1.3% 85%  
344 0.8% 84%  
345 0.2% 83%  
346 2% 83%  
347 0.4% 81%  
348 3% 80%  
349 11% 77%  
350 4% 66%  
351 3% 62%  
352 2% 59%  
353 0.9% 56%  
354 1.3% 55% Median
355 4% 54%  
356 9% 51%  
357 6% 41%  
358 2% 36%  
359 1.4% 34%  
360 3% 32%  
361 1.2% 30%  
362 3% 28%  
363 1.0% 26%  
364 6% 25%  
365 0.4% 18%  
366 1.4% 18%  
367 1.2% 17%  
368 2% 15%  
369 4% 13%  
370 1.2% 9%  
371 2% 8%  
372 0.4% 7%  
373 2% 6%  
374 0.1% 4%  
375 0.3% 4%  
376 0% 4%  
377 0.1% 4%  
378 2% 4%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 1.4%  
382 0.2% 1.3%  
383 0% 1.1%  
384 0.1% 1.1%  
385 0.4% 1.0%  
386 0.1% 0.6%  
387 0.1% 0.5%  
388 0.1% 0.4%  
389 0% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.3%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.7%  
291 0% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.3% 99.5%  
294 0% 99.2%  
295 0.1% 99.2%  
296 0.1% 99.1%  
297 0.3% 99.0%  
298 1.1% 98.8%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.1% 97%  
301 0% 97%  
302 0% 97%  
303 0.8% 97%  
304 0.7% 96%  
305 0.1% 96%  
306 1.2% 96%  
307 0.3% 95%  
308 0.1% 94%  
309 0.2% 94%  
310 0.1% 94%  
311 0.1% 94%  
312 0.2% 94%  
313 0.1% 94%  
314 0.2% 94%  
315 1.0% 93%  
316 1.1% 92%  
317 0.8% 91%  
318 0.3% 90%  
319 2% 90%  
320 0.6% 88%  
321 0.3% 87% Last Result
322 0.6% 87%  
323 0.2% 86%  
324 0.5% 86%  
325 0.1% 86%  
326 2% 86% Majority
327 1.5% 84%  
328 1.0% 82%  
329 10% 81%  
330 1.1% 71%  
331 3% 70%  
332 2% 67%  
333 0.7% 65%  
334 6% 64%  
335 4% 58%  
336 2% 54%  
337 9% 53% Median
338 1.5% 43%  
339 2% 42%  
340 3% 40%  
341 1.2% 37%  
342 1.0% 36%  
343 0.3% 35%  
344 2% 35%  
345 7% 33%  
346 1.3% 26%  
347 0.9% 24%  
348 4% 23%  
349 3% 19%  
350 3% 16%  
351 0.5% 13%  
352 1.1% 13%  
353 5% 12%  
354 1.2% 7%  
355 0.1% 6%  
356 0.7% 6%  
357 0.5% 5%  
358 0.5% 5%  
359 0.1% 4%  
360 0.6% 4%  
361 0.2% 3%  
362 0.1% 3%  
363 2% 3%  
364 0% 1.5%  
365 0% 1.5%  
366 0.4% 1.4%  
367 0.3% 1.0%  
368 0.1% 0.7%  
369 0.1% 0.6%  
370 0% 0.6%  
371 0% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0.1% 0.5%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0.1% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.6%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.3% 99.4%  
293 0% 99.1%  
294 0% 99.1%  
295 0.2% 99.1%  
296 1.3% 98.8%  
297 0.2% 97%  
298 0% 97%  
299 0% 97%  
300 0.3% 97%  
301 0.4% 97%  
302 0.8% 97%  
303 0.9% 96%  
304 0.1% 95%  
305 0.6% 95%  
306 0.3% 94%  
307 0.1% 94%  
308 0% 94%  
309 0.1% 94%  
310 0.2% 94%  
311 0.3% 94%  
312 0.6% 93%  
313 0.4% 93%  
314 0.2% 92%  
315 0.4% 92%  
316 2% 92%  
317 3% 90% Last Result
318 0.1% 87%  
319 0.2% 87%  
320 0.2% 87%  
321 0.5% 86%  
322 0.5% 86%  
323 0.1% 85%  
324 2% 85%  
325 0.4% 83%  
326 3% 83% Majority
327 12% 80%  
328 1.4% 68%  
329 1.1% 66%  
330 0.5% 65%  
331 2% 65%  
332 5% 63%  
333 3% 58%  
334 10% 55% Median
335 2% 45%  
336 3% 43%  
337 0.3% 40%  
338 2% 40%  
339 1.5% 38%  
340 2% 37%  
341 5% 35%  
342 5% 30%  
343 0.8% 25%  
344 0.3% 24%  
345 6% 24%  
346 0.3% 18%  
347 0.6% 17%  
348 3% 17%  
349 1.2% 14%  
350 5% 13%  
351 0.5% 8%  
352 1.2% 7%  
353 0.1% 6%  
354 0.5% 6%  
355 0.2% 5%  
356 1.2% 5%  
357 0.1% 4%  
358 0.2% 4%  
359 0% 4%  
360 2% 4%  
361 0% 2%  
362 0% 2%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.3%  
365 0.2% 1.1%  
366 0.3% 0.9%  
367 0% 0.6%  
368 0% 0.6%  
369 0.1% 0.5%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0% 0.4%  
372 0% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.8%  
259 0% 99.7%  
260 0% 99.7%  
261 0.1% 99.6%  
262 0.1% 99.5%  
263 0% 99.5%  
264 0% 99.4%  
265 0.4% 99.4%  
266 0.3% 99.1%  
267 0.1% 98.8%  
268 0.3% 98.7%  
269 0% 98%  
270 0% 98%  
271 2% 98%  
272 0% 96%  
273 0.2% 96%  
274 0% 96%  
275 1.2% 96%  
276 0.1% 95%  
277 0.5% 95%  
278 0.1% 94%  
279 1.2% 94%  
280 0.6% 93%  
281 5% 92%  
282 1.2% 87%  
283 3% 86%  
284 0.5% 83%  
285 0.7% 83%  
286 6% 82%  
287 0.5% 76%  
288 0.8% 76%  
289 5% 75%  
290 5% 70%  
291 2% 65%  
292 2% 63%  
293 2% 62%  
294 0.9% 60%  
295 3% 59%  
296 0.9% 56% Median
297 10% 55%  
298 3% 45%  
299 6% 42%  
300 1.1% 36%  
301 0.4% 35%  
302 1.1% 35%  
303 1.5% 34%  
304 13% 32%  
305 2% 19%  
306 0.5% 17%  
307 2% 16%  
308 0.1% 15%  
309 0.8% 15%  
310 0.2% 14%  
311 0.2% 14%  
312 0.2% 13%  
313 0.1% 13% Last Result
314 3% 13%  
315 2% 10%  
316 0.3% 8%  
317 0.2% 8%  
318 0.5% 8%  
319 0.6% 7%  
320 0.2% 7%  
321 0.2% 6%  
322 0.1% 6%  
323 0% 6%  
324 0.1% 6%  
325 0.3% 6%  
326 0.6% 6% Majority
327 0% 5%  
328 2% 5%  
329 0.1% 3%  
330 0.4% 3%  
331 0.3% 3%  
332 0% 3%  
333 0% 3%  
334 0.2% 3%  
335 1.3% 2%  
336 0.2% 1.2%  
337 0% 0.9%  
338 0% 0.9%  
339 0.3% 0.9%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.4%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.1% 99.5%  
260 0% 99.5%  
261 0% 99.5%  
262 0.1% 99.4%  
263 0.3% 99.4%  
264 0.2% 99.1%  
265 0.4% 99.0%  
266 0% 98.6%  
267 0% 98.5%  
268 2% 98.5%  
269 0% 97%  
270 0.2% 97%  
271 0.6% 96%  
272 0.2% 96%  
273 0.5% 96%  
274 0.4% 95%  
275 0.7% 95%  
276 0.2% 94%  
277 1.2% 94%  
278 5% 93%  
279 1.1% 88%  
280 0.5% 87%  
281 3% 87%  
282 3% 84%  
283 4% 80%  
284 0.5% 76%  
285 1.3% 76%  
286 7% 74%  
287 2% 67%  
288 0.3% 65%  
289 1.3% 65%  
290 0.9% 64%  
291 3% 63%  
292 2% 60%  
293 1.0% 58% Median
294 10% 57%  
295 3% 47%  
296 2% 44%  
297 6% 42%  
298 0.6% 36%  
299 2% 35%  
300 3% 33%  
301 1.3% 30%  
302 11% 29%  
303 0.6% 18%  
304 2% 18%  
305 2% 16%  
306 0.5% 14%  
307 0.2% 14%  
308 0.2% 14%  
309 0.5% 13% Last Result
310 0.3% 13%  
311 0.6% 13%  
312 2% 12%  
313 0.2% 10%  
314 0.8% 10%  
315 1.3% 9%  
316 0.8% 7%  
317 0.2% 7%  
318 0.1% 6%  
319 0.2% 6%  
320 0.1% 6%  
321 0.1% 6%  
322 0.2% 6%  
323 0.1% 6%  
324 0.4% 6%  
325 1.1% 5%  
326 0.1% 4% Majority
327 1.4% 4%  
328 0.1% 3%  
329 0% 3%  
330 0% 3%  
331 0.1% 3%  
332 0.2% 3%  
333 1.1% 2%  
334 0.3% 1.2%  
335 0.1% 1.0%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0% 0.8%  
338 0.3% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0% 0.4%  
341 0% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.2% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.7%  
231 0% 99.6%  
232 0% 99.6%  
233 0% 99.6%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0% 99.5%  
236 0.2% 99.5%  
237 0.1% 99.3%  
238 0% 99.2%  
239 0.1% 99.2%  
240 0.3% 99.1%  
241 0.4% 98.8%  
242 1.4% 98%  
243 0.1% 97%  
244 0.2% 97%  
245 0.1% 97%  
246 0.3% 97%  
247 0.3% 96%  
248 0.3% 96%  
249 0.9% 96%  
250 0.1% 95%  
251 3% 95%  
252 4% 92%  
253 0.1% 88%  
254 0.3% 88%  
255 0.1% 87%  
256 1.2% 87%  
257 0.7% 86%  
258 0.6% 85%  
259 1.1% 85%  
260 0.4% 84%  
261 0.4% 83%  
262 5% 83%  
263 1.4% 78%  
264 0.8% 77%  
265 0.6% 76%  
266 1.3% 76%  
267 3% 74%  
268 7% 72%  
269 0.4% 65%  
270 0.9% 65%  
271 3% 64%  
272 3% 61%  
273 0.3% 58%  
274 0.2% 58%  
275 2% 58%  
276 5% 55%  
277 2% 51% Median
278 0.1% 49% Last Result
279 3% 49%  
280 0.6% 46%  
281 3% 45%  
282 5% 42%  
283 0.1% 37%  
284 0.6% 37%  
285 4% 37%  
286 0.8% 33%  
287 1.0% 32%  
288 0.6% 31%  
289 10% 31%  
290 7% 20%  
291 2% 14%  
292 0.2% 12%  
293 0.2% 12%  
294 2% 12%  
295 1.4% 10%  
296 0.8% 9%  
297 0.4% 8%  
298 0.4% 7%  
299 0.2% 7%  
300 0% 7%  
301 0.3% 7%  
302 0.5% 7%  
303 0.1% 6%  
304 0.5% 6%  
305 0.3% 5%  
306 0.3% 5%  
307 0% 5%  
308 0% 5%  
309 1.2% 5%  
310 0.4% 4%  
311 0% 3%  
312 0% 3%  
313 0% 3%  
314 0% 3%  
315 0.2% 3%  
316 0.2% 3%  
317 0% 3%  
318 0% 3%  
319 0.1% 3%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.1% 2%  
322 1.4% 2%  
323 0% 0.7%  
324 0% 0.7%  
325 0% 0.7%  
326 0% 0.6% Majority
327 0.1% 0.6%  
328 0% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.5%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0.1% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.3% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.6%  
231 0.1% 99.6%  
232 0% 99.5%  
233 0% 99.4%  
234 0% 99.4%  
235 0.1% 99.4%  
236 0.4% 99.3%  
237 0% 98.9%  
238 0.4% 98.8%  
239 1.4% 98%  
240 0.1% 97%  
241 0.1% 97%  
242 0.1% 97%  
243 0% 97%  
244 0.4% 97%  
245 0.2% 96%  
246 0.5% 96%  
247 0.4% 96%  
248 3% 95%  
249 4% 92%  
250 0.1% 89%  
251 1.2% 89%  
252 0.3% 88%  
253 1.1% 87%  
254 0.6% 86%  
255 0.3% 86%  
256 0.4% 85%  
257 0.2% 85%  
258 0.6% 85%  
259 5% 84%  
260 1.4% 79%  
261 0.6% 78%  
262 1.3% 77%  
263 2% 76%  
264 3% 74%  
265 6% 71%  
266 0.2% 65%  
267 1.0% 65%  
268 0.7% 64%  
269 0.2% 63%  
270 0.6% 63%  
271 6% 62%  
272 2% 56%  
273 0.6% 54%  
274 3% 53% Last Result, Median
275 0.8% 51%  
276 4% 50%  
277 1.3% 46%  
278 4% 45%  
279 0.3% 41%  
280 4% 40%  
281 0.5% 37%  
282 1.4% 36%  
283 0.1% 35%  
284 0.5% 35%  
285 3% 34%  
286 1.0% 31%  
287 16% 30%  
288 2% 14%  
289 0.2% 12%  
290 0.1% 12%  
291 2% 12%  
292 0% 10%  
293 0.6% 10%  
294 0.2% 9%  
295 2% 9%  
296 0.3% 7%  
297 0% 7%  
298 0.3% 7%  
299 0.8% 7%  
300 0% 6%  
301 0.6% 6%  
302 0% 5%  
303 0.1% 5%  
304 0.3% 5%  
305 0.2% 5%  
306 0.1% 5%  
307 1.3% 5%  
308 0% 3%  
309 0.3% 3%  
310 0.1% 3%  
311 0% 3%  
312 0.1% 3%  
313 0.3% 3%  
314 0% 3%  
315 0.1% 3%  
316 0.1% 2%  
317 0.1% 2%  
318 0.1% 2%  
319 0.6% 2%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.7% 1.4%  
322 0% 0.7%  
323 0% 0.7%  
324 0% 0.6%  
325 0.1% 0.6%  
326 0.1% 0.5% Majority
327 0% 0.4%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0.1% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.8%  
240 0% 99.7%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.1% 99.5%  
246 0.4% 99.4%  
247 0.1% 99.0%  
248 0.1% 98.9%  
249 0.1% 98.8%  
250 0.1% 98.6%  
251 0.2% 98.6%  
252 0.4% 98%  
253 2% 98%  
254 0.1% 96%  
255 0% 96%  
256 0.3% 96%  
257 0.1% 96%  
258 2% 96%  
259 0.4% 94%  
260 2% 93%  
261 1.2% 92%  
262 4% 91%  
263 3% 87%  
264 1.2% 84%  
265 1.2% 83%  
266 0.4% 82%  
267 6% 82%  
268 1.0% 75%  
269 3% 74%  
270 1.4% 71%  
271 2% 70%  
272 1.4% 68%  
273 3% 66%  
274 5% 63%  
275 9% 58%  
276 3% 49% Median
277 2% 46%  
278 0.4% 44%  
279 3% 44%  
280 4% 41%  
281 4% 38%  
282 12% 33%  
283 2% 21%  
284 0.3% 20%  
285 2% 19%  
286 0.2% 17%  
287 0.7% 17%  
288 1.4% 16%  
289 0.5% 15%  
290 0.4% 14%  
291 0.8% 14%  
292 2% 13%  
293 1.2% 11%  
294 1.0% 10%  
295 0.5% 9%  
296 0.6% 8%  
297 0.4% 7%  
298 0.2% 7%  
299 0.4% 7%  
300 0.2% 7%  
301 0.3% 6% Last Result
302 0.9% 6%  
303 0% 5%  
304 0.1% 5%  
305 0% 5%  
306 0.2% 5%  
307 1.3% 5%  
308 0% 3%  
309 0.2% 3%  
310 0.1% 3%  
311 0.1% 3%  
312 0.4% 3%  
313 0.2% 3%  
314 1.2% 2%  
315 0.4% 1.3%  
316 0.3% 0.9%  
317 0.1% 0.6%  
318 0% 0.5%  
319 0% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.5%  
321 0% 0.4%  
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.2% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.6%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0% 99.5%  
243 0.1% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.3%  
245 0.1% 99.2%  
246 0.3% 99.1%  
247 0.2% 98.8%  
248 0% 98.6%  
249 0.3% 98.6%  
250 1.3% 98%  
251 0.4% 97%  
252 0.1% 96%  
253 0.6% 96%  
254 0.3% 96%  
255 1.4% 95%  
256 0.5% 94%  
257 0.2% 93%  
258 0.4% 93%  
259 4% 93%  
260 2% 89%  
261 3% 87%  
262 0.7% 83%  
263 3% 83%  
264 4% 80%  
265 1.3% 76%  
266 3% 74%  
267 0.6% 71%  
268 2% 71%  
269 1.4% 69%  
270 5% 67%  
271 2% 63%  
272 10% 61%  
273 4% 51% Median
274 2% 47%  
275 1.4% 45%  
276 0.4% 44%  
277 2% 44%  
278 2% 41%  
279 6% 40%  
280 13% 33%  
281 2% 20%  
282 0.9% 18%  
283 0.2% 17%  
284 2% 17%  
285 0.2% 15%  
286 1.1% 15%  
287 0.3% 14%  
288 0.3% 13%  
289 0.2% 13%  
290 3% 13%  
291 0.5% 10%  
292 0.8% 10%  
293 1.1% 9%  
294 0.2% 8%  
295 0.7% 8%  
296 0.1% 7%  
297 0.2% 7% Last Result
298 0.4% 7%  
299 0.4% 6%  
300 0.1% 6%  
301 0.7% 6%  
302 0.1% 5%  
303 0.3% 5%  
304 0.7% 5%  
305 0% 4%  
306 0.7% 4%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0.1% 3%  
309 0.3% 3%  
310 0.1% 3%  
311 0.1% 3%  
312 1.4% 2%  
313 0.1% 1.1%  
314 0.3% 1.0%  
315 0.1% 0.7%  
316 0% 0.6%  
317 0% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.5%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.3%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
209 0% 100%  
210 0.3% 99.9%  
211 0% 99.7%  
212 0.1% 99.7%  
213 0% 99.6%  
214 0% 99.5%  
215 0% 99.5%  
216 0% 99.5%  
217 0% 99.5%  
218 0.1% 99.5%  
219 0% 99.4%  
220 0.1% 99.4%  
221 0.2% 99.3%  
222 0.5% 99.1%  
223 0.2% 98.5%  
224 2% 98%  
225 0% 97%  
226 0.1% 97%  
227 0.1% 96%  
228 0.1% 96%  
229 1.0% 96%  
230 0.5% 95%  
231 2% 95%  
232 0.2% 93%  
233 2% 92%  
234 2% 91%  
235 0.2% 89%  
236 3% 88%  
237 0.2% 86%  
238 0.1% 86%  
239 0.1% 85%  
240 0.7% 85%  
241 2% 85%  
242 1.1% 83%  
243 5% 82%  
244 0.7% 77%  
245 0.5% 76%  
246 5% 76%  
247 1.3% 71%  
248 2% 70%  
249 2% 68%  
250 2% 66%  
251 2% 64%  
252 0.9% 62%  
253 4% 61%  
254 3% 57%  
255 0.2% 53%  
256 3% 53%  
257 1.1% 50% Median
258 1.3% 49%  
259 0.4% 47%  
260 0.5% 47%  
261 2% 46%  
262 3% 45%  
263 2% 42%  
264 4% 40%  
265 0.5% 37%  
266 2% 36% Last Result
267 12% 34%  
268 8% 22%  
269 1.3% 14%  
270 1.0% 13%  
271 0.3% 12%  
272 0.1% 11%  
273 1.4% 11%  
274 0.1% 10%  
275 0.2% 10%  
276 0.2% 10%  
277 3% 9%  
278 0.3% 7%  
279 0.4% 6%  
280 0.2% 6%  
281 0% 6%  
282 0.4% 6%  
283 0.1% 6%  
284 0% 5%  
285 0% 5%  
286 0.6% 5%  
287 0.1% 5%  
288 1.3% 5%  
289 0.2% 3%  
290 0.3% 3%  
291 0% 3%  
292 0% 3%  
293 0.1% 3%  
294 0.1% 3%  
295 0.1% 3%  
296 0.7% 3%  
297 0.1% 2%  
298 0.2% 2%  
299 0% 2%  
300 0% 2%  
301 0.5% 2%  
302 0% 1.0%  
303 0.3% 1.0%  
304 0.1% 0.7%  
305 0.1% 0.6%  
306 0% 0.5%  
307 0% 0.4%  
308 0% 0.4%  
309 0.1% 0.4%  
310 0% 0.3%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
208 0% 100%  
209 0.1% 99.9%  
210 0.3% 99.8%  
211 0% 99.6%  
212 0% 99.5%  
213 0% 99.5%  
214 0% 99.5%  
215 0% 99.5%  
216 0.1% 99.5%  
217 0% 99.4%  
218 0.1% 99.4%  
219 0.8% 99.3%  
220 0.2% 98.6%  
221 2% 98%  
222 0.3% 97%  
223 0% 97%  
224 0% 96%  
225 0.4% 96%  
226 0.2% 96%  
227 0.2% 96%  
228 0.3% 96%  
229 3% 95%  
230 2% 93%  
231 1.5% 91%  
232 3% 90%  
233 0.4% 87%  
234 0.9% 87%  
235 0.1% 86%  
236 0.1% 85%  
237 0.3% 85%  
238 0.3% 85%  
239 1.4% 85%  
240 4% 83%  
241 2% 80%  
242 1.1% 77%  
243 5% 76%  
244 1.4% 71%  
245 3% 70%  
246 2% 67%  
247 0.8% 65%  
248 0.4% 64%  
249 1.0% 64%  
250 4% 62%  
251 3% 59%  
252 3% 56%  
253 2% 53%  
254 0.7% 51% Median
255 2% 50%  
256 1.2% 48%  
257 0.3% 47%  
258 0.8% 47%  
259 3% 46%  
260 0.9% 43%  
261 2% 43%  
262 4% 41% Last Result
263 3% 37%  
264 2% 34%  
265 18% 32%  
266 1.3% 14%  
267 0.6% 13%  
268 0.2% 12%  
269 0.3% 12%  
270 0.5% 12%  
271 0.2% 11%  
272 0.4% 11%  
273 1.0% 11%  
274 2% 10%  
275 0.4% 7%  
276 0.6% 7%  
277 0.4% 6%  
278 0.1% 6%  
279 0.1% 6%  
280 0.2% 6%  
281 0% 6%  
282 0.1% 6%  
283 0.3% 5%  
284 0.1% 5%  
285 0.4% 5%  
286 1.5% 5%  
287 0.2% 3%  
288 0% 3%  
289 0.1% 3%  
290 0% 3%  
291 0% 3%  
292 0% 3%  
293 0.2% 3%  
294 0% 3%  
295 0.9% 3%  
296 0% 2%  
297 0.1% 2%  
298 0.6% 2%  
299 0.1% 1.0%  
300 0.1% 0.9%  
301 0.1% 0.7%  
302 0% 0.6%  
303 0.1% 0.6%  
304 0% 0.5%  
305 0.1% 0.5%  
306 0% 0.4%  
307 0.1% 0.4%  
308 0% 0.3%  
309 0.1% 0.3%  
310 0% 0.2%  
311 0.1% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations