Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 20–21 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 42.4% 40.9–44.0% 40.4–44.4% 40.0–44.8% 39.3–45.6%
Labour Party 40.0% 38.4% 36.9–39.9% 36.4–40.4% 36.1–40.7% 35.3–41.5%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.4–11.1%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.4% 2.4–4.8%
Green Party 1.6% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 2.0% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 323 299–337 290–343 284–346 272–354
Labour Party 262 241 230–267 226–274 224–282 215–294
Liberal Democrats 12 20 15–24 15–26 14–26 11–28
Scottish National Party 35 42 32–51 25–52 21–53 13–55
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 4 2–5 2–5 1–5 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.3%  
276 0.1% 99.2%  
277 0.2% 99.1%  
278 0.1% 98.9%  
279 0.3% 98.9%  
280 0.2% 98.6%  
281 0.1% 98%  
282 0.2% 98%  
283 0.5% 98%  
284 0.3% 98%  
285 0.2% 97%  
286 0.6% 97%  
287 0.2% 96%  
288 0.4% 96%  
289 0.5% 96%  
290 0.6% 95%  
291 0.5% 95%  
292 0.3% 94%  
293 0.5% 94%  
294 0.7% 94%  
295 0.6% 93%  
296 1.0% 92%  
297 0.5% 91%  
298 0.5% 91%  
299 0.8% 90%  
300 1.3% 89%  
301 1.0% 88%  
302 1.2% 87%  
303 1.3% 86%  
304 0.3% 85%  
305 0.9% 84%  
306 1.3% 84%  
307 1.4% 82%  
308 2% 81%  
309 3% 79%  
310 2% 76%  
311 1.3% 75%  
312 1.2% 73%  
313 1.0% 72%  
314 3% 71%  
315 0.8% 68%  
316 2% 67%  
317 0.8% 65% Last Result
318 3% 64%  
319 3% 61%  
320 2% 58%  
321 3% 56%  
322 3% 53%  
323 2% 50% Median
324 5% 48%  
325 3% 43%  
326 2% 40% Majority
327 3% 39%  
328 3% 35%  
329 3% 32%  
330 3% 29%  
331 5% 25%  
332 2% 21%  
333 2% 19%  
334 1.0% 16%  
335 1.3% 15%  
336 2% 14%  
337 2% 12%  
338 1.2% 10%  
339 1.2% 9%  
340 0.6% 7%  
341 0.7% 7%  
342 1.0% 6%  
343 1.1% 5%  
344 0.9% 4%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.3% 3%  
347 0.6% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.3% 2%  
350 0.2% 1.2%  
351 0.2% 1.1%  
352 0.1% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.7%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.5%  
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0.1% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
207 0% 100%  
208 0.1% 99.9%  
209 0.1% 99.9%  
210 0% 99.8%  
211 0% 99.7%  
212 0% 99.7%  
213 0% 99.7%  
214 0.1% 99.7%  
215 0.1% 99.6%  
216 0.1% 99.5%  
217 0% 99.4%  
218 0.3% 99.3%  
219 0.3% 99.1%  
220 0.2% 98.8%  
221 0.2% 98.6%  
222 0.1% 98%  
223 0.1% 98%  
224 1.3% 98%  
225 2% 97%  
226 1.1% 95%  
227 0.9% 94%  
228 1.4% 93%  
229 2% 92%  
230 2% 90%  
231 2% 88%  
232 1.5% 87%  
233 2% 85%  
234 0.6% 83%  
235 2% 83%  
236 5% 81%  
237 5% 75%  
238 7% 70%  
239 6% 63%  
240 4% 57%  
241 4% 53% Median
242 2% 50%  
243 3% 48%  
244 2% 45%  
245 0.6% 43%  
246 3% 43%  
247 3% 40%  
248 2% 37%  
249 4% 35%  
250 2% 31%  
251 1.5% 29%  
252 0.9% 28%  
253 0.3% 27%  
254 1.0% 26%  
255 2% 25%  
256 1.4% 24%  
257 2% 22%  
258 0.9% 20%  
259 2% 19%  
260 1.2% 18%  
261 1.3% 17%  
262 1.0% 15% Last Result
263 1.3% 14%  
264 1.2% 13%  
265 0.6% 12%  
266 0.6% 11%  
267 0.8% 11%  
268 0.7% 10%  
269 0.3% 9%  
270 0.3% 9%  
271 2% 8%  
272 0.8% 7%  
273 0.6% 6%  
274 0.6% 5%  
275 0.6% 5%  
276 0.2% 4%  
277 0.3% 4%  
278 0.2% 4%  
279 0.4% 3%  
280 0.3% 3%  
281 0.2% 3%  
282 0.6% 3%  
283 0.1% 2%  
284 0.3% 2%  
285 0.1% 2%  
286 0.1% 2%  
287 0.2% 1.4%  
288 0.1% 1.2%  
289 0.1% 1.1%  
290 0.1% 1.0%  
291 0.1% 0.9%  
292 0.1% 0.7%  
293 0.1% 0.6%  
294 0.1% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0.2% 99.8%  
11 0.3% 99.5%  
12 0.5% 99.2% Last Result
13 0.8% 98.8%  
14 3% 98%  
15 6% 95%  
16 7% 89%  
17 11% 82%  
18 11% 70%  
19 9% 60%  
20 11% 50% Median
21 12% 39%  
22 8% 27%  
23 4% 19%  
24 5% 15%  
25 4% 10%  
26 4% 6%  
27 1.4% 2%  
28 0.9% 0.9%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.8%  
9 0.1% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.6%  
11 0% 99.6%  
12 0.1% 99.6%  
13 0.3% 99.5%  
14 0.1% 99.2%  
15 0.1% 99.2%  
16 0% 99.0%  
17 0.3% 99.0%  
18 0.1% 98.8%  
19 0.5% 98.7%  
20 0.1% 98%  
21 0.8% 98%  
22 0% 97%  
23 2% 97%  
24 0.5% 96%  
25 0.3% 95%  
26 2% 95%  
27 0.6% 93%  
28 0.3% 92%  
29 1.1% 92%  
30 0.1% 91%  
31 0.5% 91%  
32 2% 90%  
33 0.4% 89%  
34 0.3% 88%  
35 2% 88% Last Result
36 2% 86%  
37 2% 84%  
38 4% 83%  
39 5% 79%  
40 12% 74%  
41 9% 62%  
42 4% 53% Median
43 3% 48%  
44 2% 46%  
45 6% 43%  
46 4% 38%  
47 6% 33%  
48 9% 28%  
49 5% 18%  
50 1.5% 13%  
51 6% 12%  
52 2% 5%  
53 1.5% 3%  
54 1.1% 2%  
55 0.4% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 2% 98%  
2 16% 95%  
3 24% 79%  
4 23% 55% Last Result, Median
5 32% 32%  
6 0.1% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 369 98% 343–383 336–387 328–389 315–397
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 366 98% 340–379 333–383 326–385 312–394
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 342 82% 319–356 311–361 305–365 294–373
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 326 52% 302–342 294–346 288–350 275–358
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 308 16% 294–332 288–341 285–347 277–359
Conservative Party 317 323 40% 299–337 290–343 284–346 272–354
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 305 13% 289–329 285–337 281–343 273–356
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 289 3% 275–312 270–320 266–326 258–337
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 286 1.5% 270–308 266–316 262–322 255–334
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 265 0.2% 252–291 248–298 246–305 237–319
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 262 0.1% 248–288 244–295 242–303 234–316
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 245 0% 234–270 230–278 228–284 219–297
Labour Party 262 241 0% 230–267 226–274 224–282 215–294

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.8%  
309 0% 99.8%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0.1% 99.7%  
312 0% 99.7%  
313 0% 99.6%  
314 0.1% 99.6%  
315 0% 99.5%  
316 0.1% 99.5%  
317 0.1% 99.4%  
318 0.1% 99.3%  
319 0.1% 99.2%  
320 0.2% 99.1%  
321 0.1% 98.9%  
322 0.2% 98.8%  
323 0.2% 98.7%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.2% 98%  
326 0.1% 98% Majority
327 0.1% 98%  
328 0.5% 98%  
329 0.3% 97%  
330 0.2% 97%  
331 0.4% 97%  
332 0.3% 96%  
333 0.2% 96%  
334 0.4% 96%  
335 0.2% 96%  
336 0.6% 95%  
337 0.4% 95%  
338 0.3% 94%  
339 1.1% 94%  
340 1.0% 93%  
341 0.8% 92%  
342 0.5% 91%  
343 0.8% 91%  
344 0.9% 90%  
345 0.8% 89%  
346 0.7% 88%  
347 1.0% 87%  
348 0.7% 86%  
349 0.9% 86%  
350 1.0% 85%  
351 1.5% 84%  
352 1.3% 82%  
353 2% 81%  
354 2% 79%  
355 0.9% 77%  
356 0.4% 76% Last Result
357 1.2% 76%  
358 1.3% 74%  
359 1.3% 73%  
360 1.4% 72%  
361 1.4% 70%  
362 2% 69%  
363 3% 67%  
364 3% 64%  
365 2% 61%  
366 4% 59%  
367 2% 55%  
368 3% 53%  
369 2% 51% Median
370 3% 49%  
371 3% 46%  
372 3% 43%  
373 5% 40%  
374 6% 35%  
375 2% 29%  
376 5% 28%  
377 4% 23%  
378 2% 19%  
379 2% 17%  
380 1.4% 15%  
381 2% 14%  
382 1.1% 12%  
383 2% 11%  
384 2% 9%  
385 1.1% 7%  
386 0.9% 6%  
387 1.3% 5%  
388 1.1% 4%  
389 0.8% 3%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.1% 1.4%  
394 0.2% 1.2%  
395 0.3% 1.0%  
396 0.2% 0.8%  
397 0.1% 0.6%  
398 0.1% 0.5%  
399 0.1% 0.4%  
400 0% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0% 0.3%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0.1% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0% 99.8%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0% 99.7%  
310 0.1% 99.6%  
311 0% 99.6%  
312 0% 99.5%  
313 0.1% 99.5%  
314 0.1% 99.4%  
315 0.2% 99.3%  
316 0.1% 99.1%  
317 0.1% 99.0%  
318 0.2% 98.9%  
319 0.1% 98.7%  
320 0.2% 98.6%  
321 0.3% 98%  
322 0.1% 98%  
323 0.1% 98%  
324 0.1% 98%  
325 0.1% 98%  
326 0.6% 98% Majority
327 0.3% 97%  
328 0.4% 97%  
329 0.3% 96%  
330 0.3% 96%  
331 0.5% 96%  
332 0.2% 95%  
333 0.4% 95%  
334 1.0% 95%  
335 0.4% 94%  
336 1.3% 93%  
337 0.7% 92%  
338 0.3% 91%  
339 0.5% 91%  
340 1.3% 91%  
341 1.1% 89%  
342 0.6% 88%  
343 1.2% 88%  
344 0.3% 86%  
345 1.2% 86%  
346 0.7% 85%  
347 1.5% 84%  
348 0.7% 83%  
349 2% 82%  
350 2% 80%  
351 1.5% 78%  
352 0.9% 77% Last Result
353 1.2% 76%  
354 1.3% 75%  
355 1.1% 73%  
356 0.9% 72%  
357 2% 71%  
358 1.2% 69%  
359 2% 68%  
360 2% 66%  
361 4% 64%  
362 3% 60%  
363 3% 57%  
364 2% 54%  
365 2% 52% Median
366 3% 50%  
367 2% 47%  
368 5% 45%  
369 4% 40%  
370 2% 36%  
371 5% 33%  
372 5% 29%  
373 3% 24%  
374 4% 21%  
375 1.4% 17%  
376 1.5% 15%  
377 1.0% 14%  
378 2% 13%  
379 2% 10%  
380 1.3% 9%  
381 1.2% 8%  
382 1.2% 7%  
383 0.9% 5%  
384 1.4% 4%  
385 0.8% 3%  
386 0.4% 2%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.3% 1.5%  
390 0.2% 1.2%  
391 0.2% 1.0%  
392 0.2% 0.8%  
393 0.1% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.5%  
395 0% 0.4%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.3%  
399 0.1% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0% 99.7%  
293 0.1% 99.6%  
294 0.1% 99.5%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.1% 99.4%  
297 0.1% 99.3%  
298 0.1% 99.2%  
299 0.2% 99.1%  
300 0.1% 98.9%  
301 0.2% 98.8%  
302 0.5% 98.6%  
303 0.1% 98%  
304 0.2% 98%  
305 0.3% 98%  
306 0.6% 97%  
307 0.6% 97%  
308 0.2% 96%  
309 0.4% 96%  
310 0.4% 96%  
311 0.5% 95%  
312 0.4% 95%  
313 0.6% 94%  
314 0.7% 94%  
315 1.0% 93%  
316 0.4% 92%  
317 0.5% 92%  
318 0.9% 91%  
319 0.5% 90%  
320 1.0% 90%  
321 1.3% 89%  
322 1.4% 88%  
323 1.3% 86%  
324 1.2% 85%  
325 1.4% 84%  
326 1.3% 82% Majority
327 2% 81%  
328 1.4% 80%  
329 0.5% 78% Last Result
330 3% 78%  
331 2% 75%  
332 2% 73%  
333 1.1% 71%  
334 0.4% 70%  
335 2% 70%  
336 3% 68%  
337 1.4% 65%  
338 3% 64%  
339 4% 61%  
340 2% 57%  
341 4% 55%  
342 3% 52%  
343 4% 49% Median
344 2% 45%  
345 2% 42%  
346 4% 40%  
347 3% 36%  
348 3% 33%  
349 3% 30%  
350 4% 27%  
351 4% 23%  
352 2% 19%  
353 2% 17%  
354 1.3% 15%  
355 2% 14%  
356 2% 12%  
357 1.2% 10%  
358 0.8% 8%  
359 0.8% 8%  
360 1.0% 7%  
361 1.1% 6%  
362 1.0% 5%  
363 0.5% 4%  
364 0.4% 3%  
365 0.4% 3%  
366 0.9% 2%  
367 0.3% 2%  
368 0.2% 1.2%  
369 0.1% 1.0%  
370 0.1% 0.9%  
371 0.1% 0.8%  
372 0.1% 0.7%  
373 0.1% 0.6%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.3%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.7%  
273 0% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.6%  
275 0.1% 99.6%  
276 0% 99.5%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 0.2% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.2%  
280 0.1% 99.2%  
281 0.2% 99.0%  
282 0.2% 98.8%  
283 0.1% 98.6%  
284 0.1% 98.5%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 0.4% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.7% 98%  
289 0.2% 97%  
290 0.2% 97%  
291 0.3% 96%  
292 0.4% 96%  
293 0.6% 96%  
294 0.3% 95%  
295 0.5% 95%  
296 0.2% 94%  
297 0.6% 94%  
298 0.9% 94%  
299 0.6% 93%  
300 0.5% 92%  
301 1.1% 91%  
302 0.5% 90%  
303 1.1% 90%  
304 1.2% 89%  
305 0.9% 88%  
306 0.6% 87%  
307 1.2% 86%  
308 0.9% 85%  
309 2% 84%  
310 0.8% 82%  
311 1.0% 82%  
312 2% 81%  
313 3% 78%  
314 2% 76%  
315 1.0% 74%  
316 2% 73%  
317 0.9% 71%  
318 2% 70%  
319 1.0% 68%  
320 2% 67%  
321 2% 65% Last Result
322 2% 63%  
323 3% 61%  
324 4% 57%  
325 2% 54%  
326 3% 52% Majority
327 3% 48% Median
328 3% 45%  
329 2% 42%  
330 2% 40%  
331 5% 38%  
332 2% 33%  
333 2% 30%  
334 4% 28%  
335 3% 24%  
336 3% 21%  
337 2% 18%  
338 1.4% 16%  
339 2% 15%  
340 1.0% 13%  
341 1.2% 12%  
342 2% 11%  
343 1.4% 9%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 0.8% 7%  
346 0.9% 6%  
347 1.1% 5%  
348 0.6% 4%  
349 0.4% 3%  
350 0.8% 3%  
351 0.3% 2%  
352 0.2% 2%  
353 0.2% 1.5%  
354 0.2% 1.2%  
355 0.3% 1.0%  
356 0.1% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.7%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 0.1% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.3%  
280 0.2% 99.2%  
281 0.2% 98.9%  
282 0.3% 98.8%  
283 0.3% 98%  
284 0.6% 98%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.4% 97%  
287 0.9% 97%  
288 1.1% 96%  
289 1.0% 95%  
290 0.7% 94%  
291 0.6% 93%  
292 1.2% 93%  
293 1.2% 91%  
294 2% 90%  
295 2% 88%  
296 1.3% 86%  
297 1.0% 85%  
298 2% 84%  
299 2% 81%  
300 5% 79%  
301 3% 75%  
302 3% 71%  
303 3% 68%  
304 3% 65%  
305 2% 61%  
306 3% 60%  
307 5% 57% Median
308 2% 52%  
309 3% 50%  
310 3% 47%  
311 2% 44%  
312 3% 42%  
313 3% 39% Last Result
314 0.8% 36%  
315 2% 35%  
316 0.8% 33%  
317 3% 32%  
318 1.0% 29%  
319 1.2% 28%  
320 1.3% 27%  
321 2% 25%  
322 3% 24%  
323 2% 21%  
324 1.4% 19%  
325 1.3% 18%  
326 0.9% 16% Majority
327 0.3% 16%  
328 1.3% 15%  
329 1.2% 14%  
330 1.0% 13%  
331 1.3% 12%  
332 0.8% 11%  
333 0.5% 10%  
334 0.5% 9%  
335 1.0% 9%  
336 0.6% 8%  
337 0.7% 7%  
338 0.5% 6%  
339 0.3% 6%  
340 0.5% 6%  
341 0.6% 5%  
342 0.5% 5%  
343 0.4% 4%  
344 0.2% 4%  
345 0.6% 4%  
346 0.2% 3%  
347 0.3% 3%  
348 0.5% 2%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.1% 2%  
351 0.2% 2%  
352 0.3% 1.4%  
353 0.1% 1.1%  
354 0.2% 1.1%  
355 0.1% 0.9%  
356 0.1% 0.8%  
357 0.1% 0.7%  
358 0% 0.6%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0% 0.4%  
362 0% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.3%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.3%  
276 0.1% 99.2%  
277 0.2% 99.1%  
278 0.1% 98.9%  
279 0.3% 98.9%  
280 0.2% 98.6%  
281 0.1% 98%  
282 0.2% 98%  
283 0.5% 98%  
284 0.3% 98%  
285 0.2% 97%  
286 0.6% 97%  
287 0.2% 96%  
288 0.4% 96%  
289 0.5% 96%  
290 0.6% 95%  
291 0.5% 95%  
292 0.3% 94%  
293 0.5% 94%  
294 0.7% 94%  
295 0.6% 93%  
296 1.0% 92%  
297 0.5% 91%  
298 0.5% 91%  
299 0.8% 90%  
300 1.3% 89%  
301 1.0% 88%  
302 1.2% 87%  
303 1.3% 86%  
304 0.3% 85%  
305 0.9% 84%  
306 1.3% 84%  
307 1.4% 82%  
308 2% 81%  
309 3% 79%  
310 2% 76%  
311 1.3% 75%  
312 1.2% 73%  
313 1.0% 72%  
314 3% 71%  
315 0.8% 68%  
316 2% 67%  
317 0.8% 65% Last Result
318 3% 64%  
319 3% 61%  
320 2% 58%  
321 3% 56%  
322 3% 53%  
323 2% 50% Median
324 5% 48%  
325 3% 43%  
326 2% 40% Majority
327 3% 39%  
328 3% 35%  
329 3% 32%  
330 3% 29%  
331 5% 25%  
332 2% 21%  
333 2% 19%  
334 1.0% 16%  
335 1.3% 15%  
336 2% 14%  
337 2% 12%  
338 1.2% 10%  
339 1.2% 9%  
340 0.6% 7%  
341 0.7% 7%  
342 1.0% 6%  
343 1.1% 5%  
344 0.9% 4%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.3% 3%  
347 0.6% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.3% 2%  
350 0.2% 1.2%  
351 0.2% 1.1%  
352 0.1% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.7%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.5%  
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0.1% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.3%  
276 0.3% 99.3%  
277 0.2% 99.0%  
278 0.2% 98.8%  
279 0.2% 98.5%  
280 0.3% 98%  
281 0.8% 98%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 0.6% 97%  
284 1.1% 96%  
285 0.9% 95%  
286 0.8% 94%  
287 0.7% 93%  
288 1.4% 93%  
289 2% 91%  
290 1.2% 89%  
291 1.0% 88%  
292 2% 87%  
293 1.4% 85%  
294 2% 84%  
295 3% 82%  
296 3% 79%  
297 4% 76%  
298 2% 72%  
299 2% 70%  
300 5% 67%  
301 2% 62%  
302 2% 60%  
303 3% 58% Median
304 3% 55%  
305 3% 52%  
306 2% 48%  
307 4% 46%  
308 4% 43%  
309 2% 39% Last Result
310 2% 37%  
311 2% 35%  
312 1.0% 33%  
313 2% 32%  
314 0.9% 30%  
315 2% 29%  
316 1.0% 27%  
317 2% 26%  
318 3% 24%  
319 2% 22%  
320 1.0% 19%  
321 0.8% 18%  
322 2% 18%  
323 0.9% 16%  
324 1.2% 15%  
325 0.6% 14%  
326 0.9% 13% Majority
327 1.2% 12%  
328 1.1% 11%  
329 0.5% 10%  
330 1.1% 10%  
331 0.5% 9%  
332 0.6% 8%  
333 0.9% 7%  
334 0.6% 6%  
335 0.2% 6%  
336 0.5% 6%  
337 0.3% 5%  
338 0.6% 5%  
339 0.4% 4%  
340 0.3% 4%  
341 0.2% 4%  
342 0.2% 3%  
343 0.7% 3%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.4% 2%  
346 0.2% 2%  
347 0.1% 2%  
348 0.1% 1.5%  
349 0.2% 1.4%  
350 0.2% 1.2%  
351 0.1% 1.0%  
352 0.1% 0.8%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0% 0.5%  
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.4%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0.1% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.8%  
255 0% 99.7%  
256 0.1% 99.7%  
257 0.1% 99.6%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.1% 99.4%  
260 0.1% 99.3%  
261 0.1% 99.2%  
262 0.1% 99.1%  
263 0.2% 99.0%  
264 0.3% 98.8%  
265 0.9% 98%  
266 0.4% 98%  
267 0.4% 97%  
268 0.5% 97%  
269 1.0% 96%  
270 1.1% 95%  
271 1.0% 94%  
272 0.8% 93%  
273 0.8% 92%  
274 1.2% 92%  
275 2% 90%  
276 2% 88%  
277 1.3% 86%  
278 2% 85%  
279 2% 83%  
280 4% 81%  
281 4% 77%  
282 3% 73%  
283 3% 70%  
284 3% 67%  
285 4% 64%  
286 2% 60%  
287 2% 58% Median
288 4% 55%  
289 3% 51%  
290 4% 48%  
291 2% 45%  
292 4% 43%  
293 3% 39%  
294 1.4% 36%  
295 3% 35%  
296 2% 32%  
297 0.4% 30%  
298 1.1% 30%  
299 2% 29%  
300 2% 27%  
301 3% 25% Last Result
302 0.5% 22%  
303 1.4% 22%  
304 2% 20%  
305 1.3% 19%  
306 1.4% 18%  
307 1.2% 16%  
308 1.3% 15%  
309 1.4% 14%  
310 1.3% 12%  
311 1.0% 11%  
312 0.5% 10%  
313 0.9% 10%  
314 0.5% 9%  
315 0.4% 8%  
316 1.0% 8%  
317 0.7% 7%  
318 0.6% 6%  
319 0.4% 6%  
320 0.5% 5%  
321 0.4% 5%  
322 0.4% 4%  
323 0.2% 4%  
324 0.6% 4%  
325 0.6% 3%  
326 0.3% 3% Majority
327 0.2% 2%  
328 0.1% 2%  
329 0.5% 2%  
330 0.2% 1.4%  
331 0.1% 1.2%  
332 0.2% 1.1%  
333 0.1% 0.9%  
334 0.1% 0.8%  
335 0.1% 0.7%  
336 0.1% 0.6%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0% 0.4%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0% 99.6%  
255 0.1% 99.5%  
256 0.1% 99.4%  
257 0.1% 99.3%  
258 0.1% 99.1%  
259 0.3% 99.1%  
260 0.3% 98.8%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.8% 98%  
263 0.4% 97%  
264 0.4% 97%  
265 1.1% 96%  
266 1.1% 95%  
267 1.1% 94%  
268 0.8% 93%  
269 0.9% 92%  
270 2% 92%  
271 1.0% 90%  
272 1.3% 89%  
273 2% 88%  
274 3% 86%  
275 1.1% 83%  
276 3% 82%  
277 4% 79%  
278 4% 75%  
279 3% 72%  
280 4% 68%  
281 2% 64%  
282 4% 63%  
283 3% 58% Median
284 2% 55%  
285 3% 53%  
286 4% 51%  
287 3% 47%  
288 4% 44%  
289 2% 40%  
290 3% 38%  
291 1.3% 35%  
292 2% 34%  
293 2% 32%  
294 1.0% 30%  
295 2% 29%  
296 0.9% 27%  
297 3% 26% Last Result
298 1.1% 23%  
299 0.8% 22%  
300 2% 21%  
301 1.4% 19%  
302 1.1% 17%  
303 0.9% 16%  
304 1.1% 15%  
305 1.5% 14%  
306 2% 13%  
307 0.4% 11%  
308 1.4% 11%  
309 0.4% 10%  
310 0.7% 9%  
311 0.5% 8%  
312 0.9% 8%  
313 0.6% 7%  
314 0.6% 6%  
315 0.7% 6%  
316 0.4% 5%  
317 0.3% 5%  
318 0.2% 4%  
319 0.5% 4%  
320 0.2% 4%  
321 0.5% 4%  
322 0.7% 3%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.5% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.5% Majority
327 0.2% 1.4%  
328 0.2% 1.2%  
329 0.1% 1.1%  
330 0.2% 0.9%  
331 0.1% 0.8%  
332 0.1% 0.7%  
333 0.1% 0.6%  
334 0.1% 0.5%  
335 0.1% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0% 99.6%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.1% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.4%  
240 0.2% 99.2%  
241 0.2% 99.0%  
242 0.3% 98.8%  
243 0.2% 98.5%  
244 0.2% 98%  
245 0.4% 98%  
246 0.8% 98%  
247 1.4% 97%  
248 0.9% 96%  
249 1.2% 95%  
250 1.2% 93%  
251 1.3% 92%  
252 2% 91%  
253 2% 90%  
254 1.0% 87%  
255 1.5% 86%  
256 1.4% 85%  
257 4% 83%  
258 3% 79%  
259 5% 76%  
260 5% 71%  
261 2% 67%  
262 4% 64%  
263 5% 60%  
264 2% 55%  
265 3% 53% Median
266 2% 50%  
267 2% 48%  
268 3% 46%  
269 3% 43%  
270 4% 40%  
271 2% 36%  
272 2% 34%  
273 1.2% 32%  
274 2% 31%  
275 0.9% 29%  
276 1.1% 28%  
277 1.3% 27%  
278 1.2% 25% Last Result
279 0.9% 24%  
280 1.5% 23%  
281 2% 22%  
282 2% 20%  
283 0.7% 18%  
284 1.5% 17%  
285 0.7% 16%  
286 1.2% 15%  
287 0.3% 14%  
288 1.2% 14%  
289 0.6% 12%  
290 1.1% 12%  
291 1.3% 11%  
292 0.5% 9%  
293 0.3% 9%  
294 0.7% 9%  
295 1.3% 8%  
296 0.4% 7%  
297 1.0% 6%  
298 0.4% 5%  
299 0.2% 5%  
300 0.5% 5%  
301 0.3% 4%  
302 0.3% 4%  
303 0.4% 4%  
304 0.3% 3%  
305 0.6% 3%  
306 0.1% 2%  
307 0.1% 2%  
308 0.1% 2%  
309 0.1% 2%  
310 0.3% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.1% 1.4%  
313 0.2% 1.3%  
314 0.1% 1.1%  
315 0.1% 1.0%  
316 0.2% 0.9%  
317 0.1% 0.7%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.5%  
321 0.1% 0.4%  
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0% 99.7%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.6%  
234 0.1% 99.5%  
235 0.2% 99.4%  
236 0.3% 99.2%  
237 0.2% 99.0%  
238 0.1% 98.8%  
239 0.2% 98.6%  
240 0.3% 98%  
241 0.3% 98%  
242 0.8% 98%  
243 1.1% 97%  
244 1.3% 96%  
245 0.9% 95%  
246 1.1% 94%  
247 2% 93%  
248 2% 91%  
249 1.1% 89%  
250 2% 88%  
251 1.4% 86%  
252 2% 85%  
253 2% 83%  
254 4% 81%  
255 5% 77%  
256 2% 72%  
257 6% 71%  
258 5% 65%  
259 3% 60%  
260 3% 57%  
261 3% 54% Median
262 2% 51%  
263 3% 49%  
264 2% 47%  
265 4% 45%  
266 2% 41%  
267 3% 39%  
268 3% 36%  
269 2% 33%  
270 1.3% 31%  
271 1.4% 30%  
272 1.3% 28%  
273 1.3% 27%  
274 1.2% 26% Last Result
275 0.4% 24%  
276 0.9% 24%  
277 2% 23%  
278 2% 21%  
279 1.3% 19%  
280 1.5% 18%  
281 1.0% 16%  
282 0.9% 15%  
283 0.7% 14%  
284 1.0% 14%  
285 0.7% 13%  
286 0.8% 12%  
287 0.9% 11%  
288 0.8% 10%  
289 0.5% 9%  
290 0.8% 9%  
291 1.0% 8%  
292 1.1% 7%  
293 0.3% 6%  
294 0.4% 6%  
295 0.6% 5%  
296 0.2% 5%  
297 0.4% 4%  
298 0.2% 4%  
299 0.3% 4%  
300 0.4% 4%  
301 0.2% 3%  
302 0.3% 3%  
303 0.5% 3%  
304 0.1% 2%  
305 0.1% 2%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0.2% 1.3%  
310 0.1% 1.2%  
311 0.2% 1.1%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.1% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.6%  
316 0% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0.1% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.8%  
215 0% 99.7%  
216 0% 99.7%  
217 0.1% 99.7%  
218 0.1% 99.6%  
219 0.1% 99.5%  
220 0.1% 99.5%  
221 0.1% 99.3%  
222 0.1% 99.2%  
223 0.4% 99.1%  
224 0.2% 98.7%  
225 0.2% 98%  
226 0.1% 98%  
227 0.4% 98%  
228 1.0% 98%  
229 2% 97%  
230 2% 95%  
231 0.9% 94%  
232 0.9% 93%  
233 1.2% 92%  
234 2% 91%  
235 3% 88%  
236 1.4% 85%  
237 0.6% 84%  
238 1.5% 83%  
239 3% 82%  
240 5% 79%  
241 6% 73%  
242 6% 68%  
243 6% 61%  
244 3% 55%  
245 4% 52% Median
246 2% 48%  
247 2% 47%  
248 3% 44%  
249 1.0% 42%  
250 2% 41%  
251 3% 39%  
252 3% 36%  
253 4% 33%  
254 1.1% 30%  
255 1.4% 29%  
256 1.0% 27%  
257 0.2% 26%  
258 2% 26%  
259 2% 25%  
260 1.3% 22%  
261 2% 21%  
262 0.7% 20%  
263 1.4% 19%  
264 1.4% 18%  
265 0.6% 16%  
266 2% 16% Last Result
267 1.3% 14%  
268 1.2% 13%  
269 0.6% 12%  
270 1.2% 11%  
271 0.6% 10%  
272 0.3% 9%  
273 0.4% 9%  
274 0.6% 8%  
275 1.2% 8%  
276 0.9% 7%  
277 0.7% 6%  
278 0.5% 5%  
279 0.4% 5%  
280 0.4% 4%  
281 0.2% 4%  
282 0.5% 4%  
283 0.3% 3%  
284 0.6% 3%  
285 0.2% 2%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.2% 2%  
288 0.2% 2%  
289 0.2% 2%  
290 0.1% 1.5%  
291 0.2% 1.4%  
292 0.2% 1.2%  
293 0.2% 1.0%  
294 0.1% 0.8%  
295 0.1% 0.7%  
296 0.1% 0.7%  
297 0.1% 0.6%  
298 0.1% 0.5%  
299 0% 0.4%  
300 0% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0% 0.3%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
207 0% 100%  
208 0.1% 99.9%  
209 0.1% 99.9%  
210 0% 99.8%  
211 0% 99.7%  
212 0% 99.7%  
213 0% 99.7%  
214 0.1% 99.7%  
215 0.1% 99.6%  
216 0.1% 99.5%  
217 0% 99.4%  
218 0.3% 99.3%  
219 0.3% 99.1%  
220 0.2% 98.8%  
221 0.2% 98.6%  
222 0.1% 98%  
223 0.1% 98%  
224 1.3% 98%  
225 2% 97%  
226 1.1% 95%  
227 0.9% 94%  
228 1.4% 93%  
229 2% 92%  
230 2% 90%  
231 2% 88%  
232 1.5% 87%  
233 2% 85%  
234 0.6% 83%  
235 2% 83%  
236 5% 81%  
237 5% 75%  
238 7% 70%  
239 6% 63%  
240 4% 57%  
241 4% 53% Median
242 2% 50%  
243 3% 48%  
244 2% 45%  
245 0.6% 43%  
246 3% 43%  
247 3% 40%  
248 2% 37%  
249 4% 35%  
250 2% 31%  
251 1.5% 29%  
252 0.9% 28%  
253 0.3% 27%  
254 1.0% 26%  
255 2% 25%  
256 1.4% 24%  
257 2% 22%  
258 0.9% 20%  
259 2% 19%  
260 1.2% 18%  
261 1.3% 17%  
262 1.0% 15% Last Result
263 1.3% 14%  
264 1.2% 13%  
265 0.6% 12%  
266 0.6% 11%  
267 0.8% 11%  
268 0.7% 10%  
269 0.3% 9%  
270 0.3% 9%  
271 2% 8%  
272 0.8% 7%  
273 0.6% 6%  
274 0.6% 5%  
275 0.6% 5%  
276 0.2% 4%  
277 0.3% 4%  
278 0.2% 4%  
279 0.4% 3%  
280 0.3% 3%  
281 0.2% 3%  
282 0.6% 3%  
283 0.1% 2%  
284 0.3% 2%  
285 0.1% 2%  
286 0.1% 2%  
287 0.2% 1.4%  
288 0.1% 1.2%  
289 0.1% 1.1%  
290 0.1% 1.0%  
291 0.1% 0.9%  
292 0.1% 0.7%  
293 0.1% 0.6%  
294 0.1% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations